Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
could have incubation period of 24 days |
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Albert
Admin Joined: April 24 2006 Status: Offline Points: 47746 |
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Posted: February 10 2020 at 5:14am |
Coronavirus could have incubation period of 24 days โ 10 days longer than previously thought https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/coronavirus-incubation-period-symptoms-china-sars-length-days-time-a9326591.html?fbclid=IwAR1PsTt9-qqRXsSYDyBtxxDFfC570MOt40B3m6foQPEMAHYp5O0MWXqh1CI |
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Newbie1A
Adviser Group Joined: January 26 2018 Location: Alberta Status: Offline Points: 11180 |
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OMGosh...if that is true - we are all so screwed...so hoping (praying!!!) this turns out to be wrong when peer reviewed...
There is just so many things about this virus that screams bioweapon to me - scary stuff! |
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If it's to be - it's up to me!
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ME163
Admin Group Joined: September 16 2006 Status: Offline Points: 4552 |
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if this is true then the world is truly screwed.
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KiminNM
V.I.P. Member Joined: January 22 2020 Location: NM Status: Offline Points: 6605 |
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Here's the research piece this article is based on https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.06.20020974v1
Spacing and bolding are mine. There's a 30 page PDF that I'm about to look through to see if there is more mention of the 24 day instance(s). Abstract Background: Since December 2019, acute respiratory disease (ARD) due to 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) emerged in Wuhan city and rapidly spread throughout China. We sought to delineate the clinical characteristics of these cases. Methods: We extracted the data on 1,099 patients with laboratory-confirmed 2019-nCoV ARD from 552 hospitals in 31 provinces/provincial municipalities through January 29th, 2020. Results: The median age was 47.0 years, and 41.90% were females. Only 1.18% of patients had a direct contact with wildlife, whereas 31.30% had been to Wuhan and 71.80% had contacted with people from Wuhan. Fever (87.9%) and cough (67.7%) were the most common symptoms. Diarrhea is uncommon. The median incubation period was 3.0 days (range, 0 to 24.0 days). On admission, ground-glass opacity was the typical radiological finding on chest computed tomography (50.00%). Significantly more severe cases were diagnosed by symptoms plus reverse-transcriptase polymerase-chain-reaction without abnormal radiological findings than non-severe cases (23.87% vs. 5.20%, P<0.001). Lymphopenia was observed in 82.1% of patients. 55 patients (5.00%) were admitted to intensive care unit and 15 (1.36%) succumbed. Severe pneumonia was independently associated with either the admission to intensive care unit, mechanical ventilation, or death in multivariate competing-risk model (sub-distribution hazards ratio, 9.80; 95% confidence interval, 4.06 to 23.67). Conclusions: The 2019-nCoV epidemic spreads rapidly by human-to-human transmission. Normal radiologic findings are present among some patients with 2019-nCoV infection. The disease severity (including oxygen saturation, respiratory rate, blood leukocyte/lymphocyte count and chest X-ray/CT manifestations) predict poor clinical outcomes. |
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KiminNM
V.I.P. Member Joined: January 22 2020 Location: NM Status: Offline Points: 6605 |
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Nothing more in the PDF, other than it is mentioned multiple times, so it's not a typo.
As I was searching about it I was listening to the WHO press briefing and someone asked about it. Response was (paraphrased) "yes we're aware of it, only one study, not going to change anything at this time" |
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AI
Adviser Group Joined: January 21 2020 Status: Offline Points: 8850 |
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Wonder how this plays out as far as those quarantined at March Field are concerned. Their 2 weeks is up tomorrow.
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cobber
Admin Group Joined: August 13 2014 Status: Offline Points: 6035 |
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Wow. That's interesting. I read somewhere today that a child was reported to have a three day incubation.
Unpredictable. This virus is weird! |
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cobber
Admin Group Joined: August 13 2014 Status: Offline Points: 6035 |
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Sorry not a child. A 27 year old with three day incubation.
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2001272?query=featured_home |
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cobber
Admin Group Joined: August 13 2014 Status: Offline Points: 6035 |
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Sorry that link wont work. I don't understand why.
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Technophobe
Assistant Admin Joined: January 16 2014 Location: Scotland Status: Offline Points: 88450 |
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The link is fixed now! 'And I'm preening - I managed to sort a computerish problem out! ๐ ๐ ๐๐งจ๐
The instructions to the system go inside brackets like [this]. for some reason the first one read URL=20% in stead of URL YAY! |
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How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving. |
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