Click to Translate to English Click to Translate to French  Click to Translate to Spanish  Click to Translate to German  Click to Translate to Italian  Click to Translate to Japanese  Click to Translate to Chinese Simplified  Click to Translate to Korean  Click to Translate to Arabic  Click to Translate to Russian  Click to Translate to Portuguese  Click to Translate to Myanmar (Burmese)

PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
123456
Forum Home Forum Home > Off Topic Forum > Off Topic Discussion > Talk about anything
  New Posts New Posts RSS Feed - World War Three
  FAQ FAQ  Forum Search   Events   Register Register  Login Login

Now tracking the new emerging South Africa Omicron Variant

World War Three

 Post Reply Post Reply Page  123 8>
Author
Message
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: World War Three
    Posted: April 16 2018 at 1:02am
DJ-World War Three was started with the France-UK-US (FUKUS)-group attack on Syria-april 14.

Why I consider it the start of another global war ? Russia had made very clear that any attack on Syria is unacceptable. 

The fact that the FUKUS-attack did little damage to Syrian targets maybe makes even more clear the real target was (the pride of) Russia. 

As was expected China, Iran now form more an alliance with Russia. Countries like Venezuela, Cuba, Bolivia condemn the attacks. For Israel, Saudi Arabia it is not enough.

The FUKUS-alliance choose to: 
1-ignore international law
2-ignore OPCW investigations
3-their own parliaments

The "west"is very divided on Syria https://southfront.org/macron-claims-he-convinced-trump-to-stay-in-syria/. The FUKUS-group did take action also for domestic reasons. Trump, May and Macron do not have much support in their own country. 

In Syria https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/breaking-rebels-agree-to-leave-last-bastion-in-east-damascus/ "western backed terrorists" are agreeing to give up many positions. NW Syria is de-facto under Turkish control. 

With the build-up of forces from both pro-Assad and regime-change supporters plan "A" - a full scale invasion of Syria may be planned for the coming weeks. 

The basic-global-conflict is wether the US can be the only dominant global force or others can claim such a position as well. The price of energy-link to the US$ is one of the reasons for conflict.

In wars one of the causes of suffering is health related. In some wars most deaths were due to health-conditions-not the fighting itself. 

Yemen at present is one of the war/health disasterarea's. http://www.who.int/emergencies/yemen/en/

The Spanish Flu may have killed up to 50-100 million people at the end of World War 1. The war was one of the reasons this flu could kill so many people. In history there is a strong correlation between pandemics and wars. https://fsi.stanford.edu/news/civil-wars-and-global-threat-pandemics
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 16 2018 at 4:21am
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04-16/putin-warns-global-chaos-if-west-hits-syria-again and https://www.debka.com/western-strike-on-syrian-chemical-sites-isolates-israel-against-iranian-russian-axis/ Russia and Iran working closer together since FUKUS-attack.

From the zerohedge article:
Shortly after US Ambassador Nikki Haley revealed that Russia would be slapped with a third round of sanctions on Monday for "enabling the Syrian government's use of chemical weapons in civil war," Russian President Vladimir Putin said that further attacks on Syria by Western forces, "in violation of the U.N. Charter," would send international relations into "chaos."

In a telephone conversation with his Iranian counterpart, Hassan Rouhani, Putin and Rouhani agreed that the Western strikes had damaged the chances of achieving a political resolution in the seven-year Syria conflict, according to a Kremlin statement. -Reuters

The US-led strike was denounced by Putin as an "act of aggression," and a "war crime" by Iran's Supreme leader Ayatollah Khamenei.

“Vladimir Putin, in particular, stressed that if such actions committed in violation of the U.N. Charter continue, then it will inevitably lead to chaos in international relations,” the Kremlin statement said.




US President Donald Trump wanted to include Russian and Iranian forces deployed in Syria into the list of targets of the April 14 US-led strike on the country, the Wall Street Journal reported citing sources familiar with the decision making process.

According to the report, the Pentagon provided Trump with three main options:

  1. A powerful missile attack aimed at the alleged chemical weapons facilities of the Syrian government.
  2. Strikes on “a broader set of Syrian regime targets, including suspected chemical-weapons research facilities and military command centers.”
  3. “The most expansive proposal, which might have included strikes on Russian air defenses in Syria, was designed to cripple the regime’s military capabilities without touching Mr. Assad’s political machinery.”

President Trump and his team was considering to adopt the 3rd Scenario but Defense Secretary Jim Mattis pushed back, according to the newspaper’s sources. So, the “hybrid plan” of actions was approvided and then implemented on April 14.

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 16 2018 at 4:42pm
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 16 2018 at 9:42pm
DJ-Israel attacked two bases in Syria-at least. One of them used by Russia. In reaction-or coincidence????-explosian in Golan Heights. 







DJ-Very limited news-certainly on the Golan Heights. Did Syria, Iran, Russia or others react to Israeli airstrikes ?
DEBKAfile’s military sources: The Sharyat and Dumayr airbases, which Damascus claimed were attacked, houses some of the Syrian fighter squadrons, including its Mig-29 and Sokhoi-24, that were evacuated from their regular sites for safety, ahead of the US, British and French air strikes on Syria’s chemical strikes on Saturday, April 14. Some units of the Syrian 4th Division and three brigades of the Republican Guards were also transferred to Dumayr. If the attack is confirmed, its most likely targets were Syrian air force and elite military units.
Israeli continues its military buildup along the Syrian and Lebanese borders, after another round of threats from Iran, Syria and Hizballah of retaliation for the Israeli air strike against the T-4 air base on April 9 and the deaths of eight Revolutionary Guards aerospace personnel in command of Iran’s Syrian-based drones. Direct threats from Tehran and Beirut intensified in the past 24 hours.  The IDF statement stressed that ground and air forces were placed on a high level or preparedness.
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 16 2018 at 11:00pm
https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/17-april-syrian-military-sources-denied-to-dpa-earlier-reports


DJ-Israel does consider Iran as a very serious risk. In its almost 70 years of history Iran may be the first opponant Israel can not deal with. 

Israel may be looking for some sort of support or understanding of its position both with the US and Russia. The US has outplaced itself to be a negotiating partner for Iran. 

To deescalate-in my opinion-the EU and Russia should talk with Iran and Hezbollah. Iran and Hezbollah forces should stay away (10 miles zone ?) from the Golan heights border. In return:

-Israel should stop its airstrikes
-The EU stick to the present Iran-deal

Israel could start a major conflict. Understanding the reasons for it can prevent further escalation. 
Diplomacy should end looking for military ways to deal with the Syria-conflict (or other conflicts).
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 17 2018 at 5:03am
http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2384-idf-iran-assembling-air-forces-in-syria-for-retaliatory-attack-on-israel, https://southfront.org/israeli-media-claims-iranian-forces-use-3-airbases-for-its-operations-in-syria/, https://southfront.org/syrian-forces-repel-another-israeli-missile-attack-reports/

From Hal Turner: 

Tuesday, 17 April -- Israeli Defense Force (IDF) sources said to confirm Iran has established air forces in Syria and are planning retaliatory attacks in Israel.

ISRAEL INFORMING IRAN THROUGH BACKCHANNELS THEY FACE OVERWHELMING CRUSHING RESPONSE IF THEY ACT.

IDF are briefing journalists now that they are aware of major strikes being planned by Iran, targeting cities in Israel.

There were indeed 3 strikes the other night that were attempted to be covered up, including that ammunition depot.

So it seems we have had 2 consecutive nights of Israeli strikes (yes ALL were Israel)

I am now in a position to confirm.

You know what this means: if the IDF thinks Iranian strikes are imminent they are not going to sit and wait on explosions in their cities.

They will pre-empt and pre-empt heavily!

They have done it in the past...

  • 6 day war, Israel preempted the Egyptian air force...
  • 7th June Operation Opera/Babylon Israel preempted Iraqi nuclear facility...
  • 6th September 2007, Operation Orchard Israel bombs Syrian nuclear facility...
  • The strikes on Hezbollah and Iranian positions are for the same reason, Iranian arms sophisticated hardware passing through Syria to Hezbollah to be stored in Lebanon.


If in a corner or they feel under threat credible threat, they will strike.


(DJ-Egypt and Syria once were https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Arab_Republic-putting Egyptian forces in Syria could support Arab nationalism. Also Kurds and jihadi's do not mix with regular Arab forces and US presence.)


DJ-Again-I think Hal Turner is correct-Israel may start a major operation to try to push Iran out of Syria-even when that means the US has to save Israel from Iran/Hezbollah/Lebanon attacks. https://www.debka.com/escalating-war-of-words-pushes-idf-and-rev-guards-closer-to-clash-in-syria/:

The information now released, much of it available to DEBKA’s readers in the past, attests to the growing conviction among Israel’s strategic leaders that Iran’s Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) are on the point of a military operation to punish Israel for its April 9 air attack on the SyrianT-4 airbase, which left eight IRGC aerospace officers dead, including Col. Mehdi Dehgan Yazdeli. The IDF is finally leveling on the threat so as to prepare the Israeli public for what looks like an inevitable military clash with Iran.
A leak to the New York Times and Israeli media on Monday incorrectly defined the T-4 strike as Israel’s first live attack on Iranian commanders. In fact, the Israeli air force struck a group of Iranian commanders on a secret visit to Quneitra opposite Israel’s Golan border on Jan. 18, 2015, killing two Iranian generals, Mohammad Ali Allah Dadi and Abu Ali al-Tabtabani. And in the following year, on July 26, an Israeli rocket attack aimed at and missed another secret visitor to Quneitra, Iranian Gen. Mohammad-Reza Naghdi.

For now, DEBKAfile can report:

  • Al Qods chief Gen. Qassem Soleimani is leading the preparations for the first direct Iranian assault on Israel, not just by proxy. Soleimani is the overall commander of Iran’s Middle East warfronts.
  • Iranian air force units in Syria are gearing up for the attack.
  • Military Il-76 freight planes, disguised as Iranian Simorgh Air and Pouya Air commercial flights, are ferrying military equipment into Syria.
  • The IRGC air fleet is spread out in four Syrian bases outside Aleppo, Saiqal, Damascus and T-4 near Homs.

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 18 2018 at 12:07am
DJ, There are always people making money out of wars. https://www.rt.com/uk/424392-may-husbands-capital-group/ That the PM's husband is on of them is shocking. Of course the FUKUS-attack came after a Saudi weapons buying-tour via France, Uk, US. Saudi Arabia is supporting a Sunni-minority in Bahrain, fighting a genocidal war-with very extreme health-risks-in Yemen. Part of the price the France-UK-US had to pay for the weapon-deals was in supporting Saudi influence in the Middle East (even further). 

https://southfront.org/saudi-arabia-claims-its-open-to-sending-troops-to-syria/, https://southfront.org/trumps-hybrid-plan-for-syria-gulf-states-force-and-mercenaries/. Saudi Arabia is the main sponsor of IS (Islamic State). The US seems to be serious in believing Saudi Arabia could provide an alternative for US troops in Syria. 


On Turkish position; Erdogan needs Assad to prevent a Kurdish State in East Syria. https://sputniknews.com/analysis/201804171063657947-assad-syria-turkey/

Korea

DJ-One could claim US foreign policy was a succes. The US "push-for-war"convinced PM Moon of South Korea to have talks (Moon-Putin-Plan) with Russia, China-and at the end-North Korea. (For the rest the US only played a negative role there as well-putting up THAAD-anti China missiles-against the will of the incoming Moon-government.)

DJ-There was a plan "A" for an attack on Syria. It looks like plan "B" made clear the Syrian air defense was much stronger (again-like april 2017) than the "west" would like. The price for a major invasion will be very high. 
Still a US carrier group is on its way to the region. Israel seems to be testing for weak points in Syrian air defense. (Israel never have a plane shot down, it is always a bird, technical failure or pilot-error. Hezbollah/Iran tend to claim their targets in Syria are out of reach for western attacks. So-in the media-both Iran and Israel deny attacks that most likely were there.)
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 19 2018 at 12:33pm
http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/04/syria-who-holds-up-the-opcw-investigation-in-douma.html DJ-"Rebels" quite likely to claim other "chemical attacks" soon-when the US carrier group has arived ? 

DJ-In my opinion Israel could follow the South Korea-"road". The US can not prevent a war with Iran, can not protect Israel-Russia is able to do so but under Russian terms. 

Russia is making preparations for plan "A" from the "west", a major invasion of Syria-war with Iran (and Russia). (DJ-Since this is about the multi-polar world instead of US dominance it is "the west" NATO, Gulf States/Israel, Austalia against the "East" Russia, China, Iran, Syria (Iraq ? Lebanon ? Turkey ? Pakistan ?)

https://southfront.org/us-missile-strikes-in-syria-throw-down-the-gauntlet-to-russia-how-will-putin-respond/ DJ-Much to long article with wrong conclusions-Putin makes a choice in wich conflicts he wants to be. Russia is not the only player. Iran, China-even Turkey-are main-anti western-players. 
(DJ-Erdogan has no choice-the EU is not waiting for this Turkey, to stop any form of "Kurdistan" Erdogan needs to work with Assad and Iran. Turkey needs Russian "Turkstream-pipeline, Russian tourists. The increase in Greek-Turkey tensions may be NATO inspired-to try to get a grip on Turkey. The Turkish elections in july will be on more power for Erdogan.)

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04-18/imf-sounds-alarm-global-debt-warns-united-states-stands-out DJ-Of course it is easy to blame China, EU etc for "bad trade deals" the real problem is the US spending over 4,500,000,000,000 US$ on wars since 2001 http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/-killing almost 1,500,000 Iraqi's, destroying several countries with good healthcare, education, housing. 
(The only way Trump could "Make America Great Again" would be to stop the insane wars-for-oil that only make a very small group very rich at the cost of the rest of the planet.)

Another "False Flag" is in the making-the media is under control of those who make profit out of war. The build up of forces is still in progress-but it is a matter of days....
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 19 2018 at 11:18pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_O2TRzA2ezk The Jimmy Dore show on "the civil war"/western attack on Syria since 2011. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fgFBMU_9UFM Today News-Israel may want to destroy Syrian S-300 air defense. Russia may use it to put pressure on Israel. (DJ-Netanyahu has a lot of contact with Russia-the US may be willing to go for a war with Iran but when such a war would destroy Israel as weell it may be time to look for alternatives.)

http://theduran.com/stunning-coincidence-chlorine-containers-from-germany-and-smoke-bombs-manufactured-in-salisbury-skripal-poisoning-found-in-syria/ NATO behind anti-Russia false flags ? Novichok patented in the US in 2015. (DJ-The west accuses Russia of all kind of crimes without much proof-any Russian reaction is seen as "propaganda"-this is not a diplomatic way of dealing with conflicts.)


http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/u-s-national-news/2408-earthquake-hits-detroit-mi-shakes-into-ohio-and-canada DJ-The US is becoming self-destructive. Fracking may have made the US oil-producer #1 but the costs-earthquakes-are much to high. Climate change will effect the US more destructive than it will-for the short term-damage Russia. Russian agriculture production may even increase (with more export to a.o. China) while US agriculture may decrease due to extreme weather. 
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 21 2018 at 12:25pm
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 21 2018 at 11:44pm
Saudi Arabia


Middle East



"The west" and "Arab NATO" will not give up the fight with Assad, Iran, Russia that fast. https://sputniknews.com/military/201804221063789901-us-likes-taiwan-angers-china/ The war is about global domination. Can there be a multi-polar world or would "the west" giving in mean a world controled by Moscow and Bejing ? 

In september 1939 Germany-and two weeks later Russia-invaded Poland. That war was over in a month-but the UK and France did declare war with Germany september 3. Untill april 1940 a sort of "peace" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phoney_War took place. We all know that World War 2 was a very serious war. 

By the april 14 attacks from France, UK, US, "the west" did declare war-in open-to pro-Assad forces in Syria. (By proxy the west invaded Syria already in 2011 for regime-change-oil/gas interests. There were some Russian/Syrian- Turkish incidents.) That "the west" did not attack Iran or Russia in Syria that day does not change the west switching from diplomacy to weapons. 

A logical first step in the "pro-Assad"reaction is trying to get a control on Syria as best as possible. "The west" is building up forces. US forces "to be replaced by (Saudi) Arab forces (mercenaries). Since Russia and Iran are still trying to get a grip on Syria further "actions" (false flags) will come from the west. 

China considers western actions as an attack on its New Silk Road initiative. https://www.rt.com/news/424701-trump-world-threat-germans/ In Europe most would like better relations with Russia. Trump did get elected promissing better relations. A small elite making money out of wars is pushing the world into disaster.
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 23 2018 at 6:33am
http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2418-coup-attempt-in-saudi-arabia-heavy-gunfire-at-royal-palace-king-evacuated-to-military-base Latest update:

UPDATE 3:40 AM EDT MONDAY, APRIL 23, 2018 -- 

COVERT INTEL - some former colleagues of mine still inside various Intelligence Agencies worldwide, have ALLEGED that the incident above was an attempted Coup and was ALLEGEDLY carried out by loyal officers of Muhammad bin Nayef.

Muhammad bin Nayef Al Saud (born 30 August 1959) is a prominent member of the House of Saud. He is a nephew of King Salman and grandson of the founding monarch King Abdulaziz. 

He has served as First Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Interior of Saudi Arabia and chairman of the Council for Political and Security Affairs.

On 29 April 2015, he was appointed Crown Prince by King Salman, making him first in line to the throne of Saudi Arabia. On 21 June 2017 he was replaced as Crown Prince and First Deputy Prime Minister by the king’s son, then Deputy Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman, and relieved of all positions by royal decree of King Salman.

 

 ADDITIONAL ANALYSIS

It's a sure sign of a civil war breaking out. Chaos, confusion, multitudes of sides only loosely affiliated toward a common goal/against a common enemy.

It's a sign that Saudi Arabia is now turning into Iraq quagmire following the U.S. invasion of 2003, with all the downsides for U.S. (expected massive attacks on U.S. troops, factional fighting with bombs going all over the place, at least half of which have been done by the CIA, by the way) and none of the upsides (uncontrolled access to free oil).

A smart market player would expect oil price to blow right through the roof in a week or so, with Russia turning the tables on the U.S.-Saudi oil war on Russia, that had collapsed the oil price in an effort to bring Russia to its knees.

Talking about shooting oneself in the foot...

What U.S. "strategic planners" (in reality - complete morons) never realized was that U.S. Saudi legs were made of glass, and that glass has just shattered into a billion pieces.

http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2420-iran-officially-switches-from-dollar-to-euro

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04-22/russias-new-energy-gamble

https://southfront.org/is-false-flag-attack-on-us-navy-ship-next/

https://southfront.org/iraqi-military-reveals-new-details-about-its-airstrikes-inside-syria/


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 24 2018 at 1:22pm
Some latest developments;


DJ-If there was a KSA-coup-attempt they know how to keep it out of the news.


DJ-Preparations for conflict in several area's...

It is obvious that the U.S. wants to keep ISIS alive and well to again use it, if need be, against the Syrian and Iraqi government. Then Secretary of State Kerry as well as then President Obama admitted that they used ISIS to put pressure on the Syrian President Assad and then Prime Minister of Iraq Maliki:

The reason, the president added, “that we did not just start taking a bunch of airstrikes all across Iraq as soon as ISIL came in was because that would have taken the pressure off of [Prime Minister Nuri Kamal] al-Maliki.

We now see a repeat of such 'games'. ISIS was given time to rest. It is regaining capacities especially in Iraq's Anbar province where it is moving between villages and threatening the inhabitants. It is issuing new strategic instructions to its followers and calls on them to attack or sabotage the upcoming elections in Iraq.

As the U.S. is unwilling to fight ISIS, the governments of Iraq, Syria, Iran and Russia (+ Hizbullah) decided to again take the issue into their own hands. On April 19 the 4+1 met for coordinating their future campaigns.

-

While the U.S. cuddles with ISIS in Syria to again use it for its own purpose, the 4+1 plan for a larger common operation to finally destroy the Takfiri menace. I expect that operation to begin only after the Iraqi parliament election on May 12 is over and a new Iraqi government in place. Enough forces will have to be prepared on the Syrian as well as the Iraqi side of the border. On the Syrian side a military bridge to cross the Euphrates has recently been rebuild by the Syrian military and new equipment is arriving in the area.  The meeting of the Iranian minister with the PMU hints at a strong role for these units in the upcoming fight.

Will the U.S. try to prevent or undermine the plan or will it stay out of the way?







We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Kilt5 View Drop Down
V.I.P. Member
V.I.P. Member


Joined: March 29 2017
Status: Offline
Points: 5740
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kilt5 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 24 2018 at 8:22pm
China is the problem - and Russia
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 25 2018 at 10:39pm
@Kilt5-from US perspective I agree; China and Russia want to be global powers as well. From Russia/China perspective the US is a problem. Asia with over 4 billion people and most of the energysources should be central-in their perspective.

Can there be some sort of compromise or will it end in military (limited) conflict ? In my-DJ-opinion after the april 14 F-UK-US strikes "the west" did make a choice for military action. 

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04-25/iranian-naval-commander-threatens-sink-us-ships-create-catastrophic-situation-if (DJ-Iran does not have a form of defense treaty with Russia and or China-but is vital for their interests-with China "moving" towards Europe and Russia "moving" to the Indian Ocean-from historical perspective. Iran is the Asia-crossroads.)



https://southfront.org/kazakhastan-may-allow-us-to-use-its-ports-to-deliver-military-supplies-to-afghanistan/ (DJ-Azerbaijan-Baku has major (old) oil interests, works with US and Israel but try to limit conflicts with neighbours Russia and Iran. )

DJ-Macron-France tries to take over Germany's role as leading the EU-has global hopes. The EU wants to save the Iran-deal. In the international community the EU already plays a minor role. (Minsk agreement on Ukraine was passed by "f..k the EU" US decissions, also on North Korea, Syria the EU and US differ of opinion. When Trump takes the US out of the Iran-deal the "total failure of EU foreign politics" will be very clear.)

DJ-Israel will not wait much longer for what they consider an act of self defence; destroying Hezbollah and Iran positions in Syria (and Lebanon). This may make the Syria-war explode.

DJ-The major risk at present is the number of parties involved, the number of conflicts in several regions. Changes or end of the Iran-deal by the US will make Iran turn to Russia, China and possible EU support. In the region Iran may try to improve relations with Pakistan, Turkey. 
For "the west" Russia-Iran-China (RIC) taking over control in several parts of Asia is getting over a "red line". RIC is in control of much energy and logistics-lines, wants energy paid in Euro's or Yuan-not in US$. 

The Saudi Arabia situation is unclear. King Salman seems not to be able to get his succession to be accepted by the Saudi elite. Crown-prince Muhammed-bin-Sultan may not be acceptable for most of that elite after robbing that elite. It is unclear who is running Saudi Arabia Salman or MbS ?

In the EU there may be a "conflict" between France and Germany https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04-25/macron-blindsided-european-allies-proposal-new-four-part-iran-deal. Germany wants to do (Nordstream 1 and 2) energy deals with Russia. As always the European Union is not much of a union. "We"-as Europeans (DJ) could bring stability when "we"finaly know what we want-but without clear goals the EU-dinosaur is fighting to stay alive-seems to be the main goal.

Also the US is not very realistic. US control of Asia, energy and the petro-US$ is "under pressure". In a military way the US is overstretched by far, the US economy is debt-based. The US debt is caused by endless expensive wars more than by bad tradedeals. The US should offer the world more than fracking-oil/gas (LNG) and weapons/war. https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04-25/total-control-new-measures-toward-global-totalitarianism Internet-on a global scale-is getting out of US control and becoming a way of crowd-control that ends any illusion of democracy.

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 25 2018 at 11:10pm
DJ-Russia may use an Iran-base for strategic bombers for the Syria-war. US and Israel claim that Iran is already involved in the Yemen-war. (DJ-The Yemen Houthi's must be able to get some support to keep fighting (US, UK, France backed-by-weapondeals) Saudi (and till recent Sudan-sometimes Pakistan, mercenary) forces. An open war between Saudi Arabia and Iran will pull the US, UK in this conflict. Already parts of the Saudi/Yemen border area's are war zones inside Saudi Arabia !!! The religous (Islam) part with Saudi Arabia makes the situation even more dangerous. In the Islam-world there is much criticism of how the Saudi's deal with the pilgrimage/hajj. During one of the last hajj's the Saudi-kings visit did cause a traffic disaster killing over 2400 pilgrims. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/09/06/world/middleeast/2015-hajj-stampede.html, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2015_Mina_stampedehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2015_Mina_stampede#Saudi_royal_convoy, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Incidents_during_the_Hajj
Countries like Indonesia, Pakistan, Northern Africa could turn against Saudi Arabia for religious reasons.)

From https://www.debka.com/iran-converts-thousands-of-hizballah-missiles-into-precision-weapons/:Intensified Iranian-Syrian air traffic was detected in the wake of the April 13 US-UK-French air strikes on Syrian chemical sites, including at least two Syrian Air Force Il-76 cargo jets flying between Iran and Syria. DEBKAfile’s military and intelligence sources report that these flights most likely carried equipment and engineering personnel for Iran’s Precision Project for upgrading a portion of Hizballah’s arsenal. This project, under the direction of Al Qods chief Gen. Qassem Soleimani, recently went into high gear. The engineering crews, who began arriving in Syria and Lebanon in February, are believed to have finished retooling several thousand of Hizballah’s short-range and medium-missiles and expected to meet their full target in the summer.
This project has wide connotations. US intelligence sources believe that the recent escalation of missile fire by the Iranian-backed Yemeni Houthis against Saudi targets on land and the Red Sea, stems not just from increased Iranian deliveries to the Houthis through Oman, but also serves the missile experts of Iran and Hizballah for testing the efficacy of the newly upgraded Hizballah missiles. The missile fire on Saudi oil tankers sailing through the Bab al Mandeb Straits and the Red Sea is seen as providing trial runs for the weapons newly outfitted for targeting tankers and other shipping bound for Israel’s Mediterranean ports, as well as its offshore gas rigs closest to Lebanon.
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 26 2018 at 10:43pm
http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2439-russian-navy-unleashes-missiles-against-isis-and-rebels DJ-Hal Turner claims US, UK, Israeli "advisors" being killed in this attack. No further confirmation elsewere-but quite likely.

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04-26/israeli-defense-minister-iranian-regime-its-final-days and http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2440-mattis-expect-war-between-iran-and-israel-soon-starting-in-syria DJ-Israel is claiming Iran is working with Syria and Hizballah to "improve" missiles to be used against Israel. Also more (Russian) air defense in Syria (most likely also to be used for Lebanon) means limitations for Israel in Syria/Lebanon airspace. 

Israel does not want Iran in Syria, does see Hizballah as a terrorist group in Syria and Lebanon, also S-300 etc. air defense is unacceptable for Israel. So far the "latest offensive" from Israel is in words-meant mostly for Russia. But since the latest attacks from Israel also targetted Russians in Syria the Israel-Russia relations are "bad". (Also Russia knows of how much support Israel is giving to "rebels").

https://southfront.org/russian-tor-m2-surface-to-air-missile-system-spotted-in-syria-photo/ and https://southfront.org/russian-ew-systems-disabling-u-s-ec-130-electronic-warfare-aircraft-in-syria/ DJ-Russia is preparing for major war in Syria. Most likely after dealing with smaller pockets there are four targets remaining:
1-NW Syria-with much Turkish influence, rebel-groups are fighting eachother there, Turkey may want to pull out of that chaos. Russia/Syria do want the several rebel groups to have enough time to kill eachother.
2-SW Syria-including the Damascus-Amman (Jordan) highway, also Golan Heights/Israeli border area. For Russia/Syria high priority:
A-Close to Damascus
B-Economic important (Jordan is both supporting "rebels" and having diplomatic relations with Assad-regime)
C-"Rebels" get aid via Israel and Jordan-cutting of supply lines
3-Al Tanf/US controled Syria/Jordan/Iraq border area (also including Damascus-Bagdad (Iraq) highway.
and
4-"Kurdish"held area's. Both 3 and 4 see an increase of pro-Assad "rebel groups". Since the US is not fighting IS in the Syria/Iraq border area Iraq started operations there with agreement from Syria, Iran and Russia (Those 4 countries have a joint command center in Bagdad)

In my DJ opinion the area close to Israel/Golan Heights will se a pro-Assad offensive in may. The chances of Israel (US) not getting involved are small. Most likely the "rebels" (several groups, including IS, already fighting eachother) will claim chemical attacks. 

Korea

DJ-Western media never use the Moon-Putin-Plan-words. Russia and China are the main players behind what could turn into a short term unification plan for Korea.
In 1990 East Germany became part of the unified Germany. It did go very fast, the Soviet Union was close to collapse. Now North Korea is as good as bankrupt-"Kim" has to make some moves to stay in power. South Korean companies would love to make trade with Russia, China, North Korea (etc). The US did start a trade war and put the THAAD-air defense system (against Russia, China) without the incoming government agreeing on that. (The US supported president Park, now in jail for corruption)

DJ-The US is put aside in the Middle East and East Asia by Russia, China. The US did support corrupt dictators that had no support in their countries. The US/west does underestimate the widespread anti-US feelings in Asia. From Indonesia, Pakistan (Muslim countries) to Russia, China (trade wars etc.)
The US is kept responsible for several wars involving Iraq, Iran, Israel killing millions of people. NATO is in permanent war in Afghanistan since 2001. For a lot of countries an alternative for the US is very welcome. 

DJ-What to expect from a Kim-Trump meeting:
1-Kim will have "instructions"from Russia, China
2-NK gives up nuclear programm and wants less US influence in SK
3-Trump will need to offer something to keep some influence. De facto Russia, China, NK (and most likely a lot of the South Koreans) would welcome "less US influence" meaning the US getting out of SK.
(DJ-I do not believe the US will give up SK "without conflict"-Russia and China will "push"the US out by trying to stop supplies for US forces in SK. The US may try "regime change" in SK bringing back another dictator as the US did do many times earlier.)

DJ-The EU could play a major role on a global scale in de-escalation. "We" -as Europeans need Russian energy, international trade also with Russia,Iran, China. The US push for sanctions and tradewars are damaging the EU. Macron/France did go (to) far in his try to save the Iran-deal. When Trump decides-may 12-the US is getting out of the Iran-deal the EU is getting in a "balancing act" between "the east" and "the west". Just like the Paris-climate agreement, the US getting out of the Iran-deal may be "unacceptable" for the EU. The EU-after such a step- could turn "more" to the "east", already Nordstream 1 and 2 Russia-German energy deals are on their way. China is investing in railway connections via Asia to the EU. European banks are doing bussiness with Iran. 

The US getting out of the Iran deal most likely will do most damage to the US and push the EU to do more deals with Russia-Iran-China. (France, UK tried to stop the US from getting out of the Iran-deal by supporting limited strikes against Syria, new negotiations on the Iran-deal. When that still is not enough the US may pay a price.) NATO already is in a sort of crisis due to Turkey (US, Greece-conflicts)-getting out of the Iran-deal will push Turkey out of NATO what could bring an end to NATO.
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 27 2018 at 11:39pm
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/49307.htm DJ-Aid for rebuilding Syria is used for political goals by the EU-to control Russia and Iran and to get rid of Assad (and then what ? At the moment there is no replacement-only chaos). Lack of progress is undermining Arab area's under SDF/US control-another uprising is a matter of time. One major goal for the EU is to avoid more refugees towards the EU.


[url]https://southfront.org/syrian-war-report-april-27-2018-russia-ew-systems-disabling-u-s-ec-130-ew-aircraft/[/url and http://halturnerradioshow.com/ (Russia preparing no-fly zone over Syria-behind paywall) Russia is building up airdefenses in Syria. (DJ-With some pockets under "rebel"control getting run over by pro-Assad forces the batlles will move towards area's under US, Israel, Turkey "influence")

The "bigger picture" http://thesaker.is/its-bri-against-indo-pacific-all-over-again/-although the US is trying to push India-Australia-Japan for an "Indo-Pacific"alternative:
-Iran will become member of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization next year-as part of the New Silk Road linking China with the EU.
-Russia, India, China (3 of 5 BRICS) do not want any change to the Iran deal
-India wants a "North South Connection" via Iran with Russia (as an alternative for the New Silk Road-due to conflicts with Pakistan (and China) over the Kashmir (region)

DJ-In the comments I see on the Korean developments in western media the Moon-Putin-Plan is never mentioned, Trump is praised. Reality may come as a shock for "the west"-Korea may be getting interested in the Asia-market and the US may have to give up on South Korea.

Trade wars are not only putting pressure on US-South Korea relations, India needs to export-and find the US blocking that. For India tho only real chance for economic growth is also the Asia market-including Russia-Iran-China.

http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2448-ukraine-warns-russia-and-europe-of-full-scale-war-when-gas-pipeline-contract-expires DJ-Both Ukraine and Israel want others(=the US/NATO) to fight their wars. US military stated recently: 1-There is no real alternative for the Iran-deal (the US is better of whit this deal than no deal at all-DJ if the US pulls out of the deal the US may loose even more influence; Russia, China, Pakistan, even Turkey and most likely the EU, India will work more with Iran.)
2-Assad did win the Syria war (most likely western cruisemissiles were less than 20% effective even with Russia not going all the way to stop the attacks. By now Russia has even more air defense in Syria-both the US and Israel will think twice before any further military action).
3-China is in control of the South China Sea (and the US will loose a conflict with China over that sea)
(4-Most likely in the Korea-proces "the west" is reacting not controling developments).
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 28 2018 at 10:53pm
http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2456-russia-won-t-allow-another-us-attack-upon-syria

Growing EU-US rift:

DJ-I do not see the US keeping up as a "global player" when they even manage to lose the EU.
http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/04/the-silence-of-the-skripals-government-blocks-press-reports-media-change-the-record.html (DJ-The post-election US chaos spreading to the UK is a big shame. There are no winners here, everybody is losing !)


http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/04/28/559993/Zarif-Lavrov-Cavusoglu-statement-Moscow-Syria DJ-The picture is telling a story-Russia-Iran-Turkey have good relations even when they do not agree on many things.

China-India


DJ-Russia, China India and (most likely) the EU want to stick to the Iran-deal, free global trade. The US is blaming other countries for the US debts but forget the "zillions" of US$ spent on wars around the planet since 2001 making money for US weapon-industry. The last 5 years the US managed the Philippines, Turkey, Pakistan moving away from the US, now the US may lose South Korea and the EU. 

Will/can Israel/Saudi Arabia start a war with Iran ? https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04-28/pentagons-ray-gun-can-stall-cars-trucks-radiation-blast In Syria Russian made air defense is very effective. Russia-Iran (and most likely Turkey, Pakistan) cooperation is close. Israel/KSA starting a war with Iran most likely will destroy Israel/KSA. It would be suïcide-but with the present rulers in Israel/KSA they may be stupid enough to do it still...

http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/04/a-most-hopeful-korean-summit-with-little-chance-of-final-success.html DJ; When NK gives up its nukes they want "something big" in return and are supported by Russia, China. The Moon-government in SK has not forgotten how the US supported SK dictators, how the US sneaked in the THAAD-anti China defense-system. Also SK-US trade wars and growing Asian-markets are pulling SK away from the US.

EurAsia is about 5 billion people, most of the natural resources and consumers....China is a major investor in Africa, Latin America (Bolivia, Venezuela, Cuba-already interested in working with Russia-Iran-China RIC) does see a struggle in Brazil, Mexico, Argentine between "east and west".
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 29 2018 at 9:19pm
https://www.debka.com/pompeos-thumbs-up-for-israel-to-counter-russian-backed-iranian-drive-in-syria/, http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2458-breaking-news-massive-explosion-hits-iranian-base-in-syria-fears-israel-used-tactical-nuke-registered-as-m2-6-earthquake and https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=662356

UPDATED 6:01 PM EDT - RUSSIA TO RETALIATE BY FORCE  (SEE BOTTOM) --  

UPDATED 6:28 PM EDT -- RUSSIA WITHDRAWS "DE-ESCALATION CENTERS" FROM SYRIA "THIS IS NOW A DIRECT FIGHT"

UPDATED 11:22 PM EDT -- EMERGENCY ACTION MESSAGES BEING TRANSMITTED TO US MILITARY 

At around 3:40 PM Eastern US time, an utterly MASSIVE explosion took place at an Iranian base inside Syria.  The photo above was taken from 5 kilometers (about 3 MILES) away, and well-into the explosion which "seemed to linger."  There are now widespread BUT UNCORROBORATED rumors Israel used a Tactical Nuclear Bomb against the Iranian base. 

The explosion was so intense, it registered as an EARTHQUAKE with the The European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre (EMSC), which is now reporting a Magnitude 2.6 earthquake at that site! (Link)

6:28 PM EDT --

 Russia has WITHDRAWN it's "De-Escalation" teams from southern Syria.  "There is no need for them anymore; this is now a direct fight."

 Syrian Government has confirmed that bases in Hama and Aleppo have been hit by enemy missiles.

 Unconfirmed, so no official Syrian and or Iranian statement yet: dozens upon dozens of (mostly) Iranian soldiers (of all factions) have been killed tonight.

Blood of all types needed for the hospitals of Suqailabiya and Masyaf... There's a shortage and many wounded.

Reports now of nearly 50 dead and many dozens and dozens wounded (majority are reportedly Iranian soldiers) from Israeli strikes on Hama

SANA CONFIRMS Syrian Army Fire Brigade station has been hit near the attack site at the Iranian Brigade 47 base, in an attempt to kill all firefighters and stop the fire being put out.

 

UPDATE 6:55 PM EDT --

MORE CONFUSING AND CONFLICTING REPORTS. Syrian Army Soldier Says the Strikes came from Turkish AirSpace 

 

UPDATE 7:16 PM EDT --

*Unconfirmed* reports that Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and his ministers are holding an emergency cabinet meeting at the Kirya military base in Tel Aviv following the alleged Israeli airstrike on an underground Iranian rockets depot in Syria. 

 

UPDATE 7:35 PM EDT --

The explosions at the Hama depot lasted for over an hour and a half, spreading to the nearby area and forcing some of the residents to flee their homes, Sky News reported, citing sources.

 https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04-29/massive-fireballs-light-syrian-sky-after-israeli-strike-iranian-soliders-reportedly

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 01 2018 at 1:19pm
DJ-Four articles;

https://southfront.org/impact-and-effects-of-april-30-strikes-against-syria-winds-of-war-blowing-strong/ DJ-Israel did attack Iran in Syria several times, Russia is in talks with both Iran and Syria (at Sochi april 28) to avoid further escalation. 

Three more critical on the Russian role; Russia is dealing with the US as if the US would be a partner in fighting terrorism when the terrorists are a US-proxy. 

DJ-The last article; not only the EU also "leading military" should do everything they can to stop further escalation. Several US military have claimed Assad did win the Syria-war, the Iran-deal may be the best the US can get eventhough it is far from perfect. 

Netanyahu came with an old http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/05/netanyahoos-iran-files-were-old-and-purloined-from-vienna.html story. Netanyahu should be in prison for corruption-in stead https://southfront.org/israels-parliament-grants-netanyahu-declare-war-with-only-defense-ministers-approval/. The US seems to be encouraging Israel to attack Iran in Syria. 

DJ-I do not think Iran will attack Israel in a direct way soon. Iran's goal is control in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon-and the war(s) there are far from over. Israel in Gaza is showing the world "a grim face". This war is also very much a war on public opinion. 

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-05-01/us-officials-israel-preparing-war-iran-seeking-us-support While Russia is concentrating on its goals it is the US that may not have clear goals. Like in a box-fight Russia is accepting beatings because it will exhaust and damage the US. 
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 01 2018 at 10:59pm
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 04 2018 at 11:46pm
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-05-04/what-may-2018-has-store-its-difficult-understate-looming-dangers DJ-After NApoleon, the NAzi's now NATO is preparing for a war against Russia to "liberate the oil, gas, uranium etc".


The US is not only the main cause for the "Syria Civil War" http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/05/yemen-massacres-and-assassinations-trigger-a-new-phase-of-war.html The US and UK are organizing the Yemen-genocide. 
http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/05/media-use-disinformation-to-accuse-russia-of-spreading-such-.html Since western media are owned by companies that make profit out of war the main-stream-media are "not a good bases for information". 


https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-05-04/un-secretary-general-says-scrapping-iran-deal-could-lead-world-war-iii DJ-I can not help but getting very cynical-May always was a good month to start a war-NATO seems to be planning to do so.
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 05 2018 at 10:58pm
Some good reading:

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-05-05/us-military-effectiveness-and-diplomacy-fade-many-countries-start-ignoring North and South Korea, India-China, Astana peace proces on Syria (with Turkey-Iran-Russia) (DJ Minsk deal Ukraine with EU)-in global diplomacy if you want results keep the US out-if you want war(s) involve the US. 

http://thesaker.is/military-and-non-military-escalation-into-nuclear-war/ The US military is a way in wich a few get an extreme lot of tax-dollars, the tax-payer gets "sub-standard defense" (and a lot of words, promisses and other blagh-blagh):

As you know the level of corruption in the DoD is quite large. But what does that really mean? Most think of current and former generals consulting in some way for big business and steering procurements but not much else. The implications of the corruption go much further. If most or all of the the top echelons are corrupt and expect to continue this as private consultants once they leave the military they’ll need to have successors who will let them. While still on active duty they need to make sure their colleagues and subordinates won’t rat them out either. So it is in their interest to ensure promotions of the corrupt(able) and stall the careers of the more conscientious. The same applies at lower levels of the hierarchy. It’s unavoidable. The armed forces are therefor filled with officers who owe their careers not to their military competencies but to either their corruptibility or to being too stupid to notice.

It goes further. When corruption is so incorporated into an organization it becomes dysfunctional. Which means it still functions, just not how it is supposed to. It will malfunction unexpectedly and unpredictably. And often. It will regularly fail to meet even minimum standards of performance. Severe underperformance will be standard. Trying to ascertain the cause of specific failures will be illusive and ‘fuzzy’. Fixes don’t work and no-one tends to be held accountable. This also applies to the corporations on the other side of the corruption. Their organizations are likely to be dysfunctional too in varying degrees. If you doubt it, how about the development issues of these: the F35, the Zumwalt, the LCS, the FCS, the Ford, etc.? They are not surprising if you understand the deeper effects of widespread systemic corruption on organizations.

-

The US main stream media is full of politicians, both Democrats and Republicans, accusing Russia of an ‘attack on the USA’ either because of alleged interference in the elections or unproven cyberattacks. While these are mainly for domestic consumption they also call for retaliatory measures such as more and more severe sanctions. Given the power of words and how hard it can be to take back earlier rhetoric that’s scary stuff. I can actually see the idiots in Washington talk themselves into a corner they can’t or won’t get out off and cross that line.

With regards to military escalation into nuclear war we have people like Mattis and Dunford to run interference no matter what their motivation is. When it comes to non-military acts of aggression against Russia (or China, Iran or North Korea) who do we have? Nikki Haley? John Bolton? Mike Pompeo? So yeah, I do worry a bit about getting into a nuclear war through non-military escalation.

R.Lesnoix is a concerned citizen who grew up during the Cold War under the constant fear of nuclear weapons. He is dismayed with the direction the western democracies are going in.

DJ-The essence is that the US is spending crazy amounts of US$ on the military-getting in the hands/backpockets of "advisors", "consultants" etc. In any major conflict the US may have to go nuclear because the army, navy, airforce is not able to confront Russia, Iran, China. 

Another point in the article-non-military action; tradewars, sanctions, can do a lot of damage. Cyberwars are even worse-it is not that hard to put a cyberattack in the wrong shoes (Israel starts a cyber attack on the US and claim they can prove Iran did it.) Non-military action (like all of the US out of electricity due to a cyberattack) could start a nuclear war...

http://theduran.com/us-gov-sets-the-ridiculously-high-new-defense-bill-why-so-much/">http://theduran.com/us-gov-sets-the-ridiculously-high-new-defense-bill-why-so-much/

(DJ-an anti tank rocket made by Russia is 5% of what the lesser quality US made rocket costs-the US may be spending extreme but when it is show-down find themselves empty handed. Eisenhowers warning for the Military-Industrial-Complex are now reality. Of course major companies always have had major influence in politics. When you look at the history of "fighting for oil" it is clear oil companies rule the globe.)


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2018 at 10:38pm
http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2492-trump-pence-cancel-jerusalem-trip-for-u-s-embassy-opening-very-ominous-words-from-israeli-leaders and http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2491-president-trump-to-announce-decision-on-iran-nuclear-deal-2-00-pm-tuesday are of course related. 

DJ-Several scenario's:

-1 US-Saudi Arabia-Israel (USI) are already preparing military action against Iran-first in Syria, maybe also against Iran itself. Most likely after may 14-70years State of Israel
-2 USI want regime change in Iran (and Syria etc.)-US will get out of the Iran-deal-but no further coherent plans
-3 Under very strong international pressure-especialy also from the EU/UK (!!!!) US will continu Iran-deal.
Further break-up of USI-coalition.

DJ-Netanyahu and Putin have a lot of contacts. For Israel any major war without full US support is unthinkable. The april-14 (failed) strikes on Syria could push Israel closer to Russia for guarantees on safety. After hizbollah victory in Lebanon a war with Iran would be a war with Syria, Lebanon, Hezbollah (possibly Turkey even). 

DJ-Preparations for war does not mean there will be a major conflict. Many in Israel, Iran, Russia and other Middle East countries do not want (another) war. Maybe-very optimistic-Russia could start diplomacy between Israel and Iran ? (There have been indirect contacts april 28 in Sochi-Russia could be working on that. ) Also the EU, Germany, France, UK-Iran-deal-partners, do want to continu the Iran-deal. 
There can be a bases for-even peace-further talks even without the US in an Iran-deal. (Just like the US did leave the Paris-climate deal as a step in negotiations). 

East Asia


What is the point of a (North)Korea deal when the US is getting out of the Iran-deal ? Is there any point in involving the US in any further talks when "their words are like the wind"? The US getting out of the Iran-deal will do most damage to the US. 

Both Israel and South Korea can not survive a major conflict with their neighbours. The US does not seem able to use diplomacy. Russia seems capable to end conflicts. 

DJ-http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/05/black-cube-first-denies-than-obfuscates-its-spying-on-iran-deal-negotiators-.html There seems to be no US plan on what to do after dumping the Iran-deal. That is not a bases for the international community to work with. (At least the US should have a plan for new talks-not new wars....)
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 08 2018 at 8:15am
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-05-08/pompeo-informed-europeans-trumps-iran-deal-withdrawal and https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-05-08/heres-what-trump-may-say-200pm-today or even https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-05-08/wti-tumbles-cnn-report-trump-wont-withdraw-iran-deal



There is now widespread rumor-mongering and Scuttlebutt in the halls of governments worldwide, that Trump plans to say the Iran nuclear deal is cancelled because Israeli evidence shows Iran LIED throughout the entire process.  Trump is expected to say "A deal based on deliberate lies cannot be an actual deal."

The rumors are that once Trump makes this announcement, a bombing campaign of terrible magnitude will begin by the US, UK and France, targeting all Iranian assets (both regular army troops and proxies) throughout Syria.  The rumors further say the bombing campaign will not cease until ALL Iranian assets are either destroyed or dead.

It is not known what role Russia and its advanced fighters, bombers and anti-aircraft defenses will play in any such action.  If Russia sits by and does nothing, they will look like fools or weaklings.  If Russia steps-up and defends Syria, it means war immediately.

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-05-08/iran-revolutionary-guard-says-tehran-not-afraid-us-military-attack-prepared-worst

DJ-When the US gets out of the Iran-deal there is no point for a "Korea-deal"

http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2497-kim-jung-un-meeting-xi-jinping-in-northern-china-again, http://theduran.com/assessing-chances-of-peace-in-the-korean-peninsula/



We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 08 2018 at 11:30am
Hal Turner is up-dating at http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2498-bulletin-us-uk-france-deploying-fighter-jets-and-bombers-around-syria
DJ-He is reporting B52's from Diego Garcia (Indian Ocean)-HT thinks they move towards Syria (DJ-I think they might go for Iran)



Will update when there is more news.......

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 08 2018 at 12:50pm
http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/05/trump-ends-the-nuclear-deal-with-iran-whats-next.html DJ-Proberbly much to optimistic-US putting sanctions on (a.o.) EU companies working with Iran.

Reality: 

UPDATE 3:30 PM EDT --

Israel Launching Fighter Jets toward southern Lebanon

 CONFIRMED: MULTIPLE WAVES OF ISRAELI FIGHTER JETS NOW IN THE AIR - SOME INSIDE LEBANON!

PENTAGON SEES INDICATIONS IRAN PREPARING TO STRIKE ISRAEL.

 

UPDATE 3:37 PM EDT -- Jerusalem Post Issues EMERGENCY STATEMENT:

IDF has concrete warnings of a pending attack upon all Israeli settlements in the occupied Golan Heights.  Iran assets allegedly to WIPE OUT all Israeli settlements in that occupied area of Syria.

 

 *** BULLETIN ***

3:42 PM EDT --

UNCONFIRMED reports of Israeli air strikes in progress around Damascus, Syria.  UNCONFIRMED.

 https://www.i24news.tv/en/tv/live reporting bombing Damascus....

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 08 2018 at 12:56pm

UPDATE 3:45 PM EDT --

Israel has begun a LIMITED "Emergency Call-up" of troops for mobilization to the northern border with Lebanon, and to the Syrian Border.  NOT a full mobilization.

 U.S. PENTAGON BRIEFING RIGHT NOW:

A) "IRAN SEEMS ON THE VERGE OF A LARGE SCALE ATTACK AGAINST ISRAEL."

B) "SURVEILLANCE SEEING MAJOR MOVEMENTS OF IRANIAN TROOPS AND EQUIPMENT IN SYRIA."

 

*** BULLETIN *** MISSILE LAUNCH ***

3:50 PM EDT --

Syrian air defenses are engaging Israeli missiles launched from aircraft located over Lebanon.  Hostilities have commenced.

https://twitter.com/IntelCrab">https://twitter.com/IntelCrab

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 09 2018 at 12:32am
https://www.rt.com/news/426206-iran-us-nuclear-regime-change/

DJ-Even "Israel Today" described Netanyahu's presentation of Iran's nuclear programm as "old news" still the US is using it to get out of the Iran-deal. 


Last night did see very much Israeli Air Force activity over Syria, Lebanon AND Jordan (unusual). It ended when Russian Air Force moved over Lebanon (unusual) towards Israel (proberbly also al kind of communication between Russian an Israeli military via the latakia-Tel Aviv hot line). Next unusual thing was air defense activity over Lebanon. 

Israel claimed Iran was preparing missile strikes against Israel from Syria. The US seems to be agreeing on that. I do not believe a word from it-the Russian-Iraq-Iran-Syrian alliance has as a priority to deal with Syria first.

Putin invited Netanyahu for the Victory-Day parade in Moscow-to demonstrate Russian military power. Netanyahu demonstrated Israeli military power just before his visit to Putin. 

DJ-Kim-NK did meet Xi in China, Netanyahu meeting Putin today. My impression is that by getting out many deals the US is weakening its international position. When every deal with the US has to be re-negotiated with a new US administration international diplomacy can not function. 

The US "allies" are already in prison for corruption (Park-South Korea) or facing it, Abe-Japan, Netanyahu-Israel, MbS-Saudi Arabia. On the long term the US needs to offer something better than weapons for criminal rulers in oil-states. 

Iran is a vital part for China's New Silk Road, https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-05-08/short-war-china-now-controls-south-china-sea. After the US ending the Iran-deal France, Germany, UK find themselves working with the Iran-deal with Russia and China-and Iran. 


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 09 2018 at 3:35am
DJ-Allthough http://theduran.com/trumps-speech-validates-giulianis-iranian-regime-change-statements/ http://www.voltairenet.org/article201027.html Russia is (very much) against an Israel-Iran war. Therefore https://www.debka.com/mivzak/netanyahu-guest-of-honor-at-russian-victory-march/ .

Maybe as a reminder-during World War 2 The Russian Army had a Jewish brigade-some regard that brigade as the bases of the Israeli Defense Force IDF. http://www.yadvashem.org/holocaust/about/combat-resistance/jewish-soldiers.html#narrative_info

http://www.voltairenet.org/article201051.html Background-Russia did beat Germany before Pearl Harbour. From Russian perspective the US entered World War 2 to prevent Russia running over Europe. (DJ-Some historians claim the nazi's were a western invention against the Soviet Union-since Germany did send Lenin to Russia in 1917 to end the two-front war-thereby starting the Bolsjevik-revolution/Soviet Union, murder of the Tsar. A western elite losing investments in Russian oil and railways. Hitler worked for French/UK intelligence under German veterans after World War 1, the NSDAP-nazi party did get support from many western sponsors. Hitler was very welcome against communism.)

Yemen


It is with regret and concern that we, the Leaders of France, Germany and the United Kingdom take note of President Trump’s decision to withdraw the United States of America from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action.

Together, we emphasise our continuing commitment to the JCPoA. This agreement remains important for our shared security. We recall that the JCPoA was unanimously endorsed by the UN Security Council in resolution 2231. This resolution remains the binding international legal framework for the resolution of the dispute about the Iranian nuclear programme. We urge all sides to remain committed to its full implementation and to act in a spirit of responsibility.


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Technophobe View Drop Down
Assistant Admin
Assistant Admin
Avatar

Joined: January 16 2014
Location: Scotland
Status: Offline
Points: 88450
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 09 2018 at 5:15am
Originally posted by Dutch Josh Dutch Josh wrote:

From Russian perspective the US entered World War 2 to prevent Russia running over Europe.


Probably not, but I'll bet it was one of the pertinent considerations. 

If you doubt that it was considered, what do you think happened in Operation Paperclip?  May I also point out that Britain gave America unlimited access to our scientists and scientific research, with a view to creating better weapons, such as the atomic bomb.  No scientific access was ever granted in return: just a bill for services rendered and an attempt to stop us developing the bomb for ourselves.

For what it is worth, I am glad that America lent its might to the fight.  Russia would probably have won the war for us, but the resultant world politics are preferable with America having a large controlling stake.
How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving.
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 09 2018 at 9:43am
Techno, I do believe in a "balance of powers"-maybe some sort of "cold war"-not getting to warm/hot-may be the best we can wish for in this inperfect world. 

(By the way-it is always good to look at history. Finland, East Poland were part of Russia till 1917/18. Borders do change in history. )

Israel-Iran


DJ-Netanyahu claims Iran is preparing a war against Israel in Syria. Last night military action stopped Iran-missile attack. Further action is needed. If Russia stops Israel in Syria Israel will attack also Russian positions. Putin is having a very urgent meeting with his military. (DJ-I expect Russia to ask Israel for some time. Russia may be willing to limit Iran in Syria-to avoid an Israel-Iran war-wich Syria , Lebanon also do not want. Israel can not start a major conflict without US help. A war against Iran in Syria on the other hand is a very major risk for Israel. Netanyahu will not think once, twice but a lot of times before he will start a major confrontation-to keep up the pressure-test airdefenses-(and as provocation to get US help) he may go for smaller actions against limited Iranian targets and giving some info to the Russians in Syria. Russia/Soviet Union was the first country to recognize Israel in 1948-the US did so in 1949. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_recognition_of_Israel In the early stages Israel was "more or less "socialist" with good relations to the-then-Eastern Block Countries.)


DJ-Both the US decission on the Iran-deal as Russian, Chinese (and EU) foreign policy push away from the US-petro-dollar-towards petro-yuan, ruble and Euro. 

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-05-09/morning-after-how-world-reacted-trumps-withdrawal-iran-nuclear-deal DJ-Some claim Trump is renegotiating the Iran-deal in his way. But that gamble may go wrong. Saudi Arabia is all to keen in picking up oil-markets Iran would have to drop due to sanctions. Countries like Indonesia, Pakistan may not "be happy" (again) with US decissions.
Will Boeing still be able to sell its planes to Iran ? 

http://www.atimes.com/article/the-art-of-breaking-a-deal// (DJ-https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-05-09/trump-says-pompeo-returning-north-korea-three-hostages is good news-but what is the point of making any kind of deal with the US when the US is not serious in any deals....)

Updates on: 

There will be further military action....just how bad it will be is not yet very clear. (Iran itself may be a target https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fordow_Fuel_Enrichment_Plant, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_facilities_in_Iran )
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Technophobe View Drop Down
Assistant Admin
Assistant Admin
Avatar

Joined: January 16 2014
Location: Scotland
Status: Offline
Points: 88450
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 09 2018 at 12:53pm
I agree wholeheartedly!

Sadly, currently, the "Leader of the Free World" is unballanced IMHP: so no hope there.
How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving.
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 09 2018 at 1:28pm
https://www.debka.com/mivzak/after-talks-with-putin-netanyahu-believes-israels-freedom-to-act-syria-is-safe/ DJ-Russia and Iran have different (even religious) goals in Syria. Russia want to protect Syrian orthodox christians-of course also oil and strategic interests. Iran want to protect shia-muslims-increase influence as well. Russia, Iran, Turkey agree on supporting the fight against Syria getting split up in several parts (Kurdish, wahabi etc.)


http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2503-breaking-news-missiles-launched-from-israeli-jets-into-syria Unclear military activity involving Israel, Lebanon, Syria, Jordan....Russian Air Force active (again) to stop Israel from attacks. Will get updated....everything is possible from almost no action to the start of a global conflict...

Techno-Trump did promis two things; pulling the US out of Middle East conflicts AND supporting Israel, end the Iran-deal. Those two do not mix very well. The EU could play a major role in getting control on the US-maybe the EU should start acting like grown-ups...(and stop the US from starting a very major conflict).
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Technophobe View Drop Down
Assistant Admin
Assistant Admin
Avatar

Joined: January 16 2014
Location: Scotland
Status: Offline
Points: 88450
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 09 2018 at 2:07pm
How?
How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving.
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 09 2018 at 7:09pm
Techno-how ? Good question !Smile! The last thing the US wants is to loose "control" over an EU making their own foreign policy. ("We" as EU should get less dependent on "foreign" energy from both Russia AND the Middle East. "Our"EU-interests do not always coincide with US interests.)

Hal Turner is reporting fierce fighting between Syria and Israel after Israeli attacks. CNN did give it a short mention claiming Iran attacked Israel. RAF taking off from Cyprus ? Israel also targetting Russia in Syria.



https://twitter.com/IntelCrab Almost daybreak in Syria-fighting decreases for the moment. Unclear what Russia is doing. Defending Iran/Syria or staying out of a confrontation with Israel. No further reports (yet) of western involvement.


DJ-The picture I am getting is that Israel attacked pro-Assad forces-now claim they themselves were attacked. "The west" (US, others ???-jumping in to join the fight. Ultimate goal is regime change in Syria (and Iran, Russia etc. "We(st) want to rule the world.")

This is a very bad development (defcon 4-global, centcom defcon 3)

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 09 2018 at 10:55pm
http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2503-bulletin-israeli-tanks-open-fire-on-syrian-arab-army-directly-see-bottom-updates-syrians-returning-fire-active-combat-in-progress
Hal Turner claiming at least two Russians killed in Syria, several Israeli planes shot down-after Israel (or its proxy) attacked SAA-positions in Syria. (Israeli version"we are innocent", "Iran did it" etc. Israel is working from the Golan Heights-Syrian territory they occupy since 1967-six day war. East of those Golan Heights several "rebels" get aid from both Israel and Jordan. Western media will follow Israeli propaganda.)



DJ-Up till a few hours ago I had the hope "Israel only was putting pressure" (to have Putin getting Iran away from Israel borders). Now I am not that optimistic any longer.
-Israel wants air control over Syria-even when that means attacking air defenses from the Russians in Syria
-Israel want Iran out of Syria
-So far it looks like Israel is the only country attacking Syria, counterattacks were limited to Golan Heights
-Israel did use a lot of air-power missiles/planes-Russian air defense showed limited action ?

Most likely the "west" will follow the Israeli claim-Iran attacked Israel. The "west" will get involved.
US/Israeli goal may be a total end of the Iran-deal also by the EU, decrease Iran/Russia influence in region.

Other developments:
-Possible (US ?) strikes against Iran nuclear facilities (partly run by Russia)
-Iran/Saudi "incidents" (of course "Iran agression" while Saudi Arabia is supporting IS, military intervened in Bahrain, fighting a dirty war (with US/UK weapons) in Yemen)
-Hezbollah may decide to start a war from Lebanon against Israel

On may 10 1940 Germany attacked Netherlands, Belgium, Luxemburg, France-78 years later another major conflict is exploding.....


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 10 2018 at 12:43am
DJ-There is a lot of propaganda from all sides after the fighting may 9/10. 

https://www.debka.com/constant-flow-of-iranian-missiles-replenishes-arms-destroyed-by-israel-including-new-fateh-313/ DJ-When Iran brings in new missiles from Iran after Israel destroyed the same kind of missiles in Syria-there will be more Israeli military action. Proberbly also in Iran (?)

US supporting Israel (eventhough Israel did attack targets in Syria for over a 100 times-an Iranian pointing a finger at the Golan Heights is "Iranian agression" in western media.)


Some points from :
DJ-When Syria did shoot down Israeli planes and missiles this may effect further "action"-according to some reports 1973-Yom Kipour War did see such military action the last time. This is very major.

Israeli Cabinet in Emergency Meeting DECLARATION OF WAR "LIKELY"

Syrian Army 4th Division Base struck by multiple Israeli missiles.

Israel says they are primarily striking at IRANIAN targets inside Syria but are engaging all "hostiles."

UNCONFIRMED -- UNCONFIRMED reports Syrians may have shot down an Israeli war plane.  UNCONFIRMED

SEVERAL "DIVISION 4" POSITIONS DESTROYED TONIGHT.  DIVISION 4 NEAR DAMASCUS IS ONE OF THE STRONGEST OF THE SYRIAN ARAB ARMY.

 RUSSIAN JETS TAKEOFF FROM HMEYMIM AIR FORCE BASE TO CONFRONT ISRAELI JETS OVER LEBANON!

Electricity completely out in all of Damascus.  Population fleeing in panic.

 

Wave after Wave of Israeli missiles seem to be overwhelming Syrian defenses.  Several Syrian Air Defense sites destroyed and several others now with destroyed RADAR.

 

UPDATE 1:02 AM EDT --

SECOND REPORT OF "MULTIPLE" ISRAELI WAR PLANES SHOT DOWN -- AT LEAST TWO ACCORDING TO REPORTS.

 

 Hezbollah in Lebanon says it is deciding whether or not to attack Israel from Lebanon.

 

UPDATE 1:10 AM EDT THURSDAY 10 MAY 2018 --

Israeli military briefing says 35+ sites inside Syria attacked including Iranian sites and Syrian anti-aircraft batteries.  "We warned the Syrian Army to stay out of this."


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 10 2018 at 4:04am
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 10 2018 at 7:15am
https://financesonline.com/top-10-oil-producing-countries-in-the-world-wheres-the-greatest-petroleum-dominion/ In this list 1=KSA, 2=US, 3=Russia, 4=China and 5=Iran. There are other lists-US #1, Canada#5 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_oil_imports

Of course this global war is on oil. 



https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-05-10/theyre-lying-iran-denies-role-golan-heights-firefight-says-it-does-not-have;DJ-It looks like Israel made up the story of Iran-agression (Israel attacked Syria over a 100 times)-still the west follows Israels claims of being attacked by Iran. For the rest of the world it is very clear who the agressors are-US-Saudi Arabia-Israel !

Germany, Lebanon did take care of over 1 milion refugees, Turkey had to handle over 3 milion-they are not waiting for more US agression-via Israel/Netanyahu who is facing corruption charges.

The US-Saudi-Israel coalition may be looking for support for further military actions-but do not seem to get much international support. http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/05/10/561207/US-Trump-Iran-deal-impeachment-Iran-deal

DJ-Israel is not finished in Syria fighting Iran. They may be planning more attacks even with Russia making clear Israel should stop. Iran is invited by Assad in Syria-has a big job in Syria-is no risk for Israel !
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 10 2018 at 1:18pm
https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/israeli-dm-says-lebanon-under-the-control-of-hezbollah/ DJ-Israel does not respect Lebanese airspace, considers hezbollah as an Iran-proxy-next target ?

Israel very active in Israel/Lebanon sky, also more military on the move to the Golan. I-DJ-would not be surprised if there is a major false flag-trying to push the EU out of the Iran-deal-hoping to get more support for further military steps against Iran. 


Most likely Hal Turner will bring further updates-I-DJ-would be surprised if there was no more violence in the region.

DJ-a major attack on Iran could start a further-major-escalation.

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 10 2018 at 11:20pm
DJ-No major military activity this night-I can imagine Israel is preparing an "Iran-attack on Israeli Arabs" so "the world"can unite against "evil Iran"-the US-Saudi-Israel goal is regime change in Iran. 

DJ-The Turkey-Iran-Russia coalition on Syria is still functioning. With many "rebel"pockets in Syria under pro-Assad control the war will move to Turkish, US, Israeli "zones".

http://theduran.com/eu-claims-to-stand-by-jcpoa-with-iran-should-not-be-taken-seriously-heres-why/ DJ-Will "the world" be able to unite and put sanctions on the US ? (The US is putting sanctions a.o. on Russia-Iran-China a major market for the EU. The US now also putting sanctions on EU companies working in/with Iran-also sanctions for EU companies working with Nordstream, Crimea-bridge etc. The EU has to "spent more on military" meaning buying US weapons like the F35 "corrosion/corruption"-there must be a limit to the serfdom of EU politicians.)


DJ-"The west" is not that united any longer. From international trade(wars) to climate change, the Iran-deal, Russian energy (Nordstream 1+2, Turkstream) there is disagreement. Europe is willing to work with China on the New Silk Road-for the EU the Asia-market-with 4 billion consumers-is way to important-it is our future-even if that would mean "other"relations with the US.
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 11 2018 at 5:19am
A growing EU-US crisis. "F..k the EU" seems to be a US foreign policy-unacceptable for the EU. Disagreement on the Ukraine-EU Misk-agreement sabotaged by the US delivering Javelin-anti tank weapons to the Kiev-junta, the Paris-climate agreement Trump/US stepped out of and now the Iran-deal.
DJ-For Syria there are TWO peaceprocesses-one with the US in Geneva, the other-so far-Russia-Iran-Turkey the Astana peace-proces. 

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-05-11/merkel-trumps-decision-damages-trust-international-order DJ-The US goal is regime change in Syria, Iran, Russia-the EU goal is global trade-without EU companies getting US sanctions for deals with Russia, Iran, China etc. 

http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2511-assad-syrian-war-could-escalate-into-world-war-three DJ-The EU (including the UK) went beyond their interests to apeace the US in the Iran-deal. France and UK joining the US in an illegal attack on false grounds april-14 on Syria, willing to include stronger terms on the Iran-deal-still not enough for Israel and Trump.

https://southfront.org/towards-armenian-maidan/ Russia will not accept any further US regime changes. The EU can not deal with "refugees as a weapon of mass destruction" caused by the US. 

DJ-Most likely behind closed doors there is a major EU/NATO crisis. How to deal with Turkey and the Turkish relation/partner-ship with Russia and Iran ? Turkey now sending refugees from Syria overland via Greece. Can the EU-with Russia and China-save the Iran-deal/prevent a major Middle East war (with more refugees)? 

The way Trump treated/betrayed 3M (May, Macron, Merkel) -US insults- may have crossed a red line. Even the UK needs Russian energy-is not waiting for US sanctions for companies working on pipelines for Russian energy (like Turkstream, Nordstream-2). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gerhard_Schr%C3%B6der Former "PM" of Germany is now working for Nordstream AG and Rosneft. 

The Asia-Market is the future for the EU-when the US is trying to block that it may come to a "f..k the US" in reaction.

https://www.debka.com/mivzak/damascus-foresees-next-iranian-israeli-clash-in-the-south/ and https://www.debka.com/iran-will-quit-nuclear-deal-restart-enrichment-ramp-up-military-tension/ DJ-When Iran believes the US-Saudi-Israel plan is regimechange in Tehran-the EU unable to stop that agenda-Iran better prepare for war. (Israel may have up to 200 nuclear weapons, Saudi Arabia is working on it-with US help-King Salman may have a "private nuclear weapon" in/via Pakistan. Just like North Korea, Iran could ask for Russian/China (and Pakistan ?) "protection")

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 93507
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 11 2018 at 1:22pm
DJ-North Korea, Iran with nuclear weapons is World War 3 for US, Saudi nukes "no problem" https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-05-11/watch-white-house-respond-when-questioned-about-saudis-getting-nukes-iran and https://southfront.org/watch-the-white-house-respond-when-questioned-about-saudis-getting-nukes-but-iran/ (DJ-How can one have a serious foreign policy with the US as a partner ? )

DJ-USI (US-Saudi-Israel) NEED a major crisis to get more support for regime change in Syria, Iran, Russia

DJ-The EU/Europe had enough chances to make a difference-but failed time after time-in Yugoslavia, Iraq, Ukraine, Syria, Yemen....


translation; "respond to attack" = US forces again attacked the Syrian Arab Army in Syria (against any international law-the US is illegal in Syria)

On the Russia-israel relation:
(DJ-Russian is the second language in Israel, over 10% of Israel population has Russian background)
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
 Post Reply Post Reply Page  123 8>
  Share Topic   

Forum Jump Forum Permissions View Drop Down