part 2. news, international background...

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/france-sars-cov-2-detected-in-domestic-rabbits/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/france-sars-cov-2-detected-in-domestic-rabbits/ ; 

We tested 144 pet rabbits in France between November 2020 and June 2021 for antibodies to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)

We found one sample seropositive for both antigens and another positive only for RBD. For positive rabbits, at the time of sampling, no particular symptom consistent with SARS-CoV-2 infection was noted by the veterinarians.

MDPI.com study: First Evidence of Natural SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Domestic Rabbits 

and [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/france-two-wild-badgers-and-three-martens-test-positive-for-sars-cov-2/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/france-two-wild-badgers-and-three-martens-test-positive-for-sars-cov-2/  ;

In Brittany, seropositivity for SARS-CoV-2 was detected in five wild mustelids out of 32 animals tested.

In the French region of Brittany, mainly in the department of the Côtes d’Armor, during the first semester of 2021, seropositivity for SARS-CoV-2 was detected in five wild mustelids out of 32 animals tested. Anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG against at least four out of five recombinant viral proteins (S1 receptor binding domain, nucleocapsid, S1 subunit, S2 subunit and spike) were detected using automated western blot technique in three martens (Martes martes) and two badgers (Meles meles)

All the mustelids studied lived in anthropized and non-isolated rural areas. From one or more index cases, transmission spread directly between mustelids. This is certain for the badgers from Perret, Côte d’Armor.

Biorxiv preprint: Evidence of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 in wild mustelids from Brittany (France) 

see also [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/more-than-60-mammal-species-could-be-susceptible-to-sarscov2/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/more-than-60-mammal-species-could-be-susceptible-to-sarscov2/ ; 

DJ the article is from early november 2020....since coronavirusses can be found in lots of birds as well the real number may be much larger.

[url]https://www.wormsandgermsblog.com/2022/01/articles/animals/other-animals/omicron-and-animals/[/url] or https://www.wormsandgermsblog.com/2022/01/articles/animals/other-animals/omicron-and-animals/ ;

It’s been a pretty chaotic week in the zoonotic COVID world, with a lot of attention being paid to hamsters and deer.

However, one issue that we encounter that gets less attention is the need to keep up with the virus and remember the limitations of our knowledge. COVID-19 has shown that as we’ve moved through serial waves and new variants. I do a lot of talks and interviews about SARS-CoV-2 and often get into discussions of which species are susceptible and which ones aren’t. However, I usually try to throw in some disclaimers and those are important to think about.

One big one is “…but, what we know about animals almost always pre-dates Omicron. Most of it pre-dates delta, and even alpha.”

DJ; Maybe MOST (if not all) species may be able to catch a form of CoViD...insects excluded I hope...We have to try to keep an eye on developments...The French stories are most over a year old info...study just came out. [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/cows/cattle-infected-with-covid/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/cows/cattle-infected-with-covid/ ;Here, we serologically investigated 1000 cattle samples collected in late 2021 in Germany.    So also before Omicron...

Given the extreme high numbers in humans it is very likely there are increased risks for further spread in non-human hosts ! That is what makes sense to me, DJ, NOT an expert...

The next question is what would increased spread in non-human hosts mean ? [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/deer/usa-white-tailed-deer-positive-for-sars-cov-2-in-new-jersey-new-york-minnesota-pennsylvania/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/deer/usa-white-tailed-deer-positive-for-sars-cov-2-in-new-jersey-new-york-minnesota-pennsylvania/ so far-the picture I get-is lots of animals did test positive for the virus (antibodies)...a lot of them only with mild symptoms (a few Zoo-animals, very limited dogs-with complications, died). Also if there is spread it is inside their own species as far as is detected/tested. 

For that matter minks were the exception...a lot of countries did stop mink farming...[url]https://www.furfreealliance.com/italy-to-permanently-ban-fur-farming/[/url] or https://www.furfreealliance.com/italy-to-permanently-ban-fur-farming/ ...but also still a lot of higher risk countries (Ukraine, China etc.) did not. 

"living with the virus" would have to include "living with the virus in non-human hosts". Just like Long CoViD it is being ignored..."economy first=economy only"....Bound to go wrong!

-[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-cso-from-london-medical-laboratory-warns-that-thyroid-issues-escalating-rapidly-in-the-united-kingdom-could-be-due-to-omicron-or-previous-var[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-cso-from-london-medical-laboratory-warns-that-thyroid-issues-escalating-rapidly-in-the-united-kingdom-could-be-due-to-omicron-or-previous-var iants...

DJ   Long term damage being ignored, denied even, is making this pandemic cruel...By now it is clear CoViD can do damage-for months-and all over the body....Naming it a "lung virus" is just another way of downplaying the risks...Yes it enters the body mostly via the respitory system-infections often start there but they do not stay there ! 

From the brain to the hearth, all over the body it does do damage even if the initial infection may not even been noticed. 

But instead of increase of testing, sequencing there is a tendency to "stop testing"....insanity rules !

-[url]https://southfront.org/isis-releases-horrific-footage-from-its-attack-on-geweran-prison-in-syrias-al-hasakah-videos-photos/[/url] or https://southfront.org/isis-releases-horrific-footage-from-its-attack-on-geweran-prison-in-syrias-al-hasakah-videos-photos/ ; 

According to the most recent update by the London-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, the battle in al-Hasakah city has so far claimed the lives of 56 ISIS terrorists, five civilians and 28 personnel of the SDF and its security forces.

While the SDF appears to be making some progress on the ground, the battle in al-Hasakah city may not end soon. ISIS terrorists could resist for several more days.

DJ In Lebanon IS is again active recruiting fighters. The recent regime change attempt in [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kazakhstan[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kazakhstan may be linked to several secret services trying to get more "rebels" for the "dirty work"...

CIA, MI6 but also Turkish [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Intelligence_Organization[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Intelligence_Organization most likely involved. Some Arab Gulf States being the main sponsors of IS...(DJ-In "evil" maybe even worse then nazi's...kmehr rouge/red kmehr). 

-Turkey does want to expand "Turkey-ism" , [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jZcTttSPBhU[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jZcTttSPBhU showing a timeline of the Ottoman Empire-replacing the Byzantine/Eastern Roman Empire...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turkic_languages[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turkic_languages both Ukraine and Uyghur West-China has Turkish influences in language. 

-US/UK goal is further destabilizing Russia-Iran-China. Hindering EurAsian integration (and for that matter also anti-EU, anti €/Euro). "Rebels" all over Africa, but also in southern Russia, West-China, Myanmar serve western interests. a "[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guerrilla_warfare[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guerrilla_warfare " run by western intel. (Former "Black Water, but also russian "[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wagner_Group[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wagner_Group " are also part of this "privatizid wars".

Due to the pandemic IS may choose other targets in Europe. Problem is a lot of western 'intel" did allow recruiting "jihadi's " inside their borders, still lots of western countries see-even renamed IS terrorists-as "moderate rebels' in Syria. I think some western intel knew of terrorist activities and did "not intervene"...for strategic reasons. 

DJ Wars and pandemics in history often did mix. One would hope this pandemic would bring international strategies...but dealing with this pandemic is not even a political priority...So it will get worse;

-Both Delta/Omicron still developing/spreading

-increased risk of spread in non human hosts

-restrictions not getting public support/lifted

-vaccines only limited-short term effective

-international trend is towards global conflict with NATO moving east...

End of part 2

DJ, 

Let me start with (again) my goal on this forum. Try to get a view on what is happening, making my mind up....I am not here to insult people-eventhough they have totally other opinions...the idea of a forum has allways been to offer lots of different opinions...

Since I am not at all a medical expert I go for sources; Flutrackers, twitter, some "news" but allways trying to put it in a wider perspective-try to see what makes sense to me and why.

I do have a limited history background, pandemics and wars are a (bad) mix...so also the present pandemic -in my opinion- needs to be seen in a wider perspective. 

Since climate change is another growing-global-problem I compare how "the world" is dealing with that to how "the world" deals with this pandemic.

I have been doing this "scenario's"  since january 28 - 2020, for over 2 years...looking back I think I was correct much more then I like...I wish this pandemic to be over now, would have loved it if there was never a pandemic at all....But "nature" does not care much for my wishes....

Since I hate empty words I do take a stand; This pandemic is far from over, Omicron-several subvariants-is NOT mild...."the West'"has no clear strategy in many problems and did become a problem by itself that way...

-Numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ (DJ-I prefer worldometers...1 page with lots of info, they later on introduced a trendspage. Our world in data may have a lot more info but is also much more a job to get the info from...i love simple ways...)

Global cases 3,453,823 trend +2%, deaths 10,501 trend +13% DJ-As was seen in South Africa Omicron-most still BA.1 - is "slow", cases started going up allmost a month ago (with delays in reporting because of christmas, new year ) - only now deaths-number start to go up....In some countries BA.1 Omicron still increasing in a growing number of countries BA.1 cases going down in numbers...with some early indications of BA.1.1 and BA.2 increasing...also a few Delta subvariants stick around. 

a look at a few countries;

USA cases yesterday 522,300 weekly trend -25%, deaths 2,732 trend +10%....last 7 days the US did see 3,812,076 new cases, the week before that it was 5,070,843...Last 7 days US had 16,290 deaths (based on worldometer numbers), the week before 14,876....Per million of population last 7 days US did see 11,411 cases, 49 deaths...US population 334 million

Russia cases yesterday 98,040 weekly trend +114%, deaths 673 trend -3%....last 7 days Russia did see 514,883 new cases, the week before it was 240,649...Last 7 days Russia had 4,691 deaths (based on worldometer numbers), the week before 4,841...Per million of population last 7 days Russia did see 3,526 cases, 32 deaths...Russia population 146 million

The biggest differences may be in number of cases per million...why the US had allmost 11,500 new cases per million, Russia just over 3,500 ? 

Testing per million may be a factor, US 2,685 per 1,000, Russia 1,695 per 1,000 When you test more you will find more...but only if there is more to find. 

Denmark has the highest number of testing; 20,396 per 1,000, DK had 50,942 cases per million of population, 22 deaths per million...so in the DK story more testing may see more positive tests...simply because they are in a major peak...

Then the number of deaths per million...DK 22, Russia 32, US 49 last week. 

All of this pandemic US did see per million of its population 225,325 cases, 2,711 deaths. Russia had 78,768 cases, 2,526 deaths per million (DK 269,092 cases, 635 deaths per million). 

Maybe mobility may be a factor...vaccines most likely also will have had some effects (but I would have to look for number of vaccinations...Russia may be even lower then the US and most of it will be Sputnik V). Russian winters limit travel, spread ? 

If one would claim Russian healthcare to be better the number of people dying per number of people tested positive is much worse for Russia...

US 225,325 cases resuling in 2,711 deaths per million is around 1,2%, Russia 78,768 cases with 2,526 deaths is above 3%...but Russia may have missed more cases due to less testing...

Age, health may also not be that different for both countries...DK with 50,942 cases per million resulting in only 22 deaths per million may indicate this calculation is "far from perfect" even to give an indication...

So statistics may give an indication...not that much more...

[url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=USA[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=USA  2,395,870 GISAID sequences US BA.1 at 31%, BA.1.1 at 26%, AY.103 11%, other 11%, AY.44 at 6% (BA=Omicron, AY=Delta)

[url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=RUS[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=RUS 13,891 Russian sequences...AY.122 at 59%, BA.1.1 at 22%, AY.126 at 6% so is BA.1 also at 6% other 4%, B.1617.2 at 3% ([url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-CoV-2_Delta_variant[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-CoV-2_Delta_variant Delta "starter" variant)

Both over last 60 days, latest info over a week old...in the US BA.2 may start spreading, Russia is seeing AY.122 Delta pushing back Omicron subvariants ? A Delta subvariant STOPPING !!! Omicron for now ?????

On that AY.122 [url]https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/419[/url] or https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/419 also a subvariant of AY.122 increasing in Switzerland, France...most likely then also in other countries [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=POL[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=POL Poland has 10% AY.122...

[url]https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/418[/url] or https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/418 AY.4.2.2 in the UK showing mutations and increase...so AY.4.2.2.1 may be on its way...

DJ-This "look" learned me Delta variants may be increasing again....maybe even more then the BA.2 Omicron variant ? Omicron maybe never that dominant in Russia ? 

Yesterday I looked at a few other countries; D=Germany, F=France, I=Israel, DK=DenmarK in % of all sequences of last 60 days per january 28-2022

AY.4 NL=5, D=7, F=6,  I=4,  DK=8 UK=16, US=-

AY.43 NL=28, D=17, F=21, I=6, DK=8, UK=2, US=-

AY.122 NL=4, D=12, F=11, I=6, DK=5, UK=-, US=-

Again, this pandemic is FAR !!!! from over...I do not know what would be worse, some new Delta variants increasing, Omicron BA.2 or the mix/recombination of both of them....

Coffee ! End of part 1 

Josh, I really liked the picture chart with all the strains of Covid. I never seen a clear one like that before and found it fascinating in a strange way lol.

The psychiatric care part. I'm wondering if it could be vitamin D and vitamin B related? I know these can cause mood, depression and behaviour changes. Maybe the virus 'uses' these up? And many people are already low in these vitamins... Just a thought..

Thanks again for all you do :-)

DJ, 

I am NOT neutral or objective, "main stream media" claim they are-that is why they do such a bad job. I think-my opinion-this pandemic is political...(and maybe to be clear I am NOT anti US...but when a friend is doing stupid things it is the friends friend job to tell that friend so...) 

First of all by not acting in time so the virus was allowed to spread, variants still fly around the globe...Second by "privatizing" the reaction to this pandemic; sending zillions of $, € etc. to "big companies" (often with political links) to "do the job"....wich they do not do very well often...

A third part of "politics" is denialism; The idea of a pandemic killing millions of people in the 21st century does not fit in the way lots of politics think..."Because I drive my car the Arctic is melting nonsens"nonsense...We "have the best healthcare in the world" so this pandemic-if that is what it is-soon will be over"....If you create en spent a lot of tax money all problems will be solved kind of pseudo religious politics...

[url]https://thesaker.is/russia-and-the-west-piercing-the-fog-of-hysteria/[/url] or https://thesaker.is/russia-and-the-west-piercing-the-fog-of-hysteria/ Of course "global domination" is what the US needs to keep its dollar linked to energy...

During the 1990s and the 2000s, instead of being invited to participate in the construction of the “common European home” – with all its glaring faults – post-Soviet Russia was forced to be outside looking in on how this “home” was upgraded and decorated.

Contrary to all the promises made to Gorbachev by assorted Western leaders, the traditional Russian sphere of influence – and even former USSR territory – became objects of dispute in the looting of the “Soviet heritage”: merely a space to be colonized by NATO’s military structures.

Contrary to Gorbachev’s hope – who was naively convinced that the West would share with him the benefits of “the dividends of peace” – a hardcore Anglo-American neoliberal model was imposed over the Russian economy. Added to the disastrous consequences of this transition was the sentiment of national frustration by a society that was humiliated and treated like a vanquished nation in the Cold War, or WWIII.

The "hardcore Anglo-American neoliberal model" as a totalitarian doctrine is destroying the planet....

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/01/why-washington-will-soon-dump-ukraines-president.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/01/why-washington-will-soon-dump-ukraines-president.html ; 

The U.S. has responded to the security demands Russia had laid out in two draft treaties. It has rejected all major ones and is only willing to negotiate on secondary issues. Russia will response to that within a few weeks.

Meanwhile the U.S. is still claiming that Russia intends to attack the Ukraine any moment now. But the Ukrainian President Vlodymyr Zelensky publicly disagrees with that false evaluation. He sees no war coming and wants to avoid one as much as possible. That might mean that he has to be removed before a war can be launched. 

DJ From climate change to this pandemic we need international cooperation NOT confrontation...not a NATO expanding east....Let me be clear; for the US economy-with the US now #1 in oil production-energy link with the US$ is essential, without that the US would become 'a Brazil with nukes"....The energy-dollar link from the early 70's (ending the $-link with gold ) may have worked in the last cold war. US dominant in the west...But in 2022 China is the largest energy consumer, buying energy all over the place-most in Asia and no longer willing to pay for it in US$....

Like the 1962 US/CIA invasion of the "bay of pigs" in Cuba created the 1963 Cuba-crisis...solved by the US removing missiles from Turkey and the promis not to invade Cuba again the present Ukraine crisis is the outcome of the 2014 coupe...Removing a pro-Russian government, supported also by a major Russian-history group of the population there since the USSR...replacing it with nationalist extremists, some Turkish history backed groups. Ukraine in history was mostly the battlefield between Russian Czars and the Turkish Ottoman Empire...

Just like Poland often (also till 1918) got divided between Germany and Russia, Finland, Baltic States were part of the Russian Empire under the Czars...

I think the "best" way the US did get this large was via buying land...from the French, Danes, Russians...(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Louisiana_Purchase , https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_of_the_Danish_West_Indies , https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alaska_Purchase ). Trying to "buy" Greenland did fail twice (after w.w.2 and trump trying to buy it from the Danes NOT the Greenland population...."buying" may be the wrong word...)

Where the US is trying to put/keep military bases around the globe China is expending via investments...investing in (essential) infrastructure from (rail)roads to (air)ports...and I think that can become a new way of imperialism...Only other countries do sort of the same thing via private companies placing orders in low income countries...NL companies good in dredging, water-infrastructure...but they get paid for the job-it does not become a property...

So now we are dealing with the US, UK screaming "the Russians are coming"...Zelensky/Ukraine say "they are NOT coming"...Russia did see (I believe it was) around 20% of its population die in 1941-45 "Great War"...China did see 40,000 Wuhan citizens die in december 1944 by US firebombing of that -then Japaneses held-city - as a try-out for fire bombing Tokyo, did see 400,000 Chinese troops die in the Korean War-most of them also by the US...The Soviet Union and China did fight the US in Vietnam...

Somehow the US is totally blind for history...simply fails to understand the outcome of its confrontations is Russia-Iran-China now becoming the major powerblock....

Further US/UK insanity-both biden and bojo "not very popular" in their own countries-may be the (very welcome !!!) end of NATO ! Europe is not waiting for expensive US-LNG in US$ by tanker with pipelines from Russia (and indirect also a link to Iran...some of Iranian oil gets "another name" before it enters the international market) and € Euro's most used as currency...

It is the US breaking all kind of international treaties...NOT Russia, Iran or China...It is the US that is using IS-mercenaries all over the globe to attack oil installations...

To be honest-if we want to get out of this pandemic neo-liberalism has to end....The US and UK have to get wiser...because these confrontations are most damaging themselves...

DJ-The "US would go for further sanctions" only resulted in the West getting isolated...I would welcome very much less fossil fuel...this pandemic is climate change related...but for now the US is not producing enough LNG (via earthquake linked fracking...) to replace Russian energy...the present political crisis is pushing up energy prices-even further worsening the pandemic impact on the economy...

There is a growing under current in Europe, denying this pandemic, more nationalistic-with increase of right wing extremism that may be very anti US...Just like (I believe a former Malaysian foreign minister) Chinese nationalist in power in China would worsen the US-China relations...In Russia the communist party is still a major group-they want to return to the Soviet Union...Putin has to balance with them....

In the UK bojo is not an incident, the UK conservatives may have to rethink what types end up as PM...in general both in North America and most of Europe there is a growing, worsening political crisis...this pandemic is also making that worse...

Politics now coming up with "live with it" "it is endemic"; 

during Australian summer ...but in most countries we ran out of strategies....global cases are going down-for now-with -3% but still at an extreme level, most cases missed...CoViD deaths +14% moving towards the +10,000 deaths per day being reported...lots of subvariants increasing,  this pandemic only getting worse...

DJ-Even with "perfect nasal vaccines" mass produced and going for 1 billion vaccinations per month we will not be out of this global healthcrisis this year...

End of part 1

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8TZC2jYLyCI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8TZC2jYLyCI ;

Alexander Mercouris on "US-China relations"....Wang Yi ‘Overwhelms’ Blinken, Confirms China Backs Russia on Ukraine, NATO in Furious Call News Topic 403 If US provokes China or Russia, the other won’t be indifferent https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/20220... US itself should put out the fire it set in Ukraine: Global Times editorial https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/20220...

Also a look at [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/as-s-400-air-defenses-arrive-on-streets-of-moscow-russia-sends-final-communique-to-osce-do-you-intend-to-fulfill-key-security-obligations[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/as-s-400-air-defenses-arrive-on-streets-of-moscow-russia-sends-final-communique-to-osce-do-you-intend-to-fulfill-key-security-obligations 

Ukraine is fed up with UK, US sending weapons, pushing for war when Ukraine needs investments not war...China FM "irritated and annoyed" with US-FM blinken trying to play games....[url]https://community.defconwarningsystem.com/threads/ukraine-russia-conflict-27-to-31-jan-reports.15597/page-7 

My impression; Russia-Iran-China are so fed up with US, UK "plans" they are preparing "a statement"....With Ukraine being also fed up by lack of usefull western support-being in the frontline for a conflict that is not their conflict-I would not be surprised if "Kiev" did make a "move..agrreeing to Minsk-talks with France, Germany and Russia may be a possibility...(so try to keep US and UK out of it...while the UK/bojo was planning to start a "new relationship with Ukraine and Poland...)

Since there have been talks with Latin American countries-( Russian bombers did once show up in a.o. Venezuela, Indonesia) I also would not rule out "announcements" of Russia military presence in Cuba, Nicaragua, Venezuela...If NATO wants to "move East" Russia, Iran, China can move west....

The US is still refusing serious talks with Moscow (or China, Iran...) de facto also is trying to use Taiwan as a US "station"...starting conflicts all around Russia and China...from Ukraine, Myanmar to Hong Kong and Kazahkstan...

Macron-France had "good conversation" with Putin, Germany also "does not want US/UK escalation"....Turkey has allready its own plan...Bojo in the UK-by starting yet another "party" may be "near the end of his rule"....

We may see unexpected major changes...

-[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/01/30/new-covid-record-set-75000-infections-hospital-total-6-week[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/01/30/new-covid-record-set-75000-infections-hospital-total-6-week ; 

Some 75,199 people tested positive for Covid-19 between Saturday and Sunday morning, the RIVM said. That topped the previous single-day record, set on January 28, by about a thousand. With over half of people tested by the GGD receiving a positive diagnosis, the IT systems of the health services have remained overwhelmed, and a large amount of infections have not been tabulated.

A record-setting 52.2 percent of those tested by the GGD from January 22-28 were infected with the coronavirus, including 58.1 percent tested on Friday. The GGD tested a record high 1.02 million samples during that time, meaning the GGD alone diagnosed about 534 thousand new infections those days. A total of 1.2 million infections were revealed since January 1.

Roughly 131,000 infections diagnosed over the past 13 days have not yet been counted as a result of issues with the computer infrastructure, the RIVM said. That was 9,000 higher than on Saturday. It remains unclear how effective the organizations’ efforts have been. All that is known is that the problem has worsened every day for since the technical issue was first reported.

The seven day moving average increased to set another new record on Sunday. Using only the official raw data, the average reached 61,581. That was a third higher compared to a week earlier. If all of the missing data were added to the latest data, the average would be 80,300, about 75 percent higher than last Sunday.

It also is not clear which regions have been most affected by the missing data, and thus municipal reporting fluctuated greatly the past two weeks. The three cities with the most new infections in Sunday’s data were Utrecht (4,297), Amsterdam (3,078), and The Hague (2,904). Utrecht’s daily total has varied wildly between 500 and 4,300 during the past two weeks.

With hospitalizations linked to Covid-19 firmly on the rise, the Dutch hospital system was treating 1,154 people with the disease on Sunday afternoon. That increased by six percent in a week. A similar increase would put the total back at 1,220.

DJ; There have been limits for how many tests any testing station can do in NL....lots of people unable to get tested...PCR-lab capacity is not ready to deal with the high numbers...lots of countries may not be that different...

[url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=NLD[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=NLD and [url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?loc=NLD&pango=AY.122&selected=NLD[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?loc=NLD&pango=AY.122&selected=NLD ....DJ My impression is some Delta variants may have started increasing also in NL...the idea BA.2 (or other Omicron...limited BA.3 so far) would "push aside Delta" may not be fully correct...

We had protests all over the country today in NL...[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/01/29/outbreak-team-members-experts-call-long-term-plan-tackle-covid[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/01/29/outbreak-team-members-experts-call-long-term-plan-tackle-covid there is NO long term strategy....

-Researchers at Boston U say they've found a second host protein #SARSCoV2 can use to enter, and damage,   blood vessels. In addition to ACE2 receptors, the virus targets vimentin, a structural protein on endothelial cells that line blood system.

link [url]https://medicalxpress.com/news/2022-01-protein-enables-sars-cov-access-cells.html?utm_source=nwletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=daily-nwletter[/url] or https://medicalxpress.com/news/2022-01-protein-enables-sars-cov-access-cells.html?utm_source=nwletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=daily-nwletter 

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/wake-up-sars-cov-2-spike-proteins-are-toxic-and-will-kill-slowly-irrespective-of-asymptomatic-or-mild-infections-re-infections-are-going-to-be-common-[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/wake-up-sars-cov-2-spike-proteins-are-toxic-and-will-kill-slowly-irrespective-of-asymptomatic-or-mild-infections-re-infections-are-going-to-be-common-

DJ-We live in interesting times...

DJ, 

Trying to get a view of this pandemic I do get the feeling to be in a thick fog...limited news, unclear numbers...but what is known simply is not good. [url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports/delta?loc=IND&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports/delta?loc=IND&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected some indications some Delta subvariants may be increasing while also BA.2-Omicron is spreading a.o. in South Africa...even with recent high number of BA.1 and BA.1.1. cases...[url]https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/422[/url] or https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/422 The Deltacron story may be still co-infection with both Delta and Omicron....so not yet a recombination into a new variant...but most likely that will be a matter of time...

Vaccines/boosters may still offer some protection-for less then 6 months-the picture I-non-expert !!! - get...and most against severe disease...could be a factor in reducing spread. But vaccines themselves also may have complications...[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/huh-study-published-in-peer-reviewed-cell-discovery-journal-warns-that-covid-19-jabs-causes-pathophysiological-alterations-similar-to-an-actual-infect[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/huh-study-published-in-peer-reviewed-cell-discovery-journal-warns-that-covid-19-jabs-causes-pathophysiological-alterations-similar-to-an-actual-infect ion...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-study-discovers-presence-of-prion-like-domains-in-sars-cov-2-that-affects-binding-affinity-to-ace2-every-variant-has-different-prion-like-dom[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-study-discovers-presence-of-prion-like-domains-in-sars-cov-2-that-affects-binding-affinity-to-ace2-every-variant-has-different-prion-like-dom ain...may mean we need an other sort of vaccine ? 

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/israel-increase-in-children-suffering-from-neurological-effects-of-covid-and-pims/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/israel-increase-in-children-suffering-from-neurological-effects-of-covid-and-pims/ CoViD is nasty....and may be long lasting...

Support for restrictions, mandatory vaccinations has dropped. Without public support you may not be able to enforce it...Communication may have been a better strategy...but Media-Experts-Politics all this pandemic showed unrealistic optimism....We did know corona virus outbreaks in animals were allmost impossible to control...somehow the idea was it would work out different in people eventhough the virus did get all the room to spread to close to 8 billion hosts....totally unrealistic...

Herd immunity may work in the flu-virus spread...NOT with CoViD still even experts did fall back to flu-strategies....Claims Omicron is mild were based on looking at numbers four weeks after the South Africa peak...BA.1 deaths peak six weeks later...so to early conclusions give a false image, the wrong impression...

DJ-I have room to keep limiting social contacts...I am "not that social", do not have school aged children, can do lots of things from a home with lots of rooms, a garden etc...So for me risks may be controlable somewhat..Most people do not have that luxery...It would be welcome if governments still could send a clear message; limit contacts, vitamin D etc...

I did get vaccinated/boostered...at my age limited risks I may be willing to take...I however think the vaccination strategy did worsen this pandemic. Giving vaccinated much more room did translate into more spread of variants also in vaccinated people...still a high level of infections in children...so NOT limiting at all the virus/variants enough to get out of this pandemic...

Hope 'it will get mild" got in the way of science...even if BA.1 Omicron was "milder" then some Delta subvariants it certainly was not cold/flu like...Omicron (BA.1) did NOT end this pandemic...

-A look at numbers NOT including [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/01/31/netherlands-reports-112000-coronavirus-infections-single-day-hospital-figures-rising[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/01/31/netherlands-reports-112000-coronavirus-infections-single-day-hospital-figures-rising the 112,278 NL cases...so even more limiting the value of these [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ numbers...also UK numbers not (yet) included...(checked back later on some numbers were included...UK numbers may be close to correct, NL numbers NOT conform NL-CDC numbers..)

Still sunday numbers reported monday january 31; global (far from complete) numbers 2,070,084 trend then would be cases -6%...7,978 deaths reported..trend +15%...

South Africa cases +3%, deaths +2%....cases of BA.1 peaked in South Africa mid december...so cases now going up again is not a good sign...With 20 countries reporting an increase of +100% and a wide variety of (sub)variants around the globe I simply run out of words...what a mess !!!

BA.2 is getting a lot of attention...but the idea that a new variant gets that dominant it ends the old variant may be incorrect...Hong Kong hamster-Delta, allthough I doubt all of the increase of Delta can be put at a limited numbers of hamsters-shows some Delta variants still very active...[url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=HKG[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=HKG AY.127 dominant in Hong Kong last days...

[url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=KOR[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=KOR South Korea Delta AY.69 and AY.122 still major...BA.1.1 may be replacing BA.1...but Omicron may spread with Delta still high...so maybe lots of co-infections of both BA.1.1 (later on maybe BA.2 ? However in Hong Kong BA.2 seem te have been stopped by other variants ...

Israel [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=ISR[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=ISR however showing Omicron BA.2 replacing BA.1.1. (that was allready pushing down) BA.1 

So again...I am a bit lost....end of part 1, I will try to write a part 2 later on-also trying to review january 2022...

part 3 twitter etc;

Norway is holding off on a blanket recommendation of boosters for those 18-44 & specifically state "For those <30, & especially men, it is more uncertain if the desired effects outweigh the undesired effects" *This*  is good public health messaging https://fhi.no/contentassets/3596efb4a1064c9f9c7c9e3f68ec481f/delsvar-pa-oppdrag-49---vurdering-av-oppfriskningsdose-til-aldersgruppen-18-44-ar.pdf

There are limits to vaccines....DJ-but it is making the discussion on vaccines even more unclear....

How well do vaccines against BA.2, new Delta sub-variants "surviving" Omicron ? Do "boosters" offer still enough protection against newest subvariants/severe disease ? And for how long ? A 60 y/o male maybe still some protection...women maybe a little better ? But waning immunity + increased immunity escape may 'undermine" booster strategy ? 

Also the discussion on Ivermectin keeps going on...DJ, my impression on Ivermectin is that if it was as effective as some claim it would have shown by now. Often people mention India...at present cases -23%, deaths +58% with a lot of under reporting...And again-only use medication on doctors advise...(in my opinion...).

Good info on [url]https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/article-its-a-delusion-to-think-mass-spread-of-omicron-will-end-the-pandemic/[/url] or https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/article-its-a-delusion-to-think-mass-spread-of-omicron-will-end-the-pandemic/ ;

For some, there is a sense of calm that the worst must be over, that we will be able to heal and that the society we knew might return.

But can our bodies handle, say, 10 more COVID-19 infections over the next three years? That’s not “fear porn” – it is a possible scenario based on how we are handling Omicron.

The idea that herd immunity from widespread Omicron infection will last longer than a few months is a mass delusion propagating in all forms of media. It’s the type of delusion sure to gain traction in a world where we are all absolutely sick and tired of the pandemic. It even ignores reality from three months ago, when Omicron didn’t exist and the idea of us benefitting from infecting everyone was a widely condemned idea.

DJ-I do not believe that much in miracles....So far all variants had sub-variants...so "media" going for "Omicron will save us" (after summer, vaccines, boosters supposed to do the same) end up in the "non-sense category" for me...I expected in a worst case people may catch CoViD over and over again...I think we may be close to that point...

"Mass-media, experts, politics"-block going for "hopium"..."it soon will be over"...DJ-I would love it ! This pandemic to be over ! But I do not expect it to stop all of a sudden...why ? Makes no sense at all ! 

The reality is we are causing COVID-19 to mutate on a scale never seen before. By allowing the virus to infect much of the world, we are generating trillions upon trillions of viruses. Because the world has chosen not to pursue adequate public health measures, new variants will be evolutionarily selected for their ability to evade protection from vaccination and infection. And by the way, variants aren’t invariably milder than those they precede – Alpha and Delta were both more severe than the original strain.

Again-dealing with this pandemic may take years...We should be reorganizing society...also think of how to deal with the climate collapse...since this pandemic is related...but "old normal phantasies" rule...eventhough they did bring us into this crisis...

The head of the public health agency in Denmark, where BA.2 is now spreading widely, has explained that people who were infected with Omicron can be reinfected with BA.2 shortly after. The idea isn’t novel: Two thirds of people in England who caught Omicron said they previously had COVID-19.

BA.2 may soon get its own Greek letter name from the WHO, because it is dominant in India and growing exponentially in Europe by heavily outcompeting Omicron there.

Herd immunity is an illusion...but the basis of most countries "strategies"...insanity rules !

Aside from rolling the dice over and over on avoiding severe disease, continual reinfection raises huge concerns around disability-inducing long COVID. Alongside known risks of COVID-19 infection including organ damage, heart attacks, strokes and pediatric diabetes, scientists are now finding evidence that mild and moderate COVID-19 can cause immune-system damage and dysfunction. This could give rise to a host of immunodeficiency and/or autoimmune issues and it could make subsequent COVID-19 infections more severe.

Of course, there is plenty of hope that continually updated vaccines and antiviral medications will put a huge dent in long-term effects of COVID-19, but there are no guarantees. One thing that is nearly certain is that those who remain unvaccinated are likely to have comparably poor outcomes.

If we continue to treat Omicron’s transmissibility as an intractable problem that makes infection inevitable, we are accepting that, without a scientific silver bullet that so far doesn’t exist, we may be stuck in this pandemic indefinitely. So far, vaccine updates, such as Pfizer’s Omicron vaccine, have not arrived in time for their period of greatest need.

UK-ONS 2% of UK population allready has Long CoViD...DJ-a "pandemic still in the shadow"...

We need to look past what is right in front of our noses. If we keep approaching every variant as if it will be the last, we will never get out of this. The people who have been saying “this isn’t over” have been ignored at almost every step of this pandemic, and they have also been right every time. We can sit around and hope they are eventually wrong, or we can listen to their recommendations: N95 masks for all, sweeping changes to indoor ventilation and filtration, vaccinations and antivirals for the entire world, and measures to actually curb transmission until science can overtake the pace of viral mutation.

DJ; learning the hard way-also regaining some public will to accept "steps are needed"...because public support by now has eroded...gone !

Worldometers has the UK at 16,5 million cases so far-on a population of 68,5 million. 

DJ-New ways of vaccination, new vaccines may make a difference...nasal vaccination has been looking promissing for over a year...from Finland, Israel etc. countries did study it...so far not becoming the norm.

DJ, "since it is mild" some countries even going for "no need to isolate if you test positive without symptoms" (South Africa)...Canada may mix patients testing positive with other patients in hospital...Here in NL "the government is asking for an advice on an advice"...statistics indicate 10-30% of all positive cases may end up with "long CoViD"...a certain number for the rest of their lives...in practice-in many countries-that means living in poverty, governments simply denying the problem excists...Certainly for children-a live full of healthissues because of a preventable disease/politics not doing their job...is a shame...

Ich hab das Skript eben schnell so umgestellt, dass BA.1.1 auch einzeln dargestellt wird. Das ist vielleicht nicht die schönste, übersichlichste oder nützlichste Lösung, aber immerhin nicht mehr falsch bzw. irreführend. Könnte sich in den nächsten Tagen aber noch ändern.

DJ, I changed the script so I could include BA.1.1. . Maybe not the best option but at least is including all four German Omicron variants...(but may still be missing some Delta subvariants also increasing...)

Following this pandemic is getting a "hard job"...end of part 3

DJ, short international background; [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PUlOciVdBJw[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PUlOciVdBJw Alexander Mercouris on French-Russian talks on European security...now Italy also joining in...

Macron Speaks to Putin Again, French-Russian Talks Underway, Italy's Draghi Joins, US Suffers Debacle at UN, UK's Johnson Frozen Out News Topic 406 Telephone conversation with President of France Emmanuel Macron http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president... Telephone conversation with Prime Minister of Italy Mario Draghi http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president... https://www.un.org/press/en/2022/sc14...

DJ; [url]https://thesaker.is/high-probability-of-a-major-false-flag-psyop-in-the-ukraine/[/url] or https://thesaker.is/high-probability-of-a-major-false-flag-psyop-in-the-ukraine/ and [url]https://thesaker.is/latest-update-from-banderastan-zoo/[/url] or https://thesaker.is/latest-update-from-banderastan-zoo/ 

The EU is not waiting for another major war, even more refugees, sanctions destroying the economy and for what ? NATO moving east ? Against Russia-Iran-China security interests, breaking the early 1990's promisses of NATO NOT moving east even further ? 

Ukraine needs investments, not weapons...Europe needs trade not war..,.The US link between the US$ and global energy is outdated (and a very major US economy problem !!!) but more wars do not help....

Since each NATO-member has a right to veto on new members most of Europe now-more or less-seem to have decided on a veto against Ukraine, Georgia joining NATO....EU-Russian and EU-China talks, EU pushing for trade with Iran...simply bypassing the us...DJ, let me be very clear, biden had a chance to undo the damage trump did...he did not do the job...de facto Europe may go its own way, maybe Canada may join in...us (not even mentioning bojo any further) getting isolated....

Any further us (and uk) stupidity may "blow up" NATO....

Pandemic news; [url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/02/when-we-are-done-with-covid-the-virus-will-not-be-done-with-us.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/02/when-we-are-done-with-covid-the-virus-will-not-be-done-with-us.html ;

Some people, like New York Times columnist David Leonhardt, can not await the end of Covid.

Over the last year Leonhardt falsely predicted the end of the pandemic every few months. He then mumbled about pundit fallibility, including his own, only to again fall for it.

Pandemic in Retreat, Feb 11 2021

Covid on the Run, May 20 2021
The pandemic may now be in permanent retreat in the U.S.

Covid, in Retreat, Oct 4 2021

Pundit Accountability, Jan 10 2022
Writers and experts should be transparent about what they got wrong.

Omicron Is in Retreat, Jan 19 2022

The last headline line may by chance turn out to be correct as the next wave of Covid will likely come from a different SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern. There is no law or guarantee that it will be less severe or less immune evasive. In might in fact be the opposite on both counts.

DJ Music, Lenny Kravitz - It Ain Over Till It 's Over [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TmENMZFUU_0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TmENMZFUU_0 Everybody with some brains would love to see the end of this pandemic ! But please simply look at science....cases going up in many places, subvariants increasing...Even "Omicron is in retreat" most likely simply wrong...BA.2 increasing, BA.3 may surprise us...other Omicron subvariants most likely only not detected yet...Delta also a major factor....

People are right to still be concerned about Covid. When some say 'I'm done with it' others will suffer. Unfortunately being 'done with it' is a move that societies seem to just make after some time.

John M. Barry has written a book about the great influenza pandemic. Based on case numbers in Britain it is often claimed that the 1918-1919 pandemic came in three waves. But, Barry writes, there was a fourth one and it was also quite deadly:

Most histories of the 1918 influenza pandemic that killed at least 50 million people worldwide say it ended in the summer of 1919 when a third wave of the respiratory contagion finally subsided.

Yet the virus continued to kill. A variant that emerged in 1920 was lethal enough that it should have counted as a fourth wave. In some cities, among them Detroit, Milwaukee, Minneapolis and Kansas City, Mo., deaths exceeded even those in the second wave, responsible for most of the pandemic’s deaths in the United States. This occurred despite the fact that the U.S. population had plenty of natural immunity from the influenza virus after two years of several waves of infection and after viral lethality in the third wave had already decreased.

Nearly all cities in the United States imposed restrictions during the pandemic’s virulent second wave, which peaked in the fall of 1918. That winter, some cities reimposed controls when a third, though less deadly wave struck. But virtually no city responded in 1920. People were weary of influenza, and so were public officials. Newspapers were filled with frightening news about the virus, but no one cared. People at the time ignored this fourth wave; so did historians. The virus mutated into ordinary seasonal influenza in 1921, but the world had moved on well before.

Barry writes that we should not repeat that mistake.

Unfortunately a repeat is exactly what is likely to happen. There will be more waves, they will be deadly, but no one will give a fuck.

history keeps repeating itself...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/study-finds-why-pigs-no-we-are-not-talking-about-trudeau-or-nehammer-do-not-get-sick-despite-exposure-to-sars-cov-2-and-having-ace2-receptors[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/study-finds-why-pigs-no-we-are-not-talking-about-trudeau-or-nehammer-do-not-get-sick-despite-exposure-to-sars-cov-2-and-having-ace2-receptors DJ-I totally disagree with such titles.....relevant link; [url]https://www.nature.com/articles/s41420-021-00781-w[/url] or https://www.nature.com/articles/s41420-021-00781-w ;

Abstract

DJ, What I make of the article is that CoVid-19 can get into pig cells but in pig cells 100 times more (then in humans)  the cell "dies" so the virus can not spread. [url]https://www.wormsandgermsblog.com/2022/01/articles/animals/other-animals/omicron-and-animals/[/url] or https://www.wormsandgermsblog.com/2022/01/articles/animals/other-animals/omicron-and-animals/ ; We’re still at a time when SARS-CoV-2 is screaming through the human population, but that stage will end. Eventually we’ll reach a point where the biggest pool of potentially susceptible individuals is animals, and the relevance of animal reservoirs and animal populations as sources of variants will increase. We’re better off figuring out the issues now (as much as we can) rather than continuing to try to play catch-up later.

DJ-That SARS-2/CoViD 19 so far does not spread in pigs may not mean it will not develop that way....[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coronavirus#Farm_animals[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coronavirus#Farm_animals ; Coronaviruses also affect other branches of animal husbandry such as pig farming and the cattle raising.^[132] Swine acute diarrhea syndrome coronavirus (SADS-CoV), which is related to bat coronavirus HKU2, causes diarrhea in pigs.^[139] Porcine epidemic diarrhea virus (PEDV) is a coronavirus that has recently emerged and similarly causes diarrhea in pigs.^[140] Transmissible gastroenteritis virus (TGEV), which is a member of the species Alphacoronavirus 1,^[141] is another coronavirus that causes diarrhea in young pigs.^[142][143] In the cattle industry bovine coronavirus (BCV), which is a member of the species Betacoronavirus 1 and related to HCoV-OC43,^[144] is responsible for severe profuse enteritis in young calves.^[132]

DJ, Again I am NOT an expert...but CoVidD showing up in cows, hamsters, deer, cats, dogs...it may be only a matter of time before CoViD-19 may find a way into pigs...Good surveilance, lots of testing/sequencing should be able such spread in the early stages...

However given how wide spread pig-farming is, also in many countries with "limited animal healthcare" it may be "very difficult" to avoid some CoViD19 in pigs...reduction of (pig)transport is limiting spread of the virus....And the time to do so is NOW !!!! Not waiting till CoViD-19 did find its way into pigs...reduction of pig farming means reducing risks...

If you want to limit pandemic risks become a vegetarian riding a bike....! If possible !

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/us-fda-and-american-health-authorities-start-exploring-mushrooms,-herbs,-traditional-chinese-medicine-and-even-thai-herbal-teas-to-treat-covid-19[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/us-fda-and-american-health-authorities-start-exploring-mushrooms,-herbs,-traditional-chinese-medicine-and-even-thai-herbal-teas-to-treat-covid-19 There have been studies on how some of cheap easy to use/produce medication does effect CoViD...[url]https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2786023[/url] or https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2786023 ;

"Missing from those early hit-or-miss therapeutics, however, were traditional medicines such as Chinese herbs and medicinal mushrooms. The omission was glaring to Saxe, an epidemiologist and executive director of the Krupp Center for Integrative Research at the University of California San Diego (UCSD), whose research focuses on using food as medicine. Shubov, director of Inpatient Integrative Medicine, Center for East-West Medicine, at the University of California Los Angeles (UCLA), also found it a stark oversight.

So in April 2020, they applied to the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for approval to conduct 2 randomized phase 1 trials. The double-blind, placebo-controlled studies would evaluate the safety and feasibility of treating mild to moderate COVID-19 with either medicinal mushrooms, which have a long history as natural therapeutics for pulmonary disease, or a Chinese herb formulation that’s widely used there as a COVID-19 remedy.

The FDA ultimately sanctioned the MACH-19 (Mushrooms and Chinese Herbs for COVID-19) trials, which are now underway at UCLA and UCSD and are supported by the Krupp Endowed Fund. Meanwhile, a third MACH-19 trial is investigating the use of medicinal mushrooms as an adjuvant to COVID-19 vaccines. "

DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quinine#History[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quinine#History ; The form of quinine most effective in treating malaria was found by Charles Marie de La Condamine in 1737.^[56][57] In 1820, French researchers Pierre Joseph Pelletier and Joseph Bienaimé Caventou first isolated quinine from the bark of a tree in the genus Cinchona – probably Cinchona officinalis – and subsequently named the substance.^[58] The name was derived from the original Quechua (Inca) word for the cinchona tree bark, quina or quina-quina, which means "bark of bark" or "holy bark". Prior to 1820, the bark was dried, ground to a fine powder, and mixed into a liquid (commonly wine) in order to be drunk. Large-scale use of quinine as a malaria prophylaxis started around 1850. In 1853 Paul Briquet published a brief history and discussion of the literature on "quinquina".^[59]

We will find better treatments...but it will take a lot of time and research...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/937624-cidrap-news-scan-serious-mental-illness-amid-covid-variant-swine-flu-in-denmark-h5n1-avian-flu-in-2-countries[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/937624-cidrap-news-scan-serious-mental-illness-amid-covid-variant-swine-flu-in-denmark-h5n1-avian-flu-in-2-countries ....

DJ...running out of time..not out of news...China cases -3% (last week 447, last 7 days 434 as far as reported..)

End of part 2...

DJ, 

BLOODY HELL—UK  is proposing to **cease publishing daily #COVID19 death toll** by April under 

@BorisJohnson

’s plan to 'live with Covid'. This is how he and 

@sajidjavid

 plan to cover up their pandemic incompetence… scientists are very upset   https://msn.com/en-gb/news/world/daily-covid-death-toll-will-no-longer-be-published-by-april-under-plan-to-live-with-covid-source-says/ar-AATnhmz

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/  ;

A top 11 of countries with most cases, #1 Brazil 286,050 cases, trend for cases +10%, 923 deaths +66%

#2 France, still, 274,352 cases -20%, 264 deaths -3% [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=FRA[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=FRA a "red line"  (BA.2 ????) undefined at 2% of sequences...BA.1.1 replacing BA.1 with also still "others" around ???? 

#3 USA 255,994 cases -42%, 2,376 deaths -9% [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=USA[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=USA also lots of Omicron...but what is that green ? (BA.2?)

#4 Germany 240,218 cases +29%, 186 deaths -2%

#5 Russia 155,768 cases, +89%, 667 deaths -3%

#6 India 149,394 cases, -35%, 1,100 deaths +97%

#7 Italy 112,691 cases, -25%, 414 deaths +5%

#8 Turkey 107,530 cases +34%, 233 deaths +13%

#9 Japan 93,388 cases +49%, 78 deaths +146%

#10 UK reporting 88,171 cases, -6%, 321 deaths reported -3% [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=GBR[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=GBR another undefined green line showing up in latest data ???? AY.4.2.1 Delta ????

#11 NL....82,871 cases +35%, 7 deaths reported...-23% [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/02/03/covid-hospital-total-hits-3-week-high-average-daily-infections-near-80000[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/02/03/covid-hospital-total-hits-3-week-high-average-daily-infections-near-80000 backlog of over 100,000 tests...

Global reported cases 3,067,370 global trend -12%, 11,310 deaths reported +13%, some "new unclear variant(s) increasing" also BA.2 (and BA.3) a factor ? Of course this pandemic is far from over....it may be in the way of bla bla politics/media produce...

DJ In general most countries will have very serious problems with testing-lots of cases being missed, reporting the numbers may give results from earlier on...sequencing simply unable to deal with the extreme numbers...

[url]https://twitter.com/yaneerbaryam/status/1489251231474147331/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/yaneerbaryam/status/1489251231474147331/photo/1 ;

I.e. Omicron is nearly as severe as Delta for cases that both would infect. Due to infecting more vaccinated and prior infected individuals, which have milder cases, it seems that it is milder, but is more severe. Simpson's paradox.

DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simpson%27s_paradox[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simpson%27s_paradox ; Simpson's paradox, which also goes by several other names, is a phenomenon in probability and statistics in which a trend appears in several groups of data but disappears or reverses when the groups are combined. This result is often encountered in social-science and medical-science statistics,^[1][2][3] and is particularly problematic when frequency data is unduly given causal interpretations.^[4] The paradox can be resolved when confounding variables and causal relations are appropriately addressed in the statistical modeling.^[4][5] Simpson's paradox has been used to illustrate the kind of misleading results that the misuse of statistics can generate.^[6][7]

UK data: Omicron is as severe as Delta for cases that would be infected by Delta, and infects people who would not be infected by Delta (due to immunity of prior infection or vaccination). Those cases are less severe. By Simpsons paradox Omicron seems less severe, but is more

So if one would look at the unvaccinated group-to put it simple-Omicron may be worse then Delta...(Here Omicron stands for BA.1 and BA.1.1 I think...BA.2, BA.3 still have to show up...). 

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-CoV-2_Omicron_variant#Sublineages_and_BA.2_subvariant[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-CoV-2_Omicron_variant#Sublineages_and_BA.2_subvariant ; 

Trends from the other Scandinavian countries, India, South Africa and the United Kingdom also suggest that BA.2 is increasing in proportion to the original BA.1.^[71][72]

Severity and immunity

As of 24 January, Danish healthcare authorities had not seen differences between BA.1 and BA.2 in hospitalizations or severity, and early data from India points in the same direction.^[52][70][73] Norwegian studies show that the amount of virus in the upper airways is similar in those infected with BA.1 and BA.2.^[72] In Norway, a few people infected with BA.2 had been infected with BA.1 earlier.^[73] In Denmark, preliminary data shows breakthrough rates in people that had been vaccinated or had been infected with COVID-19 before that are similar to the breakthrough and reinfection rates seen for BA.1,^[70] but further study is necessary.^[74] An initial study by the UK Health Security Agency found that vaccines afford similar levels of protection against symptomatic disease by BA.1 and BA.2, and in both it is considerably higher after two doses and a booster than two doses without booster.^[75][76] Further studies are being conducted by the Danish Statens Serum Institut and the UK Health Security Agency.^[48][60]

DJ...A look at DenmarK (DK) yesterday 41,712 new cases, -0,9%,  21 deaths, +10% on a population of 5,8 million....[url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=DNK[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=DNK ...another unnamed "green"showing up replacing Omicron subvariants ????

Maybe outbreak.info needs an update...bizarre !

Another interesting country remains Israel, 58,677 new cases, -20%, 86 deaths +205%....[url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=ISR[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=ISR again BA.2 after BA.1, BA.1.1 being replaced by "something green"????

[url]https://www.timesofisrael.com/nearly-300-ba-2-cases-found-in-israel-health-official-denies-omicron-reinfections/[/url] or https://www.timesofisrael.com/nearly-300-ba-2-cases-found-in-israel-health-official-denies-omicron-reinfections/ ; 

Some 300 cases of the new BA.2 COVID-19 variant have been detected in Israel, primarily among people returning from abroad, Dr. Sharon Alroy-Preis, head of public health services at the Health Ministry, said on Wednesday.

“There are currently 297 cases with the new BA.2 variant,” Alroy-Preis said at a meeting of the Knesset Health Committee.

Dismissing reports by Channel 12 and the Kan public broadcaster on Tuesday pointing to several cases of people being reinfected with the new BA.2 strain after having the original Omicron variant, she said the Health Ministry was not aware of any cases of reinfection among those who have recovered from Omicron.

“There was not one case of reinfection among those who have recovered from Omicron,” Alroy-Preis said.

“For someone who has recently recovered, contracting a relatively similar virus” is unlikely, as the new strain “needs to be different enough that the antibodies that helped him recover would not protect him,” she explained, adding that “at this point we don’t know of such a case.”

DJ, Media-Expert-Politics simply not answering questions...playing hide-and-seek....

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/u-s-cdc-forecast-that-another-75,000-americans-will-die-from-covid-19-by-end-of-february-2022-despite-falling-omicron-rates[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/u-s-cdc-forecast-that-another-75,000-americans-will-die-from-covid-19-by-end-of-february-2022-despite-falling-omicron-rates  Thailand Medical News, with BA.2 showing up 110,000 US deaths more realistic...their link to [url]https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/science/forecasting/forecasting-us.html#anchor_1587397564229[/url] or https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/science/forecasting/forecasting-us.html#anchor_1587397564229 

DJ US now at 920,829 CoViD deaths...most likely the US will be over the 1 million CoViD deaths before march 1...I was wrong in predicting BA.2 would get its own name before february 1...Some on twitter claimed "politics" have decided "Omicron will end this pandemic" ....so either all new variants may become "subvariants of Omicron" or the "bojo-solution" we simply stop testing, sequencing, reporting....ignore bodies piling up...party-time...

This pandemic did show politics doing a very bad job ! This world-at least the "west" is run by sociopaths...Their way of "solving a problem" is creating an even bigger problem". Global war may indeed end this pandemic...but it is time for better leaders...we deserve better !

End of part 1

work in progres

A backgroundstory [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-new-highly-virulent-hiv-variant-discovered-in-netherlands-that-is-now-spreading-around-europe-beware-having-sex-with-the-dutch-or-british[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-new-highly-virulent-hiv-variant-discovered-in-netherlands-that-is-now-spreading-around-europe-beware-having-sex-with-the-dutch-or-british (DJ-I do NOT agree with the way they write articles...). HIV-AIDS and CoViD-19 may find ways to interact....

People with HIV may be unable to get rid of the virus (even more then others...) so CoViD may find all kinds of mutations inside the host. 

BA.2 lineage of Omicron eclipses BA.1 to become predominant in Gujarat. BA.2 accounts for 45.7% of 448 samples sequenced in Jan. BA.1 accounts for 28%. Researchers say mutations in BA.2 as seen in India appear diff than that seen in other countries. https://ahmedabadmirror.com/ba2-lineage-of-omicron-now-predominant-in-guj/81819975.html

DJ [url]https://twitter.com/JosetteSchoenma[/url] or https://twitter.com/JosetteSchoenma retweet; I (DJ) expected that since the extreme number of cases there by now would be all kind of sub-variants of Omicron...but-so far-it is believed to be very limited (BA.1, BA.1.1 and BA.2 the major three, BA.3 may be increasing still in low numbers...). 

[url]https://twitter.com/DFsuzgun/status/1488608477777911812[/url] or https://twitter.com/DFsuzgun/status/1488608477777911812 in Sweden because of Omicron; 50% less trains, 20% less truckdrivers, 

Large grocery stores in Sweden are forced to shutdown departments because of rampant covid infection amoung staff... Seems like a let rip mentality having the same effects but much worse... If the FHM only had enough common sense to know that  https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/tvingades-stanga-delar-av-matbutik-stort-personalbortfall-orsaken

and The infection levels are so high in Stockholm that school, mail, fire, and waste services are being severely affected https://mitti.se/nyheter/sa-paverkas-stockholm-av-omikron/repvat!YqjCh98gjGZyBJmRx6TfA/

based on the idea of "herd immunity" ; catching Omicron would boost immunity-madness....

Welcome to Sweden where children have to wait up to 16 hours to see a doctor in the emergency room... I wonder if they still think it was good idea to keep school open during peak of pandemic  https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/lakare-larmar-om-bristande-vard-for-barn

of course most children NOT vaccinated and indications Omicron and Delta-in general-do lots of damage in those without good enough protection....

[url]https://www.science.org/content/article/sudden-rise-more-transmissible-form-omicron-catches-scientists-surprise#.YfqfkiA2904.twitter[/url] or https://www.science.org/content/article/sudden-rise-more-transmissible-form-omicron-catches-scientists-surprise#.YfqfkiA2904.twitter 

Surprise!  Besides the title, this is one of the best written and complete pieces about BA.2 I've read so far. 'Sudden rise of more transmissible form of Omicron catches scientists by surprise'

somehow in the middle of a pandemic another wave is surprising ? 

Try NOT to catch CoViD !

DJ, CoViD-19 subvariants able to infect over and over again are part of the worst case scenario we are now in..."politics" lifting restrictions because "we have to live with it" meaning lots of people dying from it...

"this pandemic is over" claims showing "media-experts-politics" now run out of other lies....going for denialism....(like in climate collapse....bla-bla...). No doubt blaming the victim "you did this to yourself" and marginilization will be part of the strategy...news that this pandemic is far from over is "alarmists" and "causing unrest"....history keeps repeating itself...

Malgorzata (Gosia) Gasperowicz

@GosiaGasperoPhD

·

11h

Very important article and thread. An absolutely essential read  On how Omicron will provide little immunity, leading to a crisis of repeated infection unless we change our behaviour. "It’s a delusion to think mass spread of Omicron will end the pandemic"

link to [url]https://twitter.com/BlakeMMurdoch/status/1488163797168623616[/url] or https://twitter.com/BlakeMMurdoch/status/1488163797168623616 and this article [url]https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/article-its-a-delusion-to-think-mass-spread-of-omicron-will-end-the-pandemic/[/url] or https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/article-its-a-delusion-to-think-mass-spread-of-omicron-will-end-the-pandemic/ 

BA.2 likely to cause cases to rise in South Africa again (there is plenty of data out there on BA.2's exponential growth): https://twitter.com/TWenseleers/status/1487919837670219781?s=20

DJ Will politics defund scientists with unwelcome findings ? Create tax problems for "unwelcome scientists" ? (like those against the Vietnam war did see tax problems...) 

Not a very encouraging title or report: "#SARSCoV2 invades cognitive centers of the brain and induces Alzheimer's-like neuropathology" https://biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.01.31.478476v1… (based on 5 cases; whether and how often the virus directly infects neurons is a controversy)

We are supposed to live with this ? For "the economy/the rich"? 

Here is what “mild” #Omicron looks like in Brazil—the steepest rate of  surge in cases & #COVID19 deaths in over a year. 

@jairbolsonaro

 should maybe solve his country’s suffering instead of Twitter blocking an epidemiologist begging him to save lives. HT 

@DrWilliamKu

[url]https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1489417227283664896/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1489417227283664896/photo/1 DJ, most experst expect BA.2 to be the next wave, some also point to other (delta) variants...

end of part 3

KiwiMum, as far as I understand some virus/bacteria may be hiding in a "host" waiting for a chance to spread...in that way even a cold may have risks....Nasty creatures !

Mouthwash/salt water gurgling can limit upper respitory infections, I once had [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aphthous_stomatitis[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aphthous_stomatitis (canker sores/mouth ulcers  .... in Dutch "aften" ) so "a chance to learn"....

-On the pandemic (where mouthwash is a simple, effective intervention maybe not yet used enough !); my view on "present global strategy" is "there is no strategy"...just some sort of "believe" "Omicron is mild" and let "Omicron" spread so it will give immunity an extra boost...long term immunity...That "believe" is hopium, NOT science !

So far february did allready see close to 50,000 CoViD deaths...BA.1 and BA.1.1 of Omicron may be "mild for vaccinated", doing a lot of harm in those without enough protection but still also spreading in the vaccinated...BA.2 is now getting dominant in some places, other seem to see some Delta (sub)variants going up as well...

The idea that "Omicron" will end this pandemic may be just as unrealistic as the idea of letting vaccinated people spread the virus...The "plan" is a bussinessplan, this pandemic a "for profit oppertunity" with massive corruption in many countries...

-[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ global cases 2,914,608 trend -13%, 11,287 deaths trend +13%...in many places simply not enough testing so also sequencing for variants is not good enough to get a view on what variants are spreading...

In total 71 countries reporting increase of cases...In some countries cases are going down but from extreme high levels...France yesterday still reporting 241,049 cases trend -23%, 355 deaths, trend 0%...France had 1,912,163 cases the last 7 days...the week before 2,474,729 cases...last two weeks close to 4,4 million cases on a population of 65,5 million...around 6% of the population getting infected. Total French number of cases is at 20,388,390...1-in-5 of them from the last two weeks...France had 311,256 cases per million did see 2,018 deaths per million..

In other words so far 31,1% of all French tested positive in this pandemic, 0,2% of the French so far died in it..[url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=FRA[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=FRA and last data showing BA.1 and small traces of BA.2, BA.1.1 may be decreasing...all Omicron...

Some other countries with high reported increase of cases; Cameroon...may have gotten tests to see what is happening. From 0 cases last week 2,605 this week (+260,500%), also Gambia was able to do some testing...Lack of testing-certainly in Africa-is missing new variants !!!! 

Tonga-after the volcano explosion-did see aid bringing the first CoViD cases..6 of them, hope they are isolated !

Indonesia +228%....[url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=IDN[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=IDN BA.1 massive spread, even keeping BA.1.1 and BA.2 small...deaths in Indonesia +176%...Indonesia population is 278,1million, populationwise the 4th country in the world (After China, India, USA)

Iran cases +206%, deaths +77%...[url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=IRN[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=IRN only 494 sequences...so GISAID/Outbreak can not see what variants may be spreading in Iran...

Sorry to see New Zealand cases +118%, 1 death...numbers still limited...(DJ Should NZ still be sticking to some travel restrictions ? Well they still do ! Just like Australia also New Zealand did even close its borders for its own citizens outside the border...and that was a very hard choice...I believe tourism to New Zealand may be allowed in october if this pandemic allows...)

South Korea +90%, Japan +45% [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=JPN&dark=true[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=JPN&dark=true Japan all now BA.1.1 Omicron...

Russia +85%, Chile +51%, Papua New Guinea +35%, NL +29% ....[url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=NLD&dark=true[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=NLD&dark=true BA.1 was replaced by BA.1.1 with BA.2 increasing...will be dominant in a few weeks...cases going up fast by then...

Germany +27%, Thailand +12% ...China +1% (last 7 days 395 cases, the week before 391...would be very welcome if these numbers are real, eventhough China is using "symptomatic cases" as definition for a case, not positive testing...)

Brazil cases -0,3%, South Africa -6%, Denmark -7%, UK -9%, Israel -13%, USA -43%...

DJ, Once I had the hope cases going down would maybe bring an end to the pandemic...now I only expect another wave soon will follow....Maybe a total lack of plan may be, by now, the hardest part of this pandemic. Hope on "better vaccines" may be the most realistic "hope" eventhough that also will take many months to show some effects...Nasal vaccines look promissing...

Also better treatments-so when you get infected damage can be limited-may be "developing"...but healthcare is seeing more and more staff problems. All over society people doing the jobs see to many cases...

Indications are infection with BA.1 does NOT !!!! offer protection against BA.2 infection...lots of people will get infected ! Number of "positive tests/cases" may stay above the million per day for months...

It is good to keep an eye on mutations like [url]https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues[/url] or https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues AY.102 in Germany, [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=DEU&dark=true[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=DEU&dark=true showing however AY.102 (by now) may hardly be a factor...still only small mutations showing up in an increasing number of sequences (cases) may indicate a "new variant" may be "born/developing".

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/vitamin-d-deficiency-associated-with-increased-covid-19-severity-and-mortality/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/vitamin-d-deficiency-associated-with-increased-covid-19-severity-and-mortality/ Vitamin D supplements, (healthy food, exercise) are factors you can influence ! 

Certainly with news like [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba2/denmark-omicron-ba-2-predicted-to-cause-100-of-infections-within-10-days/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba2/denmark-omicron-ba-2-predicted-to-cause-100-of-infections-within-10-days/  BA.2 may be even better in "finding you"...

[url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=DNK&dark=true[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=DNK&dark=true is underlining the Denmark story; BA.2 now 34% of all (over 300,000 !!!) DK sequences of the last 60 days...pushing aside BA.1 and BA.1.1..

Denmark’s Statens Serum Institut have published a report on the growth of the BA.2 sub-lineage. They predict that BA.2 will cause 100% of all Covid infections in Denmark by mid February 2022.

The report, entitled “Growth rates for the Omicron variants BA.1 and BA.2.” has been machine translated and can be read in English below.

Using Cornelius Roemer’s Binder app, we can see that BA.2 had already been found in about 80% of sequences in Denmark in late January

DJ, [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/two-new-studies-shows-sars-cov-2-infections-will-ultimately-lead-to-enhanced-risk-of-developing-neurodegenerative-diseases-like-alzheimer-s-or-parkins[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/two-new-studies-shows-sars-cov-2-infections-will-ultimately-lead-to-enhanced-risk-of-developing-neurodegenerative-diseases-like-alzheimer-s-or-parkins lots of reasons for trying NOT to get SARS-2/CoViD-19 !!! 

Social distancing, masks, limiting contacts all still work ! But not every one is in the same position...

Stay safe & sane, end of part 1...if I find time part 2 later on 

DJ, Numbers

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/uk/uk-covid-bounces-back-massive-under-reporting-in-official-figures/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/uk/uk-covid-bounces-back-massive-under-reporting-in-official-figures/ ; 

“Confirmed case data is missing thousands of LFT results, leading to massive under-reporting.”

Over the past few weeks, the UK government’s confirmed cases data has begun to move further away from ZOE’s findings. There are a number of reasons for this. The biggest factor is the change in testing behaviour that has happened this year. ZOE Contributors are now logging more positive LFTs in the app, and fewer PCRs. 

LFTs no longer have to be confirmed by a PCR so are often not being logged with the government, so confirmed case data is missing thousands of LFT results, leading to massive under-reporting.

UK Covid App ZOE: UK back to 200,000 cases a day

DJ; One way to "work the numbers" is to tell people to test at home and then exclude positive cases from at home tests...worked well in NL...

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/02/05/covid-icu-total-shows-biggest-increase-two-months-61-now-testing-positive[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/02/05/covid-icu-total-shows-biggest-increase-two-months-61-now-testing-positive ;

Intensive care units in the Netherlands were treating 229 patients with Covid-19 on Saturday afternoon, reflecting the biggest single-day increase since December 7. The figure rose by 15 patients after accounting for new admissions, discharges, and deaths, according to patient coordination office LCPS. The tally showed its first significant weekly increase, 8 percent, in about two months.

There were 1,363 patients with the disease in all hospital departments, three fewer than on Friday. That was still 21 percent higher compared to a week ago. The regular care wards were treating 1,134 Covid-19 patients, a net reduction of 18.

Hospitals in the Netherlands admitted 189 new patients with the disease in the past 24 hours, including nine sent directly to intensive care. Hospitals admitted an average of 194 people each of the past seven days, up 31 percent in a week to the highest level since Christmas Eve.

Meanwhile, the data backlog regarding coronavirus infection figures in the Netherlands worsened since Friday. A total of 176,000 positive tests have not been recorded by the agency over the past 19 days due to information systems issues at the GGD, the RIVM said on Saturday. That rose from 124,000 the previous day.

It was clear that a positive diagnosis was given to 61.1 percent of people tested by the GGD during the seven-day period ending on February 3. That set a new record high in the Netherlands. About 143,000 people were tested daily during that period, down from the record of 146,500 recorded towards the end of January.

DJ, It is also getting harder to get tested, GP's work on diagnoses, do have their own tests...

-[url]https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/428[/url] or https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/428 ; 

Description
Sub-lineage of: BA.2
Earliest sequence: 23/12/2021
Most recent sequence: 18/01/2022
Countries circulating: India, also found in Singapore, Bangladesh and Germany

Defining mutations
Amino acids: Spike: G798D
Nuc: G23955A

DJ, Omicron would give sub-variants...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-new-omicron-sub-lineage-not-yet-named-with-additional-28-mutations-including-f643l-and-a701v-wreaking-havoc-in-brazil[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-new-omicron-sub-lineage-not-yet-named-with-additional-28-mutations-including-f643l-and-a701v-wreaking-havoc-in-brazil describing a possible new subvariant of Omicron (BA.1.2 ???) spreading high speed in some parts of Brazil...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/  total reported cases for saterday february 5 ;2,226,645, -15% and 8,337 deaths +10%...

61 countries reporting an increase of cases, a 100 countries reporting an increase of deaths.

BA.2 was supposed to be increasing fast [url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=BA.2&loc=ZAF&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected=Worldwide&overlay=false[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=BA.2&loc=ZAF&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected=Worldwide&overlay=false however showing it allready did peak a t january 27?  

[url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=BRA[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=BRA in Brazil BA.1 (70% of sequences) is dominant...no doubt the above mentioned mutated form (to become BA,1,2 ?) still Brazil trends cases -5%, deaths +43%...

Chile showing cases +41%, deaths +78% so a look there [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=CHL&dark=true[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=CHL&dark=true there BA.1 was 38% and BA.1.1 (increasing still ?) 29% of all sequences...both variants make up allmost all of the latest Chile cases...

Atgentina did see a (short) explosion of cases, now trends cases -49%, deaths (just) +1% [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=ARG&dark=true[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=ARG&dark=true BA.1.1 now being replaced by BA.1...

A look at another region to see what is happening there UK -the England part [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=GBR_GB-RW5nbGFuZA&dark=true[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=GBR_GB-RW5nbGFuZA&dark=true BA.1 was dominant...BA.2 9limited) and BA.1.1 looked as if they would increase but at the last moment BA.1 regaining dominance...suggesting a mutation in the BA.1 giving it advantage over competitors...such a picture would suggest an increase of cases...not the UK.gov fraudulent numbers...of cases -5%...[url]https://covid.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://covid.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time both UK and England cases most likely increasing...

DJ This pandemic is the outcome of bankrupt political "neo-liberal conservative" thinking...dealing with any crisis as a for profit oppertunity....

If we do not change that way of thinking we are killing ourselves...in lab/test settings [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/sheep-infected-with-sars-cov-2/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/sheep-infected-with-sars-cov-2/ and [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/preprint-red-foxes-infected-with-sars-cov-2/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/preprint-red-foxes-infected-with-sars-cov-2/ 

DJ-again I am NOT an expert, but if "viral pressure" last long enough CoViD-19 may become spread in lots of species, (most likely allready in some sort of deer, mice...but so far limited risks there...no further spread-yet-into other species). Also we may be close to variants able to infect their host over and over again...the "goal" of the virus is reproduction...and the more hosts, times of infection, the more spread....

We are now without even a real strategy, fooling ourselves "Omicron is mild" well it is developing..not the end of the pandemic...A look at "Delta" [url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports/delta?loc=IND&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports/delta?loc=IND&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected may indicate Delta allmost gone by now. However some subvariants like AY.127 "hamster Delta" in Hong Kong [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=HKG[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=HKG should warn us...[url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=AY.127&loc=HKG&selected=Worldwide&overlay=false[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=AY.127&loc=HKG&selected=Worldwide&overlay=false ...

If CoViD-19 gets into non-human hosts it may start its own evolution...sooner or later it may come back to us...Omicron-evolution has been linked to mice...

DJ-My view, this pandemic is still getting worse...next wave will hit us even harder...New (sub) variants have to compete with allready very infectious variants and lots of immunity...

This pandemic is FAR from over...

Music, Carpenters -We've Only Just Begun - 1970 [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5kPD4LtA1vo[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5kPD4LtA1vo ...we need a long term strategy based on realism NOT hopium...

End of part 1

DJ, 

Limited new news....[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/uk/scotland/scotland-covid-cases-hospitalizations-and-deaths-by-vaccination-status-january-2022/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/uk/scotland/scotland-covid-cases-hospitalizations-and-deaths-by-vaccination-status-january-2022/ suggesting a high level of vaccinated still catching Omicron...You would have to relate the number of people vaccinated +  infected with the general level of vaccination...If 90% of a population is double vaccinated and around that number of vaccinated ends up in hospital one may think vaccines are not that good any longer...but even then you may take a further look at gender, age, underlying health...

The first people vaccinated in many countries were the "old and vulnarable"...they did die in a much higher % then healthy younger people did...vaccines may not have made that much difference...(I believe it was Norway ? Scandinavia ? They decided NOT to vaccinate some because vaccination would mean a major job for the vaccinated...). 

So-I allready had the view vaccines were "far from perfect, but likely better then nothing" [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/denmark-about-70-of-covid-hospitalizations-are-fully-vaccinated/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/denmark-about-70-of-covid-hospitalizations-are-fully-vaccinated/ may sound alarming...

The figures show that about 85% of new Covid cases and about 75% of hospitalizations are fully vaccinated.  The narrative of hospitals being full of unvaccinated patients falls apart once you look at the raw data rather than the often used per 100,000 of population figure that is being spun by governments worldwide.

I did not believe that claim...vaccines may offer some protection...I think one could find a 85 y/o male after a booster may have as much protection as a 20 y/o woman without vaccine...Immunity does "age" gets much less effective, males have more ACE-2 receptors then females...Vaccines may "help" but can NOT get us out of this pandemic...

If ADE, immunity spreading the virus was showing the statistics would most likely be even worse...but again I am not an expert...

-A short look at [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ showing sunday numbers; 1,860,307 cases, trend -16%, 6,352 deaths, trend +8%....If cases peaked around january 20 (with 3,785,646 cases...I was not correct in expecting numbers to go much higher...allthough lots of cases were missed by lack of testing) and it may take 4 to 6 weeks before it translates into a peak in deaths then that peak would show end of this month...

BA.2 seems to be DEcreasing worldwide [url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=BA.2&loc=ZAF&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected=Worldwide&overlay=false[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=BA.2&loc=ZAF&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected=Worldwide&overlay=false but going up in the UK [url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=BA.2&loc=ZAF&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected=GBR&overlay=false[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=BA.2&loc=ZAF&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected=GBR&overlay=false  for the US the signal is less clear [url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=BA.2&loc=ZAF&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected=USA&overlay=false[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=BA.2&loc=ZAF&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected=USA&overlay=false ...

On a global level BA.1.1 [url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=BA.1.1&loc=ZAF&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected=Worldwide&overlay=false[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=BA.1.1&loc=ZAF&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected=Worldwide&overlay=false could be pushing up numbers...replacing BA.1 [url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=BA.1&loc=ZAF&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected=Worldwide&overlay=false[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=BA.1&loc=ZAF&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected=Worldwide&overlay=false  but the picture is getting more and more complicated...

Tonga cases +800%, now 8 cases after the volcano explosion...Indonesia cases +205%...US cases -51%....DenmarK allready has BA.2 being dominant, DK cases now -8%, deaths +10%...some of the deaths may allready include deaths from BA.2...With Delta people dying from it 3 weeks after a positive test, BA.1/BA.1.1 did take much more time...(peak much more spread...over weeks...looking at South Africa...). 

COVID can cause immune deficiency in everyone, not just the previously immune compromised. https://youtu.be/OkFGJj1zUFI 

[url]https://twitter.com/amymitchellart/status/1489808100001558528[/url] or https://twitter.com/amymitchellart/status/1489808100001558528 

Another major difference between Omicron (so far) and earlier CoViD variants, Omicron (so far) is not filling up ICU's, though it may overrun hospital capacity....much less respitory problems, more "all-over-the-body" and immunity problems...."Bad" but in a different way...this may also explain why there is no clear peak in deaths, Omicron may be a "slow killer"...not mild but different...

-In society the main-message almost seems to be "Omicron is ending this pandemic" while it may be only changing it...

We are all totally fed up, sick and tired of this pandemic...only "the virus does not care about our feelings"...we should be doing that !

The general public-within months-may see "living with the virus" was "not a good idea", deathly...We can NOT return to an old normal and may have to deal with an increased pandemic risk for the rest of our lives...And that is "bad news", will giva a lot of unrest and uncertainty in wich leadership and vision are essential. For now the main problem is politics may be missing both...

and Gosh. Vaccine escape of BA.2 looks similar - and quite possibly less - than that of BA.1. Yet despite this, BA.2 exhibiting sizable growth advantages everywhere, even in places like Denmark, where coverage is 83%. (Table from @UKHSA vaccine report https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1050721/Vaccine-surveillance-report-week-4.pdf…)

maybe indicating the limits of vaccines...Newer variants may make present vaccines of close to 0 use..is my non-expert view...Even if better vaccines show up "vaccinating the world" at best will take months (If you look at present vaccinations, we are only "vaccinating the rich" countries...). 

If the global vaccine strategy would be vaccinating those most at risk most of the vaccines would go to Africa, Asia, Latin America...so a second vaccination campain-more intended to end this pandemic, slow down both spread and new variants can not be "for profit"....DJ-I do expect China, India, South Africa, Cuba/Iran to take a lead in that campain...

Let me get somewhat political; The Chinese Communist Party is the only party in China (as far as I know) but still it needs public support....[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_Communist_Party[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_Communist_Party it has over 95 million members on a population of 1,4 billion...around 7% of the population is a CCP member...Here in NL less then 1% of the population is a member of a political party...

When you look at the CCP website-for western eyes-it may look like North Korea...Xi as the national hero...However trying to understand how it works may be better then jumping to conclusions...China did fight poverty...now seen as a "rich country" by the World Bank. 

I believe a former Malaysian foreign minister (FM) warned the US, the alternative for the CCP in China may be (ultra) nationalists...even more anti-US...

Yes, I think China is a CCP dictatorship, but confrontation makes matters worse, communication-and selfreflection-may work better. 

Can other (poor) countries learn from China's public health ? DJ-I do regret bikes were replaced by cars in China's mega-cities...In this pandemic we have to work together to get out of this crisis...

End of part 1

DJ, 

a look at number-news....[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ ; reported cases on monday-reflecting sunday numbers;

New reported cases 1,855,673 trend -16%, deaths 8,325 trend +8%...

Russia reporting a very high number; 171,905 cases (#1 for sunday numbers) trend +63%, 609 deaths +2% 

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-china-imposes-urgent-stringent-lockdown-in-city-of-baise-near-vietnam-border-due-to-surge-by-sars-cov-2-delta-ay-122-subvariant[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-china-imposes-urgent-stringent-lockdown-in-city-of-baise-near-vietnam-border-due-to-surge-by-sars-cov-2-delta-ay-122-subvariant  is linking that high number for Russia with the AY.122 Delta subvariant...however [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=RUS[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=RUS BA.1.1 and BA.1 Omicron seem to be replacing AY.122 in Russia.

(Update ; 

In the article also Vietnam is mentioned as being hard hit by AY.122...

Also for Vietnam [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=VNM&dark=true[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=VNM&dark=true ; AY.122 is not even mentioned...AY.57 most likely still a major problem.

[url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=AY.122&loc=IND&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=AY.122&loc=IND&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected still 35 of all global sequences show AY.122 (and then there is also AY.122.1 to AY.122.3). So, AY.122 was a problem in Russia, may be a problem in a China-Vietnam bordertown. However does not look as a major Vietnam problem...

[url]https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/419[/url] or https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/419 ; 

Description
Sub-lineage of: AY.122
Earliest sequence: 2021/10/12 (Switzerland)
Most recent sequence: 2022/1/4 (Switzerland)
Countries circulating: mainly Switzerland and France

Substitutions on top of AY.122:

News from 11 days ago...so it may be wise to keep an eye on it...

[url]https://twitter.com/LenaSchimmel/status/1490469494107561987/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/LenaSchimmel/status/1490469494107561987/photo/1 ;

Lena Schimmel

@LenaSchimmel

·

Feb 7

Da diese Grafiken oft auf verschlungenen Wegen durch das Internet wandern, fehlt oft etwas Kontext dazu, wo sie her kommen und wo es täglich die aktuelle Fassung gibt. Daher steht nun unten die Repository-URL (sowie seit eben gerade auch der Dateiname) unter jedem Bild. !B

1

3

17

trying to keep an eye on Omicron in Germany...Colorfull pictures look nice but you have to keep an eye on what they are trying to tell, Blue-Delta going down, BA.1 (including BA.1.1 ???) did go up, may go down by now (february 7)...BA.2 is increasing...BA.3 still under 1% of all German cases...(look at the logaritmic scale).

Germany reporting 138,867 cases, trend +20%, 129 deaths -4% (and tending to go up)...Also [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=DEU[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=DEU indicating Omicron is major...however AY.122 (!), AY.43 also around...Again a warning that Omicron may NOT replace ALL the Delta subvariants !

A look at Israel; [url]https://www.timesofisrael.com/israels-1263-serious-covid-cases-break-new-record-even-as-transmission-rate-ebbs/[/url] or https://www.timesofisrael.com/israels-1263-serious-covid-cases-break-new-record-even-as-transmission-rate-ebbs/ ; 

Serious illness much more likely for unvaccinated; coronavirus czar says Omicron-fueled wave not over yet; positive test rate of 28.79% highest since start of pandemic.

The ministry said serious cases were much more common among the unvaccinated: Among unvaccinated patients aged 60 and up, there were 415.6 serious cases per 100,000 people compared with 35.9 for their vaccinated counterparts.

Some 37,985 new coronavirus cases were diagnosed on Saturday, with a test positivity rate of 28.79% — also the highest rate since the beginning of the pandemic. Experts say the true number of cases is probably much higher and testing is more limited on weekends. On Saturday, over 146,000 PCR and antigen tests were conducted, down from around 400,000 daily tests a week ago.

DJ Israel at #10 for new cases with 50,878 cases (on a population of 9,3 million) trend -23%, but still extreme numbers ! With 46 deaths, trend +30% (421 last 7 days, 324 the week before).

[url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=ISR&dark=true[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=ISR&dark=true ; BA.1 being replaced by BA.1.1 and-still limited BA.2

The general idea is BA.2 may become dominant in many parts of western Europe this month, [url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=BA.2&loc=ZAF&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected=Worldwide&overlay=false[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=BA.2&loc=ZAF&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected=Worldwide&overlay=false however still showing BA.2 decreasing on a global scale...

For that matter the global picture is "complex" with some countries still showing cases racing up, others with cases falling high speed (US -46%)...also the sort of variants being mixed...

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/uk/scotland/scotland-covid-cases-hospitalizations-and-deaths-by-vaccination-status-january-2022/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/uk/scotland/scotland-covid-cases-hospitalizations-and-deaths-by-vaccination-status-january-2022/ ;

In all categories – cases, hospitalizations and deaths – in raw numbers, the triple boosted are now faring worse than even the double vaccinated.

Even if you use the case rate per 100,000 people, (a trick used by Covid statistics hucksters worldwide), the figure for the double vaccinated, in cases, hospitalizations and deaths, is worse than the figure for the unvaccinated.

Public Health Scotland: COVID-19 statistical report as at 31 January 2022 (PDF download)

As has happened in Denmark over the past month, we expect these comparisons to deteriorate as BA.2 takes hold in Scotland.

DJ; going for "per 100,000" allows comparing statistics...A high level of the population is boostered..so yes a lot of boostered ending up in hospital may indicate vaccines are not that protective any longer...But looking at general statistics vaccines still do save millions of lives ! 

End of part 1

DJ, More on it tomorrow but [url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/02/europe-should-leave-nato-behind-and-integrate-with-russia.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/02/europe-should-leave-nato-behind-and-integrate-with-russia.html ;

In the late 1990s Russia indeed tried to integrate with Europe, NATO or a follow up organization. That was rejected by the U.S. which did not want another big dog among its pack of European ankle-biters.

But what Karaganov seems to envision now is an integration of Russia with Europe without U.S. involvement.

That is certainly something the French President Macron would also like to see. France has long insisted on European sovereignty including in defense matters. German's chancellor Scholz would likewise agree with it. As would other west-European countries.

This especially after the U.S. president arrogantly asserted power over a German-Russian economic project the U.S. no relation with. This even while Chancellor Scholz, standing next him, avoided to make any commitment in that regard:

PRESIDENT BIDEN: The first question first. If Germany — if Russia invades — that means tanks or troops crossing^* the — the border of Ukraine again — then there will be — we — there will be no longer a Nord Stream 2. We will bring an end to it.

Q: But how will you — how will you do that exactly, since the project and control of the project is within Germany’s control?

PRESIDENT BIDEN: We will — I promise you, we’ll be able to do it.

Such talk alone should be reason enough for Germany to leave NATO and to kick the remaining U.S. troops out of its country.

But to set up an alternative organization is not easy. The current European Union structures in Brussels do not allow for doing that under an EU umbrella. A new alliance of France, German, Spain and maybe Italy could be a decent start to then integrate with Russia. That would certainly also attract other European NATO members though some eastern European countries would probably lag because of their historic Russia phobia.

That all may look to be far outside of the current horizon. But we should remember that it was a U.S. president who just five years ago considered to leave NATO.

should make EU leaders clear the US is NOT a friend of Europe...[url]https://thesaker.is/vladimir-putin-held-talks-with-president-of-the-french-republic-emmanuel-macron-at-the-kremlin/[/url] or https://thesaker.is/vladimir-putin-held-talks-with-president-of-the-french-republic-emmanuel-macron-at-the-kremlin/ transcript public part Macron-Putin talks.

-[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/02/08/dutch-covid-hospital-total-hits-five-week-high-infections-average-nears-87000-likely[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/02/08/dutch-covid-hospital-total-hits-five-week-high-infections-average-nears-87000-likely ; 

Meanwhile, corrected figures from the RIVM put the average number of daily coronavirus infections at 86,933, likely a record for the Netherlands. The new seven-day average was more than two-thirds higher than the average of 32,354 reported on January 16, when the institute and the GGD municipal health services first started struggling with a substantial backlog of data due to the rapid pace in which infection numbers grew.

On Tuesday, they introduced a plan to eliminate the main cause of the bottleneck. The country’s primary coronavirus test sites can now upload data directly to the RIVM, before sending figures to the association that organizes all branches of the GGD.

That resulted in the RIVM reporting that nearly 400,000 new coronavirus infections were registered between Monday in Tuesday morning, though about 315,000 of them were diagnosed between January 17 and February 7. The latest update showed that the backlog of data may have been far worse than the RIVM said in previous statements about the issue. On Monday, it said that about 191,000 infections had yet to be counted. 

DJ, lots of cases simply not getting tested...Most of them may stay without symptoms but see increased risk for healthissues-then-not related to CoViD...we will see "excess deaths" increase...

-[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-brazilian-and-american-study-discovers-that-the-testes-of-males-could-be-viral-sanctuaries-for-the-sars-cov-2-virus[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-brazilian-and-american-study-discovers-that-the-testes-of-males-could-be-viral-sanctuaries-for-the-sars-cov-2-virus Men have more ace-2 receptors...one of the reasons why they may be more at risk...

kiwiMum, there may be "good science" for 3 weeks/24 day isolation...but if communication is not good enough, support is missing  I fully understand why people are not getting tested in an "official way". 

Here in NL there is growing discussion on vaccine-passports. As you know I am in favor of getting vaccinated. Still I see vaccination as medical intervention-with lots of proof also for the risks...Mandatory vaccination -for now-is very unlikely. First of all persuasion, communication may bring a high % of the population getting the vaccine. Second; how to enforce mandatory vaccines ? 

I myself believe in being honest the best you can-also for governments, healthcare...We know a lot but-in most cases there is even much more that we do NOT know...

Sticking to vaccine passports in NL may undermine support for other measures (masks at some places, social distancing, testing, etc.) while vaccinated-by now-with 80%+ of all of the population vaccinated (90%+ of 18 y/o+) simply means most of the virus spread is done by the vaccinated...

For New Zealand maybe a better idea would be to get as much as possible people tested, try to get something like 10 day isolation after a positive test-but put priority to testing, sequencing and information...It is the pandemic you want to fight NOT the population ! 

I do limit contacts outside my bubble to the minimum.Lots of people still behave in a different manner then they did before this pandemic. If you "have a brain" you do not want to catch that virus the best you can ! 

Maybe another thought; Educate people ! Inform them of how virusses work, what a pandemic looks like. That there are periods with "decreased risks/spread" in wich maybe there is more room. Omicron is a slow killer, it may not fill up the ICU, can kill people in 6-10 weeks ? Or maybe taking even longer...doing a lot of damage over longer time...A peak in cases most likely may NOT bring a peak in ICU/deaths...but the picture I have "Omicron" is a "mean virus" you may "love to hate"...

I did have "above standard education" including biology, economy, history...for that matter privileged. Most people may have less background and knowledge...Give people the tools to "help themselves better"...

-Numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ ;

Reported cases 2,611,025 trend -16%, 12,476 (for now) deaths (number will be updated...) trend +7%...

Trends for cases in some countries; USA -46%, France -34%, India even -50%...on the other side Russia +56%, Iran +77%, Japan +25%, Germany still +19%...

Another look at BA.2 [url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=BA.2&loc=ZAF&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected=Worldwide&overlay=false[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=BA.2&loc=ZAF&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected=Worldwide&overlay=false (updated info ?) may indicate the BA.2 decrease in the last days is related to reporting/sequencing...BA.2 now at 6% of South Africa cases, UK 1%, global 2%...In the US still under 0,5% (of all sequences of last 60 days...the less testing the less sequencing, the less we know what subvariants are spreading !!!). 

ARGOSconsortium

@ARGOSamsterdam

 · 8h

DJ; In Amsterdam BA.2 allready at 29% of samples...(with BA.1 and BA.1.1 at 71%...most likely BA.1.1 did replace BA.1). NL cases +14%, supposed to peak according to the NL-CDC (RIVM). They however do not mention BA.2 will increase numbers soon, so maybe "a peak" in a week; cases going down for a few days before BA.2 start pushing up cases...(In many countries the major cities will be the first to show wich way the pandemic is going). 

For the US a look at [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=USA[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=USA ; Omicron BA.1 getting replaced by BA.1.1...BA.2 numbers in the US still to limited - but no doubt increasing...Also for the US this pandemic is far from over !  (With New York- New York [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=USA_US-NY_36061&dark=true[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=USA_US-NY_36061&dark=true also no BA.2 yet..[url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=USA_US-CA&dark=true[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=USA_US-CA&dark=true California same story.)

[url]https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/430[/url] or https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/430 Hong Kong A significant portion of sequences from the BA.2 branch beginning with ORF1a:T1543I have an additional mutation S:I1221T. It is the second largest branch of BA.2 with a spike amino acid substitution after S:G798D (#428)

DJ [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=HKG&dark=true[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=HKG&dark=true Outbreak may miss info from mid january...

Of the 103 sequences available, 10 have N:A55S and 5 have S:I210T. 68 sequences are from Hong Kong. What sets this one apart from #428 is that it makes up 60/76 of Hong Kong BA.2 collected after January 20 and 60/105 overall. It is difficult to ascertain the advantage of acquiring this mutation in the TM domain but this lineage appears to be responsible for a significant portion of Hong Kong's new cases which are surging.

may show up later ? (latest info january 17..."hamster-Delta" AY.127 did explode in Hong Kong. Cases +188% could mean both Delta AY.127 AND BA.2 (Hong Kong sub-variant, maybe with some mix of AY.127, or co-infections ???) are increasing in Hong Kong ? 

All regions showing cases decreasing, some global regions-for now-also deaths-numbers going down...still 12,476 deaths on a wednesday, reflecting tuesday testing is high. 

Australia cases -31%, deaths -23% meaning 7,702 cases per million of population last 7 days, 18 deaths per million...New Zealand cases +75% 326 cases per million...0 deaths last 7 days...

Statistics are "elastic/chewing gum" FaeroeIslands would see 99,184 new cases in the last 7 days-per million of population...only Faroe Islands (north of Scotland, west of Norway, east of Iceland) has under 50,000 population...Montserrat would have seen 200 deaths per million of population in the last 7 days...population however is even under 5,000...

We are in a different stage of this worsening pandemic. Delta cases may still be high...but Omicron cases are even higher...

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/transmission/has-the-120-day-sars-cov-2-global-wave-cycle-been-broken-by-omicron/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/transmission/has-the-120-day-sars-cov-2-global-wave-cycle-been-broken-by-omicron/ ;

To see whether 120 day the wave pattern will continue despite Omicron, we have created a mock-up image of what would the wave cycle would look like if it were still in place. The Winter/Spring Covid trough would be around the 18th February 2022. 

A global wave trough in mid-February this year would probably mean the pandemic continuing, but with much higher infection levels in future…

DJ, This pandemic did become much less predictable, we may have lost sight of the variants...Lots of indications for BA.2 restarting another wave...

End of part 1

DJ, International background; links;

[url]https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202202/1251507.shtml[/url] or https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202202/1251507.shtml ; Chinese President Xi Jinping met on Sunday with Polish President Andrzej Duda, who is in Beijing to attend the opening ceremony of the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympic Games.

[url]https://www.dw.com/en/ukraine-crisis-our-goal-is-to-avoid-a-war-in-europe-says-germanys-scholz/a-60705306[/url] or https://www.dw.com/en/ukraine-crisis-our-goal-is-to-avoid-a-war-in-europe-says-germanys-scholz/a-60705306 

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qrKkwmoAIKo[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qrKkwmoAIKo Alexander Mercouris ;

Divisions on Anti-Russia Sanctions. Scholz US, Baerbock Kiev. Refuse to Commit Cancel Nord Stream2

[url]https://southfront.org/china-affirms-support-for-argentina-in-disputes-over-falkland-isles/[/url] or https://southfront.org/china-affirms-support-for-argentina-in-disputes-over-falkland-isles/ 

DJ, Germany, getting 40%+ of its gas, 50%+ of its oil from Russia is not in a position to give up Russian energy...Alexander Mercouris has a point; if Germany would state "Russian agression is end of North Stream" no doubt Ukraine/US agression will bring a Russian reaction...supposed to end Nordstream-2...

Maybe as a sideline, China may be willing to buy some extra from Russia...The end of North Stream-2 would hurt Germany a lot, be a minor factor for Russia...(enough buyers for energy [url]https://southfront.org/were-out-of-everything-alarming-symptoms-of-global-economic-shifts/[/url] or https://southfront.org/were-out-of-everything-alarming-symptoms-of-global-economic-shifts/.......Germany is the motor behind North Stream-2 NOT Russia !

Threaths by biden "to end Northstream-2", pushing all of the EU into a major energy crisis proberbly will speed up activating North Stream-2, also further pushing Europe to go for its own security...

Chinese train exports allready end up in a.o. Germany, NL etc. Poland most likely also welcoming more trade with China. Global Times;

China is ready to take an active part in the construction of a logistics hub in Poland and help Poland become a key node in the China-Europe supply chain, Xi said.

This year marks the 10th anniversary of cooperation between China and Central and Eastern European Countries (China-CEEC cooperation), Xi said, adding that China is willing to work with Poland to establish a China-CEEC wholesale market for agricultural products in Poland.

Duda said he is glad that he had overcome the difficulties  to come to China as promised to witness the historic moment as Beijing becomes the world's first dual Olympic city. He thanked China for providing medical supplies to Poland in its fight against the epidemic. 

Poland attaches great importance to economic cooperation with China and hopes to expand bilateral trade and investment cooperation with China to make Poland a gateway for China to Europe, Duda stressed.

DJ [url]http://www.china-ceec.org/eng/jj/zyjz/202112/t20211228_10476286.htm[/url] or http://www.china-ceec.org/eng/jj/zyjz/202112/t20211228_10476286.htm ; On 26 April 2012, Cooperation between China and Central and Eastern European Countries (China-CEEC Cooperation) was launched as a cross-regional cooperation platform based on traditional friendship and  shared desire of all the participants for win-win cooperation and common development. 

Since than, with pragmatic cooperation at the focal point and ever maturing mechanisms with the Leaders’ Summit in the guidance, China-CEEC Cooperation has been growing by the day and is now covering a variety of areas including economy and trade, culture, education, youth exchange, agriculture, tourism, science and technology, health, think-tank exchange and sub-national cooperation, and cooperation has turned out fruitful in all of them.

 It has also played a constructive role in deepening bilateral relations between China and Central and Eastern European countries and enrichment of China-Europe relations more broadly.

So not only Poland [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_and_Eastern_Europe[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_and_Eastern_Europe but also a.o. Ukraine may "welcome Chinese investments"....Both Poland and Ukraine have no interest in war....Ukraine in fact has a GDP that is smaller then some North African countries...it needs investments and deescalation...

Zelensky/the Kiev-regime may only get (some) public support by getting Ukraine OUT of the conflict with Russia(ns)...not further in....

[url]https://southfront.org/china-affirms-support-for-argentina-in-disputes-over-falkland-isles/[/url] or https://southfront.org/china-affirms-support-for-argentina-in-disputes-over-falkland-isles/ ; 

Written by Lucas Leiroz, research fellow in international law at the Rural Federal University of Rio de Janeiro; geopolitical consultant.

New tensions are emerging over the legitimacy of British rule over the Falkland Islands. In a joint statement with the Argentine president, Xi Jinping declared that China supports Buenos Aires’ sovereignty over the islands’ territory. In response, the UK’s foreign minister published a statement reaffirming British sovereignty, starting a war of words and narratives over this old and controversial topic, which still seems far from any final resolution.

DJ; failed leader bojo seems to be unable to find an alternative for the EU after Brexit....The UK may become another tax-haven for companies (Unilever, Shell moving out of NL) evading tax-rules...but that (form of corruption) does not replace EU membership. 

During the Ukraine 2014 US-led coup v.nuland did say "fu.k the EU" she is now being answered by a "f.ck the u.s." by that EU...

DJ; Poland has historical ties with Ukraine, from the south Turkey also has (Ottoman) ties...No way Ukraine can become a NATO-member...maybe Ukraine itself decided NATO is obsolete...only existing in a name. Poland, Ukraine, Turkey need to find a balance between the EU and Russia, China...as several other countries in Europe and West Asia/North Africa are "rebalancing"...The US is not helping in that proces...

It would be more then welcome when the US would use diplomacy it contacts with other countries. 

end of part 3

george99, the present US number [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ is at (4th colom from the right) 2,791 per 1,000,000 (translating to 0,2791%). If you divide 1 million by 100 you end up at 10,000 as 1% of 1 million...

Russia has-official number-2,306 per million = 0,2306%...both are % of 1 million per population so not case fatalaty ratio....

US has 235,117 cases per million, resulting in 2,791 deaths per million....so yes you may end up close to CFR=1,2%

Russia 90,031 cases per million, so 2,791 deaths = CFR (indeed) of 3%....both countries missed very likely most cases. Pandemic also not over yet...so some deaths will still result from present cases. 

Diamond Princess 712 cases, 13 deaths...something of 1,8% CFR ? (1% of 712=7,12 so 13 deaths just under 14,24 as 2%)

Worldwide we are now at over 401 million cases, 4 million=1%...5,8 million deaths (almost) so close to 1,4% as a (sort of)  CFR...

So....yes, most of the deaths happened in 2021 and further...with lots of vaccines, NPI, better treatments...still 0,4% of 1 billion is 4 million...without these actions we may allready have seen more deaths....more cases....(be around 8 million deaths ?) 

-Hal Turner [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/subscribers-only-covert-intel-smallpox-outbreak-confirmed[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/subscribers-only-covert-intel-smallpox-outbreak-confirmed now without paywall but further confirmation needed...

If smallpox showed up in Yemen this CoViD is "small news"

It looks like the Yemen-smallpox story was fake news, trying to claim "vaccines can not be used to end a disease" also "Bill Gates is bad-non sense" often did get mixed in...DJ-However, since SARS-2/CoViD-19 DID become such a pandemic, other diseases may be "hard to contain" as well...

-Numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ ;

Reported tested cases; 2,420,318, trend -17%....since the official "story" is "Omicron is mild" still remarkable how many people do get tested...

Reported CoViD deaths at 11,707 trend +4%...(but here you may also question the numbers...Omicron may bring a long period of illnesses...a slow killer...CoViD-deaths most likely will decrease, excess deaths will increase...people dying from all kinds of damage after catching CoViD...from hearthdisease to brain issues...maybe even some forms of cancer may increase...)

NL had close to 190,000 "new"cases a few days ago....but that was most a backlog in dealing with high numbers...Other countries may reporting high numbers while-in fact-cases may be going down...reporting problems...

Yesterday, wednesday february 9, Germany ending up at #1 for new cases. With 238,410 new reported cases, trend +16% and 246 deaths +9% the expected increase of BA.2 is showing up....[url]https://github.com/lenaschimmel/desh-data[/url] or https://github.com/lenaschimmel/desh-data Lena Schimmel doing a good job following it in Germany.

Tulio de Oliveira

@Tuliodna

·

11h

As expected, Omicron BA.2 takes over in South Africa, close to 100% of the new genomes. What does it mean?

So also in South Africa...(SA cases still -16%, deaths +7%...maybe still related to high BA.1 numbers in december !  So people may be dying from BA.1 Omicron TWO MONTHS !!! after testing positive...)

 BA.2 expected to get dominant in the US in march...However [url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=BA.2&loc=ZAF&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected=Worldwide&overlay=false[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=BA.2&loc=ZAF&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected=Worldwide&overlay=false keeps showing an "unclear sign" on how BA.2 is in/de creasing....Is there a sort of delay in sequencing ? For now US cases -43%...very limited testing, deaths -9%...

[url]https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/431[/url] or https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/431 Also some Delta subvariants, this AY.39.1.1 in New Zealand (most on the North Island) one of them...NZ cases +57% [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=NZL[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=NZL AY.39.1.1 not mentioned in NZ sequences...Is BA.1.1 replacing BA.2 in NZ ????

But also AY.43, AY.122 keeps showing up in "news"...[url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=AY.122&loc=IND&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=AY.122&loc=IND&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected may give some info...but splitting up sub-variants into further sub-types AY.43.1 or like the NZ AY.39.1.1 is making it harder to get a view...Certainly when such a "sub-sub-variant" may be limited to a few countries...

Since the story is BA.2 will get dominant...BA.1.1 [url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=BA.1.1&loc=ZAF&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected=Worldwide&overlay=false[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=BA.1.1&loc=ZAF&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected=Worldwide&overlay=false for now is growing faster...

DJ-Again this pandemic in my non-expert view is getting;

.Worse; it does NOT fill up ICU, bring a sharp increase of (direct) death(s)...more chronic disease..

.Due to less testing (with sometimes 50%+ of the tests being "positive") is getting under the radar...we may have no idea how many cases there are..

.YES !!! I love it !!! A lot of cases may be "mild"...but there is growing indication problems may show up later on...you may not even know you were infected...

.Development of new (sub)variants does not stop...

.From NYC rats to [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/usa-5-gorillas-test-positive-for-sars-cov-2-in-dallas/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/usa-5-gorillas-test-positive-for-sars-cov-2-in-dallas/ zoo animals seem to get infected...so far spread from these animals seem to be limited..

.Communication on this pandemic is getting from bad to even worse..."Economy first" switching to "Economy only"....

Dr Ellie Murray, ScD 

@EpiEllie

·

Feb 9

I have had to spend so many hours lately explaining to people why endemic covid is not an endgame and not a success because everyone from the New York Times Op-Ed page to Joe Rogan is lying to us about what comes after Omicron. Read my thoughts here:

[url]https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2022/02/08/murr-f08.html[/url] or https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2022/02/08/murr-f08.html ;

BM: Since you raised the topic, perhaps we can delve into it. On Wednesday, the US Department of Health and Human Services essentially ended its requirement that hospitals report COVID-19 deaths to the federal government.

States are also curtailing their COVID reporting, and many are ending their contact tracing programs. Additionally, the CDC has reduced isolation and quarantine guidelines to five days. Dr. Walensky has even suggested that you could return to work if you are asymptomatic. We are already seeing reports of rising hospital-acquired COVID-19 among inpatients.

The UK reported on a recent human challenge trial where participants knowingly infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus were followed. They became infectious in two days and remained infectious on average over nine days and at least until twelve days, which raises many concerns over the CDC’s guideline changes. And meanwhile, the pandemic continues to infect at high rates. As an epidemiologist, what do you think about these developments?

EM: This is hugely problematic. It’s almost akin to the weather station saying that they’re not going to track storm cells anymore, and they’re no longer going to issue tornado warnings. And then states say that they’re no longer going to investigate casualties following tornadoes.

I think people would be horrified. The government’s job is to track weather systems, warn when things are about to get worse, and then look for and provide support to people who are injured or have died following a natural disaster.

But for some reason, people seem to think that with COVID they can bury their head in the sand and pretend tornadoes don’t exist, and then it’ll just pass right by them, and they’ll be fine. And that’s not true. We need the information, and we need the data to figure out, know where to target resources, and target early warning.

DJ, If hospitals do not report CoViD-deaths "the number of CoVid deaths will go down"...in statistics...

[url]https://www.ft.com/content/33444f29-bab1-4655-85b5-c0b1f68d9653[/url] or https://www.ft.com/content/33444f29-bab1-4655-85b5-c0b1f68d9653 ;

 "A quarter of UK employers say long Covid is now one of the main causes of long-term sickness absence among their staff, according to research that suggests the debilitating condition could be exacerbating labour shortages that are plaguing many parts of the economy."

DJ, 10% of CoViD cases turn into long-CoViD...(The FT-link comes with a warning on copy rights....The level of insanity is borderless...even basic info is "for sale"...how you want to fight a pandemic if you see even info as "for profit"???? Totally crazy !!!) 

Why are states rushing to remove #school #mask mandates when in the week ending in 2/3/22, there were over 600,000 pediatric #covid19 cases?! This is like watching a slow moving car crash 

Insanity rules ...

End of part 1...

Maybe a part 3....background...what is supposed to be a UK "government....[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/02/the-mediocracy-of-global-britain.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/02/the-mediocracy-of-global-britain.html ;

It is said that the job of the foreign secretary has something to do with geography. To know where this or that country is and what its surroundings are is supposedly helpful when one wants wage war or peace with or against them.

Liz Truss had failed in this category when, a week ago, she said: "We are offering extra supplies and support into our Baltic allies across the Black Sea." The Black Sea is some 700 miles away from the Baltic states.

-

Truss also showed a lack of manner when she started to talk (vid) even while the translation of the previous speaker was still ongoing.

Her knowledge was of similar quality. As Kommersant reports in Russian (machine translation):

The British Foreign Secretary told the head of the Russian Foreign Ministry about the need to withdraw Russian armed forces from the Ukrainian border. Sergei Lavrov replied that the military is on the territory of his country. Liz Truss repeated that they should be withdrawn. To this, the Russian minister again objected that the military did not violate anything, since they had the right to conduct any maneuvers on the territory of the Russian Federation.

After that, he himself addressed a question to his British colleague: “Do you recognize the sovereignty of Russia over the Rostov and Voronezh regions?”

“Great Britain will never recognize Russian sovereignty over these regions,” the Foreign Minister replied after a short pause.

British Ambassador to the Russian Federation Deborah Bonnert had to intervene in the situation, who delicately explained to Mrs. Truss that we were really talking about Russian regions.

DJ; this is-again-supposed to "Rule Brittannia"...(from the comments..)

It gets better. When Johnson finally goes out of the window they will need a new prime minister.

Apparently the two front runners are the Chancellor, Sunak, and.....Liz Truss!

..It does however help to understand why this pandemic is totally out of control, but "we have to live with it"....[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/british-foreign-secretary-called-clown-who-came-to-waste-our-time-by-russia[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/british-foreign-secretary-called-clown-who-came-to-waste-our-time-by-russia 

Maybe to help "our leaders" [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-issues-terms-for-ukraine[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-issues-terms-for-ukraine  Russia wants "the West" to stop sending arms, "trainers & advisors" etc. to East Ukraine...if "that West" wants a de-escalation...

[url]https://southfront.org/us-expert-warns-france-and-germany-will-throw-the-americans-under-the-bus/[/url] or https://southfront.org/us-expert-warns-france-and-germany-will-throw-the-americans-under-the-bus/  DJ; France and Germany-after the UK foreign secretary visit to Moscow-may speed up sending real diplomats to Russia, China....try to "limit further UK/US insanity"...

related [url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/finnish-politician-forced-step-down-saying-ukraine-should-not-joint-nato[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/finnish-politician-forced-step-down-saying-ukraine-should-not-joint-nato ...

Inflation;

DJ, [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/02/10/inflation-climbed-64-january[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/02/10/inflation-climbed-64-january ; 

Inflation rose to 6.4 percent on an annual basis in January. That is the highest level in over 40 years. According to Statistics Netherlands (CBS), which released the figures, higher food and energy prices pushed inflation. In December, inflation was still 5.7 percent, which was also the highest in almost 40 years. In August 1982, prices rose by an average of 5.9 percent year-on-year.

According to CBS, the gas and electricity bill was almost 90 percent higher in the first month of 2022 than a year earlier. In December, the annual price increase was 75 percent. The contribution of energy to headline inflation amounted to more than 3 percentage points.

So far we had hardly any winter...Of course "politics" (or what is supposed to be related to it)  may blame Putin or Pandemic...They will not blame themselves, pushing billions to party friends for "fighting this pandemic" ...(of course HCW-ers excluded..) money created out of the blue..They will not blame themselves for starting yet another petro-dollar related crisis pushing up energy prices (most for the West)...Our "leaders" did forget the US can NOT replace Russia (and Iran) oil...but still push for "sanctions" because the Russian Army is inside Russia...

This pandemic;

DJ; "Do we have to live with the virus"? Maybe we need other "leaders"! [url]https://twitter.com/Gab_H_R/status/1491776052145831940/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/Gab_H_R/status/1491776052145831940/photo/1 

A look at DenmarK-with BA.2 allready dominant