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Scientists Manipulation of data again |
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OriginalHappyCamper
Valued Member Joined: December 25 2013 Location: Silverton, Or Status: Offline Points: 2850 |
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Posted: May 30 2016 at 5:48am |
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/05/29/the-sea-levels-are-now-reducing-in-the-hotspots-of-acceleration-of-washington-and-new-york/The sea levels are now reducing in the “hotspots of acceleration” of Washington and New YorkHopefully everybody remember Sallenger’s “hot spots” of sea level acceleration along the East Coast of the US. Asbury H. Sallenger Jr, Kara S. Doran & Peter A. Howd, Hotspot of accelerated sea-level rise on the Atlantic coast of North America, Nature Climate Change 2, 884–888 (2012), doi:10.1038/nclimate1597 This was one of the many examples of bad science misinterpreting the sea level oscillations by cherry picking the time window. As 6 more years of data have been collected, let see if the hotspots are now the “hottest on record” or if they have cooled down. The logic of Sallenger & co. was based on the comparison of the rate of rise of sea levels over the first and second half of time windows of 60, 50 and 40 years, i.e. the comparison of the rate of rise over the first and the last 30, 25 and 20 years respectively of these 60, 50 and 40 years windows. This did not make any sense to me, as if you do have sinusoidal oscillations of periodicity 60 years, positive and negative phases of 30 years, and you select the end of the time widows at the end of one positive phase, this way you will always have “positive acceleration” even if there is none, and everybody knew about periods and phasing of the natural oscillations. The logic was clearly flawed, but obviously Nature did not accepted any comment. The science is settled, and can’t be discussed. So, let see the data, for example for Washington DC and The Battery NY, to check if the hotspots have produced huge sea level rises since December 2009. The figure below presents the MSL (monthly average mean sea levels) and the SLR computed with 20, 30, 40, 50 and 60 years’ time windows for Washington DC and The Battery NY. Is there any one able to spot any sign or acceleration or simply oscillations? With the data up to December 2009 and with the data up to April 2016, not a chance. There are only oscillations about same longer term trend. Which is then the novelty of the last 6 years of data? Since December 2009, the sea levels have declined in both Washington DC and The Battery NY, -3.3 mm/year in Washington DC and -10.7 mm/year in The Battery NY. It seems that immediately after December 2009, the last month of data considered by Sallenger & co. in their June 2012 paper, corrected online June 2013 with the publishing in the supplementary of the actual numbers, a positive phase of the oscillations has been replaced by a negative phase. |
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Jesus Christ died and was raised on the third day, the only "God" to overcome death.
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jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
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Not looking to pick a fight, OHC, but Anthony Watts is a former TV weatherman with few academic credentials, but lots off connections to corporate funded climate change denial groups like the Heartland Institute. Ironically, the "guest blogger" that wrote that article is using the name of a 16th century Italian Dominican friar condemned as a heretic by the church, and burned at the stake for his scientific beliefs.
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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Satori
Valued Member Joined: June 03 2013 Status: Offline Points: 28655 |
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Anthony Watts ???
I needed a good laugh !!! |
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OriginalHappyCamper
Valued Member Joined: December 25 2013 Location: Silverton, Or Status: Offline Points: 2850 |
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Just like Amazing Discovery, Walter Veith, has done with his explanation of the Geology layers and how they were formed quickly and not over eons as the experts say. That is because he believes in a world wide flood as told in the Bible and not this evolution stuff that is being taught as factual when it is only a theory. Walters explanation is viable because it makes sense. Evolution has to many unanswerable issues to be viable and it does not make sense. If Darwin had a stronger microscope we would not have this evolution theory, by his own words, "irreducible complexity".
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Jesus Christ died and was raised on the third day, the only "God" to overcome death.
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OriginalHappyCamper
Valued Member Joined: December 25 2013 Location: Silverton, Or Status: Offline Points: 2850 |
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Since the publication of Darwin’s Black Box, Behe has refined the definition of irreducible complexity. In 1996 he wrote that “any precursor to an irreducibly complex system that is missing a part is by definition nonfunctional.”(Behe, M, 1996b. Evidence for Intelligent Design from Biochemistry, a speech given at the Discovery Institute's God & Culture Conference, August 10, 1996 Seattle, WA. http://www.arn.org/docs/behe/mb_idfrombiochemistry.htm). By defining irreducible complexity in terms of “nonfunctionality,” Behe casts light on the fundamental problem with evolutionary theory: evolution cannot produce something where there would be a non-functional intermediate. Natural selection only preserves or “selects” those structures which are functional. If it is not functional, it cannot be naturally selected. Thus, Behe’s latest definition of irreducible complexity is as follows:
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Jesus Christ died and was raised on the third day, the only "God" to overcome death.
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Technophobe
Assistant Admin Joined: January 16 2014 Location: Scotland Status: Offline Points: 88450 |
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I'm sorry, OHC my friend. But, Michael Behe's argument is a load of *****! Of course evolution could have accounted for those complex systems.
Evolution has been running for billions of years and the standard mutation rate involves multiple changes FOR EACH INDIVIDUAL ORGANISM! I have lost count (it is a really BIG number) of species on the planet and many of those have 10 to the power of 20 individuals (eg. bacteria) - and that is just now. Over the course of the planet's occupancy by all lifeforms the numbers get truly staggering. No, they did not have to get all the mutations at once, that shows a misunderstanding of the process, (and considering the numbers, even 200+ would be very common) just the dependent mutations had to follow the independent-nonlethal ones. Considering the numbers involved that is almost a certainty. All that is before you take into account the possibility of panspermia. Darwin was the original proposer of the theory (And no, a theory is different from a guess or hypothesis. In scientific parlance a theory is pretty close to proven.) But merely admitted he had not worked out all the details yet. He had in his day no concept of DNA, let alone the "junk" DNA, protein DNA signalling, off and on genes, or recessive genes. All of those, plus some blind luck help to drive the whole process. God's existence is not disproven by evolution either. Our Creator could use this system as easily as any other. As far as the Bible is concerned: that is believed to be God's wisdom imparted to mankind. But, it was imparted to Men. God may be perfect, but we are not and that includes our interpretation of the Divine word. I see God's wisdom, presence and love more clearly in the genius of God's evolutionary process than in any of mankind's flawed writings.
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His lips or pen are moving. |
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