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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

Will Avian like Swine Flu become Pandemic in 2016?

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Medclinician View Drop Down
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    Posted: December 28 2015 at 4:16pm
http://china.org.cn/world/Off_the_Wire/2015-12/29/content_37413311.htm

Xinhua, December 29, 2015

The Eurasian avian-like H1N1 (EAH1N1) swine flu viruses, which have circulated in pigs since 1979, have obtained the ability to infect humans and may "pose the highest pandemic threat" among the flu viruses currently circulating in animals, Chinese researchers said Monday.

"Pigs are considered important intermediate hosts for flu viruses," Chen Hualan, director of China's National Avian Influenza Reference Laboratory, who led the study, said in an written interview with Xinhua.

"Based on scientific analysis and comprehensive comparison of the main animal flu viruses: H1N1, H3N2, H5N1, H7N9, H9N2 and EAH1N1, we found the EAH1N1 is the one most likely to cause next human flu pandemic. We should attach great importance to the EAH1N1."

Two lineages of H1N1 swine influenza viruses (SIVs), classical H1N1 SIVs and EAH1N1 SIVs, have been circulating in pigs since 1918 and 1979, respectively. The classical H1N1 SIVs emerged in humans as a reassortant and caused the 2009 H1N1 flu pandemic.

The EAH1N1 SIVs have been detected in pigs in many Eurasian countries and have caused several human infections in European countries and also in China, where a fatal case was reported.

In the new study, Chen's team performed extensive flu surveillance in pigs in China and isolated 228 flu viruses from 36,417 pigs in slaughterhouses and on farms in 24 provinces from August 2010 to March 2013.

comment: There has been talk of a "new bug" that has come from China which mutated last year and could cause a serious problems.

What is EAH1N1?

There has been one confirmed human fatal case showing that this virus has been transmitted.  We are seeing swine flu outbreaks in more and more countries. Will this get worse.

Medclinician




"not if but when" the original Medclinician
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