Photo: Arne Grieg Riisnaes, Norwegian Church Aid, ACT International
Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
WHO Warns Nations to Prepare for Pandemic |
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Pretty Bird
V.I.P. Member Joined: June 12 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 25 |
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Posted: September 19 2006 at 11:39pm |
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Health News Wellington - The World Health Organization (WHO) warned on Tuesday of an increasing threat of an influenza pandemic and said it was imperative that states prepared to deal with it.
It also called for urgent steps to prepare to battle emerging infectious diseases, such as avian influenza and SARS (severe acute respiratory syndrome). Many countries and areas did not have the required national and local capacities to avoid serious health threats with potential to cause substantial economic and social disruption, the WHO warned in a statement from a regional conference being held in Auckland. 'Many health systems were undermanned and under-resourced when SARS struck, causing great human suffering, enormous fear and staggering economic losses,' Dr Richard Nesbit, acting regional director for the western-Pacific, said. He said countries should not only have plans to deal with an immediate outbreak but public health officials must focus on the mid- and long-term battle against infectious diseases. The international health agency noted that a few months after it declared that the SARS outbreak had been contained in July 2003, an outbreak of avian influenza (H5N1) hit Asia and has since spread to Africa, Europe and the Middle East. More than 40 countries had reported outbreaks in either wild or domestic birds, or both, an indication that the virus continued to present a threat, Nesbit said. 'In the early stages of a potential pandemic, it may be possible to stop or delay the spread of the virus by swiftly implementing pandemic influenza rapid response and containment measures,' he said. 'If rapid interventions are successful, the severe adverse health, social and economic consequences expected to result from a pandemic might be prevented.' Nesbit said the window of opportunity for action was very narrow because rapid globalization, urbanization, and increasing cross-border travel and trade aided the spread of infectious disease. 'Countries and areas must therefore prepare for such an eventuality and develop operational capacities and coordinating mechanisms to swiftly implement rapid containment measures, which also require close regional and international coordination and collaboration,' he said. © 2006 dpa - Deutsche Presse-Agentur
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“A prudent man foresees the difficulties ahead and prepares for them; the simpleton goes blindly on and suffers the consequence.” Proverbs 22:3
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From GRAIN Feb 2006 , link provided . Good read . Heres what was happening then in some countries .
Table 1: Measures to control bird flu targeting backyard poultry in a selection of countries
In my country no news re backyard chickens , what about your area any news ?? http://www.grain.org/briefings/?id=194 |
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Friday September 22, 2006
Malaysia sets up advanced lab to fight infectious diseases News Update by The Star News Desk SUNGAI BULOH: Malaysia now has the facilities and infrastructure to conduct advanced research in combating all kinds of viruses and diseases, including Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS), the Nipah virus, avian flu, tuberculosis and anthrax. The Biosafety Level 3 (BSL3) Complex, which opened Friday, is the first of its kind in the Asia Pacific region and boasts of being able to handle hazardous diseases. Level 1 represents common diseases and level 4, the most dangerous. Before this Malaysia had to rely on Australian experts, as the current labs in the Veterinarian Research Institute in Ipoh and the Institute of Medical Research in Kuala Lumpur were not capable of handling large-scale research, especially during the Nipah virus outbreak in 1999 and the SARS outbreak in 2001.
http://thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2006/9/22/nation/20060922163618&sec=nation |
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OK it looks like the kid gloves are off and WHO is done messing around. The WHO warning seems much more emphatic than ever before. Also notice the urgent efforts by countries to ramp up their efforts to combat this virus. Many more news bulletins on this impending pandemic. I can't help but notice the increase in activity along with continued deaths in Indo and the beginning of our flu season. It is going to get very busy around here very soon.
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WHO is telling us it is on its way!And i know
MOST of the good people on these forum are ready !
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China's busy doing it .
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roni3470
Adviser Group Joined: August 30 2006 Location: Colorado Status: Offline Points: 5390 |
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As posted on one of the other stings, please see below, it seems the risk is so small that a pandemic will actually happen is so small...just for those of you looking for numbers and the actual liklihood that it will happen!
Looking at historical data from the last 300 years the annual risk of pandemic flu is 3.33%. The annual risk of a major pandemic is 1% and of a minor pandemic is 2.33%. In years that no pandemic potential strains are present the risk is much lower and in years in which a potential pandemic strain is circulating the risk goes up by some multiple. For the past 10 years the H5N1 high path strain has been circulating.
In retrospect it appears the probability of major pandemic was high in 1997 and then dropped for 6 years then has been on the increase since 2003. We seem to have had a near miss in 1997 in Hong Kong when 18+ persons contracted H5N1 flu. This potential pandemic was averted by a major public health initiative.
As the spread has occurred there have been progressively more human infections and more clustering. The more this occurs the higher the probability of pandemic.
I think the probability of a major pandemic in the next year is 10 to 20 times the basline 1% and by far the most likely time in the next 12 months is December to March. So I will give you a figure 10 to 20% in the next year. ER Doc
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USDA expands compensation for bird flu cleanup Fri Sep 22, 2006 06:14 PM ET
USDA said it expanded the National Poultry Improvement Program to cover commercial production flock, such as table-egg layers and meat-type chickens and turkeys. Until now, only breeder flocks were eligible. The NPIP, a voluntary measure among federal and state governments and the poultry industry, was created in the 1930s to certify flocks as free of poultry diseases. Under the expansion, participating producers would be reimbursed for 100 percent of their costs associated with the cleanup of low-pathogenic H5 and H7 subtypes. Facilities that do not actively survey their flock as required by the program will have 25 percent of their eradication costs covered by USDA. In previous cases, compensation was handled by the states. "This program expansion strengthens U.S. protections against poultry diseases such as avian influenza," said Ron DeHaven, administrator of USDA's Animal Plant and Health Inspection Service. The interim rule will become effective on September 26 when it is published in the government's Federal Register. The public will have until November 27 to submit comment. USDA eradicates the low-pathogenic H5 and H7 subtypes because they can mutate into the highly-pathogenic strain, which produces high disease and mortality in birds. Low-pathogenic bird flu does not pose a risk to humans. USDA said expanding the program will ensure the department was complying with international standards and will minimize trade impact on U.S. poultry producers. In order to participate, commercial facilities and states must meet the following provisions: --States must create a diagnostic surveillance program for all poultry. This surveillance will be administered by state agencies according to plans approved by APHIS. --States must develop APHIS-approved response and containment plans that detail what actions will be taken in the event of an H5 and H7 low-pathogenic avian influenza outbreak. --Industry must maintain active surveillance. This component also includes proactive testing at the flock level or at slaughter for commercial meat-type chickens and meat-type turkeys, and must be conducted according to plans detailed in the regulations. |
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We also have a new Biosafety Lab going up in Maryland, only it is a level 4.
info...
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Malaysia sets up advanced lab to fight infectious diseases News Update by The Star News Desk SUNGAI BULOH: Malaysia now has the facilities and infrastructure to conduct advanced research in combating all kinds of viruses and diseases, including Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS), the Nipah virus, avian flu, tuberculosis and anthrax. The Biosafety Level 3 (BSL3) Complex |
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From Candles...
In my country no news re backyard chickens , what about your area any news ?? http://www.grain.org/briefings/?id=194 ....................................................................................... I can imagine concern by the poultry industry... The holidays are coming.
No one wants to hear that H5N1 is here. Our chickens are kept under cover? But I know a lot of turkeys in PA were not. You could see flocks from the road. Can you imagine keeping all those huge birds inside?
We still have some backyard birds in rural areas...they need to educate people now. I see it on the USDA website...they don't look at that. :(
If it can happen on ultra modern chicken farms in Japan...it can happen to us.
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"Trust us": industry and government cover-ups In Indonesia, late in 2005, with bird flu raging across the country and killing people, the Minister of Agriculture told the media that the 11 biggest poultry farms were using certain laws to block inspections of their operations. CP, of course, denied the accusations. "As long as they followed our procedures, we always welcome them," said Sudirto Lim, spokesman of CP Indonesia.[47] Small farmers certainly do not have the luxury of dictating inspection procedures -- the authorities just burst into their homes and seize their chickens, whether they are welcomed or not.
In Thailand, the industry and government knew about bird flu outbreaks months before public pressure finally forced the government to admit to outbreaks of bird flu in January 2005. Industry used that time to clean out its inventory and look after its profits. Poultry workers at the Centaco poultry plant near Bangkok told researchers Chanida Chanyapate and Isabelle Delforge that in the months leading up to the government's official acknowledgement of the outbreak, they were asked to work much more overtime than usual.
"Before November, we were processing about 90,000 chickens a day. But from November to January 23, we had to kill about 130,000 chickens every day." They saw many diseased chickens arriving in the factory and were ordered to process them, even if they had already died from the illness.
"We didn't know what the disease was, but we understood that the management was rushing to process the chicken before getting any veterinary inspection."[48]
Meanwhile, in the Ukraine, the government, on the advice of its big poultry companies, refused to implement mandatory vaccination programmes or quarantines in the Crimea region, where bird flu outbreaks have raged since September 2005, because of the potential loss of exports to the European Union. (note: a lot of US chicken came from Russia) The government initially ignored reports from villagers, who began complaining of mysterious poultry deaths in September 2005, and then, when it eventually did act, reassured the public that the bird flu outbreaks were only in backyard farms and that chicken from factory farms was completely safe. Immediately thereafter, news emerged of three outbreaks on factory farms in the Crimea.[49]
The poultry industry trumpets the "biosecurity" of its operations. Its refrain is that it is easy to seal off its integrated systems from bird flu. But time and time again, bird flu finds its way in and causes massive outbreaks at factory farms: Australia (1976, 1985, 1992, 1994, 1997)
USA (1983, 2002, 2004), Great Britain (1991), Mexico (1993-1995), Hong Kong (1997), Italy (1999), Chile (2002), Netherlands (2003) and Canada (2004), just to cite a few examples outside of the recent bird flu crisis.
In 2004, a number of outbreaks occurred in several ultra-modern chicken farms in Japan. One of these farms, among the largest in the country, did not tell the authorities when its chickens began dying in large numbers. Instead it sent a shipment of 15,000 birds to a slaughterhouse ahead of schedule. The government only found out about the outbreak through an anonymous tip.[50] The same thing happened in the Ukraine where one of the factory farms in the Crimea hit by the bird flu waited a week to tell authorities, taking no security measures in the interim.[51] And most recently in India, local authorities say that H5N1 first broke out and spread from a factory farm owned by the country's largest poultry company.
The district government slapped a notice on Venkateshwara Hatcheries under the Bombay Police Act for "causing public nuisance and threat to health," but the company continues to claim its premises are biosecure and deny its involvement in spreading the disease.[52] |
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Venezuelan Health and Environment Ministries prepare avian flu emergency plan
VHeadline.com News Editor Patrick J. O'Donoghue writes: Venezuelan Environment & Renewable Resources (MARNR) Ministry has announced that it will shortly release a national plan to combat bird flu. The plan will be the result of consultations aimed at dealing with the disease before, during and after it hits Venezuela. One work group will examine good practice in agricultural production. A second group will examine monitoring procedures of birds and humans, especially migratory flocks. A third work group will track the illegal animal and bird trade that is prevalent in Venezuela. National Guard (GN) procedures and training in containing and dealing with the disease and smuggling trade is another important discussion point. Finally, medical attention and response, including availability of medicine, is under review and discussion. A MARNR spokesperson says that although the Health Ministry is responsible for the area, MARNR is actively participating in two work groups: good practice in agriculture and control of migratory birds.http://www.vheadline.com/readnews.asp?id=67944 |
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The World Health Organization (WHO) warned on Tuesday of an increasing threat of an influenza pandemic and said it was imperative that states prepared to deal with it.
It also called for urgent steps to prepare to battle emerging infectious diseases, such as avian influenza and SARS (severe acute respiratory syndrome). ..................................................................................................................................................
I know.... I keep posting it. :)
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ttp://www.who.int/vaccine_research/diseases/sars/events/2003/11/en/osterhaus.pdf Hong Kong researchers announce fingings of Paramyxoviruses (-ssRNA) in SARS patients. (+ssRNA) ................................................................ Family Paramyxoviridae (-ssRNA) (eg Newcastle disease virus, measles virus)
A number of important human diseases, both established (mumps, measles, (an infection of mucosa and skin epidermal cells Subacute sclerosing panencephalitis)
, rabies) and emerging (ebola haemorrhagic fever, borna disease, Hendra virus, Nipah virus), are caused by viruses from this order.
The members of this family are morphologically similar to the Orthomyxoviridae but are larger.
Family Orthomyxoviridae (-ssRNA)
Genus Influenzavirus A; type species: Influenza A virus H5N1 Genus Influenzavirus B; type species: Influenza B virus Genus Influenzavirus C; type species: Influenza C virus Genus Isavirus; type species: Infectious salmon anemia virus Genus Thogotovirus; type species: Thogoto virus (causes encephalitis) |
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Changes made to how Singapore will tackle bird flu pandemic
SINGAPORE: Three key changes are being made to Singapore’s response to a possible bird flu pandemic, based on lessons learnt from the preparedness exercises Sparrowhawk 1 and 2 conducted earlier this year. |
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Bird flu a threat to Caribbean - US Damion Mitchell, News Coordinator - Radio
WASHINGTON, D.C.:
United States officials are reporting that the deadly strain of the bird flu disease could spread to Latin America and Caribbean territories as the virus has been affecting more countries.
Addressing foreign journalists in Washington, D.C. on Monday, Ambassador John Lange of the Department of State Avian Influenza Group said the number of countries in the Eastern Hemisphere with the deadly H5N1 strain of the virus has moved to 55, resulting in 252 human infections and 148 deaths.
He said this was a significant increase over the 14 countries, which had the virus at the start of the year.
"We fear that at some point it will attack countries in the Western Hemisphere," Ambassador Lange said, adding that bird flu could be transmitted though illegally imported birds as well as migratory birds.
Border control strategies
Responding to questions, Ambassador Lange would not assess the Caribbean's border control strategies to prevent the illicit importation of birds, but noted that proper surveillance and transparency by Government's agriculture officials are very critical.
It is estimated that of the 560 million people living in Latin America and the Caribbean, about 130 million are in rural areas with most of them having direct contact with birds and pigs to provide the 70 per cent of protein consumed from poultry in the region.
"It makes it very, very difficult when you have small farmers with small flocks and they don't have the money available for all the bio-security measures necessary," said the Ambassador, noting that should bird flu reach Caribbean countries, it could devastate their economies.
Meanwhile, Ambassador Lange said the United States government is providing US$392 million to assist countries worldwide to facilitate efforts against the bird flu. However, he could not immediately say what amount would be donated to countries from the region.http://www.jamaica-gleaner.com/gleaner/20061012/news/news5.html |
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Turkey says its neighbours covering up bird flu
20/01/2006 17:02
ANKARA (Reuters) - Turkey said on Friday its battle against a bird flu outbreak in people and poultry was being made harder by the failure of neighbouring countries to admit to having the deadly H5N1 virus. "It is unofficially known that this illness exists in our neighbouring countries which are ruled by closed regimes, but these countries do not declare this because of their systems," Agriculture Minister Mehdi Eker told a news conference. He did not name the countries but Iran and Syria are two likely targets of the criticism. Health experts are concerned neighbouring countries are not taking enough preventive measures against bird flu. Eker urged governors of Turkey’s eastern provinces to be extra vigilant. Turkey has reported at least four deaths from the virus this month, bringing the H5N1 strain to the gates of Europe and the Middle East. The epicentre of Turkey’s outbreak is in the east of the country bordering Syria, Iraq, Iran, and Armenia. Iran has said there had been no sign of the lethal H5N1 strain of bird flu on its territory. However, it has slaughtered tens of thousands of birds within 15 km (10 miles) of the Turkish border. It also banned the sale of Turkish fowl and closed the border to day trippers. Iraq has sent experts to the Kurdish region in the north of the country to search for signs of bird flu after the death of a teenage girl from a fever this week caused panic. The World Health Organisation has said she did not have the deadly virus. Syria has culled birds near the border with Turkey, but has said the birds had showed no sign of illness. Turkey has culled more than 1.1 million wild birds and poultry since the outbreak began two weeks ago, Eker said. Up to a third of the country is suspected of having bird flu among poultry and the Turks have reported 21 human cases, including the four deaths. Bird flu is known to have killed at least 80 people since late 2003. Victims contract the virus from close contact with infected birds, but there are fears it could mutate into a form that passes easily from person to person, sparking a pandemic in which millions could die. Page: 1 | 2 |
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endman
V.I.P. Member Joined: February 16 2006 Status: Offline Points: 1232 |
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I like this Dr Zeng
His policies will be great for New York City we have about 50,000 street vendors mostly Indians or Arabs who have no way of washing their hands and most of the restaurants employ illegal Mexicans who can’t stand washing their hands (Arriba!!!) they hate gringos So with ripe for any pandemic time to get the hell out off the great city Dr. Zeng called on three measures, from the general public, to fight against influenza: not to eat at street vendors, wash hands as often as possible, and receive vaccinations. The Influenza Prevention Seminar was jointly held by China Preventative Medicine Association and the Preventative Medicine Association of Guangdong Province. |
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October 15, 2006 - 12:52 PM
New bird flu restrictions come into forcePoultry kept within a one-kilometre radius of major Swiss lakes and rivers must stay indoors from Sunday as part of targeted preventive measures against avian flu. The restrictions, imposed by the economics ministry, are designed to prevent domestic flocks from coming into contact with migratory birds infected with the H5N1 virus. The measures will remain in place until April 30 next year and could be reinforced should the need arise. The outdoor ban applies to poultry holdings near around 20 lakes and rivers in low-lying areas.
Birds tested Throughout the winter, samples will be taken from live birds on lakes Constance and Sempach and at the Bolle di Magadino nature reserve in canton Ticino. Similar checks will be carried out on birds shot by hunters on lakes Geneva and Neuchâtel.
Poultry markets
In addition to the outdoor ban on chickens, ducks, geese and ostriches, poultry markets and exhibitions will be prohibited within the exclusion zone.
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Is this not enough warning? I want to see people preparing .....
"...increasing threat..." .... If that isn't as good as level 4...what is?
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WHO warns nations to prepare for pandemic
Sep 19, 2006, 19:00 GMT Wellington - The World Health Organization (WHO) warned on Tuesday of an increasing threat of an influenza pandemic and said it was imperative that states prepared to deal with it.
It also called for urgent steps to prepare to battle emerging infectious diseases, such as avian influenza and SARS (severe acute respiratory syndrome). ...........................................................
China is having cases of H5N1 varient outbreaks in Humans where there have been no reported outbreaks in Birds.
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Malayasia
Chicken 'guards' to stop bird flu entering Sabah17 Oct 2006Jaswinder Kaur http://www.nst.com.my/Current_News/nst/Tuesday/National/20061017092137/Article/local1_html KOTA KINABALU: Sabah has "hired" chickens to stop bird flu from entering the state. The chickens form the "sentinel flock" which will be the first line of defence against bird flu brought in by migratory birds. Migratory birds, which fly more than 25,000km to escape the winter, will be allowed to mingle with the "sentinel flock" in a specially erected shed. The shed has openings to allow the birds to enter and share food with the poultry. Experts will monitor the chickens to see if they get infected with the virus, and thus take quick measures to stop the avian flu from spreading to other areas. State Agriculture and Food Industries Minister Datuk Abdul Rahim Ismail, who opened the shed at the Kota Kinabalu Wetlands Centre yesterday, said there had been no reports of the virus in Sabah. "There were 52 deaths in Indonesia, and many of these happened in Kalimantan. We border Kalimantan, so we have to take steps to keep the virus away. "If any of the chickens get infected, we will immediately destroy all poultry within a five-kilometre radius." Rahim said the "sentinel flock" method was used in France and Thailand. The "sentinel flock" initiative is a collaborative effort of the Veterinary Services and Animal Industry Department, Health Department and the Sabah Wetlands Conservation Society. |
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Prague, Oct 17 (CTK) - The National Security Council today agreed on a pandemic plan under which 60 percent of vaccines against flu for next year would be secured by a preliminary contract, outgoing Prime Minister Mirek Topolanek told journalists. "The pandemic plan deals with all the aspects of a flu pandemic caused by new variants of flu viruses," he said. Topolanek said that the government had enough money to buy the vaccines. However, he added that finances from the 2008 budget would be used to cover the costs of vaccines of next year's last three months. He said this was possible thanks to the pandemic plan and an agreement with the Finance Ministry. The increased demand for vaccines has been caused by fears of a bird flu pandemic. The Czech Republic is to have a supply a medicines against a flu pandemic for one-fifth of the population in the first quarter of 2007. The country would thus meet the EU recommendations and the EU standard. Chief sanitary officer Michael Vit said that 650,000 doses are already available and additional 600,000 are to arrive in near future. Next year, further 800,000 doses worth over CZK 350 million are to be purchased. Companies will import some 765,000 doses against seasonal flu to the Czech Republic this year. Last year, Czechs almost immediately bought the whole supply, or a similar number of medicines. According to the World Health Organisation (WHO), bird flu has claimed at least 136 lives, and the lethal virus has appeared in over 50 countries. No case of bird flu transfer to humans has been reported in the EU as yet. Fourteen cases of birds infected by the disease occurred in the Czech Republic so far. Experts expect another wave of bird flu to arrive in connection with the autumn migration of birds. The H5N1 strain is likely to appear especially in regions where water fowl living in the open gather. http://www.praguemonitor.com/ctk/?story_id=w43658i20061018;story=Government-prepares-for-possible-flu-pandemic |
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Winter threatens with another emergency
17 Oct 2006 13:34:00 GMT
Source: Church World Service-USA
Website: http:/ Previous | Next
Photo: Arne Grieg Riisnaes, Norwegian Church Aid, ACT International October 6, 2006
Battagram, Pakistan--On Sunday, October 8, a year will have passed since a massive t earthquake shook parts of Pakistan. The earthquake--the strongest in more than a century--killed some 80,000 people, injured at least 200,000, and left nearly 3.5 million people without shelter. Now, 12 months later, the picture remains grim for many of those affected, with less than two percent of houses in the most seriously affected areas having been rebuilt. It means that hundreds of thousands of people are preparing to endure another winter without shelter, and there is much evidence to suggest that these communities are facing another humanitarian emergency.
When the earthquake struck, the Pakistani authorities and the international community were quick to respond with lifesaving emergency aid. This assistance, combined with an unusually mild winter and few heavy snowfalls, allowed those affected by the earthquake to tackle the winter far better than was feared. Yet financial support from the international community soon dried up, and donations have fallen around US$151 million short of the UN's target for relief and rehabilitation activities.
In Mansehra, Shangla, Battagram, Kohistan and Abottabad--all districts of Pakistan's North West Frontier Province (NWFP)--where more than 570,000 houses were entirely or partially destroyed, less than two percent of the population has so far been able to rebuild their homes. Authorities estimate that 66,000 families from the mountainous districts are currently without shelter, and that these families will move to lower ground when winter sets in. They will need insulated tents, blankets, food and water. After last year's mild winter which was relatively kind to the earthquake survivors, the weather this winter is expected to be much harsher, with freezing temperatures and heavy snowfalls.
"Hundreds of thousands of people will be forced to leave their homes over the coming months. A humanitarian emergency is very probable," says Hussain Ullah, national coordinator for earthquake response activities in Pakistan, who also reports to the United Nations Development Program (UNDP).
In Balakot, four hours north of Islamabad, more than 17,000 people were killed and almost 90 percent of homes in the town itself flattened by the earthquake. Today, Balakot is a confusion of ruins and haphazard constructions of corrugated iron. In the center of what was once a flourishing trading hub, some small, provisional shops have been set up. In one of them we met a teacher, Mohammed Perwaz. He had just begun the day's lesson when the earthquake struck last year. Four of the children in his class were killed instantly as the school collapsed. He lost his own younger sister. Mohammed still works as a teacher, but lessons take place now in makeshift tents on the outskirts of town. The quake destroyed 7,669 schools, and only a small number of these have been rebuilt. "It will take 50 to 100 years before we can get back to where we were before the earthquake. Balakot is a graveyard, but we have to look to the future. For the children's sake," says Mohammed.
FEAR OF DEATH con't for more
Please say a prayer or two if you do for these people .................
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Farm netting to prevent AI spread// 19 Oct
Taiwan, an island haven for wild birds escaping harsh Siberian winters, is covering its poultry and pig farms with nets to prevent migratory birds from infecting local flocks with bird flu.
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Taiwan's government has allocated 1 billion New Taiwan dollars (US$30 million) toward plastic and steel netting, which will be used to cover the island's 20,000 poultry and pig farms.
Farm owners are expected to cover half of the costs, and are willing to do so because the netting will also stop birds from stealing feed.
Each September, wild birds migrate to Taiwan across Japan and Korea or over the east coast of China, which has suffered at least 14 human deaths from bird flu since 2003.
Taiwan has not reported any human cases of H5N1, but several fowl smuggled from China tested positive for the avian influenza virus last year.
Huang Kuo-chin, an Agricultural Council official in charge of quarantine, said the first farms to get the nets were those near marshes and swamps where migratory birds settle.
Taiwan has also set up 10 stations to monitor migratory birds and created an alert system to be activated if any of the birds are found to be carrying H5N1.
"Although we haven't had any confirmed bird flu cases, Taiwan is one of the Southeast Asian countries that has taken the most stringent precautionary measures," Huang said.
Taiwanese quarantine officials will visit their counterparts on the mainland later this month to track the routes of migratory birds and seek more effective measures to prevent bird flu.
For more information, see the World Health Organisation's cumulative table of human deaths from bird flu.
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Bird flu: a health issue for up to ten years// 24 Oct 2006
United Nations bird flu expert David Nabarro has said that bird flu is expected to remain a serious global animal health risk for up to ten years.
He said that the avian influenza virus was likely to linger because it can survive in certain communities of birds without symptoms, and because it appears to be spread by both migratory birds and fowl trade.
Dr Nabarro, who was speaking at UN World Headquarters in New York, said that although the virus had not spread as far as anticipated in Africa, 2006 still saw the highest number of bird flu deaths so far.
“In 2006 we did see more than 30 countries reporting outbreaks,” said Dr Nabarro , the Senior UN System Coordinator for Avian and Human Influenza.
“Unfortunately the virus continues to affect humans…and the rate of human death is still distressingly high, with Indonesia increasingly becoming the country which causes all of us… very great concern.”
Africa also poses a major challenge to curbing the disease, he said, as recurring political and economic instability and lack of funding hamstring progress.
Dr Nabarro did commend the efforts made by countries to stem the spread of the virus and expressed satisfaction at fast-track responses to past outbreaks.
“We’ve seen big efforts by the World Health Organisation (WHO) working with governments to make sure that we’ve got a containment system in place and WHO today releasing its Global Action Plan for vaccine development , so that if a pandemic does appear we’ve got a better supply of vaccines in place to deal with this,” he said.
For the latest poultry news, subscribe here The future , the next 10 years of real uncertainty . |
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Rumors of WHO phase 4 - seems to be one Dr's view and not official yet.
The Nation, a national newspaper in Thailand, is quoting Dr Kamnuan Ungchusak, the director of Thailand's Disease Control Department, Bureau of Epidemiology, as saying the bird flu virus has changed in a way as to alter the pandemic disease status from WHO's phase 3 ("Human infection(s) with a new subtype, but no human-to-human spread, or at most rare instances of spread to a close contact") to phase 4 ("Small cluster(s) with limited human-to-human transmission but spread is highly localized, suggesting that the virus is not well adapted to humans").
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I checked and the original posting was last year's. |
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"...Once a pandemic has been declared by WHO and the final pandemic strain identified, it is hoped that the immunity developed in response to H5N1 vaccine will prepare the immune system against the threat of an actual pandemic virus..."
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Is this anything like... We think it could happen so...
Everyone step right up and get your swine flu vaccine. As far as knowing the risks of either vaccine.... |
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Influenza (Fluvirin) contains...
Beta-propiolactone, Egg protein, Neomycin, Polymyxin B,
Polyoxyethylene 9-10 nonyl phenol (Triton N-101, octoxynol 9), Sodium chloride, Thimerosal (mercury conserns) ................................................................
octoxynol is
another spermicide option that's available on the market in the United States and Canada as a contraceptive jelly or cream (that comes in two strengths: 1 and 3 percent), but it's hard to find. ...................................................................................................................... Influenza (Fluzone) contains... Egg protein, Formaldehyde or formalin, Gelatin, Polyethylene glycol p-isooctylphenyl ether (Triton X-100), Sodium chloride, Thimerosal (mercury conserns) .............................................................................................
Influenza (FluMist) (spray in nose) Egg protein, Gentamicin, Monosodium glutamate, Sucrose, Potassium phosphate .....................................................
Gentamicin (also gentamycin) is an aminoglycoside antibiotic, and can treat many different types of bacterial infections, particularly Gram-negative infection. ................................................................................................
Influenza (varies) contains...
Bactopeptone (and? mouse L cells, vero cells) .................................................................................................
from Wikipedia....
Vero cells are cells from the Vero lineage derived from epithelial cells of kidney from African green monkey
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Not ok for toddlers...but ok for pregnant women.......?
Flu Shots for Toddlers Not Backed By Evidence, Major Study Says Release Date:January 24, 2006, 7:55 PM US Eastern time
By Laura Kennedy, Contributing Writer
EXCERPT-
........................
1/25/06 3 p.m: The first paragraph has been changed; the number of children involved in the review has been corrected. U.S. health authorities should have waited for more evidence before recommending routine flu shots for healthy toddlers, according to a new systematic review of studies involving more than a quarter of a million children worldwide. Only a few studies of the vaccine have been conducted in children under 2 years old, and findings suggest that the injection is no better than a placebo at preventing influenza. Moreover, only one tiny study has looked specifically at the safety of flu shots in toddlers. Based on these findings, the reviewers question whether all healthy children between 6 months and 23 months of age should receive the flu shot as recommended by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention since 2004. |
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Bird Flu May Return to Europe in Coming Weeks, UN Agency Says
By Jason Gale Oct. 25 (Bloomberg) -- Bird flu may return to Europe in the coming weeks, spread by wild ducks, swans and geese carrying the lethal virus south from their Arctic mating grounds. Twenty-six European nations reported initial infections of the H5N1 avian influenza strain in poultry or wild birds in late 2005 and early 2006 after a severe winter in Russia and the Caucasus area pushed migratory birds south and westward. The Food and Agriculture Organization said a resurgence of H5N1 in China and Russia indicates the pattern may be repeated. ``It is possible that a similar situation could occur in the approaching weeks with the migratory movement of wild birds from their northern breeding grounds,'' the United Nations agency said in the October edition of a newsletter published on its Web site. ``Eastern Europe and Caucasus region is at particularly high risk'' because of the higher density of backyard poultry there. Diseased birds increase the opportunities for human infection and provide chances for H5N1 to change into a form more dangerous to people. The virus is reported to have killed a person every four days this year, more than double the 2005 rate. Millions could die if H5N1 becomes easily transmissible between people, sparking a lethal pandemic. The H5N1 virus is known to have infected 256 people in 10 countries in the past three years, killing 151 of them, the World Health Organization said on Oct. 16. Half the countries that have reported cases -- Turkey, Azerbaijan, Iraq, Egypt and Djibouti -- are outside East Asia. China, Russia Outbreaks in the Middle East and Europe have been linked with a variant of the H5N1 virus found at China's Qinghai Lake, where more than 6,000 wild birds died in April 2005. Infected birds were found at the nature reserve again this year, as well as in the Novosibirsk-Omsk area of Russia. Central and Eastern Europe are crisscrossed by overlapping migration flyways, and their wetlands, rivers and shorelines provide sanctuary for wild fowl which can come into direct contact with backyard poultry, the Rome-based agency said. Improved control measures on poultry farms in Russia and early warning systems there have helped stem the spread of H5N1, the FAO said. These measures could reduce the risk that avian flu will be reintroduced to Central and Western Europe, it said. ``Should there be outbreaks in Central and Eastern Europe, these are likely to occur later in the year than they did in 2005,'' the agency said. A severe pandemic similar to the one that killed 50 million people in 1918 may cause global economic losses of as much as $2 trillion, the World Bank said last month. Poultry farmers in infected countries have already suffered because of outbreaks. The Washington-based bank in January estimated the cost at $10 billion in Asia alone. `Serious Jeopardy' Unless the virus is controlled and eradicated, the livelihoods of people raising free-range poultry flocks as a source of income and food ``will be in serious jeopardy,'' the FAO said in its Emergency Preparation Systems newsletter. ``The virus will pose a constant threat to human beings and cause serious economic losses to the poultry sector and to avian wildlife-generated tourism.'' Studies of migratory waterfowl in Asia and Europe suggest these birds may play a role in introducing avian flu, although legal or illegal trade of birds and poultry may contribute more to the disease's spread within and across regions, the FAO said. Ducks, swans and geese harbor the highest diversity and prevalence of avian influenza viruses, and past outbreaks of highly pathogenic strains in poultry have been traced to strains originating in ducks. To contact the reporter on this story: Jason Gale in Singapore at j.gale@bloomberg.net Last Updated: October 25, 2006 03:45 EDT |
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South Korea is on the RSOE HAVARIA Map today with Malaria Outbreaks .26/10/06..............
S. Korea says it will step up bird flu programWed Oct 25, 2006 11:28 PM BST
SEOUL (Reuters) - South Korea will step up efforts to counter a potential outbreak of bird flu from migrating birds passing through the Korean peninsula in the coming months, the Agriculture Ministry said on Wednesday. South Korea has not seen an avian influenza outbreak since early in 2004, but has mounted an anti-bird flu campaign during winter every year since. "Bird flu has spread rapidly since late 2003 from Asia recently to Europe and Africa. We need to closely monitor possible spread of the disease," the ministry said in a statement. "We will begin special monitoring and quarantine precautions from November to February in 2007."
Bird flu can be transmitted by migratory birds from neighboring countries that spend winter in South Korea, according to experts. Farmers are advised to prevent their poultry from coming in contact with migrating birds and the government will strengthen inspection on poultry imports. Last month, South Korea's government said nine people were infected with bird flu virus in late 2003 and early 2004 but none of them developed serious illnesses. About 400,000 poultry at South Korean farms were infected by bird flu between December 2003 and March 2004, but no human cases were reported at that time.
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"...But the one absolute requirement on the basis of this is, we have to get prepared for the pandemic..."
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I am going to print off more Gov. Flyers for the library. I hope others will do this. Even if you just put 2 out for people to copy.
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Japan
HEALTH
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http://www.postcourier.com.pg/20061109/news02.htm
PNG is Australia's closest neighbour ................ they also have Indonesia next door ..
PNG not prepared for bird flu’
PAPUA New Guinea is not prepared for an avian or bird flu outbreak. And there is not enough public awareness and response preparedness for the threat of the bird flu and a pandemic influenza at all levels of Government, Health and Bougainville Affairs Sir Peter Barter said yesterday. He said he was concerned about this and despite the efforts of a small number of committed senior human health and animal quarantine officers, and key UN organisations, the country was not doing enough to prepare itself to handle mass casualty, whether it be poultry or human. The threat of avian flu in PNG was very real, Sir Peter said. He said enough “alarm bells have been sounded with offers of support by key global and regional organisations such as the WHO, FAO, APEC and SPC but PNG has not taken the necessary steps to prepare itself adequately’’. “The NEC approved framework for Government response preparedness almost 12 months ago has not moved far enough to put the nation in the capacity required to protect itself in the event the virus is introduced either from just across the Indonesian border or brought in by migratory wild birds from Asia or even through bringing in infected live poultry from those Asian country where the disease has been so far reported.’’ Sir Peter urged all sectors and the community at large to be made aware that response preparedness so far undertaken by the Health Department and the National Quarantine Inspection Authority (NQIA) were limited and not able to launch “the massive campaign required to show what people should know about this disease and how to prevent it’’. He said “ a limited effort’’ had been made to step up surveillance along the PNG/Indonesian border and at the international quarantine ports and “some training’’ had been undertaken with public human health and agriculture extension officers from provinces. “Not much has been done in preparations for mass casualty, whether it is animal or human disease outbreak. The measures will include restrictions of movements of people and animals and mass destruction of poultry,’’ he said. |
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