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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

Ebola 4784 cases / 2400 + deaths
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Albert View Drop Down
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    Posted: September 12 2014 at 7:19am

West Africa Ebola toll rises to more than 2,400 dead

(Reuters) - The death toll from West Africa's Ebola outbreak has risen to more than 2,400 from at least 4,784 cases, but that is highly likely to be an underestimate, the World Health Organisation's director general Margaret Chan said on Friday.

Chan said the number of cases of the deadly viral disease is rising faster than authorities' ability to manage them, and she called for international support in sending healthcare workers, medical supplies and aid to the worst-affected countries of Guinea, Sierra Leone and Liberia. (Reporting by Kate Kelland; Editing by Janet Lawrence)

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/09/12/health-ebola-toll-idUSL5N0RD1JG20140912?feedType=RSS
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Albert View Drop Down
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Looks like it's picking up.  Guinea is having a lot of success in their immunity and controlling it, unless they're under-reporting in a big way.








http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ebola_virus_epidemic_in_West_Africa
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Points: 47746 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Albert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 12 2014 at 8:00am
A little confusing why the WHO's update is addressing Congo when at the moment it's still one of their smallest outbreaks ever - and plus it has nothing to do with the current outbreak.  So why the big updates on Congo and nothing on Nigeria and Senegal, and general spread? 


Latest WHO Update:

Ebola virus disease outbreak – Democratic Republic of the Congo - update 10 September 2014

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Epidemiological situation 

Between 2 and 9 September 2014, there have been 31 more cases of Ebola virus disease (EVD) reported in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), increasing the cumulative number of cases to 62 (14 confirmed, 26 probable, and 22 suspect). In total, 35 deaths have been reported (9 confirmed and 26 probable). No deaths have been reported among suspected cases. Nine health-care workers have been diagnosed with EVD, including 7 deaths. All the cases have been localized in Jeera county. The affected villages are Watsi Kengo, Lokolia, Boende, and Boende Muke. Currently, 9 cases have been hospitalized: 4 in Lokolia; 2 in Watsikengo; 2 in Boende; and 1 in Boende Moke. A total of 386 contacts have been listed and 239 contacts have been followed-up. All cases and contacts are linked to the initial index case reported to the World Health Organization on 26 August 2014.

Response activities

During a regional meeting between the Ministry of Health of DRC and the Southern African Development Community on the management and prevention of EVD transmission, the following measures were recommended: standardization of the interventions for the prevention of EVD and enhancement of sanitary border control without impeding international traffic.

Under the leadership of the Government, the international community is providing strong logistical support and sending experts, equipment, food, and transportation means to the field.

A team of national and international specialists have been deployed to work with the local response teams. Patients are being treated in temporary isolation units in Watsi Kengo, Lokolia, Boende, and Boende Muke. A mobile laboratory from the National Institute of Biomedical Research (INRB) has been installed in Lokolia and is currently functional. Two laboratory epidemiologists from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention have arrived in DRC to support the INRB field team.

Contact tracing activities are being carried out by an assigned team with supervision from of a medical epidemiologist and a community worker, and when required, psychologists visit and dialogue with communities. Ongoing sensitization activities to mobilize community leaders are being implemented.

Data reported in the Disease Outbreak News are based on official information reported by the Ministry of Health. These numbers are subject to change due to ongoing reclassification, retrospective investigation, and availability of laboratory results.

WHO does not recommend any travel or trade restrictions be applied except in cases where individuals have been confirmed or are suspected of being infected with EVD or where individuals have had contact with cases of EVD. (Contacts do not include properly-protected health-care workers and laboratory staff.)

http://www.afro.who.int/en/clusters-a-programmes/dpc/epidemic-a-pandemic-alert-and-response/outbreak-news/4272-ebola-virus-disease-outbreak-drc-10-september-2014.html
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Possibly because it's now doubled there in Congo in a week. Same percentages of cases, deaths and healthcare workers being infected. It's déjà vu. Lets see if they have learned anything about the Western outbreak and aply that to the Congo one.
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Originally posted by onefluover onefluover wrote:

Possibly because it's now doubled there in Congo in a week. Same percentages of cases, deaths and healthcare workers being infected. It's déjà vu. Lets see if they have learned anything about the Western outbreak and aply that to the Congo one.
Don't hold your breath waiting for that one.
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I personally think it's a diversion because of Senegal and Nigeria.  Talk about anything and give any update, but don't discuss spread and for God sakes don't mention Nigeria.   They are clearly avoiding certain updates.  They should save the Congo crud (smoke and mirrors) as it will be easy to contain there.  

Another senseless ongoing WHO update.  This has got to be a joke.  

When the news comes out about Nigeria that the virus is spreading, believe me, we will be the first ones to condemn authorities for concealing and suppressing the info.   They could be afraid of a mass exodus from Nigeria, which probably wouldn't be ideal.


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Originally posted by Technophobe Technophobe wrote:

Originally posted by onefluover onefluover wrote:

Possibly because it's now doubled there in Congo in a week. Same percentages of cases, deaths and healthcare workers being infected. It's déjà vu. Lets see if they have learned anything about the Western outbreak and aply that to the Congo one.
Don't hold your breath waiting for that one.


Hi, I'm new here.

Regarding DRC, this is the country with the most experience dealing with this virus. We should have been wishing for the reverse. That is, that what had been learned in the Congo over 30 years was applied to Guinea. We wouldn't be in this situation if it had.

West Africa, in spite of there apparently being some antigens in blood samples over the decades, did not knowingly confront this disease in years past. One has to assume that when it broke out, villages died and that was it. The rise of the cities is what brought this on.

Sorry if I'm rambling.
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West Africa is the ebov strain and so is Congo. This whole thing probably originated in Congo, which is why officials are all over it. It will be contained there, barring mutations. There is a link.
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Originally posted by Albert Albert wrote:

West Africa is the ebov strain and so is Congo. This whole thing probably originated in Congo, which is why officials are all over it. It will be contained there, barring mutations. There is a link.


The virus in West Africa is a different strain, or clade. They appear to have diverged in 2004. Obviously they are linked by a common ancestor.
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I'm still calling B* on Nigeria. 

Date Total Guinea Liberia Sierra Leone Nigeria Senegal Refs
Cases Deaths Cases Deaths Cases Deaths Cases Deaths Cases Deaths Cases Deaths
10 Sep 2014 4,846 2,375 899 568 2,415 1,307 1,509 493 22 7 3 0 ✓[263][264]
7 Sep 2014 4,366 2,177 861 557 2,081 1,137 1,424 476 22 7 3 0 ✓[68]
3 Sep 2014 4,001 2,089 823 522 1,863 1,078 1,292 452 22 7 1 0 ✓[265]
31 Aug 2014 3,707 1,848 771 494 1,698 871 1,216 476 21 7 1 0 ✓[266]
25 Aug 2014 3,071 1,553 648 430 1,378 694 1,026 422 19 7

✓[267]
20 Aug 2014 2,615 1,427 607 406 1,082 624 910 392 16 5

✓[268]
18 Aug 2014 2,473 1,350 579 396 972 576 907 374 15 4

✓[269]
16 Aug 2014 2,240 1,229 543 394 834 466 848 365 15 4

✓[270]
13 Aug 2014 2,127 1,145 519 380 786 413 810 348 12 4

✓[271]
11 Aug 2014 1,975 1,069 510 377 670 355 783 334 12 3

✓[272]
9 Aug 2014 1,848 1,013 506 373 599 323 730 315 13 2

✓[273]
6 Aug 2014 1,779 961 495 367 554 294 717 298 13 2

✓[274]
4 Aug 2014 1,711 932 495 363 516 282 691 286 9 1

✓[275]
1 Aug 2014 1,603 887 485 358 468 255 646 273 4 1

✓[276]
30 Jul 2014 1,440 826 472 346 391 227 574 252 3 1

✓[277]
27 Jul 2014 1,323 729 460 339 329 156 533 233 1 1

✓[278]
23 Jul 2014 1,201 672 427 319 249 129 525 224



✓[279]
20 Jul 2014 1,093 660 415 314 224 127 454 219



✓[280]
17 Jul 2014 1,048 632 410 310 196 116 442 206



✓[281]
14 Jul 2014 982 613 411 310 174 106 397 197



✓[282]
12 Jul 2014 964 603 406 304 172 105 386 194



✓[283]
8 Jul 2014 888 539 409 309 142 88 337 142



✓[284]
6 Jul 2014 844 518 408 307 131 84 305 127



✓[285]
2 Jul 2014 779 481 412 305 115 75 252 101



✓[286]
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it will be millions
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