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PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

could have incubation period of 24 days

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Albert View Drop Down
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    Posted: February 10 2020 at 5:14am
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Newbie1A Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2020 at 6:32am
OMGosh...if that is true - we are all so screwed...so hoping (praying!!!) this turns out to be wrong when peer reviewed...
There is just so many things about this virus that screams bioweapon to me - scary stuff!
If it's to be - it's up to me!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ME163 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2020 at 7:20am
if this is true then the world is truly screwed.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote KiminNM Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2020 at 7:43am
Here's the research piece this article is based on https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.06.20020974v1

Spacing and bolding are mine. There's a 30 page PDF that I'm about to look through to see if there is more mention of the 24 day instance(s).

Abstract
Background: Since December 2019, acute respiratory disease (ARD) due to 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) emerged in Wuhan city and rapidly spread throughout China. We sought to delineate the clinical characteristics of these cases. Methods: We extracted the data on 1,099 patients with laboratory-confirmed 2019-nCoV ARD from 552 hospitals in 31 provinces/provincial municipalities through January 29th, 2020. Results: The median age was 47.0 years, and 41.90% were females. Only 1.18% of patients had a direct contact with wildlife, whereas 31.30% had been to Wuhan and 71.80% had contacted with people from Wuhan. Fever (87.9%) and cough (67.7%) were the most common symptoms. Diarrhea is uncommon.

The median incubation period was 3.0 days (range, 0 to 24.0 days).

On admission, ground-glass opacity was the typical radiological finding on chest computed tomography (50.00%). Significantly more severe cases were diagnosed by symptoms plus reverse-transcriptase polymerase-chain-reaction without abnormal radiological findings than non-severe cases (23.87% vs. 5.20%, P<0.001). Lymphopenia was observed in 82.1% of patients. 55 patients (5.00%) were admitted to intensive care unit and 15 (1.36%) succumbed. Severe pneumonia was independently associated with either the admission to intensive care unit, mechanical ventilation, or death in multivariate competing-risk model (sub-distribution hazards ratio, 9.80; 95% confidence interval, 4.06 to 23.67). Conclusions: The 2019-nCoV epidemic spreads rapidly by human-to-human transmission. Normal radiologic findings are present among some patients with 2019-nCoV infection. The disease severity (including oxygen saturation, respiratory rate, blood leukocyte/lymphocyte count and chest X-ray/CT manifestations) predict poor clinical outcomes.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote KiminNM Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2020 at 7:50am
Nothing more in the PDF, other than it is mentioned multiple times, so it's not a typo.

As I was searching about it I was listening to the WHO press briefing and someone asked about it. Response was (paraphrased) "yes we're aware of it, only one study, not going to change anything at this time"
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote AI Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2020 at 9:23pm
Wonder how this plays out as far as those quarantined at March Field are concerned. Their 2 weeks is up tomorrow.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cobber Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2020 at 11:06pm
Wow. That's interesting. I read somewhere today that a child was reported to have a three day incubation.

Unpredictable.

This virus is weird!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cobber Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2020 at 11:10pm
Sorry not a child. A 27 year old with three day incubation.

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2001272?query=featured_home
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cobber Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2020 at 11:24pm
Sorry that link wont work. I don't understand why.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 11 2020 at 2:19am
The link is fixed now! 'And I'm preening - I managed to sort a computerish problem out! ๐ŸŽ‰ ๐ŸŽˆ ๐ŸŽ‡๐Ÿงจ๐ŸŽ†

The instructions to the system go inside brackets like [this].
for some reason the first one read URL=20% in stead of URL YAY!
How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving.
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