Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
Actions speak louder than words?? |
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Littlesmile
V.I.P. Member Joined: July 18 2016 Location: Northern irelan Status: Offline Points: 1815 |
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Posted: December 06 2021 at 11:57am |
I am reading everywhere that Omicron is mild but Ireland seems to be taking things seriously. And why?? After having 1 case restrictions are organised very quickly And now Defence forces (army) stand ready https://www.irishexaminer.com/news/arid-40759497.html The actions are definitely different from what is being told. It is not a good feeling. |
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KiwiMum
Chief Moderator Joined: May 29 2013 Status: Offline Points: 29680 |
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There are still no reports of any deaths from Omicron, and there are still plenty of reports that all cases so far have been mild, and yet still governments are panicking about this. We have to ask why? If Omicron proves to be very mild, and it does become the dominant strain then it will effectively stop this pandemic in it's tracks. Covid will be akin to the flu and we've all been living with that for decades. |
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Those who got it wrong, for whatever reason, may feel defensive and retrench into a position that doesnโt accord with the facts.
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carbon20
Moderator Joined: April 08 2006 Location: West Australia Status: Offline Points: 65816 |
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Africa as a whole seemed to have missed out on mass hospitalization, May be harmless may not be ,just have to wait and see. Thats the problem with today's society,we wasn't instant results/ answers,this variant could well be harmless ,but what comes next always has to be what we ask on this site....... Hope for the best plan for the worst.... . take care all ๐ท๐๐ |
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Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.๐
Marcus Aurelius |
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Littlesmile
V.I.P. Member Joined: July 18 2016 Location: Northern irelan Status: Offline Points: 1815 |
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The problem is our health care here is already on thin ice. So even if Omicron is mild but infects alot more we will struggle. For instance my nearest hospital (small city) has recently made the A&E only open 9am to 5pm. No walk ins either, you have to ring first. Maybe that's the cause for panic? More infected = health care collapse?? |
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WitchMisspelled
Adviser Group Joined: January 20 2020 Status: Offline Points: 17170 |
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Because we don't know enough yet. The only thing that is safe to surmise is that it is more infectious than Delta. That's all. SA may be saying that cases are mild, but I have a few issues with that. First, Covid is a sneaky bastid. Just when you think you won't get really sick from it, you do. Second we don't know how effective the current vaccine is with Omicron. Does vaccine protect you better from getting very sick or dying? Third, although SA did exactly the right thing by announcing this new variant, its payment was something like 20 countries restricting travel. SA is a poor nation and can't afford that any more than any country can. That being said, I don't necessarily trust one small study, done in one hospital that didn't even make comparisons between vaccinated versus unvaccinated. Hopefully we'll know more by Christmas. Which is *gasp* less than three weeks away. |
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Pixie
Admin Group Joined: June 05 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 19668 |
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I think you are right on the hospital collapse, large outbreak of omicron layered on a delta surge,massive rush on the hosspital ERs,how with they parse who needs hospital care? |
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WitchMisspelled
Adviser Group Joined: January 20 2020 Status: Offline Points: 17170 |
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I don't know about that. If layered, it will be for a very short time. Everything I've read is that Omicron will quickly supplant Delta. |
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KiwiMum
Chief Moderator Joined: May 29 2013 Status: Offline Points: 29680 |
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All the current evidence says that Omicron is a mild variant. There have been no deaths and the data shows that the majority of cases in South African hospitals are patients who were found to have Covid but were admitted for a different reason, in other words, the Covid wasn't bad. Personally this looks like a good thing. If it's highly contagious and mild it will replace Delta and the pandemic will end. |
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Those who got it wrong, for whatever reason, may feel defensive and retrench into a position that doesnโt accord with the facts.
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Online Points: 95717 |
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There were some stories on "sending in the army" in NL...."Code Black" would need high security in/around hospitals. Demand for healthcare (for the right reasons-but at least in part also panic) would be higher then health care capacity..... Latest SA statistics-weekly trends- cases +371%, deaths -36%.....From cases up to deaths up may take 2 to 4 weeks.... Omicron has been spreading in lots of non-African countries-looks like-since mid-november; so by now the slow start is speeding up to go exponential...even if testingcapacity is at its limits you can not fool the public "something is happening"...how bad it will get SA may give us some indications soon.... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Littlesmile
V.I.P. Member Joined: July 18 2016 Location: Northern irelan Status: Offline Points: 1815 |
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With Ireland finding Omicron case by 'blind luck' Outlining the case at a media briefing on Wednesday, Dr Cillian de Gascun, director of the National Virus Reference Laboratory, said he had no details on the severity of the case. Dr de Gascun said there was “an element of blind luck” involved in the identification of the case, as it was included in a regular 10 per cent sample of all cases that is referred to the NVRL’s lab at Backweston each week. And Northern Ireland Health Minister admitting Omicron is probably already here https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-59463775 It will be likely that cases will go unnoticed here for quite some time. Unless it falls in their laps of course lol ๐ |
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Littlesmile
V.I.P. Member Joined: July 18 2016 Location: Northern irelan Status: Offline Points: 1815 |
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As you can see I'm not great with technology!!! |
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Littlesmile
V.I.P. Member Joined: July 18 2016 Location: Northern irelan Status: Offline Points: 1815 |
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Yes Dutch Josh I seen you had mentioned about 'code black' before. I wonder if they would go into that 'mode' for a just incase scenario... Finding the answers feels like searching for a shiny penny in a bucket full of old ones. Lol |
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