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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

Scientists Who Simulate The End Of The World
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arirish View Drop Down
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    Posted: May 06 2016 at 8:37am
The Scientists Who Simulate The End Of The World



The scientists at the National Infrastructure Simulation and Analysis Center model cyberattacks, global pandemics, and megastorms.


http://www.fastcodesign.com/3058542/the-scientists-who-simulate-the-end-of-the-world

comment: Interesting read.
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Points: 2850 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote OriginalHappyCamper Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2016 at 6:37am
 I put no stock in the scientists telling us how the world will end when they cannot explain in their theories of the earth formation, big bang, how one tree can penetrate, vertically multiple coal seams. But the Bible can, world wide flood.

http://www.icr.org/article/polystrate-trees-coal-seams-joggins-fossil-cliffs/

  1. The vertical stumps often penetrate two or more strata, including thin seams of coal. Often they overlap other trees, arising from overlying layers. A dead, hollow, and submerged stump could not persist for the long period of time necessitated for a second forest to grow and collect as peat
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Points: 47251 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jacksdad Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 08 2016 at 8:55am
Good read. Excellent point about school closures being key to halting the spread of a virus because children and teens can act as the "transmission backbone of the next pandemic". I'm sure that one strikes a chord for the parents amongst us. Everything I catch seems to have been going around school first Ermm
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"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary.
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arirish View Drop Down
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Points: 39215 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 08 2016 at 12:05pm
When our kids finished school we stopped getting sick! As soon as they had children and the grand kids started preschool, we all started getting sick again. Schools are just a giant incubator!
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Arirish, I tried the link yesterday and today but it won't let me see it. Would you cut and paste it please? Thanks.
Those who got it wrong, for whatever reason, may feel defensive and retrench into a position that doesn’t accord with the facts.
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Points: 47251 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jacksdad Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 08 2016 at 6:38pm
I couldn't use the link either, KiwiMum, or post it here using my tablet. Try googling "the scientists who simulate the end of the world". That's how I found the article.
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arirish View Drop Down
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Points: 39215 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 09 2016 at 6:58am
Don't know what's up but try this!

http://www.fastcodesign.com/3058542/the-scientists-who-simulate-the-end-of-the-world
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arirish View Drop Down
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Points: 39215 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 09 2016 at 7:26am
I don't know why but my links aren't working. I guess you can copy and google!
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Points: 47251 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jacksdad Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 10 2016 at 7:36am
I fixed your links, arirish. It was the double "http" thing that was messing with it.
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"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary.
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JD- Thanks so much! Most of us would be lost around here if it wasn't for a great group of moderators! Thanks to all of you!!!
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You're more than welcome, arirish. Glad to help.
While we're on the subject, your contribution to AFT hasn't gone unnoticed either, and I'd like to take the opportunity to thank you for all the time and effort you put into posting articles and information. It's very much appreciated by everyone Thumbs Up
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"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary.
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Originally posted by jacksdad jacksdad wrote:

Good read. Excellent point about school closures being key to halting the spread of a virus because children and teens can act as the "transmission backbone of the next pandemic". I'm sure that one strikes a chord for the parents amongst us. Everything I catch seems to have been going around school first Ermm



Right on the money!  

Glass noticed something about the behavior of a pandemic. It "exhibits many similarities to that of a forest fire: You catch it from your neighbors," he reasoned. And there are two ways to stop a wildfire from spreading—with fire breaks or by thinning the forest. In pandemic terms, that meant either closing off borders in large quarantine areas, or "thinning" the potential network of people who could be infected. The thinning model, Glass posited, would work a lot better since the place where the fire (or flu) will break out is so unpredictable.

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Points: 39215 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 11 2016 at 9:13am
I noticed during the last round of H1N1 that many of the Eastern European countries closed their schools for several weeks and the level of spread in those countries was much lower than in countries that didn't!
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