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Now At Level 6

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    Posted: December 15 2010 at 11:48am
 
 USA
 
 
Birds
Disease: Date of last
occurrence
Species Control Measures Routine Vaccinated
Duck virus hepatitis (Domestic) 1998 avi * V ...
Fowl typhoid (Domestic) 1981 avi * Te  
Fowl typhoid (Wild) -      
Highly pathogenic avian influenza (Domestic) 2004 avi * Qf M Te GSu TSu Qi S Vp  
Highly pathogenic avian influenza (Wild) - fau M GSu TSu  
 
 
 
 
 
 
..............................
 
 
 
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.
 
 
SIX-MONTHLY REPORT ON THE NOTIFICATION OF THE ABSENCE OR PRESENCE OF OIE-LISTED DISEASES
OIE Ref: 91617, Report Period: Jan-Jun 2010 Country: Canada
 
 
 
Disease: Date of last
occurrence
Species Control Measures Routine Vaccinated
Avian chlamydiosis (Wild) - fau * GSu  
Avian infectious bronchitis (Wild) - fau GSu  
Avian infectious laryngotracheitis (Wild) - fau * GSu  
Avian mycoplasmosis (M.synoviae) (Wild) - fau GSu  
Duck virus hepatitis (Domestic) 1990 avi * Qf GSu  
Fowl typhoid (Domestic) 1983 avi * Qf Te GSu S  
Fowl typhoid (Wild) - fau * Qf GSu  
Highly pathogenic avian influenza (Domestic) 01/2008 avi * Qf GSu TSu Qi S Vp  
Highly pathogenic avian influenza (Wild) - fau * Qf GSu  
Infectious bursal disease (Gumboro disease) (Wild) - fau GSu  
Low pathogenic avian influenza (poultry) (Domestic) 03/2009 avi * Qf Te GSu TSu Qi S Z Vp
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.
 
 
 
 
.
Spring 2010

Fraunhofer USA CMB awarded $4.395 million for H1N1 vaccine
 
 
Fraunhofer CMB produced the material for the clinical study in its recently completed pilot
 
manufacturing facility in Newark, Delaware
 
 
 
December 06, 2010 06:00 AM Eastern Time 

Fraunhofer USA CMB Initiates Phase I Clinical Trial for Avian (H5N1) Influenza Vaccine
.........................................................................................................
 
NEWARK, Del.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Fraunhofer USA Center for Molecular Biotechnology (CMB) announced today it has received approval from the Food and Drug Administration to proceed with the first human clinical trial of plant-produced H5N1 influenza vaccine.
 
 
 
......................................
 
 

Fraunhofer USA Center for Molecular Biotechnology (CMB) announced it has initiated the first human trial of plant-produced H1N1 influenza vaccine at the Walter Reed Army Institute of Research Clinical Trials Center (WRAIR-CTC).
 
 
 
 
.............................
 
 
 
 
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.
 
 
 
 
Not at Level 6
.............................
 
 
 
As swine flu pandemic ends, Canada must rethink flu-fighting strategy: Expert
......................................................................................................................................
 
 
By Sharon Kirkey, Postmedia News

VIDEO
 
 
 
..........................................
 
 
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..
 
 
 
 
 
 

Is the 2009 H1N1 flu shot safe for pregnant women?
.........................................................................................
.........................................................................................................
 
 
 
The seasonal flu shot has been given to millions of pregnant women over many years.
Flu shots have not been shown to cause harm to pregnant women or their babies.
The 2009 H1N1 flu vaccine is being made in the same way
and at the same places where the seasonal flu vaccine is made.
 
 
 
 
OK...   that 'sounded' reassuring.

and CDC
 
points you to this site on Safety Trials for pregnant women...-
....................................
 
 
 
 
1st website showing trials for H1N1 vaccine safety trails for Pregnant women.
....................................................................................................................................
 
 
 

Healthy pregnant women
................................................
 

[Trials not Not done for 1st trimester ( most 'delicate' trimester ) ]
...............................................................................................................
 

(120 women in the second or third trimester )

7. Trial comparing two different strengths and one versus two doses of 2009 H1N1 flu vaccine produced by Sanofi Pasteur.
This trial has enrolled 120 women in the second or third trimester of pregnancy. A Questions and Answers document about
this trial is available. Details about the design of this trial are available at NCT 0093430.
 
 
 
 
(200 pregnant women, trimester not noted)
 
8. Trial comparing immune responses of pregnant and non-pregnant women to an inactivated 2009 H1N1 influenza vaccine
produced by Novartis. This trial is currently enrolling, and up to 300 women may be enrolled (200 pregnant and 100 non
pregnant women).
 
 
Details about this trial are available at NCT 00992719.
 
 
 
 

For more information about this trial, see    H1N1 Vaccine in Pregnant Women.

Media inquiries can be directed to the NIAID Office of Communications at 301-402-1663, niaidnews@niaid.nih.gov.

 

And that takes you to............
 
 
 
 
ClinicalTrials.gov
 
 
 
 
Group 1: Pregnant Women: 15 mcg H1N1 Vaccine: Experimental
100 pregnant women to receive 15 mcg inactivated H1N1 vaccine.
Biological: Inactivated H1N1 Vaccine
H1N1 vaccine [Influenza A (H1N1) 2009 Monovalent Vaccine] is a licensed, inactivated influenza virus vaccine. It will be provided as prefilled single dose syringes containing 0.5 mL. The 0.5 mL prefilled syringe is formulated without preservative. The 15 microgram (mcg) dose will be administered as a single 0.5 mL intramuscular (IM) injection in the deltoid muscle of the preferred arm. The 30 mcg dose will be administered as two 0.5 mL injections in the deltoid muscle of each arm.
Group 2: Pregnant Women: 30 mcg H1N1 Vaccine: Experimental
100 pregnant women to receive 30 mcg inactivated H1N1 vaccine.
Biological: Inactivated H1N1 Vaccine
H1N1 vaccine [Influenza A (H1N1) 2009 Monovalent Vaccine] is a licensed, inactivated influenza virus vaccine. It will be provided as prefilled single dose syringes containing 0.5 mL. The 0.5 mL prefilled syringe is formulated without preservative. The 15 microgram (mcg) dose will be administered as a single 0.5 mL intramuscular (IM) injection in the deltoid muscle of the preferred arm. The 30 mcg dose will be administered as two 0.5 mL injections in the deltoid muscle of each arm.
 
 
????????
 
Does that seem anything like-
 
 
 
 
CDC
............
 
 
question...
 
 
Is the 2009 H1N1 flu shot safe for pregnant women?
 
 
" The seasonal flu shot has been given to millions of pregnant women over many years.
Flu shots have not been shown to cause harm to pregnant women or their babies.
 
 
The 2009 H1N1 flu vaccine is being made in the same way
and at the same places where the seasonal flu vaccine is made. "
 
 
 
......................
 
 
 
 
But the experimental is not the regular....   seasonal flu shot ... that CDC deems as
 
 
given to-  millions of pregnant women over many years
 
 
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.
 
 
 
 
 

Should H1N1v  be added to seasonal flu shot?
 
 
 
 
 
WHO dubious about flu jab
...............................................
..........................................................
.....................................................................

Natasha Bita, Consumer editor
From: The Australian
April 29, 2010 12:00AM
 
 
...A Perth toddler who received the vaccine is in intensive care,
and Queensland's Coroner is investigating the death of a
two-year-old girl who died hours after her seasonal flu shot on April 8.
 
 
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/nation/
who-dubious-about-flu-jab/story-e6frg6nf-1225859625932
 
 
.............................
 
 
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.
 
 
 

NIAID
...............
Department of Health and Human Services * National Institutes of Health
..............................................................................................................................
 
 
NIAID Taps Chiron to Develop Vaccine Against H9N2 Avian Influenza Aug 17, 2004 ...

Chiron Corporation will produce the H9N2 vaccine at its manufacturing facility in Siena, Italy.

The company will prepare different dosages ...
 
 
 
 
wwwtest.niaid.nih.gov/news/newsreleases/2004/Pages/h9n2.aspx - Cached
 
 
 
 
 
That was back in 2004
................................................
...........................................................
..........................................................................
 
 

so why do we now 2010, need all these people clammoring for the H9N2 Vaccine?  

( now that we are broke they may be cooling their heels? )
 
 

Replication and Transmission of H9N2 Influenza Viruses
in Ferrets: Evaluation of Pandemic Potential

Hongquan Wan1#¤, Erin M. Sorrell1#, Haichen Song1, Md Jaber Hossain1¤, Gloria Ramirez-Nieto1, Isabella Monne2, James Stevens3, Giovanni Cattoli2, Ilaria Capua2, Li-Mei Chen3, Ruben O. Donis3, Julia Busch4,5, James C. Paulson4,5, Christy Brockwell6, Richard Webby6, Jorge Blanco7, Mohammad Q. Al-Natour8, Daniel R. Perez1*

Received: May 15, 2008; Accepted: July 14, 2008; Published: August 13, 2008
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 Sure looks like a lot of Prep Work since 2004   for H9N2  yes?
..............................................................................................................
 
We are all gonna die if they don't save us from the >>>>>      Flus of mass destruction.
 
 

Folks.. from now til the end of time,  sick or dead birds may be able to pass on all types of weird flus to people.

That's nature.

The worst fear I have is all the games they play with mixing and patenting their PRE - Pandemic Vaccines.

And making us all   pay for it.
 
 
 
 
Y'all get a grip. (Pharma )
 
 
........................
 
 
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Mary008 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 26 2010 at 9:56am
.
 
 
 
 
How many out there realize what has been going on?  And why were the questions Posed
 
by Europe Not Addressed, concerning  the cost of H1N1?
 
 
And look at the questions that could be and ( a few were ) raised by all of this...
 
 
From what I see Pharma is allowed to proceed as with current strain change and
 
absolved from liability  til 2012...  the term of the current administration.
 
 
(changed from 2013 )
 

 
 
 
amned...amend...amend
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES

Office of the Secretary


Pandemic Influenza Vaccines--Amendment

    Authority:  42 U.S.C. 247d-6d.

ACTION: Notice of amendment to the September 28, 2009 Republished
Declaration under the Public Readiness and Emergency Preparedness Act.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------

SUMMARY: Amendment to declaration issued on September 28, 2009 (74 FR
51153) pursuant to section 319F-3 of the Public Health Service Act
(``the Act'')

[[Page 10269]]

(42 U.S.C. 247d-6d) to revise covered countermeasures and extend
effective date and republication of the declaration to reflect the
declaration in its entirety, as amended.

DATES: The amendment of the republished declaration issued on September
28, 2009 is effective as of March 1, 2010.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Nicole Lurie, MD, MSPH, Assistant
Secretary for Preparedness and Response, Office of the Secretary,
Department of Health and Human Services, 200 Independence Avenue, SW.,
Washington, DC 20201
 
 
 Excerpts-
 
 
 
 
... Whereas, I amended the declaration on June 15, 2009 with respect to
2009 H1N1 influenza virus and on September 28, 2009 to provide targeted
liability protections for pandemic countermeasures
to enhance
distribution and to add provisions consistent with other declarations,
and republished the declaration each time in its entirety;

 

 

... In the title, delete ``for H5N1, H2, H6, H7, H9 and 2009 H1N1
Vaccines''
and replace with ``for Vaccines Against Pandemic Influenza A
Viruses and Those with Pandemic Potential''.


   
 
 
...Whereas, the September 28, 2009 declaration extended through
February 28, 2010 for vaccines against influenza virus strains named in
the Declaration other than 2009 H1N1 influenza vaccine;
   
 
 
Whereas, modifications are necessary to revise covered
countermeasures
and to extend the effective date of the Declaration;
    Whereas, the findings I made in the declaration issued on September
28, 2009 continue to apply;
 
 
 
In order to extend the scope of covered countermeasures and to
extend the effective date of the Declaration,
the September 28, 2009
Republished Declaration, is hereby amended as follows:
 
 
...In section III, first paragraph, delete in its entirety and replace
with: ``The effective period of time of this Declaration commenced as
described in the September 28, 2009 Republished Declaration
, and
extends through February 28, 2012.
 

...  In section III, second paragraph, delete ``; except that with
respect to 2009 H1N1 influenza vaccine, the effective period commences
on June 15, 2009 and extends through March 31, 2013'' and replace with
``through February 28, 2012.''

 

 
 
.................
 
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Mary008 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 29 2010 at 8:26pm
.
 
 
 
It isn't over til it's over...
 
 
 
 
 
AVI BioPharma (NASDAQ: AVII).
 
AVI BioPharma Inc. said it's receiving another $4 million from the U.S. government to develop drugs targeting swine flu.

http://seattle.bizjournals.com/seattle/stories/2010/04/26/daily25.html?ana=yfcpc



.........................
 
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Mary008 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 22 2010 at 8:10pm
.http://www.cher.ubc.ca/cryptococcus/new/images/cgattii_distribution_2006oc.jpg
 
 
 
 
Airborne fungus in Ore. kills 1 in 4
..........................................................
..........................................................
 

The new, rare strain is likely to spread,
researchers warn, but can be treated.
 
 
article-
 
 
 
VIDEO
............
 
 
 
 
..........................
 
 
 
Very detailed Article with Photos.
.....................................................
University of British Columbia
 
 
 
 
 
 
............................
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Mary008 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 22 2010 at 7:49pm
.
 
 
 
As if we didn't have enough going on....
 
 
A Fungus of Mass Destruction...  unless of course one has it, then it's   Very Real
 
 
 
 
Potentially deadly fungus spreading in US, Canada
 
 
22 Apr 2010 22:21:58 GMT
Source: Reuters
Fungus is unique genetic strain

* Climate change may aid its spread

WASHINGTON, April 22 (Reuters) - A potentially deadly strain of fungus is spreading among animals and people in the northwestern United States and the Canadian province of British Columbia, researchers reported on Thursday.
 
 
article here-
 
 
 
 
 
 
.............................................................................................................................................
 
 
Cryptococcus gattii fungemia
 
 
 
 

 

 

 

 

 

Follow-up cranial CT scan carried out one day later revealed the persistence of the mass lesions and the progression of hydrocephalus. Another chest roentgenogram showed diffuse opacity throughout both lungs with a diffuse brochopneumonic appearance.

Despite the institution of intravenous amphotericin B, the patient continued to deteriorate neurologically and died two days after beginning therapy. The autopsy showed diffuse Cryptococcus pneumonia and multiple intracerebral lesions with numerous fungal cells. Cultures revealed C. gattii.

 

DISCUSSION

Cryptococcus gattii is emerging as a primary human and animal pathogen. The principal source of the organism is wood debris in hollows, particularly that of eucalyptus8 and is prevalent in the tropical and subtropical areas and rare in cold climates5. In contrast, C. neoformans is widespread in the environment, especially in areas burdened with bird excreta, and has a worldwide distribution. After gaining entry through the respiratory tract, both have trophism for the central nervous system (CNS); patients infected by C. gattii are more likely to evidence focal pulmonary and CNS mass2,7,9. Both inhibition of polymorphonuclear leukocyte migration to the site of infection3 and inhibition of neutrophil function11 by products of C. gattii may promote survival of extracellular organisms, and local multiplication to form cryptococcomas.

Infection due to C. gattii can pose a diagnostic challenge to clinicians. This case vividly illustrates the fact that, pulmonary cryptococcosis with mass-like lesion with associated cerebral infection, exhibit radiologic features that mimic those of lung cancer metastatic to the CNS. Isolated pulmonary cryptococcosis simulate pulmonary cancer particularly when it appears as an apical mass, including with a typical Pancoast's syndrome6. In these cases, cryptococcal antigen testing by latex agglutination, a rapid test with high specificity, would be useful in the differential diagnosis.

Fungemia10 and funguria4 by C. gattii is highly unusual. On the other hand, infections due to C. neoformans can be isolated from blood up to 63% of patients9. Positive blood culture is a sign of very poor prognosis and most patients had a high tissue burden of organisms in the lung and CNS1, like our patient.

In summary, C. gattii must be included in the differential diagnosis of pulmonary and brain masses. Furthermore, with fungal cultures, smears, and serologic test systemic cryptococcosis will be diagnosed sooner, leading to earlier treatment which may be life-saving.

 
 Article here-
 
 
.............................
 
 
 
 
CDC
......
 
 

Spread of Cryptococcus gattii into Pacific

Northwest Region of the United States

Kausik Datta, Karen H. Bartlett, Rebecca Baer, Edmond Byrnes, Eleni Galanis, Joseph Heitman, Linda Hoang, Mira J. Leslie, Laura MacDougall, Shelley S. Magill, Muhammad G. Morshed, and Kieren A. Marr,
for the Cryptococcus gattii Working Group of the Pacific Northwest1
 
Author affiliations: Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
 
(K. Datta, K.A. Marr); University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada (K.H. Bartlett); Washington State Department of Health, Shoreline, Washington, USA (R. Baer); Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA (E. Byrnes, J. Heitman); British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver (E. Galanis, L. Hoang, L. MacDougall, M.G. Morshed); British Columbia Ministry of Agriculture and Lands, Abbotsford, British Columbia, Canada (M.J. Leslie); and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA (S.S. Magill)
Vol. 15, No. 8 • August 2009


Figure.

Figure. Map of the Pacific Northwest,

 
comprising parts of British Columbia, Canada, and the states of Washington and Oregon in the United States, showing human and veterinary Cryptococcus gattii cases (including marine mammals) by place of residence or detection, and locations of environmental isolation of C. gattii during 1999–2008 (strain NIH444 [Seattle] or CBS7750 [San Francisco] not included).
 
 
Data were collected from various state health departments and published reports referenced in the text. The map and icons have been used at a scale that shows gross geographic areas, effectively masking any personally identifiable patient locality information. Use of the map is courtesy of exclusive permission from Google Maps: ©2008 Google, map data ©2008 NAVTEQ.
 
 
 
............................
 
 
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Mary008 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 19 2010 at 5:40pm
.
 
 
 

Have you heard of it?
 

Check it out >
 
advocacy groups, as well as some experts,

want the name changed as they believe that it stigmatizes

by not conveying the seriousness of the illness.[12]
 

Why isn't this given more attention?
...........................................................
 
 
 
4 adults per 1,000  most often in people in their 40s and 50s
......................................................................................................
 
 
 
CFS is thought to have a prevalence of 4 adults per 1,000 in the United States.[7]
 
 

According to the ME Association [8] it affects an estimated 250,000 people in the UK. For
 
unknown reasons CFS occurs most often in people in their 40s and 50s, more often in
 
women than men,[9][10] and is less prevalent among children and adolescents.[11] Full
 
recovery from the condition occurs in only 5-10% of cases.[11]
 
 
 
 
Whereas there is agreement on the genuine threat to health, happiness and productivity
 
 
 
posed by CFS, various physicians' groups, researchers and
 
patient advocates promote different nomenclature, diagnostic criteria, etiologic hypotheses
 
and treatments, resulting in controversy about many aspects of the disorder.
 
 
 
The name CFS itself is controversial as many patients and advocacy groups, as well
 
as some experts, want the name changed as they believe that it stigmatizes by not
 
conveying the seriousness of the illness.[12]
 
 
wikipedia
 
 
do you remember it from the 1990's?  they called it CFIDS
 
 

Chronic fatigue syndrome

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

  (Redirected from CFIDS)
 
 
 
......................
 
 
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.
 
 
 
 
Submitted by Naman Maharaja on Fri, 03/13/2009 - 07:48.

Scientists at the UNC School of Pharmacy led by Tony Hickey, Ph.D.,
 
 
vetted a dry powder vaccine provided by Harvard University that is administered using an inhaler. Hickey's group specializes in developing drugs and vaccines that can be inhaled as a dry powder.
 
 
The vaccine used in the study was a Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccine, which is not common in the United States but is used extensively throughout the world.
 
 
 
Moreover, Hickey is a co-founder of Oriel Therapeutics, a company developing dry-powder inhaler products to effectively deliver medicines to the lungs to treat a wide range of respiratory diseases, such as asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
 
 
He is also the founder, president and CEO of Cirrus Pharmaceuticals. Both companies are located in North Carolina's Research Triangle Park.
Thank you.
Naman
Team Infinity
 
 
....................
 
 
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.
 
 
Trusting in "management" of Vaccines.
.................................................................
 
 
AFP
.......
 
 
China faces new health scare over 'bad vaccines'
...................................................................................
 
Apr 7 09:36 AM US/Eastern
 
 
 
...But a probe of the latest allegations indicated issues with "management" of the
 
vaccines, though the shots themselves were not faulty when first produced, the health
 
ministry said Tuesday.
 
 
article-
 
 
..................................
 
 
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.
 
 
 
 
Who came up with this figure?
 
 
 
During a typical year in the US

30,000 to 50,000 persons die as a result of influenza.
 
 
and...
 
 
 ...Homeland Security
 
According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), it has been estimated
 
that in the absence of any control measures such as vaccination and drugs, a "medium-
 
level" influenza pandemic in the United States could kill 89,000 to 207,000 people, 

 
 
CDC
.........

Using new and improved statistical models, CDC scientists estimate that an average of
 
36,000 people (up from 20,000 in previous estimates)
 
die from influenza-related complications each year in the United States.
 
 
 
 
 
 
2009 H1N1
....................
 
...265,000 were hospitalized and more than 12,000 died.  ( abt. 5 Billion to Pharma )
 
 

 
Report:
 
More Than 70 Million Doses of H1N1 Vaccine May Have to Be Discarded
.........................................................................................................................

 
Thursday, April 01, 2010
FOX News
 
 
article-
 
 
 
.......................
 
 
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.
 
 
 
 
 

Very Interesting
.................................
 
 
 
martindale.com
............................
 
 
 
FDA to Increase Criminal Prosecution of Corporate Officials in the
Pharmaceutical Industry
 

by Frederick R. Ball
Duane Morris LLP
Chicago Office

Previously published on March 11, 2010

...prosecutions of pharmaceutical company executives under the Park doctrine of strict liability- a result that members of Congress, including Senator Grassley, have been seeking.

The Park doctrine provides that management can be held criminally liable for a company's violations of the federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act (FDCA) even if management was unaware of the violation. A March 4, 2010, Wall Street Journal article discussing the GAO report cited an unnamed FDA official in support of this conclusion:
A FDA official said the agency has the authority to prosecute corporate executives for criminal actions within their companies under a provision called "strict liability." He said the government doesn't have to show intent to defraud in order to get a conviction. He added that the provision is an important tool that hasn't been used much in recent years.
 
 
............................
 
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Mary008 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 29 2010 at 4:19pm
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Reuters
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Independent experts to review pandemic handling - WHO

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Reuters - Tuesday, March 30

 

* Review to start in April, first report in May

* Alleged exaggeration, conflicts of interest

By Jonathan Lynn

 
article-
 
 
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Mary008
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Mary008 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 25 2010 at 12:37pm
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This is why I (and many others )  think it was nuts to give school children
 
LIVE H1N1 Vaccine....
 
 
 
 
 
 
Coinfection of avian influenza virus
 
(H9N2 subtype) with infectious bronchitis  live vaccine
 
 
commonly known..
 
 
Infectious microorganisms have been implicat(ed)
 
in taking part in the cases of coinfection.
 
 
 
We are getting flu yr round from SE Asia....   all different strains... the possiblity of that
 
coming here to be mixed with LIVE vaccine does not seem wise.
 
............
 
 
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Mary008 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 17 2010 at 9:11pm
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Was  There Too Much Preening and Not enough Facts?
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The World Health Organization will attempt Tuesday to dial back
concern...
 
 "There's no way of knowing," Michael Perdue, an avian influenza expert
with the WHO's global influenza program, said from Geneva. "There's no
way to make that prediction."

The statement will be an attempt to address recent widely reported
comments made by the UN's flu czar, Dr. David Nabarro.

 
back in 2006-
 
 
excerpt-
 
 
Still, Osterhaus admitted his theory is an educated guess at this point.

"It would be a fair statement that it would not need many mutations for
the virus to do that in principle. But we don't know that, actually. But it
could well be," he said.

His comments underscore the fact that despite decades of study,
scientists are not clear what changes an avian influenza virus needs to
undergo to fully adapt to humans.

"The science is not there yet," said Adolfo Garcia-Sastre, a microbiologist
who researches flu at Mt. Sinai School of Medicine in New York.

Studies could be done that would chart a sort of roadmap for adaptation,
he suggested, but researchers would first need to find an animal that
could act as a surrogate for human infection. While it's believed ferrets
could be that model, testing would be needed to validate that.

Then viruses would have to be manipulated in order to try to determine
what role each of a flu virus's eight genes play in transmissibility.


"It's not quick," Garcia-Sastre said, noting this work would have to be
done in high biocontainment laboratories.

He wasn't willing to make an on-the-record prediction of how near or far
H5N1 is from becoming a virus that easily infects people, though he
privately named a figure that is significantly higher than Osterhaus's
guess.

"But it is complete speculation. So don't quote me," Garcia-Sastre said.

© The Canadian Press, 2006
from a Guest-
Topic: WHO Refutes top Virus Hunter-Osterhaus
    Posted: February 14 2006 at 8:40am
Monday, Feb 13, 2006     
     
Science can't predict how many mutations H5N1 needs to spark
human pandemic

http://www.mytelus.com/news/article.do?pageID=cp_health_home &articleID=2170203
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Mary008 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 16 2010 at 5:09pm
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Will anyone want to take the Swine flu shot in the Fall?  
 
 
( incorporated into the seasonal Flu vaccine. )
 
 
Some Countries wanting to sell it (H1N1v )Back to the Manufacturers...
 
here-
 
 
.......................
 
 
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