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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

Unknown Respiratory Outbreak Korean University

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    Posted: October 29 2015 at 2:57pm
Korean University Animal Research Center: Respiratory Outbreak Of Unknown Etiology

A mysterious virus has infected graduate students at Konkuk University's school of veterinary science in Seoul, According to the Korean CDC they are now investigating 31 (not 21 as reported earlier) pneumonia cases linked to a university animal research center.

http://english.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2015/10/29/2015102901785.html

Current PCR-negative infectious diseases tests

- Respiratory bacteria: Mycoplasma, Chlamydia, whooping cough, diphtheria
- Respiratory viruses: Merck's, adenovirus, RS virus, parainfluenza virus, virus meth pneumophila, Boca virus, influenza virus, corona virus

‧ PCR negative antibody test in progress or infectious diseases
- Brucellosis, Q fever, Legionella

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 29 2015 at 3:07pm
Nice catch!  ScaryErmm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 29 2015 at 6:36pm
Thanks technophobe but this is not my story, I just got the heads up from someone else.

The Korea Herald, indicates that the CDC is closely monitoring as many as 850 people who may have been exposed, and is urging anyone with ties to the facility and with symptoms to report them to the CDC immediately.


At this time, most common human and zoonotic infection have been tested for, and tentatively ruled out.  Some tests may need to be repeated, however.  For now, the cause remains a mystery.

 
A big thanks to AFD & Pathfinder for this story.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 30 2015 at 4:57am
The number of `suspect’ cases from yesterday’s 31 to 45 today.  Of those, 11 are in home quarantine, while 34 are quarantined across 7 hospitals. Their conditions appear to range from mild symptoms to moderate or even severe, although scant details are provided.  

For now, despite extensive testing, no microbial cause has been determined.  Serological tests often must wait until 2-4 weeks after the initial infection for antibodies to form,  so one of the `usual suspects’  might still turn up as the culprit here.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 31 2015 at 5:56am
Although we still don’t know the cause of the Konkuk University pneumonia outbreak, the Korean CDC has released a epidemiology report on the event today. Over the past couple of weeks, 41 students and/or faculty members have been diagnosed with what has been described as a  `mild pneumonia’ and placed in isolation.

All appear to have had direct exposure to the Konkuk University Animal Life Sciences building, and thus far none of their close contacts have come down with the illness.  Numerous tests have been run, but so far no viral, bacterial, or fungal cause has been determined.   

The lack of transmission to contacts is a hopeful sign, and may indicate an `environmental’ exposure directly connected to the building.  Some press reports suggest lung biopsies are being tested for signs of mold or fungal infection.  So far, we’ve not seen any results.

The Korean CDC is cautiously hopeful that further spread will be limited.

It is still early days, but the good news is the Korean CDC isn’t repeating the mistakes of the opening weeks of their MERS outbreak, and is updating us regularly on their progress.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 01 2015 at 6:06am
The cause of the unidentified respiratory outbreak linked to the Konkuk University Animal Life Sciences building still remains a mystery - with the number of suspect cases now raised to  68 - of which 49 are currently showing radiological signs of pneumonia.  

This represents an increase of 8 pneumonia cases since yesterday, and a jump in the total number of cases by 24. 

The additional 19 `suspect cases’ are exhibiting minor flu-like symptoms (fever, cough,muscle aches), and will be monitored for any progression of their illness.

Meanwhile, the  Korean CDC continues to monitor at least 1,400 people – who either had access to the Life Sciences building in recent weeks, or who are contacts of patients – for any signs of illness.

So far, all of the confirmed pneumonia cases have had direct exposure to the Life Sciences building – most on floors 4 through 7 (1 on floor 3) - raising hopes that this may be an environmental exposure of some sort (mold, fungi, chemical or toxins, etc.), rather than a viral disease.

If that turns out to be true, it would likely limit the size and scope of this outbreak. But just as no plausible viral, bacterial, or fungal cause has yet been isolated in these patients, no obvious environmental contamination has been identified in the building.  Testing on both fronts continues.

Of course, lab tests generally requires knowing what you are looking for. And if it is something obscure, or previously unidentified - this process could take days, weeks, or even years.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 02 2015 at 5:53am
The epidemiological investigation into South Korea’s atypical pneumonia outbreak linked to the Konkuk University’s Animal Life Sciences building continues, with no specific cause yet determined.

Tests for the `usual suspects’ -  influenza, parainfluenza, adenovirus, coronavirus, bocavirus, Legionella,  etc. -  along with some exotics like Q fever and Brucellosis – have all come back negative.

There are currently 50 cases of x-ray confirmed mild or moderate pneumonia, and another 26 suspect cases with mild `flu-like’ symptoms.  Another 1,500 people – who either had contact with the affected building, or with those who have fallen ill – are being monitored.

Meanwhile, more in-depth testing continues, with environmental sampling at the life sciences building looking for mold, fungi, or chemical contamination that might explain this event.

Cultures of slow growing fungi can take weeks to complete and follow up serological testing is still a couple of weeks away, and so we may not get any definitive answers soon.

For now, all of the pneumonia cases appear to have a history of working at or visiting the animal life sciences building, and no secondary transmission to their contacts has been recorded.  The Korean CDC is cautiously optimistic that this indicates an environmental exposure of some sort, and that spread beyond the facility is therefore unlikely. 

It is unclear from the reports  whether any of the 26 `suspect’ cases fall outside of this building-contact category.  With the winter respiratory season underway, a certain number of non-related respiratory viruses are probably complicating the issue, so we’ll just have to wait and see.

Pneumonia outbreak UPDATE from Yonhap Television News English Nov 1st   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kxCSkxoLrmE&feature=youtu.be/kxCSkxoLrmE
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 03 2015 at 5:58am
Although the Korean CDC continues to investigate on multiple fronts, there is still no breakthrough on the cause of  (what is now) 52 cases of pneumonia linked to workers at the Konkuk University’s Animal Life Sciences building.   An additional 28 people are mildly symptomatic – but have not developed pneumonia – and remain under close observation.

So far, no secondary transmission has been observed to family members or close contacts, suggesting an environmental exposure linked to the building itself.  Tests are being run looking for a bacterial, fungal, or chemical contaminant, but they could take weeks to complete. For now, the cause of this outbreak remains a mystery.

Additionally, more than 1,500 people who either were exposed to the building, or who are contacts of those sickened, are being monitored.

While the size of the outbreak continues to grow, the number of new cases has been decreasing the past few days.  

In addition to testing for a variety of pathogens, the Korean CDC is also conducting a case-control study, hoping to nail down the risk factors leading to infection, and thereby source of the contaminant.   

Other than the identification of 2 new pneumonia cases (and 4 suspect cases), very little is added by today’s update.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 04 2015 at 6:42am
Although Korean investigators have yet to isolate a cause of the pneumonia outbreak centered around the Animal Life Sciences building at Konkuk University, there is good news today as no new cases (suspected or confirmed) have been added over the past 24 hours.

The case counts remains at  52 pneumonia cases in isolation and 28 with mild respiratory symptoms in home quarantine. None of the pneumonia cases are listed as severe, and many are now showing signs of recovery.

More than 1600 others – contacts of  patients or having exposure to the building - are being monitored. All of the pneumonia cases worked on floors 3-7 of the Life Sciences building. Other than 5 positive tests for Rhinovirus (considered an incidental finding), none of the extensive testing has revealed a plausible cause.

Serological testing, while negative so far, will need to be repeated in a couple of weeks.

Given the gradual slowdown in cases a week after the life sciences building was closed, and the lack of any secondary transmission to family contacts, investigators increasingly suspect an environmental contaminant (fungal, bacterial, or chemical) may be involved.   

Answers may take awhile, as environmental testing – particularly for fungi – can take several weeks or even months.

Tomorrow an advisory panel will meet to discuss the case-control study and to assess the epidemiological investigation into this outbreak.  Hopefully we’ll get more details then.

I would like to reminder the reader that this story is brought to you courtesy of AFD & Pathfinder. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2015 at 4:53am
The investigation into a cluster of unidentified respiratory illness which began a little over two weeks ago, and is linked to Konkuk University’s Animal Life Sciences Building, continues today without resolution.

The number of x-ray confirmed pneumonia cases in isolation remains at 52 for the third day running, none are reported to be in severe condition, and many are said to be showing signs of recovery.

Four new `suspect’ cases – each with mild respiratory symptoms, but no radiological evidence of pneumonia – are now under home quarantine. Additionally, another 1,600 or so with ties to the building, or contact with those in isolation, are being monitored for signs of illness.  

So far, all of the unexplained pneumonia cases worked at the University research facility building on floors 3-7, raising hopes that this outbreak is due to some sort of environmental exposure and that any outside spread will be limited.

Laboratory testing has turned up 5 cases of Rhinovirus, and today we learn one family member tested positive for mycoplasma pneumonia, a common cause of community acquired pneumonia. Neither is believed to be the cause of this outbreak.

Work continues on a case-control study to try to determine risk factors for infection - and hopefully a source - and environmental testing of the building for a variety of fungal, bacterial, and chemical contaminants is in progress.  

Definitive answers may still be days or even weeks away, but the good news is, there is no indication of spread beyond direct contacts of the building.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Albert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2015 at 8:05am
A slight change in the wording, "any outside spread will be limited". That tells me to expect some outside spread.   Limited spread is how SARS and MERS began. 

Starting to think we have a new unidentified coronavirus that made a leap to humans in their Animal life science building.  
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2015 at 10:26am
That's my thoughts too, Boss.

Thanks for all the work "Guest".  How about joining us?  You would be a very welcome addition to the family.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 06 2015 at 7:40am
Very observant Albert but this is not the WHO or the US CDC in Atlanta, I think that the Korean CDC say what they mean and from the interpretation of their statement I have no reason to doubt their assessment, their is no reason to suspect anything nefarious is going on at the moment but time will tell.  

Back in 2013, in mBio: A Strategy To Estimate The Number Of Undiscovered Viruses, researchers at Columbia University's Mailman School of Public Health, EcoHealth Alliance, the NIH, and universities and research centers around the world to estimate the number of yet to be identified viruses in the wild.

Their best estimate was there are a minimum of 320,000 mammalian viruses awaiting discovery.  The vast majority are benign to humans, but viruses continually evolve, and `bad actors’ can emerge at any time
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Albert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 06 2015 at 11:52am
Interesting, Guest.  We're on the same page techno.

The "animal sector" of the building is sending up a couple red flags.  As they test samples within the building, the may want to test the animals themselves to be safe.   If they're bringing in new wildlife, seems like they could easily bring in an unsuspected bug.   It's been 7 days to detect the source.

Watch them say it's SARS ....  

Korean respiratory syndrome.  Confused
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 09 2015 at 5:06am
After issuing no statements over the weekend, the Korean government is once again updating the epidemiological investigation into the unexplained pneumonia outbreak linked to the Animal Life Sciences building at Konkuk University.  

While the cause of this outbreak remains undetermined, the rest of the news is remarkably positive.

The big news over the weekend - of the 55 people hospitalized with x-ray confirmed pneumonia - 53 have now been discharged from the hospital. Two remain hospitalized, but are showing signs of improvement.

Equally encouraging, only those with direct exposure with the Life Sciences building developed pneumonia, leading investigators to be believe this was due to an environmental exposure (bacterial, fungal, chemical), not due to a human transmissible pathogen.

Testing for an environmental contaminant continues, and follow up serological testing will be done on the patients.  It could be some time before we get definitive answers, however.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 09 2015 at 9:01am
Good work Guests! Thanks for the updates! How about listing your sources?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 16 2015 at 5:20am
Korean CDC: Konkuk Pneumonia Outbreak Update

With no new pneumonia cases reported in more than a week, and all but one of the previously announced 55 cases now released from the hospital, the Korean CDC has gone from issuing daily updates to posting far less frequent statements. Today’s marks the first since last Monday.

The one patient still hospitalized has test positive for Tuberculosis, although it isn’t clear from the translation whether this was a primary or an incidental finding.

Despite repeated testing, no causative agent or pathogen has been identified as the cause of this outbreak, although some testing (particularly for environmental contaminants) is still ongoing. While cause of half of all community acquired pneumonia cases often goes unidentified, drawing a blank for a cluster as large as this is unusual.

Given the lack of secondary spread beyond occupants of Konkuk University’s Animal Life Sciences Building, a bacterial, fungal, or chemical exposure where they all worked remains high on their suspect list.  

Will revisit this story if, and when, a cause is revealed.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 16 2015 at 5:35am
Thank you, Guest.

Keeping us up to date is much appreciated.  I would still like to persuade you to join up.Thumbs Up
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 16 2015 at 10:46am
WHO has just released Acute respiratory syndrome – Republic of Korea UPDATE !!!!

For those interested in this story,
http://www.who.int/csr/don/16-november-2015-acute-respiratory-syndrome/en
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 16 2015 at 1:25pm
I could not get that to load, guest.  But think this is what you meant:  http://www.who.int/csr/don/16-november-2015-acute-respiratory-syndrome/en/

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Albert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 17 2015 at 3:55pm
Funny.  I just said on this thread that is sounds like a new Korean Respiratory Syndrome. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: December 08 2015 at 5:58am
Bacteria suspected cause of group infection at Konkuk Univ.

Saccharopolyspora rectivirgula, a bacterium commonly found in hay bales, animal feed, and soil and known to produce a condition called `Famer’s lung’ , has been pegged as the likely cause of an outbreak of pneumonia at the Animal Life Sciences Building at Konkuk University last October that hospitalized more than 50 people.

A report in today’s Korea times ( https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/nation/2015/12/116_192692.html ), it appears the bacteria may have propagated through the ventilation system from bags of animal feed being studied in the laboratory and reports that in some cases the feedstuffs were improperly stored, sometimes in areas where researchers ate and slept.

Farmer’s lung is normally a hypersensitivity pneumonitis caused by the inhalation of dust, bacteria, or mold from hay or feedstuff – not a true infection as these cases appeared to be.  This unusual presentation leaving some questions still unanswered, meaning the investigation is not over. Meanwhile plans are to sterilize feedstuffs being analyzed at the laboratory when the building reopens.
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