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What are warningsigns for a larger earthquake ?

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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    Posted: July 19 2015 at 1:36am
From Dutchsinse on Facebook: 

  • Travis Ebert OK DUTCH..... Give it to us straight !!! Maybe not a prediction but your "GUT" feeling on when the west coast will see a large scale quake ????

    • Dutchsinse I'm thinking a near 6.0 will be striking Oregon / Northern California this week.. if it comes in across the 5.0 range I won't be shocked.. but upwards of M6.0.

      As for a VERY large earthquake, luckily we'll have at least 1-2 days warning signs prior to
       any large movement.

      The real time we have to watch for a large South California earthquake is AFTER we see multiple dormant volcanoes show multiple 3.0m to 4.0m earthquakes.

      If you see multiple upper 3 and 4M earthquakes across EASTERN California.. Nevada.. Utah.. Arizona.. and if you see movement in the 5.0 to 6.0 range in the Pacific Northwest.. those are signs of a coming LARGER event, or movement in South California.

      In otherwords, a South California earthquake is always preceded by movement in the region which stands out as "odd" in the days before larger movement occurs.

      Also.. we'll see steam plumes across the West coast at dormant volcanoes as well.

      Each time we've seen steam plumes .. within 2 weeks AFTER the plumes (usually less than 2 weeks) we see a large West coast Earthquake.

      As for the Pacific Northwest, and a large earthquake.. again.. we'll have warning signs before hand.

      In the case of the Pacific Northwest.. the large movement is ALWAYS preceded by deep earthquakes in the West Pacific Asthenosphere.. and other large earthquakes around the Pacific in the 7.0M range.

      If you start seeing upper 6.0 and 7.0 earthquakes in the West Pacific, along with Deep earthquakes in the West Pacific.. watch the Juan De Fuca for a possible greater release event.. 

      The last time we saw deep earthquakes (multiple events) in the West Pacific.. and multiple 7.0M earthquakes in the West Pacific.. it was followed by a swarm of earthquakes off the Coast of Oregon. The happened previously in 2014, 2013, 2012, and 2011.

      If you see anything above an 8.0M in the West Pacific.. again.. watch the Pacific Northwest United states for a greater earthquake release along the Juan de Fuca.

      Thus, the warning signs for a large West coast earthquake.. whether we're talking Southern California, or the Pacific Northwest.. both locations depend on movement far away in the West Pacific.

      In the 1-2 days leading up to the large West coast movement, we normally see OTHER AREAS on the West coast show activity before the larger seismic release... such as the dormant volcanoes having earthquakes, and the steam plume activity at dormant volcanoes.

      If we pay attention to the smaller earthquakes here in the United States.. and if we pay attention to the larger earthquakes internationally.. and.. most importantly if we pay attention to the DEPTH of the earthquakes.. we can then see the building pressure taking place, and appropriately warn the people on the West coast.

      I PROMISE that when I do my reporting, I will not inflate my warnings, and will explain the process behind the naming of each area that I warn in my forecasts.

      My hope is that other people will start to also keep track of the WHERE WHEN and WHY on each earthquake that stands out as "odd". The "odd" earthquakes are the giveaway of coming movement.

      Nothing happens by chance, everything happens for a reason when it comes to "seismicity". There is a reason we see dormant volcanoes and fracking operations move BEFORE larger events pop off on the West coast.... 

      Imagine it like this.. building pressure on the West coast spreads out across the North American plate (from the Pacific NW usually).. the "pressure" is coming from the PNW heading towards the East-Southeast.

      As the pressure grows, as it tries to spread the inertia of the movement / pressure out evenly across the hodgepodge of the "edge" of the plate.... the weak points begin to release the pressure as much as they can.

      The weak points on the edge of the plate are the dormant volcanoes, and drilling operations (and even in some cases deep mining operations).

      The weak points across the North American plate act like pressure release valves -- they begin moving in the days before a larger earthquake, also they show movement when the PACIFIC PLATE is moving in the West Pacific!!

      Eventually, the pressure becomes too great for these pressure release points to handle.. and we see a short "silence" at the release points across the plate . The dormant volcanoes stop moving.. the fracking operation earthquakes die out.. then.. the pressure BACK FILLS TO THE WEST... like a rubberband rebounding the otherway after being stretched and let go.

      When the pressure backfills, that's when the larger movement finally hits, and we see a large West coast earthquake.

      The last several times this happened, in 2011, 2012, and 2013... we saw at least one M6.0 along the West coast, even a M7.7 in Vancouver in 2012, or the M6.0 off the coast of Northern California in 2014 (which largely went ignored for some reason).

      The mega-quake everyone is worried about will certainly be preceded by a few (at least one) larger event (like Japan in 2011 was hit 3 days before by a 7.2M before the 9.0M hit).

      Hope this answers the question. Unfortunately there is not an easy Yes or No to this question. 

An other way of looking at this is statistics, history (and geology). All the know M9 quakes were in "the pacific ring of fire". An earthquake is the outcome of a process. Subduction, one piece of earth sinking under another piece of land, can produce a major earthquake. 

In 1960 Chili had a M9.5, in 1964 Alaska a 9.3. In the 21 century M9.0 at Sumatra/Indonesia and Japan. 

The "cascadia-quake" was in 1700, based on findings and history of a tsunami in Japan. In 1956 Sachalin/Kamchatka had a M8.9/M9.0. 

A Japanese geologist based on study of the faultlines thinks a M10+ event might be possible near Japan. 

I live in western Europe. Maybe once in a billion years we might see a M9+ quake, but that could come as a surprise any day. Science does not know enough, live always has risks. Deal with that and stay happy !
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 22 2015 at 1:04am
http://fukushima-diary.com/2015/07/m5-0-occurred-fukushima-offshore-again/

According to JMA (Japan Meteorological Agency), another M5.0 happened offshore Fukushima at 18:17 of 7/21/2015 (JST).

It was felt in the entire East coast of Eastern Japan. The maximum seismic intensity was 3.

Tepco has made no announcement on plant status.

No aftershock has been observed so far.

 

http://www.jma.go.jp/en/quake/20150721182208395-211817.html

 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 22 2015 at 1:08am
The last 24 hrs Japan had two deep M4+ quakes (aprox 400km) and two more shallow M5+ quakes. These might be for-shocks, building up pressure. 

If you see multiple upper 3 and 4M earthquakes across EASTERN California.. Nevada.. Utah.. Arizona.. and if you see movement in the 5.0 to 6.0 range in the Pacific Northwest.. those are signs of a coming LARGER event, or movement in South California. (Dutchsinse)


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 02 2015 at 9:42pm
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/home/science/Ants-can-sense-earthquakes-a-day-in-advance/articleshow/19514232.cms 

NEW DELHI: Ants know when an earthquake is about to strike, researchers have discovered. Their behavior changes significantly prior to the quake and they resume normal functioning only a day after it.

Gabriele Berberich of the University Duisburg-Essen in Germany presented these findings on Thursday at the European Geosciences Union annual meeting in Vienna according to LiveScience.

Berberich and her colleagues discovered that red wood ants preferred to build their colonies right along active faults in Germany. They counted 15,000 ant mounds lining the faults. These faults are fractures where the Earth violently ruptures in earthquakes.

http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/features/static-electricity-may-be-key-to-predicting-earthquakes_804507.html


A rise in static electricity below the ground could be a reliable indicator that an earthquake is imminent, say scientists who are now launching an experiment to predict quakes well in time to save thousands of lives. Tom Bleier, a satellite engineer with QuakeFinder, has spent millions of dollars putting specialist measuring equipment - magnetometers - along fault lines in California, Peru, Taiwan, and Greece, the 'Daily Mail' reported. The instruments are sensitive enough to detect magnetic pulses from electrical discharges up to 16 kilometres away, which could give people enough time to get to safety before a quake strikes. Scientists' theory is that, when an earthquake looms, activity below ground goes through a 'strange change', producing intense electrical currents.


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote KiwiMum Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 03 2015 at 1:19pm
Dutch Josh, before our 7.1 earthquake in Sept 2010, a few people noticed strange animal behaviour. The quake struck at 4.35am and most people were asleep in their beds, but a few dairy farmers were up and outside and they noticed that even in the pitch dark, all the birds started singing. Apparently it was deafening. They kept it up for about 10 minutes and then stopped just before the quake struck. 

The other thing that many people saw was "lightning" coming up from the ground in the minute or two before the quake. Scientists have since said that it was static electricity releasing.
Those who got it wrong, for whatever reason, may feel defensive and retrench into a position that doesn’t accord with the facts.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 03 2015 at 1:27pm
KiwiMum, listining to nature can save lives !
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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