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PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
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Now tracking the new emerging South Africa Omicron Variant

december 2023

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: december 2023
    Posted: December 02 2023 at 12:13am

In the UK public investigations are ongoing on pandemic policy decissions. It is good to see "there is room for debate"...

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k7tUwqPd6eQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k7tUwqPd6eQ ;

indie_SAGE 01.12.2023

LIVE: Join our last briefing on 'COVID-19: Lessons learned for the next pandemic' with special guests Sir David King & Prof Deenan Pillay, Prof Alice Roberts hosting, and Prof Christina Pagel & Dr Kit Yates on numbers

A comment; "At the very end everyone said "bye" but one person said "till next time" I guess someone has the next global pandemic already pencilled into their calender.  Anyway, it's a shame your regular broadcasts are coming to an end, it was good to always be informed.  And looking back to when Boris was the PM and every word out of his mouth about any topic was a lie, it was invaluable to have information about the Pandemic from indie_SAGE where the information hadn't been tanted by Boris's lies.  Thank you for all your hard work."

DJ...The US,UK and NL in 2019 were "the best prepared countries for a pandemic" according to a publication or study...All three did a bad job..

Last indie_SAGE friday presentation;

Chapters  00:23 Intro Prof Alice Roberts 02:18 Indie_SAGE future: Prof Stephen Griffin 04:00 Stats: Dr Kit Yates & Prof Christina Pagel  14:13 Why Indie_SAGE? Prof Susan Mitchie 14:54 Sir David King, Founder of IS, former Chief Scientific Advisor 20:50 What has IS achieved? Prof Deenan Pillay, Emeritus Prof of Virology, UCL 25:50 Views on scientists communicating with govt & the public 26:10 Deenan Pillay  32:26 What are the lessons to be learned from IS? David King 36:50 Summary: Alice Roberts 42:50 Behaviour advisory group : Prof Elizabeth Stokoe, Psychological and Behavioural Science, LSE 45:58 Questions from the public 46.04 Are the risks of Long term health issues known? 49:36 Any news on JCVI recommending the latest Novovax vaccines? 51:50 How & when will the Covid pandemic be over? 54:41 FAQ & lessons to be learned: Stephen Griffin 56:30 Were we well prepared in 2020: Prof Martin McKee 58:30 What more could be done wrt using our test & tracing capabilities : Prof Gabriel Scally, visiting Prof of Public Health, Bristol Univ 1:02:08 Could herd immunity by infection have ever worked without vaccination? Sheena Cruickshank 1:04:06 Was the emphasis on modelling the right way forward? Kit Yates 1:06:34 What difference would it have made if our understanding of airborne transmission had been more broadly accepted? Dr Helen Salisbury & Susan Michie 1:11:55 What has been the impact on key workers? Dr Benita Kane 1:14:11 Impact on primary Healthcare? Helen Salisbury  1:16:06 Why did IS recommend maximum suppression? Christina Pagel 1:17:44 Balancing Lockdowns against economic harms? Prof Stephen Reicher 1:19:20 How could we have improved adherence to isolation etc? Prof Anthony Costello 1:21:30 What have we learned about rapid deployment of vaccines & treatments? Sheen Cruickshank 1:23:25 What can we learn from the experience of Pandemic of inequalities? Dr Zubaida Haque  1:25:55 Has the virus lost its teeth with Omicron? Prof Aris Katzourakis 1:27:34 Data sources & monitoring? Dr Duncan Robertsin 1:29:24 Did we get the behavioral approach right? Stephen Reichert 1:30:38 Final thoughts: Anthony Costello  1:33:14 Close: Alice Roberts   While the Briefings have now stopped, please continue to follow IS through the website independentsageDOTorg, Twitter (X) @IndependentSage & Substack open.substack.com/pub/independentsage

DJ More info/comments under the YouTube link...

One of the reasons independent sAGE is stopping its presentations is lack of good data...There is simply a lack of testing...

Worrying outbreaks of pneumonia in children appear to be spreading to multiple countries around the world.  has been keeping track…πŸ‘‡πŸ» • China • France • Switzerland • Netherlands • Denmark • Scotland • Ireland • Ohio & Massachusetts, US • South Korea

May have CoViD links...immunity damage...

It is also very likely there could be more co-infections...flu AND CoViD "Flu-Rona" etc...Since war is a "great way" of making lots of profits-for a very few we do see an increase of wars...

Also climate collapse is worsening perspectives...The over 300 people killed by floods in NE Africa (Somalia, Kenya, Ethiopia) are victims of "genocide by climate collapse"? What part of the drought/flood is climate "change" related and what is "normal"? 

Do people die "from" or "with" CoViD ? 

[url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/ Excess deaths may give an indication on "extra deaths"...but if you put a baseline on 2020 you may find there are no excess deaths...since 2020 was the first year of the CoViD pandemic...

A "solution" for the "climate discussion" could be putting a baseline for temperature-rise at the year 2000. We are -at least for now- able to keep global temperature rise under 1,5C compared to 2000...Even when fossil fuel usage is at new record highs...

Climate collapse, wars make pandemics much worse...Currency backed by debts are not helping either...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: December 02 2023 at 1:43am

New US elections-new pandemic...DJ-since biden "vaccinated people do not need a mask" did -also- a terrible job I only hope the US will see better candidates than biden-trump...a.o. both to old for that job....

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-a-global-surge-of-mysterious-white-lung-pneumonia-cases-that-is-rapidly-spreading-could-be-possibly-due-to-new-coronavirus-strain[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-a-global-surge-of-mysterious-white-lung-pneumonia-cases-that-is-rapidly-spreading-could-be-possibly-due-to-new-coronavirus-strain DJ, claims;

-Mycoplasma is known as a secondary bacterial infection

-In some "white lung" cases the mycoplasma bacteria were not detected...

DJ-However this story also does NOT have any proof of a new variant of CoViD spreading...Part of the problem no doubt is lack of testing. Also testing may miss/not recognize a new CoViD virus...(Or is there a SARS-3 variant ???)

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-something-is-not-right-about-china-s-mysterious-pneumonia-outbreak-taiwan-issues-travel-advisory-and-so-are-other-many-countries[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-something-is-not-right-about-china-s-mysterious-pneumonia-outbreak-taiwan-issues-travel-advisory-and-so-are-other-many-countries ;

DJ, Story claims "white lung problems" widespread in China both for regions and age...TMN "speculate" a new form of CoViD might be spreading in (and outside) China...

Like the first CoViD cases in 2019 one can claim a China cover up"...but maybe China/Bejing tries to avoid a panic ? Most of the west did give up on testing...

[url]https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202311/1302818.shtml[/url] or https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202311/1302818.shtml ;

Winter brings spikes in respiratory illness in the northern hemisphere. This is common sense. This winter, respiratory illnesses are surging simultaneously in many countries. This is a fact. However some Western media professionals choose to disregard both common sense and this fact. They seem oblivious to the coughing, fever and increasing infections around them, instead pinning their eyes on China, and eagerly attempting to throw mud at it. This is a familiar pattern.

Over the past days, Western media outlets have been filled with rhetoric such as "unexplained pneumonia," "mysterious," and "concerning" when reporting on respiratory illnesses in China. It's reminiscent of the beginning of the COVID pandemic, following the same formula of associating China with mysterious pneumonia. 

An article on the VOA Chinese website, entitled, "How worried should we be about the pneumonia outbreak in China," is typical in this round of smear campaign. By claiming hospitals in northern China are overwhelmed with child pneumonia cases, the article stresses this is not only a medical issue, but also a global and political issue. The entire piece is full of baseless skepticism and even conspiracy theories, speculating whether China is hiding and covering up a new virus that could "bring another disaster to the world."

DJ, There is also a propaganda war...Claims of "cover ups" and "lab leaks" are NOT constructive and do NOT help to get a clear picture on events...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: December 02 2023 at 2:37am

The TMN article [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-u-s-cdc-sounds-alarm-as-covid-19-resurges-across-america,-particularly-in-the-midwest-and-mid-atlantic-along-with-rising-hospitalization[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-u-s-cdc-sounds-alarm-as-covid-19-resurges-across-america,-particularly-in-the-midwest-and-mid-atlantic-along-with-rising-hospitalization is full of links; 

[url]https://www.cdc.gov/respiratory-viruses/data-research/dashboard/snapshot.html[/url] or https://www.cdc.gov/respiratory-viruses/data-research/dashboard/snapshot.html ;

Reported on Friday, December 1st, 2023.

Note: data summaries are based on CDC subject matter expert interpretation of publicly available findings across multiple data systems, some of which are not included in the data visualizations on these web pages.

The amount of respiratory illness (fever plus cough or sore throat) causing people to seek healthcare is increasing across most areas of the country. 

The U.S. is experiencing elevated RSV activity, particularly among young children. After a period of limited change, COVID-19 activity is increasing again especially in the Midwest and Mid-Atlantic regions. Influenza activity continues to increase in most of the country. Hospital bed occupancy for all patients, including within intensive care units, remains stable nationally; however, pediatric inpatient bed occupancy has been increasing. Vaccines are available and can help protect people from the most serious health effects of fall and winter viruses.

  • COVID-19 test positivity (percentage of tests conducted that were positive), emergency department visits, and hospitalizations have increased nationally.β€―A group of Omicron variants (XBB and its sublineages) are the predominant lineages detected in the U.S., with HV.1 being most common. The prevalence of another lineage, BA.2.86, is projected to account for 5-15% of currently circulating variants. CDC continues to monitor HV.1, BA.2.86, and all other lineages.
  • National test positivity, emergency department visits, and hospitalizations for influenza continue to increase.
  • RSV emergencyβ€―department visits and hospitalizations continue to increase across the country. RSV-associated hospitalization rates remain elevated among young children and are increasing among older adults; of note, only 14.8% of adults 60+ report having received an RSV vaccine.
  • National vaccination coverage for COVID-19, influenza, and RSV vaccines increased less than one percentage point for children and adults, where indicated, compared to the previous week and remains low for both groups.

DJ. Lots of other countries fail to give an update...

[url]https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#ed-visits_separated_by_age_group[/url] or https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#ed-visits_separated_by_age_group also showing increase of CoViD cases in the US.

Thanksgiving may have made matters worse...Flu numbers still expected to increase...very likely a lot of FluRona...co-infections...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/sars-cov-2-news-russian-scientists-warns-that-sars-cov-2-contaminated-waste-water-supplies-can-infect-various-reptiles-including-crocodiles[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/sars-cov-2-news-russian-scientists-warns-that-sars-cov-2-contaminated-waste-water-supplies-can-infect-various-reptiles-including-crocodiles 

DJ, CoViD infections have been detected in over a hundred species. Non-human hosts will increase mutations/recombinations...

[url]https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4915/15/12/2350[/url] or https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4915/15/12/2350 ;

Currently, the global spread of SARS-CoV-2 is no longer considered a public health emergency of international concern [69]. At the same time, the circulation of the virus among animals and occasional hosts, independent of the human population, ensures the emergence of new variants with unknown and unpredictable infectious properties. 

We have shown the ability of SARS-CoV-2 to effectively replicate in the cells of certain reptile species without adaptation—in a continuous epithelial-like cell culture of the eastern box turtle heart (Terrapene carolina) TH-1 and primary fibroblasts of Nile crocodile (Crocodylus niloticus) embryo CNI at 29 °C. In terms of sensitivity to SARS-CoV-2 infection, TH-1 cells incubated at 29 °C were comparable to the reference Vero E6 cell culture incubated at 37 °C. The results obtained by a number of researchers in the successful adaptation of virus to replication at low (21 °C) temperatures in susceptible Vero E6 cells [52] suggest that such adaptation is also possible in reptile cells sensitive to SARS-CoV-2. 

The findings also provide a basis for special attention to reptiles as occasional susceptible hosts of SARS-CoV-2 in the context of the ongoing global spread of the virus and its continuous evolution.

DJ...so far often mycoplasma infections -often in unvaccinated young age groups- were presented as "post CoViD" and as an outcome of weaker immunity...However ...the problem may be a lot worse...Again in farm animals the only way to control corona viral disease outbreaks was killing all the possibly infected farm animals...

Public health is NOT a priority in almost all countries...-economy is...This comes with a -very high- price...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: December 04 2023 at 11:47pm

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/medical-news-mysterious-white-lung-pneumonia-strikes-ireland-while-experts-say-similar-outbreak-in-netherlands-not-linked-to-mycoplasma-pneumoniae[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/medical-news-mysterious-white-lung-pneumonia-strikes-ireland-while-experts-say-similar-outbreak-in-netherlands-not-linked-to-mycoplasma-pneumoniae  (TMN) and [url]https://www.gelderlander.nl/binnenland/opvallende-stijging-longontstekingen-onder-kinderen-grotere-golf-dan-anders~acc0ccee/[/url] or https://www.gelderlander.nl/binnenland/opvallende-stijging-longontstekingen-onder-kinderen-grotere-golf-dan-anders~acc0ccee/ 

In NL the increase of pneumonia (most in children) may NOT be linked to mycoplasma...CoViD cases seem to be increasing. TMN claiming some new variants of CoViD may even escape PCR testing...








The devastating cognitive aftermath of SARS-CoV-2 isn’t just anecdotal. It’s now scientifically validated. Long COVID is marked by a striking cognitive deceleration, demonstrable in controlled testing environments πŸ§΅

There should not be any discussion on Long CoViD risks...

Some come up with "vaccines kill" with most disease in unvaccinated, masks do not work...well indeed if you do not wear a mask...Also "immunity debt" non-sense showing up...

More relevant is CoViD damage to immunity...very likely opening the "door" to lots of other diseases...Another note may be there could be more attention to pneumonia in young people-still WITHIN statistic "normal" levels in some countries/area's...



We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: December 06 2023 at 10:11pm







A California man caught covid at work. He infected his wife who ended up in ICU. So he sued his bosses. The largest lobbying group in the US got involved. The court ruled against the man because a victory would mean “dire financial consequences for employers.” Is it clear yet?🧡

"saving the economy"...you pay...with your health !








New study shows nearly 50% of people in Africa have long covid. Disastrous. Mass covid infection, like climate breakdown, is an issue of north-south equity and justice. Too many people still don't get this.

-

Sooo half a continent (~700 million) now has an invisible disability. 15% (105 million Africans) have cognitive impairment. I am dumbfounded…

others pay with their lives...

It turns out that  requested “exceptional pre-release access” to the ONS Winter Covid Infection study report 24 hours before it was released publicly. Shortly after early access was granted to UKHSA, the release was unexpectedly cancelled. https://ons.gov.uk/news/statementsandletters/exchangeoflettersbetweenukhsadhscandonsforexceptionalprereleaseaccesstowintercoronaviruscovid19infectionstudystatistics

DJ, bodies piling up....

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-covid-19-news-latest-actions-by-china-indicates-that-a-new-sars-cov-2-variant-is-possibly-behind-the-mysterious-white-lung-pneumonia-surge[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-covid-19-news-latest-actions-by-china-indicates-that-a-new-sars-cov-2-variant-is-possibly-behind-the-mysterious-white-lung-pneumonia-surge China falling back to Non Pharma Interventions (masks, lock downs etc?) 

There may be new variants of CoViD testing may not detect...[url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps may be one of limited statistics giving an indication on the ongoing pandemic. 

🚨🚨 Clinical Professor of Emergency Medicine, UCLA, today on recent pneumonia cases presenting at hospital there: "I've had more than a handful of healthy  people with no underlying illnesses, who come in with very rapid progression  of pneumonia, and they have very atypical  presentations of the pneumonia.  They have upper lobe pneumonias, very quickly end up being hospitalized, and some end up on the ventilator. All cultures are coming back negative,  but it's giving me that fear, that COVID  fear, from before."

-

This is crazy. SARS-CoV-2 wastewater levels in Austria. Have we ever seen anything like this? Levels in Ludesch are quadruple what they were at the peak of the BA.1/BA.2 wave. Ludesch is an outlier, but most other regions have also surpassed their previous all-time peaks. Wild.

and

Ulrich Elling

@EllingUlrich
·
Replying to @ejustin46 @LongDesertTrain and @GourlaySyd
Remains to be seen if the trend continues, but we are observing local freak outliers right now which in my mind could have to do with JN.1 taking over. JN.1 probably about to reach dominance nationwide. But data too sparse to tell for sure. We know soon if stage 2 ignites.

DJ...we should be ACTING NOW -NOT reacting when healthcare collapses....Lots of indications we are moving into a "very bad winter"...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: December 08 2023 at 9:08pm

I write on this -once- a forum in the early morning. Mixing my breakfast/coffee with digesting the "news"...making up my mind...

I do have a "limited" (everything has its limits) history background. Understanding the present one needs to look at the past...

Pandemics are not that rare in history...In wars disease often becomes a main killer...

Before this forom Henry L. Niman [url]http://www.recombinomics.com/founder.html[/url] or http://www.recombinomics.com/founder.html also had a forum...I did learn a lot on diseases..

-

Dutch history IS global history in my view. One of the reasons the US became a republic in 1776 was NL was a republic at that time...Just over a hundred years before the "American revolution" the UK ended "Nieuw Nederland"...the "Dutch (in fact very mixed) population" got the name "Yankee"...I think more likely after "Janneke" a womans name in Dutch...but it may be "Jan-Kees"...two also (very) Dutch names...

The present Venezuela-Guyana border conflict goes back to a NL (Zeeland) - Spanish border conflict...the UK also did "steal" Guyana...and the conflict...

Suid Afrika/South Africa another part of Dutch "heritage"...including "apartheid" linked with a bizarre view of the "Dutch reformed church" [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cain_and_Abel#[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cain_and_Abel# Caïn would have been "black" killing white Abel...so apartheid was justified...Since Eve/Eva also was "made out of Adam" religion also did encourage inequality on gender basis...

Indonesia -till 1949 seen by the Dutch as "Nederlands (Oost) Indië"  may have managed to "limit" the burden of Dutch influence...

To understand US foreign policy errors maybe understanding the NL background may help...however...also here there are limits...








Israel's Deputy Mayor of Jerusalem calls for burying detained Palestinian civilians ALIVE with D-9 military bulldozers, calling Palestinians "Nazis", "Subhuman" & "Ants". "They are not human beings & not human animals, they are subhuman and that is how they should be treated."

The US should NOT !!!! support a genocide on Palestinians...If the US does support this mass murder it will pay a price...

--------

lots of sources (ZOE, indie_SAGE etc.) have reduced pandemic news. In part because of lack of data..."do not test - do not tell" hide&seek policy...In part because the people behind it are doing a job governments have to do...providing good info on public health...

---

Sometimes I find my "pandemic breakfast" hard to swallow...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: December 09 2023 at 11:31pm

Like with climate collapse lots of warnings on CoViD to "be ignored" by "our leaders".....








Whatever is happening with SARS2 variant JN.1* I sure hope public health officials are looking into it with appropriate concern. This level of viral load is unprecedented. We've all heard the use of terms like "immunity wall" or endemic. Those theories go out the window here.

Is there any point ? 

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-covid-19-news-u-s-cdc-admits-that-jn-1-is-possibly-more-transmissible-as-infections-and-hospitalizations-rise-in-united-states[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-covid-19-news-u-s-cdc-admits-that-jn-1-is-possibly-more-transmissible-as-infections-and-hospitalizations-rise-in-united-states 

-

LowCovid πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Kano

@falsel_net
·
Highest #SARSCoV2 viral load ever in wastewater. No peak visible, Netherlands:

DJ...it was known corona-virus disease in farm animals only could be controlled by killing/culling all the farmanimals...Somehow in humans "CoViD would become mild, seasonal, not worse than a flu"...WHY ????








This graph is a time series projection of #longCOVID rates assuming 1-3 infections yearly. This will lead to a tipping point around 2025. The implications are profound, affecting society and the economy. Immediate action is needed to mitigate the long-term impact. #Collapse

DJ, In NL the current number of "Long CoViD" cases seems to be 100,000+. There is a trial getting started on [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metformin[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metformin to see if it will bring improvements...DJ-Let me be very clear-improvements would be VERY WELCOME !!!

However ME-CFS cases may indicate a lot of long term damage resulting in chronic disease for the rest of the patient live....

We have to avoid Long CoViD by avoiding CoViD !

πŸ“ˆ"The '100 day cough' is quickly spreading across the UK" apparently. πŸ§But notice that word in the line at the bottom "whooping cough appears to be spreading around the country". πŸ“‰Whooping cough positive tests in the UK are lower this year than any year between 2012 and 2020. πŸ€”So I wonder what's causing that 100 day cough.

DJ "whooping cough" also "on the rise" in NL...so...we are going for wordgames are we ? No testing...simply do no longer call it CoViD but call it whooping cough...[url]https://www.rivm.nl/en/national-immunisation-programme/whooping-cough[/url] or https://www.rivm.nl/en/national-immunisation-programme/whooping-cough vaccines were supposed to limit "the cough"!

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Minimize the number of times you get Covid. Your body will thank you. Not only can repeat infections inflict Long Covid, they also, as  has shown, increase the risk of a multitude of ailments, such as cardiovascular events. 1/5

DJ [url]https://twitter.com/drseanmullen/status/1696229699846832172[/url] or https://twitter.com/drseanmullen/status/1696229699846832172 made a calculation. There could be a risk over half of the population in lots of countries could be dealing with chronic disease because of CoViD. (See also calculations in time). 










And thanks to the magic of affinity maturation, even an imperfect shot is valuable. Exposure to a large variety of spike can, over the long term, grant you an effective antibody response even against variants that don't yet exist.

and

Ideally, we'd have a JN.1 shot by January. If you want to reduce infections, it's an easy call. Sadly, that's not on the table. But the XBB.1.5 booster is the best-matched shot we've had in 2 years—even considering imminent JN.1 dominance. It would be foolish not to get it.  5/5

DJ..in a perfect world we would not NEED perfect vaccines...Vaccines are part of a strategy-masks, social distancing and -very major !!!- information are other tools. 

In lots of places around the world waste water samples now detect CoViD-levels unseen so far in this -ongoing/ignored- pandemic...

"Politics" for now choose to fail...it may reflect a population tired of problems...However if CoViD does do the damage we have seen before-or even worse-"politics" may have to deal with reality...

If than there is still time to "do much" is another question...

-----------

[url]https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/officers/caiVOU_nx3L97MptSiezuq2lT-Y/appointments[/url] or https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/officers/caiVOU_nx3L97MptSiezuq2lT-Y/appointments 

Date of birth
May 1957

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hc8L4BNm2RI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hc8L4BNm2RI John Campbell (66) tested positive for CoViD. 

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Campbell_(YouTuber)[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Campbell_(YouTuber) May be interesting to see how things work out...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: December 11 2023 at 9:53pm

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Kilkenny Weather

@kilkennyweather
·
North Atlantic Report Card - all the metrics going in the wrong direction. Ocean near Bermuda is warmer and more acidic than ever, 40 years of observation show https://phys.org/news/2023-12-atlantic-ocean-bermuda-warmer-acidic.html via @physorg_com

DJ, COP29 is planned in Azerbadjan...another oil state....

[url]https://www.reuters.com/world/italy-france-germany-call-ad-hoc-eu-sanctions-hamas-2023-12-11/[/url] or https://www.reuters.com/world/italy-france-germany-call-ad-hoc-eu-sanctions-hamas-2023-12-11/ ;

ROME, Dec 11 (Reuters) - Italy, France and Germany called on the European Union to impose ad hoc sanctions against Hamas and its supporters, the foreign ministers of the three nations wrote in a joint letter to the EU's foreign policy chief Josep Borrell

DJ, Israel may have killed 25,000+ Palestinians...so "western leaders" sanction Hamas...

PMC COVID-19 Tracker, Dec 11, 2023 The surge continues. 

Today:   

πŸ”Ή1.2 million daily infections 
πŸ”Ή1 in 41 infectious (2.5%)   In 4 weeks (Jan 8): 
πŸ”Ή1.6 million daily infections 
πŸ”Ή1 in 30 infectious (3.3%) 1/ 

A few key methodologic updates.

1) Biobot correct levels downward for the past two weeks, so you might notice that this week's estimates seem similar to last week's or marginally lower. 

2) Our forecasting model uses a combination of historic data (situation past several years) and current data (past 4 weeks). In the historic model, we switched from using mean-type data to median-type data. This avoids overestimating levels based on the BA.1 surge and allows us to predict accurately a little faster, rather than predicting high and waiting for the current 4-week's data to correct it. 

3) The forecasts depend a lot on the most recent week's data. To the extent Biobot is accurate or inaccurate in real-time, this leads to divergent forecasts.

DJ, Lots of indications new CoViD variants and (co)infections will soon be a very major global issue...

Biden will see zelensky today for more bribes/aid...

Present western politics rotten to the root...on top of that western economies face recession/depression, high/hyper-inflation...

In every definition "this is bad"!

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: December 13 2023 at 5:57am







BREAKING: UN just overwhelmingly passed a resolution demanding a ceasefire in Gaza. Remember the countries who voted against and those who abstained. They are complicit in Israel’s genocide against the people of Gaza.

[url]https://twitter.com/sahouraxo/status/1734691473772409104/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/sahouraxo/status/1734691473772409104/photo/1 

DJ, Austria, Czechia, Guatamala, Israel, Liberia, Micronesia, Nauru, Papua New Guinea, Paraguay and the USA  vote for continuation of 








The media won’t tell you this but Israel has killed 9,420 Palestinian children in Gaza in just 9 weeks. 9,420 children. Call it what it is: GENOCIDE

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Video & images obtained by Al Jazeera show bodies piled up in the Shadia Abu Ghazala School, west of Jabalia refugee camp in Gaza. Witnesses said a number of people including women, children and babies were killed execution-style by Israeli forces while sheltering in the school.

DJ, the genocide in occupied Palestine should be a reminder of all genocides in the past...Evil often comes in uniform with a gun in his hand...backed by those making money out of mass murder...

The worst criminals are "friendly, well dressed, good educated"...

"Jesus Christ came here a week before he was crucified," a Palestinian in Taybeh told me. Taybeh is the largest Palestinian Christian community in the West Bank — and since 10/7, armed Jewish settlers and the Israeli army have been terrorizing the community with mob beatings, theft and forcefully removing the Palestinians from their own property. "They attack indiscriminately. Christians and Muslims. That's the nature of the [Israeli] state..." full documentary report: https://youtube.com/watch?v=6lcXlKJQPzM

DJ, Like in Syria, Iraq a Christian minority did support the gouvernment that "the cristian west" wanted to destroy...Russian orthodox christians end up defending religion against western "barbarism"...(DJ-I am NOT a christian...but I believe in religious freedom.)

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: December 13 2023 at 7:04am
Eric Feigl-Ding

@DrEricDing
·
NEW—WHO confirms that the new XBB15 booster shots for #COVID19 do indeed help neutralize current variants, regardless of the brand maker of the vaccine, and does not recommend new formulation yet at this time. Hope everyone get #boosted for holidays. 

-DJ-most things in live will never be perfect...

IF YOU HAVEN’T GOTTEN VACCINATED FOR THE HOLIDAY YET IT IS NOT TOO LATE. The monovalent mRNA vaccines are here in the US for ages 6 months+. 
The traditional platform vaccine Novavax is also available, with less side effects in general. 

If you have family members who are cancer patients, obese or overweight, immunocompromised, have cystic fibrosis, chronic kidney, lung or liver disease, heart conditions, HIV, or physically inactive, you are not practicing safest measures by bringing disease into their homes. 

Test before having guests, mask up indoors and in crowded untested outdoor spaces, advocate for clean air including ventilation and filtration, be honest with each other if little Susie has had a flu/cold/ or COVID or if you are feeling under the weather. 

Don’t be the asshole who says “it’s just allergies” “I’m just feeling a little cold” “this cough is nothing” or sneeze and cough everywhere without a mask on. 

There are still lots of things you can do ! If you read this you try to stay informed...

There are safest ways to gather indoors this holiday season. In past seasons I would discourage from gathering. We have more tools (do not read that to be “all the tools”). But if you have the tools, The newest variants of SARS-CoV-2 are the most highly transmissible ones. 

JN.1 is making its way around the world. My expertise is in cell biology and safest spaces. 

Let me remind you that repeat infections are not good for anyone.

 I’m looking forward to holiday parties that take precautions to protect others. 

Babies are innocent and don’t have a choice - we as adults are trusted to protect them from long-term disease. That includes vaccinating them from preventable illnesses and disease. The best way to be healthiest is to control that which you can control. You only get one body. Protect it as best you can. β€οΈπŸ’•πŸ™πŸΌ


 Sad when families put the most vulnerable at greater risks than necessary. Then they BEG the same physicians and experts who warned them not to place their family members in this position of prolonged disease states to now save their loved ones’ quality of life and bring them back to normal. 


A little bit ironic, don’t you think?

DJ [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jne9t8sHpUc[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jne9t8sHpUc ;

Alanis Morissette - Ironic 

-mutations in CoViD;

A BA.2.86 with S:G447C + S:G496C just dropped. Spike mutations to cysteine are rare—esp. in the receptor-binding domain (RBD). When 2 Cs show up at once, it usually means a new disulfide bond has been created. I don't think this has ever been seen in the SARS-CoV-2 RBD. 1/11

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Would a C447-C496 disulfide rearrange the RBD & further evade antibodies? Seems possible, but I don't know for sure. I want to emphasize this is *1* sequence & likely won't spread. But it's still remarkable and a sign of the wide swath of possible future spike paths. 11/11

-CoViD -again- did 

NOT get mild

NOT run out of mutations

NOT stop spreading

DJ-Again I am not an expert; trying to get a view...Could it be CoViD is now most spread in non-human hosts ? That non-human hosts could bring even more variants/recombinations even worsening CoViD ? 

With 1 in 40 Americans actively infectious with COVID, masking (#N95) reduces your chances of getting sick. It also cuts the risk of forward transmission. That's fewer people with #cancer getting sick and having to stop critical treatments for a month or more. #CovidCancer

We live in "crazy times"! CoViD spread soon may be at levels worse than ever before in this pandemic-but media ignore it...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-covid-19-news-sars-cov-2-hides-in-the-body-via-extracellular-vesicles-and-reactivates-later-while-constantly-testing-negative[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-covid-19-news-sars-cov-2-hides-in-the-body-via-extracellular-vesicles-and-reactivates-later-while-constantly-testing-negative link to [url]https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2542568423000491[/url] or https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2542568423000491 ;

5. Conclusions

Although this study is not directly related to liver disease, the identification of SARS-CoV-2 in EVs is a highly important and relevant to COVID-19 infection in liver disease patients and for better management of these patients. The identification of SARS-CoV-2 RNAs in the EVs isolated from patients with negative RT-PCR indicates the persistence of infection and likely recurrence of the infection, which suggests another route of transmission as EVs harbor SARS-CoV-2 RNAs. Therefore, in the case of COVID-19 where we are unable to understand the mechanism of recurrence or false negativity, we may find the prolonged association of SARS-CoV-2 with EVs, which can easily be detected even in patients with negative RT-PCR. This could pave way for future directions to determine the cause of reactivation and also post-COVID-19 mortality.

DJ, It may explain "unclear re-infections" but also how testing can miss CoViD...

Today newest NL CoViD numbers will become available via [url]https://www.rivm.nl/corona/actueel/weekcijfers[/url] or https://www.rivm.nl/corona/actueel/weekcijfers -tomorrow also in English-translate does a good job ! Very likely NL is moving to "very serious" CoViD numbers as well...

De rest van BA.2.86* begint het duidelijk af te leggen tegen JN.1 en XDD. Of XDD nog sneller is dan JN.1, is nu nog niet te zeggen. Maar omdat 7 van 68 wereldwijde XDD samples verspreid over Nederland gevonden zijn (5 provincies), ga ik hem ook hier in de gaten houden.

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BA.2.86* is in de loop van week 47 dominant geworden en samples met een JN.1 Spike (JN.1=BA.2.86.1.1 of XDD) waarschijnlijk aan het eind van week 48 of aan het begin van week 49 (1 week geleden).

DJ, In NL JN.1 and XDD are growing fast. Unclear if XDD is growing even faster than JN.1

[url]https://www.corona-lokaal.nl/locatie/Nederland/waterzuivering/Nederland[/url] or https://www.corona-lokaal.nl/locatie/Nederland/waterzuivering/Nederland NL waste water samples "very high"...(upper left press the - to + to get an overview for all of the pandemic. We are now at record high level...Most high in SW "Zeeland" not far from Belgium/Antwerp(en)...so I wonder what the Belgian/Flanders statistics show...

13-12-2023 | 4:00 PM

Weekly coronavirus update SARS(severe acute respiratory syndrome)-CoV(coronavirus)-2: December 13, 2023
Spread of the virus and withdrawals
In week 49 (4-10 December), the national average number of virus particles in sewage water rose sharply by 57% compared to the previous week. Last week, the share of participants with a positive corona test result in Infection Radar(external link) increased compared to the week before (2.4% to 3.1%)*. The number of hospital admissions of patients with SARS-CoV-2 also increased compared to the previous week (daily average number of admissions from 108 to 143).** Last week there were an average of 686 patients with SARS-CoV-2 in hospital; this is higher than the week before (average 541 patients).

"bad"

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: December 14 2023 at 2:46am

DJ, Waste water/ virus spread in NL seems to be record high. For that reason I started a Dutch section. 

[url]https://www.rivm.nl/en/coronavirus-covid-19/current/weekly-update[/url] or https://www.rivm.nl/en/coronavirus-covid-19/current/weekly-update 

13 December 2023 | 18:00

Weekly update on the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2: 13 December 2023

Spread of the virus and admissions

In week 49 (4 – 10 December 2023), sewage surveillance showed that the national average viral load increased significantly (+57%) compared to the week before. Last week, the percentage of participants who tested positive for COVID-19 in the Infection Radar survey(link is external) increased (from 2.4% to 3.1%)* compared to the week before that. Hospital admissions of patients with SARS-CoV-2 last week also increased compared to the week before that (daily average admissions went from 108 to 143).** There were an average of 686 patients with SARS-CoV-2 in hospital last week; this is higher than the week before that (average of 541 patients).

DJ, The NL situation may be an indication for what is happening in lots of other countries...









Our forecast of 1.3-1.9 million U.S. infections per day at peak surge is NOT written in the stars. βœ¨ Public health could tell people we are in a #surge, ask employers & organizations to encourage the vax, and provide free masks and tests. 

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[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-covid-19-news-russia-reports-107,174-new-sars-cov-2-infections-mostly-driven-by-jn-1,-9451-hospitalizations,-148-deaths-for-epi-week-49[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-covid-19-news-russia-reports-107,174-new-sars-cov-2-infections-mostly-driven-by-jn-1,-9451-hospitalizations,-148-deaths-for-epi-week-49 

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[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-all-covid-19-data-from-india-probably-fake-india-does-not-report-jn-1-but-airport-surveillance-in-singapore-shows-many-indians-with-jn-1[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-all-covid-19-data-from-india-probably-fake-india-does-not-report-jn-1-but-airport-surveillance-in-singapore-shows-many-indians-with-jn-1 

DJ, still lots of countries do NOT test...Wastewater indications, excess deaths, hospital statistics may provide some insight in the unfolding crisis. 








Remember the record pneumonia cases in China blamed by right-wing folks on lockdowns? Guess what - many multitudes of countries also setting record pediatric pneumonia too - Netherlands didn’t have lockdowns for 3 yrs. Maybe it’s something else… global… affected all countries.

and






Antonio Caramia

@Antonio_Caramia
·
πŸ†•New all time record for pneumonia cases among children 5-14 years old in Netherlands πŸ‡³πŸ‡± during week 49. πŸš¨141 per 100,000

DJ, Simply put...a lack of info (hardly any testing-so sequencing may provide info on hospital cases in older age groups-miss a lot of other data) make it "hard" if not impossible to get a realistic view on "what may be coming"...

[url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/12/cell-baloxavir-marboxil-use-for.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/12/cell-baloxavir-marboxil-use-for.html ;

In addition to the HPAI H5N1 clade 2.3.4.4b virus which has spread globally since 2021 - we are also watching an older H5N1 clade 2.3.2.1c virus in Cambodia which has infected 6 people (3 fatally) in 2023 - and an HPAI H5N6 virus in China (see map above) which has infected nearly 90 people in the past decade, killing roughly half.

Cambodia's H5N1 and China's H5N6 virus both appear to have a roughly 50% fatality rate - at least among those sick enough to be hospitalized - even when patients get treatment. 

Until five years ago, the only antiviral available to treat influenza infections were neuraminidase inhibitors like zanamivir and oseltamivir (Tamiflu ®) and peramivir

While they could be lifesaving, they are most effective if administered relatively early in the infection (i.e. first 48 hours). 

In late 2018, the FDA Approved Xofluza : A New Class Of Influenza Antiviral, but with the drop in human avian flu infections over the past few years, very little is known about its ability to treat severe avian flu infection.

DJ, Co-infection "Flu-Rona" may be another unfolding risk...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: December 15 2023 at 12:33am

DJ, The US via NATO trying to stop "BRICS-extra" with the Ukraine "project" lost-so yet another NATO criminal war in West Asia. 

History does show mixing wars with pandemics and climate change is a "very bad idea"...however present western "leaders" seem to live in a 2-dimensional world...ignoring history or any other reality...

Covid vs Flu - An unfair fight Here’s a quick breakdown of ’s latest study… 

Risk of Death: People with COVID-19 had a 51% higher risk of dying compared to those with seasonal influenza. 

This means for every 100 people with COVID-19, about 9 more died compared to those with the flu.