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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

Flu Outbreak Australia June- Nov 2015
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Jen147 View Drop Down
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Points: 17144 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Jen147 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 03 2015 at 7:17pm
What about the shot this year? Is it last years rerun?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 03 2015 at 8:07pm
Jen147 that is why I asked what strains are running in the southern hemisphere this flu season. Rickster58 do you know what strains you had this flu season?
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Points: 4875 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote rickster58 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 04 2015 at 2:14am
Hi FluMom

This years vaccine provided protection against the following three stains:

Influenza A California,
Influenza A Switzerland and
Influenza B Phuket.

The strain that is doing all the damage is B Brisbane flu which was in the vaccine 2 years ago
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Points: 23322 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Medclinician Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 12 2015 at 8:09am
http://isg.org.au/index.php/influenza-activity-surveillance/

Influenza Activity + Surveillance

Surveillance of Influenza activity in Australia & New Zealand

This report provides a summary of surveillance data collected from around Australia and New Zealand. Regional reporting in some areas ceases when flu activity is low (out of season).

Please note that the vast majority of people do not get tested for influenza and that there may also be some delays in reporting confirmed influenza cases. Therefore data presented here maybe underestimating influenza activity.

Australia

Commonwealth Department of Health & Ageing

There have been a total of 67,249 laboratory confirmed notifications of Influenza in Australia at the end of 10 September 2015.

•    QLD: 21,631
•    NSW: 20,322
•    WA: 4,133
•    SA: 11,217
•    VIC: 7,751
•    ACT: 986
•    NT: 269
•    TAS: 940

This is more than double the cases from  a report I generated using the Australian National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System  today of 27,523 cases from data ending July 31st 2015.

http://www9.health.gov.au/cda/source/rpt_1_sel_a.cfm

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Points: 23322 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Medclinician Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 14 2015 at 9:40am
http://isg.org.au/index.php/influenza-activity-surveillance/

Commonwealth Department of Health & Ageing

There have been a total of 71,528 laboratory confirmed notifications of Influenza in Australia at the end of 14 September 2015.

•    QLD:  22,528
•    NSW: 22,323
•    WA:      4,293
•    SA:     11,922
•    VIC:      8,151
•    ACT:     1,015
•    NT:          279
•    TAS:     1,017

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comment: It's not over
"not if but when" the original Medclinician
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Points: 23322 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Medclinician Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 25 2015 at 6:34am
It has been nearly impossible for me to get flu data from Australia. According to this map put out by WHO more than 30% of the people tested in Australia have the flu.

Is this true? Need some help here Aussies.

http://www.who.int/influenza/surveillance_monitoring/updates/2015_09_21_influenza_update_246.jpg?ua=1



comment: looks like 30% to me? What do you think? Why are we not hearing more about this in the media?

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Points: 23322 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Medclinician Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 26 2015 at 11:13am
In Australia, influenza activity seemed to be past the peak except in South Australia where it continued to rise with predominantly influenza B viruses followed by influenza A(H3N2) virus detections. In New Zealand, influenza activity may have peaked in the second week of August with influenza A(H3N2) and B viruses predominating during the season. ILI activity was still above the seasonal threshold but below the alert threshold.

comment: As was noted before according to the latest WHO figures, 30% of those tested in Australia have the with the B viruses accounting for the most cases.

The Flu season in Australia should be winding down and for it still to be this high is significant.

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Points: 23322 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Medclinician Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 19 2015 at 9:46am
Update October 19, 2015

http://isg.org.au/index.php/influenza-activity-surveillance/

Influenza Activity + Surveillance

Surveillance of Influenza activity in Australia & New Zealand

This report provides a summary of surveillance data collected from around Australia and New Zealand. Regional reporting in some areas ceases when flu activity is low (out of season).

Please note that the vast majority of people do not get tested for influenza and that there may also be some delays in reporting confirmed influenza cases. Therefore data presented here maybe underestimating influenza activity.

Australia

Commonwealth Department of Health & Ageing

There have been a total of 90,372 laboratory confirmed notifications of Influenza in Australia at the end of 19 October 2015.

•    QLD:  26,994
•    NSW: 29,244
•    WA:      5,539
•    SA:     15,134
•    VIC:    10,461
•    ACT:     1,152
•    NT:          477
•    TAS:     1,371

comment: I still can't get any real solid figures on the recent outbreak in New Zealand.

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Points: 23322 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Medclinician Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 21 2015 at 8:58pm
http://www.who.int/influenza/surveillance_monitoring/updates/2015_10_19_influenza_update_248.jpg?ua=1

Sometimes it really seems I am the only one on the net tracking this. This current
October 15, 2015 with still 30% of the specimens in Australia positive for flu.
This is a WHO map quite different from what is being put out there as to the flu season
winding down.

A large part of this is B strain - could use some help here in explaining why we are
seeing these numbers if the outbreak is over.

this is what is coming out of Australia reports
http://isg.org.au/index.php/influenza-activity-surveillance/

Laboratory surveillance – the proportion of respiratory samples positive for influenza was moderate at 12.4%, and continues to trend down.

I am seeing 21-30% on this WHO map. Any comments from Kiwis as to the recent flu levels? It looks from the map you may be seeing A H3 there.

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Points: 23322 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Medclinician Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 12 2015 at 3:45pm
Update - Nov 8, 2015
http://isg.org.au/index.php/influenza-activity-surveillance/

Influenza Activity + Surveillance

Surveillance of Influenza activity in Australia & New Zealand

This report provides a summary of surveillance data collected from around Australia and New Zealand. Regional reporting in some areas ceases when flu activity is low (out of season).

Please note that the vast majority of people do not get tested for influenza and that there may also be some delays in reporting confirmed influenza cases. Therefore data presented here maybe underestimating influenza activity.

Australia

Commonwealth Department of Health & Ageing

There have been a total of 93,497 laboratory confirmed notifications of Influenza in Australia at the end of 8 November 2015.

•    QLD:  27,473
•    NSW: 29,821
•    WA:      5,745
•    SA:     15,466
•    VIC:    11,867
•    ACT:     1,173
•    NT:          548
•    TAS:     1,404

Influenza A and B strains are continuing to circulate at low levels.

Influenza activity is likely to remain at low levels until the winter of 2016.

It isn't over. The flu did not stop and although it is lower - it is not closely monitored after the last report.

Medclinician
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