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Simulating Pandemic Flu |
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Gexydaf
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Location: Washington Joined: April 26 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 252 |
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Topic: Simulating Pandemic FluPosted: March 15 2008 at 3:47pm |
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Did you all hear Science Friday on 3/14/08? It was about a scientific simulation that was created for a fictional city of 8.6 million. In the scenario, about 4 million people became symptomatic. They estimated that with social distancing, the numbers could be as low as ½ million. I found it interesting that they projected all schools closing, but only 30% of the children being isolated. I’m guess the rest are in daycares or visiting friends. Anyway, it’s worth listening to. After you hear it, tell the forum what you think. Also, it might be worthwhile to forward to friends and
family (it always sounds more real on the radio). http://www.sciencefriday.com/program/archives/200803143 |
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