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Online Discussion: Tracking new emerging diseases and the next pandemic

Post Reply - H1N1 virus more virulent this year

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Topic - H1N1 virus more virulent this year
Posted: March 08 2017 at 6:05am By Eight
The world in 1918 was in all relevant ways not as robust as we are currently. The pathogen and mode of spread was initially unknown. The pathogen was then not even understood to be a virus. The US military, though practices not mirrored today, all but fueled the pandemic from relative midwest obscurity to the global scourge it was. Proper quarantine and general hygiene was barely a factor throughout The Pandemic.

By the 1918 timeline we would have vaccines already in trials for the second wave and administered before its conclusion. Or, realistically, would be quarantining people in Kansas and the midwest after a novel influenza virus popped up with fifty times the normal case fatality rate. In any case, vaccine production would not be hit hard at all, really. 

The second wave aggregate death estimate seems high, even for 1918 Influenza. What is your source stating 90% of all 1918-1919 mortalities occurred within the main wave?