Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
H5N1 - its nearly here |
Post Reply |
Author | |
Kilt2
Adviser Group Joined: December 17 2007 Status: Offline Points: 7414 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
Posted: August 16 2014 at 2:24am |
Potential Human Adaptation Mutation of Influenza A(H5N1) Virus, CanadaEmerg Infect Dis vol. 20 (9) - September 20146 August, 2014
In December 2013, influenza associated with pandemic influenza A/H5N1 was reported in
|
|
And I looked, and behold a pale horse: and his name that sat on him was Death, and Hell followed with him.
|
|
jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
Every time we write H5N1 off, it pops back up with something new. I've yet to see anything that changes my belief that influenza is the virus that could potentially bring us to our knees. It mutates at a hellacious rate, reassorts with ease, spreads like wildfire, and can kill as efficiently as just about anything out there. No other pathogen has as many pandemic cards in it's deck, and nothing else has been handed the opportunities that influenza has in the form of wet markets and factory farming.
|
|
"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
|
Kilt2
Adviser Group Joined: December 17 2007 Status: Offline Points: 7414 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
right
and it has mutated and the woman in Canada died of the new strain which is almost a pandemic strain its almost here
|
|
And I looked, and behold a pale horse: and his name that sat on him was Death, and Hell followed with him.
|
|
jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
Maybe, maybe not, Kilt. This bad boy is certainly taking it's sweet time. But even if it doesn't manage the last few mutations it needs, there are numerous strains brewing in the wild and domestic poultry that could jump without warning.
|
|
"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
|
Guests
Guest Group |
Post Options
Thanks(1)
|
Hey guys, there is going to be a Pandemic....a huge one and it does not matter what it is it is coming. Why is because there are too many people.
In the old days it was because of close dirty quarters, no containment of rodents, no meds, and war where men were in close quarters. I am upping my preps slow but sure. By mid October I will be ready as I can be for what comes! |
|
jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
Couldn't agree more, FluMom. Overpopulation is a huge factor in the propagation and spread of disease.
|
|
"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
|
Kilt2
Adviser Group Joined: December 17 2007 Status: Offline Points: 7414 |
Post Options
Thanks(1)
|
there are 2 kinds of mutation - drift and shift
this bug is playing Russian Roulette with its RNA and the chamber is loaded. The canadian woman had a new mutated line where its almost a pandemic strain - this is very concerning and very close. All it takes is for someone to catch H5N1 and a Human flu H3N2 for example and a recombined menace is made and will sweep the world. This quote is very concerning I suggest you read it carefully. The investigators note two previously reported mutations,
The researchers from Singapore and Canada suggested that G225R could incur a relative predicted increase in binding to the human-like receptors, the role of R193K is less clear with a slight predicted tendency of favoring avian-like receptors. |
|
And I looked, and behold a pale horse: and his name that sat on him was Death, and Hell followed with him.
|
|
jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
Believe me Kilt, I went over it quite a few times when you first posted it. And I agree - it's significant in it's implication that maybe H5N1 is not as genetically stable as we'd begun to think. A lot of us had written it off as a pandemic threat, but I guess that might be a little naive given flu's innate ability to mutate. And maybe it won't be the next pandemic strain, but it may bring something to the viral mix and match party that spawns the next big one.
|
|
"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
|
Post Reply | |
Tweet
|
Forum Jump | Forum Permissions You cannot post new topics in this forum You cannot reply to topics in this forum You cannot delete your posts in this forum You cannot edit your posts in this forum You cannot create polls in this forum You can vote in polls in this forum |