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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

H5N1 Already in Washinbgton State?

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Alexa View Drop Down
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    Posted: May 29 2006 at 7:19pm
A friend is in the hospital with double pnemonia and they think it could be avian flu.  The hospital has him in querentine and they have called in some experts on the bird flu.  I will keep everyone informed.  He works in the Casino here and has had no contact with chickens. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Penham Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 29 2006 at 7:27pm
Please keep us posted!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 29 2006 at 7:28pm
I hope your friend is going to be ok. Did he go overseas recently? Please keep us posted.
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I am sorry about your friend. That is terrible. Please keep us informed and thanks for posting the info!

Is the CDC there asking questions or any other weird activity going on at the hospital? What is his room like and how are the people treating him dressed? Are visitors allowed in at all? Have they closed the casino where he works for cleaning? Any other ideas of observations to make to help us gain an understanding?

I will keep your friend in my prayers.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 29 2006 at 7:40pm
Alexa, how scary for you and all his friends and family! Of course I will keep all of you in my prayers. What town in Washington State are you in? We will wait to hear from you; tell your friend he has many friends here praying for him.

Ruth
    
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Glow Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 29 2006 at 7:43pm
Alexa...thanks for your post...please keep is informed.
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Forgive me for being skeptical. But this needs to be confirmed; it's too easy for a troll to come in here and get people worked up because the troll thinks it's funny.

We need this information to verify the story (and HIPAA may make it difficult, but we can at least verify that the friend is IN the hospital.)

-- What hospital
-- Friend's name
-- Who is "they" -- "they" is too nebulous and could be anyone from the CDC to a couple paranoid coworkers.

I would suggest you e-mail one of the mods on this board, or one of the experts here, so that we can contact the hospital and verify the story. To protect your friend's privacy don't post his name here because otherwise, every journalist surfing this site may try to call his room. From what I've seen of the mods here, they're trustworthy enough and responsible enough to handle this appropriately.

Leva


Originally posted by Alexa Alexa wrote:

A friend is in the hospital with double pnemonia and they think it could be avian flu. The hospital has him in querentine and they have called in some experts on the bird flu. I will keep everyone informed. He works in the Casino here and has had no contact with chickens.

    
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jackson Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 29 2006 at 8:34pm
I would also like to know more info about this suspected case. Has this person been overseas recently? What "experts" are being called in to investigate this? 


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 29 2006 at 8:37pm
anyone with symptoms is trated as possible until cleared - he desnt have to go overseas because thousands of people from o/s come in every day
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote janetn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 29 2006 at 8:49pm
This is strange. If someone hasnt been out of the country nor in contact with poultry why would they suspect AF???  Pneumonia happens everyday, they dont automaticly suspect AF with pneumonia
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 29 2006 at 9:09pm
Originally posted by Cygnet Cygnet wrote:

Forgive me for being skeptical. But this needs to be confirmed; it's too easy for a troll to come in here and get people worked up because the troll thinks it's funny.

We need this information to verify the story (and HIPAA may make it difficult, but we can at least verify that the friend is IN the hospital.)

-- What hospital
-- Friend's name
-- Who is "they" -- "they" is too nebulous and could be anyone from the CDC to a couple paranoid coworkers.

I would suggest you e-mail one of the mods on this board, or one of the experts here, so that we can contact the hospital and verify the story. To protect your friend's privacy don't post his name here because otherwise, every journalist surfing this site may try to call his room. From what I've seen of the mods here, they're trustworthy enough and responsible enough to handle this appropriately.

Leva


Originally posted by Alexa Alexa wrote:

A friend is in the hospital with double pnemonia and they think it could be avian flu. The hospital has him in querentine and they have called in some experts on the bird flu. I will keep everyone informed. He works in the Casino here and has had no contact with chickens.

    
I too would like to know more, but I think a little more tact needs to be used when implying someone might be a troll and they need to prove something they say. It's a good way to run people away from the forum.
And I'm not sure a hospital would give out info on a patient to just anyone.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Cygnet Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 29 2006 at 9:48pm
Sorry for the lack of tact. It's late, I'm cranky, and I'm sorry.

However, I've been on the internet a loooooong time and I've learned to question EVERYTHING. Some of the hoaxes I've seen ...

It may indeed be that her friend is sick, and if that's the case, I doubly apologize.

Leva
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 29 2006 at 11:45pm
Cvgnet,
I had the same thoughts immediately as you did.  Just did not know how to question it tactfully.  I thought you handled yourself ok but the quick apology speaks of your character.  Way to go.  Now I was just visiting with my neighbor and she said that she heard about someone in California from the news that was in the hospital  that had returned from a foreign trip.  Don't know if she heard right or what but now this worries me more.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 30 2006 at 1:33am
The hospitals are on standby with this flu and not taking chances
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Hit-n-run troll?Pinch
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 30 2006 at 4:38am
As I went to sleep last night I thought the same thing. First it was, oh no, I may have to start my last minute list alot earlier than I thought, then I thought , how do I know this is really true. A person could be making this up just for laughs. (It's not funny). If this is true and a person is sick, then, I hope he is ok. I am not touching my last minute list on this until I hear more.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 30 2006 at 6:35am
Unfortunatly for me its not important to confirm it because just reading the news reports ,if it not him it will be someone else in days.,
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 30 2006 at 7:44am
What jumped out at me is, "he works at the Casino, casinos are frequented by out of state, or out of country travelors. That is where his exposure could have come from. Or handling the chips etc. We do need to verify so our board is not turned into a paranoia and urban legend stories. On the other hand, we dont want to make people reporting suspicious things, as the authorities will be slow, and this is our first alert system.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 30 2006 at 8:01am
New day...anyone hear from this poster?  I am afraid there will be hoaxers showing up here.....How sad.  Just keep prepping untill a real report comes, we know it will.Cry
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First I would like to say I hope the friend dose ok. I think that they didn't want to take any chances. Plus they might have been checking out the system. Ironing out known bugs before it gets bigger.

A storm is coming !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote sapphire Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 30 2006 at 8:27am

a suggestion to the powers that be of this forum.  if our goal is to save lives and i know mine is, then we need a thread for stories that can or cannot  be verified of birdflu in humans in the US .  one of them will be true, at least one of them.       forums like these may be our only early warning system.   just a thought. 

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sapphire,
 
I think that would be a very good idea.  If this things takes off there may be many instances occuring at the same time.  I dont know if the timing is quite right yet for this but it is a very good idea.Thumbs Up
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote sapphire Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 30 2006 at 8:47am
we have to make sure we  qualify it as rumor.  however, you may be surprised hiw many people have heard 'something' from someone they trust.... but where do you go with it and maintain credibility?
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A list of questions for the person making the claim to observe and report back may be helpful in classifying reports if there is no media coverage.
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casino: now it sounds really believable

Most Hosipitals will have alot of false alerts and propably most suspected cases now get serious attention . Hopefully there will lots of false alarms before it starts.

It may start as a rumour and signs of more quarantines .   I truly dont see the gov giving us the news first just confirming and denying rumours


    
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Well,
 
If the photos coming out of Indonesia of aid workers working with no protection for H5N1 are any indicator... then we should expect it any day.  We have huge numbers Asian business people as well as illegal immigrants from Asia comeing into America every day.
 
The area surrounding Bantul where most of the destruction occurred is surrounded by rice fields and the area has significant H5N1 infection in animals.  To send aid workers in there without protection... is in my opinion criminal.
 
I think we should prepare as such.  My only questions is.... does it now have the capacity to go H2H efficiently?
 
Who knows... if it does.. we had better be prepared.
 
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Originally posted by Alexa Alexa wrote:

A friend is in the hospital with double pnemonia and they think it could be avian flu.  The hospital has him in querentine and they have called in some experts on the bird flu.  I will keep everyone informed.  He works in the Casino here and has had no contact with chickens. 
No real reason to doubt Alexa.   She is new here and has six posts.  She'll be back with some answers for us.
 
We should all get used to such reports as this, with increasing frequency.  We have been expecting them, have we not?
Dax
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Originally posted by Alexa Alexa wrote:

A friend is in the hospital with double pnemonia and they think it could be avian flu.  The hospital has him in querentine and they have called in some experts on the bird flu.  I will keep everyone informed.  He works in the Casino here and has had no contact with chickens. 
 
Where is there a casino in WA state? I'm not aware of any? What town is this? What hospital? When was your friend admitted?
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There are several casinos in Eastern Washington State around Spokane....Chewelah (sic)  is one that comes to mind.  If it's Spokane  there's Deaconess hospital and another one that I can't think of.   Only an hour from me here in Idaho.  Hope it's not what she thinks it is!  Three months into this pregnancy and my worst complaint is NERVES from worry!  Yikes! Wink

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Originally posted by DAX COM DAX COM wrote:

Originally posted by Alexa Alexa wrote:

A friend is in the hospital with double pnemonia and they think it could be avian flu.  The hospital has him in querentine and they have called in some experts on the bird flu.  I will keep everyone informed.  He works in the Casino here and has had no contact with chickens. 
No real reason to doubt Alexa.   She is new here and has six posts.  She'll be back with some answers for us.
 



We should all get used to such reports as this, with increasing frequency.  We have been expecting them, have we not?


DAX, if a search is done by username, would all the posts that person has written come up on the search? The reason I ask is that I did a search on Alexa last night. The info says she joined 12/14/05 and had 6 posts. In the search only one came up. However, I hadn't clicked on exact term, so I also brought up another post by Alexanova (new ALexa?) who joined on 3/27/06, made one innocuous post, and has never been on the forum since (at least not signed in).

I just like mysteries, so when some questions were asked last night, I thought I would do a little digging.
    
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote sapphire Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 30 2006 at 2:17pm

but,  one of these days a report such as this will not be a rumour and the person posting may or may not be able to give much detail or info.   so how do we handle this sort of thing?

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Trying this again ... it ate my first post.

I think we need a report form that's fowarded to a moderator or point contact person who then verifies the info and makes a post if necessary. The report form might ask for information along these lines:

1. Name of the patient
2. Location of their hospital
3. Their city of residence
4. What they do for a living
5. Likely source of infection, if known
6. Symptoms
7. How they're being treated -- are they being kept in isolation, or an open ward?
8. Have they traveled recently, and if so, where?
9. Who believes it may be bird flu -- the doctors or the person reporting?
10. How long were they sick before being admitted?

In the US, information that a hospital can release is limited. However, simple confirmation that the person is THERE lends credibility to the report and the hospital should be able to say yes/no if a person has been admitted.

This information would let us make a better assessment of the problem. Note that a person reporting a possible H5N1 case might not have ALL this info, but they should have some of it ...

If the mods confirm the information, THEN post a general report (minus the person's identifying info).

The problem with an unsubstantiated report like this is that we don't KNOW if it's true or not. And it would be a Bad Thing if people decided a rumor was true -- and we all know how rumors grow legs and expand in the telling -- and decided that bird flu HAD come here, and quit their job, or spent tons of $$$ on final preps with the assumption that buying a half ton of beans was more important than paying the mortgage that month ... and it was a false rumor.

Alternately, if someone really does have community-acquired H5N1 we also need to know that, so that we can take appropriate action.

Leva
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Anything?
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The report idea is one of the best ideas I have seen here!! implement it....

As far as personal experience goes, the govt sat on athrax info for a bit during that problem.... I am not going to debate conspiracies vs bribes vs foolishness, or whatever the reasons for this (maybe a little of "all of the above"?) just stating what I know thusfar and could logically apply to H5N1 pandemic.
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My heart sank when I read this then I remembered having had the same condition 8 times and it wasn't caused by bf. So there you go. This may be one hospital that will ere on the side of caution. But as anyone thought about where our health care cost is going because of this?
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    I keep telling myself to stay calm! We all have to regardless... Avian related or not this post is important in many more ways then one... 1) First prayers are being said for this person! 2) You can see everyones reaction went from sane to denial... true or not true look at our response patterns... I THANK YOU FOR YOUR POST, AND YOUR COURAGE TO DO SO...MAY GOD'S WILL BE DONE, AND I PRAY IN THE NAME OF JESUS THAT HE/SHE BE HEALTHY AND STRONG AND THAT THE H5N1 IS NOT HERE IN THE US...AND I THANK YOU FATHER THAT IT IS SO!- MAY YOUR WILL BE DONE AND NOT OUR OWN! ( I had to let it out, Guys! ) Please, don't discourage others and the original poster from posting such info ... this forum is so important to all us.. I KNOW THAT I WAS LEAD HERE... My child who is immune compromised was not able to get a pn vax? Tell me why? Because the doctors know more than we do... I feel they are saving them... and rightly so I suppose if H5 could be here already...they know and its cases like this person's friend that are reported to the CDC if we are lucky! REALITY CHECK PEOPLE, IT COULD HAPPEN LIKE THAT AND THAT FAST...THANK YOU, PLEASE KEEP US POSTED!!!!
history repeats its self
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It's the drive-by nature of the OP that gives people pause.

nawty
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hope to see Alexa agian... so we know.
 
Anyway.... Cool Head Leva good thinking.
 
for a second I didn't feel very well.  Like ...UNPREPARED
 
So let's keep an ear out on the Aid Workers.
 
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Ordog Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 30 2006 at 7:17pm
One more note: I was very ill, went to a quack who "didn't think someone young and healthy" would have strep, said I had allergies (this was many years ago) wouldn't give me antibiotics... wound up very very sick, collapsed in new doctor's office, and the staff at the hospital was all over the place with my illness, saying I had hepatitis, among other thoughts... put in in isolation room wouldn't come near me freaked me out to say the least.

I had strep/mono really bad, that's it. So even in the "good old days" pre- 9/11 terror, SARS, H5N1, etc they  could be very cautious. Also imagine they could be loking for excuses to "test" proceedures for bird flu patients.

On the other hand, I do not think that they would make an announcement at this point due to the fact that WHO hasn't issued an alert and they'd look like idiots. Nobody wants to be the first to report such things.
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Give me a microphone.  Wink
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Oisanatta Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 30 2006 at 7:52pm
With no further posts from "Alexa", it is not sounding to be a solid source of info.

Also interesting that forum moderator has not responded in a way on this since the moderator would be able to check out further detail on previous posts or if poster is a previous hoaxster using a previously banned IP address, etc.

On other hand, if this is real, then I'll have to eat my words....but it is just strange that "Alexa" has not kept the forum posted.

The only thing worse than a brutal lie is the brutal truth. (M Twain) I waited patiently for the LORD; He turned to me and heard my cry. He lifted me out of the pit; He set my feet on a rock. Psalm40
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 30 2006 at 8:08pm
Thousands of patients are diagnosed with bilateral pneumonia every day.
The pathophysiology : parasites, fungi, bacteria and viruses.
I would imagine under these circumstances everyone is a potenial "first carrier" and extraordinary isolation measures/precautions are taken.
My prayers go out to your friend.
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If you do a search under Alexa in all areas you will find only one posting and not six.  Can't quite figure it out but given that we have not heard from Alexa again I think  boo hiss is in order.  Booo.  Hisss.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Penham Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 31 2006 at 8:23pm
I think we need to give the OP the benefit of the doubt. If you notice her membership date is Dec.14, 2005 so she was one of the original people when the forum opened. Just because she has not posted alot (6 posts if you look at the memberlist) does not mean she has not been reading the boards, there are alot of people who read but don't post. I might feel differently if it was someone who had just signed up, but maybe she is for real.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 31 2006 at 9:31pm
Originally posted by Penham Penham wrote:

I think we need to give the OP the benefit of the doubt. If you notice her membership date is Dec.14, 2005 so she was one of the original people when the forum opened. Just because she has not posted alot (6 posts if you look at the memberlist) does not mean she has not been reading the boards, there are alot of people who read but don't post. I might feel differently if it was someone who had just signed up, but maybe she is for real.


Penham, (or probably Albert would be the one to answer)I will ask you the same question I asked DAX, but I guess he hasn't come back to this thread. If you do a search on a person by user name, would all the posts this person has made come up - because on a search, Alexa only came up with one post.
    
As you said, the info says she joined 12/14/05 and had 6 posts. In the search only one came up. However, I hadn't clicked on exact term, so I also brought up another post by Alexanova (new Alexa?) who joined on 3/27/06, made one innocuous post, and has never been on the forum since (at least not signed in).

Another mystery -

    
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