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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

Tracking Nipah Virus -What you don't know

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Medclinician View Drop Down
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    Posted: March 26 2016 at 7:51am
Like Hanta Virus, which an ever present threat which I have been posting about for a decade, Nipah is a highly dangerous newly discovered virus which can spread to people and is deadly.

http://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2016/03/22/470803523/disease-detectives-find-a-really-good-reason-not-to-drink-date-palm-wine

Published March 22, 2016

In Bangladesh in recent years, there have been repeated mini-outbreaks of a disease called Nipah virus – three people here, four there.

Some people develop no symptoms. But in others, the virus can progress from a fever to fatal brain inflammation within a week.

A few years ago, epidemiologists figured out that people were likely getting Nipah from drinking raw date palm sap, a sweet drink popular in the winter, when the sap is easy to tap from trees pierced with a spigot.

A bat clings to a palm tree as it eats sap just above a collection jar. 

A bat clings to a palm tree as it eats sap just above a collection jar.

Courtesy of Emily Gurley
Bats also like the sap and were caught on infrared camera licking streams of it dripping into collection pots. "So you get bat saliva into the stream," says Dr. Stephen Luby, an epidemiologist at Stanford University who worked on solving this initial mystery few years ago.

(For some great shows and other specials subscribe to http://www.discovery.com/)

So far in Bangladesh - Nipah has a 70% mortality rate. It is more deadly in some strains than Ebola.
"The disease was spreading person to person - killing off families. No one could predict... when it might end."

Medclinician


"not if but when" the original Medclinician
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jacksdad Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 26 2016 at 9:13am
Yep, nasty bug. The MEV-1 virus in the 2011 movie "Contagion" was based on Nipah, except they toned it down and gave it a much lower CFR.
Since it was first popped up in the Malaysian village that gave the virus it's name in 1998, it's gone through long periods when it effectively disappeared, but Bangladesh (and to a lesser extent, India) now experiences outbreaks almost annually. The recent discovery that MERS probably originated as a bat virus should wake us up to their potential as a vectors for diseases that may ultimately become adapted to humans. There are a lot of bugs out there just itching to meet us, and we're conveniently building the roads that will carry them out of their traditional stomping grounds.
Smartest animals on Earth, huh?


"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Medclinician Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 27 2016 at 9:53am
Originally posted by jacksdad jacksdad wrote:

Yep, nasty bug. The MEV-1 virus in the 2011 movie "Contagion" was based on Nipah, except they toned it down and gave it a much lower CFR.
Since it was first popped up in the Malaysian village that gave the virus it's name in 1998, it's gone through long periods when it effectively disappeared, but Bangladesh (and to a lesser extent, India) now experiences outbreaks almost annually. The recent discovery that MERS probably originated as a bat virus should wake us up to their potential as a vectors for diseases that may ultimately become adapted to humans. There are a lot of bugs out there just itching to meet us, and we're conveniently building the roads that will carry them out of their traditional stomping grounds.
Smartest animals on Earth, huh?



Hello Jacksdad. As I watched the video and failed to post- the later part of it does a fair job of covering many of our emerging viral problems - especially H5N1. To paraphrase - short of a all out nuclear exchange - a virus such as Nipah becoming airborne could be the worst even in human history - wiping out most of the human race.

Lots of movies with worried people running about in Hazmat suits
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hazmat_suit
The United States Department of Homeland Security defines a hazmat suit as "an overall garment worn to protect people from hazardous materials or substances, including chemicals, biological agents, or radioactive materials."




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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jacksdad Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 27 2016 at 8:50pm
Now's the time to buy things like Hazmat suits, Med - or even extras for when demand peaks again and prices skyrocket.
"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary.
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