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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

Flu Shuts Sydney Hospitals Emergency Department

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    Posted: August 18 2007 at 12:56pm

Exclusive by Joe Hildebrand and Clare Masters

August 18, 2007 12:00am

AS the flu epidemic continues to cripple the state's health system, an entire Sydney emergency department has been shut down because the private hospital's operators failed to maintain staff levels.

Private patients in The Hills district are now being shunted into the overloaded public system, which is already buckling under more than 3000 extra suspected flu cases flooding emergency departments in the past week alone.

The crisis comes as yet another person, a South Australian health worker, has died after being infected with the killer influenza A virus sweeping the country.

The Daily Telegraph can also reveal that a Sydney doctor is in intensive care at North Shore Private Hospital after catching influenza A.

Adding even further to the health system's woes, there has been an outbreak of a superbug at Bankstown Hospital's intensive care unit.

The Hills Private Hospital is now being investigated by the State Government to determine if it has breached its licence by failing to keep its emergency department open amid one of the worst flu epidemics in more than 20 years.

Documents obtained by The Daily Telegraph reveal that the hospital asked ambulances to bypass its emergency department on Monday because they did not have enough staff.

It is understood ambulance service CEO Greg Rochford told the hospital's CEO Stephen Tameren ambulances had cancelled all emergency services to the hospital until further notice.

The Hills emergency department was crippled after a doctor called in sick and the hospital was unable to find a replacement for him.

The hospital claims the department is now fully staffed and operational but the ambulance service refuses to take patients there because it does not consider the emergency department reliable.

Meanwhile, NSW Health data released yesterday reveals the flu infection rate has skyrocketed by more than 50 per cent from 5.5 people per 1000 presenting symptoms to 8.7 per 1000 in the past two weeks, with 23,400 presentations in the past week.

At Bankstown Hospital, five people have been quarantined after contracting a superbug in the ICU, causing a critical bed shortage.

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The 1918-19 flu pandemic in Australia

The following article from A History of the Pharmacy Board of New South Wales by Dr Gregory Haines, published by the Pharmacy Board of New South Wales and the Australian Pharmaceutical Publishing Company (1997), is reproduced with the kind permission of Dr Haines and the Pharmacy Board of New South Wales.  

Before the emergency of the Great War had passed, a new crisis which would fully engage pharmacists had already begun to show itself. The winter of 1918 saw a sudden increase in the incidence of influenza in New South Wales. This was the prelude to the 1919 influenza pandemic which was to claim 6387 lives in the state. The death rate was about to frighten and generate enormous alarm: for each 100,000 people in the population, 319 were going to die.

Just over half of all Australian deaths due to the 1919 influenza pandemic were recorded in New South Wales. The state government took initial steps in 1918 to try to prevent the spread of the anticipated outbreak of the disease. Health authorities had been aware of the influenza outbreaks in Europe and Britain from July 1918. At that stage, what became known as Spanish Influenza was not exhibiting unusual virulence, though its spread was anticipated.

The government made the wearing of masks compulsory in shops, hotels, churches, theatres and on public transport in the populous parts of the state. Those who had become infected were to be isolated and quarantine rules were tightened. Price control on treatments for influenza was enforced and one Sydney pharmacist was severely fined in October 1918 when he was found to have overcharged. In December 1918, representatives of the Pharmaceutical Society and the medical association met and formulated a stock mixture and a solid inhalation for use should the disease spread into Sydney from North Head Quarantine Station.

Early in 1919 the government strengthened its public health measures. It insisted on the use of masks. Libraries, reading rooms, theatres, music halls, auction rooms and billiard rooms and indoor or outdoor church services within the County of Cumberland were prohibited. Space regulations limited the number of people able to gather in shops, hotels, tea rooms and restaurants. Shops were forbidden to hold crowd-attracting bargain or clearance sales. Travel on long-distance trains was restricted and quarantine regulations were further tightened. Troops returning from the war were quarantined at North Head and the Sydney Cricket Ground.

The epidemic peaked in the winter of 1919 and abated by the February of the following year. While it lasted, the influenza pandemic increased work and risk for those engaged in pharmacy. It also prevented or limited the activities of pharmacy organisations, either by preventing their meetings or by robbing erstwhile participants of energy. The Australasian Pharmaceutical Conference, which had not met since 1913, thanks to the war, did not gather until 1921, due to the pandemic.

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http://www.who.int/csr/disease/avian_influenza/RapidContProtMay07.pdf
 
 
Also see page 9 "When to Initiate Containment"
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Mother ninth victim of Australia flu outbreak

New 1:00PM Sunday August 19, 2007

BRISBANE - The influenza outbreak sweeping Australia has now claimed nine victims, including a Queensland woman who died just two days after showing the first symptoms.

Mother-of-two Deborah Miller, 33, of Caboolture, north of Brisbane, died last Sunday after being rushed to hospital, Queensland's The Sunday Mail newspaper reported today.

Ms Miller's partner Ross Colburn told the newspaper that the afternoon before she died, his wife had waved goodbye to him from their living room couch where she was watching a movie with their sons Dylan, six and Jamie, three.

He said that when he returned home that night from his shift as a Queensland Rail city train guard she was sleeping.

"She woke up and gave me a kiss and said she loved me and went back to sleep," he said.

"Early Sunday morning she woke me up and I rushed her to the hospital.

"I had to wake the boys up and they were upset and getting in the way of the doctors, so I took them home.

"I got a call from the hospital and rushed back, but it was too late. She was only sick for two days and then she was gone."

The couple believed she had just caught a cold.

However, Mr Colburn said his wife's symptoms were of the deadly strain of influenza A - fever, lethargy and coughing.

The other flu victims include a 48-year-old South Australian woman who died early on Tuesday within hours of being admitted to hospital, father-of-three Glen Kindness, 37, from Narangba, north of Brisbane, and a four-year-old Brisbane boy.

Mr Colburn said he been concerned, but his wife had assured him she was all right.

"I kept telling her to check her temperature and go to the hospital if she needed to," Mr Colburn said.

"But her temperature was only 37.3 - you can't really throw her in the car and take her to the doctor."

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'Don't panic' after eighth flu death
 
August 17, 2007 08:26am

THE South Australian Health Department has urged people not to panic after an Adelaide health worker became the eighth person to die in Australia's worst flu epidemic for five years.

The 48-year-old woman, who worked at a health clinic in the city, was admitted to the Royal Adelaide Hospital on Monday this week but died early on Tuesday morning of suspected influenza.

Six children from four states and a 37-year-old Queensland man have already died of the virus, with record infection rates reported around the country.

South Australia's health department said today that while the cause of the latest death - the first in the state linked to the disease this year - had not been confirmed, the woman had returned a positive test for influenza A.

"The death appears to have been sudden, as the woman had attended her workplace Monday morning and was sent home unwell,'' said chief medical officer Professor Chris Baggoley.

Professor Baggoley said the woman had worked at a private health clinic and people who had recently attended were being contacted.

But he urged those people and the wider community not to panic.
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Eighth victim claimed by flu

Jamie Walker and Clara Pirani | August 17, 2007

HEALTH workers were last night scrambling to contact patients of a private medical clinic after a woman, believed to be a receptionist at the centre, became the eighth person to die in the flu outbreak sweeping Australia.

The 48-year-old woman died early on Tuesday, within hours of being admitted to hospital.

Tests confirmed yesterday that she had contracted the deadly strain of influenza A.

The latest fatality - South Australia's first this flu season - came as new figures showed the number of people going to emergency wards in NSW had tripled in recent weeks.

Almost 20,000 people presented to hospital emergency wards in NSW between July 28 and August 3.

South Australian chief medical officer Chris Baggoley said yesterday that the Adelaide medical clinic was contacting all recent patients and visitors to the clinic who might have come into contact with the flu victim.

The woman had turned up to work on Monday but was sent home sick.

Professor Baggoley said her death appeared to be sudden.

He said it was important that health workers and support staff be vaccinated to protect themselves and others from flu. "I would urge the community to not panic," he said. "It's not too late to vaccinate for this flu season."

Australia's Chief Medical Officer, John Horvath, said the country was experiencing a worse-than-normal influenza season. So far this year, 3091 cases have been reported to health authorities, compared with 1213 cases for all of last year.

Parents should be on the lookout for symptoms of influenza, Professor Horvath said. These included fever, coughing and lethargy.

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Little Renato died of flu in just six hours

By Steve Gee

August 15, 2007 12:00am

AT 3.30am last Friday, worried mother Kylie Cook checked on her two-year-old son Renato, who was fighting what seemed to be a common cold.

Six hours later the Bathurst toddler was dead - the youngest victim of the killer flu strain that has swept the nation, leaving every parent fearing the worst.

Renato had slept fitfully on Thursday night, much as he had for the previous two weeks.

Mum Kylie checked his temperature at 3.30am on Friday and patted him back to sleep, hoping his cold and flu symptoms would soon clear.

After telling him she loved him, the toddler looked at her and replied: "I love you more."

By 9.30am, he was gone.

In a grim warning to all families, Renato's grieving parents yesterday told of the frightening speed at which the toddler lost his life.

"I thought it was just a cold or flu," a distraught Ms Cook said at her home in the state's Central West.

"He had a bit of a temperature and the sniffles when he went to bed so I gave him a lukewarm bath and some Panadol. He seemed okay. And then we woke to find him like that."

Tests confirmed Renato tested positive for the deadly influenza A virus that has already claimed the lives of five other children and an adult across Australia.

Ms Cook and her partner Renato Martin said their son had been sick for about two weeks and had been given a prescription of Ventolin as doctors tried to work out the exact cause of his illness.

The young couple had taken the toddler to see a family doctor early last week and there appeared to be no real change in his condition.

Renato Jr was suffering a sniffling nose and chest cough when Ms Cook put him to bed as normal about 7.30pm last Thursday.

She woke about 3.30am on Friday and went to comfort the crying toddler.

Having moved him out of his cot and into a "big boy's bed" a fortnight earlier, Ms Cook said she decided to lie with her son after he woke upset.

"We laid there for a while and he seemed okay. I told him I loved him and he looked back at me and said 'I love you more,' " she said.

"It didn't seem any worse than any other night. You just never know."

Ms Cook and Mr Martin said they woke about 9.30am to find Renato slumped in his bed and not breathing.

The couple frantically tried to revive the little boy and called an ambulance, but paramedics were unable to revive him.

"They tried to bring him back . . . they took him to the hospital and then they came out and told us they were sorry there's nothing they can do," Ms Cook said as she clutched her son's treasured Thomas the Tank Engine backpack.

The bag will be buried with the toddler on Friday.

Ms Cook should have been celebrating her 21st birthday today - but instead she will prepare for her little boy's funeral.

She said she never realised there was a more virulent strain of influenza abroad in Australia and regretted not seeking a second opinion after taking Renato to the doctor last week.

"If you are concerned about your child at all just get them checked," she said.

"If you are not happy keep going back until someone listens to you."

Ms Cook said, although there was no way of diagnosing how sick Renato was, she would carry the heartache of his loss for the rest of her life: "There is always that feeling we could have done more - that's never going to go away."

Renato is the sixth child victim of the flu this season, with five others - including three in Western Australia and one in Queensland - to die from the illness.

Two adult deaths from Influenza A have also been recorded including Queensland father-of-three Glen Kindness. Sydney father Joseph David died on July 12.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 19 2007 at 5:44am
It is truly amazing to me that I have been checking the mainstream media and am not seeing this news in the health sections.
 
We are not in The Flu Season.
 

"We assume that in a pandemic, the only vaccine available to Americans is going to be a vaccine made in America," says Bruce Gellin, director of the National Vaccine Program office in the Department of Health and Human Services. "A goal of our pandemic vaccine program is largely to ensure we have sufficient domestic capacity to meet this country's need."

This is crucial because it is widely, and reasonably, believed that every country will nationalize the vaccine within its borders should a pandemic happen. The US government can have all the paid contracts it deems necessary, but we will not be taking delivery of those orders post start of a PanFlu if the vaccine resides in some other country, even one of staunchest allies, and neither France nor Germany qualify on the staunch front.

Sanofi's existing plant, which is set to close down for renovations when the new plant goes online, churns out up to 50 million doses a year. The new one, which the company says will be ready in late 2008 or early 2009 after licensing by the Food and Drug Administration, will produce 100 million doses of vaccine for annual flu seasons.

So, in a bit over a year from now at the soonest, and more likely a year and half from now we will have the annual capacity to manufacture enough PanFlu vaccine for 50 million US citizens and residents. At the start of a moderate to severe influenza pandemic there will be somewhere upwards of 300 million folk all wanting their 2 vaccine doses.

comment: in the Pandemic in the 50's the flu spread in 4-6 weeks - coast to coast - infecting most of the population.  Exact numbers of vaccine needed pale due to the fact it is unlikely the vaccine can even be developed until the Pandemic has already begun to spread.
 

posted by Medclinician

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Flu linked to death of woman
 
 
A 74-YEAR-OLD woman has become the state's latest official death linked to influenza.

The woman, who died at an undisclosed Adelaide hospital yesterday morning, had a number of pre-existing illnesses.

The Health Department refused to give further details but said the death was not in the same category as others, as she had been "in and out of hospital for some weeks with a range of infections".

Australia's death toll from the killer influenza A virus includes nine otherwise healthy adults and children – some of whom died in a matter of hours, after the first signs of getting a cold.

South Australia's first – a 48-year-old receptionist who died at the Royal Adelaide Hospital on Tuesday – worked at a doctor's surgery in Adelaide's northern suburbs.

The Australian Medical Association revealed the region yesterday, but refused to give the surgery's location, despite earlier arguing it was wrong to censor the information.

AMA state president Dr Peter Ford said chief medical officer Professor Chris Baggoley should release the information.

"I can see you might say I might be making contradictory statements – and that's for you to do," Dr Ford said yesterday. "I think it's not up to me to divulge something that's been given to me confidentially."

In a statement to The Advertiser, the Health Department says it would not normally be notified of an elderly woman's death from influenza but health authorities are alerting the public to encourage awareness.

With at least six weeks remaining of the flu season, authorities are urging the public to get vaccinated.

Nationally, it is estimated about 1500 people die of influenza and complications each year.

 

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 19 2007 at 11:39am
As here in the UK we get seasonal flu every year - do we think that this is likely to spread around the world this winter?
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They offer official confirmation that the nation is in the grip of its worst influenza season in many years, with nine lives lost, so far.

Six children from four states have died from one of two virulent strains of influenza A virus, H3N2 or H1N1.

There have been 4422 notifications this year - three times the average in the past five years.

Queensland has had the highest number of notifications, with 2197, followed by NSW on 713, Western Australia with 603 and Victoria with 371, according to the report.

The highest rates were among 0-4 year-olds, followed by boys aged 5-9 and females aged 20-24.

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