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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

The 4th Wave has begun

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Kilt-3 View Drop Down
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    Posted: October 18 2015 at 4:59pm

4th wave of H7N9 avian influenza has begun

Outbreak News Today-17 Oct 2015
Raising the alarm for poultry-related livelihoods and public health, FAO warned countries Thursday that a fourth wave of avian influenza H7N9 ...
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kilt-3 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 18 2015 at 5:07pm
quote from the article

“We expect human cases to rise sharply in the coming weeks or months, as has happened in previous years. This is due in part to the seasonal behaviour of the virus, helped along by critical gaps in biosecurity commonly found in the poultry industry.”
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kilt-3 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 18 2015 at 5:10pm
also from the article

This is a worry actually

H7N9 spreads silently in poultry, since it causes little to no illness in birds. It can infect people through direct contact with infected birds or their secretions. Surveillance in China has shown that H7N9 has become well established in poultry populations in south-eastern parts of the country, and the virus can cause mild to severe disease in humans, and in some cases even death . According to official numbers released by Chinese authorities, H7N9 has caused mortality in roughly 40 percent of reported human infections. Out of the 678 human cases reported to date, 271 have died.

FAO marked the beginning of Wave 4 on 2 October after Chinese authorities in Zhejiang Province reported the first two human cases since July. According to Dr Eran Raizman, head of FAO’s Emergency Prevention Service, these are indicators of things to come.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kilt-3 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 19 2015 at 4:52pm

Human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus – China

World Health Organization-13 hours ago
On 14 October 2015, the National Health and Family Planning Commission (NHFPC) of China notified WHO of 2 additional ...
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Albert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 19 2015 at 8:20pm
I noticed the fatality rate has increased by another 10%, from 30% to 40%, which means it's still undergoing some changes.  



The World Health Organization (WHO) has identified H7N9 as "...an unusually dangerous virus for humans."[11] Most of the cases resulted in severe respiratory illness, with a mortality rate of roughly 30 percent.[12] [13] Researchers have commented on the unusual prevalence of older males among H7N9-infected patients.[14] While several environmental, behavioral, and biological explanations for this pattern have been proposed,[15] the reason remains unknown.[16]

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Medclinician Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 21 2015 at 2:40pm
Watching for this in the United States - Medclinician

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"not if but when" the original Medclinician
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