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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

No Turkey by November in US?

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onefluover View Drop Down
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    Posted: May 05 2015 at 7:27am
U.S. bird flu outbreak may mean no turkey for Thanksgiving

P.J. HUFFSTUTTER
CHICAGO — REUTERS
Last updated Tuesday, May. 05 2015, 8:52 AM EDT


Turkeys are pictured at a turkey farm near Sauk Centre, Minn. (Janet Hostetter/AP)
     
The largest-ever U.S. outbreak of avian influenza, which has devastated Midwestern poultry and egg producers in recent weeks, could be felt at Thanksgiving tables across the nation come November, farmers and some trade groups say.

The virulent H5N2 strain has already spread to 14 states and led to the deaths or scheduled euthanizations of more than 21 million birds, including 3.3 million turkeys in Minnesota, the nation’s top turkey producer.

And now, with Thanksgiving just seven months away, farmers say they may be running out of time to raise enough turkeys –the traditional centerpiece of holiday feasts – to meet the demand.

Once a farm has been infected, flocks must be culled, composted in barns, then disposed of. Buildings must then be thoroughly disinfected. The whole process can take up to three months before a new flock of turkey poults can be brought in, said Steve Olson, executive director of the Minnesota Turkey Growers Association.

After chicks are re-introduced to the barns, farmers say, it typically takes about four months to produce a full-sized hen – the type of turkey most Americans prefer for their holiday feasts.

If breeder farms that supply the young birds have also been infected – as some in Minnesota have – simply acquiring the chicks could prove challenging.

And in Minnesota, there’s still no sign of an end to the outbreak, despite tight biosecurity measures and quarantines. Already, at least one turkey processing plant has cut back on workers’ shifts because of a lack of birds to slaughter.

“We’re going to have fewer turkeys coming out because of this,” Olson said.

“The question we can’t answer is how much this is going to impact our total system, because this isn’t over yet,” he added.

Of the nearly 240 million turkeys raised last year in the United States, nearly one in five came from Minnesota farms. About 30 per cent of the Minnesota birds are sold as whole turkeys at Thanksgiving and Christmas.

The remaining 70 per cent are sold year-round for deli meat, frozen meals, ground turkey and other products, according to industry data.

“There’s a sense of pride in farmers, in what they do,” Olson said, in a state where farms have often been in the same family for generations. “This is challenging their belief in their ability to raise turkeys, because they have not been able to stop the disease, despite them doing everything they can do from a biosecurity standpoint.”

As the reach of the virus continues to expand, companies up and down the turkey supply chain are watching closely.

Tyson Foods Inc said on Monday that the avian influenza has affected some of its turkey contract farms in neighboring Iowa, where farmers have had to euthanize birds.

While that loss could affect production levels at its turkey plant sometime this summer, Tyson does not produce the whole turkeys typically used at Thanksgiving dinners. Its turkey division is a small part of the company’s overall business, and Tyson does not expect the loss to have a material financial impact.

Food retailers are also monitoring the spread of the virus.

Boston Market Corp. said it has been assured by Butterball LLC, one of its main turkey suppliers, that the company’s birds are being raised in areas not affected by the flu outbreak.

But Boston Market Chief Financial Officer Greg Uhing said the company is watching the situation. Butterball declined to discuss specific supply-chain arrangements it has in place with its customers.

Meanwhile, some help for holiday feasts could come from cold storage, where stocks of whole turkey hens were at 98.7 million pounds as of the end of March, a 24 per cent jump over February and up 16 per cent over the same period a year earlier, according to federal Agriculture Department data.

Raising birds for Thanksgiving and Christmas meals begins early in the year, with turkeys slaughtered and stored in cold storage to meet the demand at year’s end, say industry officials.

Some producers are confident that supplies will largely keep pace with demand.

“There is some wiggle room” for the holidays, said Darrell Glaser, who raises 600,000 turkeys a year for Cargill Inc at his family’s Bar G Ranch in Rogers, Texas.

“You may see a small impact,” said Glaser, who raises the variety of turkeys sold for Thanksgiving. “Unless this outbreak gets a lot worse, I don’t see it having a huge impact on our overall supply.”

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/world/bird-flu-outbreak-may-mean-no-turkey-for-thanksgiving/article24252548/?service=mobile
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 05 2015 at 9:09am
And they're saying "A dozen Grade A eggs could reach $3 later this year"
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AFT could get busy this coming winter.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote KiwiMum Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 06 2015 at 3:34am
Arirish, how ever much do eggs cost now? Over here it's $5 a dozen, and that's just nasty old battery farmed eggs. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 06 2015 at 9:55am
KiwiMum- Are you talking NZ dollars or US dollars? I sell our excess farm eggs for 3 US dollars which I think is about 4 NZD. Store eggs are normally about 1.50-2.00 USD. Are your prices so high because of taxes?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote KiwiMum Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 06 2015 at 1:43pm
I'm talking NZ$. Prices here are high because everything costs to much. I buy a 25kg sack of layers pellets for $25 when it's on special. Eggs are pricey. The nearest eggs for sale at a farm gate are $5 a dozen but this is from an intensive unit. Free range eggs cost more. Organic eggs are $6.95 for half a dozen in the supermarket. 

Thankfully I've got my own chickens for eggs and meat and also geese. We kept 2 turkeys last year for Christmas and they were huge and delicious but I won't do it again as the meat bird crumble was so expensive. A number of my friends ordered their turkeys from a local producer and paid $120 a bird. 

New Zealand is one of the most expensive countries on earth. Most of my friends spend $450 a week on groceries. One friend spends $700 a week and another spends $350 every 2 - 3 days. I spend between $70 and $150 a week, but we produce a lot of our own food. I spend $25 every week on walnuts alone.

The irony is that NZ produce is often cheaper to buy abroad than it is here. NZ butter is cheaper in central London than it is here in NZ. Explain that!

It comes down to the fact that we are only 4 million people in a country the size of the UK and we are isolated in the middle of the South Pacific ocean. Everything that we don't produce has to be shipped in. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Satori Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 06 2015 at 4:50pm


US: Avian flu toll doubles in a week

http://www.thepoultrysite.com/poultrynews/34989/avian-flu-toll-in-us-doubles-in-a-week/



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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Albert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 06 2015 at 9:25pm
You can freeze turkey for a year, so I might get one early this year for the traditional Turkey Day this Thanksgiving. Normally I'm a honey baked ham guy, but might go turkey since apparently it could be awhile.   
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2015 at 7:40am
KiwiMum - What we gain on a dozen eggs we give back on things like insurance and medical cost!

Albert- I'll take a spiral cut, honey baked ham over turkey every time but I think I'll freeze one before the price sky rockets!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2015 at 9:32am
Albert, those people who do not like turkey do not (usually) know how to cook it.  

It is one of the best flavoured meats on earth, but, drier than the Sahara in mid summer.  Leading to the quote - sorry I can't remember from whom -:  "Deep fried turkey is a religious experience."

Everything you do to ham, you do the opposite to turkey!

1, Pick a square looking bird with as much fat on as you can find.

2, Stuff it with forcemeat (stuffing made of sausagemeat, onions and thyme)  Then weigh it again.

3, Very, very carefully pull the skin away from the breast WITHOUT BREAKING IT starting at the bottom end.  Shove in as much butter as will fit in this cavity.  You can flavour this butter with thyme, sage or fenugreek leaf (methi) if you like.

4, Put the whole thing in a roasting bag and if you have the time slow roast it.

An alternative to stages 2-4 inclusive is to spatchcock a domestic (wild is too dry) goose and drape it over the turkey for the second half of the roast.  You can do this with a big slab of bacon fat instead or as well.

Turkey is my personal speciality!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote onefluover Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2015 at 11:24am
By far the best turkey I've ever had was deep fried. Tender, juicy and lightly salty crispy skin. And done in about 30 minutes. Drawback is the oil usually costs more than the turkey and it's a major fire hazard. (My friend once did one in his garage against my advice and sure enough it boiled over and burst into flames. This was inside of an 800k home -before the boom of '06, and yes, I'm the one who put the fire out). Deep fried is really only economical if it's a big event with two or three or more turkeys. My second choice is rotisserie however most home rotisseries won't hold a large turkey. Third is as Techno said, loaded with all that good bad stuff and cooked low and slow. I like ham but no offence Albert, there is ham of various types in our fridge virtually year around. I'm *****ing sick of ham. I wish we could do a turkey here once a month but the hammies keep winning.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2015 at 1:35pm
Technophobe- I do my turkey the same way only I cover it with a double layer of cheese cloth and smoke it at 225-250 in an off-set wood smoker basting it every 45 minutes or so. I use apple, peach or pecan wood for the smoke cause I think Hickory over powers the flavor of fowl. Remove the cheese cloth for the last half hour so it can brown. My stomach is growling just thinking about it!

Albert- See what you started! Now I have to smoke at least a turkey breast this weekend!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2015 at 2:38pm
Mmmm, Oneflu.  I'm drooling too.

I am in the opposite boat regarding the ham.  I decided a couple of years ago not to eat pig again.  (They are too bright.)  I really miss ham!...  And sausages...   And bacon.....  And crackling....    I would pig out on crocodile (Jurassic Pork) if I could get it over here, but us brits are too staid!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote onefluover Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2015 at 4:57pm
Safest place for all these bumpkins would be on my farm if I were a farmer. I wouldn't just have names for all of 'em, they'd have nicknames too! I cleaned a few rabbits once in Denver and all four of my chihuahuas were in the kitchen looking at me like what the what? A skinned rabbit looks just like a chihuahua. Ever since then I've been shy about raising or taking wild meats. But times are still pretty good. In bad times all bets are off.
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Don't give your meat animals names. All our calves that are for eating are called calfy, all our pigs are called piggy piggy. I don't get attached to our animals but I do delight in their health and wellbeing and I'm always proud to show them off to visitors because we give them great housing and plenty of grass and they are happy and bursting with health. I don't mind the killing bit because they never suffer. One minute they are eating pig nuts and the next moment they're dead. One shot and they're gone. I take pride in the lack of suffering that our animals get. I know that sounds odd but I do. I couldn't do it any other way. 

I have a couple of pigs that are a few weeks away from slaughter and i'm fattening them on apples and milk, which they love. Every day, rather than look at their cute faces, I look at their fattening hams and work out our butchering requirements. We butcher ourselves and really enjoy that side of things. We are down to our last side of home cured bacon and I'm looking forward to the next batch. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 08 2015 at 7:37am
I named our two Hogs! One is named Freezer, the other is Cash! They look a lot alike so I'm sure I get them confused. They're both Yorkshires from the same litter so they're twins. I don't do my own butchering anymore, I had enough of that when I was young!

KiwiMum- What curing method do you use? Do you cure and smoke?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 08 2015 at 10:42am
Last goat was called curry and chickens get names like Methi and Korma.  

KiwiMum, I have the same philosophy.  I don't want to eat something which has suffered.  I want to make sure that does not happen, myself, personally.  There are people who would find us ghoulish, but those that just "don't want to see it" are ducking their responsibility in my book.  The animals can not choose to avoid it.

I try not to eat meat daily even then.  We have vegetarian and vegan days too.

I have no cause for complacency though.  Hypocritically, I still buy the odd item even now.  Our farm is not fully functional yet (overstretched budget) and like Oneflu, in a survival situation, all bets are really off.  
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Arirish, I dry cure in salt. I use rock salt, about 2 kg, and then about 50 juniper berries (crushed), about 30 bay leaves, also crushed, and about 2 cups of brown sugar. I mix this all together and then cut each side of bacon into 3 pieces. This is so it can comfortably fit in my big tupperware box. I then take the first piece, lie it on a big plate and rub a handful of the salt mixture into it. I keep adding more mixture until all the sides and cut edges are well covered with the salt. Then I put it in the tupperware box.

I repeat with the other pieces and stack one on top of the other. Then I put the box in the fridge. Every morning I take them out, pour away the liquid that has leached out of the bacon, rub them again with more salt mixture and restack, this time putting the one that was on the bottom on the top. Do this for five days, no longer. And it's done. 

I then wash the bacon in cold water to remove the salt, dry it really well. I hang it in the fridge (or outside if the weather's cold enough) for a day so it really dries well, then I wrap in one piece is a square of linen and put it in the fridge for consumption, and the other two go in the freezer wrapped in a thick freezer bag. 

I generally kill 2 pigs at a time and so work with 12 pieces of bacon. It only takes a few minutes but the end result is great. 

I am working on a cold smoker at the moment, so I might try smoking the next batch. I've also tried the above recipe using honey as a wet cure but it wasn't as good. Even when frozen this bacon is still quite pliable because it has very little water left in it. If you find the end result too salty then simply soak it for a couple of hours in cold water. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 09 2015 at 12:06pm
KiwiMum- What cut of meat do you use? In the U S most bacon is made from pork bellies, in Canada they use the loin. Some countries use the back. Arkansas Style bacon is made from the shoulder. I use pork belly and smoke with hickory or apple wood! I cure it first for seven days in a mixture of sugar, honey, maple syrup, salt and pepper, in the frig.
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I use the belly too. You can make bacon from any part of the pig but I like the fatty parts. The method I use draws all the water out of the meat, so the fat renders beautifully but doesn't spit much. 

Our favourite bit of the pig is the ribs, which we eat the day after we kill the pig. We also make faggots from the offal which we all love and are really nutritious. I make pate too. We keep about 8 roasting joints from each pig and a lot of steaks, and then the rest I turn into sausages. Proper British bangers. Each one weighs about 100g so I get 12 from a kilo of meat once I've added the other ingredients. It takes 14 sausages to feed us for one meal and i can cook them about 20 different ways. I love sausages because I can cook them straight from frozen. I don't have a microwave so I have to plan ahead if I want to defrost meat.

I generally make 450 sausages in a go. I freeze the rest of the meat for sausages before I grind it and make a batch every couple of weeks until it's all used up. 

I will probably use manuka wood chips to smoke our first batch. Presumably you have a cold smoker. Did you make it yourself?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 09 2015 at 8:16pm
In the Southern part of the U S we love smoked meats. If you can catch and kill it we'll smoke it and eat it! I have a grill, an off set wood smoker, a bar-b-que pit with a steel lid and a small smoke house that I can smoke sugar cured hams in.
This is where language is going to get in the way!
What you call bangers we call link sausage. Depending on the spices used we call links, breakfast sausage (which are very small) or brauts, or smoked sausage. In the south we make sausage by grinding pork and adding spices like thyme, sage, coriander, and different types of pepper. We make small patties out of it and serve it with country gravy and what we call biscuits, which I think is what the English call a scone, only we use buttermilk and very little sugar.
Do you buy casings for the bangers or do you clean and use the natural casing. I don't like cleaning them si I buy them.    
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I use natural casings - strangely from America. I buy them in big packs from a butchery wholesaler. I'm making British sausages which are coarsely ground pork with lots of herbs and spices added to them according to taste, and for every kilo of meat, you add 50g of rusk. This can be breadcrumbs or oatmeal. I use oatmeal. It's only a tiny amount but it stops the sausage from splitting. 

NZ sausages are filled with some sort of pink pureed meat. I'm not sure what cuts they use but I suspect it's mechanically reclaimed meat. I don't allow my children to eat them. In our local supermarket they have started selling a coarser gourmet sausage but it's $20 a kilo which is really expensive. At least I know what goes into mine. 

NZ and Australia are the lands of the BBQ. Everyone has one here. There are huge sections of the hardware stores devoted to them. Some of them are huge. Ours is pretty big. The big thing here is to also get a woodfired pizza oven, and then build a large outdoor seating area like a room but with half height walls and no roof. It's a big deal here. 

I've read alot of American disaster fiction and they are always talking about biscuits. Biscuits here means cookies. Would you put the recipe for an American biscuit on here please. I'll give it a go. I made scones yesterday with no sugar in them but we ate them with butter, strawberry jam and thick clotted cream. They were very good! Oh and I did use fresh butter milk as I only made the butter an hour earlier. I may be wrong, but do you mean cultured buttermilk that is thick like yoghurt, or fresh buttermilk that is thin like milk?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 10 2015 at 1:37pm
here's a link for biscuits and gravy. I use lard instead of shortening for biscuits and pie crust. Most of the time we just put butter and honey or jam on ours!


http://www.simplyrecipes.com/recipes/buttermilk_biscuits_and_sausage_gravy/
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote CRS, DrPH Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 10 2015 at 5:26pm
...this thread is making me hungry!! 


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 10 2015 at 9:13pm
We've digressed from news to general discussion but it's a subject i'm passionate about! Maybe someone should move it to "Off Topic"! I grew up in the country and didn't want to be there! Now I live in the country and wish I had asked my Gran dad a million questions! Lost knowledge! What a shame!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote KiwiMum Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 10 2015 at 11:57pm
I couldn't agree more Arirish. We've all broken the link between ourselves and our capable ancestors. It took me over a year to learn how to make really great butter. I read every single book on the subject but quickly realised that most of those authors had never made butter, or if they had, they'd made it, ticked the box and chucked it out. I finally learnt by trial and error but my butter can sit at room temperature and doesn't go rancid.

If only we had a time machine. I had a grandmother who lived halfway up a mountain in Wales who knew everything important. I'd love to have a conversation with her. I was named after her too but she died when I was 3 or 4. 

I know everyone is prepping for disaster, but all skills are just that - skills. You have to master them. It's no get getting out a gleaming new butter churn the day after a disaster and looking around for a cow to milk!!!!!!!!


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote KiwiMum Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 11 2015 at 12:02am

Thanks for the recipe link. Biscuits are what we know as scones. Delicious. I'd use all butter though, not half and half with shortening, but only because I have butter to spare. I'm not even sure what shortening is, even though they do sell it here. I suppose I could also use lard.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 11 2015 at 12:20am
Shortening just means hard fat.  Lard will do ok, but some of your fine homemade butter would be even better.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Albert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 11 2015 at 4:06am
Originally posted by arirish arirish wrote:

We've digressed from news to general discussion but it's a subject i'm passionate about! Maybe someone should move it to "Off Topic"!


Hi arirsh, keep up the good work around here, but we'll keep the thread here.  No turkey for the holidays is an important topic.  It's fine if it goes OT on a thread.  Be yourselves.  Plus I'm personally learning a few things on how to prepare my turkey that I'm getting early this year.   How about that bacon wrapped turkey?  Anyone do that one?  Now, if they ever have a bacon shortage, then we're in trouble.  Big smile


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 11 2015 at 8:48am
Techno- You are absolutely correct! Shortening is any fat that is solid at room temp, including lard. In the U S we have come to think of shortening to mean Hydrogenated vegetable oil or Crisco (crystallized cottonseed oil). Most adults in the U S have never eaten pie crust made with lard, or a biscuit (scone) with fresh butter or even a real tomato. What we get at the grocery here is the shape of a tomato but in all other respects (color, smell, taste and texture) is nothing like the real thing! It's sad what society has given up for convenience!

Albert- I've never tried bacon wrapped turkey but after Googling it I'm going to try it on my next turkey! I've used bacon when I've smoked a pork butt or brisket that didn't have a large enough fat cap. It really helps to keep them from drying out! Does anybody know if you still need to baste it? None of the recipes I've read mention it. Is the bacon still useable when it's done? Any suggestions for using it?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote KiwiMum Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 11 2015 at 1:23pm
I ate bacon wrapped turkey every single Christmas when growing up as this is how my mum cooked it. She used streaky bacon and would lay the rashers in two lines, one on either side of the bird so that they slightly overlapped along the middle. It takes loads of bacon to do this but it is delicious. Her turkey was never dry. I still think my father basted it once during the cooking time. 

But the important thing to do is to remove the bacon about 20 minutes before the bird has finished cooking. Then you put it back in the oven so the turkey skin crisps up. I honestly can't remember if we ate the bacon too. It might have just been for cooking purposes. After a couple of hours cooking it might have been too tough to eat. 


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 11 2015 at 4:26pm
I've not done a specific "bacon wrapped turkey" recipe, but back in the days when I still ate pork, bacon, pork fat, pork sausagemeat and many other pork-centred products went in and around the bird.  The tastes of pork (or better still bacon) and turkey compliment one another very well.  The more cured pork you use the more sage and onion become the best accompanying herb flavours.

Last but not least, avoid lemon like the plague!  It dries turkey out (a huge crime in itself) and makes the flesh taste bitter.  I went to a boarding school.  It was "eat school food or starve".  I can eat things that would make Rambo sick- and he could eat things that would make a goat puke.  Lemon flavoured turkey beat me though.  Even the dog would not touch it.  Save the citrus fruits for waterfowl - that is where they belong.


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 11 2015 at 8:57pm
I went to the store today and bought two whole turkey breasts. I normally pay $0.80- $1.10 U S per pound. Today I paid $1.80/ lb. Stock up now if you like turkey! It's only going to go up!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote CRS, DrPH Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 11 2015 at 10:20pm
Originally posted by arirish arirish wrote:

I went to the store today and bought two whole turkey breasts. I normally pay $0.80- $1.10 U S per pound. Today I paid $1.80/ lb. Stock up now if you like turkey! It's only going to go up!

I did the same thing last night!  We have a freezer in the garage, so I laid it up just to have it.  

I'm very concerned about the hammering our agriculture system is getting by "imported" viruses....first our swine herds were decimated by Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea virus, which seems to have originated in China, and now we have H5N2 and H5N8 high-pathogenicity avian flu moving across the USA, taking out fowl and egg production. 

If I were a paranoid type, I'd suspect a foreign plot.  Fortunately, I'm not, but I'm still watching.  There are state actors out there who would benefit from a disabled US food supply chain, I won't name any names.  

Be safe.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 12 2015 at 6:36am
Chuck- I've been wondering the same thing but have not brought it up! I'm really not into the conspiracy stuff BUT if certain countries are willing to attack our computer systems why not our food supply?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote CRS, DrPH Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 12 2015 at 6:17pm
Originally posted by arirish arirish wrote:

Chuck- I've been wondering the same thing but have not brought it up! I'm really not into the conspiracy stuff BUT if certain countries are willing to attack our computer systems why not our food supply?

Yep....the folks that I work with are very concerned about this.  I have expertise in this particular area.  


I haven't heard any chatter yet, folks in the know seem to think this is all natural thus far.   What we "spooks" are alert for are sudden surges of exotic animal & plant pathogens.  A major outbreak of hoof & mouth would be an example.

However, this type of thing (PED, avian influenza) is what we are always vigilant for.  I'm sure folks are discussing this in an underground room somewhere.

Be safe.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Albert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 13 2015 at 3:00am
I also suspected China of exporting the avian flu here.  Was a little coincidental that they all arrived at the same time.  One a/i virus maybe not, but two at once (3 including h5n1) got me scratching my head a bit over that one.   Not sure if the idea is simply for them not to be blamed for the next pandemic, since most all pandemics have started in/from China.   Might not be proper for me to specifically name "China", but what can I say ...
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote CRS, DrPH Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 13 2015 at 9:40am
Originally posted by Albert Albert wrote:

I also suspected China of exporting the avian flu here.  Was a little coincidental that they all arrived at the same time.  One a/i virus maybe not, but two at once (3 including h5n1) got me scratching my head a bit over that one.   Not sure if the idea is simply for them not to be blamed for the next pandemic, since most all pandemics have started in/from China.   Might not be proper for me to specifically name "China", but what can I say ...

Yeah, I almost dropped the "Death Star" bomb myself!  I agree, it is an interesting coincidence that viruses of Asiatic origin are popping up all over the USA, with no natural explanation.   However, I've heard no intel to suggest that anyone seriously is thinking this way (except for us).

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I have a ton of 2007 powdered eggs I bet they may bring big money soon...LOL!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote KiwiMum Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 15 2015 at 1:58am
FluMom, have you tried them yet? I went to a boarding school that used dried eggs for their scrambled eggs and I love them. I can't get them here but I remember them very fondly. They have an unusual dryness to them when scrambled. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 20 2015 at 10:41am
Egg prices are climbing, thanks to bird flu

DES MOINES, Iowa - Egg prices have surged higher as the death of millions of hens from bird flu is beginning to tighten supplies.

The Midwest price of a dozen large eggs rose to $1.88. That's 58 percent higher than they were a month ago when the bird flu first hit Iowa chicken farms.

Prices have been climbing at a rate of about 5 percent a day for the past week as supplies become tighter.

Rick Brown, an egg industry analyst with commodity market firm Urner Barry, says it's because 10 percent of chickens that lay eggs for food are dead or dying from bird flu.

Eggs used principally as an ingredient in ice cream, mayonnaise and other products are up even more, about 162 percent to $1.65 a dozen since April 22.


http://www.cbsnews.com/news/egg-prices-are-climbing-thanks-to-bird-flu/
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 22 2015 at 6:12am
RPT-U.S. bird flu causing egg squeeze, emergency measures

By P.J. Huffstutter and Bill Berkrot

May 22 (Reuters) - As a virulent avian influenza outbreak continues to spread across the Midwestern United States, some egg-dependent companies are contemplating drastic steps: importing eggs from overseas or looking to egg alternatives.

A spokeswoman for grain giant Archer Daniels Midland Co said that, as egg supplies have tightened and prices risen, the company has received numerous inquiries from manufacturers about the plant-based egg substitutes it makes.

And with a strong dollar bolstering the buying power of U.S. importers, some companies are scouting for egg supplies abroad.

"The U.S. has never imported any significant amount of eggs, because we've always been a very low-cost producer," said Tom Elam of FarmEcon, an agricultural consulting company. "Now, that's no longer the case."

Still, companies wanting to import eggs may have to look far afield.

"Canada is short on eggs and has been buying heavily from the U.S. for the last several years," said Rick Brown, a senior vice-president of Urner Barry, a commodity market analysis firm. "Mexico has been dealing with its own outbreaks of avian influenza, so they're banned from importing into the U.S. The logical place people will be looking now would be Europe."

Avril, a farmer-controlled agri-food group that owns France's largest egg brand, Matines, said it has seen an increase recently in demand from the United States and elsewhere in the Americas and plans to start making shipments in June.


ECONOMIC BITE

Meanwhile, companies sticking with egg suppliers closer to home are facing sharply higher prices as a result of the outbreak, which has so far affected some 39 million birds. Nearly one-quarter of the hens that lay "breaker eggs" - which include liquid, dried or frozen eggs used by food manufacturers - have either died or are slated to be euthanized.

The outbreak has led to a sharp uptick in the wholesale price of such eggs, from 63-cents a dozen in late April, when the first egg-laying flock was reported infected, to $1.83 a dozen this week, Brown said.

The wholesale price of "shell eggs," typically sold in cartons at grocery stores, has also risen, from $1.19 a dozen in late April to $2.03 a dozen this week, Brown said.

Nevertheless, some food makers are turning to the more expensive shell eggs to supplement supplies, although that means an additional cost to send the eggs to a breaking facility that will crack the shells, Elam said.

Analysts at Goldman Sachs predict consumers will ultimately spend an additional $7.5 billion to $8 billion because of the egg supply squeeze.

Nestlé SA - which uses eggs for some of its Dreyer's, Edy's and Häagen-Dazs ice cream products - said it is braced for shortages and working with suppliers to help protect hens.

Dunkin' Brands Group Inc told Reuters it will leave it up to franchisees to decide whether to swallow the cost hikes they're seeing or pass them on to consumers.


A MATTER OF LIFE OR DEATH

For some companies, having an adequate supply of fertilized eggs can be a matter of life or death. Some vaccine makers, including Merck & Co Inc, maintain their own hen flocks to produce eggs used for incubating vaccines that protect against diseases such as measles and mumps.

Merck said it is taking no chances with its chicken flocks as avian influenza continues to spread: Security is tight around the birds, and the health of the hens is continuously monitored.

Sanofi Pasteur, the vaccines division of Sanofi, said it, too, is keeping close tabs on the outbreak - particularly with the state agriculture department in Pennsylvania, home to some of its suppliers and the U.S.'s fourth largest egg-laying flock. So far, no avian influenza cases have been identified there.

"We continue to maintain preventive measures for our egg supply system, including biosecurity and physical security procedures, to provide our suppliers with protection from being affected by this or any avian outbreak," the company told Reuters in a statement.

And GlaxoSmithKline PLC told Reuters it is reinforcing biosafety standards at more than 30 Canadian egg-laying farms that are dedicated to producing eggs for the company's human flu vaccines.

The company has more egg supplies than it needs for its flu vaccine production in Canada and Germany, a spokeswoman said.

But as the bird flu outbreak spreads in the U.S., she added, "we are monitoring the current situation closely and have alerted all of our supply farms." (Reporting By P.J. Huffstutter in Chicago and Bill Berkrot in New York. Additional reporting by Karl Plume in Chicago, Lisa Baertlein in Los Angeles, Anjali Athavaley in New York, Sybille de La Hamaide in Bazancourt, France and Gus Trompiz in Paris. Editing by Jo Winterbottom and Sue Horton)


http://in.reuters.com/article/2015/05/22/health-birdflu-egg-shortages-idINL1N0YD02H20150522
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