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Ebola: "We do not really know the number of victim

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Albert View Drop Down
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    Posted: August 16 2014 at 4:36pm

Ebola: "We do not really know the number of victims"


A "secure" in Sierra Leone funeral July 18, 2014
A "secure" in Sierra Leone July 18, 2014 © Reuters funeral -

The World Health Organization and NGOs are alarmed a number of victims of Ebola "significantly undervalued" in West Africa. According to Doctors Without Borders, the means implemented to date are not sufficient to cope with the scale of the epidemic.

Officially, the Ebola outbreak, the worst since the onset of the hemorrhagic fever in 1976 was 1,145 dead, 380 in Guinea, Liberia 413, 348 in Sierra Leone and four in Nigeria.

But this figure is an estimate because "the staff present in epidemic areas noted evidence that the number of reported cases and deaths do not reflect the scale of the epidemic," said the World Organisation Health in a statement.

So how many victims? Impossible to know precisely according Joanne Liu, director of Doctors Without Borders. . "We know that cases are underestimated but has no system in place to do a full data collection on site in each village, the people say: 'There have been deaths in the community this night. "But without more information, and with no means to get out there, we can not account for these victims."

To be aware of the situation, Dr. Joanne Liu went to West Africa for ten days. She tells France Info.
Doctors Without Borders therefore calls for greater international co-led by WHO. "All governments must mobilize. This must be done now if we are to contain this epidemic," continued Joanne Liu.

Avoid food crisis

The World Health Organization has also made 75 million euros in an attempt to better identify people and areas affected by the epidemic. "This is set up treatment centers to have a monitoring system to identify foci of transmission, sending protective equipment for health care workers. Should also bring in experts' , details the spokesman of the international institution.

The World Health Organization also says she "is coordinating a massive increase in the international response." At his request, the World Food Programme of the United Nations will help one million people in Sierra Leone, Liberia and Guinea to prevent a food crisis in addition to the health crisis.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote carbon20 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 25 2014 at 2:07pm

Ebola contacts in Africa go missing

By Elizabeth Cohen, Senior Medical Correspondent
August 25, 2014 -- Updated 1750 GMT (0150 HKT)

STORY HIGHLIGHTS
  • Preliminary data shows health officials are missing 40 to 60% of contacts for Ebola patients
  • Many Ebola patients don't want to name names out of fear
  • Just one contract left un-traced could start new line of Ebola transmission

CNN's Isha Sesay will be hosting a special coverage program about West Africa's Ebola outbreak on Monday, August 25. Tune in at 2.30pm ET / 7.30pm BST.

(CNN) -- Earlier this summer, Kelsey Mirkovic, a disease detective with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, entered a hut with her team in Gueckedou, Guinea, to speak with a man who had Ebola.

Their mission: to get the names of everyone he'd had contact with while he was ill, so that they could stop those people from spreading the disease.

"Who lives with you here? Who has eaten off the same plate as you? Who has bathed you and taken care of you?" they asked him.

Just his wife, the man answered.

Mirkovic and her team knew that wasn't true.


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They knew he had children, and they knew that in West Africa, families and even neighbors eat off the same plate and bathe and care for sick people. They explained to the man how important it was to stop Ebola, and that his friends and family would be treated with respect.

Their pleas didn't work.

Mirkovic saw this scene play out over and over again. One of her colleagues at the CDC who's worked in Liberia says preliminary data shows they could be missing 40 to 60% of the contacts of known Ebola patients.

"This is one of the hardest parts of the response," said Dr. Brett Petersen, a medical officer with the CDC.

Mirkovic agrees. She says she understands why Ebola patients don't want to name names: There was a rumor going around the communities she worked in that getting on a contact list meant you would die -- and the deaths would happen in the same order as they appeared on the list.

"I understand they're scared," she said. "But it's very frustrating."

The Ebola outbreak in the West African nations of Guinea, Sierra Leone, Liberia and Nigeria has killed nearly 1,500 people. Just one contact left un-traced could go on to start a whole new line of Ebola transmission.

"It's like fighting a forest fire. If you leave behind even one burning ember, one case undetected, it could reignite the epidemic," Dr. Thomas Frieden, the director of the CDC, told reporters at a press conference earlier this summer.

"Contact tracing is a formidable challenge," said Dr. Margaret Chan, director-general of the World Health Organization. "In some areas, chains of transmission have moved underground. They are invisible. They are not being reported."

There's no solid number of how many contacts have gone missing. Petersen said the CDC arrived at the 40 to 60% number because in some communities, each sick person has only listed an average of two contacts -- and households commonly have five or six people.

Mirkovic, an officer with the CDC's epidemic intelligence service, said when she and her team felt patients weren't being honest, they would try to get information from neighbors or community leaders.

Sometimes that helped, and sometimes it didn't.

"Unfortunately, there's nothing we can do," she said. "We can't force them" to give contacts.

The World Health Organization estimates that 10% of contacts will go on to develop symptoms of Ebola. Occasionally, some of these Ebola cases go missing as well.

"Many families hide infected loved ones in their homes," according to a WHO press release issued Friday.

Mirkovic, who left Guinea in the end of July, said she felt that the situation might improve as health care workers gain more trust in the community.

But there's another problem with that: the availability of workers to follow up with contacts.

For example, in Sierra Leone, there are 2,000 contacts that need following, but the group Doctors without Borders says they've only been able to follow up with about 200 of them.

The group's teams in Sierra Leone and Liberia are "stretched to the breaking point" as the epidemic is "spiraling out of control," the group wrote in a press release.

READ: Borders closing over Ebola fears

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What happens when you survive Ebola?

Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.🖖

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote KiwiMum Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 25 2014 at 4:46pm
That's so interesting. 

I can entirely see why people aren't giving the names of their loved ones. If they get rounded up  and put in a camp/quarantine situation with other possible cases, then their chances of catching Ebola would go up significantly from the other people in the camp. If they don't go in, they may come down with it anyway, or they may escape it altogether. 

By not naming them, then the Ebola victim is giving their loved ones a small chance of escaping the disease. I fully appreciate that for the greater good, all contacts should be given up but, speaking for myself only, I would never give up my child for the greater good so I can understand why they are clamming up.
Those who got it wrong, for whatever reason, may feel defensive and retrench into a position that doesn’t accord with the facts.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote DANNYKELLEY Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 25 2014 at 5:06pm
So can I,The hell with the greater good when it comes to my family.
WHAT TO DO????
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote carbon20 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 25 2014 at 8:00pm
scary 
Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.🖖

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 25 2014 at 9:52pm
If they know how to keep the rest of the family from getting Ebola this could work but I doubt they can do that. Doomed if they do and doomed if they don't. Glad I am not living through this nightmare and hope we don't.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Hazelpad Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 26 2014 at 1:30am
Also how are a lot of theses people supposed to self isolate for 21 says. How can they afford to do that. Many live hand to mouth, if they earn that day they eat. 21 days prep is impossible for many. They need to get food aid in to allow people the luxury of restricting their movements. They also need to up the public profile of the treatment centres. Images of people left to die on mattresses in old schools don't help. Some papers say locals call them the death houses, and they are scared to go there. If this is the perceptions held, then who would go there except out of desperation.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 26 2014 at 3:58am
Those living hand to mouth also have the problem of communications (my personal expertise) If you believe yourself ill and know there can be aid drops to feed/water you for the duration of your confinement, how do you ask for help?   

These people obviously do not have a mobile phone.  They cannot even phone from a call box, you need money for that.  If you have the coin for a phone box, and decide to use it for an assistance call (instead of today's dinner) you need to be certain that aid will come.  The dead body lying in the street just around the corner for the last week gives the lie to that. 

If you have no home phone, no mobile phone and consequently no phone directory, no tv and only ocasionally can you aford the batteries for a radio.  Do you even know what number to call?  You sure do not want to go to the death house Hazelpad mentions above especially if you have no symptoms yet.

Even in the best possible senario where the person who needs to self isolate can make a public call box call,  how much infective material will they leave on that phone?

During the black death, they painted red crosses on their doors as a quarantine measure,  this was probably better than nothing but not exactly efective.  This might work now with a disease not spread by rats (as far as we know)  But no one is going to attempt it unless they trust the authorities to support them for the duration.  Based on previous African authority behaviour, that is about as likely as the Second Comming happening tomorrow, with Elvis and his ET buddies arriving as prophets and assisting in the rapture............  Oh look there is a pig squadron going over!
How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving.
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