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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

POLL: Should Kaci Hickox have to Quarantine?

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Poll Question: Should Caci KIckox have to self isolate at home?
Vote Poll Choice Votes Poll Statistics
9 [12.86%]
2 [2.86%]
12 [17.14%]
0 [0.00%]
42 [60.00%]
5 [7.14%]

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Albert View Drop Down
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    Posted: October 30 2014 at 2:36pm
Feel free to comment after you vote. 
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Smile Fun!
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No one deserves to get Ebola, but there is a close maybe...
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 30 2014 at 4:20pm
I just voted for the nasty option.  I do not wish her ill but I worry about the efects of her rebellion on future quarrantine attempts.
How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote lpalv Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 30 2014 at 4:45pm
"Hero" seems like a strong word.  Sure, taking care of ebola patients is admirable.  But that doesn't make it okay to put American citizens at risk because she's, apparently, so arrogant that she knows better then CDC (who doesn't know everything about ebola!)
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kay Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 30 2014 at 4:51pm
Whenever I think of Caci the word twit comes to mind.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote ParanoidMom Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 30 2014 at 4:55pm
What I find so sad is how much her attitude is mirrored in society. It's all about her. There is no compassion for others. She could care less about those around her. And anyone fighting for her feels the same way.

I really hope the authorities can get things in place before any more cases pop up.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote CRS, DrPH Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 30 2014 at 5:00pm
Originally posted by Technophobe Technophobe wrote:

I just voted for the nasty option.  I do not wish her ill but I worry about the efects of her rebellion on future quarrantine attempts.

Likewise!  
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You should only quarantine people that are contagious.  Do you think anyone that treats someone with tuberculosis should be quarantined.   The answer is no by the way.  
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No compassion for others... really...?  So you want her agree to a quarantine that is useless and spreads false information on how Ebola is spread?  She is not pandering to the fear mongers, good for her.   
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote onefluover Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 30 2014 at 5:58pm
(Yes) but I hope Hickups doesn't get ebola. (Its bad enough to have a name that is a symptom of Ebola). But I do think she should now be quarantined in a facility with no TV, Internet etc. and maybe a little prison food. She's clearly saying that none of the returnees should self quarantine at all or have it forced on them. For that stupid and reckless and dangerous attitude she should be put in jail or at least spanked real good.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 30 2014 at 5:58pm
This woman is a spoiled BRAT and a Bi^ch! She does not care about anyone but herself. She does not realize what the cost is if she has Ebola to track down all her contacts and then have to take care of her.

Sorry but that stupid doctor who went to the bowling alley a great example of the huge cost to retrace his steps and contacts!!!!

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Germ Nerdier Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 30 2014 at 6:24pm
Don,

She is bucking a system put in place to protect 300 million people.
Maybe she doesn't have Ebola.
Maybe the next high risk person WILL have Ebola, and will refuse quarantine because the nurse got away with it.
She is basically telling us her personal liberty and social life outweigh the lives of future victims.
She doesn't know if she has or has not been infected (3weeks incubation) but she doesn't care, because her 'right to party' is more important than the precedent she's setting.

This is a crucial time in determining if the control measures of public health will work.
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China just donated 82 mil?  Wow is MSF making a killing on Ebola.  The longer it continues, the more they make.   That organization has got to have taken in at least a hundred mill or more.   Ebola is big biz.
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You can't get spread it unless you are symptomatic!!!!!   she is not hurting anyone!!!  she has been tested it was negative!!!

But I agree after this fiasco I would think twice about going to help stop the virus in Africa if people in the US are going treat people who return like lepers instead of heroes for no good medical reason.   You should be ashamed along with that idiot Gov.  


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Fools rush in where fools have rushed before.

We had a woman once in maternity discovered to have active TB. She was in a private room but kept walking out onto main ward with newborns, and immunocompromised new mums. She wanted money to be quarantined. Felt the disease had given her a power.

To Don that earlier said quote " You should only quarantine people that are contagious. Do you think anyone that treats someone with tuberculosis should be quarantined.   The answer is no by the way. "

I don't think that is a very good comparison. We have lived beside TB for hundreds of years, we know extensively about Mycobacterium tuberculosis. We know its pathogenicity inside out. In comparison Ebola is relatively new to us and until recently had infected very few people in the world. We only know a tiny amount about its molecular mechanisms of disease. Little about its spread, or its capabilities under different selective pressures. Can that nurse tell me how the virus will behave in Caucasian, Hispanic, Asian populations, where genetics will play a role. What about its infectivity in immunocompromised individuals, they can get many viral illnesses outwith normal incubation periods, as they require little viral load.     Can the nurse inform me about asymptomatic cases, we are aware they exist but can they still spread the virus ? Maybe she can tell us all about what percentage of people are asymptomatic, and if that changes depending on race or demographics ?. ......we know all this about TB but not Ebola. Can the nurse also tell me why many people test negative on PCR testing, but weeks later once antibodies have developed, these negative cases can have IgG showing past exposure. Are these people infectious ?.....How can quarantine be ignored based on such limited scientific data we have ??????.

In reality nobody knows the answer to these very basic questions, there are NO science articles above a n= 17 about Ebola, because until recently it was rare, and required a class 4 biosaftey lab, so not easy to research.

What we know is based on limited epidemiology conducted on small outbreaks in ONE race of people. So for this nurse to say she is acting on scientific data, rubbish, because the data is just not there it is scant, has holes right through it and is constantly evolving.

All the questions I asked above we can easily answer about TB, so we can be secure in our guidelines, Ebola we not even close, dont even know what all its RNA encodes for. Our knowledge of this virus is in its infancy, we should be more careful.

However this nurse uses the age old psychologically method of " seige mentality...her and her followers striving to educate the foolish hysterical masses", ... Her followers are a bit idiotic to buy into it. It is far better to er on the side of caution ( not hysteria), and realise we don't really know too much about this virus and how it will act in different populations, or the role of asymptomatic carriers, and why PCR testing can generate repeated false negatives in some patients.






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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote CRS, DrPH Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 30 2014 at 9:07pm
Originally posted by Don Don wrote:

You should only quarantine people that are contagious.  Do you think anyone that treats someone with tuberculosis should be quarantined.   The answer is no by the way.  

TB does not have a CFR of about 70%, per this Ebola outbreak. 

Infectious TB cases can, and are, quarantined:

Federal isolation and quarantine are authorized for these communicable diseases:

  • Cholera
  • Diphtheria
  • Infectious tuberculosis
  • Plague
  • Smallpox
  • Yellow fever
  • Viral hemorrhagic fevers
  • Severe acute respiratory syndromes
  • Flu that can cause a pandemic

Federal isolation and quarantine are authorized by Executive Order of the President. The President can revise this list by Executive Order.

----------

Quarantine. 
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CRS,Dr.PH, This nurse in Maine is doing a great disservice to her profession.I do not think that most nurses agree with what she is doing and what she is doing is illegal and irresponsible.She is getting a lot of mileage out of this for her EGO and damageing her own profession. As more Ebola infected healthcare people return to this country and other countries,she will be more and more dumped by her profession.

I also really wonder if she actually treated any infected Ebola patience while she was in Africa, She may been what we referred to in Vietnam as REMFs.

Since this country and many other countries face Ebola as it continues to spread,this lady will be looked at more and more as an arrogant duma** .In your list above,you list Viral hemorrhagic fevers,if Ebola does not qualify as a Viral Hemorrhagic fever,nothing does. Johnray1
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"Infectious TB cases can, and are, quarantined"

You avoided the question.   Yes people with active infectious TB can and should be quarantined.  If you are sick with an infectious disease  you need to be keep away from others.    However... do you guarantee everybody that has had even casual contact with a case?

At least the present moment we have no evidence of community spread of ebola in this country.   We also have very little evidence that you are contagious if you are not sick.   Over 70 health workers where exposed to Duncan.      If you force guarantee every health profession you will crush our health care system.

It might be prudent, out of an abundance of caution to isolate this particular nurse... but if we have more than just a couple cases it quickly becomes unmanageable.

Nobody will argue that you shouldn't isolate sick people.   However healthy people in this country are supposed to have certain rights.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote 7laws Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 31 2014 at 2:38am
I don't see what the problem is with quarantine for 20-30 days. Hang out home and get caught up on reading or whatever. Sounds easy enough to me.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Albert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 31 2014 at 3:01am
The problem is that some missionaries may be mentally ill with the hero syndrome.  Looks like Hickox got bit by the Hero Complex bug.

Tips from another missionary:

You're Not a Hero.

First of all, before you go and when you get there, your team must commit to getting rid of the hero complex. Developing countries do not need short-term heroes.They need long-term partners. And if your group just wants to be a hero for a week, then you may be doing more harm than good.

http://www.relevantmagazine.com/reject-apathy/things-no-one-tells-you-about-going-short-term-mission-trips



From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The hero syndrome is a phenomenon affecting people who seek heroism or recognition, usually by creating a desperate situation which they can resolve. This can include unlawful acts, such as arson. The phenomenon has been noted to affect civil servants, such as firefighters, nurses, police officers, programmers, and security guards. Acts linked with the hero syndrome should not be confused with acts of malicious intent, such as revenge on the part of a suspended firefighter or an insatiable level of excitement, as was found in a federal study of more than 75 firefighter arsonists.[1] However, acts of the hero syndrome have been linked to previously failed heroism. The hero syndrome may also be a more general yearning for self-worth.[2]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hero_syndrome
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Albert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 31 2014 at 3:43am
I'll also add, before you picture these workers risking their lives in W. Africa around the clock, it's not exactly like that.  Out of 521 healthcare workers who have been infected with Ebola, only 3% are with MSF, Docs without Borders.  They train the W. African docs and then throw them to the wolves.  I  just don't want people thinking that it's a bloodbath with the MSF heroes.  Probably why they lost containment and blew this whole gig in the first place. 
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Hello Guest.

I disagree and feel I answered the question clearly, please reread my last post more carefully. I was not just talking about symptomatic infected ill people.

I asked poient and basic questions about the Ebola virus.

1) I asked about genetic and immunological susceptibility, ( are there genotypes or phenotypes at increased risk ) if exposure to someone who still has low undetectable viral loads.

2) Importantly whàt is the role of asymptomatic carriers, and naturally immune hosts, what is their potential to infect both healthy and immunocompromised individuals.

3) I asked about the generation of false negatives, PCR looks for virus in blood, why does that not always correspond to antibody titres taken weeks later.

4) I also asked about the incubation period vs latency period and how this differs on route of infection, blood vs mucosal etc,

5) what about mechanisms of pathology of the virus ?

6) can you breakdown of the viral RNA, what does it all code for.

7)What is its behaviour of transmission under different selective conditions, and within different ethnic groups.

9). Can the virus remain dormant in cells, undetected and causing no symptoms, if so what conditions activates its transcription.

Scientifically these are not advanced questions, they are basic bread and butter information, that ....WE DONT HAVE YET on this virus. If we can answer these then we can start deciding if quarantine can be lifted.

For people to base an argument against quarantine on the few cases that have been in US so far, is just plain silly. Our knowledge is so sparse we do not even know the natural host or its geographic range. These facts matter.


If we listen to what the CDC are actually saying. Their statements all revolve around the get out clause " What we know at present".

In contrast the 2 doctors from our health board who returned from Sierra Leone self quarantine for 25 days ( they based this on the 4% study).   All the UK NHS staff generally do it without even being asked, just common respect and understanding.   There is no fuss, no fanfare, no media circus. One of the doctors is back in Sierra Leone in February next year (not in Ebola this time but maternity services). Staying at home for 25 days didn't deter her at all. I think she feels the needs of the people she helps in Sierra Leone, far outweighs any inconvenience she has to face when isolating herself back home.

If as Dom correctly highlights in their last post that " having to undergo 21 days quarantine" would be a deterent to potential volunteers. Well perhaps it filters out those that would not be suitable to go there. Medics with this attitude don't sound like very resilient responsible characters do they, probably need volunteers made of stronger stuff, those prepared to put the needs of these people's suffering over that of their own comforts.

Also in reply to Dom .....I am sorry you feel they are not being treated like lepers. I see it different. I see they are being treated as though they may be potential carriers of a highly lethal virus, which is not yet fully understood. This assumption is based on their recent close proximity to infected patients, an exposure they chose to participate in. It was stated in your post that attitudes to such health workers is something to be ashamed about. If you expect me to be ashamed of applying common sense, I am sorry but I can't.

Give this virus some respect, and let's take simple precautions until we build up a reliable profile of this virus. This can't be hurried to fit in with our ideological notions.

We have a saying posted at the entrance to our labs..it simply says REMEMBER BE CAREFUL IN THERE..enough said.


Lastly remember the enormous amount of money at present being paid to certain individuals charged with bringing the PR and public opinion about this virus epidemic under control. These people and their needs are not always strictly humanitarian. They serve to protect their hefty private investments in this area of West Africa. They need the flights opened and the commuting into and out of these areas to fully resume. ( this is a different sort of traffic from the humanitarian corridor doctors with out borders ask for.) Anyway this outbreak is costing their investors millions. Lowering the global fear of Ebola is a number one priority for many important buisness investors. I am not saying the nurse is anything to do with them, but promoting her case in media, and portraying anyone that disagrees with her as ' hysterical' certainly helps them to manipulating the opinions of the public, and desensitising the demons surrounding a virus that is financially hitting their pockets.   Watch as we see more of such opinions being promoted, think the HIV groups are being targeted next to protest about the hysteria.....twisting turning the public opinion.

To finish let me say I am not hysterically blindly following the media, I follow the science and as yet there are still huge gaps in our knowledge for us to start performing without a saftey net.

Just my opinion.







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Hickox is probably going to have a left over Halloween candy.  Wonder if the police will let kids go to the door.   scariest house in town.


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ParanoidMom Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 31 2014 at 6:35am
Let's back up a bit.

Every healthcare worker that has volunteered to go into a hot zone is briefed extensively on what to expect, the protocols of handling patients and given the information of what is known about the disease/virus that is known at the time.

Going by what she was probably told 3+ months ago before heading over there, this virus was only spread by direct contact with bodily fluids.

While she is there, hundreds of healthcare workers are infected with this virus. They obviously couldn't have all been careless enough to ignore the protocols, so common sense would be telling them something had changed. They just have no idea how.

So now it is time for her to return home. The US has had cases brought in of healthcare workers who had unknowingly exposed themselves to the virus. A man has come in from Liberia and not only brought the virus with him, but infected two nurses that treated him.

Within her 3+ months of time being involved with this virus the "experts" have been forced to change the rules, albeit quietly, from only direct contact with bodily fluids to the fact it can be passed through a sneeze or cough. There is still the unknown if the virus can be passed before a person is symptomatic.

This healthcare worker returns from a hot zone. She had a fever, which means if she had ebola she was currently symptomatic. Her first test comes back negative.

At this point, having her test come back negative should have been an incredible relief. However, she knows first hand how these tests are not foolproof. There is still a minimum of 21 days for incubation.

Now things get out of hand. Her over-the-top reaction of how she has been wronged by the tests come out. Either she has lied and was never in contact with patients but wanted to look the hero, or she's so wrapped up in her self importance that she doesn't care about anyone around her. This includes her own healthcare workers.

To be on the safe side, she is asked, then told, a 21 day quarantine is the best thing for everyone around her to make sure she doesn't become patient zero.

We've all seen how well that has gone.

No, she doesn't have any symptoms. Her fever is gone. As far as she is concerned her rights as an individual are far more important than anyone she might come into contact with. That is utter selfishness.

Had she just agreed to a voluntary quarantine, it would have probably cost the authorities a minimal amount of money to bring in groceries, a fancy television, a game system or whatever amenities she might request to keep herself occupied for the 21 days. However, now the cost of the extra security alone has jumped this into the thousands of dollars.

She was not going to be taken to a FEMA camp. She wasn't going to isolated in a tent somewhere in the desert with no electricity and a wire fence keeping everyone away. She was asked to stay in her own home for 3 weeks for the good of an entire nation. In this case, and any future ones, it is absolutely the truth that one person could possibly affect hundreds of others.

To all of us sitting at home, we are thinking of our families and loved ones. What if my child is in the same class as the child of the nextdoor neighbor? What if my sister is the one who is in line behind this woman in the grocery store? What if my spouse is the one who pumps gas right after her and she just happened to cough into her hand just before she grabbed the handle?

This healthcare worker KNOWS this virus is surrounded by changing variables and complete unknowns. So yes, she absolutely has no compassion for anyone but herself and she is acting completely self-centered.



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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ASB Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 31 2014 at 6:51am
I voted that she should quarantine. I would prefer that it is voluntary but it could be mandatory as long as it happens. I do not wish her harm even though her getting sick would help to wake the country up.

I do not blame her as much as others since it is clear that the White House sent the first lawyers in to get her to refuse the initial quarantine attempt and she is being used and manipulated as a pawn in efforts to keep the Mexican border open so Democrats can get more votes.

The CDC is overconfident and with a disease that has a 70% CFR it is just not wise to be that confident. When they say things like it can't be transmitted before symptoms I assume they mean it generally can't be transmitted before symptoms. Again with a CFR of 70% it does not make sense to rely on generalities.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Jen147 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 31 2014 at 6:58am
Originally posted by Albert Albert wrote:

Hickox is probably going to have a left over Halloween candy.  Wonder if the police will let kids go to the door.   scariest house in town.


 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote onefluover Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 31 2014 at 7:03am
Originally posted by Johnray1 Johnray1 wrote:

CRS,Dr.PH, This nurse in Maine is doing a great disservice to her profession.I do not think that most nurses agree with what she is doing and what she is doing is illegal and irresponsible.She is getting a lot of mileage out of this for her EGO and damageing her own profession. As more Ebola infected healthcare people return to this country and other countries,she will be more and more dumped by her profession.

I also really wonder if she actually treated any infected Ebola patience while she was in Africa, She may been what we referred to in Vietnam as REMFs.

Since this country and many other countries face Ebola as it continues to spread,this lady will be looked at more and more as an arrogant duma** .In your list above,you list Viral hemorrhagic fevers,if Ebola does not qualify as a Viral Hemorrhagic fever,nothing does. Johnray1


You know this was exactly my thought early on. That she KNOWS she's not infected because she never got near them. Otherwise, how can she be so sure? Maybe in all she was just a PBQ. In Carnieism, the belly under a trailer between the axels is a Possum Belly where many of the Carnies slept. She's now running around acting like a Queen.
"And then there were none."
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Originally posted by Johnray1 Johnray1 wrote:

CRS,Dr.PH, This nurse in Maine is doing a great disservice to her profession.I do not think that most nurses agree with what she is doing and what she is doing is illegal and irresponsible.She is getting a lot of mileage out of this for her EGO and damageing her own profession. As more Ebola infected healthcare people return to this country and other countries,she will be more and more dumped by her profession.

I also really wonder if she actually treated any infected Ebola patience while she was in Africa, She may been what we referred to in Vietnam as REMFs.

Since this country and many other countries face Ebola as it continues to spread,this lady will be looked at more and more as an arrogant duma** .In your list above,you list Viral hemorrhagic fevers,if Ebola does not qualify as a Viral Hemorrhagic fever,nothing does. Johnray1
 
Good one Johnray!  I did have to google REMFs though.  Was very enlightened.  Found this in a wonderfully written story by a guy who was there:
 
 
"REMFs were a viciously maligned group whose numbers were legion. Technically, a REMF was a support person who lived and worked in the relative safety of rear areas behind barbed wire, ate hot meals, took hot showers, and slept in a bed, usually in air conditioned comfort. Loosely defined, a REMF was anyone who had it better than you.
...
REMFs were slackers, dopers, whiners and complainers. They screwed up everything and drove up the price of wh*res. They took the best for themselves, got all the glory, aided and abetted the enemy, and were chiefly responsible for the spread of VD. In the final analysis, they were the reason we lost the war. REMFs were bad. Very bad."
 
 
There's a bit of his dry sarcastic humor in that but you get the general idea of what a REMF was as it pertains to Johnray's theory that Hickox might have done diddly squat in W. Africa.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote onefluover Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 31 2014 at 7:11am
Originally posted by ASB ASB wrote:

I voted that she should quarantine. I would prefer that it is voluntary but it could be mandatory as long as it happens. I do not wish her harm even though her getting sick would help to wake the country up.

I do not blame her as much as others since it is clear that the White House sent the first lawyers in to get her to refuse the initial quarantine attempt and she is being used and manipulated as a pawn in efforts to keep the Mexican border open so Democrats can get more votes.

The CDC is overconfident and with a disease that has a 70% CFR it is just not wise to be that confident. When they say things like it can't be transmitted before symptoms I assume they mean it generally can't be transmitted before symptoms. Again with a CFR of 70% it does not make sense to rely on generalities.


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You guys missed my point.  

The doctors that treat tuberculosis patients are not quarantined unless they have it.   

If she develops symptoms I agree quarantine is appropriate.   Or if the illness was shown to spread before symptoms occur, again a appropriate response.  

Otherwise it is just a knee jerk response that effects real people for no reason and spreads misinformation about what appropriate responses should be.     

Should the people that have recovered be quarantined also?  


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I agree Don, and welcome.  The problem is all the unknowns and the stakes are very high in this case for you and all of us.

All Hickox has to do is admit she wasn't in contact with Ebola patients and she would probably be fine.   If she was treating them first hand, then hell yes she should be in quarantine.  Like the others, I'm guessing her role had nothing to do with treating anyone like a lot of the MSF people.  She should reflect on the NBC cameraman who had no contact with patients and is clueless how he got it.

If she was recently treating Ebola patients, would you let your kids stay the night at her house on day 8 after exposure? 

She may very well develop symptoms at anytime over the next couple days.  I believe she's on day 10 now.   Hope she's checking that temp, but doubtful.

With regard to other volunteers not going there, who cares.  They haven't done the best job.

MSF has 3000 people there and they posted on their website that they're currently not taking anymore for the mission.  They have tons of people.   So when MSF says people will no longer come over to assist, that's a lie as they're not needed either way.  Clear history of lying amongst the heroes.   Lies without borders. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 31 2014 at 8:50am
Don.  I accept this looks knee-jerk but it is carefully thought out.

1.  Ebola is assumed to be contagious only when symptoms are present.  This is a very unsafe assumption.  The vast majority of contagious diseases have different latent and incubation periods.  As ebola is contagious from as little as one viron, statistically speaking, it is more likely to have a shorter latent period than incubation period.  Ebola is a stealth virus.  The reason it is so deadly is that patients immune systems do not recognise it until it is too late.  Symptoms of a disease appear when the immune system reacts.  This also suggests the latent period should be shorter than the incubation period.

2,  Ebola has a very high CFR and no effective treatment.  If a tummy bug escaped it would be an inconvenience and an economic drain.  When a disease this deadly escapes the panic alone can crash an economy.  When the panic spreads people run away.  This increases the spread and here in the countries where the vast majority have cars and can use public transport (not the case in W Africa) that is an inconcievably nasty senario.

3,  Every point Hazlepad made is valid.  I have only listed what we know.  What we do not, is far greater. 

4,  The ebola test is new and not highly accurate.

5,  Quarrantine for less than a month is no hardship............................... even for such a Diva!
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So Don... how about this.  Say Kaci refuses the quarantine.  So she's out & about tomorrow.  Mixing in with all the people in her town. 
 
She takes her temp at 8 am before she leaves.  No temp.  But at 9 am the virus has finally grown within her enough to finally raise that temp... she's gone all day.  Thinking I will not be silenced!  I must go shopping & dining out and see a movie.  As the day goes on & she moves from one store to the next.  Stops in for some crab legs or lobster for lunch.  Temp is higher than it was at 9 am by lunch.  Boyfriend spills some pepper on the table goofing off (silly boys Wacko) and it makes Kaci sneeze.  They have a good laugh commenting that the world would say "stop spreading your ebola germs".  Little does she know she just did all over that table.  And the boyfriend.  And the restaurant is about to get swamped because a bus load of kids on a field trip just stopped off for lunch also and the waitress doesn't have time to clean the table Kaci & boyfriend were at.  So in file several little kids at that table hands all over the table top then in their nose mouth & eyes & on their food. 
 
So they move on.  Shoe shopping.  Gotta stop in at Verizon & check out that new iphone 6.  She's got on a heavy coat maybe because it's cold, maybe they are holding hands & her hand is sweating.  Maybe she uses the keypad at the next store to punch in her pin number or uses the stylus or pen the clerk hands her to sign her credit card receipt. 
 
On & on her day goes.  She feels tired but she thinks its just the day of shopping & lolly gagging around town and the stress of being imprisoned.  So they stop at a relatives house that she's not seen since she got back & hugs & kisses on the cheek & "oh you poor thing, you've been through so much"... 
 
On to the movie, she's really not feeling well, maybe a little more sweaty but it's because it's so hot in the theater.  She takes her coat off & at first it helps then she feels chilled so she puts it back on.
 
Finally dinner at a nice place... "because I deserve it!"  and then drinks out at the bar.  All the while she knows she's feeling worse than since lunch.  I've just been under so much stress she thinks. 
 
Finally home, she's getting ready for bed & grabs that thermometer and take her temp although begrudgingly so... and when it beeps & she looks down & sees that it says 100.1... she's in shock... what! she thinks, no way.  So she takes it again.  And still it's the same.  So she searches through the bathroom drawers & cabinets for every thermometer she can find because this one must be broken.  All say the same thing.  She calls boyfriend to the bedroom & says I've got a fever.  If she's still not in denial at this point & doesn't run out to buy the best thermometer she can find or look in the mirror a hundred times swearing it's just her cheeks are flushed.  She'll finally pick up the phone & call her attorney first to say... hey maybe I should have stayed home because I'm sick & I've been everywhere even to my relatives house & to a couple restaurants & several stores.  What should I do?
 
________________________
 
My story is incredibly lame & stupid but... possible.  Now did she shed enough ebola to infect any of the people she came into contact with?   We are not sure, that is why this woman needs to stay home for just 3 weeks.  So we don't have to worry about all those people she could have just so selfishly endangered.
 
 
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D
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Originally posted by Don Don wrote:

You can't get spread it unless you are symptomatic!!!!!  



That's BS.  There is absolutely no scientific basis for that statement whatsoever.   You are simply parroting the party-line of Frieden and the CDC...."Nothing to worry about, move along." 


Health organizations are currently operating off of a long list of hypotheses. We do not know the true numbers of asymptomatic patients, those with Ebola who don’t run fevers or give other signs. Nor do we know how long it takes to incubate without symptoms or the most efficacious way to treat the disease.


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Luckily a judge issued the temp restraining order against her today so she has to stay home.  No doubt the judge did that with Halloween here.   Will cost her 3k to get out of it. Unfortunately the courts are closed on the weekend so her attorney will have to file motion on Monday.   They will file a motion, and the D.A. will try to drag it out until around November 10.  Hickox attorney will file for an ex parte motion on Monday for an emergency hearing.   This is probably when her bf says, hey babe, let this thing go, too much money.  This is costing Hickox thousands. 

When it's over after the 10th, and if she has no symptoms, guaranteed she will file civil law suit.  That is 100% her plan and she will go for money.  Because of this court order, she won't win.
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She probably plans to get all those thousands back & then some Albert.
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Ya I edited and added to last post.  She will file civil law suit the day after 21 days is up if she's Ebola free.    She won't win.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote CRS, DrPH Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 31 2014 at 10:35am
Originally posted by Johnray1 Johnray1 wrote:

CRS,Dr.PH, This nurse in Maine is doing a great disservice to her profession.I do not think that most nurses agree with what she is doing and what she is doing is illegal and irresponsible.She is getting a lot of mileage out of this for her EGO and damageing her own profession. As more Ebola infected healthcare people return to this country and other countries,she will be more and more dumped by her profession.

I also really wonder if she actually treated any infected Ebola patience while she was in Africa, She may been what we referred to in Vietnam as REMFs.

Since this country and many other countries face Ebola as it continues to spread,this lady will be looked at more and more as an arrogant duma** .In your list above,you list Viral hemorrhagic fevers,if Ebola does not qualify as a Viral Hemorrhagic fever,nothing does. Johnray1

Thanks, Johray1!  I'm completely in your corner on this.  

People like Frieden, Nurse Hiccup etc. keep saying "the science shows we are not a risk" but quite honestly, we have no clue yet!  This is still an evolving situation on the ground.....the natural history and disease progression of Ebola (one of several VHF, along with Marburg, Lassa etc.) is very much unknown.

  Are patients contagious before symptomatic?  We don't know yet.  A certain proportion of active Ebola cases do not even present with a fever before they go fully symptomatic, so using fever as a measure of infection is flawed.  

This thing has a CFR of about 70%, we need to protect society, not individuals.  Nurse Hiccup did treat active cases in Africa from what I've read, so let her reside in comfort in her home for all I care.  Post state troopers at the door if need be.  
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Originally posted by Albert Albert wrote:

Luckily a judge issued the temp restraining order against her today so she has to stay home.  No doubt the judge did that with Halloween here.   Will cost her 3k to get out of it. Unfortunately the courts are closed on the weekend so her attorney will have to file motion on Monday.   They will file a motion, and the D.A. will try to drag it out until around November 10.  Hickox attorney will file for an ex parte motion on Monday for an emergency hearing.   This is probably when her bf says, hey babe, let this thing go, too much money.  This is costing Hickox thousands. 

When it's over after the 10th, and if she has no symptoms, guaranteed she will file civil law suit.  That is 100% her plan and she will go for money.  Because of this court order, she won't win.

I'm sure MSF is paying the legal tab, Albert.  
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Probably so Chuck.   MSF heroes are behind all the problems.  And I mean all of them.

What Obama/Fauchi don't realize is that they don't have to worry about MSF threatening to pull out if their demands are not met.  They're a religious group and have bad case of hero syndrome.  You couldn't force the heroes out.
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Hickox and MSF are really clueless.  This entire thread is hitting the search engines (Google) soon and MSF is about to have a tainted image for years to come.   If you google "MSF discussion forum", you will see that our Ebolainfo.org has 4 listings on page 1 of google already, lol.
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To All,yes, she should have been quarantined,but now she has made a joke out of a quarantine and she has gotten away with it. That means that more will do the same thing..Johnray1
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Here is a doctor who unlike the nurse has got no affiliation with CDC, and who is not linked to senior lawyers or activist from political parties etc etc..... so there is no murky waters of possible vested interest in using the media to promote certain policies, while shouting and challenging others. Murky waters which the nurse stands in. He is also a consultant, and a clinical assistant professor of surgery at Stanford. He has last week returned after working in Liberia with the International Medical Corps.

Here he describes how he has absolutely no quams about a 21 day quarantine. He does reinforce that he isn't contagious but is doing what he thinks is right. He makes no comment on the nurse. Link at bottom.

Dr. Colin Bucks sits in his Redwood City home every day -- completely alone. He sent his wife and dog to a hotel. The only time he goes out the front door is to retrieve food delivered into a cooler on his porch.

He won't even walk down the driveway to pick up the tossed fliers that are piling up.

Bucks, 43, a Stanford emergency physician, is one week into a 21-day quarantine since his return from a jungle camp in Liberia, where he served for a month on the front lines of the Ebola epidemic that killed about half his patients whose stories "hit you right in the gut."

Bucks remained healthy in what he called an "enormously austere" environment. The medical teams covered themselves head to toe in sweltering, yellow Hazmat suits while treating patients, then hosed the suits down with a bleach solution as they undressed. He has no symptoms and believes he poses no health risk to his community.

But unlike Maine nurse Kaci Hickox who has been making headlines by defying her quarantine order after returning from treating Ebola patients in Sierra Leone, Bucks has no quarrel with his required isolation. He knows that while unlikely, it's possible he could develop symptoms within 21 days of his last exposure to the virus that has killed nearly 5,000 people. And even though San Mateo County health officials have given him the go-ahead for bike rides or jogs through the neighborhood by himself, he chooses to exercise in the confines of his house.

( Contrast this with the nurse response Qu ote: Hickox is locked in a battle with Maine's governor and health officials who insist she avoid the public. On Thursday, before a throng of journalists, she went on a bike ride with her boyfriend followed by state troopers. )

"If I had to go outside the house, it would be completely safe. But for community reassurance, I'm staying completely inside my house and on the property," Bucks, a clinical assistant professor of surgery at the Stanford School of Medicine, said in a phone interview Thursday ( note the phone interview not a meet and greet and shake hands like the nurse).. "I wouldn't want anything to happen that would heighten anxiety in my community."


So far, he said, he's received nothing but support from his friends, colleagues and neighbors, people who appreciate his work that is helping to stem the deadly virus from spreading

Bucks lost 9 pounds during his intense monthlong experience in Liberia and is ravenous now that he's home. He is required to take his temperature twice a day and communicate with San Mateo County health officials at least once a day. As much as he thought he'd be bored watching TV during his quarantine, instead "the phone hasn't left my right ear since I got back." Doctors and hospitals and health organizations from throughout the country and around the world are calling him for advice on equipment and procedure to keep the virus contained. He's also interviewing potential recruits to volunteer in Ebola zones.

On his character one of his work colleagues says.

"His first question is never what can we do for him, but what he can do for others," said Auerbach, who earlier this week dropped off in Bucks' cooler a duck for dinner and chocolate for dessert.

What Bucks hopes isn't being lost in the national quarantine debate is the important work being done in West Africa. Bucks is an emergency medicine physician with special training in humanitarian disaster response. Volunteering in Liberia with the International Medical Corps is just one more way to be ready for any kind of epidemic or natural disaster on home soil, he said.

The article then goes on to describe conditions in West Africa, the need for public support and aid. ( I.e. he is using his media platform to help the people affected, raise awareness for them,).

Full article link below

http://www.mercurynews.com/health/ci_26831840/ebola-stanford-doctor-back-from-liberia-has-no


In another article he simply states ,” Bucks, 43, said Thursday from his Redwood City home. “Of course I miss my family but we recognized in advance that it would be essential to be separated on the return. It’s an extension of the deployment to me.

Albert I agree it does not actually say the nurse had direct contact with Ebola patients in the last 21 days, think she is secure in knowledge she wasn't directly working with them. She has side skipped this when asked, always turning the debate to her home situation, not what the nature of the work she was doing. Unlike other health workers who would have seized the media circus opportunity to help promote the need for donations and aid, she only promotes her self and her human rights, and getting her online profiles professional changing to create a whole new personna, really weird. She seems too reactionary, volatile at the moment to work under such pressure conditions. Hope after this she has a break before returning.
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