Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
Going outside during the pandemic |
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newyorkprepper
Valued Member Joined: April 22 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 18 |
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Posted: April 26 2006 at 12:06pm |
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If the pandemic actually occurs, will it REALLY be harmful to go outside? I mean, other than the risk of dealing with potentially contaminated people?
We plan to isolate on our 12 acre vacation property, where there are no other people. Why couldn't I go outside there if I wanted to?
Thanks!
Newyorkprepper
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"And in the end....the love you make is equal to the love you take."
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Ironstone
Valued Member Joined: March 13 2006 Status: Offline Points: 383 |
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I think that would be mostly up to you. I plan on going outside but will decontaminate the area i plan to walk in first. On a farm you have lots of places for birds to perch and their fecal matter could be tracked about. It might be wise to plan on inside and outside shoes, using plastic bags to remove shoes outside, changing clothes before entering the house, disinfectant to step in before going into a barn or shed area. The virus will survive a long time in bird droppings, mud and water. Before preparing garden food or even taking into the house it might be wise to have a bucket of bleach-water to put it into. Just a bit will kill the virus and then you can was with clear water. All up to the individual as to where the danger may lie and what to do about it.
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Ironstone
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crystal
Valued Member Joined: February 16 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 156 |
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newyork - I live in Colorado (from New York originally) in a resort/rural area and I agree with Ironstone. Be careful where you step and if you have cats don't let them outside as they can become infected. I will walk my dogs but make sure they are clean when they come in - maybe put some sort of "boots" on them. Welcome to this forum!
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peace
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JaxMax
Adviser Group Joined: March 01 2006 Status: Offline Points: 801 |
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You will either go outside or go insane.
Cabin fever sets in after 3 or 4 days. |
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He who walks with the wise grows wise, but a companion of fools suffers harm.Proverbs 13:20, The Bible
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buzz1
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I think this is a case of overeaction. I really have a real problem with the idea of staying indoors just because birds in your area MAY be infected. Evidence indicates that it takes close contact to catch H5N1 from infected birds. It is much harder to catch that way than catching traditional flu from humans.
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JaxMax
Adviser Group Joined: March 01 2006 Status: Offline Points: 801 |
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I agree with buzz1.
And in John Barry's book "The Great Influenza" there was speculation that even those contracting the flu fared better if their beds were outside in the sunshine some each day. The book has a picture from the National Archives of a makeshift hospital with small tents and the beds outside. |
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He who walks with the wise grows wise, but a companion of fools suffers harm.Proverbs 13:20, The Bible
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TomMI
Adviser Group Joined: February 28 2006 Status: Offline Points: 194 |
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Diseases Caused by Pest Birds
The general public's affection toward birds translates into a serious underestimation of the
health risks associated with pest birds. People who would never tolerate a colony of rats living in their attic will turn a blind eye towards pigeons entrenched in the rafters of their roof. Yet, in terms of disease and damage, the two pests are quite similar. In order to better understand how nuisance birds (or rats for that matter) spread disease we need to understand the basics of disease and transmission. What is a Disease? Fortunately, human interaction with most bird species is minimal, thus drastically reducing any health threat from most birds. However a few bird species have successfully adapted to our urban environment. The pigeon, starling and house sparrow have learned to thrive living in our buildings and eating our food. Their adaptation to our communities has brought them into close proximity to humans. These three non-native birds have become a major nuisance in our cities and they pose a serious health risk. How Pest Birds Harbor and Spread Disease Food & Water Contaminated with Feces Inhalation of fecal dust Direct contact with feces Associated Parasites How to Handle Pest Birds Problems From A Health Perspective
Finally, it is not enough to remove the birds, it is crucial to exterminate all the ectoparasites and thoroughly disinfect the site. Please refer to our page on bird waste cleanup for more information. |
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A sensible man watches for problems ahead and prepares to meet them. The simpleton never looks and suffers the consequences.
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TomMI
Adviser Group Joined: February 28 2006 Status: Offline Points: 194 |
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By the way, I have no connection to the cleaning products company listed on this post.
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A sensible man watches for problems ahead and prepares to meet them. The simpleton never looks and suffers the consequences.
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TomMI
Adviser Group Joined: February 28 2006 Status: Offline Points: 194 |
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A sensible man watches for problems ahead and prepares to meet them. The simpleton never looks and suffers the consequences.
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oknut
V.I.P. Member Joined: March 04 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 847 |
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I don't plan to stay cooped up in the house, but we wouldn't be socializing. Guess I'm taking a middle road approach and plan to still work in the yard and tend the garden.
When it happens, we will no doubt be feeding our dear friends next door unless they decide to prep before then so we'll be going back and forth to each others homes. Hubby has already told me that he will continue to work (with mask) for as long as he's needed. He works during the night and has minimal contact with others though. I like the idea of keeping a mild bleach solution near the door and using it for disinfecting. |
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"As
bird feces and/or the contaminated soil it rests on, dries or is disturbed,
microscopic pieces break off and become airborne. These airborne particles can contain
dormant fungi and/or bacteria. When breathed into the lungs, the warm, moist
environment of the lung lining provides a breeding ground for the infectious
agents." I
haven’t seen anything that convinces me it’s save to go outside even in an
isolated area. We live in a fairly isolated area too and would love to be able
to be outside, but I don’t think it’s safe. Convince
me it's safe! I want to go out too! (Once
someone has avian flu, I do think fresh air makes sense.) |
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NawtyBits
Valued Member Joined: February 28 2006 Status: Offline Points: 430 |
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Ok folks, riddle me this:
Once BF goes H2H, then it's H we have to worry about and only the fluids of B's. It stands to reason, that once the virus mutates to H2H, that particular version won't infect birds...at least for a while....right?? Infected birds are a fluid/droppings issue, but that is the B2B version, and with good safety practices (don't lick bird poop, or don't rub swan mucus on your body) you should be ok to be outside. Am I mistaken in thinking that once it crosses over, probably won't cross back to birds, at least for a while? nawty |
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NawtyBits
Valued Member Joined: February 28 2006 Status: Offline Points: 430 |
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I mean, its the Human-to-Human version that will cause the pandemic,
that is humans infecting other people, not birds any more than now.
nawty |
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oknut
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That's what I've been thinking too NawtyBits. I might still want to disinfect my veggies - bird doodoo and all, but as long as I stay away from potential human carriers, I should be able to enjoy the outdoors.
I work from home and sometimes my work load keeps me from doing things outside for weeks at a time. It's torture. We need sunshine and fresh air. I don't believe any place will provide 100% protection or that I'd want the sort of life 100% protection would require. Of course, I'm already getting old so I may not be as worried about the inevitable as some are. |
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Shame, I've been using it as body lotion. Beth
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Ironstone
Valued Member Joined: March 13 2006 Status: Offline Points: 383 |
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Even if it goes H2H you still want to be careful outside. The start of the HK outbreak was from bird droppings on a childs shoe. I have a couple of small trees and the birds nest in them with spots on the patio below of their droppings. You may of course roll around in anything you wish but it many not be wise to discount bird droppings as a factor. It can mutate in more than one spot. JMO
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Ironstone
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oknut
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Beth - I'll probably reget this but your post cracked me up.
So ... do you scent it first or just use it as is? I actually have a couple closet shelves full of essential oils and soapmaking supplies to get rid of so I can store more preps. So I imagined you choosing a scent for your swan mucous. Sorry. |
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NawtyBits
Valued Member Joined: February 28 2006 Status: Offline Points: 430 |
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BelleStarr
Valued Member Joined: March 17 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 100 |
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We will have to go outside for the horses, but we intend to be very careful and social distance.
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Serenity now!
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Legacy
Valued Member Location: Ohio Joined: April 20 2006 Status: Offline Points: 329 |
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OK...that being said, haven't I read numerous times in this forum that the sun's rays will kill this virus after approx. 48 hours? So...we're referring only to fresh bird doody, yes? Maybe we need to look at it like this...when it becomes clear that the chances of being hit by a meteor, or winning the lottery, etc. are greater than contracting BF from walking the dog, it's time to let up a little and get some fresh air. I know that I, for one, will definitely be riding my bike, at least.
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I do everything my Rice Crispies tell me to....
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Scott
V.I.P. Member Joined: February 06 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 131 |
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Bird droppings maintain the life of the virus for up to 45 days.
scott |
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As the Dark Horse Approaches.
Improvise Adapt and Overcome! |
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Well, that being said ... if this is a spring-time/summer-time virus when it hits ... what about the grass? Grass will grow and need to be cut or we're looking at another set of troubles! ... what about the dried bird droppings that would fly in the air? Didn't I read somewhere on here that they could carry the virus? Or am I starting to look at this too much? Easy to do w/ all the scenarios being discussed! -k
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It will not be a problem until infected birds arrive in your country. After that the garden has to be treated as a contaminated area. Lawn mowers would be a very effective way of distributing the infected bird droppings as an aerosol.
I think the first danger is children playing on the grass. They play with their toys, crawl, rub their eyes, pick their noses and put their fingers in their mouths, so one really needs a decontaminated covered area for them to play in, that is sprayed regularly with, for example a 5% dilution of bleach. I am not sure what that will do for grass !.
One of the avian flu outbreaks was caused by bird droppings being transported on the bottom of a shoe. If you have been mowing a lawn then more than the shoes would be contaminated if infected droppings existed. So we have to start a decontamination point near the entrance to the main house. It is easier to decontaminate rubber boots thatn leather shoes. All suspect clothes should be decontaminated and removed at your decontamination point. Discarded clothes can either be put into a marked container for disposal or soaked in a 5% bleach solution (or alternative such as Virkon-S by DuPont). Everyone ends up wearing white !.
People do not mention goggles too often, but they should be airtight, which tends to rule out ventilated DIY goggles which probably do not fit very well either. A good off the shelf solution is a pair of standard swimming goggles which are air tight and chlorine proof. Decontamination of the mask depends upon what type you are using. Disposable ones are mean to be used once. The problem being how to decontaminate the mask without affecting it's efficiency or cross contamination. There was recently a good article on this forum on decontamination proceedures.
Normally in the B2B stage decontamination of shoes would probably be enough, but remember that if the shoes were contaminated then so will you hands be after removing them. So you need to decontaminate the hands before entering the home and once inside go straight to the bathroom and spend at least 30 seconds washing them with soap and water. I also intend to spray paths around the house with 5% bleach, but one has to remember that in sunshine the bleach stops being a disinfectant within 30 minutes as the chlorine gas is lost. Therefore it makes sense to spray 30 minutes before you want to use a path or area. If you want to consider the problems of cross contamination try thinking about how you would take off a pair of contaminated gloves .... without contaminating yourself.
In the H2H situation you additionally have to work out how infected humans or objects (like the mail) will bypass your defences.
Just to cheer you up, in UK we have a special little problem. We get our milk delivered to the door in glass milk bottles with foil caps. Long ago the birds worked out that if they pecked a hole in the foil cap they could drink the cream from the top of the bottle !. Now imagine an infected bird dribbling in the milk .... just another example of how careful one needs to be.
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Lets start a competition for who can suggest the best perfume for "Swan Mucous Body Lotion". Beth
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Rocky
V.I.P. Member Joined: January 07 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 219 |
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Great material here, but I think I am still searching frantically for a reason to validate the safety of going outside. Here is my question, obviously I need some accurate, technical info to answer it. A reminder, I live isolated and would only be with family members. No outsiders.
The pooping, coughing, feathering, fluttering, sneezing etc of a sick or about to be sick bird could contain BIRD virus, right. And this infectious material can be transferred fromj bird to bird. And this stuff could stay infectious up to 45 days, resting in dirt, grass, etc.- BUT Is this particular bird to bird virus harmful to humans (ie scuffed up in dust and inhaled). This virus we are talking about has not gone from bird to human to ME, but from bird to bird to ME. My breathing in some dust mixed with this virus-how serious is that since I am NOT a bird? I would still err on the side of caution by putting my outside only shoes on and off with gloved hands, perhaps wearing only outside clothes which are taken off outside and popped into bleach water before washing, disinfecting feet of dogs who went for a leash walk with me and who remain kenneled outside) etc. Please, your thoughts. Rocky |
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Rocky |
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That's what I was thinking, also. But, we are in a residentail area w/woods behind us and neighbors immediatley on either side. (I can throw a stone at their house & I don't throw well at all!) As far as the pup goes ... he's a house dog through and through ... an Australian Shepherd ... goes NOWHERE without me in his sight. We would have him potty in a restricted area and have plastic bag booties to remove after his leash walk (if he gets one). Reminder to self: Purchase one lg. container to used for disinfecting of outside clothes. ... there goes more of that precious water we have stored!!! Any suggestions regarding that???-k
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2ifbyC
Adviser Group Joined: March 30 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 533 |
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USGI goggles here: http://www.tedsmilitarysurplus.com/opticselec/sgsunwinddust.html
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Survival does have an 'I'!
Dodging 'canes on Florida's central Gulf Coast |
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redcloud
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It is difficult for glasses wearers to find an airtight goggle. Sort of a contradiction in terms really.
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redcloud in the UK you can get prescription swimming goggles. Maybe you can get them where you are.
About going outside. It will not only be birds and humans infected. It will be other mammals aswell.
In 1918 some people were convinced that they were getting the flu from dogs. Lots of dogs were abandoned.
If food is scarce animals will be fed last. Remember cats, dogs and other mammals have caught the virus already. They may become vectors.
Animals will be scavaging infected dead carcasses, further spreading the disease. Their poop will be everywhere also.
We have all seen the biohazard gear vets and culling workers are wearing in contaminated areas at the moment to protect themselves from infection.
If I have to go out in a dire emergency in a pandemic it will be with goggles, mask, disposable overalls with hood, vynyl gloves, boots with disposable covers and then decontaminate outside the house when I return. Throw old clothes away. Spray myself with bleach solution enter house and shower if possible or good wash if water was scarce. Other than that I think that you could unwittingly bring the virus inside with you.
I have thought about the washing of clothes in bleach solution but then you have to go outside again to wash them and bring them in to dry. Or you have to wash them at the time before you decontaminate. It all takes some thinking through and thought it easier with old clothes with disposable overalls and throw all away leave rubber boots outside covered.
Going out would be a military precision operation with a lot of forethought.
I read an account by Canada Sue about a pandemic and the above is what she said she would do if she had to go out in a potential pandemic. I thought it made sense and bought all the biogear for myself and my young child.
Some may think it over the top but we have to do what we as individuals think best for our families. If I go down with flu who will look after my little one?
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Disposable Overalls????
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Yes to cover the body and hair to limit contamination a little. May help who knows?
We could be walking around dead rotting carcases or dead bodies by then. Doesn't sound nice but it may happen if things get really out of control and they can't get the bodies into mass graves in time!
I live in a small village.
Services are limited here now. We only have 2 buses run through a day.
I don't thnk we can even imagine a worse case scenario!
In the above conditions I certainly won't be mowing the grass.
Prepare for the worst and hope for the best! That's my motto.
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xx
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Yes, disposable overalls here too. Two huge boxes of them - there are five of us.
We don't intend to go out unless it's an emergency. We're fairly rural, but you can still pick it up from birds even once it's mutated to become h2h. I also want the coveralls in case one of us comes down with the virus. We'll use all of the gear that fluprepper mentions each time we go into the sickroom. That will be goggles, mask, disposable overalls with hood, double vynyl gloves, boots with disposable covers. Actually our overalls have booties attached (ugly as can be) A surgical mask for the patient if possible. I intend to survive it if I can - I have children to raise. |
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Yes I think shower caps will make a comeback.
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disposable overalls - this company has the best price that I could find - if you order a case...
http://www.protective-clothing.net/ProductCart/pc/viewPrd.asp?idcategory=125&idproduct=532 http://www.protective-clothing.net/ProductCart/pc/viewPrd.asp?idcategory=125&idproduct=410 |
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People are picking up avian flu from birds now - a few just from walking past infected birds in open markets.
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tonseck
Adviser Group Joined: March 06 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 316 |
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Aurora,
Cite that or retract it.
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Don't be afraid to be afraid; it keeps you on your toes.
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MAJDAD
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Aurora: I completely agree with Carpenter on that post. I have never seen any evidence of what you have said. We have enough people in here worried to death about this and what none of us need are rumors and or really bad info.
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Major Dad hopes you are all alive and well and looking out for each other
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Hang on I'll find it. I do think you could ask without being rude.
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MAJDAD
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Sorry Aurora, I did not intend to be rude. It is just that I have been watching the posts and a lot of our people are very very worried.
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Major Dad hopes you are all alive and well and looking out for each other
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Hong Kong University microbiology professor Yuen Kwok-yung said it is possible that the latest mainland victim may have contracted the virus through - what he called- casual contact. Yuen said it is possible for people to catch the virus just by walking through a wet market near seemingly healthy chickens. |
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MAJDAD
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OK Got it:
The Casual contact with live chickens imported from Main Land China. The professor did not cite a specific case of such infection.
Also the Government was using that statement to hold on to a ban on import of live chickens from the Mainland against an increasing demand from business that wanted such increase to help with their sales.
Good cite on the data. Will take it with a grain of salt considering the source and the reason for the statement.
Good Catch Aurora and FluPrepper.
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Major Dad hopes you are all alive and well and looking out for each other
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Gravitation
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It's H2H we have to guard against isn't it? I'm staying indoors for the duration unless I get called up to do something and prison is the other option! Dont think I could take prison.
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Inscriptions and Birddroppings are the only two things in Egypt that give any indication of life - Flaubert
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Proudest Monkey
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That would drive me crazy to stay indoors all the time. There is no way that I could do such a thing. If the bird flu goes human to human, I would think that people would be most infectious, hence the term "human to human". That is what I remember Dr. Michael T. Osterholm saying on the Oprah show. I do not remember the exact words that he used. |
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Brad
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Well this is kind of refreshing! I'm used to being kidded about
my paranoid survivalist tendencies, but some of you folks leave me in
the dust. (Hopefully not H5N1 virul-laden dust.) If BF goes
H2H in a big way, I'll quit going to work and the kids won't be going
to school, and we certainly won't be going out into groups of
people. Maybe we'll even spray the shoes with a bleach solution
after being outside. But we will be going outside, just to
maintain some sanity. From everything I've read the odds of
catching H2H BF from taking a walk down a paved suburban street are
close to "zero." If I'm wrong, you all are more than welcome to
help yourselves to my "stuff."
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