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PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

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    Posted: September 14 2006 at 8:20pm
Zoom in Zoom out Print 2006/09/15 11:35 KST

S. Korea confirms additional human bird flu contamination

SEOUL, Sept. 15 (Yonhap) -- South Korea's disease control agency confirmed Friday that five people have developed antibodies to the lethal H5N1 strain of bird flu after taking part in the slaughtering and disposal of infected chickens and ducks.

The five people tested positive for bird flu antibodies, but none of them have shown symptoms of the disease as defined by the World Health Organization (WHO), the Korea Center for Disease Control and Prevention (KCDC) said.

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Are they able to spread it like Typhoid Mary?
.........................................................................
 
 
 
carrier. Is a person who is infected with an agent that causes a disease who shows no sign of illness.
 
Asymptomatic carriers shed the causative agent, such as a virus or bacteria, and so can pass the disease on to others.
 
The most famous asymptomatic carrier was Mary Mallon, or Typhoid Mary.
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 the "typhoid Mary’s"—

More Here...

http://www.healthinschools.org/ejournal/2005/dec_print.htm

But a decision about whether or not to vaccinate children has another dimension, as well. It is believed that children are vectors—the "typhoid Mary’s"—of the influenza virus, harboring and transmitting the virus to adults with whom they come into contact, even if the children themselves are not ill. If that is the case, the argument goes, the logical way to stop the spread of a deadly influenza would be to vaccinate children.

 

Health and Health Care in Schools
Vol 6, No 8 - December 2005


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Children and Influenza

A plan for controlling a possible influenza pandemic published by the federal Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) in November is silent on one important point—if a vaccine is developed against a potentially deadly influenza strain, who will receive it? Will public health officials and care providers be told to give the vaccine to the elderly, on the grounds that they are most likely to experience complications if they contract the flu? Or is it possible that the vaccine—which is sure to be scarce in the early days of a pandemic--might be used instead to immunize children, on the theory that medicine has an obligation to "save the future generation"?

The most deadly flu pandemic in recent times was the 1919 "Spanish flu" which killed millions of people worldwide in the years following World War I. That strain of the flu seemed to target healthy young and middle-aged persons, and widespread infections began with young men in the military services. Whether a new strain of the influenza virus would behave the same way is unknown, but the avian flu now circulating in the Far East has already claimed several child victims, some as young as seven years, making it thinkable that a pandemic would seriously affect children worldwide.

That children can become very ill and even die from complications of influenza was indicated in a report published in the November 2 issue of the Journal of the American Medical Association, in which researchers looked at the hospital records of children who were hospitalized with community-acquired, laboratory-confirmed influenza in Philadelphia in the years 2000-2004. Some of the children in the study had underlying conditions such as asthma, chronic pulmonary disease, cardiac disease, and neurological and neuromuscular disorders that may have made their conditions more precarious, but others had been previously healthy. For all of the children, the researchers found the most common complication of influenza to be respiratory failure, followed in some cases by cardiac arrest and death.

But a decision about whether or not to vaccinate children has another dimension, as well. It is believed that children are vectors—the "typhoid Mary’s"—of the influenza virus, harboring and transmitting the virus to adults with whom they come into contact, even if the children themselves are not ill. If that is the case, the argument goes, the logical way to stop the spread of a deadly influenza would be to vaccinate children. And since a vaccine would not be immediately available at the start of a pandemic, it would seem logical in the meantime to close schools, day care centers, libraries, and other sites where children and adults meet.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) acknowledges that there will be a time lag after the onset of a pandemic before a vaccine is available. That’s because we won’t know before we see it what strain of the influenza virus is causing the pandemic, and once we know, it will take at least six months to produce a vaccine, using current laboratory techniques that involve cultivating flu vaccines in chicken eggs, a time-consuming process. The CDC has conceded that in the interval between onset of a pandemic and the availability of a vaccine, many people, including children, will become ill and an unpredictable number will die.

During that time, the CDC is recommending that people take anti-viral medications that may limit the severity of the influenza. The most prominently mentioned of those medications is Tamiflu (oseltamivir phosphate), and the federal government has said it is stockpiling enough supplies of that product to treat one-quarter of the U.S. population. While it has not been studied specifically for use in a pandemic, Tamiflu is currently approved for the treatment of uncomplicated influenza A and B in patients one year of age and older and for possible prophylaxis of persons 13 and older at high risk of exposure in a normal influenza season. The drug acts by blocking the viral enzyme neuraminidsae, which helps the influenza vaccine invade cells in the respiratory tract. It’s available in both capsule and liquid formulations and is dosed according to body weight in younger children, with older children (over 88 pounds) and adolescents receiving the same dose as adults. When used twice daily for five days, Tamiflu can reduce the duration of influenza symptoms in otherwise healthy children by one to one-and-a-half days, allowing children to return to school sooner.

A federal Food and Drug Administration (FDA) meeting November 18 to review possible adverse effects of drugs that have been given extended copyright protection because the makers are conducting pediatric clinical trials, was told of pediatric deaths, serious skin reactions, and neuropsychiatric events from Tamiflu, reported almost entirely in children from Japan, where dosage recommendations are similar to those in the United States. The FDA said it has requested additional information from both Hoffman-LaRoche, the pharmaceutical company that produces Tamiflu, and the Japanese Ministry of Health and is evaluating possible reasons for the reported adverse events, which have prompted nationwide surveillance of Tamiflu in children in Japan, which currently uses the majority of the world’s supply of Tamiflu for treatment of seasonal influenza. The FDA said it is concerned to know whether the Japanese effects might be seen in this country, as well, if use of Tamiflu increases here, but at the moment there is no additional restriction on prescription of the drug.

The Plan

Here are excerpts from the "HHS Pandemic Preparation Plan" published in November.

A pandemic occurs when a novel influenza virus emerges that can infect and be efficiently transmitted among individuals because of a lack of pre-existing immunity in the population. The extent and severity of the pandemic depends on the specific characteristics of the virus. Although a novel influenza virus could emerge from anywhere in the world at any time, scientists are particularly concerned about the avian influenza (H5N1) currently circulating in Asia and parts of Europe. The H5N1 avian influenza virus is widespread in the region and has become endemic in migratory birds and several other animal species. As of October 2005, cases of human H5N1 infection have been reported in Thailand, Vietnam, Cambodia, and Indonesia. The reported death rate for these cases has been 50 percent.

Sustained human-to-human transmission anywhere in the world will be the triggering event to initiate a pandemic response by the United States. When possible and appropriate, protective public health measures will be employed to reduce person-to-person viral transmission and to prevent or delay influenza outbreaks. At the onset of a pandemic, vaccine, which will initially be in short supply, will be procured by HHS and distributed to state and local health departments for immunization of pre-determined priority groups. At the onset of a pandemic, antiviral drugs from public stockpiles will be distributed to health care providers for administration to pre-determined priority groups. HHS will work with state and local governments to develop guidelines and operational plans for distribution of available supplies of a pandemic vaccine and antiviral drugs.

The full text of "HHS Pandemic Influenza Plan" is available online at http://www.hhs.gov/pandemicflu/plan.

See also Flu Season and Schools at http://www.healthinschools.org/sh/influenza.asp and Avian Flu Fact Sheet at http://www.healthinschools.org/sh/Avianflu.asp.

Experts Cite Physical Activity as Key in Preventing Childhood Obesity

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S. Korea confirms additional human bird flu contamination
 
South Korea's disease control agency confirmed Friday that five people have developed antibodies to the lethal H5N1 strain of bird flu after taking part in the slaughtering and disposal of infected chickens and ducks.

The five people tested positive for bird flu antibodies, but none of them have shown symptoms of the disease as defined by the World Health Organization (WHO), the Korea Center for Disease Control and Prevention (KCDC) said.

There is no chance they could spread the disease to others, it said, adding the workers were probably exposed to the bird flu virus in late 2003 through March 2004. The announcement raises the number of South Koreans that developed antibodies to the H5N1 strain to nine.

The state-run agency confirmed four cases in February. "There are no public health risks and no need for people to not consume poultry or eggs," a KCDC spokesman said. The affected people were given the antiviral drug Tamiflu beforehand to guard against infection. People close to the five have also been checked and none have been found to be infected, he added.


South Korea remains a bird flu clean zone and people were free to eat chickens, ducks and eggs, the spokesman said.

In 2003-2004, South Korea had to dispose of a large number of chickens and ducks when the H5N1 strain swept through the country.

The South Korean government destroyed 5.3 million birds in the outbreak at a cost of about 1 trillion (US$1.04 billion) won to prevent the spread of the disease.

The latest discovery was made as it cross-examined blood serum from about 2,109 people who took part in the cleanup operations.

Of these, 142 people who ran the most risk were tested in 2004, while 318 who were less likely to have been infected were screened in 2005.

No South Koreas have fallen sick or died from the H5N1 strain of the virus so far, but the flu has killed people in such countries as Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Thailand and Vietnam.

Seoul, Sept. 15 (Yonhap News)

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WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?  Good and bad.
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North Korea will probably harvest the bird flu and use it as a WMD!!!


When the going gets weird, the weird turns pro. -HST
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jofg Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 15 2006 at 11:56am
Excuse my ignorance but if "people have developed antibodies to the lethal H5N1 strain of bird flu" doesn't that mean that they were infected and recovered?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote emmajones Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 15 2006 at 11:57am
I read a novel recently called "Pandemic" in which that actually happened - a terrorist created a superbug and then recruited the equivalent of suicide bombers who deliberately caught the bug and flew to various cities to infect as many people as possible before they died. Not too long ago I would have laughed at the scenario, now it seems all too real.    
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote emmajones Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 15 2006 at 11:59am
Hmmm, not sure. We receive vaccinations and don't get the illness but we have antibodies to it, don't we? Correct me if I'm wrong, somebody. Is getting a vaccination the same as getting infected?    
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 15 2006 at 3:57pm
Ok.  If we are finding people with antibodies to the current strain that must mean there are lots of unreported cases and the virus isn't as deadly as we thought.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 15 2006 at 8:11pm
 
"Hmmm, not sure. We receive vaccinations and don't get the illness but we have antibodies to it, don't we? Correct me if I'm wrong, somebody. Is getting a vaccination the same as getting infected?" (from  emmajones )  
..............................................................................................................
 
3. Targeted vaccination with currently available vaccines:
 
stockpiling of the current H5N1 strain vaccine
 
prior to pandemic, prime populations with current H5N1 strain vaccine; at time of pandemic, follow with booster vaccine made from strain specific pandemic virus; may induce sufficient immunity.
......................................................................................................
 
We know they have a vaccine....are they, or how widely are they using it?
 
Just who are they targeting?  What populations? 
 
No wonder those people are hiding....  RUN! 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 15 2006 at 9:01pm
Originally posted by jofg jofg wrote:

Excuse my ignorance but if "people have developed antibodies to the lethal H5N1 strain of bird flu" doesn't that mean that they were infected and recovered?
 
Not necessarily. To get sick you have to get enough of the virus in your system to make you sick. This is called the innoculation rate, that is, how many of a given virus has to get into your body to overwhelm your immune system. Initially you won't have specific antibodies, but if the virus doesn't overwhelm your 'generic antibodies' then your body will destroy the virus and make specific antibodies.
 
Different virus's have different rates. So, if the people doing the culling were getting small enough amounts of virus in their systems, but not enough to make them sick, then they would form antibodies but not actually get sick. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 15 2006 at 9:26pm
The article states that these people probably became infected sometime during a 2003-2004 outbreak.  It also says that "the affected people were given the antiviral drug Tamiflu beforehand to guard against infection."  Are they thinking Tamiflu totally prevented the symptoms? Have they studied Tamiflu as a preventative? It would also be interesting to know what particular strain (sequence) was circulating and if the same one is now resistant to Tamiflu. Have they tested people in the general population?  In other words (WHO, are you listening?) keep the data coming!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 17 2006 at 8:47pm
gettingready... all good questions.   I'm too tired right now for more searching.  anyone?
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