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Online Discussion: Tracking new emerging diseases and the next pandemic

War on the horizon

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 27 2018 at 12:29am
Public opinion on war

DJ-In western democracies the gap between politics and the public only is getting worse. Politics react by more supervision on the public (state-of-emergence etc.), censorship/repression, trying to get the public to buy there (lobbyists) agenda. (We in the Netherlands had a referendum-law-politics did not like the outcome of the referenda-so they ended referenda by changing the law.)
Another note-while the rich 1% (or even 0,1%) get richer on the other side of "the labor market" slavery increases. From refugees being sold as slaves in Libya, Turkey to US prisoners "forced"to work as firefighters etc. Not only income-inequality increases, also legal rights (on the job, also healthcare, housing, education) worsens for most. 
When "all votes count"in a democracy how can it be that the rich get richer, all other see their position worsen ?
Public support for more NATO-wars is simply not there. Putting alternative media under pressure, kicking https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alex_Jones from YouTube, climate change news from Facebook, is not making the general public trust politicians. 

War possibilities per country;

Syria

http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/27-february-us-department-of-state-the-government-claims. Israel did loose several fighters "due to bird-collision a F15, technical problems a F16 on february 10 air-operations above Syria-also another F15, an Apache-attack helicopter had "technical problems". Somehow a lot of US, Israel missiles failed to do much damage in Syria.
Israel and the US may be very limited in what Russia allow them to do. Turkey is allowed limited activity above Afrin-Russia and Turkey are talking-Russia is putting pressure on the Kurds. 
Russia also has lines of (in)direct communication with Israel, the US. But in practice the US-and Israel almost need Russian permission to use most of Syrian airspace. 

https://southfront.org/syria-energy-reconstruction/ Russia has made deals with Syria on oil and gas. China needs that energy very hard. So far the US is trying to hold on to the East Syria oil/gas fields (Isreal is bying the oil and gas)-but the US position here may be very hard to continue. Kurds may want to sell the oil/gas for their own interest-China may be a better buyer. 

Iran

Israel, US, Saudi Arabia, UAE, would love regime-change in Tehran. Iran now is-in practice part of the Russia-China block. China wants to move trade with Europe via Iran, Pakistan, Turkey-Russia is happy to also have access to the Indian Ocean via the Caspian Sea and Iran (even plans to build a channel connecting the Caspian Sea with the Indian Ocean via West Iran). 
Attempts to create uprisings by western/Gulf State agencies have had very limited effect-maybe brought even more support for the Tehran-regime. The present Iran government is willing to listen to public demands on food-prices, even womens rights. 
Also playing on minorities, Kurds, Turkmen, Azeri's, Baluchi etc. will have limited effect. People did see what happened in Iraq, Libya, Syria-they blame the US, Israel , west and Gulf States for that. 
DJ-Looking at Iraq, Libya, they did have brutal dictators but after western action nobody will claim they are better of now. Looking at how woman were able to dress in Afghanistan (or Iran-for that matter) in the 70's gives the impression of liberties lost. (Allthough in Iran under the Shah most Iranians were poor-and could not afford western clothing). 

Russia, China, North Korea (Pakistan, Turkey)

DJ-Some in the US, UK etc. are thinking of starting a war with these countries. Just like a war with Iran the costs would be that extreme all other ways-even accepting the status quo, may be better. 
US reasons for war could be defending the US-petro-dollar, but even Saudi Arabia accepted the petro-yuan in deals with China. Also the idea of getting most of the oil and gas under US control-with renewable energy growing fast-proberbly keeps a lot of US decision-makers from going much further in making war-plans with those countries.

The US wants to claim to be the only super-power. Russia and China may give the US room to claim so. But it could end up like somebody telling his "boss" I call you my boss when you do what I tell you what to do.
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 27 2018 at 4:37am
US airstrikes Syria

A little bit more info, pro-Assad forces seem to have moved into SDF-supposed to be held land. Then were attacked by the US. (Just like february 7) this time at least with some airdefense. 
(No more details-yet-may indicate another major event people do not want to discuss-make their own
 version first ?)

Propaganda war

http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/27-february-international-experts-north-korea-supplied-the DJ Ideal mix in the propaganda North Korea did sell chemical weapons to Syria (most likely also Russia (Putin himself ?)-Iran (China) involved-in this propaganda story.

Russia in Syria

https://www.haaretz.com/middle-east-news/syria/russia-s-stealth-fighters-in-syria-are-putin-s-election-gimmick-1.5847755 The Kremlin claims 4 of the most modern Russian fighterplanes are in Syria "to test their radat and for sales-promotion". https://www.rt.com/news/419816-su-57-syria-trial/ DJ-I do not believe a word of it !

Chances of war

DJ-Long times of peace are not uncommon but do not make wars unlikely (do not know if the set-uo of such a study should be called science ?) With new technology the old M.A.D. (Mutual Assured Destruction) balance is gone (DJ-the article does not mention climate change-Russia on the short term may benefit-more land for agriculture, little effect of sea-levelrise, China and US are already getting damage due to climate change). To deal with new dangers Russia and the US need talks (DJ-and there is a major problem) or deal with the consequences. 
(DJ-another remark could be that Russia and China may integrate their military-once-even more than Israel and the US did. It is not only the US against Russia.)

East Ghouta


Turkey

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/us-threatens-turkey-sanctions-case-russian-s-400-purchase-reports/ DJ Turkey-US relations "not improving" https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802271062038752-erdogan-cririsized-weeping-martyr/ No Mr. Erdogan most 6 year old girls are not happy with the idea of "dying for your country".http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/no-us-turkey-talks-over-afrin-foreign-ministry-127963 and http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkey-mulls-purchase-of-uss-f35-b-for-future-airplane-carrier-127923 (There are several problems for Turkey to get the F35. The US may not want to sell it to Turkey, Turkey also does not have the money to buy it (The Russian S-400 's are on credit-and not yet in Turkey).

Iraq

https://sputniknews.com/analysis/201802271062035139-iraq-russia-defense/ DJ-Several countries are thinking of buying S-400 from Russia-the US threatens those countries with sanctions.

NATO-Russia

(DJ-Maybe it is very simple-if you want to control the world you need to control finance, energy, logistics)

UK


Israel

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 27 2018 at 9:35pm
Syria

Most likely linked to:
Looks like-SDF Kurds want to see if a deal with pro-Assad forces can be made without the US blocking it-answer is "No". https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/us-stay-syria-daesh-defeat-centcom/ and https://www.rt.com/usa/419986-centcom-vote-syria-iran-russia/ : Russia threatens US ability to dominate.

IS-rael

(Israel is one of many countries giving (in)directly weapons to IS)

US-Iran-Saudi Arabia


US


Russia


Korea

DJ-Looking at what the US/NATO did for Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria, Ukraine etc. a "western" intervention in Korea most likely will not bring better living conditions for the Koreans.

History

DJ-Some 400 years ago protestants and catholics were killing each other all over Europe. Over 30% of the population of what now is called Germany got killed. Catholics wanted to pull https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martin_Luther out of his grave to burn the remains of his corpse.
A little more than 200 years ago Napoleon did find his Waterloo (just south of Brussel(s) Belgium). A 100 years ago we were in the last year of World War 1-which continued in Russia, Turkey in "civil" wars up to 1922. 
Of course starting a war is a big investment-poor people do not start wars they die in it. Still the main question is why do people even think they have any right to hurt or even kill other people ? 

If we had nuclear weapons 400 years ago live on Earth would have ended. Are humans a planetary disease, a virus killing all live on Earth in many ways out of stupidity ? 
"If we do not end wars, wars will end us" is a reality more now than even a few decades ago! We have to stop this collective suïcide-not only for ourselves, but also for other species, next generations. We do not have any right to destroy our planet.
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 28 2018 at 5:14am
US/NATO-wars

DJ-Of course NATO is involved in many wars, from Ukraine, Libya, to Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iraq, Syria. Still that seems to be not enough-wars with Iran, Korea, Russia, China and even https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-27/usaf-general-warns-space-war-matter-years are good investments for zillions of taxpayers $, €, pounds, etc. (Why care about healthcare, education, climate change, housing-as long as people accept "politicians" spending public money on destruction and endless suffering).

Syria-Manbij

(DJ-Next frontline within a week ? Turkey http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkey-slams-us-state-department-over-syria-cease-fire-comments-128011 is "fighting terrorists" wich are excluded from any ceasefire-in Turkeys eyes.)

US/UK

(DJ-US and UK responsible for the Saudi-genocide in Yemen)

Afghanistan

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/28/553873/Afghanistan-Taliban-peace-President-Ghani (DJ-Peace in Afghanistan must be a horror for US/NATO. By its strategic position US/NATO can "influence" (by IS, other proxy-groups) Russia, China, Iran and Pakistan from Afghanistan. The Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India pipeline is under NATO-control. With the China Pakistan Economic Corridor hoping to include also Afghanistan http://www.atimes.com/article/afghanistan-ready-play-connector-role-eurasian-integration// the US could loose more control. )

Iran

DJ-In the US view the US had "good relations"with Iran till 1979. The Shah-dictatorship for most Iranians was a nightmare. The total lack of self-reflection by the US is shocking. "Making mistakes is human, repeating them is stupid"-does the US not learn anything from history ? https://southfront.org/satellite-photos-allegedly-show-iran-establishing-new-base-in-syria/ Fox-news claiming Iran is building a base in Syria-to open the door to fight Iran in Syria.

New Arms Race

DJ-Putting more money in mini-nukes, stealth-bombers etc-the world is not getting more safe.

Propaganda-wars

https://southfront.org/eric-zuesse-americas-news-media-foment-hate/ (DJ-Eric Zuesse on the US propaganda"press" laying the foundation for more wars-with Russia etc. "Totalitarian democracy"is a contradiction in itself-any totalitarian state is a dictatorship under control of an elite. No room anymore for "alternative media" with "conspiry-stories" https://www.infowars.com/cnn-is-directly-lobbying-youtube-to-shut-down-infowars/ The public is not intelligent to make up their own mind ?)
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 28 2018 at 11:58am
Syria

Anti-US-group Raqqa https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/video-new-syrian-faction-declares-resistance-usa-occupation-raqqa/ DJ-Kurds may need to make a deal with the Assad/Syrian government since the US can not protect the Kurds against (NATO ally) Turkey. 

East Syria

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/syria-accuses-us-coalition-massacring-another-30-civilians-deir-ezzor/, https://southfront.org/syrian-war-report-february-28-2018-us-reportedly-strikes-govt-forces-syrian-army-responds/ (pro-Assad/US still fight for the same oilfields as when US attacked pro-Assad forces february 7. (Only this time pro-Assad forces do have airdefense)

Chemical weapons


Lebanon

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-28/war-coming-southern-lebanon-lindsey-graham-warns-israel-planning-invasion DJ-Whenever US politicians visit Israel they will hear the Israeli story of threats from Hezbollah and Iran. The main goal is to get more US support. (DJ-One of the reasons Netanyahu has lots of contacts with Putin (by phone or visit) is that Israel knows Russia is able to influence the region-the US is not. Israel wants money and weapons from the US, solutions from Russia.)https://www.debka.com/saudis-summon-lebanese-pm-moments-beirut-falls-iranian-orbit/
DJ-Hezbollah/Lebanon now is stronger than in 2000 and 2006-Israel will not attack Hezbollah/Lebanon without US (a.o.) help-a Lebanon war will get Syria involved as well. (Russia has a lot of interest to avoid such a war-Russia want to end the Syria-war, it is getting expensive-one card the US has is endurance.)

Propaganda-press

http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/02/new-york-times-time-warps-back-to-2002-makes-new-bogus-wmd-claims.html DJ-Prior to the 2003 Iraq-invasion (with WMD-lie as excuse-against international law-this invasion in itself was a US/UK warcrime) "media" build a basis for war with propaganda. Now stories of Iran building a basis in Syria, Syria buying chemical weapons from North Korea is meant to do the same. Only on a much larger scale. https://www.debka.com/mivzak/us-sources-north-korea-sends-missile-experts-syria-materials-chemical-warfare/

Dirty wars

https://sputniknews.com/us/201802281062091205-four-countries-us-arsonist/ DJ-In Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria the US started a war then came as "peacekeepers". (You could include several other countries on that list, Yugoslavia, Ukraine). 

Russia/Syria

http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/28-february-russia-to-establish-a-military-base-near-damascus DJ-Russia did invest a lot in Syria and has to defend its interests. On the other hand Israel prefers a Russian base near Damascus above an Iranian base. Such a base could bring (some) stability.

Korea

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/28/553854/South-Korea-US-joint-drill-North-Korea-warning DJ-For the time being a US-Australia-India-Japan coalition is supposed to "control China". How Korean-talks will go on is a matter of time. (I would not be surprised when high China/Russia officials visit South Korea soon.) https://sputniknews.com/military/201802281062093233-china-nuclear-powered-carrier-within-years/
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 01 2018 at 4:24am
Syria

Israeli News Live https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j7RI4NS5MMs Latest US bombings in East Syria seem to be helping IS. In East Ghouta "rebels" put civilians in cages to claim "Russia/Syria killing civilians" at the same time the "rebels" are shelling Damascus. http://theduran.com/un-feigns-outrage/ (a.o. Russian embassy https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/wont-tolerate-shelling-russian-embassy-territory-putin-video/ DJ Do those rebels get coordinates from "western advisers"in the area-or western "instructors"in Israel, Jordan ?
On Deir ez-Zur/East Syria-is it a US plan to re-connect several IS held parts to "restart IS"-as an excuse to claim the US has a "legal ground to be in Syria"? More and more indications for IS=US-the only way Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan can get rid of IS is to get rid of US.)

https://southfront.org/escalation-in-syria-how-far-can-the-russians-be-pushed/ Longer video on how the US (by proxy) is attacking Russia in Syria.

http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/1-march-east-ghouta-alquds-brigade-based-in-aleppo-sent-fighters Palestine Liberation Army fighting with pro-Assad forces in East Ghouta.

Turkey

https://sputniknews.com/analysis/201803011062105491-turkey-envoy-plan/ (Veterans Today had the story on US-UK-France-KSA-Jordan meetings on Syria yesterday) Turkey may have to make a choice (DJ-on how to deal with NATO, US-NATO will not accept a T-exit-will do everything they can to get Turkey under "NATO-control". Turkey is much to important for NATO with its BlackSea-coast, borders with Iran, Armenia, Syria. Most Turkish generals proberbly are pro-secular Turkey, conservative-could be willing to support another coup (or even larger civil war inside Turkey-in Turkey already the army is fighting the Kurds). https://southfront.org/russian-security-council-u-s-provoked-turkish-military-operation-in-afrin/ (old news-the story of a Kurdish Border Protection Force at Turkish border-with modern US weapons-was unacceptable. 

Israel

https://southfront.org/israel-directly-arming-seven-militant-groups-syria-media/ (DJ-Israel wants to keep Hezbollah and Iran away from Golan Heights-Russia could suggest a Russian bufferzone ?)

Alquada-state in NW Syria

(DJ-The "west" and Gulf states keep calling these terrorists "rebels" and funds them, supplying them with arms.)

Lebanon


Yemen

https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201803011062106241-us-no-support-coalition-yemen/ DJ-The US may welcome "a polite way" to stop enabling Saudi Arabia's genocide in Yemen. (DJ-The Yemen-war has no perspective-is damaging both for Saudi Arabia and the US. Iran, Russia, Turkey, China are building bases in several Red Sea countries while the US is stranded in endless wars.)

Hypersonic weapons

https://www.rt.com/news/420171-nukes-us-russia-attack/ When attacked by US Russia will use nuclear weapons.
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 01 2018 at 10:56pm
Russia

DJ-The picture is very grim in my opinion. The US did attack Russian forces several time in Syria, is sending more weapons to Ukraine, making threats against North Korea, Iran, Venezuela. Also the US may be playing some sort of role (sabotage ?) in the downing of Russian civilian aircraft. The US is against Nordstream, Turkstream etc-bringing Russian oil and gas to Europe. The US want energy to remain linked to the US-dollar. (DJ-I can understand that-without that link the US$ is getting maybe just 30% of the present "value") Also the US is pushing for other trade-wars (to Make America Great Again-destroy (all) other countries ???).

In the 17th century the Netherlands for a short while "ruled the world"-but we did loose Nieuw Holland (now New York, but also Australia once had that name-the Dutch navigators did discover Australia but we did not put any people there), Dutch Brazil (Recife, once Mauritsstad), Singapore, Decima (near Nagasaki-the Dutch were the only westerners doing trade with parts of Japan) at the end also South Africa (Suid Afrika) and in 1949 had to say goodbye to the Dutch East Indies (Indonesia). Still at present the Netherlands has the 17th economy in the world, Dutch as a language is in the top 40 of most spoken languages. 

After the Dutch the British could claim to "rule the world", most of Africa, South Asia and some countries in the America's fell under the British crown. In the first half of the 20th century that changed-after 1945 the US became the most dominant power. 

Both the Dutch and the British tried to hang on to their dominant role. The Dutch can blame Napoleon, the British hitler-for the end of their "power"-partly. An other part of course is that nobody can be on top forever. Both the Netherlands and the UK did not become third world countries with the end of empire. 

The US seems to hang on to the illusion of being the only superpower. In military might one could say that the Russian-China cooperation already ended that status. Also in economy the US can not stop loosing their top-position. In my opinion history shows that the military way to try to stop being "#1" is not working. 

It would be wiser when the US did invest in good infrastructure, healthcare, education and housing instead of spending "zillions" on war and weapons. 

I put a load of links-but the story in my view is clear; the US has to change its route if it does not want to get into "very major conflict" (with lots of surprises-all countries would like to minimize their own damage while putting the opponent out of the fight-when possible with one strike.)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p1Vx_Rb3n0w Israeli News Live giving his summary of the situation. 
The Duran has several articles;
http://theduran.com/putin-us-deployed-5-cruisers-30-destroyers-near-russian-borders/ (DJ-Does the US want to encourage the Ukraine to start an offensive against Eastern-Ukraine(/Russia)

Also the Saker:
http://thesaker.is/join-the-live-conversation-with-casus-belli-on-march-3rd-2018/ (Most likely a two hour conversation of "how things may develop")

Preparations:

url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m9KcQEmxGJY[/url] Israeli News Live-how you can keep in touch with them....


(DJ-The link to "Southfront"seems to be hacked, from time to time I can not get Press-TV (Iran) online. )
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 02 2018 at 5:34am
Syria

DJ-The picture I am getting is that the US, UK and France back alquada in Syria-may even use "chemical weapons" as excuse for intervention. Turkey getting more and more in confrontation with pro-Assad forces. https://southfront.org/militants-prepare-to-stage-chemical-attack-in-eastern-ghouta-syrian-media/ http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/2-march-syrian-state-sana-citing-military-sources-armed-groups.
https://southfront.org/syrian-war-report-march-1-2018-syrian-army-overruns-militant-defenses-in-eastern-ghouta/ DJ When you compare East Ghouta with the Alleppo-battle-the west had "agents in the area". That west may have to hide their support for the "rebels".https://southfront.org/russia-syrian-army-threaten-militants-in-northwestern-hama-with-military-operation/.
Situation keeps getting worse-not good !

Russia-US


Korea


Saudi Arabia


Afghanistan


Ukraine


US

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 02 2018 at 10:50pm
US-Russia

DJ-Good article AND good comments-summing up the basics of the US-Russia conflict; who can dominate the global energy market. Looking at the comments (and good links) also the confusion on the situation.

The Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Ukraine wars are all energy related. The US would like to exclude Russia as much as possible-does need the US-petro-$. 

The reality for the US is:
1-https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-02/army-major-explains-why-us-military-should-stay-out-iran US military are already overstretched (DJ-And using proxy fighters, other countries, may need US control)
3-The main global buyer of energy (or anything else for that matter) is China. Allthough their energy-crisis forces China to buy wereever they can "the market" still gives enough room for China to make demands (like the petro-yuan). For energy Asia (and the South Chine Sea) has a lot of energy to offer at low transport costs. 

The US-Trump-lacks realism. China's economy will get larger than the US economy. China (buyer) and Russia (seller, "door to Europe") share a very large border. 


DJ-In my opinion US/Trump foreign policies:
-Are almost breaking up NATO (Turkey-exit)
-Are pushing many countrie away from the US (South Korea, Turkey, Pakistan)
Since the fall of the Soviet Union the "west" did choose the wrong path, instead of cooperation with Russia and China they choose confrontation (Yugoslavia-war, NATO even in Afghanistan, Pakistan !).
If the US-at present-is unable to find a way out of the crisis others (EU) have a responsibility. 

Russia and China want to get their share of the global market. International cooperation is better than global war. A "united west" (Europe, North America, Australia, New Zealand, Japan) would have more than enough "weight in the balance" to avoid getting "under Russia/China rule". (The west has been doing trade with backward countries like Saudi Arabia for decades.)

Further western confrontation (with Russia) will damage the west. Eastern Europe, Australia, South Korea have "limited room" and need the China-Russia market. Russia will not accept western agression (in the Middle East, Eastern Europe, Korea) much longer. "Adventures" of Israel against Iran put the west at risk. The madness has to stop now !
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 03 2018 at 9:11pm
Syria

http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2148-breaking-news-turkey-directly-bombs-syrian-army-troops-dozens-killed-bombing-continuing, https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/3-march-afrinop-names-of-30-proassad-fighters-popular-forces DJ-Both in Afrin and in Deir Ezzor https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/3-march-deir-ezzur-eastern-countryside-air-raids-the-international pro-Assad forces under NATO attack (to give it that name. Turkey is still a NATO-member. It's operation against Kurds is more and more turning into an anti-Assad-pro jihadi's operation. In Eastern Syria the US is defending oilfields they did steel from the Assad-government (just like the US did steel Iraq-oil) DJ-Hal Turner is claiming that Syria may start bringing down Turkish planes in Syria airspace. (Some reports indicate Syria may have brought down a Turkish gunship-Turkey attacking Syrian forces a reaction). Russia would be trying to get some control on this fight.

https://www.debka.com/trump-putin-netanyahu-try-back-away-violent-clash-syria/ DJ-On request of Israel Russia stopped Iran trying to get a navy-base in Syria (proberbly in return Iran may be allowed to use Russian facilities. Russia wants Israel to use its influence on the Kurds in Syria. When the Kurds would have accepted to be part of Syria under Assad there would not be a Turkish-Kurdish war. (DJ-Russia did NOT give Turkey permission to invade Afrin Syria. In Russian perspective Russia can not even give such permission-Syria is not Russian. Russia was informed by Erdogan; the (US backed) Kurds have to stop being a risk for Turkey otherwise we invade. Russia informed the Kurds (and Assad) on that. Turkey and Russia need eachother. 

In practice Israel may even be one of the reasons Russia is in Syria. If Russia would not be in Syria Iran would dominate Syria and Lebanon-Israel does not want that, can not stop that. The US is not in a position to do anything usefull any longer-Russia has the cards. Other reasons for Russia in Syria:1- protecting allies (after other long term friends of Russia/Soviet Union were lost; Libya, Iraq, Egypt (in a certain way) 2-oil/gas (for a part to be exploited by Russian companies, but also Dutch Shell is in Syria)
3-to get a control on Asia (also for working with China-New Silk Road is not only in interest of China, even more important for Russia-puts Russia in the middle.)

https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/3-march-saa-tiger-forces-cut-road-betwen-shifuniyah-and-masraba Pro-Assad forces are taking over East Ghouta "high speed". Limited time for the "rebels" to come with "false flag-events" (and with active Russia/Syria air defense, Russia-Israeli talks on Iran-influence and limited goals-"the west" can have a "big mouth war-of-words but there is a limit to what they can do. NATO wants to keep Turkey in NATO at almost all costs, the US may have to accept some influence on Middle East energy for pulling out it's forces out of Syria, Iraq-and at the end also Afghanistan. The price for the US may become to high.)

Ukraine

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-03/ukraine-freezes-after-russia-halts-gas-deliveries Transport of Siberian gas to the EU is an important source of income for the Ukraine. The Kiëv-junta does want to solve the "problems with the Russian minorities" in a military way. Russia is not willing to enable that. The US promis of more weapons (on credit-Ukraine is broke, corrupt to the bone-just like many other US allies) is making Russia to use this "weapon".

Korea

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-03/lindsey-graham-fighting-war-north-korea-would-be-worth-it DJ-Of course when politicians want to start yet another war I think they should stand in front on the battlefield. (Most politicians never did see war, prevented their family for being in war. Maybe it should be asked from politicians when they decide on war and peace to have lived in a war for at least one year. You do not create hell once you have been there !)

US Tradewars

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-03/trump-threatens-europe-we-will-apply-retaliatory-tax-their-cars DJ-US cars most of the time fail EU enviroment-rules. Trump does not care for the enviroment. The US may need some friends left when they "want to rule the world" after also breaking up NAFTA.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-03/will-foreigners-retaliate-trumps-trade-war-dumping-us-treasuries DJ starting a tradewar with South Korea and China-at the same time expecting them to do what the US wants them to do does not work.

US-Saudi Arabia

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-03/middle-easts-nuclear-technology-clock-starts-ticking DJ Making a Saudi nuclear weapon possible while trying everything to stop nuclear energy in Iran-and protecting Israel's nuclear weapons put the US in an impossible Middle East position. (Of course it is unwise to do any deals with the Saud royal over 10.000 people-family claiming they own Saudi Arabia. KSA is one of the most corrupt anti-democratic countries in the world. Supporter of IS, alquada etc. doing any kind of deals with Saudi Arabia is doing deals with (global) wahabi-terrorists.)

China

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-03/change-coming-china-accelerating-its-plan-military-base-pakistan and https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-03/tiny-island-nation-youve-never-heard-has-become-global-battleground DJ-China did open bases in Djibuti (NE Africa-Red Sea, on the other side Yemen), is working on bases in Afghanistan, Sri Lanka and Pakistan. (Most likely already involved in Syria. Several thousend IS fighters come from western China.) China working very close with Pakistan is making India working with Iran (and Myamar-both those countries have problems with the US). 
The Japan-Australia-India-US anti China pact will not last long. Australia needs the China market (and China will remember the present Australia government of it !). South Korea is interested in the Asia-market-Japan will follow that road when things get more clear. India has always had good relations with Russia. The US wants TAPI not IPI ! (Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India oil/gas pipeline not Iran-Pakistan-India oil/gas pipeline) China wants to integrate both TAPI and IPI in a pipeline network supplying China with (a.o.) Russian energy. (The US did forget that a pipeline can be made longer-so it would connect Russia with Turkmenistan https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commonwealth_of_Independent_States#Membership) India needs the Chinese market to get their economy to grow. (They can not afford any major war-India is already dealing with climate change, agriculture-crises. Famine is around the corner. Russia is producing more grain/food, the US less-do to climate change. A global food-crisis is on its way, a matter of just a few years-at best.)

"Press"

DJ-The idea of a "free press" with most of the income for news coming from advertisors, press being an "industry"for profit may be outdated. https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-03/one-company-now-owns-over-7-sp500-market-cap The "media" did become part of investments for multinationals-not only for profit also to create "market conditions", lobby-work. "Control of the info = control of investments". Where humans work human interests work. (Nothing is "holy", there are no "saints". People do things for their own reasons. DJ-I do like to understand the world we live in-how we came to this point in time, what the future may bring (scenario's). 
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Syria


Talks

https://www.debka.com/mivzak/161416/ Netanyahu-Trump on Iran
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201803051062223141-syria-eastern-ghouta-turkey-france/ (DJ-Afrin has 1 million inhabitants-Turkey may have killed over 3000, East Ghouta has (maximum) 400.000 hostages kept by terrorists (even for UN)-NATO has to defend the terrorists and not the Kurds ?)

Israel

https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201803051062227333-israel-iran-military-presence-syria/DJ; Netanyahu is facing prison for corruption-so he needs an enemy to stay in power.

US


Iran

https://www.rt.com/news/420435-france-iran-sanctions-missiles/ DJ-Europe has 3M's May. Merkel and Macron. Macron thinks he is Napoleon. Making an Iran-deal unworkable could split the EU even further. 

Egypt

https://www.debka.com/egypt-conducts-first-ever-air-strikes-nile-delta-terrorist-targets/ DJ-The situation in Egypt under el-Sisi is getting worse. "Rebels" between Cairo and Alexandria looks like bad news. El-Sisi depends on Saudi money. 

Niger


DJ-After the Putin speech comments went from "chance for Putin-Trump meeting" to "Russia almost declaring war". Most likely somewere in between the extremes.
Considerations:
-The US military is already overstretched-unless there are "new troops" the US is not ready for another major war.
-Russia-as long as Putin can claim Russia is gaining something in the Middle East he will remain popular in Russia (He will win the March 18 elections). Russia has moved itself on the negotiating table-while the US made themselves impossible for most Middle East/Muslim countries. But Russia has to show results (soon) !
-Israel-Netanyahu is trying to stay out of prison-but he may face arrest for corruption soon. That puts Israel in a position not to start any conflict. (Proberbly the military and political "top" will stop Netanyahu from doing "stupid things")
-Iran needs Russia and China. Does want good relations with EU. Also here for political reasons limits on actions.
-Turkey, Erdogan may get himself moving into other parts of Syria. This puts him in risk for war with Syria. "Conflict" with Iran and Russia. Still if Turkey can get EU-membership, extra western investments etc (or the promis of) he may take those steps. Erdogan is a "wild card many countries want to get rid of him. 
-China does need the New Silk Road to keep its economy going. So more "push" towards Pakistan, Iran, Afghanistan, Turkey (and Russia). 
-Korea-the unificationdream is far from over. South Korea wants to send a delegation to North Korea for (more) talks. Russia and China proberbly very involved. The US seems to keep repeating itself-NK has to give up its nukes before any talks with the US. (Even the EU wants the US to think of something better). 

All-in-all; the US by trade-wars (sanctions are a part of it) is getting isolated. On some issues the US may get some support (France and UK want to keep some influence in the Middle East). The US foreign policy is getting less support around the globe.

DJ-The US "problem" is "wild-capitalism" in wich companies tell the government what to do. Inside the US is becoming almost a police state, outside the US only thinks in conflict. That does not work well !
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Peace on the horizon ?

Korea


DJ-https://www.globalresearch.ca/north-korea-deafening-silence-around-the-moon-putin-plan/5625321 is in progress. To put it a bit cynical; Putin is giving Trump room to solve the (US-made) Korea-crisis on Russia/China terms. 

Syria

https://www.debka.com/ayatollah-khamenei-is-lone-nuclear-holdout-after-kims-invitation-to-trump/. DJ In recent days again the US came with chemical weapons-story, Israel would like to "somebody do something with Iran". Reality is that Russia is in a position to deal with the situation-the US is not. 
"The west" has to sit and watch the events. They could drop some bombs on some pro-Assad forces and than what ? It will not make any change.

Afghanistan


and

NE-Africa

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 12 2018 at 12:33am
Syria

Afrin-https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JvEvNOtIwp8 Israeli News Live is correct on the US/NATO/Gulf States support on the genocide in Afrin on the Kurds. The Turkey-Kurdish war is going on for decades in Turkey supported by NATO. The "Free Syrian Army" (alquada etc.) did sell Kurds on Gaziantep-Turkey slavemarket, did "take Kurdish young girls" as "bride".
http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/03/syria-the-fall-of-two-cities.html DJ-It is no coincidence that while Turkey is taking over Afrin (and the Kurds for the 5th time refused to be part of Syria http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/11-march-today-the-syrian-government-offered-the-kurdish-so they may end up under Turkish/FSA terror) pro-Assad forces are taking over

East Ghouta


SW-Syria


Korea

The world was surprised by the announcement that North Korean Leader Kim Jung Un sought a meeting with US President Donald Trump, and that the President accepted.  The mass-media was quick to presume the meeting was sought because sanctions against North Korea are beginning to hurt.  That assessment is wrong.

Those in the Intelligence Community were decidedly NOT surprised by the requested meeting; they knew what _really_ brought North Korea to its senses: The newly reinforced USS Wasp putting to sea last Monday with F-35B Stealth jets . . . and  (at least) twenty, B-61-12 nuclear bombs

North Korea was literally  one week away from being nuked . . .  on March 16 beginning at 8:11 AM eastern US time.

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Syria


East Ghouta

Pro-Assad forces at this moment may not need chemical weapons-most of the fighting is with infantry/tanks in urban area's-close to the enemy-so https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/russian-envoy-to-un-accuses-al-nusra-front-of-using-chemical-weapons-in-east-ghouta/ is much more likely. "The west" still may welcome this excuse-goal would be-in my opinion-to destroy evidence and/or witnesses of the role "the west" is playing.

Afrin

2-pro-Assad forces has been fighting "Free Syrian Army" etc. elsewere and may confront them in Afrin (maybe in defense). 3-Most likely Turkey and Syria (Iran, Russia) want to avoid major battles between the Turkish and Syrian (regular) Army. https://southfront.org/ypg-handing-over-checkpoints-near-tell-rifaat-menagh-airbase-to-government-forces-reports/

SW-Syria


Israel


KSA



Iran


Turkey


Korea

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-12/could-trump-kim-summit-succeed DJ-Is Kim/NK buying time ? DJ-I take http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2203-the-back-story-what-brought-north-korea-to-the-bargaining-table very serious. The US may have been thinking of using 20 nuclear weapons to destroy NK facilities at 100/150 meter (300/450feet) depth in the ground within a few weeks. In my opinio it is a stupid plan:
1-those weapons will spread radioactivity by themselves and by destroying nuclear installations.
2-such an attack would start NK attacks on whatever is in reach (proberbly including Japan, Guam, sleeper-cells in the US/EU)
3-such an attack is unacceptable for both Russia and China. It is a "first-strike"form of battle-wich the US could also use against them. 
4-all peacefull ways have to end-a real risk for the US-with NK realy pointing ICBM's and proof for usage should be there before you even consider such a nuclear attack. Killing millions of Koreans, possibly starting world war 3 is not something one can do. 

UK

http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/03/theresa-mays-45-minutes-claim.html DJ-Will someone place put Theresa May in a mental hospital ? (Used poison was made in Uzbekistan-that country-with US help destroyed the facility. Both US and UK know how to make the same "secret" poison from the seventies.)
http://theduran.com/skripal-case-theresa-may-now-demands-russia-prove-itself-innocent/ DJ-The UK can not proof "putin did it" so now "Putin has to proof he did not try to kill someone who was playing a role in the Clinton claim of Russia trying to control the US elections". 
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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US


Syria

Afrin-https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/video-syrian-forces-rush-tanks-troops-towards-east-afrin-to-secure-major-base-and-key-town/ DJ-After Kurdish YPG collapsed pro-Assad forces trying to safe as much as they can in Afrin.
Manbij-http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/13-march-correspondent-of-aleppo-24-denies-all-the-news-about, http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/13-march-sdf-leadership-delivers-protest-note-to-us-led-coalition DJ-US moving out of Manbij (to allow Turkey moving in ? Strategy behind it could be to overstretch pro-Assad forces over as much as possible fronts).

DJ-https://southfront.org/conflict-syria-forecasting-escalation-scenario/ with this many-desperate-"parties" involved a lot of things can get out of control.
-Syria/Russia will use maximum air-defense against anyone they do not want above Syria. (This may start to involve Turkey when Turkey does not follow Russian, Iran "requests")
-The "rebels" are out of control, many-including chemical-weapons within reach of fighters not knowing what they are doing.
-US, UK, France, Israel, Turkey, Gulf States have a lot to hide in Syria.They may want to destroy evidence against them what would show that this "Syrian civil war" in fact was a NATO operation with Gulf States and Israel. 

Ukraine
-DJ-With the US now selling anti-tank weapons, possibly soon selling air defense to Kiev-situation worsening
Korea
-Kim maybe was surprised Trump accepted his invitation for a meeting ? Still DJ-my impression-the US may believe they can solve this conflict in a military way (and all who say "no" loose their job).
-Israel-Netanyahu staying in power is the anti-Iran agenda as Israel's top-priority
-KSA-"crown-prince"(and mega-fraud) MbS visiting Theresa May/UK buying even more weapons-getting UK support for his genocide in Yemen

DJ-Something has to change very fast if "we"want to avoid "major war" much bigger than the Syria, Iraq, Yugoslavia, Libya wars. US and Russia in confrontation-mode in many area's. Pretty close to undecleared (global) war. 

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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https://www.debka.com/trump-shakeup-at-the-top-pompeo-us-secy-of-state-gina-haspel-cia-chief/ DJ-Netanyahu has good relations with Putin. Israel needs the US for war, Russia for peace.

https://www.veteranstoday.com/2018/03/13/unconfirmed-russia-reinforcing-syria-for-trump-netanyuhu-onslaught/ DJ-Russia sending a very clear message to the US, UK, Israel: Stay out of Syria !

I list this as “unconfirmed” simply because this was leaked to us for publication with a purpose.  What that purpose is and whether the information is true or not remains to be seen.  However, this comes from sources “highest” and includes a message we believe is intended for US, Israeli and Saudi commanders planning to hit  Syria over the misreported/fabricated gas attacks.

Not to belabor the point but the idea that the Syrian Arab Army that is totally kicking the ass of the terrorists in East Ghouta is more than unlikely to resort to using chlorine gas.

The idea is demented and the US government and mainstream media makes me sick.  Ah, but I am getting off subject.

Anyway, Damascus is under both Russian and Syrian air cover tonight, with sonic booms shaking windows.  Dean thinks planes are aloft to keep them safe from Trump’s tired Tomahawk missiles.  Whatever the reason, it is a show of force.

More important, Russian sources  say they have put the entirety of Israel  and Lebanon under an air defense umbrella of newly deployed S400 batteries flown into Syria and quickly deployed over the last 24 hours.

Additionally other systems, all under Russian command, stand ready to shoot down any American planes that attempt to carry out the attacks promised by Trump over the last 24 hours as expressed by America’s UN Ambassador Haley.

Now we wait.

Trump promised to attack Syria if they continue  to fight against the US backed terrorists that have been attacking  civilian areas of Damascus for over 5 years.

Russia just told Trump to, as Kurt Vonnegut  would have put  it, “Take a flying f%& at a rolling donut, take a flying f#%% at the moon.” Trump might well chase that rolling donut, he has chased everything else.  The gauntlet is down.

What I don’t want to see is American pilots killed or paraded through the streets of Damascus.  They are still our boys even though I sometimes wish they didn’t take orders from the “grocery clerks” at the Pentagon so freely.


Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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UK-Russia


Syria-Turkey


Trade wars


Korea

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Oil

https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201803141062525306-israel-talks-russia-gas-field-lebanon/, (DJ-Lebanon and Israel will welcome "neutral partners" (like Russia, France (Total) and Italy (ENI)) to get an income-without costs for another war-out of oil/gas)

DJ-The "west" wants to control oil-hoping it can control the world by doing so. Problems;
-China is the world main energy importer
-Russia, Iran, Venezuela are not under "western control" and have a lot of oil. 

The level of insanity and madness the "west" goes to in getting control of energy is going out of control.
Climate change is one good reason to get rid of fossil fuels, endless wars is another reason. 

Syria

https://www.veteranstoday.com/2018/03/14/trumps-jihadi-chemical-weapons-factory-captured-in-ghouta-in-living-color/ Syrian Arab News Agency showing a chemical weapons factory they claim was in jihadi-hands. Also showing (a.o.) UK medical gear https://www.hill-rom.co.uk/uk-wich can be bought on the internet. (Also the UK poison-claim blaming Putin just before the Russian elections is simply weak http://theduran.com/theresa-may-expels-23-russian-diplomats-as-deep-state-false-flag-poisoning-serves-its-purpose/ DJ-Do I believe Russia-Putin is willing to kill people for political reasons-yes-but he is not the only one-most countries may do so. Is using a poison with Soviet fingerprints the most likely way-just before the Russian elections-for Putin to deal with a former GRU-agent released by Russia ? A robbery or accident would raise less questions. )

War

Starting a war with Iran, (North)Korea (against the will of South Korea) or "(further) intervention" in Syria may be overstretching NATO. https://www.unian.info/politics/2389424-hungary-blocks-nato-ukraine-defense-commission.html The "west" is at war in Afghanistan, Libya, Iraq, Syria, several African (semi)states-supporting countries like Ukraine, Saudi Arabia in more-endless-wars. 
Of course selling weapons is a main source of income http://dimdex.com/ for the US, UK, France-so wars are always welcomed by their "politicians"-now Russia and China are taking that market as well. 

What is the use of war when you can not make a profit out of it ? The Russians and Chinese are a danger to "free enterprise". Not only do they trade energy without "western" control (a.o. US-petro-$) they even make their own weapons ! (With Turkey, Iraq, Saudi Arabia buying them). 

Since the world is "owned" by a small rich elite only interested in getting more power another war is unavoidable. 
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Korea


Ukraine

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/03/15/555543/Ukraine-Parliament-Terror-Attack and https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-15/maidan-icon-faces-arrest-admitting-ukraine-official-led-snipers-central-kiev The Kiev-western backed junta-did shoot and kill demonstrators to start their "revolution". Of course-again-"the west" blames Russia.

Syria/Turkey

DJ-With Afrin slowly falling in Turkish hands Erdogan has to make-again-clear what his position is. If Turkey is in Syria to long-term occupy Northern Syria Erdogan may have a major problem. 
http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/14-march-sdf-has-amassed-forces-near-the-khasham-pocket-and DJ-Most likely in Deir Ezzor not many Kurds left-and those who remain there will not be happy to fight against pro-Assad forces while those forces are also fighting Turkey in Afrin. This "SDF" is a renamed by US IS-force ?

East Ghouta


"the west" against Russia

http://theduran.com/us-and-its-puppet-states-issue-joint-statement-on-skripal-poisoning-blaming-russia/ DJ-This story is getting insane. Russia had no real motive, better, more clever ways to do a murder, and most likely would have choosen another timing. I do not believe-for a second-Putin is a saint. But the UK story http://theduran.com/jimmy-dore-blasts-uk-poisoning-hoax-doesnt-pass-the-smell-test/ is very weak.
Wars starting on lies are very common in history; from Poland invading Germany-hitler had to react, to the lies for wars against Iraq, Libya etc. Only a few people make money out of war-most other people suffer (20% of the Russians died in 1941-45, 25% of the Belarus population. During the Korean War 1950-53 over 10% of the North Koreans lost their live.) A "modern-global-war" will most likely kill us all-even without nuclear weapons. 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OsnAIUZIt8M Jimmy Dore-why serious questions on proof from Jeremy Corbyn  are dangerous ? The US/UK is using chemicals in Yemen-genocide. VX-UK-made-was used to kill the half-brother of NK-Kim. Several countries have the "Soviet chemical weapon" as "self defence".
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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