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PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

Adjustment to case count - 13,567 / 4951

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Albert View Drop Down
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    Posted: November 01 2014 at 6:49am
Greetings, just a heads up that the total case count has been adjusted per WHO:

http://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/10665/137424/1/roadmapsitrep_31Oct2014_eng.pdf?ua=1
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cobber View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cobber Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 01 2014 at 6:55am
The deaths have been adjusted down??
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cobber Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 01 2014 at 6:56am
There is some odd ball stuff going on with the numbers.
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Albert View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Albert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 01 2014 at 6:57am
The deaths went up by 29 and the cases decreased from 17,703
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote onefluover Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 01 2014 at 7:03am
If there are 13,500 known cases and 5,000 known deaths but the CFR for now is assigned the number of 70%, does that mean since 8,500 are infected but alive over the 5,000 dead, that this slow moving train wreck is building up speed rapidly? You would think that with 13,500 total cases there would be over ten thousand dead already at a 70% CFR but those numbers to me can only mean that the cases are far outnumbering the deaths at this point because the infections are growing much faster now than the average lifespan an infected person has. Kind of like if tomorrow they were to announce 100,000 new cases overnight, the deĆ ths would still be 5,000 until a few days, weeks later?
"And then there were none."
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Albert View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Albert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 06 2014 at 5:50am
Just a heads up - the WHO numbers have been adjusted at the number is 13,015 / 4808
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Johnray1 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 06 2014 at 4:11pm
Albert,does any one believe these numbers?Johnray1
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Technophobe View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 06 2014 at 4:24pm
I don't.
How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote rickster58 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 06 2014 at 4:29pm
me neither
spam hunter extraordinaire
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Albert View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Albert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 07 2014 at 8:55pm
I'm with you guys.

13,268 / 4960 is the adjusted number
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Kay View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kay Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 08 2014 at 12:49am
Probably hard to keep track of the numbers.  People are probably scared that get Ebola and their families are scared too.  They probably trust the government as little as some of us in this country.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote onefluover Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 08 2014 at 6:31am
In the time it took them to adjust these numbers up and down and back up again appears to be without any new numbers added to the mix. A slowing trend in Liberia but increase in Sierra Leone and Guinea indicates the adjusted numbers should have still gone up one or two thousand. Maybe they're doing all they can to convince the world that their policies are working. Or they did add the newest increases to the mix but are using their saved ace cards of removing the cases they knew all along were unverifiable which may be a lot of cases. 5000 deaths, 13500 cases, 70% CFR... That's about 6000 cases to play with.
"And then there were none."
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