Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
H5N1 kills three in Egypt in one week |
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waterboy
Valued Member Joined: January 21 2008 Status: Offline Points: 8170 |
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Posted: December 01 2014 at 7:52am |
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Egypt
34m Egypt's Health Ministry says 3 people have died from H5N1 bird flu in the past week, bringing death toll there to 6 - @Reuters End of alert |
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4 cases and 3 deaths in one week, with 3 of the 4 cases from Minya governate, which has just 5 million of Egypt's 87 million population. That's quite a coincidence, given the short time frame. I really hope we're not going to be told they were all from the same family.
Some strains of H5N1 in Egypt have 2 of the 4 (or 5) genetic mutations believed to be necessary for easy human to human transmission.
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Kilt2
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that puppy is ready to explode
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And I looked, and behold a pale horse: and his name that sat on him was Death, and Hell followed with him.
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arirish
Admin Group Joined: June 19 2013 Location: Arkansas Status: Offline Points: 39215 |
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This is a PLOS article from 2012 but worth a reread and is just as relevant today!
Egyptian H5N1 Influenza Viruses—Cause for Concern? Published: November 15, 2012 •DOI: 10.1371/journal.ppat.1002932 http://www.plospathogens.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.ppat.1002932 |
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carbon20
Moderator Joined: April 08 2006 Location: West Australia Status: Offline Points: 65816 |
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Egypt: Another H5N1 avian flu case reported from MinyaPosted by Robert Herriman on December 2, 2014 // Leave Your CommentFollowing up on reports yesterday of four new human H5N1 avian influenza (AI) cases, including three deaths in Egypt, local media reports on an additional case from Minya governorate (computer translated). The report states a 25-year-old woman from one of the villages of Minya Center, was suffering from fever, cough and shortness of breath after exposure to sick and dead birds. She was isolated on Nov. 28 and treated with Tamiflu. She is currently in stable condition. This is the 12th H5N1 AI case reported by the Egyptian Ministry of Health in 2014, the report notes. A 13th case was reported by the Ministry of Health of Beheira governorate earlier this year. HPAI H5N1 virus can infect the respiratory tract of humans. When people develop illness from HPAI H5N1 virus infection, severe respiratory illness (e.g. pneumonia and respiratory failure) and death may occur, according to the Centers for Disease Controland Prevention. The majority of HPAI H5N1 cases have occurred among children and adults younger than 40 years old. Mortality has been highest in people aged 10-19 years old and young adults. Most human HPAI H5N1 cases have presented late in their illness for medical care and have been hospitalized with severe respiratory disease. However, some clinically mild HPAI H5N1 cases have been reported, especially in children. In the majority of cases, the person got HPAI H5N1 virus infection after direct or close contact with sick or dead infected poultry. |
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Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.🖖
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Another death from H5N1, again in Minya, this time a 26 year old man. It's beginning to look like there's a strain in the region which transmits more easily from birds to humans than other strains. Question is, does that mean it transmits more easily between people?
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/12/03/us-birdflu-egypt-idUSKCN0JH1V520141203
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Kay
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http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/12/03/us-birdflu-egypt-idUSKCN0JH1V520141203
Egyptian dies of H5N1 bird flu, bringing total to seven: health ministry |
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Kay
Adviser Group Joined: October 22 2014 Location: OHIO Status: Offline Points: 7205 |
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http://www.recombinomics.com/News/12031402/H5N1_Egypt_7.html
The
clustering in time and space raises concerns that the H5N1 has changed. Human
sequences since 2009 have belonged to a sub-clade with a deletion
at position 133 and have structural
similarities with seasonal H1N1.
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carbon20
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Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.🖖
Marcus Aurelius |
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Yet another confirmed case, a 33 year old male, but not from Minya.
http://outbreaknewstoday.com/more-h5n1-bird-flu-cases-in-egypt-39888/
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arirish
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More H5N1 bird flu cases in Egypt
Posted by Robert Herriman on December 4, 2014 // Leave Your Comment The number of human H5N1 avian influenza cases continue to climb in Egypt this month as the Egyptian Health ministry announced the ninth and tenth case of the dangerous disease in a press release today (computer translated). The two cases are as follows: A 26-year-old man from a village in Mallawi district of Minya who was suffering from fever, cough and shortness of breath after exposure to birds. He was isolated in the hospital on Nov. 30 and died on Dec. 1. The second case is a 33-year-old from Parit Buntar Suhag governorate who and was suffering from fever, cough and shortness of breath and was isolated in a private hospital. He is currently on a ventilator and in stable condition. The addition of these two cases bring the number reported by the Egyptian MOH in 2014 to 14. A 15th case was reported by the Ministry of Health of Beheira governorate earlier this year. According to the WHO, the primary risk factor for human infection with the virus appears to be direct or indirect exposure to infected live or dead poultry or contaminated environments. They go on to say there is no evidence to suggest that the H5N1 virus can be transmitted to humans through properly prepared poultry or eggs. A few human cases have been linked to consumption of dishes made of raw, contaminated poultry blood. However, slaughter, defeathering, handling carcasses of infected poultry, and preparing poultry for consumption, especially in household settings, are likely to be risk factors. For more infectious disease news and information, visit and “like” the Infectious Disease News http://outbreaknewstoday.com/more-h5n1-bird-flu-cases-in-egypt-39888/ |
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arirish
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Egypt on alert over bird flu Concern that its Dh11b poultry industry faces the prospect of collapse By Ramadan Al Sherbini Correspondent Published: 13:30 December 3, 2014 Cairo: Egyptian health authorities have maximised their measures to combat bird flu (H5N1), after the virus killed six people this year in this country of around 87 million people. Health Minister Dr Adel Al Adwai on Wednesday held a crisis meeting with an ad-hoc committee to discuss efforts to combat the virus amid expectations of a rise in infections this winter. The Health Ministry called on poultry breeders to observe precautionary measures while dealing with birds in the winter when the avian virus usually spreads. The ministry has said it has enough stocks of Tamiflu used to treat the virus. “A relative increase is expected in the number of the recorded H5N1 cases this year especially as the virus has become endemic in Egypt,” said Dr Amr Qandil, an aide to the health minister. “The Higher Commission on Bird Flu meets on a daily basis to monitor the situation.” Residents of Egypt’s rural areas traditionally rear birds inside houses to meet their needs of meat and eggs, raising authorities’ concerns about a wider spread of the virus. Head of the Veterinarians’ Association, Sami Taha, warned in press remarks, that Egypt’s Dh11 billion poultry industry faces the prospect of collapse unless more effective steps are taken to contain the epidemic. Around one million of the nation’s workforce are employed in this industry, according to official figures. Egypt has identified this year 12 cases of H5N1 infections, six of them fatal. A total of 66 people have died of bird flu in the country since 2006, according to health authorities. http://gulfnews.com/news/region/egypt/egypt-on-alert-over-bird-flu-1.1421538 |
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What I find a bit disturbing is that the Egyptian authorities only test for H5N1, if there is evidence of contact with poultry. H to H transmission is probably a long shot, but it's still possible such cases are being missed
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carbon20
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me too i just cant get my head around this one ..........very scary.......
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Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.🖖
Marcus Aurelius |
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jacksdad
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I'm not sure if it's been determined that there is such a thing as a mild or asymptomatic case of H5N1 - it always seems to cause severe respiratory symptoms, and with Egypt's history I'm sure it would be hard for them to miss a case even if they weren't testing. H2H would probably be picked up pretty quickly, especially if the virus follows the pattern we've seen so far and infects within families. I don't think there's much chance of it spreading unnoticed.
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