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Dutch Josh 
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 Topic: World War Three
Posted: April 16 2018 at 1:02am |
DJ-World War Three was started with the France-UK-US (FUKUS)-group attack on Syria-april 14.
Why I consider it the start of another global war ? Russia had made very clear that any attack on Syria is unacceptable.
The fact that the FUKUS-attack did little damage to Syrian targets maybe makes even more clear the real target was (the pride of) Russia.
As was expected China, Iran now form more an alliance with Russia. Countries like Venezuela, Cuba, Bolivia condemn the attacks. For Israel, Saudi Arabia it is not enough.
The FUKUS-alliance choose to: 1-ignore international law 2-ignore OPCW investigations 3-their own parliaments
With the build-up of forces from both pro-Assad and regime-change supporters plan "A" - a full scale invasion of Syria may be planned for the coming weeks.
The basic-global-conflict is wether the US can be the only dominant global force or others can claim such a position as well. The price of energy-link to the US$ is one of the reasons for conflict.
In wars one of the causes of suffering is health related. In some wars most deaths were due to health-conditions-not the fighting itself.
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Dutch Josh
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Posted: April 16 2018 at 4:21am |
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04-16/putin-warns-global-chaos-if-west-hits-syria-again and https://www.debka.com/western-strike-on-syrian-chemical-sites-isolates-israel-against-iranian-russian-axis/ Russia and Iran working closer together since FUKUS-attack.
From the zerohedge article: Shortly after US Ambassador Nikki Haley revealed that Russia would be slapped with a third round of sanctions on Monday for "enabling the Syrian government's use of chemical weapons in civil war," Russian President Vladimir Putin said that further attacks on Syria by Western forces, "in violation of the U.N. Charter," would send international relations into "chaos." In a telephone conversation with his Iranian counterpart, Hassan Rouhani, Putin and Rouhani agreed that the Western strikes had damaged the chances of achieving a political resolution in the seven-year Syria conflict, according to a Kremlin statement. -Reuters
The US-led strike was denounced by Putin as an "act of aggression," and a "war crime" by Iran's Supreme leader Ayatollah Khamenei. “Vladimir Putin, in particular, stressed that if such actions committed in violation of the U.N. Charter continue, then it will inevitably lead to chaos in international relations,” the Kremlin statement said.
US President Donald Trump wanted to include Russian and Iranian forces deployed in Syria into the list of targets of the April 14 US-led strike on the country, the Wall Street Journal reported citing sources familiar with the decision making process. According to the report, the Pentagon provided Trump with three main options: - A powerful missile attack aimed at the alleged chemical weapons facilities of the Syrian government.
- Strikes on “a broader set of Syrian regime targets, including suspected chemical-weapons research facilities and military command centers.”
- “The most expansive proposal, which might have included strikes on Russian air defenses in Syria, was designed to cripple the regime’s military capabilities without touching Mr. Assad’s political machinery.”
President Trump and his team was considering to adopt the 3rd Scenario but Defense Secretary Jim Mattis pushed back, according to the newspaper’s sources. So, the “hybrid plan” of actions was approvided and then implemented on April 14.
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Dutch Josh
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Posted: April 16 2018 at 4:42pm |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Dutch Josh
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Posted: April 16 2018 at 9:42pm |
DJ-Israel attacked two bases in Syria-at least. One of them used by Russia. In reaction-or coincidence????-explosian in Golan Heights.
DJ-Very limited news-certainly on the Golan Heights. Did Syria, Iran, Russia or others react to Israeli airstrikes ? DEBKAfile’s military sources: The Sharyat and Dumayr airbases, which Damascus claimed were attacked, houses some of the Syrian fighter squadrons, including its Mig-29 and Sokhoi-24, that were evacuated from their regular sites for safety, ahead of the US, British and French air strikes on Syria’s chemical strikes on Saturday, April 14. Some units of the Syrian 4th Division and three brigades of the Republican Guards were also transferred to Dumayr. If the attack is confirmed, its most likely targets were Syrian air force and elite military units.
Israeli continues its military buildup along the Syrian and Lebanese borders, after another round of threats from Iran, Syria and Hizballah of retaliation for the Israeli air strike against the T-4 air base on April 9 and the deaths of eight Revolutionary Guards aerospace personnel in command of Iran’s Syrian-based drones. Direct threats from Tehran and Beirut intensified in the past 24 hours. The IDF statement stressed that ground and air forces were placed on a high level or preparedness.
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Dutch Josh
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Posted: April 16 2018 at 11:00pm |
https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/17-april-syrian-military-sources-denied-to-dpa-earlier-reports
DJ-Israel does consider Iran as a very serious risk. In its almost 70 years of history Iran may be the first opponant Israel can not deal with.
Israel may be looking for some sort of support or understanding of its position both with the US and Russia. The US has outplaced itself to be a negotiating partner for Iran.
To deescalate-in my opinion-the EU and Russia should talk with Iran and Hezbollah. Iran and Hezbollah forces should stay away (10 miles zone ?) from the Golan heights border. In return:
-Israel should stop its airstrikes -The EU stick to the present Iran-deal
Israel could start a major conflict. Understanding the reasons for it can prevent further escalation. Diplomacy should end looking for military ways to deal with the Syria-conflict (or other conflicts).
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Dutch Josh
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Posted: April 17 2018 at 5:03am |
http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2384-idf-iran-assembling-air-forces-in-syria-for-retaliatory-attack-on-israel, https://southfront.org/israeli-media-claims-iranian-forces-use-3-airbases-for-its-operations-in-syria/, https://southfront.org/syrian-forces-repel-another-israeli-missile-attack-reports/
From Hal Turner: Tuesday, 17 April -- Israeli Defense Force (IDF) sources said to confirm Iran has established air forces in Syria and are planning retaliatory attacks in Israel. ISRAEL INFORMING IRAN THROUGH BACKCHANNELS THEY FACE OVERWHELMING CRUSHING RESPONSE IF THEY ACT. IDF are briefing journalists now that they are aware of major strikes being planned by Iran, targeting cities in Israel. There were indeed 3 strikes the other night that were attempted to be covered up, including that ammunition depot.
So it seems we have had 2 consecutive nights of Israeli strikes (yes ALL were Israel)
I am now in a position to confirm. You know what this means: if the IDF thinks Iranian strikes are imminent they are not going to sit and wait on explosions in their cities.
They will pre-empt and pre-empt heavily! They have done it in the past... - 6 day war, Israel preempted the Egyptian air force...
- 7th June Operation Opera/Babylon Israel preempted Iraqi nuclear facility...
- 6th September 2007, Operation Orchard Israel bombs Syrian nuclear facility...
- The strikes on Hezbollah and Iranian positions are for the same reason, Iranian arms sophisticated hardware passing through Syria to Hezbollah to be stored in Lebanon.
If in a corner or they feel under threat credible threat, they will strike.
The information now released, much of it available to DEBKA’s readers in the past, attests to the growing conviction among Israel’s strategic leaders that Iran’s Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) are on the point of a military operation to punish Israel for its April 9 air attack on the SyrianT-4 airbase, which left eight IRGC aerospace officers dead, including Col. Mehdi Dehgan Yazdeli. The IDF is finally leveling on the threat so as to prepare the Israeli public for what looks like an inevitable military clash with Iran.
A leak to the New York Times and Israeli media on Monday incorrectly defined the T-4 strike as Israel’s first live attack on Iranian commanders. In fact, the Israeli air force struck a group of Iranian commanders on a secret visit to Quneitra opposite Israel’s Golan border on Jan. 18, 2015, killing two Iranian generals, Mohammad Ali Allah Dadi and Abu Ali al-Tabtabani. And in the following year, on July 26, an Israeli rocket attack aimed at and missed another secret visitor to Quneitra, Iranian Gen. Mohammad-Reza Naghdi. For now, DEBKAfile can report: - Al Qods chief Gen. Qassem Soleimani is leading the preparations for the first direct Iranian assault on Israel, not just by proxy. Soleimani is the overall commander of Iran’s Middle East warfronts.
- Iranian air force units in Syria are gearing up for the attack.
- Military Il-76 freight planes, disguised as Iranian Simorgh Air and Pouya Air commercial flights, are ferrying military equipment into Syria.
- The IRGC air fleet is spread out in four Syrian bases outside Aleppo, Saiqal, Damascus and T-4 near Homs.
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Dutch Josh
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Posted: April 18 2018 at 12:07am |
DJ, There are always people making money out of wars. https://www.rt.com/uk/424392-may-husbands-capital-group/ That the PM's husband is on of them is shocking. Of course the FUKUS-attack came after a Saudi weapons buying-tour via France, Uk, US. Saudi Arabia is supporting a Sunni-minority in Bahrain, fighting a genocidal war-with very extreme health-risks-in Yemen. Part of the price the France-UK-US had to pay for the weapon-deals was in supporting Saudi influence in the Middle East (even further).
Korea
DJ-One could claim US foreign policy was a succes. The US "push-for-war"convinced PM Moon of South Korea to have talks (Moon-Putin-Plan) with Russia, China-and at the end-North Korea. (For the rest the US only played a negative role there as well-putting up THAAD-anti China missiles-against the will of the incoming Moon-government.)
DJ-There was a plan "A" for an attack on Syria. It looks like plan "B" made clear the Syrian air defense was much stronger (again-like april 2017) than the "west" would like. The price for a major invasion will be very high. Still a US carrier group is on its way to the region. Israel seems to be testing for weak points in Syrian air defense. (Israel never have a plane shot down, it is always a bird, technical failure or pilot-error. Hezbollah/Iran tend to claim their targets in Syria are out of reach for western attacks. So-in the media-both Iran and Israel deny attacks that most likely were there.)
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Dutch Josh
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Posted: April 19 2018 at 12:33pm |
http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/04/syria-who-holds-up-the-opcw-investigation-in-douma.html DJ-"Rebels" quite likely to claim other "chemical attacks" soon-when the US carrier group has arived ?
DJ-In my opinion Israel could follow the South Korea-"road". The US can not prevent a war with Iran, can not protect Israel-Russia is able to do so but under Russian terms.
Russia is making preparations for plan "A" from the "west", a major invasion of Syria-war with Iran (and Russia). (DJ-Since this is about the multi-polar world instead of US dominance it is "the west" NATO, Gulf States/Israel, Austalia against the "East" Russia, China, Iran, Syria (Iraq ? Lebanon ? Turkey ? Pakistan ?)
(DJ-Erdogan has no choice-the EU is not waiting for this Turkey, to stop any form of "Kurdistan" Erdogan needs to work with Assad and Iran. Turkey needs Russian "Turkstream-pipeline, Russian tourists. The increase in Greek-Turkey tensions may be NATO inspired-to try to get a grip on Turkey. The Turkish elections in july will be on more power for Erdogan.)
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04-18/imf-sounds-alarm-global-debt-warns-united-states-stands-out DJ-Of course it is easy to blame China, EU etc for "bad trade deals" the real problem is the US spending over 4,500,000,000,000 US$ on wars since 2001 http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/-killing almost 1,500,000 Iraqi's, destroying several countries with good healthcare, education, housing. (The only way Trump could "Make America Great Again" would be to stop the insane wars-for-oil that only make a very small group very rich at the cost of the rest of the planet.)
Another "False Flag" is in the making-the media is under control of those who make profit out of war. The build up of forces is still in progress-but it is a matter of days....
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Dutch Josh
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Posted: April 19 2018 at 11:18pm |
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_O2TRzA2ezk The Jimmy Dore show on "the civil war"/western attack on Syria since 2011.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fgFBMU_9UFM Today News-Israel may want to destroy Syrian S-300 air defense. Russia may use it to put pressure on Israel. (DJ-Netanyahu has a lot of contact with Russia-the US may be willing to go for a war with Iran but when such a war would destroy Israel as weell it may be time to look for alternatives.)
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Dutch Josh
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Posted: April 21 2018 at 12:25pm |
coup attempt Saudi Arabia (???????)
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Dutch Josh
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Posted: April 21 2018 at 11:44pm |
Saudi Arabia
Middle East
In september 1939 Germany-and two weeks later Russia-invaded Poland. That war was over in a month-but the UK and France did declare war with Germany september 3. Untill april 1940 a sort of "peace" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phoney_War took place. We all know that World War 2 was a very serious war.
By the april 14 attacks from France, UK, US, "the west" did declare war-in open-to pro-Assad forces in Syria. (By proxy the west invaded Syria already in 2011 for regime-change-oil/gas interests. There were some Russian/Syrian- Turkish incidents.) That "the west" did not attack Iran or Russia in Syria that day does not change the west switching from diplomacy to weapons.
A logical first step in the "pro-Assad"reaction is trying to get a control on Syria as best as possible. "The west" is building up forces. US forces "to be replaced by (Saudi) Arab forces (mercenaries). Since Russia and Iran are still trying to get a grip on Syria further "actions" (false flags) will come from the west.
China considers western actions as an attack on its New Silk Road initiative. https://www.rt.com/news/424701-trump-world-threat-germans/ In Europe most would like better relations with Russia. Trump did get elected promissing better relations. A small elite making money out of wars is pushing the world into disaster. |
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Dutch Josh
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Posted: April 23 2018 at 6:33am |
http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2418-coup-attempt-in-saudi-arabia-heavy-gunfire-at-royal-palace-king-evacuated-to-military-base Latest update:
UPDATE 3:40 AM EDT MONDAY, APRIL 23, 2018 -- COVERT INTEL - some former colleagues of mine still inside various Intelligence Agencies worldwide, have ALLEGED that the incident above was an attempted Coup and was ALLEGEDLY carried out by loyal officers of Muhammad bin Nayef. Muhammad bin Nayef Al Saud (born 30 August 1959) is a prominent member of the House of Saud. He is a nephew of King Salman and grandson of the founding monarch King Abdulaziz. He has served as First Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Interior of Saudi Arabia and chairman of the Council for Political and Security Affairs. On 29 April 2015, he was appointed Crown Prince by King Salman, making him first in line to the throne of Saudi Arabia. On 21 June 2017 he was replaced as Crown Prince and First Deputy Prime Minister by the king’s son, then Deputy Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman, and relieved of all positions by royal decree of King Salman. ADDITIONAL ANALYSISIt's a sure sign of a civil war breaking out. Chaos, confusion, multitudes of sides only loosely affiliated toward a common goal/against a common enemy.
It's a sign that Saudi Arabia is now turning into Iraq quagmire following the U.S. invasion of 2003, with all the downsides for U.S. (expected massive attacks on U.S. troops, factional fighting with bombs going all over the place, at least half of which have been done by the CIA, by the way) and none of the upsides (uncontrolled access to free oil).
A smart market player would expect oil price to blow right through the roof in a week or so, with Russia turning the tables on the U.S.-Saudi oil war on Russia, that had collapsed the oil price in an effort to bring Russia to its knees.
Talking about shooting oneself in the foot...
What U.S. "strategic planners" (in reality - complete morons) never realized was that U.S. Saudi legs were made of glass, and that glass has just shattered into a billion pieces. http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2420-iran-officially-switches-from-dollar-to-euro https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04-22/russias-new-energy-gamble https://southfront.org/is-false-flag-attack-on-us-navy-ship-next/ https://southfront.org/iraqi-military-reveals-new-details-about-its-airstrikes-inside-syria/
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Dutch Josh
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Posted: April 24 2018 at 1:22pm |
Some latest developments;
DJ-If there was a KSA-coup-attempt they know how to keep it out of the news.
DJ-Preparations for conflict in several area's...
It is obvious that the U.S. wants to keep ISIS alive and well to again use it, if need be, against the Syrian and Iraqi government. Then Secretary of State Kerry as well as then President Obama admitted that they used ISIS to put pressure on the Syrian President Assad and then Prime Minister of Iraq Maliki: The reason, the president added, “that we did not just start taking a bunch of airstrikes all across Iraq as soon as ISIL came in was because that would have taken the pressure off of [Prime Minister Nuri Kamal] al-Maliki. We now see a repeat of such 'games'. ISIS was given time to rest. It is regaining capacities especially in Iraq's Anbar province where it is moving between villages and threatening the inhabitants. It is issuing new strategic instructions to its followers and calls on them to attack or sabotage the upcoming elections in Iraq. As the U.S. is unwilling to fight ISIS, the governments of Iraq, Syria, Iran and Russia (+ Hizbullah) decided to again take the issue into their own hands. On April 19 the 4+1 met for coordinating their future campaigns. - While the U.S. cuddles with ISIS in Syria to again use it for its own purpose, the 4+1 plan for a larger common operation to finally destroy the Takfiri menace. I expect that operation to begin only after the Iraqi parliament election on May 12 is over and a new Iraqi government in place. Enough forces will have to be prepared on the Syrian as well as the Iraqi side of the border. On the Syrian side a military bridge to cross the Euphrates has recently been rebuild by the Syrian military and new equipment is arriving in the area. The meeting of the Iranian minister with the PMU hints at a strong role for these units in the upcoming fight. Will the U.S. try to prevent or undermine the plan or will it stay out of the way?
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Kilt5
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Posted: April 24 2018 at 8:22pm |
China is the problem - and Russia
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Posted: April 25 2018 at 10:39pm |
@Kilt5-from US perspective I agree; China and Russia want to be global powers as well. From Russia/China perspective the US is a problem. Asia with over 4 billion people and most of the energysources should be central-in their perspective.
Can there be some sort of compromise or will it end in military (limited) conflict ? In my-DJ-opinion after the april 14 F-UK-US strikes "the west" did make a choice for military action.
DJ-Macron-France tries to take over Germany's role as leading the EU-has global hopes. The EU wants to save the Iran-deal. In the international community the EU already plays a minor role. (Minsk agreement on Ukraine was passed by "f..k the EU" US decissions, also on North Korea, Syria the EU and US differ of opinion. When Trump takes the US out of the Iran-deal the "total failure of EU foreign politics" will be very clear.)
DJ-Israel will not wait much longer for what they consider an act of self defence; destroying Hezbollah and Iran positions in Syria (and Lebanon). This may make the Syria-war explode.
DJ-The major risk at present is the number of parties involved, the number of conflicts in several regions. Changes or end of the Iran-deal by the US will make Iran turn to Russia, China and possible EU support. In the region Iran may try to improve relations with Pakistan, Turkey. For "the west" Russia-Iran-China (RIC) taking over control in several parts of Asia is getting over a "red line". RIC is in control of much energy and logistics-lines, wants energy paid in Euro's or Yuan-not in US$.
The Saudi Arabia situation is unclear. King Salman seems not to be able to get his succession to be accepted by the Saudi elite. Crown-prince Muhammed-bin-Sultan may not be acceptable for most of that elite after robbing that elite. It is unclear who is running Saudi Arabia Salman or MbS ?
Also the US is not very realistic. US control of Asia, energy and the petro-US$ is "under pressure". In a military way the US is overstretched by far, the US economy is debt-based. The US debt is caused by endless expensive wars more than by bad tradedeals. The US should offer the world more than fracking-oil/gas (LNG) and weapons/war. https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04-25/total-control-new-measures-toward-global-totalitarianism Internet-on a global scale-is getting out of US control and becoming a way of crowd-control that ends any illusion of democracy.
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Dutch Josh
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Posted: April 25 2018 at 11:10pm |
Countries like Indonesia, Pakistan, Northern Africa could turn against Saudi Arabia for religious reasons.)
From https://www.debka.com/iran-converts-thousands-of-hizballah-missiles-into-precision-weapons/: Intensified Iranian-Syrian air traffic was detected in the wake of the April 13 US-UK-French air strikes on Syrian chemical sites, including at least two Syrian Air Force Il-76 cargo jets flying between Iran and Syria. DEBKAfile’s military and intelligence sources report that these flights most likely carried equipment and engineering personnel for Iran’s Precision Project for upgrading a portion of Hizballah’s arsenal. This project, under the direction of Al Qods chief Gen. Qassem Soleimani, recently went into high gear. The engineering crews, who began arriving in Syria and Lebanon in February, are believed to have finished retooling several thousand of Hizballah’s short-range and medium-missiles and expected to meet their full target in the summer.This project has wide connotations. US intelligence sources believe that the recent escalation of missile fire by the Iranian-backed Yemeni Houthis against Saudi targets on land and the Red Sea, stems not just from increased Iranian deliveries to the Houthis through Oman, but also serves the missile experts of Iran and Hizballah for testing the efficacy of the newly upgraded Hizballah missiles. The missile fire on Saudi oil tankers sailing through the Bab al Mandeb Straits and the Red Sea is seen as providing trial runs for the weapons newly outfitted for targeting tankers and other shipping bound for Israel’s Mediterranean ports, as well as its offshore gas rigs closest to Lebanon.
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Dutch Josh
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Posted: April 26 2018 at 10:43pm |
http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2439-russian-navy-unleashes-missiles-against-isis-and-rebels DJ-Hal Turner claims US, UK, Israeli "advisors" being killed in this attack. No further confirmation elsewere-but quite likely.
Israel does not want Iran in Syria, does see Hizballah as a terrorist group in Syria and Lebanon, also S-300 etc. air defense is unacceptable for Israel. So far the "latest offensive" from Israel is in words-meant mostly for Russia. But since the latest attacks from Israel also targetted Russians in Syria the Israel-Russia relations are "bad". (Also Russia knows of how much support Israel is giving to "rebels").
1-NW Syria-with much Turkish influence, rebel-groups are fighting eachother there, Turkey may want to pull out of that chaos. Russia/Syria do want the several rebel groups to have enough time to kill eachother. 2-SW Syria-including the Damascus-Amman (Jordan) highway, also Golan Heights/Israeli border area. For Russia/Syria high priority: A-Close to Damascus B-Economic important (Jordan is both supporting "rebels" and having diplomatic relations with Assad-regime) C-"Rebels" get aid via Israel and Jordan-cutting of supply lines 3-Al Tanf/US controled Syria/Jordan/Iraq border area (also including Damascus-Bagdad (Iraq) highway. and 4-"Kurdish"held area's. Both 3 and 4 see an increase of pro-Assad "rebel groups". Since the US is not fighting IS in the Syria/Iraq border area Iraq started operations there with agreement from Syria, Iran and Russia (Those 4 countries have a joint command center in Bagdad)
In my DJ opinion the area close to Israel/Golan Heights will se a pro-Assad offensive in may. The chances of Israel (US) not getting involved are small. Most likely the "rebels" (several groups, including IS, already fighting eachother) will claim chemical attacks.
Korea
DJ-Western media never use the Moon-Putin-Plan-words. Russia and China are the main players behind what could turn into a short term unification plan for Korea. In 1990 East Germany became part of the unified Germany. It did go very fast, the Soviet Union was close to collapse. Now North Korea is as good as bankrupt-"Kim" has to make some moves to stay in power. South Korean companies would love to make trade with Russia, China, North Korea (etc). The US did start a trade war and put the THAAD-air defense system (against Russia, China) without the incoming government agreeing on that. (The US supported president Park, now in jail for corruption)
DJ-The US is put aside in the Middle East and East Asia by Russia, China. The US did support corrupt dictators that had no support in their countries. The US/west does underestimate the widespread anti-US feelings in Asia. From Indonesia, Pakistan (Muslim countries) to Russia, China (trade wars etc.) The US is kept responsible for several wars involving Iraq, Iran, Israel killing millions of people. NATO is in permanent war in Afghanistan since 2001. For a lot of countries an alternative for the US is very welcome.
DJ-What to expect from a Kim-Trump meeting: 1-Kim will have "instructions"from Russia, China 2-NK gives up nuclear programm and wants less US influence in SK 3-Trump will need to offer something to keep some influence. De facto Russia, China, NK (and most likely a lot of the South Koreans) would welcome "less US influence" meaning the US getting out of SK. (DJ-I do not believe the US will give up SK "without conflict"-Russia and China will "push"the US out by trying to stop supplies for US forces in SK. The US may try "regime change" in SK bringing back another dictator as the US did do many times earlier.)
DJ-The EU could play a major role on a global scale in de-escalation. "We" -as Europeans need Russian energy, international trade also with Russia,Iran, China. The US push for sanctions and tradewars are damaging the EU. Macron/France did go (to) far in his try to save the Iran-deal. When Trump decides-may 12-the US is getting out of the Iran-deal the EU is getting in a "balancing act" between "the east" and "the west". Just like the Paris-climate agreement, the US getting out of the Iran-deal may be "unacceptable" for the EU. The EU-after such a step- could turn "more" to the "east", already Nordstream 1 and 2 Russia-German energy deals are on their way. China is investing in railway connections via Asia to the EU. European banks are doing bussiness with Iran.
The US getting out of the Iran deal most likely will do most damage to the US and push the EU to do more deals with Russia-Iran-China. (France, UK tried to stop the US from getting out of the Iran-deal by supporting limited strikes against Syria, new negotiations on the Iran-deal. When that still is not enough the US may pay a price.) NATO already is in a sort of crisis due to Turkey (US, Greece-conflicts)-getting out of the Iran-deal will push Turkey out of NATO what could bring an end to NATO.
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Dutch Josh
Senior Advisor Group
Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
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Posted: April 27 2018 at 11:39pm |
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/49307.htm DJ-Aid for rebuilding Syria is used for political goals by the EU-to control Russia and Iran and to get rid of Assad (and then what ? At the moment there is no replacement-only chaos). Lack of progress is undermining Arab area's under SDF/US control-another uprising is a matter of time. One major goal for the EU is to avoid more refugees towards the EU.
[url]https://southfront.org/syrian-war-report-april-27-2018-russia-ew-systems-disabling-u-s-ec-130-ew-aircraft/[/url and http://halturnerradioshow.com/ (Russia preparing no-fly zone over Syria-behind paywall) Russia is building up airdefenses in Syria. (DJ-With some pockets under "rebel"control getting run over by pro-Assad forces the batlles will move towards area's under US, Israel, Turkey "influence")
-Iran will become member of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization next year-as part of the New Silk Road linking China with the EU. -Russia, India, China (3 of 5 BRICS) do not want any change to the Iran deal -India wants a "North South Connection" via Iran with Russia (as an alternative for the New Silk Road-due to conflicts with Pakistan (and China) over the Kashmir (region)
DJ-In the comments I see on the Korean developments in western media the Moon-Putin-Plan is never mentioned, Trump is praised. Reality may come as a shock for "the west"-Korea may be getting interested in the Asia-market and the US may have to give up on South Korea.
Trade wars are not only putting pressure on US-South Korea relations, India needs to export-and find the US blocking that. For India tho only real chance for economic growth is also the Asia market-including Russia-Iran-China.
2-Assad did win the Syria war (most likely western cruisemissiles were less than 20% effective even with Russia not going all the way to stop the attacks. By now Russia has even more air defense in Syria-both the US and Israel will think twice before any further military action). 3-China is in control of the South China Sea (and the US will loose a conflict with China over that sea) (4-Most likely in the Korea-proces "the west" is reacting not controling developments).
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Dutch Josh
Senior Advisor Group
Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
Points: 34092
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Posted: April 28 2018 at 10:53pm |
http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2456-russia-won-t-allow-another-us-attack-upon-syria
Growing EU-US rift:
DJ-I do not see the US keeping up as a "global player" when they even manage to lose the EU.
China-India
DJ-Russia, China India and (most likely) the EU want to stick to the Iran-deal, free global trade. The US is blaming other countries for the US debts but forget the "zillions" of US$ spent on wars around the planet since 2001 making money for US weapon-industry. The last 5 years the US managed the Philippines, Turkey, Pakistan moving away from the US, now the US may lose South Korea and the EU.
EurAsia is about 5 billion people, most of the natural resources and consumers....China is a major investor in Africa, Latin America (Bolivia, Venezuela, Cuba-already interested in working with Russia-Iran-China RIC) does see a struggle in Brazil, Mexico, Argentine between "east and west".
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Dutch Josh
Senior Advisor Group
Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
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Posted: April 29 2018 at 9:19pm |
https://www.debka.com/pompeos-thumbs-up-for-israel-to-counter-russian-backed-iranian-drive-in-syria/, http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2458-breaking-news-massive-explosion-hits-iranian-base-in-syria-fears-israel-used-tactical-nuke-registered-as-m2-6-earthquake and https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=662356
UPDATED 6:01 PM EDT - RUSSIA TO RETALIATE BY FORCE (SEE BOTTOM) -- UPDATED 6:28 PM EDT -- RUSSIA WITHDRAWS "DE-ESCALATION CENTERS" FROM SYRIA "THIS IS NOW A DIRECT FIGHT" UPDATED 11:22 PM EDT -- EMERGENCY ACTION MESSAGES BEING TRANSMITTED TO US MILITARY At around 3:40 PM Eastern US time, an utterly MASSIVE explosion took place at an Iranian base inside Syria. The photo above was taken from 5 kilometers (about 3 MILES) away, and well-into the explosion which "seemed to linger." There are now widespread BUT UNCORROBORATED rumors Israel used a Tactical Nuclear Bomb against the Iranian base. The explosion was so intense, it registered as an EARTHQUAKE with the The European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre (EMSC), which is now reporting a Magnitude 2.6 earthquake at that site! (Link) 6:28 PM EDT -- Russia has WITHDRAWN it's "De-Escalation" teams from southern Syria. "There is no need for them anymore; this is now a direct fight." Syrian Government has confirmed that bases in Hama and Aleppo have been hit by enemy missiles. Unconfirmed, so no official Syrian and or Iranian statement yet: dozens upon dozens of (mostly) Iranian soldiers (of all factions) have been killed tonight. Blood of all types needed for the hospitals of Suqailabiya and Masyaf... There's a shortage and many wounded. Reports now of nearly 50 dead and many dozens and dozens wounded (majority are reportedly Iranian soldiers) from Israeli strikes on Hama SANA CONFIRMS Syrian Army Fire Brigade station has been hit near the attack site at the Iranian Brigade 47 base, in an attempt to kill all firefighters and stop the fire being put out. UPDATE 6:55 PM EDT --MORE CONFUSING AND CONFLICTING REPORTS. Syrian Army Soldier Says the Strikes came from Turkish AirSpace UPDATE 7:16 PM EDT --*Unconfirmed* reports that Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and his ministers are holding an emergency cabinet meeting at the Kirya military base in Tel Aviv following the alleged Israeli airstrike on an underground Iranian rockets depot in Syria. UPDATE 7:35 PM EDT --The explosions at the Hama depot lasted for over an hour and a half, spreading to the nearby area and forcing some of the residents to flee their homes, Sky News reported, citing sources. https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04-29/massive-fireballs-light-syrian-sky-after-israeli-strike-iranian-soliders-reportedly
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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