Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
WHO H7N9 Situation updates |
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Suzi
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Posted: January 11 2014 at 1:01pm |
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nc_girl
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this link is now talking about h5n1.
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Mahshadin
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Global Alert and Response (GAR)
Alert & Response Operations Diseases Global Outbreak Alert & Response Network Biorisk Reduction Human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus – update Disease outbreak news 10 January 2014 - The Centre for Health Protection, China, Hong Kong SAR, notified WHO on 8 January 2014 of an additional laboratory-confirmed case of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus. The patient is a 65-year-old man with underlying illness. He became ill on 3 January and was admitted to hospital on 7 January with a chest infection and transferred to the intensive care unit later that day. He tested positive for avian influenza A(H7N9) virus on 8 January. The patient is currently under isolation and in a critical condition. The patient had travelled to Shenzhen, Guangdong province, with a family member from 1 to 2 January. They passed by a wet market in Shenzhen on 1 January. In Hong Kong, the patient did not enter a wet market, but may have passed a market entrance in the mornings. The patient’s close contact has remained asymptomatic and is under quarantine for 10 days since the last contact with the patient. Contact tracing for other contacts, including hospital patients as well as healthcare workers and relevant hospital visitors, are under way. The infection is considered to have occurred outside Hong Kong. The investigation is ongoing. On 9 January 2014, the National Health and Family Planning Commission of China notified WHO of an additional laboratory-confirmed case of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus. The patient is a 51 year old woman from Jiaxing City in Zhejiang Province. She became ill on 28 December and was admitted to the hospital on 6 January. She is currently in critical condition. The source of infection is still under investigation. Here Is Latest WHO Latest Update Link |
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"In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act." G Orwell
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Saskabush
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Two more cases reported on Saturday
http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/world/2014/01/12/china-reports-one-more-h7n9-bird-flu-death/ |
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Saskabush
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http://www.wantchinatimes.com/news-subclass-cnt.aspx?id=20140112000071&cid=1103
Sorry... Correct limk above |
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coyote
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World Health Organization
Global Alert and Response (GAR) Human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus – update 13 JANUARY 2014 - On 10 January 2014, the National Health and Family Planning Commission of China notified WHO of 6 additional laboratory-confirmed cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus, including 1 death. Details are as follows: [link to www.who.int] |
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Long time lurker since day one to Member.
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Suzi
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Does anyone know the total and CFR?
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Kyle
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Human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus – update
Disease outbreak news 17 JANUARY 2014 - On 15 January 2014, the National Health and Family Planning Commission of China notified WHO of four additional laboratory-confirmed cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus. Details of the cases are as follows: A 35 year old man from Shanghai who became ill on 1 January and was admitted to hospital on 12 January. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 41 year old man from Hangzhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 5 January and was admitted to hospital on 9 January and then transferred to another hospital on 12 January. He is currently in a critical condition. A 48 year old man from Foshan City, Guandong Province, who became ill on 2 January and was admitted to hospital on 12 January. He is currently in a critical condition. A 55 year old man from Dongguan City, Guandong Province, who became ill on 1 January and wrestrictions to hospital on 9 January. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. The source of infection is still under investigation. So far, there is no evidence of sustained human-to-human transmission. The Chinese government continues to take the following measures: strengthen surveillance and situation analysis; reinforce case management and treatment; conduct risk communication with the public and release information; strengthen international collaboration and communication; and conduct scientific studies. WHO does not advise special screening at points of entry with regard to this event, nor does it currently recommend any travel or trade restrictions http://www.who.int/csr/don/2014_01_17/en/index.html |
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Kyle
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20 JANUARY 2014 - The National Health and Family Planning Commission of China notified WHO of 16 additional laboratory-confirmed cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus.
Details of the cases notified on 17 January 2014 are as follows: A 54 years old man from Shanghai City who became ill on 3 January. He visited a hospital and was admitted to another hospital on 13 January. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 66 year old man from Huzhou City, Zhejiang Province who became ill on 7 January. He was admitted to hospital on 11 January and was transferred to another hospital on 15 January. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 54 year old man from Huzhou City, Zhejiang Province who became ill on 6 January. He was admitted to hospital on 9 January. He is currently in a critical condition. A 62 year old man from Hangzhou City, Zhejiang Province who became ill on 4 January. He was admitted to hospital on 11 January and was transferred to another hospital on 15 January. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. Details of the cases notified on 18 January 2014 are as follows: A 35 year old man from Ningbo City, Zhejiang Province who became ill on 7 January. He was admitted to hospital on 11 January and was transferred to another hospital on 14 January. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 72 year old woman from Hangzhou City, Zhejiang Province who became ill on 9 January. She was admitted to hospital on 15 January and was transferred to another hospital 16 January. She is currently in critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 69 year old man from Shaoxing City, Zhejiang Province who became ill on 13 January. He was admitted to hospital and was then transferred to another hospital on 17 January. He is currently in a critical condition. A 38 year old woman from Jinjiang City, Fujian Province who became ill on 9 January. She was admitted to hospital on 15 January. She is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 54 year old man from Ningde City, Fujian Province, who became ill on 8 January. He was admitted the hospital on 12 January and was transferred to another hospital on 16 January. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. Details of the cases notified on 20 January 2014 as follows: A 5 year old girl from Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province who became ill on 14 January. She was admitted to hospital on 15 January. She is currently in a stable condition. An 83 year old woman from Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province who became ill on 2 January. She was admitted to hospital on 10 January and was transferred to another hospital on 16 January. She is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 62 year old man from Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 6 January. He visited a hospital on 7 January and was admitted to another hospital on 17 January. He is currently in a stable condition. A 55 year old man from Shishi City, Fujian Province who became ill on 11 January. He was admitted to hospital on 16 January. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 53 year old man from Zhuji City, Zhejiang Province who became ill on 10 January. He was admitted to hospital and was transferred to another hospital on 17 January. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 54 year old man from Hangzhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 5 January. He was admitted to hospital and was transferred to another hospital on 16 January. He is currently in critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 61 year old man from Hangzhou City, Zhejiang Province who became ill on 10 January. He was admitted to a hospital on 10 January and was transferred to another hospital on 12 January. He is currently in critical condition. The source of infection is still under investigation. So far, there is no evidence of sustained human-to-human transmission. The Chinese government continues to take the following measures: strengthen surveillance and situation analysis; reinforce case management and treatment; conduct risk communication with the public and release information; strengthen international collaboration and communication; and conduct scientific studies. WHO does not advise special screening at points of entry with regard to this event, nor does it currently recommend any travel or trade restrictions. Link |
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arirish
Admin Group Joined: June 19 2013 Location: Arkansas Status: Offline Points: 39215 |
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Reuters January 20, 2014, 4: 06 PM WHO confirms 23 more cases of H7N9 bird flu in China LONDON Another 23 people in China have been infected with the H7N9 strain of bird flu in recent days, the World Health Organisation (WHO) said on Monday, adding to at least 24 new cases last week and confirming a fresh surge in the virus. Among the new cases, reported from several different provinces of China, was a 38-year-old man who died on Jan. 9 and a five-year-old girl from Guangdong province who became ill on Jan. 14 and is now stable in the hospital. Many of the other new patients were either in a serious or critical condition in hospitals, the WHO said. Several had reported recent exposure to poultry or poultry markets, but the WHO said the source of infections was still under investigation. The H7N9 bird flu virus emerged in March last year and has so far infected at least 199 people in China, Taiwan and Hong Kong, killing 52 of them, according to an update from the WHO's spokesman Gregory Hartl. Several clusters of cases in people who had close contact with an infected person have been reported in China, but WHO reiterated on Monday that “so far, there is no evidence of sustained human-to-human transmission". Hartl told Reuters last week that the United Nations health agency had noted the recent rapid increase in human H7N9 infections and was keeping a watchful eye. “So far we haven't seen anything that causes us to change our risk assessment,” he said. The WHO's assessment is that “the current likelihood of community-level spread ... is considered to be low.” Experts say the Northern Hemisphere's winter flu season is probably largely to blame for a significant increase in the number of cases of human H7N9 infection in recent weeks after they dwindled to almost nothing in July and August of 2013. But they have cautioned that public health authorities and doctors must be on alert for any signals that the more widely circulating virus might be adapting or mutating to become easily transmissible between people. |
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Buy more ammo!
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Suzi
Admin Group Joined: September 02 2007 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 2769 |
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I'd like to see some graphs on the data. Wasn't there an Australian site that used a boatload of graphs?
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arirish
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Virology Down Under
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Buy more ammo!
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Kyle
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22 JANUARY 2014 - On 20 January 2014, the National Health and Family Planning Commission of China notified WHO of five additional laboratory-confirmed cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus, including two deaths.
Details of the cases are as follows: A 31 year old man from Shanghai City who became ill on 11 January. He visited a hospital on 15 January and was admitted to hospital on 17 January and died on 18 January. A 77 year old man from Shanghai City who became ill on 10 January. He visited hospital on 14 January and was transferred to another hospital on 17 January and died on 18 January. The patient had a history of exposure to poultry. A 71 year old woman from Hangzhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 12 January. She visited hospital on 15 January and transferred to another hospital on 18 January. She is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 63 year old man from Jiaxing City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 12 January. He visited hospital on 17 January and transferred to another hospital on 18 January. He is currently in a serious condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 55 year old man from Ningbo City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 11 January. He visited hospital on 17 January. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. The source of infection is still under investigation. So far, there is no evidence of sustained human-to-human transmission. The Chinese government continues to take the following measures: strengthen surveillance and situation analysis; reinforce case management and treatment; conduct risk communication with the public and release information; strengthen international collaboration and communication; and conduct scientific studies. WHO does not advise special screening at points of entry with regard to this event, nor does it currently recommend any travel or trade restrictions. http://www.who.int/csr/don/2014_01_22/en/index.html |
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Elver
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There have been 5 small family clusters, but no sustained H2H. One or more of these clusters had the potential for H2H. In August a woman carried her sick father to the hospital and contracted it herself. There is no sign of sustained H2H as of yet although the WHO is reporting "sporadic H2H".
China had 134 cases last year with 44 deaths or 33.5%. So far this year the number is already up to 40. We've been down this path already with H5N1 and that isn't easily transmissible H2H yet. H7N9 is resistant to Tamiflu or Relenza. |
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carbon20
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Avian influenza A (H7N9) in ChinaBEIJING, 22 January 2014 – As of 20 January, the World Health Organization (WHO) has been officially notified by the China health authorities of more than forty additional laboratory-confirmed cases of human infection with avian influenza A (H7N9) virus, since 1 January 2014. There is no evidence of sustained human-to-human transmission.Given the population movement prior to Chinese New Year and potentially unpredictable behaviour of influenza viruses, continued vigilance and close monitoring are needed. WHO’s advice to the public is to continue to practice good hygiene and handle food properly. WHO does not recommend any travel or trade restriction. FUNNY WHEN THEY SAY NO EVIDENCE OF H2H SUSTAINED TRANSMISSION, so where all the people getting it from??or is there sporadic H2H and if so what does that mean ?? OR THE ALMIGHTY DOLLAR MIGHT BE TALKING ,they lost 9 billion in a few months ago because of the outbreak then |
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Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.🖖
Marcus Aurelius |
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Kyle
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23 JANUARY 2014 - On 22 January 2014, the National Health and Family Planning Commission of China notified WHO of 10 additional laboratory-confirmed cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus.
Details of the cases are as follows: A 71 year old man from Nanjing City, Jiangsu Province, who became ill on 10 January. He was admitted to hospital on 16 January and is in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 57 year old man from Taizhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 8 January. He was admitted to hospital on 10 January and is in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 70 year old man from Shaoxing City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 10 January. He was admitted to hospital on 14 January, transferred to another hospital on 17 January, and is in a serious condition. A 49 year old male from Hangzhou City of Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 13 January. He was admitted to hospital on 17 January, transferred to another hospital on 19 January, and is in a serious condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 39 year old woman from Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 13 January. She was admitted to hospital on 19 January and is in a serious condition. A 59 year old woman from Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 13 January. She was admitted to hospital on 19 January and is in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry markets. A 76 year old man from Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 9 January. He was admitted to hospital on 20 January and is in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry markets. A 53 year old man from Taizhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 9 January. He was admitted to hospital on 12 January, transferred to another hospital on 16 January, and is in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 71 year old man from Taizhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 31 December 2013. He was admitted to hospital on the same day, transferred to another hospital on 8 January, and is in a critical condition. A 63 year old woman from Taizhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 9 January. He was admitted to hospital on 13 January, transferred to another hospital on 18 January, and is in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. The source of infection is still under investigation. So far, there is no evidence of sustained human-to-human transmission. The Chinese government continues to take the following measures: strengthen surveillance and situation analysis; reinforce case management and treatment; conduct risk communication with the public and release information; strengthen international collaboration and communication; and conduct scientific studies. WHO does not advise special screening at points of entry with regard to this event, nor does it currently recommend any travel or trade restrictions. http://www.who.int/csr/don/2014_01_23/en/index.html |
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CRS, DrPH
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Personally, I don't buy all of these "exposure to poultry" stories. When healthcare workers are coming down with the virus, it is H2H.
I doubt if the deceased Shanghai physician spent much time buying live chickens at the wet market! Limited H2H transmission, perhaps, but a serious situation. Just a few mutations, or a ressortment with another circulating flu strain could unleash this one. Forget about H5N1, that bug doesn't seem to want to evolve. In the USA, our healthcare system is trained and ready for any pandemic strain, although the emphasis has always been on H5N1 preparation (misguided in my opinion). However, I don't think that a viable vaccine exists in any useful quantity, so we will have to shelter in place if this jumps the Pacific. Stay tuned, if we are lucky, this will burn itself out in China. I'm not feeling lucky lately.
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CRS, DrPH
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Medclinician2013
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The virus h7n9 has mutated. I got this search data but the link is down.
H7N9 mutation confers antiviral resistance | SmartBriefA mutation has made the H7N9
avian influenza virus more resistant to antiviral drugs, yet it is no
less transmissible, according to new research. Often, antiviral
resistance is coupled with a loss in the ability to spread. Meanwhile,
the World Health Organization has reported four new ... comment: a monthly report on the situation by WHO is very poor tracking of a potential pandemic. Chinese researchers have discovered mutations in the new strain of avian influenza A, known as H7N9, and have found that the virus has the ability to spread from human to human, the latest issue of China's Southern Metropolis Weekly reported. comment: The few cases being reported do not reflect an accurate count of the infections. I have spoken to people from China who have been through Hong Kong and many people are sick as it spills downward and sets off the detection radar while the Chinese continue to under report the cases. This is not a new issue and WHO at this point will not tell us there is a Pandemic until it is too late to do anything about it. H7N9 is not going to go away. With the poor sanitation, living with birds and pigs, and obvious human to human transmission being covered by a claim it is only from poultry, it is a real threat. Med |
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Medclinician - not if but when - original
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jacksdad
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That was like reading something I would write about the current situation - absolutely couldn't agree more |
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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jacksdad
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The same applies to your post, Med. Seems a lot of us are on the same page.
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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Seawolfe
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Just wonder when national leadership will wake up and read the "same pages"?
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Diligent
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Amid the reported H7N9 resistance or susceptibility issue's regarding the influenza virus inhibitor medicines, Tamiflu and Relenza. The latest report found on the CDC website indicates, that as of September 2013 : H7N9 is ' likely susceptible ' to Tamiflu or Relenza.
I hope the CDC report is correct.
Diligent
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Kyle
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Suzi
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I cannot find this. The last report I see is Jan 23 that lists 10 reported on Jan 22. These seem to be a different 10 according to ages, gender etc.
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Kyle
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Human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus – update
27 JANUARY 2014 - The National Health and Family Planning Commission of China has notified WHO of nine additional laboratory-confirmed cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus. Details of the cases notified on 26 January 2014 are as follows: A 49 year old man from Huzhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 16 January. He was admitted to hospital on 20 January and transferred to other hospital on 23 January. He is currently in a serious condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 60 year old woman farmer from Ningbo City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 19 January. She was admitted to hospital on 23 January. She is currently in a serious condition. A 48 year old woman farmer from Ningbo City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 20 January. She was admitted to hospital on 23 January and is currently in a serious condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 57 year old farmer from Suzhou City, Jiangsu Province, who became ill on 16 January. He was admitted to hospital on 19 January and transferred to other hospital on 22 January. He is currently in a serious condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry market. A 46 year old woman farmer from Quanzhou City, Fujian Province, who became ill on 18 January. She was admitted to hospital on 22 January and is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 82 year old man from Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 11 January. He was admitted to hospital on 21 January and is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry market. Details of the cases notified on 27 January 2014 are as follows: A 76 year-old farmer from Wuxi City, Jiangsu Province, who became ill on 18 January. He was admitted to hospital on 21 January and is currently in a serious condition. A 40 year-old man from Hangzhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 19 January. He was admitted to hospital on 23 January and was transferred to another hospital on 25 January. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 65 year-old, man from Huzhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 16 January. He was admitted to hospital on 22 January and was transferred to another hospital on 23 January. He is currently in a serious condition. The patient has a history of exposure to a live poultry market. The source of infection is still under investigation. So far, there is no evidence of sustained human-to-human transmission. The Chinese government continues to take the following measures: strengthen surveillance and situation analysis; reinforce case management and treatment; conduct risk communication with the public and release information; strengthen international collaboration and communication; and conduct scientific studies. WHO does not advise special screening at points of entry with regard to this event, nor does it currently recommend any travel or trade restrictions. Source |
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Suzi
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Current H7N9 wave rivals last spring's case total
Filed Under: Avian Influenza (Bird Flu); H7N9 Avian Influenza Lisa Schnirring | Staff Writer | CIDRAP News | Jan 27, 2014 China's agriculture ministry said tests showed no H7N9 in farm poultry, but Hong Kong reported the virus in chickens imported from a mainland farm. China's steady rise in H7N9 avian flu cases continued over the past 3 days, with 14 new cases from five provinces, as the latest test results in poultry showed a conflicting picture of the virus on farms, including positive samples found today in birds sent to Hong Kong. The fresh round of infections—coming at a pace matching last year's peak—could soon eclipse last spring's outbreak totals and come as poultry trade and consumption are high in the lead-up to Lunar New Year celebrations later this week. So far 116 cases have been reported since October 2013, a number that could soon reach or exceed the 136 H7N9 illnesses reported during the outbreak's first wave last spring, a number that includes 2 July cases. Though the virus doesn't currently appear to spread easily among humans through the airborne route, China's cultural traditions involving live poultry, where the virus spreads silently, put exposed people at risk for zoonotic infections that can quickly progress to severe pneumonia. Hot spots report more cases, WHO provides more details Hong Kong's Centre for Health Protection (CHP), in two separate statements, announced initial details for eight new H7N9 illnesses: five reported on Jan 25 and three reported on Jan 26. Five of those patients are from Zhejiang province, two from Jiangsu, and one from Guangdong. In addition, four provinces reported six new cases today, two from Fujian province, two from Guangdong, one from Hunan, and one from Jiangsu. According to provincial statements in Chinese translated and posted by Avian Flu *****, and infectious disease news blog, the patients include three men ages 68, 69, and 72, and three women ages 58, 74, and 77. The 68-year-old man died from his infection, according to the statement from Guangdong province. The World Health Organization (WHO) fleshed out more details about 19 cases reported over the past 4 days, including the ones reported yesterday, according to separate statements from Jan 25 and today. Patient illness onsets range from Jan 10 through Jan 20. All are adults, ranging in age from 23 to 82. Ten are men and nine are women. Eleven of the patients are in critical condition, and eight in serious condition. Investigations so far have found that 10 patients had been exposed to poultry and four had been exposed to live-poultry markets. Over the past few weeks, China has averaged about five to seven new H7N9 cases each day, and the new cases reported over the past 3 days boosts the outbreak total to 252, according to a case list compiled by the ******* infectious disease message board. Less clear is the number of deaths. Most of the patients reported over the last several weeks were said to be in severe or critical condition and may still be hospitalized. China's Center for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC) said today that 19 deaths have been reported so far this year among 96 cases reported so far, Xinhua, China's state news agency reported. The unofficial number of deaths is 57. Shu Yuelong, director of the Chinese National Influenza Center, told Xinhua that the case-fatality rate (CFR) ranges from 20% to 30% and that the risk assessment is unchanged, because so far no H7N9 virus mutations that could affect transmissibility have been found, and so far there is no sign of sustained human-to-human transmission. An updated risk assessment from the WHO last week said so far the CFR is not as high as the first wave of infections last spring, and that virus samples from the second wave are similar to the first wave, as well as to strains recommended for H7N9 vaccine development. Mixed signals from H7N9 tests on farms Meanwhile, China's agriculture ministry said today that tests on farms so far this year have found no H7N9 in poultry, according to a separate report from Xinhua. It said no positives were found among 33,400 samples tested from 2,402 sites. It added, though, that eight positive samples were found among samples from live-poultry markets in Guangdong, Fujian, Zhejiang, and Guangxi Zhuang autonomous region. In a report today to the World Organization for Animal Health (OIE), China's agriculture ministry described H7N9 findings at agricultural markets in Guangdong and Fujian provinces. Of 185 chicken specimens collected in Guanzhou in Guangdong, two from different markets were positive, and 1,200 birds were culled to curb the spread of the virus. In the Fujian province city of Quanzhou, tests on 220 specimens—from chickens, pigeons, ducks, and environments—found only one H7N9-positive result, in an environmental sample. A similar pattern was seen during agriculture ministry testing after the virus was first detected last spring: no positive samples were found on farms, and only a few were detected in poultry market samples. The results are puzzling, because provincial health ministry reports have said several of the patients infected with the virus were farmers, and official reports say large percentage of H7N9 cases were exposed to poultry or visited live-poultry markets. Fueling more questions about H7N9 circulation on China's poultry farms, Hong Kong's government today said it detected the virus in a number of samples from a shipment of live chickens that were imported from a registered poultry farm near the Guangdong province city of Foshan, according to a statement posted on the government's Web site. Hong Kong said it has been testing live poultry imported from the mainland since April 2013, and the findings are the first for H7. In response, the government is closing the agricultural market that received the birds for 21 days and will cull 20,000 poultry that are at the site. Ko Wing-man, MBBS, secretary for food and health, said in a statement that officers will also inspect Hong Kong poultry to ensure that local birds aren't infected with the virus. CDC updates H7N9, H5N1 testing recommendations In other avian developments, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has updated its testing recommendations in separate documents for H7N9 and H5N1. For each virus, the CDC describes testing recommendations based on clinical illness and exposure criteria. For both viruses, CDC recommends testing of severely ill hospitalized patients for whom no other infectious cause has been identified. The exposure criteria for each virus are customized to reflect the geographic areas where the virus has been found. CDC's guidance updates are part of a larger effort to modify the information, based on the latest data, and to combine guidance for the two viruses, when appropriate. For example, the agency recently revised its interim recommendations that combine healthcare infection control information for both H7N9 and H5N1. |
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Albert
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Suzi, you can edit. Clean up the post. This bucket of bolts is not like ft.
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https://www.facebook.com/Avianflutalk
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Saskabush
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I thought this info was helpful. Haven't been around long enough to know why Suzi's post needed cleaning up. Are there rules about posts over a certain length or something?
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Suzi
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It had big gaps of empty space.
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Saskabush
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Good to know. Seems a sober and reasonable policy.
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Albert
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Good job Suzi, thanks.
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https://www.facebook.com/Avianflutalk
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jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
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Saskabush - oftentimes when you paste an article you end up with a bunch of ads, links, unrelated pictures or text, or big gaps as Suzi mentioned. Sometimes it takes a little work to make it easier to read.
Where to start with this article? So Hong Kong is detecting infected poultry coming from Guandong, but China can't find any. I think we can all draw our own conclusions on that one... Of the 19 cases mentioned, there are none classed as mild infections - eleven are critical and eight are in serious condition. If trends from last year hold, the Chinese government will keep them alive at all costs - for months if necessary - to keep the CFR low, but many of them will succumb to the virus (or secondary infections) eventually anyway. Once the number of serious/critical patients exceeds the number of ICU beds and respirators available to Chinese doctors, we'll begin to see the mortality rate this virus could have if it progresses to a pandemic strain. And now the CDC is nervous enough about both H7N9 and H5N1 that they're recommending testing of symptomatic patients for whom all other tests have come up negative. They know it's going to explode soon, and they're getting everyone ready for the first cases outside of China. |
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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EdwinSm,
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Hong Kong is lying to make the People's Republic look bad --- Is that the right conclusion? |
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Newbie
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QUOETE: Meanwhile, China's agriculture ministry said today that tests on farms so far this year have found no H7N9 in poultry, according to a separate report from Xinhua. It said no positives were found among 33,400 samples tested from 2,402 sites.
It added, though, that eight positive samples were found among samples from live-poultry markets in Guangdong, Fujian, Zhejiang, and Guangxi Zhuang autonomous region. The chickens only catch it when they know they're gonna be sold and eaten...their way of saying they want to continue to live on a clean, disease free farm!!! |
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Hoping to survive what mother nature throws at us (for stomping all over her)!
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jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
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Exactly right. Because the PRC would never lie |
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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jacksdad
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LOL |
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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Kyle
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Human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus – update
Disease outbreak news 29 JANUARY 2014 - On 27 January 2014, the National Health and Family Planning Commission of China notified WHO of six additional laboratory-confirmed cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus including one death. Details of six new cases are as follows: A 74-year-old woman farmer from Suzhou City, Jiangsu Province, who became ill on 15 January. She was admitted to hospital on 21 January 2014, and was transferred to another hospital on 24 January. She is currently in critical condition and is being given intensive treatment. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 58-year-old woman farmer from Yueyang City, Hunan Province, who became ill on 20 January. She was admitted to hospital on 25 January. She is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 69-year-old man from Xiamen City, Fujian Province, who became ill on 17 January. He was admitted to hospital on 24 January. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 72-year-old woman farmer from Sanming City, Fujian Province, who became ill on 21 January. She was admitted to hospital on 23 January. She is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 77-year-old woman farmer, from Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province, who became ill in 17 January. She was admitted to hospital on 23 January. She is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry market. A 68-year-old farmer from Jiangmen City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 18 January. He was admitted to hospital on 21 January. He died on 25 January. The patient had a history of exposure to poultry. The source of infection is still under investigation. So far, there is no evidence of sustained human-to-human transmission. The Chinese government continues to take the following measures: strengthen surveillance and situation analysis; reinforce case management and treatment; conduct risk communication with the public and release information; strengthen international collaboration and communication; and conduct scientific studies. Sporadic human cases While the report of A/H7N9 virus being detected in live poultry imported from the mainland to Hong Kong SAR, shows the potential for the virus to spread through live poultry, at this time there is no indication that international spread of H7N9 has occurred through humans or animals. Further sporadic human cases of A(H7N9) infection are expected in affected and possibly neighbouring areas, especially given expected increases in the trade and transport of poultry associated with the upcoming Lunar New Year. WHO advice WHO advises that travellers to countries with known outbreaks of avian influenza should avoid poultry farms, or contact with animals in live bird markets, or entering areas where poultry may be slaughtered, or contact with any surfaces that appear to be contaminated with faeces from poultry or other animals. Travellers should also wash their hands often with soap and water. Travellers should follow good food safety and good food hygiene practices. WHO does not advise special screening at points of entry with regard to this event, nor does it currently recommend any travel or trade restrictions. As always, a diagnosis of infection with an avian influenza virus should be considered in individuals who develop severe acute respiratory symptoms while travelling or soon after returning from an area where avian influenza is a concern. WHO encourages countries to continue strengthening influenza surveillance, including surveillance for severe acute respiratory infections (SARI) and to carefully review any unusual patterns, in order to ensure reporting of human infections under the IHR (2005), and continue national health preparedness actions. Source |
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arirish
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"The Chinese government continues to take the following measures: strengthen surveillance and situation analysis; reinforce case management and treatment; conduct risk communication with the public and release information; strengthen international collaboration and communication; and conduct scientific studies." I don't think these measures are working! |
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Buy more ammo!
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Suzi
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cobber
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New wording has been added to the Disease Outbreak Reports from the WHO. This is quite a significant seeing they haven't changed it for two years. I cut and pasted for your viewing pleasure..
Special notes: 1: Reference made to Chinese new year.. This shows that they are concerned. 2: There is a travel warning but not a full blown one. I feel this is quite telling. Its the kind of thing you say when there is a problem but you don't want to create mass panic. Sporadic human casesWhile the report of A/H7N9 virus being detected in live poultry imported from the mainland to Hong Kong SAR, shows the potential for the virus to spread through live poultry, at this time there is no indication that international spread of H7N9 has occurred through humans or animals. Further sporadic human cases of A(H7N9) infection are expected in affected and possibly neighbouring areas, especially given expected increases in the trade and transport of poultry associated with the upcoming Lunar New Year. WHO adviceWHO advises that travellers to countries with known outbreaks of avian influenza should avoid poultry farms, or contact with animals in live bird markets, or entering areas where poultry may be slaughtered, or contact with any surfaces that appear to be contaminated with faeces from poultry or other animals. Travellers should also wash their hands often with soap and water. Travellers should follow good food safety and good food hygiene practices. WHO does not advise special screening at points of entry with regard to this event, nor does it currently recommend any travel or trade restrictions. As always, a diagnosis of infection with an avian influenza virus should be considered in individuals who develop severe acute respiratory symptoms while travelling or soon after returning from an area where avian influenza is a concern. WHO encourages countries to continue strengthening influenza surveillance, including surveillance for severe acute respiratory infections (SARI) and to carefully review any unusual patterns, in order to ensure reporting of human infections under the IHR (2005), and continue national health preparedness actions. Current technical information as well as guidance related to avian influenza A(H7N9) can be found at the WHO web site: |
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arirish
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Cobber- I agree completely. WHO now tends to be very cautious and measured in their wording. They learned during the SARS epidemic that what they say can cost economies billions. Plus, as Albert would say, look who's doing the talking!
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Buy more ammo!
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carbon20
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Bird Flu Isn’t Just China’s Problem AnymoreWith the Chinese New Year and the Olympics on the horizon, health officials can only watch and wait for a potential pandemic As the first human cases of H7N9 bird flu infection outside of China begin to emerge—in Taiwan and Hong Kong—health officials around the world are preparing for a potentially perfect storm for a massive flu outbreak. On Thursday, billions of Chinese will be on the move to celebrate the Lunar New Year, creating ripe conditions for the spread of the influenza virus from those already infected. And many of those celebrations will include chickens, the primary carriers of H7N9. In addition, with the Winter Olympics, one of the world’s largest sporting events, just two weeks away, the virus could find the ideal conditions for breaking out. And that means the next plane could bring a pandemic to the U.S. or anywhere else around the world. “The bottom line is the health security of the U.S. is only as strong as the health security of every country around the world,” says Dr. Thomas Frieden, director of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control. “We are all connected by the food we eat, the water the drink and the air we breathe.” MORE: Many Americans Are Skipping the Flu Shot So far, the World Health Organization reports that 246 people, mostly in China, have been infected with H7N9 since the virus was first identified last year, and nearly a quarter of them have died. As the first cases outside of the China emerged, Hong Kong officials ordered the culling of 20,000 chickens from its primary poultry market after one bird tested positive for H7N9, and banned live poultry imports for three weeks from the mainland. In the meantime the Chinese government is shutting down live poultry sales in its eastern provinces after a spike in cases in recent weeks. Because H7N9 does not make birds sick, it’s nearly impossible to distinguish infected poultry from healthy animals, so officials aren’t taking any chances. Shanghai is closing its live poultry markets for three months beginning in February. What concerns health experts is that H7N9 meets two of the three conditions for becoming a pandemic—it is widespread among birds, and it can pass from birds to people. So far, it does not appear to transmit easily from person to person, but if it did, says Frieden, “that would be a big problem. The likelihood of having a pandemic would be much, much higher.” MORE: Should You Be Chicken About the New Chicken Flu? What could push the virus to move from person to person? One worrying possibility—as H7N9 circulates among birds, it could recombine with other influenza strains and find a way to infect humans more efficiently by jumping from host to host. It’s also possible that the H7N9 infecting people could recombine with other strains currently circulating, such as H1N1 or even H5N1, another bird flu, and become more virulent as well. Vietnam confirmed that a 52-year old man died this week of H5N1. If H7N9 were to become a pandemic, there is a vaccine that researchers have developed, but Frieden says it’s not very effective and may require more than one dose, which could complicate distribution if there were an urgent need to immunize the population. But other measures for containing outbreaks that have proven effective in the past, including reducing the contact between people and infected animals, implementing social distancing strategies to prevent rapid spread of the virus, and dispensing medications to treat the severely ill, could help to contain an outbreak. “Flu reminds us that we are all connected by the air we breathe,” says Frieden. “There is no way for us to know if a pandemic will happen tomorrow or 10 years from now or never. But what we can do is be even better prepared than we have in the past if it happens.” |
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Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.🖖
Marcus Aurelius |
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Suzi
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Human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus – update
Disease outbreak news 30 January 2014 - On 29 January 2014, the National Health and Family Planning Commission of China notified WHO of 15 additional laboratory-confirmed cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus. Of these 15 cases, 10 are females. The age range among the cases is 31 to 81 years old. The cases are reported from Guangdong (4), Jiangsu (1), Shanghai (1) and Zhejiang Province (9). Thirteen of the cases are currently in a critical or serious condition. Fourteen of the cases are reported to have had exposure to poultry or a live poultry market/environment. Details of 15 additional cases are as follows: A 61-year-old woman cook from Shanghai City who became ill on 6 January. She was admitted to hospital on 20 January. She is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 66-year-old woman from Shaoxing City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 15 January. She was admitted to hospital on 17 January. She is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to a live poultry market. A 71-year-old woman from Hangzhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 12 January. She was admitted to hospital on 18 January. She is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to a live poultry market. A 71-year- old farmer from Wenzhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 13 January. He was admitted to hospital on 19 January, and was transferred to another hospital on 21 January 2014. He is currently in a serious condition. The patient has a history of exposure to a live poultry market. A 59-year- old man from Ningbo City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 18 January. He was admitted to hospital on 20 January and was transferred to another hospital on 22 January. He is currently in a serious condition. He has a history of exposure to poultry. A 63-years-old woman farmer from Huzhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 11 January. She was admitted to hospital on 15 January and was transferred to another hospital on 18 January 2014. She is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 34-year- old woman from Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 10 January. She was admitted to hospital on 20 January 2014, and was transferred to another hospital on 21 January 2014. She is currently in a critical condition. A 53-year- old man from Huai'an City, Jiangsu Province, who became ill on 22 January. He was admitted to hospital on 26 January. He is currently in a serious condition. The patient has a history of exposure to a live poultry market. A 43-year-old woman farmer from Hangzhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 23 January. She was admitted to hospital on the same day. She has a mild illness. The patient has a history of exposure to a live poultry market. An 81-year-old farmer from Huzhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 21 January. He was admitted to hospital on 23 January. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 63-year-old woman farmer from Huzhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 22 January. She was admitted to hospital on 24 January and was transferred to another hospital on 26 January 2014. She is currently in a serious condition. The patient has a history of exposure to a live poultry environment. A 57-year-old man from Ningbo City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 15 January. He was admitted to hospital on 23 January. He has a mild illness. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry. A 43-year-old woman from Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 17 January. She was admitted to hospital on 26 January. She is currently in a serious condition. The patient has a history of exposure to a live poultry market. A 41-year-old woman from Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 20 January. She was admitted to hospital on 26 January. She is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to a live poultry market. A 31-year-old woman from Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 16 January. She was admitted to hospital on 23 January 2014. She is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to a live poultry market. So far, there is no evidence of sustained human-to-human transmission. The Chinese government continues to take the following measures: strengthen surveillance and situation analysis; reinforce case management and treatment; conduct risk communication with the public and release information; strengthen international collaboration and communication; and conduct scientific studies. Sporadic human cases While the recent report of avian influenza A(H7N9) virus being detected in live poultry imported from the mainland to Hong Kong SAR, shows the potential for the virus to spread through live poultry, at this time there is no indication that international spread of avian influenza A(H7N9) has occurred through humans or animals. Further sporadic human cases of A(H7N9) infection are expected in affected and possibly neighbouring areas, especially given expected increases in the trade and transport of poultry associated with the upcoming Lunar New Year. WHO advice WHO advises that travellers to countries with known outbreaks of avian influenza should avoid poultry farms, or contact with animals in live bird markets, or entering areas where poultry may be slaughtered, or contact with any surfaces that appear to be contaminated with faeces from poultry or other animals. Travellers should also wash their hands often with soap and water. Travellers should follow good food safety and good food hygiene practices. WHO does not advise special screening at points of entry with regard to this event, nor does it currently recommend any travel or trade restrictions. As always, a diagnosis of infection with an avian influenza virus should be considered in individuals who develop severe acute respiratory symptoms while travelling or soon after returning from an area where avian influenza is a concern. WHO encourages countries to continue strengthening influenza surveillance, including surveillance for severe acute respiratory infections (SARI) and to carefully review any unusual patterns, in order to ensure reporting of human infections under the IHR (2005), and continue national health preparedness actions. Current technical information as well as guidance related to avian influenza A(H7N9) can be found at the WHO web site: WHO Avian influenza A(H7N9) virus web site Human infections with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus pdf, 194kb 21 January 2014 World - Avian influenza in humans Reducing the risk of influenza virus transmission from animals |
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Suzi
Admin Group Joined: September 02 2007 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 2769 |
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Jan 1-15 35 new cases
Jan 16-30 85 new cases And they can find it in only a small % of poultry. If that is true then humans get it from poultry easily. |
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Waterboy
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This is looking really bad. I hope SVA'S(Nasdaq pharmaceutical co.) vaccine works, and in a hurry.It's time to prepare now. Get your house in order. Food,preps etc.
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