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PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

Stocks Fall/ Flu Rises / What to do?

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    Posted: February 07 2006 at 9:03am
FEB. 7 11:22 A.M. ET Stocks turned lower Tuesday after
Hong Kong authorities said they suspected two birds that died in the area
were infected with a deadly strain of the bird flu virus.

Nervous investors have been fearing news of a bird flu pandemic, which
has potential to send affected economies grinding to a halt and stymie
international trade. The news comes at a time when Wall Street is
especially nervous about what it calls "the geopolitical situation," which
includes Iran's nuclear program and unrest in oil-rich Nigeria.

One measure of how the mood on Wall Street has changed: One of the
Street's most bullish strategists, Prudential Financial's Ed Keon, cut his
recommended stock weighting to 55 percent this week from the 100
percent allocation he has recommended since July.



campaign_id=apn_tech_down&chan=tc">http://www.businessweek.c om/
ap/financialnews/D8FKCILO8.htm?campaign_id=apn_tech_down&cha n=tc


* For those with any mad money, considering shorting the airlines and   
the hotel stocks . Anyone else have suggestions?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 07 2006 at 9:45am

Anyone else have suggestions

Don't play the market short term unless you know what you're doing and have money that you can afford to loose.  JMO, and my 3 cents worth.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 07 2006 at 10:32am


I'm defining "Mad Money, as "money you can afford to loose"


or it could be called,


How to profit from the grim realities of the coming apcolypse so that you
can take care of friends and loved ones, in case you all make it into God
knows what kind of world.

You don't need to buy stocks, by simply paying off your debts, and having
cash in hand, you'll be ahead of the game.

I might rethink that strategy if I was more pessimistic. :-)


Edited by Rick
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote DarlMan Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 07 2006 at 11:03am
Just an example of what even a little bad news can do to economic markets. And we wonder why the WHO is not about to change the level from 3 to 4.

They have already IMHO came to the conclusion that if a pandemic happens were F'ed so might as well keep things in order in the event that it doesn't.

I mean do we have a short term disruption an a more prepared society, or do we roll the dice an bank on a seven.

Honestly, I could argue either way....
History shows again and again
How nature points out the folly of men
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 07 2006 at 11:38am
You know initially I thought short term disruption too. I'm getting a bad
feeling cause, things have changed since 1918, as far as the environment
and population , I'm not certain if things or going to turn out better or
worse than 1918-19.

There is concept in quantum physics that says a + b = c
,but, b + a does not equal c.

If the virus was not endemic there would be no concern for mutation.
Unfortunatley their are billions of viruses out their in millions of birds,
cats, ferrets.

Each virus is a mutational roulette wheel. Billions of viral roulette wheels
spinning 24/7 - looking for that simple mutation that hits the jackpot.
You only need one to be a winner.



Edited by Rick
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