| PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL |
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| Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
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Dutch Josh 
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Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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 Posted: September 18 2022 at 8:29am |
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part 2, [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/ has column 5-the middle column-cases per million in last 7 days...Taiwan had 11,600 cases per million last 7 days...only tiny Montserrat had more...Taiwan with 10 deaths per million at a #11...Greece reported 95 deaths per million... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-taiwan-experiencing-anomalous-covid-19-surge-people-are-getting-re-infected-with-same-variants-ie-ba-2-3-and-ba-5-2-1-16-bf-16[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-taiwan-experiencing-anomalous-covid-19-surge-people-are-getting-re-infected-with-same-variants-ie-ba-2-3-and-ba-5-2-1-16-bf-16 ...people getting reinfected-often with the same variant- (or did the variant hide and show up later ?)... Hong Kong still at 7,725 cases per million last 7 days...Germany, France just above 2,700 per million getting reported...The main reason why cases per million for the UK, NL are low is simply lack of reporting... -Ukraine [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/ukraine/ukraine-nearly-5000-covid-cases-in-dnipropetrovsk-oblast-in-one-week/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/ukraine/ukraine-nearly-5000-covid-cases-in-dnipropetrovsk-oblast-in-one-week/ ; A large outbreak of Covid-19 is being reported in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, Ukraine.
Full 1kr.ua news report (in Ukranian) DJ, on top of all other problems...Ukraine is "only"reporting 237 new cases per million in the last 7 days...but the ongoing war does expain that... [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/first-snow-reaches-ukraine-europe-headed-into-cold-dark-deadly-winter[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/first-snow-reaches-ukraine-europe-headed-into-cold-dark-deadly-winter.......This morning, September 18, 2022, in the far southwestern region of Ukraine, the first snow fell in the Carpathian Mountains. - link [url]https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.09.15.507787v1[/url] or https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.09.15.507787v1 ; AbstractContinuous evolution of Omicron has led to numerous subvariants that exhibits growth advantage over BA.5. Such rapid and simultaneous emergence of variants with enormous advantages is unprecedented. Despite their rapidly divergent evolutionary courses, mutations on their receptor-binding domain (RBD) converge on several hotspots, including R346, R356, K444, L452, N460K and F486. The driving force and destination of such convergent evolution and its impact on humoral immunity established by vaccination and infection remain unclear. Here we demonstrate that these convergent mutations can cause striking evasion of convalescent plasma, including those from BA.5 breakthrough infection, and existing antibody drugs, including Evusheld and Bebtelovimab. BA.2.75.2 is the most evasive strain tested, and only BQ.1.1 could compare. To clarify the origin of the convergent evolution, we determined the escape mutation profiles and neutralization activity of monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) isolated from convalescents of BA.2 and BA.5 breakthrough infection. Importantly, due to humoral immune imprinting, BA.2 and especially BA.5 breakthrough infection caused significant reductions of neutralizing antibody epitope diversity and increased proportion of non-neutralizing mAbs, which in turn concentrated humoral immune pressure and promoted the convergent RBD evolution. Additionally, the precise convergent RBD mutations and evolution trends of BA.2.75/BA.5 subvariants could be inferred by integrating the neutralization-weighted DMS profiles of mAbs from various immune histories (3051 mAbs in total). Moreover, we demonstrated that as few as five additional convergent mutations based on BA.5 or BA.2.75 could completely evade most plasma samples, including those from BA.5 breakthrough infections, while remaining sufficient hACE2-binding affinity. These results suggest herd immunity established by natural infection could hardly stop RBD evolution, and vaccine boosters using BA.5 may not provide sufficiently broad protection. Broad-spectrum SARS-CoV-2 vaccines and NAb drugs development should be in high priority and the constructed convergent mutants could serve to examine their effectiveness in advance. DJ...maybe one of the most shocking studies during this pandemic...but simply ignored... End of part 2 |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 18 2022 at 12:13am |
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DJ, last posting a bit of a twitter collision.... I can not copy anything from the article [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-surge-starting-in-u-s-despite-coverups-29-states-report-a-total-of-98500-new-infections-and-832-deaths-in-last-24-hours[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-surge-starting-in-u-s-despite-coverups-29-states-report-a-total-of-98500-new-infections-and-832-deaths-in-last-24-hours but the basic story I take very serious; Newer variants are getting even better in evading immunity-not only after recent infection but also the new vaccines, anti virals TMN claims (based on links in the article). As a result the coming winterwave could become "very hard" with lots of people not out of a CoViD infection getting reinfected, developing more severe disease. Also mild cases may see more complications later on...resulting in higher excess deaths, even higher then we already see... DJ-On top of that other diseases may be able to hit harder...a combination of CoViD and flu will often "not be a joke"... [url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps#excess-mortality[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps#excess-mortality (certainly if you also include last 3 prepandemic years, 2017 to 2019) may give a more realistic view...For all ages the last 10 weeks of the year did see excess death numbers go up high speed...We are now moving towards the last 15 weeks of 2022... DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponential_growth[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponential_growth ; The growth of a bacterial colony is often used to illustrate it. One bacterium splits itself into two, each of which splits itself resulting in four, then eight, 16, 32, and so on. The amount of increase keeps increasing because it is proportional to the ever-increasing number of bacteria. Growth like this is observed in real-life activity or phenomena, such as the spread of virus infection, the growth of debt due to compound interest, and the spread of viral videos. In real cases, initial exponential growth often does not last forever, instead slowing down eventually due to upper limits caused by external factors and turning into logistic growth. Terms like "exponential growth" are sometimes incorrectly interpreted as "rapid growth". Indeed, something that grows exponentially can in fact be growing slowly at first for the present pandemic crisis-far from over !- yes-we did find ways to slow down growth...from lockdowns to vaccines...However this only did buy us time...the "diseases" did find new ways getting around our ways of stopping them... Just a look at [url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports can give an impression of how CoViD-Omicron variants develop...The spread is a selection proces... I think it is only realism to; -relate MPX [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory simply not being updated by countries...to CoViD -The spread of HPAI/"bird flu" often H5N1 as a potential next step.. -Measles killing hundreds allready in Africa may be yet another risk... By NOT stopping the CoViD pandemic in time we may have opened the doors the a "healthcare hell".... -A last note for this part 1 [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/African_swine_fever_virus#2018-2020_African_swine_fever_panzootic[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/African_swine_fever_virus#2018-2020_African_swine_fever_panzootic ...it would in my idea only make sense to relate a widespread disease being followed by another widespread disease with eachother...So what does African Swine Fever in pigs-pandemic-could have to do with the following CoViD pandemic ? Pigs may have had a co-infection with a corona virus ? That virus did not do that much-as far as is known-to the ASF infected pigs...Unless parts of the symptoms linked to AFS were in fact linked to CoViD but somehow were missed ? Historical theories[edit]The appearance of ASF outside Africa at about the same time as the emergence of AIDS led to some interest in whether the two were related, and a report appeared in The Lancet supporting this in 1986.[90] However, the realization that the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) causes AIDS discredited any potential connection with ASF.[citation needed] So maybe linking ASF with the following CoViD pandemic would be just coincidence...? I do not believe in co-incidence... End of part 1 |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 17 2022 at 12:39am |
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part 2...twitter ·  #COVID19 deaths in England among children during the first 8 months of each year:  0-4 2022 20  2021 5 2020 6  5-9 2022 11  2021 5 2020 2  10-14 yo 2022 6 2021 3 2020 6  15-19 2022 28  2021 22 2020 12and 2) If you can’t read the chart data - here they are written out. It’s incredibly striking. And don’t dare anyone try to say “but what’s their risk factors”— it doesn’t matter, kids are kids — kids should not die! DJ...there is a wrong idea that "catching CoViD" would work like a vaccine against CoViD...it does NOT work that way-may bring major harm ! 3) Why did this happen? Partly lack of acknowledgment that Omicron being more severe in kids, but also in UK vaccine rollout for kids under 11 were extremely slow (and now even stopped by crazy govts!). And govt misleading that kids immune led to more exposures of kids. So sad. DJ..I would love to believe CoViD vaccines are "safe for all"...but even besides that point; why is working/school from home that impossible ? I agree—“most likely we will not be better prepared than we were in 2020” said ,  health minister.  “It’s only a matter of time until #climatechange makes more of these outbreaks become big enough that they become #pandemics”. Sobering.Link;[url]https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/news/features/preparing-for-next-pandemic-g7-pact/[/url] or https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/news/features/preparing-for-next-pandemic-g7-pact/ DJ-Maybe we could be at the start of lots of pandemics already-if CoViD does destroy human immunity against diseases... 6) “We need a much better grounding of science in our daily policymaking,” he said. “Otherwise, there will be no way that we will master the challenges ahead.” DJ, in the dark ages "religion" dominated...burning witches, blaming Jews for pandemics...anti-science...Now profit is anti-science...money rules the world with "neo-liberalism" weakening states, governments...bringing a balance out of balance... DJ...does the west has any pandemic strategy-other then big pharma profits-left ? link [url]https://pandem-ic.com/global-severity-of-excess-mortality-section-by-income/[/url] or https://pandem-ic.com/global-severity-of-excess-mortality-section-by-income/ ; |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 17 2022 at 12:20am |
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DJ, "limited" new news on the pandemic(s) so today I will focus-in latest news-more on the US-Russia war... Amazing work by , and many others means that we aren't flying blind (we were on the lookout for a BA.2.75 lineage carrying mutations at 346 and 486). That, and is remarkable at keeping on top of the variants. DJ...YES it is important to keep an eye on new variants...however if governments remain in denial of any pandemic it could become frustrating... [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/ global reported cases -12%, CoViD deaths-as far as reported- -10%...Europe cases +7%, deaths +14%...all other regions now still reporting/claiming both cases and CoViD death-numbers are going down...Mongolia cases +233%...spread from Russia ? Botswana cases +193% also some other south African countries-now still in winter-report increase of cases...Iceland cases +113%...France +51%, Poland +35%, Belgium +31%, Germany +12%...NL +4%...67 countries now report an increase of cases... · I’m just a random person on Twitter who doesn’t want kids to be part of experiments that purposely expose them to neurodegenerative pathogens to prove they shouldn’t be exposed to neurodegenerative pathogens ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ DJ, schools reopened, often ventilation not as good as needed-high energy costs...No masks...Several countries see CoViD on the rise in young children... Accountability will only happen when we get together to insist on it. For now the focus is on US made wars... [url]https://twitter.com/mildanalyst/status/1570968613565386757/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/mildanalyst/status/1570968613565386757/photo/1 DJ BA.2.75.2 evades immunity from BA.5 ...there is NO immunity...with hundreds of "Omicron" subvariants around and vaccines getting less and less effective... MPX [url]https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.add3668[/url] or https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.add3668 ; Monkeypox: The consequences of neglecting a disease, anywhereA disease anywhere can spread everywhere, if neglected DJ...is there a "pandemic genocide strategy"????Or are politicians/"experts" this blind ? [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory no updates...denial... NEW: Big Pharma began to pay fees to the F.D.A. 30 years ago with a 10% $ bump. Last year, the fees were 74% of the drug division budget. In turn, companies get faster decisions & more access to decision makers. Why some doctors say it's a problem: DJ link [url]https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/15/health/fda-drug-industry-fees.html[/url] or https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/15/health/fda-drug-industry-fees.html maybe as a reminder...Big Pharma shareholders only are in it for profits... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 16 2022 at 5:10am |
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Some twiiter in part 2, · Mind you, 15% excess mortality for 1Q 2022 is ABOVE the WHOLE YEAR of 2020 (14.7%). How is that even possible if #Omicron is mild, and the vast majority of people had by then already built up immunity vs. #SARS2 (through vaccination and/or infection)? Show this thread and I can't wait for insurers to collect & publish Q2 & Q3 data. Much will be revealed & future will be clearer. If an immunity wall built through vaccination or infection (often both) is enough on its own & damage is not persistent or accumulating, deaths should go toward baseline. DJ here in NL [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/09/15/dutch-health-insurance-premium-will-rise-8-pct-next-year-eu137-per-month[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/09/15/dutch-health-insurance-premium-will-rise-8-pct-next-year-eu137-per-month dental care, more then basic care will get unafordable for many in NL...at the end only further increasing health care costs... So get a better strategy ! And in the Netherlands they are advertising with the new Omicron vaccin. They are not telling the public that it is a BA.1 vaccin and that there is a BA.5 vaccin available that we are not getting! This wouldn't have been possible if BA.5 had gotten its own name. How to get people trusting healthcare politics... · So.. I can’t get a life insurance policy until 60 days after my positive COVID test. In case you thought COVID was no big deal.. apparently life insurance companies do. and Insurance companies are running the numbers. Risks after COVID seem higher than they are willing to take DJ...Insurers may be good indicators... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 16 2022 at 2:34am |
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DJ, The US now also exporting for billions weapons to Taiwan-with the Shanghai Cooperation Organization meeting in Samarkand, Xi-Putin, Modi, Erdogan, Raisi have "a lot to discuss"...(latest news) A study on adverse effects of new vaccines-compared to presumed risks of catching CoViD-could indicate vaccine risks might be higher for a lot of people....(general discussion) So [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/idiots-at-who-spreading-misinformation-again-and-claiming-covid-19-pandemic-end-is-near-and-claims-infections-rates-declining[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/idiots-at-who-spreading-misinformation-again-and-claiming-covid-19-pandemic-end-is-near-and-claims-infections-rates-declining the title tells the story...I also did not see much twitter on the latest "fake news" the WHO produced...after missing/denying aerosol-spread of CoViD, chronic/long CoViD...this "pandemic almost over" claim fits in a list of this political organization serving economic goals NOT healthcare... So "how close to over" is this pandemic ? [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table even with low testing reporting still over 3 million new cases per week...global trend would be -13% for cases, deaths number -15%; last week 12,917 CoViD deaths were reported, last 7 days had 11,044 CoViD deaths reported...excess deaths all around the globe is "above the expected numbers".... Europe cases-even with terrible bad reporting-now at +6%, deaths +2%...Africa cases would be -49%...however deaths would be +14%... [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time UK cases going up...in worldometers UK cases now +21%...(do they report cases once a week again...just stopped reporting cases for some weeks ?) France cases +46% 168,293 last 7 days...just under 25,000 new cases per day...NL will report new statistics on tuesdays and fridays...so today "cases -33%" is based on not reporting cases on a daily basis... The pandemic is NOT over !!! [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/09/13/next-round-covid-vaccinations-netherlands-starts-monday[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/09/13/next-round-covid-vaccinations-netherlands-starts-monday ; The new round of vaccinations will be with the renewed Pfizer and Moderna vaccines, which the European Medicines Agency recently approved. In addition to the spike protein of the original coronavirus, these vaccines also contain the spike protein of the Omicron variant. “The renewed vaccines protect against more variants of the coronavirus,” the RIVM said. “The benefits of this repeat shot outweigh the possible side effects for everyone from the age of 12.” DJ...so the "strategy" is to get immunity against CoViD via vaccinations and infections ? That "strategy" so far has been a disaster....resulting in more immunity evasion, less immunity protection against other diseases... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/irrespective-of-severity-40-percent-of-post-covid-pneumonia-patients-still-have-impaired-lung-diffusion-and-22-percent-developed-lung-fibrosis-a-year-[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/irrespective-of-severity-40-percent-of-post-covid-pneumonia-patients-still-have-impaired-lung-diffusion-and-22-percent-developed-lung-fibrosis-a-year- later...CoViD is NOT a joke ! Still politics/"experts" keep failing to get it under control...invest trillions in wars...NOT healthcare... [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/lancet-covid-response-a-massive-global-failure-at-multiple-levels/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/lancet-covid-response-a-massive-global-failure-at-multiple-levels/ ; The Lancet Commission looking into the global SARS-CoV-2 pandemic response has levelled some withering criticism at the failure of governments and agencies to tackle the pandemic and uncover its origins. Key quotes:
The Lancet Commission on lessons for the future from the COVID-19 pandemic
We haven’t found anything in the Lancet Commission’s report that we disagree with. The failures they illuminate have had catastrophic effects for hundreds of millions of people worldwide, and will continue to do so for generations to come.There is no excuse for the failures either. There were plenty of early warnings of what was in store:DJ....realistic number on global CoViD deaths most likely will at least be twice the "official" 6,5 million + CoViD tested/reported deaths...with millions more deaths-from lots of diuseases getting out of control because "we" failed to control CoViD on their way... [url]https://www.who.int/news/item/15-09-2022-who-responds-to-the-lancet-covid-19-commission[/url] or https://www.who.int/news/item/15-09-2022-who-responds-to-the-lancet-covid-19-commission ...DJ-It is incorrect to put all of the blame at the WHO...national governments have their own responsibilities and simply failed to do even a decent job... End of part 1 |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 15 2022 at 12:01am |
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Part 2, history I love it ! [url]https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.10.23.21265403v3[/url] or https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.10.23.21265403v3 ; AbstractPast pandemic experience can affect health outcomes in future pandemics. This paper focuses on the last major influenza pandemic in 1968 (H3N2), which killed up to 100,000 people in the US. We find that places with high influenza mortality in 1968 experienced 1–4% lower COVID-19 death rates. Our identification strategy isolates variation in COVID-19 rates across people born before and after 1968. In places with high 1968 influenza incidence, older cohorts experience lower COVID-19 death rates relative to younger ones. The relationship holds using county and patient-level data, as well as in hospital and nursing home settings. Results do not appear to be driven by systemic or policy-related factors, instead suggesting an individual-level response to prior influenza pandemic exposure. The findings merit investigation into potential biological and immunological mechanisms that account for these differences—and their implications for future pandemic preparedness. DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hong_Kong_flu[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hong_Kong_flu ; The Hong Kong flu, also known as the 1968 flu pandemic, was a flu pandemic whose outbreak in 1968 and 1969 killed between one and four million people globally.[1][2][3][4][5] It is among the deadliest pandemics in history, and was caused by an H3N2 strain of the influenza A virus. The virus was descended from H2N2 (which caused the Asian flu pandemic in 1957–1958) through antigenic shift, a genetic process in which genes from multiple subtypes are reassorted to form a new virus.[6][7][8] - In 1968, many countries (e.g., the UK, Japan) did not immediately see outbreaks despite repeated introductions of the virus throughout August and September. Additionally, after September, there was little evidence of continued spread in new areas, despite similar importations of the virus into those areas. Epidemics did eventually develop during the winter months, but these were often mild (especially when compared to the US experience).[13] In some countries (such as the UK and Japan), it was not until the following winter of 1969–1970 that truly severe epidemics developed.[34] Why there may be a link with the 1968 Hong Kong Flu and CoViD ? Do some flu-immunity offer better protection against CoViD ??? - What is long COVID and what does it mean to live with it? Join us on September 15th for The Impact of Long COVID Symposium to learn more. https://zcu.io/M9UN #LongCOVID #COVID19 #NotRecovered DJ, I prefer to name it "chronic CoViD" but good there is more attention for it...[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/long-covid/nber-the-impacts-of-covid-19-illnesses-on-workers/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/long-covid/nber-the-impacts-of-covid-19-illnesses-on-workers/ and [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/risk-of-developing-alzheimers-disease-increases-by-50-80-percent-in-older-adults-who-caught-covid-19/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/risk-of-developing-alzheimers-disease-increases-by-50-80-percent-in-older-adults-who-caught-covid-19/ only underline the urgent need for much more study... Maybe vaccines-so far-decreased people dying from CoViD-but if they end up with long term healthissues it still is bad ! - · Please sign our petition calling on NY @GovKathyHochul to reinstate the mask mandate on public transit in NY! #MaskTransit #MandateMasksNY #MandateMasks #COVIDIsNotOver #COVIDIsAirborne #HighRiskCOVID #HighRiskCOVID19 #StopTheSpread https://actionnetwork.org/petitions/urge-governor-hochul-to-reinstate-the-mask-mandate-on-public-transit/ DJ...why even masks in public transport ends up in discussions... -  Rising again—for 2 straight weeks, #SARSCov2 levels rising in wastewater nationwide. The Northeast & Midwest are **above their respective Delta wave peaks**. Please #GetBoosted with new #BA5 bivalent shot. Come to US to get it free. HT http://biobot.io/dataDJ, my impression is Europe may be the first "region" moving into a "winter CoViD crisis"....the economic/energy situation does not help... End of part 2 |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 14 2022 at 11:40pm |
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DJ, The WHO claims the "CoViD pandemic is almost over"....(see also latest news)...DJ-No it is not! After a very major summer-wave of CoVid in many countries-some still in that wave (Japan a.o.) in lots of places CoViD cases are on the rise..a winterwave-with new variants-may be on its way...From MPX [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory hardly updated...if you ignore it it will go away-thinking ? to polio has to be linked to the ongoing CoViD pandemic...[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/ 66 countries report an increase of cases, 34 see CoViD-deaths numbers going up...In Europe cases now -0,1%, deaths -5%...France, Poland see cases +36%, Germany cases +9% with very limited/poor testing & reporting... The WHO was very wrong about aerosol spread of CoViD, The WHO did deny chronic CoViD [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/long-covid/long-covid-two-more-patients-treated-with-experimental-drug-bc-007-see-improvements-in-symptoms/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/long-covid/long-covid-two-more-patients-treated-with-experimental-drug-bc-007-see-improvements-in-symptoms/ (good news from august 22) So [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/africa/world-health-organisation-the-end-is-nigh/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/africa/world-health-organisation-the-end-is-nigh/ ;and blah, blah, blah…. DJ...Lots of countries try to get people motivated for yet another booster vaccine-with increase of news on "bad science" on vaccine safety...so the timing for "it is over" is bad... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-are-certain-newer-sars-cov-2-variants-causing-a-rise-in-chronic-kidney-disease-and-kidney-failure-in-countries-like-singapore-and-thailand[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-are-certain-newer-sars-cov-2-variants-causing-a-rise-in-chronic-kidney-disease-and-kidney-failure-in-countries-like-singapore-and-thailand DJ-My impression is most CoViD infections-must be in the billions by now!-are missed, never tested...Some variants may do more damage in the lungs, other more in bloodvessels, kidney, brain, liver... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/what-is-really-happening-in-japan-covid-19-death-rates-are-spiraling-out-of-control-and-mortuaries-overflowing-but-authorities-are-painting-a-differen[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/what-is-really-happening-in-japan-covid-19-death-rates-are-spiraling-out-of-control-and-mortuaries-overflowing-but-authorities-are-painting-a-differen with links to a.o. [url]https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/14711281[/url] or https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/14711281 ; In mid-August, a cold storage facility in a mortuary at a funeral home in Tokyo area was filled with nine bodies, the maximum capacity. All the boards with the names of the deceased had the word “COVID,” as they were confirmed to have been infected with the novel coronavirus. The mortuary, where bodies were kept before they are sent to the crematorium, was no longer able to house them since August. Bodies approaching the cremation date were stored in a separate room of the funeral home with 10 kilograms of dry ice in their coffins. Even so, there were more bodies that could not be accommodated. The funeral home was forced to leave those bodies in other funeral homes’ refrigerated storage facilities. and [url]https://cov-spectrum.org/explore/Japan/AllSamples/Past6M[/url] or https://cov-spectrum.org/explore/Japan/AllSamples/Past6M BA.2.75, BF.7 some BA.5 variants (all still named "Omicron" thank you WHO...) all increase..."Japan saving the economy/profits".... BREAKING  The 10th paper from G2P-Japan is out at Cell . #Omicron BA.5 variant is more contagious and pathogenic than BA.2 variant. Please RT. 1/8link to [url]https://www.cell.com/cell/fulltext/S0092-8674(22)01190-4[/url] or https://www.cell.com/cell/fulltext/S0092-8674(22)01190-4 DJ-It is impossible to limit a crisis when governments deny there is a crisis...we see it with climate collapse (hyper-soon) inflation, wars...pandemics get worse if you do not STOP THE SPREAD.... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/american-study-shows-that-twice-a-day-nasal-irrigation-with-saline-solution-helps-prevents-covid-19-disease-severity-and-mortality[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/american-study-shows-that-twice-a-day-nasal-irrigation-with-saline-solution-helps-prevents-covid-19-disease-severity-and-mortality gurgle your throat try to get the virus out before it can get deeper inside the body...Even if it is not 100%, the lower the viral load-the better... Masks, avoiding large crowds, social distance all work...but lots of people have been doing that for over 2,5 years... End of part 1 |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
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Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 13 2022 at 11:58pm |
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Part 2 (or 3...the tech error resulting in melting part 1 and 2 together...) [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/long-covid/who-at-least-17-million-long-covid-cases-in-europe-so-far/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/long-covid/who-at-least-17-million-long-covid-cases-in-europe-so-far/ ; At least 17 million people in the WHO European Region experienced long COVID in the first two years of the pandemic according to the WHO. New modelling conducted for WHO/Europe by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington’s School of Medicine in the United States shows that in the first two years of the pandemic, at least 17 million individuals across the 53 Member States of the WHO European Region may have experienced post COVID-19 condition, also known as long COVID. In other words, an estimated 17 million people met the WHO criteria of a new case of long COVID with symptom duration of at least three months in 2020 and 2021. The modelling indicates a staggering 307% increase in new long COVID cases identified between 2020 and 2021, driven by the rapid increase in confirmed COVID-19 cases from late 2020 and throughout 2021. The modelling also suggests that females are twice as likely as males to experience long COVID. Furthermore, the risk increases dramatically among severe COVID-19 cases needing hospitalization, with one in three females and one in five males likely to develop long COVID. “While there is much we still need to learn about long COVID, especially how it presents in vaccinated versus unvaccinated populations and how it impacts reinfections, this data highlights the urgent need for more analysis, more investment, more support, and more solidarity with those who experience this condition,” said Dr Hans Henri P. Kluge, WHO Regional Director for Europe. “Millions of people in our Region, straddling Europe and central Asia, are suffering debilitating symptoms many months after their initial COVID-19 infection. They cannot continue to suffer in silence. Governments and health partners must collaborate to find solutions based on research and evidence.” WHO/Europe urges countries to take post COVID-19 condition seriously by urgently investing in research, recovery, and rehabilitation. World Health Organisation: At least 17 million people in the WHO European Region experienced long COVID in the first two years of the pandemic DJ...There is not a uniform definition of "long/chronic CoViD" ....Some use still symptoms after 4 weeks after a positive test...in the above study they used 3 months...looking at data for 2020 and (early) 2021...So the number of Long CoVid cases in the WHO Europe region may by now be double ? Another point has to be; Are they still dealing with infections, is the virus still in the host/body ? Or are they dealing with organ damage ? DJ-In my "view" chronic CoViD is the most widespread form of CoViD-even higher then "active cases"...bad news is that even during the coming new CoViD (winter) wave chronic CoViD cases still may be going up that much resulting that still chronic CoViD numbers will be higher then acute CoViD... The above study/article also mentions it is not yet clear how good (what) vaccines protect (best) against chronic CoViD... Given the economic outlook, healthcare being overstretched, the outlook for a lot of chronic CoViD "cases" (they are people...not just a "statistic") simply is not good... [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/long-covid/bc007-long-covid-treatment-petition/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/long-covid/bc007-long-covid-treatment-petition/ ; A new petition on Change.org calls on the German government to expedite clinical trials for BC007, a promising potential treatment for Long COVID. The Change.org petition is here Press release from Friedrich-Alexander-Universitätm, Erlangen-Nürnberg re BC 007
ENGLISH TRANSLATION OF THE PETITION: BC007 NOW- Chance of a cure for millions of suffering peopleDemands We call on the German government to financially support the approval studies of the company Berlin Cures GmbH for the drug BC 007 and to remove bureaucratic hurdles to enable an accelerated approval process. We call on the German government to expand biomedical research on long-covid, ME/CFS and post-vaccine syndrome and to increase government funding for further clinical trials and appropriate therapies to at least 100 million euros for an initial period of 24 months. We call on the German government to expand the long-covid outpatient clinics into interdisciplinary treatment centers, to improve the network between medical disciplines and to promote further training for physicians in the aforementioned pathologies. We call on the German government to simplify the bureaucratic processes for social security for those affected. Rationale In Germany alone, an estimated 300,000 people have developed myalgic encephalomyelitis (ME) and chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS) before the pandemic, including 40,000 children and adolescents. Recent studies show that approximately 10% of all Covid-19 infected individuals develop long or post-covid syndrome. In this context, about 40% of long-covid patients meet the diagnostic criteria for ME/CFS, a severe neuroimmunological disorder. [1,2] Underlying multisystemic inflammatory processes can occur after covid-19 infection as well as after vaccination, which is referred to as post-vaccine syndrome. [3-8] What does this mean for the people affected? Triathletes who suddenly find themselves in a wheelchair – medical students who can no longer solve basic math problems of first grade – affected who lie in darkened rooms because of over-sensitivity to any kind of stimuli with some even receiving liquid food because they can’t manage to lift their head off their pillow – thirteen-year-olds who can no longer sit upright, are carried to the toilet and have to stay away from school – people committing suicide due to the severity of the disease and the lack of therapies. Promising drug More than a year ago, four long-covid patients were treated with the drug BC 007 of the start-up company Berlin Cures GmbH in individual healing attempts at the University of Erlangen. With only a single intravenous administration of BC007 an enormous remission of the symptoms could be achieved, so that one could speak of a cure. A further treatment attempt of a ME/CFS patient who had been affected for years also showed efficacy and improved her condition enormously. [9,10] The effect of the drug BC007, in addition to binding the spike protein, lies mainly in neutralizing the autoantibodies against G protein-coupled receptors, which have been scientifically detected in more than 90% of the tested patients with Long Covid syndrome and are suspected to cause the symptoms. [11,12] Common benefit of the drug for several disease pattern Not only long-covid patients could benefit from BC007, but also ME/CFS and post-vaccine affected. This can be explained by the fact that these clinical pictures show great similarities. To validate the efficacy of BC 007, a large clinical trial is currently being intended by the company Berlin Cures GmbH. [13] However, due to missing financial and administrative support from the German government the approval of the drug may still drag on for many years. Time that those affected do not have! When compared internationally, Germany invests very little money in research into the disease patterns. Even the action plan presented by the German Society for ME/CFS and Long Covid Germany is not being implemented as called for. This leaves millions of severely ill people who are left alone with their suffering without effective therapies and medical care. This is not only tantamount to a failure to provide assistance, but also represents the quietest humanitarian disaster in the world! Join us The demands of the petition are in the interest of the entire population, since Long-Covid can affect anyone and represents an extreme burden for our health and social system. The loss of countless workers due to illness over a long period of time, or even forever, also causes considerable damage to the economy. If you have the same goals as we do, sign and spread this petition. Do not look away! This petition is represented by: @nichtgenesen Instagram campaign (Long-/Post-Covid-Syndrome) Faraz Fallahi (ME/CFS) Felicia Binger (Post-Vaccine-Syndrome) DJ..ME/CFS in a lot of countries is treated as "a mental issue" even when lots of indications point to auto-immune problems... End of this part... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
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Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 13 2022 at 11:43pm |
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DJ...tech problems with inserting that ECDC-link...statistics indicate number of "reported CoViD deaths within 4 weeks after a positive CoViD test"decreased since the start of vaccinations worldwide...However excess death-numbers going up around the globe... Besides the vaccines itself-you also need to have a "vaccine strategy" [url]https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/covid-19/questions-answers/questions-and-answers-vaccines[/url] or https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/covid-19/questions-answers/questions-and-answers-vaccines ..One problem is (E)CDC communication is not always clear... In the US the idea that "vaccinated did no longer need masks" in my opinion was "unwise".... Mask are part of the Non Pharma Interventions...Vaccines, anti-virals are part of the Pharma Interventions...DJ; Some "big pharma" made statements that during the pandemic they would not go for profits...In my opinion governments, WHO should demand such a basic idea...You do NOT make profits out of a global disaster...but well, some companies go for pandemic profits... A lot of their research was tax-funded, all of their sales are tax funded...most of profits going to shareholders-often in a position where they also have influence on strategies to limit this pandemic... Because if you put the start of this CoViD pandemic -based on what is now detected- one could claim this pandemic is around 3 years going on...WHY ??? Politics/"media" going for claims that "the pandemic is over"....statistics simply indicate CoViD is only getting worse... [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory Only Ireland and Peru did have recent updates...From a "science perspective" not relating MPX to the underlying CoViD pandemic is anti science... The Northeast & Midwest are above their respective Delta peaks. Let’s keep doing nothing. It’s working well. US wastewater/sewage... BA.2.75 is picking up 346, 356, 444, 452, 486, 490 It’s mutating FAST. DJ...very likely to become ONE of several dominant sub-variants of CoViD...Recent studies indicate people may catch more then one sub-variant when they get infected...Oral/nasal testing may miss a lot of the virus infection all over the body...(It is NOT a "lung-virus"!!!) · Announcement by the CDC and the WHO that enough poliovirus has been found circulating in NY, with enough genetic changes, to cause the US to be added to the list of countries with active circulation of vaccine-derived virus. A remarkable, disturbing moment. Show this thread DJ...another recent finding is-YES CoViD infection is resulting in weaker immunity...(DJ-Vaccinations itself result in the body building up immunity...during that process vaccinated people may be more vulnerable for infections ??? Also vaccines in older people may offer less protection because also their immune system is not that strong...). |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
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Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 13 2022 at 11:20pm |
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.......DJ...... On this page twitter-post are problematic, in latest news-nuclear war "ksc" is harrassing post that goes against his/her views... [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/reports-germany-halts-all-covid-19-vaccines-license-put-on-hold[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/reports-germany-halts-all-covid-19-vaccines-license-put-on-hold ...when I read this claim, Germany would investigat vaccine complications-halt all vaccinations for at least two weeks-I expect other sources to provide more info...DW has nothing about it...[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/913781-covid-19-vaccine-dangers-side-effects-controversy?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/913781-covid-19-vaccine-dangers-side-effects-controversy?view=stream (with lots of "not so good sources" ) has nothing about it...https://twitter.com/JackKid65506134 as the only source ? In the HT link a short clip-with an English voice over-German spoken RKI person not telling that much...[url]https://www.rki.de/EN/Home/homepage_node.html[/url] or https://www.rki.de/EN/Home/homepage_node.html DJ-So for now my conclusion...fake news...without any sources. Since another vaccination-booster round is starting also "anti vax" info is increasing...Since I am NOT an expert I try to stay informed...For now my view; -Vaccines did save maybe up to millions of lives -At least some vaccines may have more healthissues then the producers claimed to expect... -Longer term healthissues of (some) vaccines a ????...since I am "old" maybe for myself not the main point... -Vaccines NEVER were expected to stop getting infected/spread the virus-goal is to limit disease/severity... DJ |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
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Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 13 2022 at 1:48am |
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In part 1 I discussed the economic decrease of healthcare capacity-while pandemic pressure (a.o. aging, wars, refugees) is increasing healthcare demand... Part 2, New short paper with : We estimate that Covid-19 illnesses have reduced the US labor force by ~500,000 workers & provide the first representative estimates of Covid’s direct labor supply effects. Paper: https://nber.org/papers/w30435 DJ, long term healthissues related to pandemic diseases and vaccines/medication are growing fast and show much more in "social" sectors with more contacts/spread, care, education, security... DJ, "the west" is trying to force other countries to follow their denialism on pandemics for economic/profit reasons... · Today I discovered an extraordinary microlineage of BA.2.3. What makes it extraordinary? A colossal genetic saltation (10 spike mutations) combined with striking geographic spread for a very small number of sequences (just 4 so far). 1/25 https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/1013… Show this thread DJ, I did give up on trying to follow "new variants"...[url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports has 620 "Omicron-sub-variants" growing high speed... [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time UK now self-reported 1,583,585 cases of "active" CoViD...sep 2 was just over 1,489,200 cases... DJ...in practice those that want better ventilation can not pay for it, those that can pay for it often refuse to do so... U.S. COVID deaths in past 12mos continues to rank the highest . The number of precious lives we’ve lost in 2.5 years exceeds the number of American combat deaths in every war since 1775. Having COVID? Don't spread it pls. The #immunocompromised needs  protection.See also [url]https://twitter.com/TogetherWeMask/status/1568595352302796801/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/TogetherWeMask/status/1568595352302796801/photo/1 ...India statistics may be "weak".... 'Understaffed and Overworked': Thousands of Minnesota Nurses Go on Strike and Sometimes you hit a point where you either change or self-destruct. I believe healthcare has reached this point. DJ...due to "economic pressure" "politics" in lots of countries go for spending cuts on public healthcare....with another CoViD wave on its way in many places... Ok here we go. This one was sequenced in México City by the INMEGEN Institute. Centaurus family just arrived. We are in the exit phase of the 5th wave, so it is possible that BA.2.75 or its daughters, ignite the 6th wave soon. and | |
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Dutch Josh
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Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 13 2022 at 12:01am |
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DJ, -A lot of info on "the international situation"...wars-in latest news. Since it also affects economies, healthcare "the international situation" has lots of pandemic links. YES-Refugees may bring/transfer lots of diseases..NO It is not a reason to "kill refugees" -most "civilized western countries" have seas,rivers desserts doing the killing for them...Tens-of-thousends of refugees die that way each year...NATO/Western wars since 1945 most likely killed more people then were killed in the second world war...from Vietnam to Iraq...and the killing goes on... Of course there is also economic warfare [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poland_and_the_euro[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poland_and_the_euro ; In the 2015 Polish parliamentary election, the winning party became the eurosceptic Law and Justice, which opposes euro adoption. On 13 April 2019 at a convention, Jarosław Kaczyński, the leader of Law and Justice Party (PiS) stated: "We will adopt the euro someday, because we are committed to do so and we are and will be in the European Union, but we will accept it when it is in our interest".[38] He came forth with a declaration, according to which the euro wouldn't be introduced until Poland's economy catches up with Western economies.[39] In his view Poland should accept the euro only when the national economy will reach 85% of GDP per capita of Germany.[40] Later on Jarosław Kaczyński and premier Mateusz Morawiecki maintain that convergence to euro at this point would be harmful for Poland DJ Polish GDP has to reach 85% of German GDP and introduction of the Euro has to serve Polish interests...well we may be on our way with German economy close to collapse...Ukraine is supposed to join the EU...so the Euro was planned to become Ukraine currency one day...EU economy "saved" by a "cheap Euro" as compensation for high energy costs...who will pay for that ? Well EU citizens may face close to hyperinflation...the US may be on the same road... Of course-without an economy you can not have healthcare..."Saving the economy" did allready bring the CoViD-pandemic out of control...Healthcare capacity may "collapse" under the weight of economic collapse and wars...making pandemics even worse... -[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/asia/japan/japan-far-higher-ratio-of-people-dying-after-moderate-covid-infections/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/asia/japan/japan-far-higher-ratio-of-people-dying-after-moderate-covid-infections/ ; Japan says an increasing percentage of people are dying after developing moderate symptoms of COVID-19.
Deaths from Covid in Japan are continuing to breach record highs even though the seventh wave of cases started to decline on the 24th August 2022. DJ [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/ Japan cases -25% from 943,707 last week to 706,770 cases last 7 days...No doubt 8th wave will start within a month or so... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/are-the-new-sars-cov-2-variants-circulating-in-europe-more-neuropathogenic-with-a-modified-pathogenesis-brain-and-liver-issues-on-the-rise[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/are-the-new-sars-cov-2-variants-circulating-in-europe-more-neuropathogenic-with-a-modified-pathogenesis-brain-and-liver-issues-on-the-rise DJ-Statistics (also a.o. from Taiwan) point that way... Much more info on [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/category/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/category/coronavirus/ and [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/articles/news[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/articles/news ... -MPX [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory needs updates...problem may be with countries not providing new numbers...(latest from september 9...maybe later on newer info post-weekend...?) DJ; On Thursday, Los Angeles County, California, health officials confirmed the death of a man recently diagnosed with monkeypox. This brings the number of fatalities with confirmed monkeypox infection to two in the United States. On August 30, Harris County, Texas, reported the first such death in the US in a severely immunocompromised individual. why this has to come from WSWS ? and · CDC: Severe Respiratory Illnesses Associated with Rhinoviruses and/or Enteroviruses Including EV-D68 – Multistate, 2022 https://emergency.cdc.gov/han/2022/han00474.asp?ACSTrackingID=USCDC_511-DM89761&ACSTrackingLabel=HAN%20474%20-%20General%20Public&deliveryName=USCDC_511-DM89761 DJ...we are on our way to healthcare collapse...governments should do all they can to stop this.... -One of my major concerns is the availability of medication and care. Delay in care-because that care was dealing with (chronic) CoViD cases-did cost(tens of ?) thousends of lives worldwide...In many ways healthcare has been overstretched for over two years...In some settings over 10% of health care workers are "ill" for a longer time...from getting infected with a disease to burn-out... Present global healthcare strategies in most countries are destroying public health... A part 2 later on today... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
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Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 11 2022 at 11:47pm |
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DJ, -War see latest news, escalation goes on...a war has no winners... [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/vaccine-breakthrough/russia-eight-times-vaccinated-vladimir-zhirinovsky-dies-of-covid-19/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/vaccine-breakthrough/russia-eight-times-vaccinated-vladimir-zhirinovsky-dies-of-covid-19/ ; Vladimir Zhirinovsky said that in a year and a half he had shot himself eight times with different Covid-19 vaccines.. Ultranationalist Russian MP Vladimir Zhirinovsky died of Covid-19 in April 2022, despite admitting having vaccinated himself eight times against the disease using different vaccines. “So I made eight injections and didn’t get sick, and if I had done four, then perhaps I would have been caught somewhere,” he said. According to the politician, re-vaccination is necessary when the level of antibodies decreases. According to the Mash Telegram channel, Zhirinovsky was hospitalized due to bilateral pneumonia that began against the background of the coronavirus: 50-75% of his lungs were affected. An Interfax source also said that the damage to the lungs was serious. DJ [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/ Russia cases +4%, deaths +2% [url]https://tass.com/coronavirus-outbreak-in-china[/url] or https://tass.com/coronavirus-outbreak-in-china reporting on CoViD in Russia (more info on variants would be welcome...). -[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/long-covid/norway-46-of-covid-infected-report-long-term-effects/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/long-covid/norway-46-of-covid-infected-report-long-term-effects/ ; “As many as 46 per cent of those who had been infected with Covid in our study report long-term effects.”. A study by the University of Bergen and Haukeland University Hospital shows that more people suffer from long Covid than previously believed. “As many as 46 per cent of those who had been infected with Covid in our study report long-term effects, which is a very large amount,” professor and infectious medicine specialist Nina Langeland at the University of Bergen told TV2.
Study: Symptom Burden and Immune Dynamics 6 to 18 Months Following Mild Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Infection (SARS-CoV-2): A Case-control Study DJ, the definition of "long/chronic CoViD" goes from healthissues after 4 weeks...some still stick to an idea CoViD is over after 4 weeks-people dying later can not die from CoViD in that view...to 4, 6, 12 months... Also 46% of cases still with problems after a year; can they return to their jobs ? Maybe only part time ? Or do they even need help in their households ? The chronic CoViD story reminds me of ME-CFS...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chronic_fatigue_syndrome[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chronic_fatigue_syndrome My idea on ME-CFS is there may have been a link to infection(s), sort of post-viral syndrome...Mental aspects (depression, fear) come on top of it when there is not enough support...Mourning over loss of quality of life, acceptance of that loss are aspects...Long/chronc CoViD patients may benefit from contacts with other "patients" running into the same kind of problems...Legal support also can help to at least have some form of income... Auto-immune issues, chronic fatigue-immunity deficiency syndrome is also seen in chronic CoViD cases...There by now most likely will be more chronic CoViD cases then acute ones... -Polio [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/polio/usa-state-of-emergency-declared-in-new-york-over-polio/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/polio/usa-state-of-emergency-declared-in-new-york-over-polio/ ; New York’s governor, Kathy Hochul, declared a state of emergency over polio on September 9th 2022 after the virus was detected in the wastewater of yet another county in the New York City area. The latest detection involved a wastewater sample collected last month in Nassau county on Long Island.
NYSDOH wastewater surveillance report DJ, Polio may be widespread...in most cases it will remain with no or mild symptoms, only a small % develop serious disease/long lasting problems... -MPX, I don't know [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory is this still getting updated ? In the Americas the percent of monkeypox cases was zero on PAHO's epidemiological week (EW) 22 but has slowly climbed to 3.0% (117) by EW 31. PAHO notes that in Brazil 6.4% of cases are female. Numbers are climbing both in relative terms and absolute numbers. DJ-he also reported Jordan did see the first case of MPX...I expected MPX cases to increase due to schools/workplaces reopening...Increase of spread via aerosols, surfaces...decrease of sexual transfer...Will become a major problem "soon" because the MPX virus can also cause infections in a.o. the brain... -Another look at [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/ global cases going down-most because of lack of testing/reporting...However ; Vietnam cases +33%, deaths +13% Poland cases +24%, deaths -20% (Slovenia cases +27%, Slovakia cases +23%...central Europe increase of cases...) Nigeria cases +27% Venezuela cases +23% France cases +10% South Africa cases +9% (it is winter there now...) There are 51 countries reporting an increase of cases... The UK simply stopped reporting (most) cases [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time self-reporting of symptoms indicate cases going up there. Also lots of places have sewage samples indicating cases going up...the new wave(s) of CoViD have started... End of part 1 |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
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Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 11 2022 at 3:38am |
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DJ, part 2, WAR-early indications for further escalation-see latest news... -[url]https://twitter.com/Jean__Fisch/status/1568107447482466305/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/Jean__Fisch/status/1568107447482466305/photo/1 schools reopening=more CoViD cases in (in this statistic/photo) Belgian children....It will bring more MIS-C cases, no doubt increase other diseases... Schools were supposed in many countries to increase ventilation...But nobody wanted/could pay for it..."besides getting CoViD would increase the immune response"-non sense...So spread in children is a "good way" to start further spread to (grand)parents, families... -Let me look at some statistics to get a picture of exponential growth; [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/worldwide-graphs/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/worldwide-graphs/ has a lot of statistics... A look at reported CoViD deaths; 1 million at september 9 2020 2 million, january 5 2021 3 million, april 4 2021 4 million, june 30 2021 5 million, october 25 2021 6 million, february 27 2022 Current latest number 6,516,077 Another look; 1,956,509 deaths per january 1-2021, at january 1 2022 that number was 5,483,990... [url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps provides excess deaths of all causes, including also heatwaves (also a massive killer !) For age 0-14, 15-44 it is clear 2022 is seeing (much) higher excess deaths, most likely older age groups did get vaccinated more, did see already higher numbers earlier...If you click on 2019 one can see 2020 did show already higher excess deaths...(if you also include 2018, 2017 the picture gets even more clear...). There will be other (WHO, (E)CDC etc) statistics on excess deaths...however they may NOT show exponential growth, why ? -Vaccines matter, -Those most at risk may have died, -Non Pharma steps by many others (work from home, limiting contacts) -Autumn/Winter statistics for the northern part of the globe still not here...it may be to early to see an exponential trend... Also on country level [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/brazil/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/brazil/ or [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/germany/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/germany/ not such an exponential trend... Diseases like the flu "self limit"; once you did get it you may have long term immunity...In a bad year up to 2 million flu deaths is seen as a pandemic -a normal year may see 400,000-600,000 flu deaths worldwide...So comparing flu with CoViD after 3 years-even a bad flu-would see 3x6=1,8 million deaths not 6,5 million as CoViD does... So there are "limiting factors" on "exponential growth" of CoViD, most likely two major ones; -vaccines and -most at risk died already (partly due to other causes)... However the idea of "it will get milder" on CoViD is wrong...Even Omicron (close to 1,000 subvariants...) is NOT getting milder...Vaccines may buy us time... Economic collapse, climate crises increase excess deaths, combining chronc CoViD with a heatwave or a flood is very unwelcome...so those factors push excess deaths up...worsen also the long term outcome of CoViD... DJ-Maybe there is a basic wrong idea; Only counting CoViD as cause of death within 4 weeks of a positive test may simply be wrong...it is far more complex ! End of part 2 |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
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Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 10 2022 at 11:34pm |
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DJ, -In latest news I did write my view on the NATO-offensive, further escalation, in Ukraine...Nuclear War risks firther increased by the end of talks on a new Iran deal.... -A M7.6 earthquake hit Papua New Guinea...I did notice smaller quakes yesterday near Biak (Once a Dutch Navy station in "Netherlands New Guinea" till 1962) ...PNG has a small population, even a possible local tsunami often only brings limited damage...However if the quake was an M9,6 "the world would be shaking" and we could see a global tsunami... Tropical storm "Kay" did help to end a wildfire in southern California...rains may bring mud-slides...Former hurricane Danielle may bring some bad weather to Spain early coming week... [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/board,3.0.html[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/board,3.0.html Arctic/Greenland melt should worry us all... -DJ-Yesterday I did get tired of the bad pandemic news...Even more new variants discussed on twitter... If "exponential growth" was very simple the pandemic-as an example-could have claimed; 1 million lives in 2020 2 million lives in 2021 4 million lives in 2022...and would claim 8 million lives in 2023, 16 million lives in 2024 etc... However..it is NOT that simple; -Vaccines do save lives (however some present vaccines may bring their own problems...) -Non Pharma Intervention, masks, social distance, travel limitations, stop on mass events all "restrict freedom" even if they will save-on the long run-millions of lives... -Diseases will increase, not only CoViD...MPX has to be related...Polio (New York emergency) etc. as well.. -On the background the economy is on its way to crash...collapse... -Immunity is getting weaker (African Swine Fever showing up again in pigs...was a major global problem in 2018-20...may have been a possible "root" for CoViD...DJ-Time sequence, spread ASF was major in China...CoViD did get a start there...CoViD however may have started in Africa...) -Oral (China) nasal (India) vaccines may see widescale use...however "the west" for profit reasons sticking to US big pharma...( The "profit-ideology" put above public health...). So-the depressing pandemic outlook is "bad"....If it did not kill more people then the Spanish Flu-in real numbers-it soon may do so...The over 6,5 million deaths is only an "official" tip of the iceberg...Double that number may give a more realistic number...so at least 13 million CoViD deaths..."Delta" in India may have killed over 5 million in India...however they never got tested...At the high end something like 40 million CoViD deaths ? Then you end up in discussions on what number of excess deaths are in reality CoViD linked ? How deathly is "long/chronic" CoViD ? How many people died after vaccination(s) from side-effects of far from perfect vaccines ? May be tens/hundreds of thousends ? Linked to this [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/immunocompromised/significant-long-term-alterations-in-t-cell-populations-in-hospitalised-covid-patients/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/immunocompromised/significant-long-term-alterations-in-t-cell-populations-in-hospitalised-covid-patients/ ; “We see similar effects on patients with a chronic HIV infection with increased level of exhausted CD57+ CD8+ T cells.”..
Press release: Severe COVID-19 impairs the immune system for longer than 6 months DJ, TMN Yesterday had [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/study-discovers-that-sars-cov-2-mpro-protein-disarms-some-of-the-human-immune-responses-by-cleaving-nemo-an-immune-signaling-protein[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/study-discovers-that-sars-cov-2-mpro-protein-disarms-some-of-the-human-immune-responses-by-cleaving-nemo-an-immune-signaling-protein ...CoViD19 likely weakening our immunity defense against other diseases...now science also may find proof. I think that is "very bad news".... We should be doing all we can to get pandemics under control but we do not....So CoViD-19 may have started MPX...other diseases (flu ???) likely will follow and kill many more... Of course one could claim the Spanish Flu killed between 2 and 5% of the global population over a hundred years ago...Even if CoViD killed around 40 million it would be around 0,5% of the present global population....DJ-my answer; so far.... Other diseases then CoViD (measles doing bad things a.o. in Zimbabwe, MPX has mutation-potential...H5N1 etc) may be able to kill much more people-certainly in combination of diseases...Do we start taking it serious when people drop dead on the street on a large scale ? My point; There is a lot we could do to STOP THE SPREAD but we are not doing it... End of part 1... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
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Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 10 2022 at 2:30am |
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DJ, part 2, In latest news I try to follow also developments in (European) economy/energy...The US may be able to support itself better for its energy needs then most of Europe is. Russia may use the "energy-weapon" in reaction to western/EU sanctions...Europe "has a problem" -but the seize of the problem is different for each country...NL did make a jump in renewables...producing more solar-energy (in % of its energy needs) then Spain does...Also wind-turbines-of better use in autumn-did increase in NL... However "green renewable energy" has its limits...(we did see some time ago EU energy companies getting paid for taking energy-there was more solar/wind energy then demanded...) certainly in winter. Increasing LNG-port-capacity only has a use when you can increase LNG imports... Lots of European countries did increase imports from Russian energy to be able to sanction Russian energy later on...for the short term that means energy in storage... Lots of European countries did provide financial compensation for higher energy costs...raising inflation...There is a staff problem in getting more renewable, isolation-increase of energy efficiency steps being made... The basic question -pandemic related- is how deep the economic crisis will get the coming months...One of my fears is medication may become problematic...increase of people dying from diseases now under medication control. For that-and lots of other-matters I would like to see an end to the Ukraine war as soon as possible.... -[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/research-omicron-variant-is-highly-likely-a-product-of-artificial-genetic-modification/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/research-omicron-variant-is-highly-likely-a-product-of-artificial-genetic-modification/ ; An extraordinary claim in a research paper just released: that the Omicron variant could be a product of artificial genetic modification.
Research paper: A probabilistic approach to evaluate the likelihood of artificial genetic modification and its application to SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant The theory that the Omicron variant might be artificial in nature is not as outlandish as it at first seems. There was a lot of speculation when the variant was first identified about its murky origins. - In December 2021, some even wondered whether the variant might have been intentionally created and then released as a type of self-spreading vaccine, presumably to counter the deadly Delta variant that had been prominent earlier that year. We can certainly think of a few nations across the globe where that sort of proposal might have been quietly entertained… DJ...If you use a "statistical model" trying to calculate "chance for mutations" it would be good to realize; -CoViD-infections may be in the billions...most in humans-most likely non-human cases (minks ! a.o.) in the millions... -CoViD vaccinations over 12 billion... -Most of spread/infections may not see testing/sequencing Like the "claim" of SARS-2/CoViD19 "came from a Wuhan lab" the chances for SARS-1/2003 MERS getting another corona-risk may not need "lab-escape"...The same kind of statistics could find the Spanish Flu or Plague "had to be created"....So I am not convinced... -[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-2-75-2/ba-2-75-2-the-most-immune-evasive-strain-we-have-tested-so-far/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-2-75-2/ba-2-75-2-the-most-immune-evasive-strain-we-have-tested-so-far/ ; A Twitter post from Covid researcher Yunlong Cao claims that Omicron BA.2.75.2 is “currently the most immune evasive strain we have tested so far”. Yunlong Cao is a co-author of the recent preprint “Characterizations of enhanced infectivity and antibody evasion of Omicron BA.2.75” which we covered in this post. As of 8th September 2022, the research data from Yunlong Cao on BA.2.75.2 hasn’t yet been finalized or published. We will update this post when we have more news. - Given the extraordinary of ability of SARS-CoV-2 to constantly reinvent itself, we are convinced that there are still some very unpleasant surprises in store for humanity with this virus. With SARS-CoV-2 testing largely abandoned, and with the most basic of mitigations phased out, a new variant that is deadlier than Delta and more transmissible than Omicron could cause casualties on a global scale as yet unseen in human history.
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DJ, Link has lots of twitters on [url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports/ba.2.75*%20%5Bomicron%20(ba.2.75.x)%5D?loc&selected[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports/ba.2.75*%20%5Bomicron%20(ba.2.75.x)%5D?loc&selected ....Most likely (as expected in an exponential basic idea) CoViD-19 may now see over 1,000 subvariants...[url]https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues[/url] or https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues ...... DJ [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/scientist-in-taiwan-report-that-a-new-sars-cov-2-ba-2-3-7-sub-variant-with-k97e-spike-mutation-is-causing-critical-neurological-illness-in-children[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/scientist-in-taiwan-report-that-a-new-sars-cov-2-ba-2-3-7-sub-variant-with-k97e-spike-mutation-is-causing-critical-neurological-illness-in-children ....[url]https://www.ijidonline.com/article/S1201-9712(22)00500-8/fulltext[/url] or https://www.ijidonline.com/article/S1201-9712(22)00500-8/fulltext as link; Highlights
In my opinion the present pandemic strategy is making matters worse...STOP THE SPREAD !!! Vaccines will NOT be able to get us out of this pandemic without NPI ! -MPX [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory countries simply stop reporting cases ? Denial as strategy...? [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/study-discovers-that-sars-cov-2-mpro-protein-disarms-some-of-the-human-immune-responses-by-cleaving-nemo-an-immune-signaling-protein[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/study-discovers-that-sars-cov-2-mpro-protein-disarms-some-of-the-human-immune-responses-by-cleaving-nemo-an-immune-signaling-protein link to [url]https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-32922-9[/url] or https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-32922-9 ; In addition to its essential role in viral polyprotein processing, the SARS-CoV-2 3C-like protease (3CLpro) can cleave human immune signaling proteins, like NF-κB Essential Modulator (NEMO) and deregulate the host immune response. Here, in vitro assays show that SARS-CoV-2 3CLpro cleaves NEMO with fine-tuned efficiency. Analysis of the 2.50 Å resolution crystal structure of 3CLpro C145S bound to NEMO226–234 reveals subsites that tolerate a range of viral and host substrates through main chain hydrogen bonds while also enforcing specificity using side chain hydrogen bonds and hydrophobic contacts. Machine learning- and physics-based computational methods predict that variation in key binding residues of 3CLpro-NEMO helps explain the high fitness of SARS-CoV-2 in humans. We posit that cleavage of NEMO is an important piece of information to be accounted for, in the pathology of COVID-19. DJ...CoViD-19 destroying immunity response...may give increase of all kinds of other diseases.... Cardiac events, strokes, pulmonary embolisms, seizures are among long covid consequences that are not being counted as Covid related. "Excess deaths" DJ..I need a break...[url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps more statistics (with their limits) on excess deaths... End of part 2 |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
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Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 09 2022 at 11:48pm |
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DJ, I take a look at "statistics"[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ less then 500,000 new cases reported...UK, Türkiye, Argentina, Israel, Belgium a.o. simply did not report cases...UK totally stopped reporting cases...[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/ cases worldwide -21%, deaths -21% as well only give "limited indications"....58 countries report increase of cases...(11 of them reported no cases the week before...) [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time however indicating UK cases going up... [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qJetNMAyw4M[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qJetNMAyw4M Tim Spector/ZOE;This week, Tim shares the latest on COVID rates namely that they're rising again according to our Health Study data, and shares some insights from our ongoing Blood Pressure Study. DJ, Symptom-selfreporting, sewage-samples can give early indications on (symptomatic) spread...UK R0 1 moving up, 1 in 44 UK citizens have CoViD, 1-in-37 younger people... Sore throat at 66% of cases report as symptom, headache54%, blocked nose 52%, cough-no phlegm 51%, runny nose 48%....altered smell 19%, loss of smell 13% (DJ both may indicate neurological issues...???indicators for longer term problems ????) "Redacted" [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OEL6HzVql_g[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OEL6HzVql_g on Israel findings on adverse effects of Pfizer-vaccines... DJ-My goal is trying to find out how to deal with this pandemic...I think vaccines can protect-in general...However over 12 billion CoViD vaccines have been used...often a limited group did get 3 to 4 vaccines...and a lot of people did not get any vaccine...The global vaccination campain in this pandemic is "new" in human history...Lots of other vaccinations going on but in much lower numbers...Most vaccines may NOT be mRNA but more "traditional ones" (using adeno-virus or dead covid-virus to start immunity...) The US has VAERS...to report "vaccine adverse effects"...however to report those effects you need to fill in a form asking questions most people can not answer...takes you up to an hour... In Israel a study on adverse effects did not ask for neurological problem...( a drop-down digital form may have no room for reporting main problems - so easy to ignore major issues). The video (a.o.) claims lots of long lasting adverse effects, from menstruation, back pain, tinitus etc. simply are ignored...while boosters make it worse... And we see a next round of booster-vaccines for many countries... DJ-Looking at statistics my impression is "death within 4 weeks after a positive CoViD-test" may have decreased due to vaccines...however...long term excess deaths is going up...also in age groups one would not expect to see such an increase of excess deaths.... Part of the explanation may be in long term health-issues of CoViD (possibly initial infection only giving no/mild symptoms...) however I do not have any real idea of how bad adverse effects of vaccines are...You are NOT allowed to ask questions (a facebook on adverse effects-3,000 members-was deleted by FB...). Astra-Zeneca was "stopped" because of "adverse effects", "lack of effectiveness against CoViD variants" (in South Africa)....DJ-I think the claim "big pharma" would see more profits if every one gets ill" may be "correct" to some level...but I would like governments to get the "profit from pandemics" element out...(like in most of the non-western world...Governments run the vaccines...do the major deals with big pharma...). One reason we may still be in this pandemic may be "profits" ....and I hate that idea... Another reason is "lack of vaccine strategy"...vaccines are supposed to "stop the pandemic", NPI (masks, social distance etc.) all have been given up...Even when vaccines only -at best-limit disease...not STOP infection or spread.... So I can get another booster most likely within a month...I most likely will accept it because it may have "some use" against (short term) severe illness...but more and more I wonder what is the basic idea...why are we only sinking deeper into a healthcrisis-with data only getting worse, governments simply in denial of how serious things are... End of part 1 |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
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Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 08 2022 at 11:55pm |
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DJ, Some wise words; "By telling the public they are tired, the administration is lowering expectations, promising less, and excusing its own shortcomings..But given half-measures in public health will only prolong the pandemic, “people are tired” is also likely to be a self-fulfilling prophecy; 20/ - "That’s why the message needs to change, reminding Americans we are resilient, compassionate, and capable of sacrifice. Instead of rationales for resignation, we need to hear what Winston Churchill supposedly said: “When you’re going through hell, keep going.” If we want to "get out" do not stop ! Of course it would be better not "going through hell" but once you end up there, move on !!! "In fact, pandemic fatigue is a reason to do more in public health policy—suppressing disease transmission as efficiently as possible to keep morale from fading. The tired-public hypothesis is also an excellent argument for implementing less-obtrusive interventions...
17/ DJ...I can not imagine anyone is realy enjoying this pandemic(s) ...even those making profits out of it must be getting tired of making profits this-high risk- way...They want the problem (and profits...) under control-not out of control... From better ventilation indoors to better information, NPI, better (nasal/oral) vaccines...lots of actions are needed urgently ! When your house is on fire-with you in it-the last thing to do is sit down and say it is hopeless !!! "recent polls suggest 70% of Americans see the pandemic optimistically—as “a problem, but manageable”—potentially suggesting widespread support for preventive measures. A poll last week found a majority of both Republicans & Democrats support vaccine&mask mandates in schools.15 and Stop Telling Americans That They’re “Tired of Covid” "Shifting responsibility for the pandemic onto individuals is bad policy—and risks becoming a self-fulfilling prophecy of doom. Link; [url]https://www.thenation.com/article/society/covid-pandemic-cdc-fatigue/[/url] or https://www.thenation.com/article/society/covid-pandemic-cdc-fatigue/ ; Since last winter, the Biden administration’s response to the Covid-19 pandemic—at its best never very inspiring—has continued giving up the ghost. Amid a record-breaking level of infections and deaths in the Omicron wave earlier this year, Americans saw the rollback of indoor masking mandates in many states—soon followed by the repeal of the federal mask mandate on public transportation. In February, the CDC reshaped its own guidelines about local Covid risk in a way that will permit the public to be blindsided by surges; last week, its guidance was loosened even further. Currently, the United States faces the recent emergence of a highly transmissible new variant, the prospect of 100 million new infections this fall, and the alarming news that one in five people who test positive will experience symptoms of long Covid. National Covid fatalities remain at “a horrible plateau.” DJ..running away from problems most of the time results in bigger problems... Music; [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xMaE6toi4mk[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xMaE6toi4mk The Clash - Should I Stay Or Should I Go.... End of part 2 |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 08 2022 at 11:40pm |
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DJ-twitter links stay a problem copying them.... -Main news yesterday of course was the death of [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elizabeth_II[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elizabeth_II [url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/09/rip-liz-ii-1.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/09/rip-liz-ii-1.html ...most European "royals" have a lot of "dark family history"... "king charles III" has no place in the modern world...head of states should be democraticly elected...not be top of an anti-democratic elite rulling a country for centuries.... As a "person" "Q.E.II" however may have been a symbol (not much more) of stability in a fast changing world...she became UK head of state during the Korean War...february 1952...died during the Ukraine War...her death may be linked to CoViD...(but smoking will also have been a factor). -[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/meta-analysis-study-shows-that-antioxidant-supplements-like-vitamin-c,-vitamin-d,-selenium-and-zinc-does-help-in-covid-19-clinical-outcomes-[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/meta-analysis-study-shows-that-antioxidant-supplements-like-vitamin-c,-vitamin-d,-selenium-and-zinc-does-help-in-covid-19-clinical-outcomes- link to [url]https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/fsn3.3034[/url] or https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/fsn3.3034 ; AbstractCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a newly emerging viral infection caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Oxidative stress appears to be a prominent contributor to the pathogenicity of SARS-CoV-2. Therefore, we carried out a systematic review of human observational and interventional studies to investigate the role of some antioxidants such as vitamins A, E, D, and C, selenium, zinc, and α-lipoic acid in the main clinical outcomes of subjects with COVID-19. Google Scholar, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, Scopus, and Medline were searched using Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) and non-MeSH terms without restrictions. Finally, 36 studies for vitamins C and D, selenium, and zinc were included in this systematic review; however, no eligible studies were found for vitamins A and E as well as α-lipoic acid. The results showed the promising role of vitamin C in inflammation, Horowitz index, and mortality; vitamin D in disease manifestations and severity, inflammatory markers, lung involvement, ventilation requirement, hospitalization, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and mortality; selenium in cure rate and mortality; and zinc in ventilation requirement, hospitalization, ICU admission, biomarkers of inflammation and bacterial infection, and disease complications. In conclusion, it seems that antioxidants, especially vitamins C and D, selenium, and zinc, can improve multiple COVID-19 clinical outcomes. Nevertheless, more studies are necessary to affirm these results. DJ...of course the conclusion may not be "that new" it offers hope for a strategy to limit CoViD-pandemic damage...supplements/healthy food (and healthy lifestyle) can make a difference... New nasal/oral vaccines (India, China) also offer perspectives..."the west" sticking to (for profit) US moderna and pfizer...with some-higher risk-groups getting an updated version, others the old vaccine...DJ-I would welcome more competition, why the west is closing its doors for vaccines from India, China (even Russia, Iran/Cuba) if they are cheap and effective ? Pharma-protectionism ? (the above study was from Iran...reason some may boycot it...I would like to see Iran-Israel scientist cooperation in healthcare...). -[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-study-shows-that-a-variety-of-sars-cov-2-variants-are-at-play-in-a-single-infection-current-approach-to-sequencing-and-reporting-variants-is-[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-study-shows-that-a-variety-of-sars-cov-2-variants-are-at-play-in-a-single-infection-current-approach-to-sequencing-and-reporting-variants-is- wrong... Some points from the article; -Early nasal PCR tests "showing if someone recovered" simply ignored the virus may be in other parts of the body...Newer studies do see lots of variants could be even in one person for months (DJ-Stool sample testing may give better indications...but even using DIY/at home testing with a stick in your mouth insteda of the nose is advised against...). -Another "claim" was "it will get mild"...DJ-Why should it ? The only "goal" of the virus is to create as much new virus (via a host) as it can...that is what a virus does....! -Lots of medication, anti-virals being promoted that made matters worse...variants better in evading immunity... -DJ-I want to also include the claim "vaccines are low risk & safe"...I think vaccines saved many lives-at the cost of some lives...For some the vaccines used were high risk...Indications/info on that was ignored...further increasing "scepticism...". -Severity of disease -in this study- was linked to a MIX of variants, with also previous infections playing a role...So not "just one" variant as a dominant/deciding factor but far more complex... The study [url]https://journals.plos.org/plosgenetics/article?id=10.1371/journal.pgen.1010200[/url] or https://journals.plos.org/plosgenetics/article?id=10.1371/journal.pgen.1010200 ; AbstractSARS-CoV-2 whole genome sequencing has played an important role in documenting the emergence of polymorphisms in the viral genome and its continuing evolution during the COVID-19 pandemic. Here we present data from over 360 patients to characterize the complex sequence diversity of individual infections identified during multiple variant surges (e.g., Alpha and Delta). Across our survey, we observed significantly increasing SARS-CoV-2 sequence diversity during the pandemic and frequent occurrence of multiple biallelic sequence polymorphisms in all infections. This sequence polymorphism shows that SARS-CoV-2 infections are heterogeneous mixtures. Convention for reporting microbial pathogens guides investigators to report a majority consensus sequence. In our study, we found that this approach would under-report sequence variation in all samples tested. As we find that this sequence heterogeneity is efficiently transmitted from donors to recipients, our findings illustrate that infection complexity must be monitored and reported more completely to understand SARS-CoV-2 infection and transmission dynamics. Many of the nucleotide changes that would not be reported in a majority consensus sequence have now been observed as lineage defining SNPs in Omicron BA.1 and/or BA.2 variants. This suggests that minority alleles in earlier SARS-CoV-2 infections may play an important role in the continuing evolution of new variants of concern. DJ...we are moving into a third year of this pandemic...Billions of people will have had the virus and/or the vaccine...some did get reinfected more then once. Infection after vaccination may give a different picture (in severity of disease-in general the vaccine is supposed to limit infection). Ignoring patient-history may be a mistake...we only now may start to see the long term damage CoViD can bring... "This sequence polymorphism shows that #SARSCoV2 infections are HETEROGENEOUS MIXTURES. Convention for reporting microbial pathogens guides investigators to report a majority CONSENSUS SEQUENCE. In our study, we found that this approach would under-report sequence variation... and · COVID-19 infection and transmission includes complex sequence diversity https://journals.plos.org/plosgenetics/article?id=10.1371/journal.pgen.1010200 as reactions (a.o.) on this very welcome US study... Replying to its an interesting question - should say that the sequencing data for the previous hcovs is very incompletely (especially historically) but as far as we can tell they dont appear to do this same jumping evolution (though we could easily have missed it) DJ, If there are the experts and finance a retro-spective study on older CoViD cases may give extra info...It may explain also regional differences, Brazil, South Africa CoViD developing in a different direction then in the EU, US, India, Russia or China...Does "zero-CoViD"in China at least "limit complexity"???? End of part 1 (may cut parts shorter if I include rwitter-tweets...). |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 08 2022 at 3:08am |
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part 2, [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/new-covid-19-surge-has-started-in-uk-driven-by-ba-4-ba-4-6-bf-7-and-new-ba-5-subvariants-114,914-symptomatic-infections-in-the-last-24-hours[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/new-covid-19-surge-has-started-in-uk-driven-by-ba-4-ba-4-6-bf-7-and-new-ba-5-subvariants-114,914-symptomatic-infections-in-the-last-24-hours both hospital cases, excess deaths increasing...NHS at/over breaking point but media-silence... In [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ and [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/ latest update from august 25...So "UK politics" decided the pandemic is over...nothing to see here... [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time UK government already defunded ZOE...next step would be to call it "fake news" ? (Liz Truss appointed a climate change denier as minister of energy....so maybe health-secretary/minister also push further the "post-pandemic phantasy"...). Here in NL-underlining this pandemic is the outcome of political disasters [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/09/07/cabinet-moving-forward-heavily-criticized-healthcare-system-changes[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/09/07/cabinet-moving-forward-heavily-criticized-healthcare-system-changes ; According to the newspaper, the IZA boils down to people who are ill being more self-reliant in the future. They’ll have to find answers online or get a digital consultation with the GP instead of heading straight to the doctor’s office. They may have to travel further for the necessary care and pay more if they choose a healthcare provider outside their health insurer’s network. All of these points were criticized in the draft agreement and still exist in the final IZA, NRC said. General practitioners' and district nurses’ budgets will still get cut. But health insurers must give GPs more time with patients from next year, a great wish of the general practitioners. And at the last minute, the Ministry promised to invest 48 million euros into the nursing sector. Like in the UK also NL public healthcare being destroyed by neo-liberal "politicians" that see profits as #1... Like in the UK in NL CoViD cases are going up...(Worldometers has NL cases going down because there only once/twice a week updates on numbers...). Of course if you simply not report cases one can claim "cases are going down".... Chronic CoViD = real...patients may get depressed with how "politics"deal with them...but that is ON TOP of chronic infections...  UPSWING—Wastewater data is showing that #SARSCoV2 virus concentrations are on the increase again. The flattening ==> upswing trend is seen nationwide. Good time to get the #BA5/#BA4 bivalent #booster shot asap. #COVID19 #CovidIsNotOver https://biobot.io/data/and 30.43% BA.5.2.1 15.88% BA.5.2 12.24% BA.5.1 8.34% BA.4.6  5.81% BA.5.5 5.40% BA.5 4.94% BA.5.6 2.12% BA.4.1 1.76% BE.1 1.68% BF.5 DJ, BA.2.75 at 0,75% in the US last 15 days...BA.2.75 in New York at 1,1%.... DJ, Governments have to serve the people NOT (only) the big companies.... 1 in 5.4 people are now under EXTREME HEAT WARNINGS in the US today. Let that sink in. #ClimateEmergency #climatecrisis and ·  FIRST TIME ON RECORD—Greenland just experienced its largest September melt event on record, the kind of melt typically seen in the middle of the summer. Usually ice stops melting in Greenland by Sept—except 2022. Look at that melting spike!! https://washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2022/09/06/greenland-ice-melt-heat-wave-summer/DJ, Climate change and pandemics have lots of links... | |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 07 2022 at 10:58pm |
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DJ, -Argentina outbreak and nuclear war see latest news... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/sars-cov-2-ba-2-75-variant-is-evolving-rapidly,-spawning-many-sub-lineages-like-the-ba-2-75-2-that-is-now-the-most-immune-evasive-variant-known[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/sars-cov-2-ba-2-75-variant-is-evolving-rapidly,-spawning-many-sub-lineages-like-the-ba-2-75-2-that-is-now-the-most-immune-evasive-variant-known newer (sub)variants of CoViD may be even better in evading immunity/testing.... [url]https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/963[/url] or https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/963 ; This variant is defined by S:R346T, S:F486S, S:D1199N and was first detected in India. Now it is present in 6 countries across 3 continents (expansion into Germany with todays GISAID upload). 11 seq on Usher as of 18.08.22. Sequences carrying S:D1199N where mentioned by @RajLABN in #918. However the proposed sublineage is apparently distinct from those mentioned in #961 (i.e. #918, #957, #944). Sequence quality is fine but the sublineage currently clusters with a bunch of lower quality sequences with a lot of dropouts (see below). So this subvariant named BA.2.75.2 [url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports the BA.2.75 branch growing fast 19 subvariants detected/sequenced in latest update...most likely many more.... Main reason why [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/ cases/deaths linked to CoViD go down is everybody is so tired of it all....Governments, media, healthexperts seem to give up....so the public may notice there are many problems-lots of ill people...government etc. simply walk away... [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory also not updated yet...denial strategy ? -When you look at "the big picture" western countries moving into political [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ObCu1b0i01k[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ObCu1b0i01k The Duran on liz truss...UK-PM "parked to do worse" so bojo can return as "an improvement"....Economies-in the west-moving high speed into full depression...hyperinflation risks for most of the west (US,UK,EU)...More endless wars... [url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps excess deaths simply getting worse then 2020, 2021...with autumn, winter bringing worse numbers... DJ, we need urgently a better strategy to get out of this collapse.... To end with something positive-NL finally moving out of an ongoing heat wave...lots of rain today...so we may limit a drinking water problem...[url]https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/[/url] or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ (ex)hurricane Danielle may reach Spain/Europe next week as a "depression"..California [url]https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep2+shtml/054705.shtml?ero#contents[/url] or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep2+shtml/054705.shtml?ero#contents may see Kay bringing flash floods...More storms in many places... Enough for today-maybe part 2/twitter most later on... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 07 2022 at 1:15am |
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DJ, part 2, I ended part 1 with a look at coViD-statistics, I expect cases/trends to go up the coming weeks. A decrease in testing/reporting, political denial, may not be able to produce enough lies to fully undo realism...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory very likely further increasing-with statistics running behind the facts... Some twitter; -[url]https://twitter.com/juliaonjobs/status/1567198338751303681/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/juliaonjobs/status/1567198338751303681/photo/1 employment in public sector down, private sector up.... link [url]https://www.independent.co.uk/news/ap-india-china-new-delhi-twitter-b2161031.html[/url] or https://www.independent.co.uk/news/ap-india-china-new-delhi-twitter-b2161031.html ; India and China have cleared a new approach in COVID-19 vaccination — two needle-free options, one a squirt in the nose and the other inhaled through the mouth. Regulators in India authorized Bharat Biotech's nasal version on Tuesday as an option for people who haven't yet been vaccinated. DJ, "western" vaccines remain US-profit-dominated Moderna & Pfizer..."new"-needle needed vaccines...[url]https://www.livemint.com/news/covid19-update-new-variants-may-emerge-this-winter-says-eu-11662217556821.html[/url] or https://www.livemint.com/news/covid19-update-new-variants-may-emerge-this-winter-says-eu-11662217556821.html ; DJ...I find it "strange" the "west"did close the doors for non-western vaccines...The larger the variaty of offered vaccines the more people may be willing to at least accept some form of vaccine...But also vaccines NEED to be part of a wider strategy...even the "best" present vaccines will not be able to get us out of this pandemic... [url]https://theconversation.com/cutting-covid-isolation-and-mask-mandates-will-mean-more-damage-to-business-and-health-in-the-long-run-189862[/url] or https://theconversation.com/cutting-covid-isolation-and-mask-mandates-will-mean-more-damage-to-business-and-health-in-the-long-run-189862 (Australia); From Friday September 9, the isolation requirements for people with COVID and no symptoms will be cut from seven days to five days. Masks will no longer be required on domestic flights. While Australian Medical Association President Steve Robson called for the release of the science behind the National Cabinet decision, the change shows we are now rapidly pushing towards a “business-as-usual” pandemic. This political strategy requires the elimination of protections or restrictions, so that life and business can go “back to normal”. But life is nowhere near normal. COVID is the third most common killer of Australians, with 11,746 deaths so far this year. And there is mounting evidence survivors of COVID face the risk of long-term health effects on the lungs, heart, brain and immune system. In reality, there is no going back to normal now we are living with COVID. DJ-Non pharma Interventions may-simply-do a better job then vaccines; STOP THE SPREAD !!! Maybe two very simple basic ideas; 1. Disease triangle; Disease-transport-host.... Some disease (measles already a major problem in some area's) have a very high R0/spread-very easy to catch...other diseases (MERS, so far H5N1) have a very low R0... Hosts in this story mainly human-hosts getting infected-with bats however a main source for Corona-virus diseases...other species being a reservoir (US deer) or possible "vector" spreading infections (pets, minks...) Transport is getting the disease into the host...From spreading diseases all over the globe via travel, to mass infections via mass-events... Vaccines may limit disease-but fail to stop the spread-resulting in variants that are getting better in evading immunity... 2. Exponential growth... Basic doubling of numbers within a certain time... In this CoViD pandemic not only cases, sub-variants grow but also other diseases-decrease of immunity-is a growing problem. Bloomberg gets it?
“You’ve got the best part of 100 million to half a billion people in the world who are very changed in their capacity to respond to viruses... There’s no way that can mean business as normal for microbial ecology.” - Immune dysfunction left in Covid’s wake? -Worsening of disease symptoms. Ex: rashes caused by hand, foot and mouth -Transmitting pathogens more readily / differently -Emerging chronic carriers, who could become a “vessel for viral evolution.” DJ link [url]https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2022-09-05/kids-with-liver-damage-polio-monkeypox-tomato-flu-viruses-are-behaving-badly?sref=fnwLs0dR[/url] or https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2022-09-05/kids-with-liver-damage-polio-monkeypox-tomato-flu-viruses-are-behaving-badly?sref=fnwLs0dR Why do "experts" miss this ? Tunnelvision-overspecialized, omly looking at one aspect-not getting the "big picture"... Why do "politics" miss this ? Unwelcome news...so look the other way...like they do in climate collapse, fiat currencies... Maybe people with history, social sciences etc. background may be getting the "big picture" earlier ? Lots of warnings also from scientists are being ignored... In my view at present three major risks for human survival; 1-Wars getting out of control...in fact already happening... 2-Climate collapse...from mega droughts, extreme heat, wildfires, floods...also real now... 3-Pandemics; we only may be at the start of this global healthcrisis.... End of part 2 |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 07 2022 at 12:14am |
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Yesterdays part 2 "had problems" sorry for that...also ran out of time "for improvements"... DJ, -Wars-see latest news; In my view there is a major risk of escalation; -september 8 western sponsor meeting on increasing further support for Ukraine -september 11 referendum in south Ukraine on joining Russia My impression is "thousends" of "foreign fighters" involved in Ukraine-side of the war...Only way "Ukraine=the west" can win is NATO moving in. With no real perspective on talks escalation in Ukraine may be on its way...Also Middle East, East Asia may see escalation... -On Tucumán-Argentina if I find new (twitter/flutrackers) info see latest news... -CoViD; [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/netherlands/netherlands-covid-19-this-must-be-some-kind-of-mistake/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/netherlands/netherlands-covid-19-this-must-be-some-kind-of-mistake/ ; It looks like a major error from whoever is inputting data into the Dutch Covid statistics feed, or perhaps at the OurWorldinData site. At least, we sincerley hope it’s an error…. DJ Ourworldindata did show a sudden increase of NL CoViD-cases-most likely that info is "incorrect" may be some "updates coincided" resulting in an alarming statistic...[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/ NL cases +2% (7,721 last week to 7,846 this week-as far as reported...it looks like "ourworldindata" missed lots of NL cases before september 6 and corrected that with 6,000+ cases all at once on one day... Statistics can go wrong if you do not provide extra info when needed...but the point is NL cases +2%...we may see the effect of schools/workplaces reopening...still Europe cases -11% only Russia, Ukraine reporting higher increases then NL... · Update: sequencing confirmed that 5/7 BA.2-like variants are BA.2.75.*. The other 2/7 are BA.5-variants with a S:L452Q mutation (a rare finding). The deviating sample was a delta-variant (AY.34). Also rare: last time we identified a delta variant was months ago. and Even wat aangepast. BN.1 (BA.2.75.5.1) heeft net zijn naam toegewezen gekregen! 10 samples verspreid over de wereld, waarvan niet 1 maar 2 in Nederland. (Ik had er gisteren waarschijnlijk een over het hoofd gezien, omdat GISAID hem BA.2 noemde.) may indicate NL "has some problems" BN.1/BA.2.75.5.1 2 out of 10 global detections in NL, Bij de CovSpectrum collections (gesorteerde lijst #24, goed onderhouden door !) zie je mooi dat de BA.2.75.2 van de niet al te kleine sublineages, het meeste groeivoordeel heeft. https://cov-spectrum.org/collections/24 also BA.2.75.2 may become a problem...[url]https://twitter.com/BertMulderCWZ[/url] or https://twitter.com/BertMulderCWZ (in Dutch) also mentioning 10% of HCW-ers (including doctors) ill, over 30% of healthcare demand in NL related to chronic/long CoViD... [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/09/05/netherlands-must-prepare-society-future-covid-waves-advisory-bodies[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/09/05/netherlands-must-prepare-society-future-covid-waves-advisory-bodies and [url]https://coronadashboard.government.nl/landelijk/positief-geteste-mensen[/url] or https://coronadashboard.government.nl/landelijk/positief-geteste-mensen may not yet show it but the "winterwave" for NL did get started... NL did see lots of mass-events, travel...NL government/media act as if there are no pandemics...with also MPX, polio in sewage at a problematic (made) refugee center (NL government trying to stop refugees by creating inhumane conditions...). Also [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/uk/uk-fresh-covid-19-wave-kicks-off/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/uk/uk-fresh-covid-19-wave-kicks-off/ ; The ZOE Covid app is showing that cases have started to climb in Britain again – just as schoolkids head back to school after the summer break.
4th September 2022 – 112,816 new daily cases 3rd September 2022 – 109,765 new daily cases DJ Worldometers has UK cases -85%...very unrealistic...[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time like sewage samples however may give early indications... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-controversial-wuhan-lab-discovers-a-novel-dna-virus-in-rodents-the-virus-belongs-to-the-polyomaviruses-family-that-can-cause-tumors-in-humans[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-controversial-wuhan-lab-discovers-a-novel-dna-virus-in-rodents-the-virus-belongs-to-the-polyomaviruses-family-that-can-cause-tumors-in-humans link to [url]https://www.virosin.org/article/doi/10.1016/j.virs.2022.06.001[/url] or https://www.virosin.org/article/doi/10.1016/j.virs.2022.06.001 ; AbstractEmergence and re-emergence of infectious diseases of wildlife origin have led pre-emptive pathogen surveillances in animals to be a public health priority. Rodents and shrews are among the most numerically abundant vertebrate taxa and are known as natural hosts of important zoonotic viruses. Many surveillance programs focused more on RNA viruses. In comparison, much less is known about DNA viruses harbored by these small mammals. To fill this knowledge gap, tissue specimens of 232 animals including 226 rodents, five shrews and one hedgehog were collected from 5 counties in Kenya and tested for the presence of DNA viruses belonging to 7 viral families by PCR. Diverse DNA sequences of adenoviruses, adeno-associated viruses, herpesviruses and polyomaviruses were detected. Phylogenetic analyses revealed that most of these viruses showed distinction from previously described viruses and formed new clusters. Furthermore, this is the first report of the discovery and full-length genome characterization of a polyomavirus in Lemniscomys species. This novel polyomavirus, named LsPyV KY187, has less than 60% amino acid sequence identity to the most related Glis glis polyomavirus 1 and Sciurus carolinensis polyomavirus 1 in both large and small T-antigen proteins and thus can be putatively allocated to a novel species within Betapolyomavirus. Our findings help us better understand the genetic diversity of DNA viruses in rodent and shrew populations in Kenya and provide new insights into the evolution of those DNA viruses in their small mammal reservoirs. It demonstrates the necessity of ongoing pathogen discovery studies targeting rodent-borne viruses in East Africa. DJ The article also underlines the "limited knowledge" we have of spread of disease in/via rodents...If you want to get pandemics under control you need to know much more on also non-human hosts, asymptomatic spread etc. [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/international-study-shows-high-doses-of-vitamin-b9-folic-acid-increases-covid-19-risk-and-also-covid-19-mortality-risk[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/international-study-shows-high-doses-of-vitamin-b9-folic-acid-increases-covid-19-risk-and-also-covid-19-mortality-risk DJ-I think studies on interventions in diseases have to be very complex. What can help against one disease/sub-variant case may do harm in anther disease/subvariant case... Again I am NOT an expert-just trying to make some sense...some people are helped with some medical interventions...other people-same background-may not react or show allergies... -Another look at statistics [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/ global cases -22%/deaths -24% with a lot of very poor/bad reporting...some countries only update numbers once a week making trends even more unrealistic-even as indicators; Europe cases -11% deaths -22% Asia cases -23%, deaths -10% Africa cases +6%, deaths -40% Oceania cases -21%, deaths -18% North America cases -43%, deaths -44% South America cases -8%, deaths -26% End of part 1 |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 06 2022 at 3:46am |
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We live in interesting times; lots of news-limited time... Europe is having *another* extreme wave of deaths. Covid Deaths / Million People Yes. On a log scale. DJ...tech problem... [url] |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 05 2022 at 11:46pm |
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DJ, UK next PM most likely even worse then bojo, denying climate change-not in words but in (lack of) actions..."live with the virus"-not doing anything to stop the healthcrisis other then spending cuts on the National Health Service...more war... Some good news; [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/vaccine/cansinobio/china-covid-19-vaccine-administered-by-inhaler-approved/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/vaccine/cansinobio/china-covid-19-vaccine-administered-by-inhaler-approved/ ; China has granted CanSinoBIO approval for its Recombinant COVID-19 Vaccine for Inhalation to be used as a booster dose. Press release:
CanSino Biologics Inc Press release link DJ, Nasal sprays have been investigated almost two years as a way of vaccination...oral/mouth-spray is welcome news... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-the-world-s-first-truly-non-invasive-continuous-glucose-monitor,-glucorx-bioxensor-set-for-launch-in-europe-in-early-2023-[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-the-world-s-first-truly-non-invasive-continuous-glucose-monitor,-glucorx-bioxensor-set-for-launch-in-europe-in-early-2023- ;DJ, CoViD is linked to an increase of diabetes...Better "tools" can also have indirect use (glucose level may provide info on other organs). Welcome-good-news ! [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/netherlands/netherlands-five-scenarios-for-the-future-of-the-pandemic/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/netherlands/netherlands-five-scenarios-for-the-future-of-the-pandemic/ could be "good news" in the sense of at least taking CoViD/healthcrisis serious...It did NOT make headlines in NL... The Netherlands has published a new guide to the future of the pandemic, laying out five possible scenarios for its evolution, including a worst-case scenario. This is a weighty report – it’s nearly 150 pages long – and covers an awful lot of ground. It is possibly the first report we have read in the nearly three years of the coronavirus pandemic that tries to answer really thorny questions such as how to manage a potential societal collapse caused by an increasingly severe pandemic.
Scenario V – the worst scenario (in part)
DJ...politics will ignore it...Also the "worst case scenario" may see lots of diseases getting out of control-not "just" CoViD. NL has 1,166 MPX cases...increase for now slowing down... Code black in healthcare
DJ [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/09/06/dutch-inflation-climbs-record-12[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/09/06/dutch-inflation-climbs-record-12 Highest inflation in NL history was 11,1% in 1975...so now 12% is "major" also NOT in the "worst case scenario"..."Privatized hospitals" unable to pay for energy... [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/09/05/netherlands-must-prepare-society-future-covid-waves-advisory-bodies[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/09/05/netherlands-must-prepare-society-future-covid-waves-advisory-bodies ; We have to learn to live with the coronavirus, so the government must prepare society as soon as possible for the next phase of the pandemic, 14 agencies, including the Scientific Council for Government Policy (WRR), said in advice to the Cabinet. Among other things, the Netherlands must invest in good digital infrastructure so that the switch to online classes and medical consultations can happen smoothly in the event of a revival of the coronavirus. “Thinking through scenarios is hardly happening in politics. The strength of this report is that these 14 organizations offer a very clear and extensive insight into the various domains,” a spokesperson for the WRR said to NOS. From education to human rights, there are recommendations for every theme in the report for five scenarios ranging from very favorable to worst case. DJ, Present neo-liberal "government"planning to decrease spending on healthcare in the hundreds of millions €.... ** Editors note: Google translate seems to have confused the “worst scenario” for the “würst scenario” and simply ended up translating it as the “Sausage scenario”… DJ...the link has a further link to the NL study in English...it may be a "good study" compared to total denial...It will NOT be used since "politics" does not want to know we are still in a worsening health/climate crisis... [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/argentina-two-more-deaths-linked-to-pnuemonia-cluster-in-tucuman/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/argentina-two-more-deaths-linked-to-pnuemonia-cluster-in-tucuman/ and [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/latest-argentinian-mysterious-fatal-pneumonia-outbreak-that-authorities-claim-is-legionella-is-still-spreading-with-22-infections-and-6-deaths-so-far[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/latest-argentinian-mysterious-fatal-pneumonia-outbreak-that-authorities-claim-is-legionella-is-still-spreading-with-22-infections-and-6-deaths-so-far DJ-Official "political" story still "legionella" I will try to find out more in "Latest News"... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/ongoing-outbreak-of-new-strain-of-measles-that-causes-encephalitis-has-now-caused-the-deaths-of-698-children-in-zimbabwe-and-spreading-elsewhere[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/ongoing-outbreak-of-new-strain-of-measles-that-causes-encephalitis-has-now-caused-the-deaths-of-698-children-in-zimbabwe-and-spreading-elsewhere this new type of measles also doing a lot of neurological/brain damage...(new) vaccines may stop spread/disease...(Politics rather invest in war-industry for profits...) [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-italian-study-claims-that-sars-cov-2-could-possibly-penetrate-the-skin-through-the-eccrine-sweat-glands[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-italian-study-claims-that-sars-cov-2-could-possibly-penetrate-the-skin-through-the-eccrine-sweat-glands CoViD getting into the body via the skin....[url]https://www.mdpi.com/2218-273X/12/9/1212[/url] or https://www.mdpi.com/2218-273X/12/9/1212 ; AbstractThe SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has disrupted global health systems and brought the entire globe to its knees. Although born as a disease of the respiratory system, COVID-19 can affect different parts of the body, including the skin. Reports of ongoing skin manifestations of COVID-19 have gradually multiplied, pushing researchers to investigate the etiopathogenic mechanisms underlying these phenomena in more depth. In an attempt to investigate the possible association between SARS-CoV-2, ACE2, TMPRSS2 and skin manifestations, we performed immunohistochemical investigations of the ACE2 receptor and TMPRSS2 in nine skin samples from SARS-CoV-2-positive patients compared to a cohort of healthy controls. Furthermore, after consulting public databases regarding ACE2 mRNA expression in various cell populations resident in the skin, we conducted a literature review aimed at outlining the current state of this topic. We did not find statistically different immuno-expression of ACE2 and TMPRSS2 between the group of SARS-CoV-2-positive patients (nine skin biopsies) and the control group. Regarding ACE2, major immunolabeling was present in the epidermal keratinocytes and, rarely, in the fibroblasts and in the adenomeres of the eccrine sweat glands. Regarding the immune expression of TMPRSS2, we found no significant differences between the two groups, with a weak immune staining only in some skin cytotypes. From the review of the literature, we isolated 35 relevant articles according to the inclusion criteria adopted. ACE2 appears to be a target of SARS-CoV-2, although, other receptor molecules may potentially be implicated, such as TMPRSS2. Future studies with large cases and different molecular investigative methods are needed to further elucidate the mechanisms underlying the skin manifestations of SARS-CoV-2. View Full-Text DJ, should not be a major surprise...still "bad news" -Summary; Lots of diseases seem to be at a high level or spreading, CoViD, MPX at pandemic level, Polio, measles (very high R0 !) increasing risks. Flu H3N2(v), other types of flu could be on the brink of becoming major... STOP THE SPREAD !!! Should be top of the list ! The focus may be to much (NL scenario's) on ONE disease while we are already in a "mega-mix" of diseases ! Also healthcare has been overstretched (and often underfunded-money going the wrong directions !) for much to long. With diseases increasing healthcare capacity decreasing (sometimes close to collapse; exponential model 12,5 next step 25% capacity loss, next step/month ? 50% capacity loss, early 2023 100% capacity loss ????) Politics simply denying the exponential crisis/crises make matters worse... Pandemics, infectious diseases, CAN END humans !!! Not taking that (climate collapse linked) risk serious only increasing the chance it WILL END humans ! End of part 1 |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 05 2022 at 12:02am |
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part 2, [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory Out of the 61,398 "suspected"MPX cases 19,354 are from the US. An important reason may be the US doing more testing & reporting then most other countries...but also the US may simply have more cases/spread. Public healthcare in the US simply is "not good enough"! Life expectency in the US is now under that of China, Cuba (very likely) and has been under that of Europe, Japan for a long time...The US has a major drugs and crime problem-unseen in any other "modern rich country"...the US is even exporting those problems.... · Under what conditions would Monkeypox be the most infectious THROUGH the airborne route? Two ways. 1. At the beginning of the illness when the person is feverish and has a respiratory infection and often a sore throat. This phase is also called the prodromal phase. Show this thread - What is the other way Monkeypox would be the most infectious THROUGH the airborne route? 2. When the scabs fall off and we shake, move, or plump, the clothes, linens, or cushions where they have fallen. I have already shown  that an HCW was infected while changing bed linen.DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poxviridae[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poxviridae evolution; The ancestor of the poxviruses is not known but structural studies suggest it may have been an adenovirus or a species related to both the poxviruses and the adenoviruses.[18] Based on the genome organisation and DNA replication mechanism a phylogenetic relationships may exist between the rudiviruses (Rudiviridae) and the large eukaryal DNA viruses: the African swine fever virus (Asfarviridae), Chlorella viruses (Phycodnaviridae) and poxviruses (Poxviridae).[19] The mutation rate in poxvirus genomes has been estimated to be 0.9–1.2 x 10−6 substitutions per site per year.[20] A second estimate puts this rate at 0.5–7 × 10−6 nucleotide substitutions per site per year.[21] A third estimate places the rate at 4–6 × 10−6.[22] The last common ancestor of the extant poxviruses that infect vertebrates existed 0.5 million years ago. The genus Avipoxvirus diverged from the ancestor 249 ± 69 thousand years ago. The ancestor of the genus Orthopoxvirus was next to diverge from the other clades at 0.3 million years ago. A second estimate of this divergence time places this event at 166,000 ± 43,000 years ago.[21] The division of the Orthopoxvirus into the extant genera occurred ~14,000 years ago. The genus Leporipoxvirus diverged ~137,000 ± 35,000 years ago. This was followed by the ancestor of the genus Yatapoxvirus. The last common ancestor of the Capripoxvirus and Suipoxvirus diverged 111,000 ± 29,000 years ago. An isolate from a fish – salmon gill poxvirus – appears to be the earliest branch in the Chordopoxvirinae.[23] A new systematic has been proposed recently after findings of a new squirrel poxvirus in Berlin, Germany.[24] So maybe now MPX-risks/deaths may be "limited" but I think the potential is "high risk"...still "we"do not deal with it in that way... -On the Tucumán-Argentina story; 15) At this point, Legionella or not—the Argentina  health ministry has to take responsibility for their confusing messaging that they already tested multiple legionella strains that returned negative. They should have said awaiting more results on legionella.DJ...another week maybe with more realistic info...(I believed they did find a new sort of legionella-missed earlier...but [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-doctors-at-eva-peron-hospital-in-tucuman-cry-foul-amidst-coverup-by-authorities-in-argentina-claiming-mysterious-fatal-pneumonia-is-legionell[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-doctors-at-eva-peron-hospital-in-tucuman-cry-foul-amidst-coverup-by-authorities-in-argentina-claiming-mysterious-fatal-pneumonia-is-legionell indicated that idea was to optimistic...more cases-possibly spread NOT linked to one location...). Did [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/argentina/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/argentina/ simply stop reporting cases ? Brazil cases +33%...so there could be a CoViD-link ????? [url]https://medicalxpress.com/news/2022-09-legionnaires-disease-life-argentina.html[/url] or https://medicalxpress.com/news/2022-09-legionnaires-disease-life-argentina.html ; Legionnaires' disease has claimed a fifth life among patients and staff at a clinic in northern Argentina, provincial health officials announced Sunday. The health ministry in Tucuman province had announced four earlier deaths on Saturday, all in the clinic in San Miguel de Tucuman, and said a total of 11 people had been infected by the rare, but severe, lung disease. The latest death was that of a 64-year-old man with co-morbidities, officials said. Of the six others infected, three remain in hospital and the others are being monitored at home, said Luis Medina Cruz, the Tucuman health minister. Local officials said they are examining the clinic's water supply and air-conditioning system. DJ...If "politics" decide "it is legionella", stop testing/reporting for CoViD ...main stream will go for legionella...even without science... End of part 2 |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 04 2022 at 11:19pm |
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DJ, Today liz truss "will win" the UK conservative party election-become the new UK-PM. She believes m.tatcher was a good UK-PM decades ago. As a reminder tatcher-good friend of fascist Chili dictator pinochet-did plunge the UK in an almost civil war with IRA actions increasing, a very violent minersstrike, poll-tax, race-riots... Can truss do worse then bojo ? Yes she can ! There were hopes biden could undo damage trump did for the US....but from "don't test don't tell, NO Iran-deal to provoking wars-in my opinion biden at least in international politics may be even worse then the corrupt criminal trump did... (DJ-I may not make friends this way; Is Putin a war criminal-YES, but so are Obama, Bush, Blair, BoJo and lots of western leaders involved in lots of other very bloody wars...Biden failed to restart talks with Russia on all kind of old arms agreements...The Ukraine war should have been avoided !!!). So pandemics; [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/sweden/sweden-covid-19-wave-forecasts-august-2022-to-november-2022/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/sweden/sweden-covid-19-wave-forecasts-august-2022-to-november-2022/ ; Sweden’s Health Department has issued a document forecasting two likely scenarios for Covid-19 for the period August 2022 to November 2022.
Scenario 0 shows a wave of Covid cases for all ages in Sweden, starting in August 2022, peaking in late September 2022, and winding down in November 2022 - Our take: Sweden has had fairly conventional winter waves in both 2020 and 2021. We’re not convinced about a wave starting in August and ending in November, but you can track it yourself with the updatable charts below. DJ (then link to our world in data...I go for a global picture via [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/ ). Point of course is that if you do NOT test-in a way-you may not have very good statistics. Sewage samples may provide good indications...[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time "self reporting of symptoms" also good indicator...An increase in Covid deaths in September 2022 could be a prelude to a winter wave that is even larger than those of 2020 and 2021… DJ, Since we may have been in the CoViD pandemic for allmost three years-lots of proof CoViD was widespread around the globe september/october 2019-we may know new variants can make predictions/models very hard. Omicron-variants of concern (all named Omicron...maybe Omicron1 to ? may be an improvement) may be dominant. However older/other variants/recombinations also spread...both may hide in a host or spread in non-human hosts.... -[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/deer/preprint-white-tailed-deer-still-harbouring-alpha-gamma-and-delta-variants-in-new-york/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/deer/preprint-white-tailed-deer-still-harbouring-alpha-gamma-and-delta-variants-in-new-york/ ; Nine lineages including three major variants of concern Alpha, Gamma and Delta were detected in White-tailed deer samples in New York. The SARS-CoV-2 sequences recovered in Season 1 were classified as B.1, B.1.1, B.1.2, B1.243, B.1.409, B.1.507 and Alpha, whereas in Season 2, B.1.1, B.1.2, B.1.517, Alpha, Gamma and Delta lineages were detected. The Alpha variant was detected in multiple geographic locations in White-tailed deer across New York, in a time where there is no evidence that the virus was broadly circulating in humans in the state. The time lapse between the peak of detection of Alpha and Gamma variants in humans and in White-tailed deer, suggest that these variants may have become established in White-tailed deer in New York Detection of Alpha and Gamma variants in White-tailed deer long after their broad circulation in humans in New York suggests that White tailed deer may serve as a wildlife reservoir for SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern no longer circulating in humans. . Preprint: White-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) may serve as a wildlife reservoir for nearly extinct SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern DJ...of course the problem is all kinds of variants may jump (direct or indirect-dog/cat eating dead deer) back to humans... stop-the-spread, maybe a good idea ???? [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-study-shows-that-one-third-of-post-covid-individuals-who-had-mild-symptoms-have-impaired-lung-function[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-study-shows-that-one-third-of-post-covid-individuals-who-had-mild-symptoms-have-impaired-lung-function and [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/alarming-new-study-data-validates-that-sars-cov-2-spike-proteins-damages-not-just-lung-cells-but-also-intestinal-cells-many-are-dying-slowly-and-silen[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/alarming-new-study-data-validates-that-sars-cov-2-spike-proteins-damages-not-just-lung-cells-but-also-intestinal-cells-many-are-dying-slowly-and-silen DJ-A focus on "case-fatality-ratios" (CFR) and "claims CoViD hardly worse then the flu-so live with it" ignore long term damage. The number of "chronic CoViD cases" may be even higher then acute CoViD cases...But there is no clear definition..."Long CoViD patients often unable to fight" so politics ignores them "for the economy/profits"....Like politics ignores/uses climate collapse for profits...A greed based "civilization" will be short lived.... BA.2.75 in particular seems as if it’s evolving by following instructions from the RBD escape calculator & ACE2 affinity heat map. The fastest lineages all have mutations at ≥1 of 346, 356, 444, 452, 486, & 490. 4/10 https://jbloomlab.github.io/SARS2_RBD_Ab_escape_maps/escape-calc/… https://jbloomlab.github.io/SARS-CoV-2-RBD_DMS_Omicron/RBD-heatmaps/… DJ, CoViD cases soon will go up, MPX cases still going up in some regions-may mutate to a form worsening that pandemic. Polio, measles, flu, not yet making new headlines also will increase... With an economy needed to have good public healthcare collapsing... Outlook "Not Good"...vaccines may be of "limited help" with such a number of CoViD-variants and other diseases; exponential growth... End of part 1 |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Dutch Josh
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Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 04 2022 at 8:57am |
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part 2-short- The olfactory mucosa seems to harbor chronic infections in at least some individuals who test negative with NP swabs. If we were able to easily look elsewhere in the body, would we see persistent infection in other organs/locations as well? - I also wonder about other organs. We only know about the GI tract because it regularly ejects its contents in an easily testable form. But we know SARS-CoV-2 infects myriad other organs. Are they also subject to chronic infection? link [url]https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/scitranslmed.abf8396[/url] or https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/scitranslmed.abf8396 ; Sticking the nose into COVID-19Patients with COVID-19 can develop loss of smell and/or taste. Unfortunately, the pathophysiology of these alterations remains unclear. Here, de Melo et al. examined the olfactory mucosa in patients with COVID-19 reporting loss of smell and detected SARS-CoV-2 viral particles and inflammation in multiple cell types in the olfactory neuroepithelium, including olfactory sensory neurons. Hamster infected with SARS-CoV-2 developed loss of smell that was associated with dissemination of the virus in the olfactory mucosa and CNS and with neuroinflammation. In four patients who developed persistent loss of smell, the authors detected lasting SARS-CoV-2 presence in the olfactory mucosa, suggesting that the prolonged relapsing anosmia in patients with COVID-19 could be due to persistent viral infection. DJ..it is easy to catch the virus-hard to get rid of. May be hiding long time/different variants in all kind of places.... According to Caixin, 33 Chinese cities, including Tianjin and 7 provincial capitals, are now under partial or full lockdowns, affecting more than 65 million residents. DJ, China, Russia keep dealing with CoViD serious... · "The Boss May Not Like It. But Millions of Workers Aren’t Coming Back to the Office. "Across the top 10 cities..occupancy rate of office buildings was only 43% recently...Before the pandemic, the rate was 99%. https://barrons.com/articles/remote-work-return-to-the-office-51662050570 DJ, maybe those offices can turn into housing...housing often a major problem ! -[url]https://www.thehindu.com/sci-tech/science/new-sub-lineages-of-monkeypox-virus-emerge/article65842822.ece[/url] or https://www.thehindu.com/sci-tech/science/new-sub-lineages-of-monkeypox-virus-emerge/article65842822.ece ; Despite a slow decline in cases globally, monkeypox cases continue to rise rapidly in Latin AmericaGlobal situationAs of September 2022, 10 countries account for a majority of cases (over 88%) — the U.S., Brazil, Peru, Canada, Spain, France, Germany, the U.K., Netherlands and Portugal. The disease has predominantly affected males aged between 30-43 years, although demographics have been found to differ between regions. For instance, in West and Central Africa, a larger number of cases are reported among younger individuals. Declining in EuropeDespite an increase in the number of global cases for four consecutive weeks, the number of reported monkeypox virus infections across the world saw a decline by over 20% in the last week of August 2022. This decline is predominantly attributable to the decreasing number of reported cases in European countries. Tracking variantsAs genomic surveillance continues to provide opportunities to track the evolution of the monkeypox virus, the WHO has laid down the process of naming different variants of the virus taking into consideration the proposals put forward by scientists for a non-discriminatory nomenclature system. Following the new nomenclature, the monkeypox virus variant formerly known as the Congo Basin or Central African clade will be denoted as Clade I, while the former West African variant, which is the main circulating clade in the current outbreak, will be denoted as Clade II. Clade II of the monkeypox virus encompasses two subclades, denoted as Clade IIa and Clade IIb. The continued genomic surveillance of monkeypox has now resulted in over 1,500 genomes available in the public domain which provides unique insights into the evolution and spread of the virus. At least two distinct lineages of the virus are known to be circulating in the present outbreak. The European outbreak was largely contributed by the IIb.B.1 lineage of virus, but a distinct but smaller lineage (IIb.A.2) presently encompassing genomes from India, the U.K., the U.S. and Thailand was also identified. This lineage has a possible origin predating the European outbreak and possibly had a cryptic spread for almost a year. The continued spread of the IIb.B.1 lineage which encompasses the majority of the genomes has resulted in many sub-lineages — over eight, including the recent one designated from Peru (B.1.6), the U.K. (B.1.7) and Germany(B.1.8). The present monkeypox outbreak, while may have seen many learnings from the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic put to practice, has exposed many gaps as well. Even as case numbers are brought under control in European and North American countries, global efforts will be needed to contain the spread of the virus in regions such as Latin America and Africa. DJ, Since MPX may spread via aerosols, surface, long incubation time it could become worse then CoViD. It may develop/mutate towards a more pox-like disease. End of part 2 |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
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Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 04 2022 at 2:06am |
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DJ (hmmmm part 2 incomplete...again)... -Main stories/crises; -Climate [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3721.700.html[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3721.700.html September used to bring lowest point for Arctic Sea Ice however trend is lowest point moving up...could soon be in october... [url]https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5[/url] or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5 and [url]https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/[/url] or https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/ hurricanes/(super)typhoons will bring lots of rain/wind a.o. to East Asia, Mexico. Western Europe could face stormy weather later on next week...May end drought and heat here (tomorrow another 30C+ day-drought major problem) A.o. [url]https://www.ventusky.com/[/url] or https://www.ventusky.com/ has tools to see where storms are going, (ant)arctic temperatures anomalies etc. -War-see latest news. In short DJ-I think Russia may preparing a major offensive to "end" Ukraine (War)...and gets hands free to kick out the US in the Middle East and East Asia-a.o. with help from Iran, China...The "west" wants war-the "west" gets war... -Argentina/Tucumán [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-doctors-at-eva-peron-hospital-in-tucuman-cry-foul-amidst-coverup-by-authorities-in-argentina-claiming-mysterious-fatal-pneumonia-is-legionell[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-doctors-at-eva-peron-hospital-in-tucuman-cry-foul-amidst-coverup-by-authorities-in-argentina-claiming-mysterious-fatal-pneumonia-is-legionell another political cover-up ? (Also latest news-Legionella may NOT fit pattern of diseases-also cases NOT linked to "start"health care facility ??? -Monkeypox DJ, [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/monkeypox/peru-first-south-american-lineage-of-monkeypox-identified/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/monkeypox/peru-first-south-american-lineage-of-monkeypox-identified/ ; The health authorities of Peru identified the first South American lineage of the virus that causes monkeypox, which has been designated B.1.6 by the International Scientific Committee “mpxv-lineages”, an official statement reported on Wednesday. “This B.1.6 lineage corresponds to the first new and original lineage identified in the South American region, and is characterized by the nucleotide mutation G111029A, whose impact on the behavior of the virus is still under study,” said the Ministry of Health (Minsa). The identification of this lineage of the virus was carried out by researchers from the Genomic Surveillance Team of the National Institute of Health (INS), who have sequenced 160 complete genomes, 122 of which correspond to the B.1.6 lineage, which come from Lima. The Minsa added that the INS researchers observed that the B.1.6 lineage is not the only one present in the country, since so far “more than ten independent introductions” of the virus have been identified in the national territory. “There are circulating lineages in some regions such as La Libertad and Arequipa that are still under investigation, which are different from B.1.6, predominant in Lima,” the official information remarked. Noticiasbq.com report (in Spanish) Yesterday [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/monkeypox/new-strain-of-monkeypox-detected-in-the-uk/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/monkeypox/new-strain-of-monkeypox-detected-in-the-uk/ From [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Outbreak_characteristics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Outbreak_characteristics ; The UK Human Animal Infections and Risk Surveillance (HAIRS) group[62] warned that the virus could reach wildlife and become endemic as a result.[63][64] There is a concern that if the ongoing outbreak is prolonged, it "could establish new ecological niches in wild animals" in regions outside of Africa.[59] Scientists are investigating circulating lineages (and potential variants) of the monkeypox virus and are comparing them against the African endemic lineages.[65][66][unreliable source][67] In July 2022, scientists reported that the window to be able to contain the outbreak is closing or has closed.[68][69] An analysis of studies by a journalist indicates that "about 10-to-15% of cases have been hospitalized, mostly for pain and bacterial infections that can occur as a result of monkeypox lesions".[70] Studies published a month later, in August indicated hospitalizations of small cohorts of early patients were 8%[71] and 13%.[72] DJ, MPX is going the way CoViD went; out of control...lots of (sub)variants with the potential to get even worse then CoViD. Sneaky virus! We already have a CDC PCR primer failure for a variant of monkeypox in California. If you have a negative result but strongly suspect monkeypox you're going to have to send samples in for testing for now. DJ Doing a very good job in "following global developments"...twitter worth watching ! As more scientists around the world generate & share #monkeypox sequences, the international MPXV Lineage group has designated a further three lineages to help continue to classify monkeypox diversity. https://nextstrain.org/monkeypox/hmpxv1?f_lineage=B.1.6,B.1.7,B.1.8&label=clade:B.1&m=div… Link;[url]https://nextstrain.org/monkeypox/hmpxv1?f_lineage=B.1.6,B.1.7,B.1.8&label=clade:B.1&m=div[/url] or https://nextstrain.org/monkeypox/hmpxv1?f_lineage=B.1.6,B.1.7,B.1.8&label=clade:B.1&m=div (I am not an expert-but at least three subvariants of MPX-B.1.6, B.1.7 and B.1.8 with further subvariants... -CoViD [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/africa/india-more-than-2-million-children-orphaned-by-covid-19/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/africa/india-more-than-2-million-children-orphaned-by-covid-19/ ; A project by Imperial College in London outlines the horrendous toll of the pandemic on children across the globe as millions are orphaned by the virus. In India, more than 2 million children have been orphaned In the United States, more than 200,000 children have been orphaned DJ link [url]https://imperialcollegelondon.github.io/orphanhood_calculator/#/country/African[/url] or https://imperialcollegelondon.github.io/orphanhood_calculator/#/country/African Africa also over 2 million children lost their parents...global number likely over 10 million children... From NL; · Update: sequencing confirmed that 5/7 BA.2-like variants are BA.2.75.*. The other 2/7 are BA.5-variants with a S:L452Q mutation (a rare finding). The deviating sample was a delta-variant (AY.34). Also rare: last time we identified a delta variant was months ago. Show this thread also; Even wat aangepast. BN.1 (BA.2.75.5.1) heeft net zijn naam toegewezen gekregen! 10 samples verspreid over de wereld, waarvan niet 1 maar 2 in Nederland. (Ik had er gisteren waarschijnlijk een over het hoofd gezien, omdat GISAID hem BA.2 noemde.) DJ; 10 BN.1/BA.2.75.5.1 samples worldwide-2 of them in NL (One was named BA.2 by GISAID earlier). genuinely starting to wonder if BA.2 might have some combination of properties that makes it very prone to forming second gen variants (which just didnt ever materialise for the previous variants) DJ-Pandemic perspective for coming months is very bad.... End of part 1 |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
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Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 03 2022 at 12:51am |
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part 2, twitter most; Monkeypox Has Potential to Cause Heart Problems Patient in case study developed myocarditis following monkeypox infection Letter: https://acc.org/About-ACC/Press-Releases/2022/09/01/15/31/Monkeypox-Has-Potential-to-Cause-Heart-Problems… Full report https://jacc.org/doi/10.1016/j.jaccas.2022.08.033 DJ, hearthproblems already increasing in lots of countries due to aging and overweight. CoViD(vaccines) and now MPX may make the hearthproblems even worse... DJ, link to [url]https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-32389-8[/url] or https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-32389-8 ; AbstractImmune responses at the respiratory mucosal interface are critical to prevent respiratory infections but it is unclear to what extent antigen specific mucosal secretory IgA (SIgA) antibodies are induced by mRNA vaccination in humans. Here we analyze paired serum and saliva samples from patients with and without prior coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) at multiple time points pre and post severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) mRNA vaccination. Our results suggest mucosal SIgA responses induced by mRNA vaccination are impacted by pre-existing immunity. Indeed, vaccination induced a minimal mucosal SIgA response in individuals without pre-exposure to SARS-CoV-2 while SIgA induction after vaccination was more efficient in patients with a history of COVID-19. Again-I am NOT an expert...one of my questions-following "pandemic news"- is what should/can I do ? Vaccines may be "far from perfect" still statistics indicate they offer protection against severe disease/death...with limited vaccine-risks. - G7: Let's put price caps on Russian oil to fight inflation
Russia: No more gas for you DJ, On Climate Collapse "politics hopes" are in "new technologies in need of development" to reduce CO2....The NATO-Russia war in Ukraine idea was "western sanctions will destroy Russia"...even with all the evidence sanctions are destroying us-we "the west" stick to sanctions...In this pandemic(s) "vaccines only" strategy resulted in variants evading vaccines/immunity...still "politics" stick to yet another not working strategy... Repeating mistakes over and over is a sign of insanity...it is shocking to understand "our leaders are crazy"....The pharma-industry may run out of basic materials for production of medication....worsening the already bad healthcrisis... If it's easy to do, now might be a good time to start looking at SGTF (S gene target failure) again in SARS-CoV-2 PCR diagnostics.
BA.4/5 have the dropout - so if BA.2.75* goes up we'd see dropout decrease
SGTF has been useful in the past as it's ~1-3 weeks ahead of sequences. DJ, we may have the technology to pick up early signs of new variants increasing (also sewage samples help). But one of the problems is lack of testing/sampling so limited sequencing. A "mild" subvariant can mutate to a more dangerous one...[url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports ; DJ Omicron B.1.1.529 has 334 subtypes, BA.2 has 138 subvariants, BA.5 79 subvariants, BA.2.75 now at 7 subtypes...so known "Omicron" variants number 558...with also other/older subvariants/recombinations...Weekly global deaths still around 14,000-with lots of CoViD deaths NOT included... Media/politics going "post-pandemic" behave criminal ! Long COVID data keeps getting worse. This doesn’t even count those without severe disability but have acute events (including deadly ones) due to organ damage including blood clots, pulmonary embolism, stroke, etc. and · NEW REPORT: using updated data, I find that 2-4m Americans are not working due to #longcovid. This is costing us ~$170 billion annually in lost wages alone. A thread (1/) https://brookings.edu/research/new-data-shows-long-covid-is-keeping-as-many-as-4-million-people-out-of-work DJ Simply ignoring this is disgusting ! This "policy" is NOT saving an economy but destroying it ! It was known that if you do not stop a pandemic it only gets worse...still "politics" did make such a bad choice... On Pakistan; | |
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Dutch Josh
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Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 02 2022 at 11:28pm |
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roni3470-could you put a link to the flu-twitter ? I will follow the Argentina-Tucumán story in latest news...the major news by now has to be they still did not find the cause of this double pneumonia....Spread seems to be very limited so far...more background-info (on health, CoViD-previous infections, vaccines, MPX-possible links etc. (Argentina has 133 MPX cases) would be welcome-may be on the internet somewhere...). Also in latest news my opinion on the nuclear war/global political crisis; west- "global NATO" (10%) against the rest (90%) wars... -[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/monkeypox/new-strain-of-monkeypox-detected-in-the-uk/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/monkeypox/new-strain-of-monkeypox-detected-in-the-uk/ ; Monkeypox case linked with travel to West Africa identified. The UKHSA has confirmed that an individual has been diagnosed with monkeypox linked to recent travel to West Africa. Preliminary genomic sequencing conducted by UKHSA indicates that this case does not have the current outbreak strain circulating in the UK. The individual has been admitted to the High Consequence Infectious Disease (HCID) unit at the Royal Liverpool University Hospital in line with standing advice from the Advisory Committee on Dangerous Pathogens (ACDP). Contact tracing of close contacts of the individual is underway. So far, no further linked cases have been identified. - **Based on the new WHO nomenclature, the monkeypox virus is comprised of two clades: Clade I (formerly Congo Basin (Central African) Clade) and Clade II (formerly West African Clade). Clade II consists of the subclades Clade IIa and Clade IIb, with the latter subclade referring mainly to the group of variants circulating in the 2022 global outbreak. Clade IIb was declassified as an HCID in July 2022 following review by the Advisory Committee on Dangerous Pathogens (ACDP) and agreement by the UK 4 Nations public health agencies. Future importations of monkeypox cases caused by Clade I (typically found in Central Africa) and Clade IIa (typically found in West Africa) will still be classified as HCIDs, as their clinical outcomes may be more severe than Clade IIb. UK.gov: High consequence infectious diseases (HCID) DJ...with some luck it may remain an isolated case...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory including suspected MPX cases now 61,398 cases, 122 deaths (most in Africa). -[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/preprint-susceptibility-of-alpaca-cattle-sheep-horse-goat-and-rabbit-to-intranasal-infection-with-sars-cov-2/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/preprint-susceptibility-of-alpaca-cattle-sheep-horse-goat-and-rabbit-to-intranasal-infection-with-sars-cov-2/ ; “We report pilot studies to evaluate the susceptibility of common domestic livestock (cattle, sheep, goat, alpaca, rabbit, and horse) to intranasal infection with SARS-CoV-2.”. Highlights:
DJ GOOD NEWS !!! Animal spread of CoViD-risks seem to be limited (at least for the CoViD-variants so far investigated...newer subvariants could change the picture somewhat...). Also CoViD-19 recombination with MERS seems to be low-risk...not very likely ! Of course some species (minks, cat-likes) did show to be high risk. Bats may carry up to 30 corona-virusses...Sewage samples could indicate spread in mice, rats... CoViD-19 looks like so far a human-host problem... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/californian-diagnostics-company-incelldx-launches-first-diagnostic-test-for-long-covid-19-in-europe[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/californian-diagnostics-company-incelldx-launches-first-diagnostic-test-for-long-covid-19-in-europe The TMN article mentions 3 billion CoViD cases...if 1-in-10 would still have symptoms after 6 months you have 300 million chronic CoViD cases...PTSD, other mental issues (depression, fear/phobia) could/should be included in the CoViD story...So a test for long/chronic CoViD may be just one of the (welcome) tools... Maybe such kind of tests could also be developed for other chronic issues, chronic Q-fever (hundreds of cases in NL) ME-CFS, Lyme disease (the available tests are far from perfect). -No spread in domestic animals, chronic CoViD tests, Argentina pneumonia story seems limited...maybe finally some very welcome good news ! End of part 1 |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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roni3470
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Joined: August 30 2006 Location: Colorado Status: Offline Points: 5390 |
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Posted: September 02 2022 at 8:44am |
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Dutch - I am seeing tweets that it is a flu, not covid in Argentina....have you found anything new on it? |
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NOW is the Season to Know
that Everything you Do is Sacred |
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Dutch Josh
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Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: September 02 2022 at 3:20am |
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part 2, Trying to get more on the Tucumán-Argentina story. Is there only spread in/linked to one healthcare facility ? With legionella not detected, could there be another-very local-cause of disease ? Lots of info is still unclear ...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tucum%C3%A1n_Province[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tucum%C3%A1n_Province ; Tucumán (Spanish pronunciation: [tukuˈman]) is the most densely populated, and the second-smallest by land area, of the provinces of Argentina. Located in the northwest of the country, the province has the capital of San Miguel de Tucumán, often shortened to Tucumán. Neighboring provinces are, clockwise from the north: Salta, Santiago del Estero and Catamarca. It is nicknamed El Jardín de la República (The Garden of the Republic), as it is a highly productive agricultural area. DJ Population of the province close to 1,5 million.Sugar, fruits main agriculture-meat only for local consumption... So still lots of ??????????????? -MPX;    #Pediatric #monkeypox  USA  min. 70 children (0-19 yrs) w/ #monkeypox This is 24 children (52% increase over last week's Aug 24th count of 46.) Please see below for more details.- · The United States currently has 19,759 cases of monkeypox including 70 cases in those aged 0-19 & 151 ages 0-20. California is late updating data but is at 3,841 so far surpassing even Germany. Data: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1EjA9usSK_WbK-RukPsW6YsKFtR3bhz2jlkPLkMl_fUE/ DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory has 52,342 confirmed cases, including suspected cases 61,105. Germany has 3,480 cases-so California-3,841 cases even more then Germany... [url]https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/09/01/monkeypox-new-strain-found-uk/[/url] or https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/09/01/monkeypox-new-strain-found-uk/ ; A new strain of monkeypox has been identified in the UK, health officials have announced. The UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) said that a person who had recently been to West Africa had contracted a genetically distinct variant of the virus to the one driving the UK outbreak. The individual was moved to the Royal Liverpool University Hospital, which is designated as a High Consequence Infectious Disease (HCID) facility. Contact tracing is being carried out to track down if there are further infections. It remains unknown how the person caught monkeypox, and if they are male or female. There are two major variants of the monkeypox virus, Clade I and Clade II, previously known as the Congo Basin and West African clade respectively. Clade I has a mortality rate of around one in 10, while the death rate for Clade II is around one in 100. Clade II, the less deadly variant, has two known sub-clades, known as Clade IIa and Clade IIb. The latter is behind the current UK and worldwide outbreak. It remains unknown if the new imported case from West Africa is the first instance of someone on British soil having the more deadly version of the disease. DJ-More info will soon get available....(as far as I know there have been at least 5 (sub)variants of MPX...with this latest one maybe being new for the UK but close to the one allready found in Africa...) CoViD; U.S. COVID update: Nearly 1,000 new deaths, some of them from backlogs - New cases: 117,428 - Average: 86,934 (-1,779) - States reporting: 37/50 - In hospital: 37,303 (-221) - In ICU: 4,399 (-67) - New deaths: 966 - Average: 557 (+27) DJ Worldometers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table puts US 71,334 new cases and 403 deaths. The US so far would have had 96,347,971 cases resulting in 1,071,420 deaths..(CFR just above 1% based on these numbers...). It might be surprising for residents to know that three times as many individuals died from COVID-19 the last week of August 2022 (0.12 daily deaths per 100,000 population) as compared to the last week of August 2021 (0.04). This does not seem like progress. -so from june 2022 in LA county CoViD deaths above the 2021 numbers... DJ [url]https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/chinas-life-expectancy-now-one-year-higher-us[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/chinas-life-expectancy-now-one-year-higher-us ; Life expectancy in the US has fallen for the second consecutive year as Covid-19 and overdoses increased mortality rates. An empire's death may start with its people, and as the world shifts, China, an emerging power, has a life expectancy that is above the US and widening. According to new data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Americans' life expectancy fell .9 years to 76.1 years in 2021 - the lowest since 1996. The year prior, life expectancy dropped by 1.8 years. The combined figures were the largest two-year decline since the 1920s. DJ; So in this pandemic "Zero-CoViD including NPI gives better outcomes...most countries try to keep public healthcare available for as many as possible... | |
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Dutch Josh
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Posted: September 01 2022 at 11:58pm |
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DJ.... -Welcome news [url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/iran-delivers-ukraine-peace-initiative-europe-moscow[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/iran-delivers-ukraine-peace-initiative-europe-moscow Iran willing to put a French proposal on peace in Ukraine-at least start of it-in Moscow and Kiev. We need de-escalation if we want to avoid world war three/nuclear war ! -Argentina new CoViD recombination ???? [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-new-fatal-respiratory-disease-that-causes-bilateral-pneumonia-detected-in-argentina-amidst-speculations-a-new-recombinant-virus-has-emerged[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-new-fatal-respiratory-disease-that-causes-bilateral-pneumonia-detected-in-argentina-amidst-speculations-a-new-recombinant-virus-has-emerged also discussed in latest news...may be able to get further updates (twitter/flutrackers/other) and put it there... Out of the known six cases two died, three in ICU...at least two out of the six are HCW-ers. Tucumán-Argentina has high HIV, animal diseases, low CoVid-testing...The new-possible-variant would escape testing... New update here [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/updates-on-new-mysterious-fatal-pneumonia-viral-disease-in-argentina-7-more-hospitalized-and-one-more-died,-total-infected-13-and-total-deaths-3[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/updates-on-new-mysterious-fatal-pneumonia-viral-disease-in-argentina-7-more-hospitalized-and-one-more-died,-total-infected-13-and-total-deaths-3 at least 8 healthcare workers infected...NO travel restrictions...[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table both cases and deaths from CoVid -60%... -[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/scientist-warn-that-outbreak-of-novel-zoonotic-avian-influenza-virus-ah3n8-in-poultry-in-china-could-lead-to-a-serious-human-pandemic[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/scientist-warn-that-outbreak-of-novel-zoonotic-avian-influenza-virus-ah3n8-in-poultry-in-china-could-lead-to-a-serious-human-pandemic ; link to [url]https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/28/10/22-1067_article[/url] or https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/28/10/22-1067_article ; Abstract:Zoonotic and pandemic influenza continue to pose threats to global public health. Pandemics arise when novel influenza A viruses, derived in whole or in part from animal or avian influenza viruses, adapt to transmit efficiently in a human population that has little population immunity to contain its onward transmission. Viruses of previous pandemic concern, such as influenza A(H7N9), arose from influenza A(H9N2) viruses established in domestic poultry acquiring a hemagglutinin and neuraminidase from influenza A viruses of aquatic waterfowl. We report a novel influenza A(H3N8) virus in chicken that has emerged in a similar manner and that has been recently reported to cause zoonotic disease. Although they are H3 subtype, these avian viruses are antigenically distant from contemporary human influenza A(H3N2) viruses, and there is little cross-reactive immunity in the human population. It is essential to heighten surveillance for these avian A(H3N8) viruses in poultry and in humans. See also [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Influenza_A_virus_subtype_H3N8[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Influenza_A_virus_subtype_H3N8 ; H3N8 is a subtype of the species Influenza A virus that is endemic in birds, horses and dogs. It is the main cause of equine influenza and is also known as equine influenza virus. In 2011, it was reported to have been found in seals.[1] Cats have been experimentally infected with the virus, leading to clinical signs, shedding of the virus and infection of other cats.[2] DJ; IF billions of cases of CoViD infections results in weakening human defense against disease flu may be a very major risk...on top of lots of other diseases; old-like TB and new diseases, outcome of virusses/bacteria finding new ways to infect humans... -[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/sweden/sweden-high-levels-of-coronavirus-in-gothenburgs-wastewater/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/sweden/sweden-high-levels-of-coronavirus-in-gothenburgs-wastewater/ ; “The percentage of viruses is about the same as in the first virus waves”.
Dagensmedicin.se report (in Swedish)
The Swedish Coronavirus dashboard is showing wastewater samples across the rest of Sweden are currently stable, but we will update this post with any new information as it appears. There may be some evidence of an underlaying increase in Covid cases in Sweden in this bi-weekly chart. Sweden’s Covid death rate appears to be increasing at quite a clip, and, after the summer solstice trough in mid-June, the beginning of the European winter wave can be clearly seen.
DJ, Russian cases +18% in worldometers, Sweden cases -26% (Ukraine -35% but testing there will be problematic...). [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/covid-19-when-do-the-winter-waves-start/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/covid-19-when-do-the-winter-waves-start/ with schools/workplaces reopening we may see the early start of a winterwave of CoViD...potentially far worse then we have seen so far with some variants getting into the lungs and causing very severe disease. Vaccination campains may not be in time, miss some newer variants...only limited protection against infection... End of part 1 |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
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Posted: August 31 2022 at 11:25pm |
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Part 2, [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory Confirmed MPX cases now almost 51,000-with suspected cases close to 60,000. There are 120 MPX deaths reported, 13 of them in countries with no history of MPX. However co-infections, lack of testing may miss MPX deaths (as a co-factor). A severely immunocompromised TX man infected w/ #monkeypox died Sunday, but authorities R waiting to adjudicate the role of MPX in his demise ... and · Argentina: "The Ministry of Public Health of Tucumán has warned that an outbreak of bilateral pneumonia has been detected in the province, where six cases of unknown origin and aetiology have already been reported. Two people have died 1/2 https://pagina12.com.ar/477856-tucuman-investigan-un-brote-de-neumonia-bilateral-que-ya-cau - Replying to Yes, I saw this one yday in spanish-spoken media. It looks VERY intriguing because 6 of the cases are health workers. 25 different bacteria , 1 hantavirus and 1 coronavirus were considered as the main cause, but ALL the results came Negative. DJ; link [url]https://www.perfil.com/noticias/reperfilar/tucuman-alerta-maxima-en-torno-a-un-agente-patogeno-no-identificado-que-causa-neumonia.phtml[/url] or https://www.perfil.com/noticias/reperfilar/tucuman-alerta-maxima-en-torno-a-un-agente-patogeno-no-identificado-que-causa-neumonia.phtml (Spanish) - context: Japan also experienced a drop in life expectancy in 2021 (but not in 2020), for the first time since 2011 (the yr of Tohoku earthquake). Female: 87.57 (-0.14) Male: 81.47 (-0.07) DJ...like in excess deaths numbers there are many factors; heatwaves, several diseases...but the global record number of refugees also is "not helping"... Long  the NIH preprint out today showing prior COVID-19 infection can actually dampen response to boosters - so infection + boosting (hybrid immunity) doesn't always mean a better response. It can mean a dampened response because B-cells post-infection haven't recovered fully.and [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-california-study-finds-that-prior-viral-infections-including-that-by-h3n2-influenza-can-cause-covid-19-severity-due-to-antigenic-interference[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-california-study-finds-that-prior-viral-infections-including-that-by-h3n2-influenza-can-cause-covid-19-severity-due-to-antigenic-interference DJ-I always believed "what does not kill you makes you stronger" was "overoptimistic"....The "wider" discussion is how CoViD-infection-on this massive-billions of cases-scale effects immunity of "us all" against all kinds of other diseases...MPX acting in this new way has to have a CoViD-immunity problem link... · NEW—3 children have tested positive for #monkeypox in Dallas County. Just ignore this you think it’s a total coincidence that schools have started to reopen. https://cbsnews.com/dfw/news/three-children-in-dallas-county-test-positive-for-monkeypox/ DJ, since MPX is "another animal" it may not follow CoViD in the same way...however it has the (pox) risks of becoming even worse then CoViD ! STOP THE SPREAD !!! Do not wait till case-fatality-ratio CFR is going up...it may be to late by then !
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
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Posted: August 31 2022 at 11:11pm |
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DJ, Sad to see how "someone claiming to defend freedom and democracy" in fact is (defending) silencing those with other opinions...Not a sign of strength but a sign of weakness... For "Nuclear War" etc. see latest news... [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table ; Yesterday, last day of august, global reported new cases 653,940 with reported CoViD deaths 1,979...In this list Russia reported (only) 46,321 new cases, 92 deaths...Trends for cases +19%, deaths +28%...it looks like Ukraine stopped reporting cases/deaths...(I think war related...wars make pandemics worse...). In "central/eastern Europe only Slovenia reporting an increase of cases +0,8%...UK has cases now +11% on a weekly basis in worldometers, UK deaths -35%... [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time does not show the UK-increase yet... Global cases -17%, deaths -16%...Bangladesh cases +38%, Brazil +34%, Hong Kong +32%, Russia and Taiwan both +19%... [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/italy/italy-mandatory-self-isolation-for-covid-19/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/italy/italy-mandatory-self-isolation-for-covid-19/ ; Italy is ramping up its Covid-19 winter wave preparations by announcing the return of mandatory self-isolation for those who test positive for the virus.
Italy is also about to approve the use of updated Covid-19 vaccines targeting the Omicron variant, despite their limited use in preventing infection:
Ansa.it report (in Italian)
Italy has had a pretty awful pandemic so far, with both infection and death rates from Covid regularly exceeding European averages. Their elderly population has borne the brunt of the unrelenting attacks by the virus since early 2020. Unlike the UK and the USA, however, the Italian response to Covid hasn’t been blighted by poor planning, bad leadership, a recalcitrant population or a reluctance to take common-sense measures to prevent infection. Italy’s bad luck in tackling the virus appears to be largely down to demographics and their famously open and gregarious society. DJ..Italy cases -13%, deaths _26%...This month-september-schools/workplaces will reopen and see spread of all kinds of diseases...So far the pandemic strategy only made matters worse... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-italian-and-american-scientist-provide-evidence-that-sars-cov-2-was-already-circulating-in-europe-as-early-as-september-2019[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-italian-and-american-scientist-provide-evidence-that-sars-cov-2-was-already-circulating-in-europe-as-early-as-september-2019 ...TMN.. [url]https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0013935122013068[/url] or https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0013935122013068 ; AbstractAs a reference laboratory for measles and rubella surveillance in Lombardy, we evaluated the association between SARS-CoV-2 infection and measles-like syndromes, providing preliminary evidence for undetected early circulation of SARS-CoV-2. Overall, 435 samples from 156 cases were investigated. RNA from oropharyngeal swabs (N = 148) and urine (N = 141) was screened with four hemi-nested PCRs and molecular evidence for SARS-CoV-2 infection was found in 13 subjects. Two of the positive patients were from the pandemic period (2/12, 16.7%, March 2020–March 2021) and 11 were from the pre-pandemic period (11/44, 25%, August 2019–February 2020). - The earliest sample with evidence of SARS-CoV-2 RNA was from September 12, 2019, and the positive patient was also positive for anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies (IgG and IgM). Mutations typical of B.1 strains previously reported to have emerged in January 2020 (C3037T, C14408T, and A23403G), were identified in samples collected as early as October 2019 in Lombardy. One of these mutations (C14408T) was also identified among sequences downloaded from public databases that were obtained by others from samples collected in Brazil in November 2019. We conclude that a SARS-CoV-2 progenitor capable of producing a measles-like syndrome may have emerged in late June-late July 2019 and that viruses with mutations characterizing B.1 strain may have been spreading globally before the first Wuhan outbreak. Our findings should be complemented by high-throughput sequencing to obtain additional sequence information. We highlight the importance of retrospective surveillance studies in understanding the early dynamics of COVID-19 spread and we encourage other groups to perform retrospective investigations to seek confirmatory proofs of early SARS-CoV-2 circulation. DJ [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/origins/research-evidence-of-sars-cov-2-before-wuhan-outbreak-in-2019/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/origins/research-evidence-of-sars-cov-2-before-wuhan-outbreak-in-2019/ China claimed CoViD-19 was imported...I think it is both important and impossible to dive deeper..."politics" want this pandemic to have a China-link...The TMN article has some further links to early CoViD findings...[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/antarctica/sars-cov-2-variant-found-in-antarctic-soil-samples-from-2018-2019/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/antarctica/sars-cov-2-variant-found-in-antarctic-soil-samples-from-2018-2019/ (on unclear findings) [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/bmj-first-uk-compensation-payment-for-covid-19-vaccine-death/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/bmj-first-uk-compensation-payment-for-covid-19-vaccine-death/ ; Vikki Spit from Cumbria is believed to be the first person to receive vaccine injury compensation after her 48 year old partner, Zion, died in May 2021 following vaccination with the Astrazeneca vaccine. DJ...vaccinations are medical interventions and may give strong reactions. End of part 1, more/twitter in part 2 |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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ksc
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Posted: August 31 2022 at 4:11am |
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ksc
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Posted: August 31 2022 at 3:44am |
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... and from today's nazi briefing more lies to prove they lie every single day. But puppets are easily fooled... " In its daily briefing, the Russian defence ministry said Ukraine’s forces had suffered heavy losses in equipment and men. It also said its forces had shot down three Ukrainian helicopters and that Ukraine had lost four fighter jets during two days of fighting around the Mykolaiv-Kriviy Rih frontline and in other areas of southern Ukraine. |
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ksc
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Posted: August 31 2022 at 3:39am |
has Russia destroyed the Ukrainian Air Force?On August 29, 2022, Russian state news agency TASS published an article claiming that the Ukrainian Air Force was all but destroyed. "The entire qualified operating personnel of Ukraine’s former air force - of Mig-29, Su-27 and Su-25 aircraft - have been practically eliminated by the effective actions of the Russian Aerospace Forces and the air defense systems," an unnamed source within the military said, according to TASS. This is not the first time a claim like this has been made. Since the start of its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Russia has continued to repeat the claim that Ukrainian air assets had been almost entirely destroyed. In fact, on the very first day of the invasion, TASS published a statement issued by the Russian Defense Ministry, which said that Ukraine’s air defense facilities, military airfields and aviation had been destroyed with high-precision weapons. In March 2022 the ministry said once again that the “Ukrainian Air Force practically ceased to exist” and, later the same month, Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu repeated the claim once more. Shoigu reiterated the claim again in June after the ministry said that it had destroyed an entire Ukrainian air base full of aircraft and personnel. DiscrepanciesHowever, the figures presented in these claims also tended to shift. According to Flight Global’s World Air Forces directory, at the end of 2021, the Ukrainian military (the Air Force, the Army and the Navy) had 196 active airplanes and 122 helicopters. The original February 24 announcement made by the Russian Defense Ministry claimed that Ukraine had 152 airplanes and 149 helicopters, which might have not included the ones used for training. By March it was announced that from this figure, 123 airplanes and 77 helicopters were destroyed. An announcement made in May stated that 180 aircraft and 127 helicopters had been destroyed. Later announcements did not refer to the number of destroyed aircraft, likely because the figure would greatly surpass the number of aircraft owned by Ukrainians in the first place. However, separate claims about Russian forces destroying Ukrainian aircraft continued to appear almost every day. Russia’s attempts to claim that it had destroyed more aircraft than had ever been owned and operated by Ukraine did not go unnoticed by the Russian public, and numerous attempts to explain this problem were published by the country’s media. Some experts claimed that the initial assessment was wrong and that the Ukrainian Air Force, in fact, had more than 600 active combat aircraft. Others alleged that the West is secretly providing Ukraine with large numbers of aircraft. Another explanation suggested that Ukraine had hastily reactivated large stocks of inactive ex-Soviet airframes in its numerous aircraft factories. But none of these claims aligned with official information. Russia did not correct its initial claim that Ukraine had 152 airplanes and 149 helicopters, continuing to repeat these figures in later statements. The country also made multiple claims that it had incapacitated all Ukrainian airbases and military factories several times over. Additionally, Russian leaders continued to threaten to further escalate the war if Western powers were to supply combat aircraft to the Ukrainian Air Force. At the time, Western countries were openly hesitant to provide new aircraft to Ukraine. Ukraine was only supplied with transport and attack helicopters, and in rather low numbers. The country was also supplied with aircraft parts that may have helped it to reactivate some old or damaged jets. EvidenceOryx blog, which documents visually confirmed loss of equipment in the Russian-Ukrainian war, lists 41 Ukrainian airplanes and 13 helicopters as confirmed losses as of late August 2022. The list is by no means complete, as visual confirmation is difficult to obtain in a war zone. However, this assessment is the only hard data we have regarding the Ukrainian losses, with Russian reports lacking any kind of visual confirmation. Photographic and video evidence of Ukrainian military aircraft and helicopters continuing to operate and conduct combat sorties has been plentiful throughout the entire conflict. Sukhoi Su-27s were filmed bombing Snake Island in May, and as late as mid-August the type has been spotted over Donbas. August also saw widespread use of AGM-88 HARM anti-radiation missiles against Russian anti-aircraft installations. Photos showing parts and fragments of these missiles were published on Russian social media channels and, while initial speculations suggested Ukraine might have adapted them to be fired from ground-based vehicles, the claim that the missiles are being fired by Ukrainian aircraft seem far more realistic. On August 30, the Ukrainian Air Force published a video showing MiG-29 fighter jets firing HARMs, confirming that not only is the type still active, but it has been adapted to perform an unusual role. A number of other videos depicting MiG-29s operating and launching missiles were also published during the summer of 2022 There have also been numerous allegations that aircraft supported Ukraine’s initial push around Kherson on August 29. Several unconfirmed videos of Su-25 ground attack aircraft have been posted on social media, although the time and location they show cannot be assessed. Meanwhile, Russia’s Defense Ministry claimed that its forces shot down two Su-25s over Zaporizhzhia, east of Kherson, on that day. Finally, in a video, which originated on Russian Telegram channels and was widely circulated following the attack, a Russian soldier can be heard stating that their positions were attacked by Ukrainian “tanks, aviation, artillery”. The footage can be said to provide at least some circumstantial evidence that Ukrainian aircraft have been involved in fighting during recent days – despite Russia’s insistence that Ukrainian aircraft have been completely destroyed. |
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ksc
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Posted: August 31 2022 at 3:21am |
Russia has not launched aircraft into the air defense zone of Ukraine for more than three months
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ksc
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Posted: August 31 2022 at 3:16am |
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That's almost as funny as putin puppets claiming all UKR planes are shot down in 24 hours... |
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ksc
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Posted: August 31 2022 at 3:13am |
Conversation |
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Dutch Josh
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Posted: August 31 2022 at 12:34am |
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DJ, -Looking at [url]https://www.ventusky.com/?p=36;-33;2&l=gust[/url] or https://www.ventusky.com/?p=36;-33;2&l=gust hurricane/cyclone season may get (re)started...Taiwan/East China may face [url]https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/#12W[/url] or https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/#12W "super typhoon Hinnamnor" later on moving towards Japan.In the Atlantic storms may not reach land most of the time. But september starts tomorrow-autumn for meteo/weather-science. Pakistan did see severe flooding 1/3-1/4 of the country under water-+1,100 deaths...also a lot of cows did not survive-worsening the foodcrisis. -The [url]https://liveuamap.com/[/url] or https://liveuamap.com/ "Ukraine offensive" DJ-in my opinion may be mostly PR...Killing lots of -most Ukraine- soldiers for no good reason. Still "the west" keeps pushing for escalation.."the rest" of the world may see this horror/insanity with growing disgust...[url]https://southfront.org/washington-recruiting-afghan-pilots-to-fight-in-ukraine/[/url] or https://southfront.org/washington-recruiting-afghan-pilots-to-fight-in-ukraine/ ; According to recent reports, the US is recruiting Afghan pilots to fight in Ukraine. The objective would be to restore Ukrainian Air Force troops after the numerous casualties caused by Russian forces during the special military operation. With that, it remains evident that the US wants to prolong the conflict at all costs, even if it is necessary to sacrifice more and more lives. DJ, NATO restored a "sort of" Ukraine air force by collecting all kinds of Soviet-era planes and sending them into Ukraine...in fact to be shot down within 24 hrs if they are used... If Ukraine "has to win the war" it only has a chance if NATO gets more involved-however that would start World War Three... -[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory MPX now over 50,000 confirmed & reported cases. Limited CFR-deaths reported from the US and Brazil...both with other healthissues as well...So it may remain "hard" to get a realistic picture of MPX...Yes-there is a MPX pandemic, Yes-limited number of people die from it...The main problem however may be in the mix of CoViD, MPX and other diseases...both for more severe disease as for new illnesses... Peru  reports a 2nd death of a 35 year old patient who had monkeypox; The cause of death was septic shock caused by Bacterial pneumonia.-CoViD cases [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table reported august 30 new cases 546,424, CoViD deaths 1,673...A bad flu year may see 600,000 deaths...[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table last 7 days did see 12,503 CoViD deaths getting reported, the week before it was 16,091...with lots of CoViD deaths NOT getting in the statistics as death by (a.o. ) CoViD...52 weeks x 10,000 deaths would see 520,000 deaths...CoViD statistics-with major underreporting-still above "a bad flu year"... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-california-study-finds-that-prior-viral-infections-including-that-by-h3n2-influenza-can-cause-covid-19-severity-due-to-antigenic-interference[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-california-study-finds-that-prior-viral-infections-including-that-by-h3n2-influenza-can-cause-covid-19-severity-due-to-antigenic-interference ; link to [url]https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33910993/[/url] or https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33910993/ an april 2021 study...Again a mix of diseases may see much more severe outcomes...Even the best science/computermodels may have a very hard time making sense of the "mega-mix" of (often local/regional) diseases... Replying to This indicates I had a stroke at 45 years old, after COVID. Likely due to COVID. In my clinical experience with COVID & #longcovid Which is quite a bit of experience. I was just hoping to avoid the personal experience, but here we are! DJ, also long term damage may still have to show... An Asian beetle causes an uproar in Lucerne—the authorities react immediately "The Asian long-horned beetle can cause major tree damage within a short period of time. The authorities have taken immediate action. They don't have much time. Action! DJ...all kinds of insects/diseases may worsen foodproduction... If I want to be very "optimistic" I could maybe see some growing signs "we-as humans-face an existential crisis"... Incoming—CDC vaccine advisers expected to vote Thursday on updated #BA5 variant boosters. New shots likely available within days. This is the booster I’m waiting for. DJ, in my non-expert opinion vaccines need to be part of a larger strategy...and that strategy still is missing ! Limited time...so that will be it for today... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Posted: August 29 2022 at 10:53pm |
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DJ, In latest news, nuclear war I did write my perspective on the Ukraine offensive/NATO offensive in Ukraine. Iraq is also moving towards civil war. So-background for this pandemic-increase of refugees-is "not good"... [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/russia/russia-second-highest-ever-peak-of-covid-19-cases/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/russia/russia-second-highest-ever-peak-of-covid-19-cases/ ; Russia has seen a steady increase in Covid-19 cases over the past three weeks, and the second-highest ever wave of the pandemic in Russia was reported on the 27th August 2022 by OurWorldinData. >> Over the past week, the incidence of COVID-19 in Russia increased by 21.2%, on August 29, according to the Russian state operational headquarters for combating the spread of coronavirus. “The incidence rate of a new coronavirus infection over the past week per 100 thousand of the population was 200.8 and increased by 21.2% compared to the previous week,” the publication says. The ministry also noted that the increase in incidence occurred in 82 regions of Russia, while in 28 regions the increase in incidence was higher than the national average. The headquarters also reported an increase in the number of hospitalizations. The hospitalization rate for the past week per 100,000 population was 16.7, which is 21.1% higher than the previous week. An increase in hospitalizations was recorded in 70 subjects of the Russian Federation.
Russia is seeing a noticeable uptick in Covid-19 cases, shown below. Covid-19 cases seem to be running at more than twice the rate observed on August 29th 2021, one year ago. DJ, [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table has Russia cases +21% compared to last week, deaths +24% in the last 7 days...Russian cases last 7 days close to 300,000 (as far as tested/reported), US did see over 450,000 cases in the same time-cases in US -30%. Africa is the only region reporting an increase of cases +5% with Nigeria +26%, Tunesia +20%...testing in Africa remains poor. An increase of cases sometimes may mean they did get testing kits...On a global scale Honduras cases +113% (from 1,435 to 3,050 these last 7 days), Bangla Desh +39% jump out...On Russia [url]https://tass.com/world/1499285[/url] or https://tass.com/world/1499285 not much details...(more or less like [url]https://rossaprimavera.ru/news/70a2d05c[/url] or https://rossaprimavera.ru/news/70a2d05c ) Only limited info at [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=RUS&dark=true[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=RUS&dark=true however BA.2.75 at 1% in Russia-last 60 days-reported august 4 could indicate a problem...BE.1.1 and BF.5 both at 2% ...recombinations ??? #COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates TOP lineages (15-DAY TRENDS): 29.29% BA.5.2.1 13.83% BA.5.2 13.27% BA.5.1 7.70% BA.4.6 6.79% BA.5.5 5.89% BA.5 5.18% BA.5.6 2.79% BA.4.1 2.03% BE.1 1.76% BA.5.1.1 DJ, In the US BE.1 at 1,76% of all 15 day samples... All eyes on #Tennessee and #Pennsylvania! Week-over-week trend in new conformed cases >50% Source: http://charts.medriva.com/us/ so some indications a winter-wave may already having an early start ? [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-new-sars-cov-2-variants-causing-blocked-airways-and-respiratory-distress-in-children-in-hong-kong[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-new-sars-cov-2-variants-causing-blocked-airways-and-respiratory-distress-in-children-in-hong-kong DJ-Hong Kong cases +34%, deaths +41% (41 last week, 58 these last 7 days) [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=HKG&dark=true[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=HKG&dark=true also not very up-to-date BA.2.74 at 3% -last 60 days-per august 15? DJ-Disease may manifest/express themselves different in different age groups. HK now has a lot of serious disease in 0-8y/o ? [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory MPX-cases still under 49,000? Proberbly countries stop reporting cases ? Gwinnett County elementary school confirms positive case of monkeypox. Officials with Gwinnett County Public Schools said that an individual at Dacula Elementary School located on the 2500 block of Fence Road has tested positive for the virus. DJ, Schools are reopening if not already started...so both MPX (MonkeyPoX) and CoViD (Corona Viral Disease) will start further spreading... I didn't write for AJ. She blocked me after the usual gang mocked me too. But, that's not the point. The most influential crowd decided to downplay the special constellation of features of SARS2 from the start, and now that the consequences are revealed they are changing history. DJ, lots of "embedded experts-for-sale" claimed "live with the virus/pandemic=over" ...of course it is NOT over...  “she couldn’t work or drive, had lost 30 pounds, had spinal pain and lost complete vision in her left eye. She even thought about taking her own life. Smith was experiencing #longCovid.” But Black LC sufferers were especially being ignored by doctors.  DJ, healthcare is not the same for everyone...so the consequences of this-ongoing-pandemic are not the same...An elite could claim "live with the virus" but that elite may be out of touch with reality for most people... Statistics are "a great way to lie"; if you do not test you will not find cases, if there are cases in hospital you can choose to not report them so "no problem"... Don’t be a COVID minimizer—As many kids died in the first 8 months of 2022 of #COVID19 in England  as the first 8 months of 2020+2021 **combined**.  Kids are not practically immune. Kids are vulnerable. Protect kids. Get them boosted. #CovidIsNotOver DJ, I think vaccinations did reduce CoViD-deaths-at least for some time...However to get out of this pandemic much more is needed ! -Non Pharma Interventions work ! -masks, social distancing ! -Ventilation in schools/workplaces (here in NL we end up in discussions on who will pay for that ...) -A right to work/study from home (work from home did increase in the last years...often still not a legal right. Study from home is more difficult...maybe a switch to on-line learning...?) -GOOD INFO !!! (Not the "post-pandemic non-sense embedded MSM comes up with !) Here in NL only tuesday/friday CoViD updates from the NL-CDC.... DJ, [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3828.50.html[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3828.50.html Most in a poll on Blue Ocean Event in the Arctic expect such an event in 2026-2030...(I am a bit more pessimistic...) Climate collapse did see politics going for lots of empty words...There is a "transfer to green energy" but most of it is for profit reasons..."e-cars" are not much better then some other cars...PR-talk... This pandemic did see Big Pharma making billions of profit...but even a basic discussion on healthcare, infectious diseases, freedom versus responsibility is missing... If we deal with crises as a for-profit-oppertunity we only will get more crises... End for today...perspectives for war, climate, pandemics remain "very bad"...we need to re-think what we are doing ! |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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