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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

ENGLAND - SWAN Deaths a mystery

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    Posted: February 06 2006 at 11:33am
Swan deaths still a mystery - 2:16   24/1/2006

Seventeen swans from Southport’s Marine Lake have now been reported
dead following a mystery illness.
Thirty-three swans have been taken from the lake so far to Stapely
Grange Wildlife Hospital. Sixteen are still alive but ill.

A spokesman for the RSPCA said: “Over the weekend and into the
beginning of this week we have continued to remove sick and dead swans
from the lake.

“At this time the cause of the deaths is still unknown. Tests for lead, zinc
and arsenic poisoning have come back negative – as have tests for avian
botulism. Tests for bacterial or viral infection in the water will now be
carried out.

“A conservative estimate suggests there are around 140 swans on the
lake.

“The RSPCA intends to concentrate its efforts on removing the sick birds.
As swans on the lake may be infectious, despite displaying no signs of
illness, it is not practical to remove any outwardly healthy birds.

John Golby, of Southport Swan Rescue, said: “I am out there for about 10
hours a day. It is heartbreaking pulling dead swans from the lake, but we
have no choice but to get on with it.

“The backing of the RSPCA on this is very much appreciated, and I pray
they find the cause soon.”


http://www.championline.net/newchamp/newsdesk/news_story.asp ?
id=4627
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote wannago Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 06 2006 at 2:38pm
Hi
Southport is my home town and I read about this poisoning last year.  It was put down to lead poisoning at the time.  The Marine Lake is a man made tidal enclosure of salt water (refreshed every time the tide comes in) used for recreational boating and has always had a reputation for being contaminated.  Strange that it should now make the news.  Are Swans more succeptable?
wannago
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 06 2006 at 3:21pm


"Tests for bacterial or viral infection in the water will now be
carried out. " (England - dead swans)

I scratch my head when I hear that dozens of people where put
into special hospital isolation chambers, in the same country, a few
months earlier.

We'll have to wait for the results of the tests from 24/1/2006
in England. Since they ruled out chemical toxins, it must be either
bacterial and or viral? Time will tell.


* I think a Swan in Bulgaria was reported to have "hindleg paralysis"
   a red flag for H5. No other virus has been shown to cause this,
   according to the expert. They also mentioned removing sick British   
   swans which would suggest they were not moving in a normal fashion.
   It would be good to know if there was any hindleg paralysis and why.
   

Edited by Rick
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote elbows Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 06 2006 at 7:30pm
Hospital isolation chambers in which country, England? Where did you hear that, or apologies if Ive misunderstood you.

Photos and map of Lake show its not exactly a lake in the middle of nowhere, its very close to local population:

http://www.photo-digital.co.uk/england/lancashire/southport/ southport%20pier%20and%20marine%20lake%20aerial.htm

http://www.multimap.com/map/browse.cgi?X=332000&Y=417000 &width=700&height=400&client=public&gride=&a mp;a mp;gridn=&srec=0&coordsys=gb&addr1=&addr2=&a mp;a mp;addr3=&pc=&advanced=&local=&scale=25000&a mp;a mp;up.x=11&up.y=10


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Online Sun - Monday, February 6, 2006 - England

"TWENTY people have had urgent oxygen-tent treatment in Britain for
suspected bird flu, it emerged last night.They were treated in the past six
months as the bug spread from Asia to Turkey.

The patients were put in sealed oxygen chambers to isolate possible
contamination while they were assessed.

From the moment they entered hospital they were subject to special
measures. They were met at the doors after being sent by worried GPs
and ushered to isolation areas.

Medics in special masks, eye protection and gowns took blood samples
for analysis.

"The patients were then kept in the “negative pressure” oxygen chambers.

These have lower air pressure inside than out — stopping infections
escaping.All those tested for the H5N1 strain of bird flu were negative,
the Department of Health confirmed.

A spokeswoman said: “Since last June we have had 20 negatives, from
people visiting Vietnam, Thailand and China or people with families in
those areas. They will have felt unwell and gone to the doctor."


http://
www.thesun.co.uk/article/0,,2-2006040257,00.html


Edited by Rick
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote elbows Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 06 2006 at 8:05pm
Thanks for the info :)

Its vaguely reassuring in a way, at least the potential cases were treated seriously. I guess they only ended up being bird flu suspects in the first place due to the countries they had recently visited. It shows some awareness amoungst at least some GPs and members of the public, better safe than sorry at this stage.

I dont see any way to link the swan deaths (or any other UK birds) to the isolation cases really, and the only other reported UK H5N1 incident I can think of so far was the dead Parrot (& a few other bids) in Quarantine last year. So I will avoid going into full panic mode just yet.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 06 2006 at 8:23pm


"I dont see any way to link the swan deaths (or any other
UK birds) to the isolation cases really, and the only other reported UK
H5N1 incident "

If you read more in the coming days, you may change your opinion. What
this suggests to me is that the authorities were concerned, long before
the public knew. My question is, why that concern was not shared in light
of recent events. Many of the events unfolding currently, have as much to
do with politics and money, as they do with science and public health.

Read any postings about the Spanish Flu and responses by authorities to
gain some further insights.

The only foolish question, is no one that remains unasked.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 06 2006 at 8:25pm
Posted: 05 February 2006 at 11:13pm | IP Logged     

"but they are not making any preparations to
prepare for a major outbreak of the bird flu."
-----

"The first reaction of the authorities was, for many of the
most important ones, just flat-out denial. This was simply too large an
event for them to deal with, not only in policy, but to even to think about
constructively.

This was simply too big for them to take in as fast as they
needed to take it in. If it had been a slow-moving epidemic, maybe they
would have had a month, two months to realize, yeah, it really is
happening out there. Instead, down the telegraph wires would come
these almost unbelievable stories.

If they were believable you're supposed to do
something, if they were unbelievable, you didn't have to do anything. A
lot of health officers were, and a lot of politicians to whom the health
officers would have to con, people they'd have to convince, preferred not
to face it.

Excerpts from PBS 1918 Spanish Flu documentary.

http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/amex/influenza/filmmore/reference/
interview/drcrosby3.html
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Angel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 07 2006 at 5:57am

Rick...I have a friend who lives in Southport England.  My husband and I visited her not to long ago and she drove us to some large body of water but I can't remember the name.  I am going to try to call her tonight when I get home from work to see what her take is on all this.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 07 2006 at 6:47am


Angel,

Let us know if you find anything out. Thanks
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote elbows Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 07 2006 at 11:05am
For sure I expect there to be coverups, denials, wishful thinking, panic prevention measures etc, and I expect H5N1 will end up in birds in the UK if it isnt already here. But that doesnt mean Im going to go joining every single dot, because that will surely create a picture as distorted as the opposite extreme from the WHO and others.

Its good to question, its fine to speculate, Ive been reading recombinomics stuff for ages and a lot of it makes sense and has been vindicated over time.

But that doesnt mean I see a direct link between the dead swans and the 20 people in isolation after visiting countries with endemic bird flu. The only links are that its the same country, the same disease.

So yeah I want to know more about the swans and their symptoms. I would have to assume for now that none of the 20 people actually had H5N1, even if the testing was unreliable, as there were no reported deaths. For sure I would like more information on how sick they were, and whether they were from one location in the UK or from all over the place.

When I said I was reassured, its because they were placed in isolation as a precaution, which shows that some GPs at least as prepared to 'think the unthinkable'.

Anyway Im not meaning to have a go at you, just trying to walk a fine line between complacency and scaremongering. Yes politics & money can get in the way of humanity tackling the problem properly, but public health wont benefit from prematurely declaration of a pandemic either. Panic itself is enough to cause many of the societal and infrastructure problems that will jeopardise human life. So whilst the WHO & friends may announce far too late that the pandemic has arrived, I dont want to be party to making the equally bad mistake of announcing it before its actually arrived.
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