Analysing the Spanish Flu against the history of the 2009 Swine
Flu shows every intelligent person that a vaccine cure for a future avian
human-to-human killer virus (all viruses are different as they constantly
mutate) will simply come too late as the time horizons are too short. Indeed
even if we could produce an antidote within 8 weeks in the laboratory, which presently
is around 6 months, it takes over 26 weeks to manufacture, distribute and
administer to 1/3rd of the masses and as was the case in the USA in 2009, this
will be far too long and every affected person will have died. Those are the
facts based on recent history.
1918 SPANISH FLU PANDEMIC
The 1918 pandemic did its worst (in the second wave after it had mutated into
the human-to-human mass killer) following the first human death between week 16
and week 26 after the second wave. Between 50 million and 100 million perished
out of a world population of around 1.5 billion (less than 25% of the
population now). Therefore in a mere 6 months from initial human death, most
had died an absolutely appalling and suffocating death.
2009 SWINE FLU PANDEMIC
Time Horizons for the 2009 Swine Flu Pandemic against the 1918 Spanish flu
Detection
Time Scale - 0 months
Swine Flu first detected – Influenza A, Novel H1N1 "swine flu" was
first detected in Mexico City and was made public March 18, 2009. Therefore the
first causality was probably at the beginning of March 2009 taking into account
the incubation period.
First Death in USA
Time Scale + 2-months later at the end
of April 2009
1st Vaccine Approved
Time Scale + 6 months 2 weeks
The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved the new swine flu vaccine
for use in the United States on September 15, 2009.
Mass Vaccine 1st ready for use in USA
Time Scale + 7 months 1 week
The vaccine was first ready from mass production and used on 5th October 2009
in the USA
Most Vaccinated City in the USA by 22nd March 2010
Time Scale + 1 year 1month 1 week
Massachusetts vaccinated more residents against the swine flu and seasonal flu
in the fall and winter than any other state.
Up to the end of Winter (March 2010) - The Massachusetts Department of Public
Health says 36 percent of residents were inoculated against the swine flu, also
known as H1N1, compared with 21 percent nationally. Seasonal flu vaccinations
were administered to 57 percent of the population, compared with 37 percent
nationwide.
A mere 36% in one USA
city and where nationally only 21% had the vaccine by March 22nd 2010. This was
approximately 13 months after the first human death was recorded in Mexico.
Therefore compared to the Spanish Flu where the fastest transit
system was the ‘slow’ boat to China
and now we have rapid jet travel, the next equivalent to the Spanish Flu will
travel like wildfire throughout the planet. Also as the Spanish Flu killed most
within 6 months of the first detected death and a vaccine was not authorised by
the US
government until over 7 months after the first detected death from Swine Flu in
2009, the vast majority of people have no chance of being saved. Therefore the
vaccine thinking and strategy is sheer madness and if the world does not change
its mindset, the unthinkable will definitely happen eventually. Then most will
lose a loved one or entire families.
The world has to come to its senses before it is far too late and adopt
Professor Shortridge's strategy for our own good - http://www.thewif.org.uk/home/shortridge_thailand_2008.pdf -
, as it is the
only one that has worked and will save the lives of literally 100s of millions.
Dr David Hill
World Innovation Foundation
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