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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

WHO: "Every country at risk"

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    Posted: February 12 2006 at 11:19pm
Every country is at risk

9 February 2006 (excerpt)

Avian influenza in Africa: statement by the Director-General of WHO

The confirmation of H5N1 avian influenza in poultry in Africa is a cause
for great concern and demands immediate action. This is the first
reported incidence of this highly pathogenic virus on the continent, where
people are already enduring the HIV/AIDS pandemic and other serious
infectious diseases. The H5N1 virus now confirmed in Nigeria poses a risk
to human health and livelihood.

This latest outbreak confirms that no country is immune to H5N1. Every
country is at risk. Every country must prepare. There is a risk that
outbreaks of H5N1 infection in birds could spread within Nigeria and into
neighbouring countries. Nigeria is one of several African countries
located on the Black Sea-Mediterranean flyway used by migratory birds.
Human and animal health services must be on high alert, sharing
information and quickly reporting any signs of disease in birds or humans
that could be due to H5N1 avian influenza.

African health systems are already struggling to cope with children and
adults suffering from HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, malaria, respiratory
infections and other infectious conditions. Human cases of H5N1 may be
difficult to distinguish from other illnesses.

We simply do not know what the impact of exposure to avian influenza
will be on the many people who may be already immunocompromised
and in a fragile state of health.


http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/statements/2006/s03/en/
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote seesthelight Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 13 2006 at 2:34pm

Isn't the real question not how will the people who are already immunocompromised fair with the bird flu virus  but instead-

Doesn't it just scream MUTATION.

I would not expect to see a cytokine storm like in a person with a healthy strong immune system...so the question I am asking is...what does "THAT" mean?

~your thoughts?

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 13 2006 at 7:08pm

Seesthelight,

Here is an excerpt from Reuters News about Cytokine Storms. It is a strange twist of events that this virus could be more dangerous for those with strong immune systems vs. immuno-comprimamized:

... "Although the H5N1 virus cannot move easily between people, experts fear it could mutate into one which can and set off a pandemic in which millions might die. The virus in its current form has killed around half of the people it has infected.

Scientists in Hong Kong said H5N1 apparently causes a “storm” of immune system chemicals that overwhelms the patient.

The H5N1 virus caused proteins known as cytokines to rush to infected lung tissue -- evidence of a so-called cytokine storm, an immune system overreaction that can be fatal.

The study, published in the online medical journal Respiratory Research, might suggest that if H5N1 does cause a pandemic, it could disproportionately affect the young and healthy as compared with seasonal flu, which kills many elderly people but few young adults."

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