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Topic - War in Syria
Posted: October 10 2016 at 11:38pm By Dutch Josh
Russia is to build a nuclear power plant in Turkey, also other energy-investments from Russia in Turkey. Erdogan is looking after Turkish interests-wich will effect the Syria-war. Russia has been talking about the use of Incerlik-airbase for Russian aircraft. Oil-prices going up is good news for Russia, Gulf states, Venezuela.

The diplomatic offensive from Russia and Iran towards Turkey can make Turkey giving up support for US backed jihadists in Syria. Also the US may loose the chance to operate inside Syria from Turkey (with aircraft and special forces-in Iraq the US still has a large army presence, also in Jordan and Saudi Arabia eventhough some of the US bases are getting hit by Yemen missiles. Russo-Egypt army excercises id desert warfare against jihadis (Egypt is facing IS in Sinai and western Egypt. Russia to open an old Soviet Navy base in western Egypt ? ) Russia also (with Iran) present in Yemen (in the war with Saudi Arbia/Gulf States (and US). It is likely China has information gathering in Syria-several thousends of the IS fighters come from western China. (Around 20.000 IS fighters have Russian nationality). China is expected to give medical aid and training to the Syrian Arab Army. It is also very likely China has some sort of Navy-presence in the Eastern mediterrean. On the diplomatic front China may have become a line of communication between the US and Russia. One of the reasons for the US not attacking Russian positions in Syria may have been that China warned for consequences (also from China). 

A major US-led escalation in Syria could mean war with Russia, Iran and China. The EU will not follow the US in such a war. Turkey is doing bussiness with Russia and the Gulf States are loosing the Yemen-war. The US may keep some influence in Iraq, but for Syria at the moment the US did loose that war. Did Russia shoot down an Israeli drone above Syria ? Did Russia fire "warning shots" at a US Navy ship near Yemen ? (Yemen is close to the (small) link betwee the Red Sea and the Indian Ocean-a major oil-transport route).