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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

New Numbers Indicate 28 Day Doubling

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    Posted: September 09 2014 at 9:27pm
Latest numbers:  Big unusual one day change. see graph. Could be a mistake? 

DateTotalGuineaLiberiaSierra LeoneNigeriaSenegal
CasesDeathsCasesDeathsCasesDeathsCasesDeathsCasesDeathsCasesDeaths
6 Sept 20144,2932,2968625552,0461,2241,36150921830




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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cobber Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 09 2014 at 9:28pm
Try again
DateTotalGuineaLiberiaSierra LeoneNigeriaSenegal
CasesDeathsCasesDeathsCasesDeathsCasesDeathsCasesDeathsCasesDeaths
6 Sept 20144,2932,2968625552,0461,2241,36150921830

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote onefluover Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 10 2014 at 6:56am
Compound exponential? Or just one of those groupings of a day that took several days to group? Which would still give the same curve you've just shown, only smoother. The doubling period should get progressively smaller as the numbers go up due to the ever greater risk to be exposed by the increasingly infected. We're not only talking doubling at A B C and D but also A jumping to C and then F and then L... Short of a miracle cure or act of God, we're going to eventually see a million infections in one day.
"And then there were none."
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