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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

Dr. Anthony Fauci confirms Zika Pandemic

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Albert View Drop Down
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    Posted: January 28 2016 at 6:08pm

Zika virus at "pandemic" level, National Institutes of Health says

NEW YORK -- The World Health Organization warned Thursday the Zika virus is "spreading explosively"and could infect four million people by the end of the year.

It's in 23 countries, including the U.S., where it is now being called a pandemic, with 31 cases in eleven states and D.C. since last year. All the patients here were infected by mosquitoes abroad.

The virus, first discovered in the Zika Forest in Uganda in the 1940s, is linked to serious birth defects.

"Questions abound," WHO director Margaret Chan said. "We need to get some answers quickly."


The organization will convene an emergency meeting on Monday to plan its response.

The Zika virus, which is linked to children being born with small heads, poses several challenges. Diagnostic tests are imperfect. There's no treatment and no vaccine.

Dr. Anthony Fauci, head of the infectious diseases branch of the National Institutes of Health, says the outbreak is a pandemic.

"You have multiple countries in South America and in the Caribbean, so by anybody's definition that would be considered a pandemic," Fauci told CBS News.

There's concern the virus will eventually be found in mosquitoes in the U.S.

"If you have this much Zika in South America and the Caribbean, sooner or later we're going to see a local transmission," he said.

Fauci said controlling mosquitoes that could carry Zika is key, and the United States has one big advantage.

"Most of the United States goes through a real winter and that's very, very important in containing mosquito-borne viruses," he said.

Ana Palazzo, 35, is pregnant with twins. Two months ago, she cut short a trip to Brazil and returned to New York.

"I want my babies to be safe and I was very anxious about it," Palazzo told CBS News. "I didn't feel safe there."

There are still a lot of unknowns and the healthcare community is watching the virus carefully.

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/zika-virus-at-pandemic-level-national-institutes-of-health-says/

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Albert View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Albert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 28 2016 at 6:18pm
I have a pretty good feeling that the WHO is about to announce the Zika pandemic.  Chan doesn't want to be accused of failing to announce it and to warn the public. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote carbon20 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 28 2016 at 9:56pm
But can it be transmitted other than by mosquitoes.....and if not how can it be a pandemic ??
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Albert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 28 2016 at 10:19pm
I believe they are saying it can in fact transmit person-to-person by sexual transmission. 

The other mode is by mosquito, but it's even a little more complicated than that.  An uninfected mosquito can bite an infected person, and then that mosquito can transmit the virus that way as well.  So it is also human to mosquito and mosquito to human.   

They're not going too loud publicly with all of this information, but we are seeing fairly efficient global spread with cases now beginning to pop up in various parts of the world.

You also have to factor that 80% of the cases are Asymptomatic and are considered silent carriers, who are infectious and who can and will impregnate women resulting in numerous malformed babies.  

This may redefine pandemics, but pandemics are also not defined by speed of spread, and more-so for efficient transmission.  It appears with these two modes of transmission it could equal a complicated but fairly efficient transmission as a whole.  

This one of course does not spread like the traditional pandemic flu.   There also doesn't appear to be any way of stopping this anytime soon as a vaccine is a decade away.

Disturbing to think of a potential new generation of mutants, as harsh as that sounds.   Not sure there is a nice way of stating that.




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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 29 2016 at 12:46am
Mosquito to human to mosquito?  I had no doubt that was the case as that is how vectors work. But...

Mosquitoes under a certain age cannot transmit malaria.  I wonder if this applies to zika, somehow I do not think so.  There are too many differences between malaria (parasite - and a unicellular one) and zika (virus - just a replicating chemical envelope full of DNA).
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote tiger_deF Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 29 2016 at 4:00am
The actual rates of mycrophaly are very, very low. The real damage comes from possible mutations and plummeting birth rates which could lead to severe economic problems in 10-20 years.
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