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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

WHO H7N9 Situation updates

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Albert View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Albert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 03 2014 at 5:45pm
Greetings Guest my friend, you will probably have to sift through off topic discussions through this thread along with many other threads around here.  This venue, being a forum, allows and encourages personal opinion and interjection from anyone at anytime, as well as yours by virtue of you pointing out the OT discussion.  Bear with us and we'll try to keep it on track.  Glad to have you here and have noticed your posts, and appreciate the input.
 
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kyle Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 04 2014 at 7:53am
Human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus – update

Disease outbreak news


4 FEBRUARY 2014 - On 2 February 2014, the National Health and Family Planning Commission (NHFPC) of China notified WHO of five additional laboratory-confirmed cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus including one death.

Details of the cases are as follows:
Four cases are male. The age range is 8 to 63 years old. Cases have been reported from Guangdong (2), Hunan (1), Fujian (1) and Zhejiang (1). Three cases are currently in serious condition, one in critical condition.

All cases are reported to have had exposure to poultry or a live poultry market.

A 44 year-old man from Taizhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 28 January and was admitted to hospital on 31 January. He is currently in a serious condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 8 year-old girl from Yongzhou City, Hunan Province, who became ill on 30 January and was admitted to hospital on 31 January. She is currently in a serious condition. The patient has a history of exposure to a live poultry market.

A 35 year-old man from Xiamen City, Fujian Province, who became ill on 27 January and was admitted to hospital on 1 February. He is currently in serious condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 37 year-old man from Zhongshan City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 26 January and was admitted to hospital on 29 January and then transferred to the another hospital on 30 January. He is in a critical condition. He has a history of exposure to a live poultry market.

A 63 year-old man from Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 27 January and was admitted to hospital on 1 February and died on the same day. The patient had a history of exposure to a live poultry market.

So far, there is no evidence of sustained human-to-human transmission.

The Chinese Government continues to take the following surveillance and control measures:

strengthen surveillance and situation analysis;
reinforce case management and treatment;
conduct risk communication with the public and release information;
strengthen international collaboration and communication; and
conduct scientific studies.

Sporadic human cases

While the recent report of avian influenza A(H7N9) virus being detected in live poultry imported from the mainland to Hong Kong SAR, shows the potential for the virus to spread through live poultry, at this time there is no indication that international spread of avian influenza A(H7N9) has occurred through humans or animals.

Further sporadic human cases of A(H7N9) infection are expected in affected and possibly neighbouring areas, especially given expected increases in the trade and transport of poultry associated with the Lunar New Year.

WHO advice

WHO advises that travellers to countries with known outbreaks of avian influenza should avoid poultry farms, or contact with animals in live bird markets, or entering areas where poultry may be slaughtered, or contact with any surfaces that appear to be contaminated with faeces from poultry or other animals. Travellers should also wash their hands often with soap and water. Travellers should follow good food safety and good food hygiene practices.

WHO does not advise special screening at points of entry with regard to this event, nor does it currently recommend any travel or trade restrictions.

As always, a diagnosis of infection with an avian influenza virus should be considered in individuals who develop severe acute respiratory symptoms while travelling or soon after returning from an area where avian influenza is a concern.

WHO encourages countries to continue strengthening influenza surveillance, including surveillance for severe acute respiratory infections (SARI) and to carefully review any unusual patterns, in order to ensure reporting of human infections under the IHR (2005), and continue national health preparedness actions.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 04 2014 at 11:52am


1. Is time between onset and severe symtoms short?
or
2. Are people waiting untill it's to late to go to the doctor?
or
3. Is the Chinese gov only reporting severe cases?
Probably some of all the above?


Five New Cases Bird Flu Reported In China




2/4/2014 12:51 PM ET



The United Nations World Health Organization (WHO) said Tuesday that China's National Health and Family Planning Commission has notified it of five new laboratory-confirmed cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus, including one death.

The fatality was a 63 year-old man from Shenzhen City in Guangdong Province, who became ill on January 27. He was admitted to hospital on February 1 and died on the same day. The patient had a history of exposure to a live poultry market.

Three of the remaining cases are men, while the fifth is an 8 year-old girl from Yongzhou City in Hunan Province. Three patients are currently in serious condition, while the girl is in a critical condition. All cases are reported to have had exposure to poultry or a live poultry market.

The UN agency said the Chinese government is continuing to take strict monitoring, prevention and control measures, including strengthening epidemic surveillance and analysis; deployment of medical treatment; conducting public risk communication and information dissemination; strengthening international collaboration and communication; and continuing to carry out scientific research.

WHO noted reports of A/H7N9 virus being detected in live poultry imported from the mainland China into Hong Kong. But the agency stressed that there is currently no indication that international spread of H7N9 has occurred through humans or animals.


http://www.rttnews.com/2263171/five-new-cases-bird-flu-reported-in-china.aspx?type=gn&utm_source=google&utm_campaign=sitemap
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cobber Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 04 2014 at 3:38pm
Hi Irish
I think the shortening of the virus from onset to severe is an indicator that the virus is becoming more efficient. or It could be a reporting issue too.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Sara Piddick Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 04 2014 at 3:45pm
Like clockwork, 5-8 new cases per day. I wonder what the true number is?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cobber Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 04 2014 at 4:18pm
Hey Irish i forgot to mention. Nanoviricides NNVC signed a deal with a lab called Viroclinics. This is hugely significant because they have their own BioSaftey 3 Lab. These labs are the only ones allowed to handle viruses like H7N9 and MERS. Reading between the lines a little. It seems that Nanoviricides has been asked to supply their fluicide drug to see if it works on H7N9.

The reason for me thinking this is; The CEO emailed someone on a blog site and mentioned that something special was happening, he also mentioned H7N9 later in the discussion. I thought was interesting, but other blogger didn't give it a second look. 

It all makes sense now.

Something big is happening with this company. If it works on H7N9. The drug will be given the red carpet treatment and race through FDA approvals. The FDA approvals are the biggest battle for drug companies. It will seriously give a big boost to the share price.. 

Awesome news!!!!   Also!!  The stock market doesn't know how bad H7N9 is becoming.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote KiwiMum Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 04 2014 at 4:50pm
I think I read somewhere that during the Spanish Flu in 1918, some patients were fine in the morning and then dying or dead by the evening, the onset of severe symptoms was so fast.
Those who got it wrong, for whatever reason, may feel defensive and retrench into a position that doesn’t accord with the facts.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote KiwiMum Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 04 2014 at 5:12pm
cobber, do you think shares in NNVC are worth a bet on? Are you going to buy some? 
Those who got it wrong, for whatever reason, may feel defensive and retrench into a position that doesn’t accord with the facts.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote hachiban08 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 04 2014 at 6:02pm
Originally posted by KiwiMum KiwiMum wrote:

I think I read somewhere that during the Spanish Flu in 1918, some patients were fine in the morning and then dying or dead by the evening, the onset of severe symptoms was so fast.


Randomly enough, that reminds me of Season Two of Downton Abbey when they did a bit of a Spanish Flu segment in the middle of the series. One character had it really bad the whole time, and then ended up perfectly fine by the end of the day. Another character was fine the whole time, and then randomly died within a few minutes.
Be prepared! It may be time....^_^v
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jacksdad Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 04 2014 at 10:06pm
KiwiMum - I can't find the reference now, but I remember reading an account of someone getting on a trolley car during the 1918 outbreak and watching as several people died before they reached their destination only blocks away. I'll try to hunt it down for you.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote carbon20 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 05 2014 at 5:04am
in the artical i read ,

one person got on a trolley car and was found dead at the depot,

people taken to hospital with "Black feet",no oxygen

lasted 3 days ,

will look for it and post ,but its easy to find ,under 'spanish flu' any search engine 

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote carbon20 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 05 2014 at 5:06am
found it......

The Influenza Pandemic of 1918

The influenza pandemic of 1918-1919 killed more people than the Great War, known today as World War I (WWI), at somewhere between 20 and 40 million people. It has been cited as the most devastating epidemic in recorded world history. More people died of influenza in a single year than in four-years of the Black Death Bubonic Plague from 1347 to 1351. Known as "Spanish Flu" or "La Grippe" the influenza of 1918-1919 was a global disaster.


The Grim Reaper by Louis Raemaekers

In the fall of 1918 the Great War in Europe was winding down and peace was on the horizon. The Americans had joined in the fight, bringing the Allies closer to victory against the Germans. Deep within the trenches these men lived through some of the most brutal conditions of life, which it seemed could not be any worse. Then, in pockets across the globe, something erupted that seemed as benign as the common cold. The influenza of that season, however, was far more than a cold. In the two years that this scourge ravaged the earth, a fifth of the world's population was infected. The flu was most deadly for people ages 20 to 40. This pattern of morbidity was unusual for influenza which is usually a killer of the elderly and young children. It infected 28% of all Americans (Tice). An estimated 675,000 Americans died of influenza during the pandemic, ten times as many as in the world war. Of the U.S. soldiers who died in Europe, half of them fell to the influenza virus and not to the enemy (Deseret News). An estimated 43,000 servicemen mobilized for WWI died of influenza (Crosby). 1918 would go down as unforgettable year of suffering and death and yet of peace. As noted in the Journal of the American Medical Association final edition of 1918:

"The 1918 has gone: a year momentous as the termination of the most cruel war in the annals of the human race; a year which marked, the end at least for a time, of man's destruction of man; unfortunately a year in which developed a most fatal infectious disease causing the death of hundreds of thousands of human beings. Medical science for four and one-half years devoted itself to putting men on the firing line and keeping them there. Now it must turn with its whole might to combating the greatest enemy of all--infectious disease," (12/28/1918).

An Emergency Hospital for Influenza Patients

The effect of the influenza epidemic was so severe that the average life span in the US was depressed by 10 years. The influenza virus had a profound virulence, with a mortality rate at 2.5% compared to the previous influenza epidemics, which were less than 0.1%. The death rate for 15 to 34-year-olds of influenza and pneumonia were 20 times higher in 1918 than in previous years (Taubenberger). People were struck with illness on the street and died rapid deaths. One anectode shared of 1918 was of four women playing bridge together late into the night. Overnight, three of the women died from influenza (Hoagg). Others told stories of people on their way to work suddenly developing the flu and dying within hours (Henig). One physician writes that patients with seemingly ordinary influenza would rapidly "develop the most viscous type of pneumonia that has ever been seen" and later when cyanosis appeared in the patients, "it is simply a struggle for air until they suffocate," (Grist, 1979). Another physician recalls that the influenza patients "died struggling to clear their airways of a blood-tinged froth that sometimes gushed from their nose and mouth," (Starr, 1976). The physicians of the time were helpless against this powerful agent of influenza. In 1918 children would skip rope to the rhyme (Crawford):

I had a little bird,
Its name was Enza.
I opened the window,
And in-flu-enza.

The influenza pandemic circled the globe. Most of humanity felt the effects of this strain of the influenza virus. It spread following the path of its human carriers, along trade routes and shipping lines. Outbreaks swept through North America, Europe, Asia, Africa, Brazil and the South Pacific (Taubenberger). In India the mortality rate was extremely high at around 50 deaths from influenza per 1,000 people (Brown).The Great War, with its mass movements of men in armies and aboard ships, probably aided in its rapid diffusion and attack. The origins of the deadly flu disease were unknown but widely speculated upon. Some of the allies thought of the epidemic as a biological warfare tool of the Germans. Many thought it was a result of the trench warfare, the use of mustard gases and the generated "smoke and fumes" of the war. A national campaign began using the ready rhetoric of war to fight the new enemy of microscopic proportions. A study attempted to reason why the disease had been so devastating in certain localized regions, looking at the climate, the weather and the racial composition of cities. They found humidity to be linked with more severe epidemics as it "fosters the dissemination of the bacteria," (Committee on Atmosphere and Man, 1923). Meanwhile the new sciences of the infectious agents and immunology were racing to come up with a vaccine or therapy to stop the epidemics.

The experiences of people in military camps encountering the influenza pandemic:

An excerpt for the memoirs of a survivor at Camp Funston of the pandemic Survivor

A letter to a fellow physician describing conditions during the influenza epidemic at Camp Devens

A collection of letters of a soldier stationed in Camp Funston Soldier

The origins of this influenza variant is not precisely known. It is thought to have originated in China in a rare genetic shift of the influenza virus. The recombination of its surface proteins created a virus novel to almost everyone and a loss of herd immunity. Recently the virus has been reconstructed from the tissue of a dead soldier and is now being genetically characterized. The name of Spanish Flu came from the early affliction and large mortalities in Spain (BMJ,10/19/1918) where it allegedly killed 8 million in May (BMJ, 7/13/1918). However, a first wave of influenza appeared early in the spring of 1918 in Kansas and in military camps throughout the US. Few noticed the epidemic in the midst of the war. Wilson had just given his 14 point address. There was virtually no response or acknowledgment to the epidemics in March and April in the military camps. It was unfortunate that no steps were taken to prepare for the usual recrudescence of the virulent influenza strain in the winter. The lack of action was later criticized when the epidemic could not be ignored in the winter of 1918 (BMJ, 1918). These first epidemics at training camps were a sign of what was coming in greater magnitude in the fall and winter of 1918 to the entire world.

The war brought the virus back into the US for the second wave of the epidemic. It first arrived in Boston in September of 1918 through the port busy with war shipments of machinery and supplies. The war also enabled the virus to spread and diffuse. Men across the nation were mobilizing to join the military and the cause. As they came together, they brought the virus with them and to those they contacted. The virus killed almost 200,00 in October of 1918 alone. In November 11 of 1918 the end of the war enabled a resurgence. As people celebrated Armistice Day with parades and large partiess, a complete disaster from the public health standpoint, a rebirth of the epidemic occurred in some cities. The flu that winter was beyond imagination as millions were infected and thousands died. Just as the war had effected the course of influenza, influenza affected the war. Entire fleets were ill with the disease and men on the front were too sick to fight. The flu was devastating to both sides, killing more men than their own weapons could.

photo

With the military patients coming home from the war with battle wounds and mustard gas burns, hospital facilities and staff were taxed to the limit. This created a shortage of physicians, especially in the civilian sector as many had been lost for service with the military. Since the medical practitioners were away with the troops, only the medical students were left to care for the sick. Third and forth year classes were closed and the students assigned jobs as interns or nurses (Starr,1976). One article noted that "depletion has been carried to such an extent that the practitioners are brought very near the breaking point," (BMJ, 11/2/1918). The shortage was further confounded by the added loss of physicians to the epidemic. In the U.S., the Red Cross had to recruit more volunteers to contribute to the new cause at home of fighting the influenza epidemic. To respond with the fullest utilization of nurses, volunteers and medical supplies, the Red Cross created a National Committee on Influenza. It was involved in both military and civilian sectors to mobilize all forces to fight Spanish influenza (Crosby, 1989). In some areas of the US, the nursing shortage was so acute that the Red Cross had to ask local businesses to allow workers to have the day off if they volunteer in the hospitals at night (Deseret News). Emergency hospitals were created to take in the patients from the US and those arriving sick from overseas.

The pandemic affected everyone. With one-quarter of the US and one-fifth of the world infected with the influenza, it was impossible to escape from the illness. Even President Woodrow Wilson suffered from the flu in early 1919 while negotiating the crucial treaty of Versailles to end the World War (Tice). Those who were lucky enough to avoid infection had to deal with the public health ordinances to restrain the spread of the disease. The public health departments distributed gauze masks to be worn in public. Stores could not hold sales, funerals were limited to 15 minutes. Some towns required a signed certificate to enter and railroads would not accept passengers without them. Those who ignored the flu ordinances had to pay steep fines enforced by extra officers (Deseret News). Bodies pilled up as the massive deaths of the epidemic ensued. Besides the lack of health care workers and medical supplies, there was a shortage of coffins, morticians and gravediggers (Knox). The conditions in 1918 were not so far removed from the Black Death in the era of the bubonic plague of the Middle Ages.

In 1918-19 this deadly influenza pandemic erupted during the final stages of World War I. Nations were already attempting to deal with the effects and costs of the war. Propaganda campaigns and war restrictions and rations had been implemented by governments. Nationalism pervaded as people accepted government authority. This allowed the public health departments to easily step in and implement their restrictive measures. The war also gave science greater importance as governments relied on scientists, now armed with the new germ theory and the development of antiseptic surgery, to design vaccines and reduce mortalities of disease and battle wounds. Their new technologies could preserve the men on the front and ultimately save the world. These conditions created by World War I, together with the current social attitudes and ideas, led to the relatively calm response of the public and application of scientific ideas. People allowed for strict measures and loss of freedom during the war as they submitted to the needs of the nation ahead of their personal needs. They had accepted the limitations placed with rationing and drafting. The responses of the public health officials reflected the new allegiance to science and the wartime society. The medical and scientific communities had developed new theories and applied them to prevention, diagnostics and treatment of the influenza patients.

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reposted in General Discussion , 

for general discussion lol
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Canada monitoring as number of H7N9 bird flu cases mount

H7N9 VIRUS

C.S. Goldsmith,T. Rowe,The Canadian Press
The H7N9 virus which can take on a variety of shapes.

TORONTO The number of H7N9 bird flu infections continues to climb rapidly in China.

The Public Health Agency of Canada's director general for immunization and respiratory infectious diseases said Canada is monitoring the situation in China, and continues work on an update of the national pandemic preparedness plan that was begun in the aftermath of the 2009 H1N1 pandemic.

"We're very interested and watching very carefully what is going on in China," Dr. John Spika said Monday in an interview.

"But the bottom line is that until the virus demonstrates some ability to more efficiently spread from person to person it remains something that we're very interested in, watching carefully but still consider to be a low risk."

Since the new H7N9 virus emerged last spring, there have been about 277 cases diagnosed; 63 of the infections have been fatal. After several months with no infections over the summer, new cases began to pop up in the fall as temperatures went down and conditions for the spread of influenza viruses improved. Since then, there have been 142 new cases, and 18 deaths, according to the United States Centers for Disease Control.

Canada has not asked its pandemic vaccine suppliers to make and test H7N9 vaccine, opting instead to wait for the results of clinical trials being done in the U.S.

The U.S. Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority — BARDA — has funded trials to test how much vaccine each person would need to gain protection against H7N9, and whether a boosting compound called an adjuvant would be needed to stretch supplies during a pandemic.

Past studies of H7 flu viruses have shown they are poorly immunogenic; without an adjuvant, even large doses produced poor results.

The U.S.-funded studies of H7N9 vaccine have confirmed that two doses per person would be needed to get a protective response, and that an adjuvant would be needed.

The U.S. has decided to stockpile H7N9 vaccine, though it will not reveal how many doses it plans to have on hand. Spika said to this point there has been no decision taken on whether Canada should add H7N9 vaccine to a national stockpile, which already includes some H5N1 vaccine.

The Canadian Press

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African Countries on H7N9 Bird Flu Alert

05 February 2014

AFRICA - The need has been recognised to update surveillance and contingency measures for influenza A(H7N9) in African countries that have close ties with China, many poultry and a history of H5N1 infections.

Following the emergence of the novel influenza A(H7N9) virus in China, countries in Africa have been encouraged to increase their preparedness for the new low pathogenic strain of avian influenza. The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) and the African Union's Interafrican Bureau for Animal Resources (AU-IBAR) identified the need to invest in a project that would assist selected African countries to:

  • conduct regular risk assessment on H7N9
  • implement risk-based surveillance and
  • update their contingency plans.

These countries were selected according to the following criteria:

  • trade with China
  • high density of poultry and
  • a history of infection with H5N1.

Most of these countries had already established surveillance systems and contingency plans to combat the spread of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1, which hit Africa in 2006. However, with the advent of low pathogenic A(H7N9), these surveillance and contingency measures need to be updated.

The main difference between the two virus manifestations is that birds that have contracted A(H7N9) do not show clinical signs unlike those infected with the H5N1 virus. A risk-based approach is necessary to identify critical points of entry where surveillance should be targeted and risk management measures enhanced. Such measures include cleaning and disinfection of live bird markets and introducing market rest days with no poultry, among others. Unlike with H5N1, migratory birds and ducks do not seem to play a role in spreading the A(H7N9) virus. The highest risk of spread is associated with legal or illegal trade of live birds through humans, and the avian species most implicated so far are chickens, quail and pigeons.

Until additional donor support can be mobilized to further assist African countries at risk, FAO and AU-IBAR recommend that countries use their own resources to:

  • conduct risk analysis
  • identify possible points of entry for the virus in order to target their surveillance
  • enhance biosecurity in live bird markets
  • strengthen their laboratory capacities on Influenza A diagnosis and
  • adapt contingency plans developed for H5N1 to the challenges represented by the different epidemiology of the A(H7N9) virus.

These measures will better prepare countries for a potential A(H7N9) incursion.

The launch of this project took place in Nairobi, Kenya from 21 to 22 January 2014 with the participation of Chief Veterinary Officers from 11 of the selected African countries and representatives from AU-IBAR, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), the Economic Community of Central African States (ECCAS), FAO, the World Organisation for Animal Health (OIE) and the World Health Organization (WHO).

The objectives of the workshop were two-fold. The first was to agree on an agenda for the activities that would take place under the project. The second was to reflect on the new challenges the countries face with the potential introduction of the A(H7N9) virus and the required mitigation measures.

The Nairobi workshop was an occasion to revise the workplan for 2014. Among the many discussions which took place, participants placed greater emphasis on good risk communication practices and the need to explore potential sources of additional funding in order to implement the necessary actions identified through risk analysis. As part of capacity building on potential introduction and spread of A(H7N9), FAO and AU-IBAR are now planning a regional workshop for professionals from the selected countries' epidemiology units in the first half of 2014 in order to assist with the implementation of value chain and risk analyses.

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Human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus – update

Disease outbreak news


5 FEBRUARY 2014 - On 3 February 2014, the National Health and Family Planning Commission (NHFPC) of China notified WHO of four additional laboratory-confirmed cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus, including one death.

Details of the cases are as follows:
Two of the cases are male. The age range is 2 to 76 years old. Cases were reported from Guangdong (2), Hunan (1) and Fujian (1). One case is currently in a serious condition, one is in a critical condition, one is in a mild condition. All cases are reported to have had a history of exposure to poultry or a live poultry market.

A 27 year-old man from Zhangzhou City, Fujian Province, who became ill on 21 January and admitted to hospital on 31 January. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to a live poultry market.

A 59 year-old man from Loudi City, Hunan Province, who became ill on 23 January and was admitted to hospital on 31 January. He died on 3 February. The patient had a history of exposure to live poultry market.

A 2 year-old female from Zhongshan City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 31 January and was admitted to hospital on the same day. She is currently in a mild condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry and a live poultry market.

A 76 year old woman from Huizhou City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 27 January and was admitted to hospital on 1 February. She is currently in a serious condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

So far, there is no evidence of sustained human-to-human transmission.

The Chinese Government continues to take the following surveillance and control measures:

strengthen surveillance and situation analysis;
reinforce case management and treatment;
conduct risk communication with the public and release information;
strengthen international collaboration and communication; and
conduct scientific studies.

Sporadic human cases

While the recent report of avian influenza A(H7N9) virus being detected in live poultry imported from the mainland to Hong Kong SAR, shows the potential for the virus to spread through live poultry, at this time there is no indication that international spread of avian influenza A(H7N9) has occurred through humans or animals.

Further sporadic human cases of A(H7N9) infection are expected in affected and possibly neighbouring areas, especially given expected increases in the trade and transport of poultry associated with the Lunar New Year.

WHO advice

WHO advises that travellers to countries with known outbreaks of avian influenza should avoid poultry farms, or contact with animals in live bird markets, or entering areas where poultry may be slaughtered, or contact with any surfaces that appear to be contaminated with faeces from poultry or other animals. Travellers should also wash their hands often with soap and water. Travellers should follow good food safety and good food hygiene practices.

WHO does not advise special screening at points of entry with regard to this event, nor does it currently recommend any travel or trade restrictions.

As always, a diagnosis of infection with an avian influenza virus should be considered in individuals who develop severe acute respiratory symptoms while travelling or soon after returning from an area where avian influenza is a concern.

WHO encourages countries to continue strengthening influenza surveillance, including surveillance for severe acute respiratory infections (SARI) and to carefully review any unusual patterns, in order to ensure reporting of human infections under the IHR (2005), and continue national health preparedness actions.

WHO
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Here's a 2nd WHO update for February 5th, 2014.

Human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus – update

Disease outbreak news

5 FEBRUARY 2014 - On 4 February 2014, the National Health and Family Planning Commission (NHFPC) of China notified WHO of eight additional laboratory-confirmed cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus, including two deaths. .

Details of the cases are as follows
Six of the cases are male. The age range is 4 to 84 years old. Cases were reported from Zhejiang (4), Guangdong (3) and Jiangsu (1). Three cases are currently in a critical condition, two cases are currently in a severe condition and one is currently in a mild condition. All cases are reported to have had a history of exposure to poultry or a live poultry market.

A 42 year-old man from Hangzhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 25 January and was admitted to hospital on 30 January. He is currently in a severe condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry.

An 84 year-old man from Hangzhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 24 January and was admitted to hospital on 28 January. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry.

A 56 year-old man from Jinhua City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 24 January and was admitted to hospital on 1 February. He is currently in a severe condition. The patient has a history of exposure to a live poultry market.

A 51 year-old man from Shaoxing City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 27 January and was admitted on 1 February. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has history of exposure to a live poultry market.

A 4 year-old girl from Zhaoqing City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 26 January and was admitted to hospital on 3 February. She is currently in a mild condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 76 year-old man from Yangjiang City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 27 January and was admitted to hospital on 1 February. He died on 3 February. The patient had a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 52 year-old man from Huizhou City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 25 January and was admitted to hospital on 2 February. He died on 3 February. The patient had a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 59 year-old woman from Wuxi City, Jiangsu Province, who became ill on 26 January and was admitted to hospital on 29 January. She is currently in a critical condition. The patient has history of exposure to a live poultry market.

So far, there is no evidence of sustained human-to-human transmission.

The Chinese Government continues to take the following surveillance and control measures:

strengthen surveillance and situation analysis;
reinforce case management and treatment;
conduct risk communication with the public and release information;
strengthen international collaboration and communication; and
conduct scientific studies.

Sporadic human cases

While the recent report of avian influenza A(H7N9) virus being detected in live poultry imported from the mainland to Hong Kong SAR, shows the potential for the virus to spread through live poultry, at this time there is no indication that international spread of avian influenza A(H7N9) has occurred through humans or animals.

Further sporadic human cases of A(H7N9) infection are expected in affected and possibly neighbouring areas, especially given expected increases in the trade and transport of poultry associated with the Lunar New Year.

WHO advice

WHO advises that travellers to countries with known outbreaks of avian influenza should avoid poultry farms, or contact with animals in live bird markets, or entering areas where poultry may be slaughtered, or contact with any surfaces that appear to be contaminated with faeces from poultry or other animals. Travellers should also wash their hands often with soap and water. Travellers should follow good food safety and good food hygiene practices.

WHO does not advise special screening at points of entry with regard to this event, nor does it currently recommend any travel or trade restrictions.

As always, a diagnosis of infection with an avian influenza virus should be considered in individuals who develop severe acute respiratory symptoms while travelling or soon after returning from an area where avian influenza is a concern.

WHO encourages countries to continue strengthening influenza surveillance, including surveillance for severe acute respiratory infections (SARI) and to carefully review any unusual patterns, in order to ensure reporting of human infections under the IHR (2005), and continue national health preparedness actions.

WHO
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http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2014/02/h7n9-cases-grow-7-along-china-poultry-industry-outcry

China reported seven more H7N9 influenza cases today, including the second one this year from Beijing, amid media reports that the country's poultry-farming groups have asked local authorities to tamp down their case reporting to minimize financial losses to the industry.


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kyle Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 07 2014 at 7:05am
Human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus – update

Disease outbreak news

7 FEBRUARY 2014 - On 5 February 2014, the National Health and Family Planning Commission (NHFPC) of China notified WHO of ten additional laboratory-confirmed cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus. Six of the cases are male , the age range is 5 to 67 years old. Cases were reported from Zhejiang (4), Guangdong (4), Fujian (1) and Guangxi (1). Five cases are currently in a critical condition, four cases currently in severe condition and one has a mild illness. Eight out of ten cases are reported to have had a history of exposure to poultry or a live poultry market.

Details of the cases are as follows:
Two of the cases are male. The age range is 2 to 76 years old. Cases were reported from Guangdong (2), Hunan (1) and Fujian (1). One case is currently in a serious condition, one is in a critical condition, one is in a mild condition. All cases are reported to have had a history of exposure to poultry or a live poultry market.

A 67 year-old farmer from Shaoxing City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 28 January and admitted to hospital on 2 February and transferred to another hospital on 4 February. He is currently in a severe condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 35 year-old woman from Wenzhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 23 January and was admitted to hospital on 30 January and transferred to another hospital on 3 February. She is currently in a severe condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 59 year-old woman from in Hangzhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 21 January and admitted to hospital on 30 January and transferred to another hospital on 4 February. She is currently in a severe condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry market.

A 49 year-old farmer from Hangzhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 21 January and was admitted to hospital on 28 January and transferred to another hospital on 4 February. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to a live poultry market.

A 36 year-old man from Quanzhou City, Fujian Province, who became ill on 30 January 2014 and was admitted to hospital on 2 February and transferred to another hospital on 4 February. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 5 year-old girl from Zhaoqing City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 30 January and was admitted to hospital on the same day. She currently has a mild illness. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 42 year-old man from Zhaoqing City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 27 January and was admitted to hospital on 28 January and transferred to another hospital on 4 February. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 49 year-old man Foshan City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 26 January 2014 and was admitted to hospital on 30 January and transferred to another hospital on 2 February. He is currently in a severe condition.

A 56 year-old man from Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 29 January and was admitted to hospital on 2 February and transferred to another hospital on 3 February. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry market.

A 41 year-old woman from Heng County of Nanning City, Guangxi Province, who became ill on 27 January 2014. She was working in Zhongshan City, Guangdong Province and returned to Heng County on 28 January. She was admitted to hospital on 3 February and is currently in a critical condition.

So far, there is no evidence of sustained human-to-human transmission.

The Chinese Government continues to take the following surveillance and control measures:

strengthen surveillance and situation analysis;
reinforce case management and treatment;
conduct risk communication with the public and release information;
strengthen international collaboration and communication; and
conduct scientific studies.

Sporadic human cases

While the recent report of avian influenza A(H7N9) virus being detected in live poultry imported from the mainland to Hong Kong SAR, shows the potential for the virus to spread through live poultry, at this time there is no indication that international spread of avian influenza A(H7N9) has occurred through humans or animals.

Further sporadic human cases of A(H7N9) infection are expected in affected and possibly neighbouring areas, especially given expected increases in the trade and transport of poultry associated with the Lunar New Year.

WHO advice

WHO advises that travellers to countries with known outbreaks of avian influenza should avoid poultry farms, or contact with animals in live bird markets, or entering areas where poultry may be slaughtered, or contact with any surfaces that appear to be contaminated with faeces from poultry or other animals. Travellers should also wash their hands often with soap and water. Travellers should follow good food safety and good food hygiene practices.

WHO does not advise special screening at points of entry with regard to this event, nor does it currently recommend any travel or trade restrictions.

As always, a diagnosis of infection with an avian influenza virus should be considered in individuals who develop severe acute respiratory symptoms while travelling or soon after returning from an area where avian influenza is a concern.

WHO encourages countries to continue strengthening influenza surveillance, including surveillance for severe acute respiratory infections (SARI) and to carefully review any unusual patterns, in order to ensure reporting of human infections under the IHR (2005), and continue national health preparedness actions.

WHO
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote debg Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 07 2014 at 10:25am
Anyone else notice that the young girl who keeps being reported started out in the first report as being 2, then the next report she was 4 and now this final report she is 5. Wow, she aged incredibly fast!!! It just confirms how wonderfully accurate all of the numbers are that we are being given!!! Yikes.......
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote carbon20 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 07 2014 at 1:45pm
Eradicating bird flu by pretending it doesn't exist What's the quickest way to make bird flu go away? Published: 8 Feb 2014 at 00.00Newspaper section: News That's a question China's poultry industry,... 

Please credit and share this article with others using this link:http://www.bangkokpost.com/news/local/393864/eradicating-bird-flu-by-pretending-it-doesn-t-exist. View our policies at http://goo.gl/9HgTd and http://goo.gl/ou6Ip. © Post Publishing PCL. All rights reserved.
Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.🖖

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kyle Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 07 2014 at 2:10pm
Its more helpful to post some text to go along with the link.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kyle Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2014 at 7:52am
Human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus – update

Disease outbreak news

10 FEBRUARY 2014 - The National Health and Family Planning Commission of China has notified WHO of 15 additional laboratory-confirmed cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus, including one death.

Details of eight cases notified to WHO on 7 February 2014 are as follows:
Six of the eight cases are male, the age range is 5 to 73 years old. Cases were reported from Jiangsu (2) Zhejiang (2), Beijing (1), Guangdong (1) and Guangxi (1) and Hunan (1). Five cases are currently in critical condition, two cases in severe condition and one has a mild illness. Seven out of eight cases are reported to have had a history of exposure to poultry or a live poultry market.

One of the eight is a close contact of a case from Heng County, Guangxi province, who had been notified to WHO on 5 February 2014.

A 64 year-old farmer from Huzhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 27 January and was admitted to hospital on 30 January and transferred to another hospital on 4 February. He is currently in a severe condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 39 year-old man from Huzhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 26 January and was admitted to hospital on 28 January and transferred to another hospital on 31 January. He is currently in a severe condition The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 66 year-old man from Yancheng City, Jiangsu Province, who became ill on 22 January and was admitted to hospital on 4 February. He is in critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 63 year-old man from Xuzhou City, Jiangsu Province, who became ill on 20 January and was admitted to hospital on 1 February. He is in critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 61 year-old, woman from Yueyang City, Hunan Province, who became ill on 29 January and was admitted to hospital on 31 January and transferred to another hospital on 3 February. She is in critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 36 year-old, woman from Foshan City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 25 January and was admitted to hospital on 30 January and transferred to another hospital on 2 February. She is in critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 5 year-old boy from Nanning City, Guangxi Province, who became ill on 3 February and was then transferred to a hospital. He has a mild illness. This patient is a close contact of a previously reported cases, a 41 year old woman from Nanning City who was notified to WHO on 5 February (see Disease Outbreak News dated 7 February). An epidemiological investigation is ongoing.

A 73 year-old man from Northern Beijing who became ill on 30 January and was admitted to hospital on 2 February and was transferred to another hospital on 5 February 2014. He is in critical condition . The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

Details of seven new cases, including one death, notified to WHO on 8 February 2014 are as follows:
Cases were reported from Guangdong (3), Zhejiang (2), Fujian (1) and Hunan (1). Four of the cases are male. The age range is between 21 and 81 years. Three cases are currently in critical condition and three cases are in severe condition. Six out of the seven cases are reported to have had a history of exposure to poultry or a live poultry market.

A 54 years old man, from Hangzhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 1 February and was admitted to hospital on 4 February. He is currently in a severe condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 76 years old woman from Taizhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 24 January and was admitted to hospital on 31 January. She is currently in a critical condition.

A 81 years old man from Fuzhou City, Fujian Province, who became ill on 30 January and was admitted to hospital on 2 February and discharged from hospital on 6 February at the request of his family and died at home on the same day. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 21 years old woman from Loudi City, Hunan Province, who became ill on 30 January and was admitted to hospital on 1 February and then transferred to another hospital on 2 February. She is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 48 years old man from Zhaoqing City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 28 January. He was admitted to hospital on 30 January and then transferred to a hospital in Guangzhou City on 5 February 2014. He is currently in a severe condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 62 years old man from Zhaoqing City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 1 February and was admitted to hospital on 2 February. He is currently in a severe condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 59 years old woman from Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 27 January ad was admitted to hospital on 1 February. She is currently in a critical condition. The patient has history of exposure to live poultry.

So far, there is no evidence of sustained human-to-human transmission.

The Chinese Government continues to take the following surveillance and control measures:

strengthen surveillance and situation analysis;
reinforce case management and treatment;
conduct risk communication with the public and release information;
strengthen international collaboration and communication; and
conduct scientific studies.

Sporadic human cases

While the recent report of avian influenza A(H7N9) virus being detected in live poultry imported from the mainland to Hong Kong SAR, shows the potential for the virus to spread through live poultry, at this time there is no indication that international spread of avian influenza A(H7N9) has occurred through humans or animals.

Further sporadic human cases of A(H7N9) infection are expected in affected and possibly neighbouring areas, especially given expected increases in the trade and transport of poultry associated with the Lunar New Year.

WHO advice

WHO advises that travellers to countries with known outbreaks of avian influenza should avoid poultry farms, or contact with animals in live bird markets, or entering areas where poultry may be slaughtered, or contact with any surfaces that appear to be contaminated with faeces from poultry or other animals. Travellers should also wash their hands often with soap and water. Travellers should follow good food safety and good food hygiene practices.

WHO does not advise special screening at points of entry with regard to this event, nor does it currently recommend any travel or trade restrictions.

As always, a diagnosis of infection with an avian influenza virus should be considered in individuals who develop severe acute respiratory symptoms while travelling or soon after returning from an area where avian influenza is a concern.

WHO encourages countries to continue strengthening influenza surveillance, including surveillance for severe acute respiratory infections (SARI) and to carefully review any unusual patterns, in order to ensure reporting of human infections under the IHR (2005), and continue national health preparedness actions.

WHO
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote CRS, DrPH Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2014 at 3:40pm
...what amazes me is how quickly the authorities seem to brush back any suggestion of H2H transmission with H7N9! 

In the early days of the H5N1 craze, it seemed to me that the WHO was just waiting with bated breath for evidence of H2H including family clusters.  I was skeptical of their reporting, as H5N1 doesn't seem to be particularly pathogenic in humans - it takes a real lungful of infectious material to get an H5N1 infection going.  Once going, it is often fatal.  

H7N9 seems to make the bird-to-human jump MUCH more readily!  In fact, many cases seem to be only mildly associated with "exposure to poultry" = living in proximity to a live bird market etc.  

I think we are being lied to.  Why doesn't this surprise me?  Be safe. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Johnray1 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2014 at 5:12pm
CRS,DrPH, I also remember the H5N1 scare and I remember that any where that it was reported and the WHO went to that place,there were suddenly no more reports of any new H5N1 infection.. All governments are more afraid of panic than they are of any disease. No news is not always good news.John
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote CRS, DrPH Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2014 at 7:09pm
Originally posted by Johnray1 Johnray1 wrote:

CRS,DrPH, I also remember the H5N1 scare and I remember that any where that it was reported and the WHO went to that place,there were suddenly no more reports of any new H5N1 infection.. All governments are more afraid of panic than they are of any disease. No news is not always good news.John

Thanks John!   For the record, I'm highly trained & certified in pandemic influenza response....it really rankled me that the global public health infrastructure was already committed to H5N1 as "the next big one," considering the alphabet soup of flu viruses circulating.  

Unlike H5N1, the H7N9 scares me because infected fowl present few, if any, signs of infection.  Wildfowl that have been proven to be carriers include ducks, swans, geese, pigeons, song birds etc.  Many of these birds migrate all over Asia, so it is just a matter of time before this thing gets some legs and starts walking.  
Unfortunately, our public health folks cried "Wolf!" for so many years about H5N1 that it became a big joke!  RIP, Mad TV!




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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote carbon20 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 11 2014 at 4:06am
girl at work came back from China last friday been there for a month , knew nothing of the current

 situation  there. 

odd that ?????????????????
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 11 2014 at 6:48am
If you look through English version Chinese news papers they rarely mention Flu much less H7N9.
Buy more ammo!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kyle Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 11 2014 at 7:28am
Human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus – update

Disease outbreak news

11 FEBRUARY 2014 - The National Health and Family Planning Commission of China has notified WHO of seven additional laboratory-confirmed cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus, including one death.

Details of the three cases notified to WHO on 9 February 2014 are as follows:
All three cases are male. The age range is 38 to 61 years. Cases were reported from Hunan (1), Jiangsu (1) and Zhejiang (1). Two of the cases are currently in a critical condition, and the third case is in a severe condition. One of the three cases has been reported to have had a history of exposure to poultry or a live poultry market.

A 53 year-old man from Taizhou City, Jiangsu Province, who became ill on 1 February and was admitted to hospital on 8 February. He is currently in a severe condition.

A 61 year-old, man from Hangzhou City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 29 January and was admitted to hospital on 2 February. He is currently in a critical condition.

A 38 year-old man from Shaoyang City, Hunan Province , who became ill on 27 January and was admitted to hospital on 2 February. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

Details of the cases including one death, notified to WHO on 10 February 2014 are as follows:
Three of the four cases are male. The age range is 11 to 81 years. Cases were reported from Guangdong (2), Anhui (1) and Zhejiang (1). Currently, one is in a critical condition, one is in a severe condition, and one is in a stable condition with mild disease. All four cases are reported to have had a history of exposure to poultry or a live poultry market

An 81 year-old woman from Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 31 January and was admitted to a hospital on 7 February. She died on the same day. The patient had a history of exposure to live poultry.
An 11 year-old boy from Zhaoqing City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 5 February and went to hospital on the same day. He is currently in a stable condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 68 year-old farmer from Shaoxing City, Zhejiang Province, who became ill on 5 February and was admitted to hospital on 7 February. He is currently in a severe condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

A 66 year-old man from Anqing Prefecture, Anhui Province, who became ill on 1 February and was admitted to hospital on 7 February. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to live poultry.

So far, there is no evidence of sustained human-to-human transmission.

The Chinese Government continues to take the following surveillance and control measures:

strengthen surveillance and situation analysis;
reinforce case management and treatment;
conduct risk communication with the public and release information;
strengthen international collaboration and communication; and
conduct scientific studies.

Sporadic human cases

While the recent report of avian influenza A(H7N9) virus being detected in live poultry imported from the mainland to Hong Kong SAR, shows the potential for the virus to spread through live poultry, at this time there is no indication that international spread of avian influenza A(H7N9) has occurred through humans or animals.

Further sporadic human cases of A(H7N9) infection are expected in affected and possibly neighbouring areas, especially given expected increases in the trade and transport of poultry associated with the Lunar New Year.

WHO advice

WHO advises that travellers to countries with known outbreaks of avian influenza should avoid poultry farms, or contact with animals in live bird markets, or entering areas where poultry may be slaughtered, or contact with any surfaces that appear to be contaminated with faeces from poultry or other animals. Travellers should also wash their hands often with soap and water. Travellers should follow good food safety and good food hygiene practices.

WHO does not advise special screening at points of entry with regard to this event, nor does it currently recommend any travel or trade restrictions.

As always, a diagnosis of infection with an avian influenza virus should be considered in individuals who develop severe acute respiratory symptoms while travelling or soon after returning from an area where avian influenza is a concern.

WHO encourages countries to continue strengthening influenza surveillance, including surveillance for severe acute respiratory infections (SARI) and to carefully review any unusual patterns, in order to ensure reporting of human infections under the IHR (2005), and continue national health preparedness actions.

WHO
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote CRS, DrPH Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 11 2014 at 11:16pm
OK, folks, the UN FAO is finally in the mix, and is talking seriously about the potential for H7N9 to cross borders into Viet Nam, Cambodia etc.  

http://www.fao.org/emergencies/fao-in-action/stories/stories-detail/en/c/213871/


The spread of the H7N9 virus among poultry in live bird markets (LBM) in China's Guangxi Province has significantly increased the risk that it will progressively spread to other neighbouring countries of China, posing an increased human health risk, the United Nation's Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) warned today. 


"The key issues that need to be considered immediately are the enhancement of ongoing surveillance and a comprehensive risk communication plan to raise awareness of the threat H7N9 poses to both the animal and human health sectors," said Hiroyuki Konuma, FAO's Assistant Director-General and Regional Representative for Asia and the Pacific. "Urgent initiatives are needed to improve biosecurity in live bird markets and a clear response plan to disrupt the transmission cycle of the virus in case of an incursion is also necessary." 

----


How do you improve biosecurity at a live-bird market, which is a method of selling food that is over two thousand years old??  China has no real food processing capability, the people need to eat, and like everyone, they are resistant to change. 


I see this one as inevitable.  CS

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Following up on my previous post:  http://www.scmp.com/news/china/article/1425639/expect-more-human-h7n9-bird-flu-cases-if-live-poultry-sales-continue

"There are new reports of human infections of H7N9 bird flu every day, [but] one characteristic remains unchanged - human exposure to live poultry at markets," Shu said. "Our lifestyle has not changed, which is the fundamental reason such cases will continue to occur."

Only a change in how poultry was sold and consumed - a switch to fresh, frozen chicken - could reduce the risk of human infection, he said.

Such moves are being resisted by the mainland poultry industry. In an open letter issued at the Lunar New Year, the national association of poultry farmers appealed to health authorities not to report individual cases of H7N9 infections, claiming the practice had a disastrous effect on the industry, leading to losses of more than 100 billion yuan (HK$127 billion) last year.

However, Shu said public health should be the priority and there were other ways to protect the national economy and cut losses to farmers. "The most important change to minimise the financial losses are to change small-scale poultry farms and live poultry sales," Shu said.


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Considering the fact that 80% of China's poultry is grown in backyards that will take some doing!
Buy more ammo!
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Originally posted by arirish arirish wrote:

Considering the fact that 80% of China's poultry is grown in backyards that will take some doing!

Exactly!  When you mix all those poultry with their domestic swine & the farmers' families, you have a "viral reassortment engine."  This is historic; what makes it so powerful is the burgeoning population of China, mixed with rapid transportation.  

We learned about this in grad school (1980s), where Chinese farmers would bring livestock into their homes during cold weather.  *AAA-CHOO!*
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Originally posted by cobber cobber wrote:

Hey Irish i forgot to mention. Nanoviricides NNVC signed a deal with a lab called Viroclinics. This is hugely significant because they have their own BioSaftey 3 Lab. These labs are the only ones allowed to handle viruses like H7N9 and MERS. Reading between the lines a little. It seems that Nanoviricides has been asked to supply their fluicide drug to see if it works on H7N9.

The reason for me thinking this is; The CEO emailed someone on a blog site and mentioned that something special was happening, he also mentioned H7N9 later in the discussion. I thought was interesting, but other blogger didn't give it a second look. 

It all makes sense now.

Something big is happening with this company. If it works on H7N9. The drug will be given the red carpet treatment and race through FDA approvals. The FDA approvals are the biggest battle for drug companies. It will seriously give a big boost to the share price.. 

Awesome news!!!!   Also!!  The stock market doesn't know how bad H7N9 is becoming.

You should probably read this before throwing anything in the pot  (Someones Not Being Honest). Coprporate response at the bottom of this post.
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NanoViricides: House Of Cards With -80% Downside, 'Strong Sell' Recommendation

Feb. 11, 2014 9:00 AM ET  |  101 comments |  About: NNVC by: Pump Terminator

Disclosure: I am short NNVC. (More...)

PLEASE SEE FULL DISCLOSURE IN OUR PROFILE

Aside from sounding like the name of another terrible Keanu Reeves movie, NanoViricides (NNVC) is the worst US reverse merger we have ever seen. NNVC is so obviously a vehicle designed specifically to enrich insiders we find it offensively similar to the China RTO frauds. This is the first report in a series we will release outlining the most egregious shareholder violations we are aware of in any NYSE company. With multiple questionable stock promoters NNVC has pumped the stock +330% while heavily diluting shareholders and stealing NNVC out from under public investors as insiders siphoned off millions of dollars. We also believe one of NNVC's top scientists has been dishonest which calls into question NNVC's "technology," which we believe is clearly not viable. NNVC's fair value is <$1 versus current trading price of $4.60 and is currently breaking down from the large unrestricted stock selling volume created by the (yet another) recent RDO equity sale. Our medium-term price target is $0.00 as we believe NNVC will implode once it is unable to raise cash, like the CEO, co-founder and ex-CFO's previous defunct company, SSUR.

Whistleblower Document: "Smoking Gun"

NNVC shareholders seem unaware of this incriminating must-read document, written by a company insider and supporter, which outlines countless examples and allegations of NNVC managers Seymour and Diwan abusing shareholders and looting the company. Once NNVC insiders face subpoena power under threat of perjury, we don't see how anything will be left for NNVC shareholders. As you read this please keep in mind: If this is how NNVC treats a longtime supporter and associate how do you think it will treat YOU, a faceless public shareholder?

Have NNVC Management Effectively Stolen the Company Out from Under Shareholders?

It seems to us Anil Diwan and Eugene Seymour have stolen all potential value in NNVC from public US shareholders. Let us explain and introduce the two main players.

NNVC's CEO Eugene Seymour on RedChip (RedChip is famous for promoting multiple China frauds)

NNVC's president, cofounder and chairman Anil Diwan,

(also cofounder and majority owner of Theracour Pharma)

First, NNVC does not own any of the intellectual property or patents under development by NNVC. 100% of NNVC's research, development and "technology" relies on licenses on the IP from Theracour. As a result, NNVC is literally nothing without the "Theracour Pharma, Inc" relationship. Unfortunately for NNVC, Theracour is also majority owned and controlled by NNVC's President, Chairman and co-founder Anil Diwan. If the Theracour relationship were terminated or changed for the worse, there would literally be zero technology or IP left with NNVC.

Brammel's suit revealed the following: In 2007 and 2009 Brian Brammel (longtime associate and supporter of Eugene Seymour) raised money from his network so NNVC could allegedly begin early stage work on Dengue Fever, Ebola and Keratoconjunctivitis. What Brian and his investors was not told was NNVC had never signed any licensing agreements with Theracour for these diseases. Brian Brammel only learned this absurdity after NNVC had spent the money and came back to him for more money to now be used to pay Theracour for the licensing on the diseases Brian had already funded development on! Diwan and Eugene seem to have deliberately used NNVC's cash to develop drugs for the benefit of Diwan's Theracour to which NNVC had no rights.

NNVC then had to pay Theracour to secure these licenses. However, in a worrisome conflict of interest, Anil Diwan seems to have controlled both sides of this transactions for both NNVC and Theracour. As a result, Diwan and Seymour decided to create and pay Theracour (and themselves) 7,000,000 (at the time) brand new specially crafted "Series A Preferred Stock" (worth ~$36m today). No shareholder vote took place, nor were any disclosures on the details of this transaction, fairness opinions or independent consultant analysis ever provided to shareholders that we could find.

Devil in The Details: "stolen control of the company and now have absolute dictatorial power"

The trick is these "Series A Preferred Stock" have very unusual terms only offered to insiders which grant them "absolute dictatorial power" over NNVC, while Diwan already controls Theracour. Originally, each A share converted into 4 shares of NNVC stock and carried 4 votes per share but on 6/15/2012 (after the insider lawsuit first became filed) mysteriously the Preferred shares were amended to each carry an astonishing 9 votes each! This may not seem important until you do the math on what this means.

In effect, this means NNVC insiders granted Theracour an astonishing 63,000,000 votes total (at the time). So all in Eugene Seymour and Anil Diwan (the only two board members at the time) in 2012 increased their own voting control from ~30% to 54% and effectively stole control of NNVC from shareholders.

"We want to avoid having to go to shareholders every time we need something" -CEO Eugene Seymour discussing Brammel proxy by email

After this they required no shareholder meetings or approval of anything they do. If they raised their cash compensation to $50m per year or sold the Theracour licenses back to themselves for $1, there is essentially nothing shareholders could do to stop them. While all the dilution has impacted this math slightly, with (what we believe is) Leo Ehrlich's likely share ownership while Diwan, Seymour and insiders continue receiving egregious A shares, NNVC shareholders can look forward to much more "dictatorial control" of NNVC by Diwan and Seymour. If Leo Ehrlich did not own shares why is NNVC seemingly keeping shareholders from inspecting the shareholder registry and trading records??

"In real terms the officers and directors have been slowly and methodically stealing voting control of the company for their own self-dealing pursuits." -Brian Brammel Complaint Direct Quote

So now, we believe if you own NNVC shares you quite literally own nothing. You own a subordinated piece of paper without useful voting control that is held hostage by people who control all the value and seem to dictate the terms NNVC shareholders (you) pay them. With Anil and Eugene seemingly controlling the public cash raising machine and together controlling Theracour, which receives the cash and holds all the value, they have created the perfect vehicle to get rich. They combined a public financing vehicle that bleeds shares into the market to unknowing public investors while Theracour and insiders get the money. Where are NNVC's original articles of incorporation and bylaws? They are referenced in the 10ks but we cannot find them filed with SEC as they claim anywhere.

Interestingly, we also could find no evidence Anil Diwan himself was ever elected in any legitimate shareholder meeting…. Nor was a proper shareholder meeting called for first 7 years of company's existence and no proper shareholder meeting called to select the current CEO either?!

"the Board has avoided calling shareholder meetings because the Board knows it would not be able to obtain sufficient votes to approve these transactions and intentionally chose to disregard the requirement of calling such meetings." - Brammel Complaint Direct Quote

If Anil and Eugene did not intend to unfairly enrich themselves at the expense of NNVC shareholders why did they create this unusual structure resulting in their complete control of the company??

Theracour Pharma: Taking Cash from NNVC Shareholders and Giving it to Anil Diwan

In case you were wondering the answer to the question above, read on:

"specifically Seymour (NNVC CEO) represented to Mr. Brammel that Diwan did not want CIMS (Brian Brammel's Company) to be further involved with the company because he felt CIMS was trying to take things away from him and that he (Diwan) felt that CIMS's questions about the licensing agreement were meant to take benefits he had received under the agreement away from him as they were not fair and of market value." -Brian Brammel Complaint (emphasis added)

This sounds to us like NNVC CEO Seymour personally admitting Diwan discussed how the Theracour agreement is not fair to NNVC shareholders and was not of market value. So we believe either CEO Seymour lied here to Brammel, or Chairman and President Diwan lied about the original Theracour agreement being fair and signed off by an independent consultant. Where is this consultant's report and the detailed original Theracour contract? Given this is the (only) important part of NNVC why has this not been provided publicly to shareholders?

Furthermore, Theracour's terms (what we could find) seem egregious to us and not in line with industry standards:

"(1) that TheraCour can charge its costs (direct and indirect) plus no more than 30% of direct costs as a development fee"1

Apparently, Theracour can gouge NNVC for an arbitrarily decided "30% of direct cost" additional fee? As Diwan is 70% owner of Theracour, 70% of this money is his and how much cash he has received is not explained in the SEC filings. Even worse: "TheraCour may terminate the License upon a material breach by us as specified in the agreement." If Diwan and Seymour control NNVC can't they also control if NNVC agrees to a "material breach" and gives Theracour back the IP that NNVC shareholders paid to develop?

Is it a coincidence that now, after seizing total voting control of NNVC, Diwan suddenly hires his own wife at NNVC paying her a very healthy salary and then Diwan goes on to also suddenly decide, apparently without independent opinion, NNVC now needs to pay millions of dollars in build out costs on a building Diwan owns?

NNVC's Absurd Manufacturing Facility: Giving More NNVC Shareholder Money to Anil Diwan

In another example of NNVC Diwan and Seymour extracting shareholder cash, they recently determined NNVC now requires their own cGMP compliant manufacturing facility. They also decided the best way to do this would be for Anil to sell NNVC shares in the open market when SeaSide88's conversion rate was being determined, unnecessarily causing even more shareholder dilution. Diwan then used this money to purchase a building in his own entity "Inno-Haven, LLC" that NNVC would then pay millions of dollars to build out. Allegedly Diwan's personal attorney (also an NNVC shareholder) even oversaw both sides of this transaction! Is there really not a single facility in the world that NNVC could use that was not owned by Diwan? Where was the independent analysis indicating this was the best choice?

Even worse, as of 1/27/2014 NNVC does not have any lease or terms signed for the building it is paying for! NNVC is once again spending resources to develop assets owned by Diwan before establishing the terms or costs it will incur. We sense shareholders are about to get pillaged again.

"NNVC will be forced to comply or miss critical deadlines for its FDA submissions and abandon its substantial investment made for Diwan's asset. Diwan will be in a position to dictate terms and with Seymour will have dictatorial vote in the Company to control the terms of the lease." -Brian Brammel Complaint Direct Quote

Anil Hires His Wife as CFO While Auditor and Internal Financial Controls are Failing

NNVC uses a tiny "no name" auditor repeatedly cited for numerous deficiencies including "failure to perform sufficient audit procedures to test cash", which seems like basic audit work to us. If NNVC's auditor is not even verifying cash then what is it verifying?

We estimate, in the first 24 quarters NNVC was in existence NNVC had to file "notification of inability to timely file" it's SEC filings more than 19 times. Why a company with zero revenue outsourcing virtually all its operations seems unable to get their accounting and SEC filings in on time is baffling.

Shareholders need not worry, however! Diwan recently hired his own wife, "Meeta Vyas," as CFO so she can supposedly look out for shareholders and ensure the financials are honest….

There is no excuse for a public company with more than a few million dollars to not be using a reputable big 4 auditor. NNVC shareholders should demand this to ensure their financial statements are reliable.

NNVC "Science" Verified by Krishna Menon: Apparently With A Record of "False Claims"?

NNVC's "Chief Regulatory Officer", Krishna Menon

Krishna Menon (originally a veterinarian in Jamaica) is not just Chief Regulatory Office but also principal owner and COO of "KARD Scientific" the lab that NNVC uses for their often cited animal models and studies NNVC touts as efficacy evidence. All researchers obviously stake their entire career on accuracy, validity, reliability and honesty yet Menon appears to have more discrepancies than any public executive we have ever seen. Truly incredible.

We will not repeat this hilariously embarrassing article so read this now. Ironically it is authored by a journalist Menon originally contacted to get more blindly supportive media attention.

- India New England Article on Krishna Menon: "Researchers many claims don't check out."

"routine fact-checking by INDIA New England soon revealed that the story of Krishna Menon contained many false claims and exaggerations" - India New England Article

We noticed this story was no longer on India New England's website and some claim it was taken down because it was false. We called India New England and here is what we were told about the article's accuracy: "All entirely true, no question. The only reason we took it down is the editor is no longer with us and this story caused quite a stir, and we grew tired of all the phone calls when the editor who wrote it doesn't even work here anymore."

Amazingly we found even more examples of conflicts in what Menon has publicly said. In his NNVC management biography he claims "a PhD in Pharmacology in 1984 from Harvard University2" and yet in the CTIX management biography (where he is President) he claims "a PhD in Pharmacology from Kerala University3". We don't see how Menon can be telling the truth in both statements.

It seems Menon claimed in 2005 (when NNVC came public) to be "the holder of 7 US patents4", yet when we searched the US patent database we could find no patents of Menon's before he made these claims? Did Menon lie about this or did NNVC fail to do even the most basic of background checks?

Furthermore, allegedly Vivien Boniuk, MD from Feinstein's Institute who has done "research" for NNVC is also a shareholder. Where is the truly independent analysis? Where are the big pharma companies knocking down their door with huge cash payments for exclusive research contracts like BIND? Is it really impossible to find an independent lab to test your drugs that is not owned and run by a company insider?

Instead NNVC shareholders are fed a steady diet of "imminent news," promises and promotion that never materialize into anything meaningful like this absurd 2009 press release about agreement with unnamed "Major Pharma" that turned out to be nothing.

Eugene Seymour and Leo Ehrlich's previous company "Saliva Diagnostics" seems to have essentially gone straight to zero and appears to have received law suits and multiple FDA warning letters5. This defunct company now trades with ticker SSUR for $0.05 per share with $198k market cap (not a typo). (click to enlarge)

Given all of this, we find it hard to believe anything these people say is true.

NNVC Insiders Are Getting Rich

By our estimates, of the ~$36m in cash NNVC has raised (excluding the recent equity sales, they haven't had time to spend that yet) insiders have collected ~$8m in compensation, a full 22% of every dollar they have received. This excludes any sums received by Theracour which would further enrich Diwan and Ehrlich received by Diwan or Ehrlich, and any KARD compensation Menon received. For example, as 70% owner of Theracour, Diwan is entitled to 70% of the ~$36m in "Series A Preferred Shares," or $25m in value if converted into shares at current stock price, that he created and paid himself.

NNVC then spent another $7m on SG&A (whatever that includes for a company with basically no operations). These two items alone are a full 42% of all the money NNVC has raised. We estimate NNVC has only performed testing on ~5k animals which makes the ~$20m "spent" on R&D over the past 7 years also very questionable.

How have the millions of dollars of insider compensation and expenses been financed? By heavily diluting shareholders of course

Continuously Using RDOs Leaves NNVC Vulnerable to "Death Spiral"

"I don't give a $h*t what the market price is, I just want to get this done quickly…"

- NNVC CEO, Eugene Seymour from Brammel Complaint Email Exhibit (apparently displaying his attitude towards shareholder dilution while discussing terms of yet another dilutive capital raise.)

Most companies sell equity to institutional investors directly when they need cash. Not NNVC, as they rely on a special toxic type of equity financing called a "Registered Direct Offering" or RDO. Instead of placing shares of stock with long-term supporters of the company, RDOs instead are typically offered at enormous discounts to hedge funds who usually dump the shares into the market as quickly as possible. For instance, NNVC's last RDO sold shares at $5.25 when shares traded as high as $6.54 the previous day, and NNVC still had to throw in ~2.6m warrants to get the deal done. Another RDO NNVC did with "SeaSide88" was offered at a 26% discount to the previous day's price, included a 10% dividend on unconverted shares, and had warrants.

The risk in this is that NNVC becomes what we call an "inception company" because it only exists as long as shareholders believe it exists. They NEED you, the public shareholder, to keep buying the stock or these RDOs stop working as there is nobody to buy the discounted stock the hedge funds can sell into the market. Once the share price breaks down, it requires an ever increasing amount of shares and warrants at increasingly large discount to generate the cash required, until shareholders get diluted into oblivion. Many shady junior gold mining companies are experiencing this dynamic currently.

In just the last 3 months NNVC has been diluting shareholders and selling shares to the market hand over fist with 2 separate deals for ~$30m in the past 5 months. NNVC's previous RDO sold stock at $3.50 per share6, which is substantially below where the stock is now. Anil Diwan himself has also sold stock into the open market in the high $2s. If NNVC stock stays this elevated, we expect continued RDOs to provide insiders cash.

Do you think Diwan and NNVC are selling huge amounts of stock because they think the stock is undervalued? Do you think there could be any connection between the company needing money and all the conferences attended and stock promoters? Now that they have the money what do you think happens to the stock next?

NNVC Management Response: "Total Bull$hit"

We had an investor contact NNVC on the phone and, when discussing the complaint, the company representative was obviously shaken and responded loudly "that issue is complete Bull$hit." NNVC claims since there is not a big monetary demand that there is nothing to worry about but we believe that clearly misses the point. Some incredible allegations have been brought to light and if some of these are true there is very real risk NNVC faces severe punishment from the SEC or worse. This complaint is just the beginning and we believe once Seymour and Diwan, things are only going to get worse. Otherwise why was NNVC in such a hurry to do two RDOs so quickly? God knows how bad it really is inside NNVC and there could be many more lawsuits of increasing severity that could result in the end for this company in our view. Furthermore, NNVC only survives due to a consistent stream of shareholder money and so when public investors decide "enough is enough" NNVC will cease to exist. Taking drugs through the required FDA stages can easily cost hundreds of millions of dollars which NNVC does not have. Unfortunately we did not receive articulate responses supported by facts but instead received more useless blanket statements. We believe NNVC needs to hold an open and public conference call with an opportunity for all investors to voice their questions and then NNVC needs to respond in detail to all allegations with responses supported in documented fact. Otherwise, they lose all credibility and should resign.

NNVC Valuation Completely Detached From Reality

Shareholders have recently been willing to pay $4.60 per share, based on our estimate of 56.4m shares, gives NNVC an eye popping $260m market cap for this "business." Even if you assume NNVC's licenses from Diwan's Theracour are based on legitimate science AND ever shown to be valuable AND you believe NNVC management will let shareholders keep the upside (all of which we doubt) NNVC's current valuation STILL makes zero sense:

For example, BIND therapeutics, a clinical stage nanomedicine biotech platform company (unlike NNVC) has formal collaborations with Amgen, Pfizer and AstraZeneca for development and a potential game changing (BIND-014) compound already in phase 2 clinical trials for lung and prostate cancer. BIND theoretically has enormous potential payments of up to $1b in upfront and milestone payments with $450m potentially pre commercial7. BIND has received millions in upfront payments from AMGN, PFE and AstraZeneca with these huge pharma partners also agreeing to pay for development costs. BIND even has $80m in cash!

NNVC has none of these positives yet NNVC trades at a much higher value!! Even if you choose to ignore all the scary NNVC red flags above (BIND appears to have none of these) NNVC at a minimum should trade at a lower valuation than BIND, which alone indicates more than -30% to -40% downside per share depending on the appropriate discount. And this assumes you believe NNVC is a legitimate company with good management looking out for your best interests.…

NNVC trades for 21.5x tangible book value and a huge premium to other obviously superior biotech companies so we caution that as this story comes unwound there is almost no downside support. We expect to see NNVC trade -80% or more from here, as NNVC stock has done in the past.

We think NNVC should trade for less than cash given egregious dilution and cash burn (biotechs often trade for less than cash for these reasons) but even applying a generous premium to NNVC gives a per share value of less than $1 or -82% downside.

CONCLUSION

The early stage biotech industry is tough for shareholders under the best circumstances. Well-funded companies staffed with honest and legitimate scientists putting shareholder value first, still fail constantly. NNVC has burned ~$33m in cash over the past nearly 7+ years and done essentially nothing as far as we can tell except dilute public shareholders, make insiders rich and develop Anil Diwan's technology.

Even if you believe NNVC has legitimate technology with the best management team, who you believe will put your shareholder interests ahead of your own, NNVC valuation still makes zero sense. With 10k+ publicly traded companies and thousands of life sciences companies, we cannot imagine why anyone is unable to find something better to do with their money than "invest" it in this worthless shell where shareholders own virtually nothing and management seems intent on extracting all the money for themselves. NNVC is clearly held together with scotch tape and we recommend investors sell their shares immediately before this house of cards comes crashing down.

http://seekingalpha.com/article/2010691-nanoviricides-house-of-cards-with-minus-80-percent-downside-strong-sell-recommendation?source=google_news




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Corporate response to above


Scroll down to   Most Recent Press Releases-----Feb 14th response and Feb 11 radio interview with CEO

http://www.nanoviricides.com/investorinfo.html



"In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act."   G Orwell
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Medclinician2013 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 18 2014 at 7:25am
Sorry Suzi - I just noticed you have been posting these.
Medclinician - not if but when - original
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Saskabush Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 18 2014 at 4:29pm
Would it be possible to start a new thread for 'stock tips' or something? I get that all sorts of comment and content is welcome but for those who are carefully watching a certain aspect of this unfolding situation (ie. WHO H7N9 Situation Updates) it is frustrating having to wade through these investment opinion pieces.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jacksdad Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 18 2014 at 11:13pm
I agree with Saskabush - I know we get more than a little OT at times, but can we ease up on the NanoViricides and Tubercin posts a little, or put them in a dedicated thread?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cobber Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 20 2014 at 2:21am
The article by seeking alpha is a hit piece designed to smash the share price so short traders can make a fortune. Its an unfortunate problem with the stock market. NNVC are learning a lesson in running a public company

A clue to the BS is the name of the anonymous article writer. "Pump Terminator"
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kyle Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 20 2014 at 7:58am
Human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus – update

Disease outbreak news

18 FEBRUARY 2014 - On 14, 15 and 16 February 2014, the National Health and Family Planning Commission (NHFPC) of China notified WHO of nine additional laboratory-confirmed cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus, including one death.

Six of the nine cases are male. The age range is 4 to 84 years. Cases were reported from Anhui (2), Guangdong (5), Hunan (1), and Jiangsu (1). 2 cases are in a critical condition, 3 cases are in a severe condition and the condition of 3 cases are unknown at this point in time. Three cases are reported to have had a history of exposure to live poultry. Investigations are ongoing.

Details of the cases notified on 14 February are as follows:

A 78 year-old man from Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 7 February and was admitted to hospital the same day. He died on 14 February.

A 66 year-old woman from Jiangmen City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 27 January and was admitted to hospital on 8 February. She is currently in a critical condition.

Details of the cases notified on 15 February are as follows:

A 14 year-old schoolgirl from Anqing City, Anhui Province, who became ill on 12 February and visited a hospital on 13 February and was then transferred to another hospital.

A 46 year-old farmer from Loudi City, Hunan Province, who became ill on 31 January and visited a doctor on 31 January. He was admitted to hospital on 12 February.

A 4 year-old kindergarten girl from Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 11 February and was admitted to hospital the same day.

A 79 year-old farmer from Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 4 February and was admitted to hospital the same day. He is currently in a critical condition.

Details of the cases notified on 16 February are as follows:

An 84 year-old man from Huai’an City, Jiangsu Province, who became ill on 4 February, and visited a community health center and then admitted to hospital on 9 February. He is currently in a severe condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry.

A 63 year-old farmer from Hefei City, Anhui Province, who became ill on 9 February and was treated at a hospital on 13 February and transferred to another hospital on 15 February. He is currently in a severe condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry.

A 44 year-old man from Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province, who became ill on 3 February and was admitted to hospital on 10 February and transferred to another hospital later. He is currently in a severe condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry.

The Chinese Government has taken the following surveillance and control measures:

strengthen surveillance and situation analysis;
reinforce case management and treatment; and
conduct risk communication with the public and release information;

Sporadic human cases

The overall risk assessment has not changed (see WHO Risk Assessment under 'Related links').

While the recent report of avian influenza A(H7N9) virus detection in live poultry exported from mainland China to Hong Kong SAR shows the potential for the virus to spread through movement of live poultry, at this time there is no indication that international spread of avian influenza A(H7N9) has occurred. However as the virus infection does not cause signs of disease in poultry, continued surveillance is needed.

Further sporadic human cases of avian influenza A(H7N9) infection are expected in affected and possibly neighbouring areas, especially given expected increases in the trade and transport of poultry associated with the Lunar New Year.

Should human cases from affected areas travel internationally, their infection may be detected in another country during or after arrival. If this were to occur, community level spread is unlikely as the virus does not have the ability to transmit easily among human. Until the virus adapts itself for efficient human-to-human transmission, the risk of ongoing international spread of H7N9 virus by travellers is low.

WHO advice

WHO advises that travellers to countries with known outbreaks of avian influenza should avoid poultry farms, or contact with animals in live bird markets, or entering areas where poultry may be slaughtered, or contact with any surfaces that appear to be contaminated with faeces from poultry or other animals. Travellers should also wash their hands often with soap and water. Travellers should follow good food safety and good food hygiene practices.

WHO does not advise special screening at points of entry with regard to this event, nor does it currently recommend any travel or trade restrictions.

As always, a diagnosis of infection with an avian influenza virus should be considered in individuals who develop severe acute respiratory symptoms while travelling or soon after returning from an area where avian influenza is a concern.

WHO encourages countries to continue strengthening influenza surveillance, including surveillance for severe acute respiratory infections (SARI) and to carefully review any unusual patterns, in order to ensure reporting of human infections under the IHR (2005), and continue national health preparedness actions.

WHO
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kyle Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 24 2014 at 6:01am
Human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus – update

Disease outbreak news

24 FEBRUARY 2014 - On 20 and 21 February 2014, the National Health and Family Planning Commission (NHFPC) of China notified WHO of nine additional laboratory-confirmed cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus.

Seven of the nine cases are males. The age range is 29 to 81 years. Cases were reported from Anhui (1), Hunan (2), Jilin (1) and Guangdong (5). One case died, six cases are in a critical condition, one case is in a severe condition and one case is in a stable condition. Six cases are reported to have had a history of exposure to live poultry. Investigations are ongoing.

Details of the cases notified on 20 February are as follows:

A 64 year-old farmer from Shaoyang City, Hunan Province. He became ill on 9 February, was admitted to a hospital on 15 February and is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry.

A 29 year-old resident from Changsha City, Hunan Province. She became ill on 8 February, was admitted to a hospital on 16 February and is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry.

A 79 year-old man from Foshan City, Guangdong Province. He became ill on 10 February, was admitted to a hospital on 14 February and is currently in a severe condition.

A 60 year-old food handler from Xuancheng City, Anhui Province. He became ill on 13 February, was admitted to a hospital on 19 February and is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry.

An 81 year-old man who lives in Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province. He became ill on 7 February, was admitted to a hospital on 16 February and is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry.

Details of the cases notified on 21 February are as follows:

A 46 year-old woman from Zhaoqing City, Guangdong Province,. She became ill on 13 February, was admitted to a hospital on 19 February and is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry.

A 64 year-old man from Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province. He became ill on 9 February, was admitted to a hospital on 15 February and died on 18 February.

A 69 year-old man from Jiangmen City, Guangdong Province. He became ill on 10 February, was admitted to a hospital on 18 February and is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry.

A 50 year- old chicken farm keeper from Jilin Province. He became ill on 15 February, was admitted to a hospital on 19 February and is currently in a stable condition.
The Chinese Government has taken the following surveillance and control measures:

strengthen surveillance and situation analysis;
reinforce case management and treatment; and
conduct risk communication with the public and release information;

Sporadic human cases

The overall risk assessment has not changed (see WHO Risk Assessment under 'Related links').

While the recent report of avian influenza A(H7N9) virus detection in live poultry exported from mainland China to Hong Kong SAR shows the potential for the virus to spread through movement of live poultry, at this time there is no indication that international spread of avian influenza A(H7N9) has occurred. However as the virus infection does not cause signs of disease in poultry, continued surveillance is needed.

Further sporadic human cases of avian influenza A(H7N9) infection are expected in affected and possibly neighbouring areas, especially given expected increases in the trade and transport of poultry associated with the Lunar New Year.

Should human cases from affected areas travel internationally, their infection may be detected in another country during or after arrival. If this were to occur, community level spread is unlikely as the virus does not have the ability to transmit easily among human. Until the virus adapts itself for efficient human-to-human transmission, the risk of ongoing international spread of H7N9 virus by travellers is low.

WHO advice

WHO advises that travellers to countries with known outbreaks of avian influenza should avoid poultry farms, or contact with animals in live bird markets, or entering areas where poultry may be slaughtered, or contact with any surfaces that appear to be contaminated with faeces from poultry or other animals. Travellers should also wash their hands often with soap and water. Travellers should follow good food safety and good food hygiene practices.

WHO does not advise special screening at points of entry with regard to this event, nor does it currently recommend any travel or trade restrictions.

As always, a diagnosis of infection with an avian influenza virus should be considered in individuals who develop severe acute respiratory symptoms while travelling or soon after returning from an area where avian influenza is a concern.

WHO encourages countries to continue strengthening influenza surveillance, including surveillance for severe acute respiratory infections (SARI) and to carefully review any unusual patterns, in order to ensure reporting of human infections under the IHR (2005), and continue national health preparedness actions.

WHO
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kyle Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 27 2014 at 8:17am
Human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus – update

Disease outbreak news

27 FEBRUARY 2014 - On 25 February 2014, the National Health and Family Planning Commission (NHFPC) of China notified WHO of an additional laboratory-confirmed case of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus.

The patient is a 71-year-old man from Foshan City in Guangdong Province. He became ill on 16 February, was hospitalised on 20 February and is currently in a critical condition.
*********************************************************
27 FEBRUARY 2014 - On 23 and 24 February 2014, the National Health and Family Planning Commission (NHFPC) of China notified WHO of five additional laboratory-confirmed cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus.

Three cases are males and two are females. The age range is 31 to 76 years. All the cases were reported from Guangdong Province. Four cases are in a critical condition and one is in a stable condition. Four cases are reported to have had a history of exposure to live poultry. Investigations are ongoing.

Details of the case notified on 23 February is as follows:
A 31 year-old man from Jiangmen City, Guangdong Province. He became ill on 16 February, was admitted to a hospital on 20 February and is currently in a stable condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry.

Details of the cases notified on 24 February are as follows:
A 76 year-old man from Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province. He became ill on 16 February, was admitted to a hospital on the same day and is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry.

A 55 year-old woman from Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province. She became ill on 19 February, was admitted to a hospital on the same day and is currently in a critical condition.

A 75 year-old woman from Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province. He became ill on 16 February and was admitted to a hospital. She is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry.

A 33 year- old man originally from Guangxi Province who lives in Fohan City of Guangdong Province. He became ill on 17 February and was admitted to a hospital. He is currently in a critical condition. The patient has a history of exposure to poultry.

The Chinese Government has taken the following surveillance and control measures:

strengthen surveillance and situation analysis;
reinforce case management and treatment; and
conduct risk communication with the public and release information;

Sporadic human cases

The overall risk assessment has not changed (see WHO Risk Assessment under 'Related links').

While the recent report of avian influenza A(H7N9) virus detection in live poultry exported from mainland China to Hong Kong SAR shows the potential for the virus to spread through movement of live poultry, at this time there is no indication that international spread of avian influenza A(H7N9) has occurred. However as the virus infection does not cause signs of disease in poultry, continued surveillance is needed.

Further sporadic human cases of avian influenza A(H7N9) infection are expected in affected and possibly neighbouring areas.

Should human cases from affected areas travel internationally, their infection may be detected in another country during or after arrival. If this were to occur, community level spread is unlikely as the virus does not have the ability to transmit easily among humans. Until the virus adapts itself for efficient human-to-human transmission, the risk of ongoing international spread of H7N9 virus by travellers is low.

WHO advice

WHO advises that travellers to countries with known outbreaks of avian influenza should avoid poultry farms, or contact with animals in live bird markets, or entering areas where poultry may be slaughtered, or contact with any surfaces that appear to be contaminated with faeces from poultry or other animals. Travellers should also wash their hands often with soap and water. Travellers should follow good food safety and good food hygiene practices.

WHO does not advise special screening at points of entry with regard to this event, nor does it currently recommend any travel or trade restrictions.

WHO
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kilt2 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 27 2014 at 4:10pm
Five Cases of Human Infection with H7N9 Virus are Reported to WHO
Infection Control Today-9 hours ago
CHP notified of four novel cases of avian influenza A H7N9
Vaccine News Daily-6 hours ago

Two new H7N9 cases as experts suggest H9N2 control

CIDRAP-26 Feb 2014
Two more H7N9 influenza cases were reported in China today, including the first one from Zhejiang province in 2 weeks, as health groups ...
And I looked, and behold a pale horse: and his name that sat on him was Death, and Hell followed with him.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Saskabush Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 01 2014 at 1:46am
Significant drop in daily reported novel infections. It must be spring in China!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote CRS, DrPH Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 02 2014 at 10:50am
Originally posted by Saskabush Saskabush wrote:

Significant drop in daily reported novel infections. It must be spring in China!

No such luck.  H7N9 seems to be endemic in both domestic and wild fowl reservoirs, and since it is low-pathogenicity, infected flocks don't give obvious signs to infection, unlike H5N1.  

I'm guessing that we will continue to see a drip-drip-drip of case reporting from China throughout the year, unless and until this thing jumps in a big way.  The Chinese poultry industry has far too much muscle, and increased case reporting just seems to drive the trade in live birds underground.  

Eventually, we'll see cases report from Viet Nam and other neighboring/nearby countries, due to migration of infected waterfowl through the Asian flyways.  
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote CRS, DrPH Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 03 2014 at 12:31pm
Eight more H7N9 cases reported by China.  


3 March 2014 - On 27 February, 28 February and 1 March 2014, the National Health and Family Planning Commission (NHFPC) of China notified WHO of eight additional laboratory-confirmed case of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus
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