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PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

WHO Warns Nations to Prepare for Pandemic

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    Posted: September 19 2006 at 11:39pm

Health News
WHO warns nations to prepare for pandemic
Sep 19, 2006, 19:00 GMT

Wellington - The World Health Organization (WHO) warned on Tuesday of an increasing threat of an influenza pandemic and said it was imperative that states prepared to deal with it.

It also called for urgent steps to prepare to battle emerging infectious diseases, such as avian influenza and SARS (severe acute respiratory syndrome).

Many countries and areas did not have the required national and local capacities to avoid serious health threats with potential to cause substantial economic and social disruption, the WHO warned in a statement from a regional conference being held in Auckland.

'Many health systems were undermanned and under-resourced when SARS struck, causing great human suffering, enormous fear and staggering economic losses,' Dr Richard Nesbit, acting regional director for the western-Pacific, said.

He said countries should not only have plans to deal with an immediate outbreak but public health officials must focus on the mid- and long-term battle against infectious diseases.

The international health agency noted that a few months after it declared that the SARS outbreak had been contained in July 2003, an outbreak of avian influenza (H5N1) hit Asia and has since spread to Africa, Europe and the Middle East.

More than 40 countries had reported outbreaks in either wild or domestic birds, or both, an indication that the virus continued to present a threat, Nesbit said.

'In the early stages of a potential pandemic, it may be possible to stop or delay the spread of the virus by swiftly implementing pandemic influenza rapid response and containment measures,' he said.

'If rapid interventions are successful, the severe adverse health, social and economic consequences expected to result from a pandemic might be prevented.'

Nesbit said the window of opportunity for action was very narrow because rapid globalization, urbanization, and increasing cross-border travel and trade aided the spread of infectious disease.

'Countries and areas must therefore prepare for such an eventuality and develop operational capacities and coordinating mechanisms to swiftly implement rapid containment measures, which also require close regional and international coordination and collaboration,' he said.

© 2006 dpa - Deutsche Presse-Agentur

“A prudent man foresees the difficulties ahead and prepares for them; the simpleton goes blindly on and suffers the consequence.” Proverbs 22:3
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From GRAIN  Feb 2006 , link provided . Good read . Heres what was happening then in some countries .
 

Table 1: Measures to control bird flu targeting backyard poultry in a selection of countries

Country

Measure

Austria

Ban on outdoor poultry from October to December. Ordinance extended indefinitely around area where H5N1-infected swans were found.

Canada

Ban on outdoor poultry in the Province of Quebec

China

Anhui provincial government decrees all backyard poultry must be kept in cages. Complete ban on backyard birds in Hong Kong

Croatia

Ban on outdoor poultry during migration season

France

Ban on outdoor poultry, with exceptions

Germany

Ban on outdoor poultry.

Italy

Free range birds (15-20% of poultry sector) have to be under wire-screens

Netherlands

Ban on outdoor poultry, with exceptions

Nigeria

Backyard poultry and birds banned within the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja

Norway

Ban on outdoor poultry in eight southern counties

Slovenia

Ban on outdoor poultry

Sweden

Ban on outdoor poultry

Switzerland

Poultry must be kept within roofed enclosures

Thailand

Restrictions on free-ranging ducks. Ban on live poultry markets in Bangkok and slaughterhouses moved to outskirts. Forced collectivisation of small poultry flocks in central provinces.

Ukraine

Sale of live poultry and poultry products produced by private village households is prohibited in the Autonomous Region of Crimea. Ban does not apply to factory produced poultry.

Viet Nam

Ban on poultry farming in towns and cities

 Confused  In my country no news re backyard chickens , what about your area any news ??   http://www.grain.org/briefings/?id=194

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Switzerland amends law to deal with pandemic threat
 

The Swiss parliament approved a revision of the country's epidemic law on Wednesday, allowing the federal government to stock up on vaccines in preparation for a threat of an outbreak.

The Senate followed the House of Representatives in unanimously passing the amendment, which the cabinet had described as urgent in light of the bird flu pandemic in Asia.

The federal government can now finance the acquisition of vaccines and drugs before a pandemic breaks out or even before threat levels get serious, Interior Minister Pascal Couchepin was quoted as saying by Swiss Radio International (SRI).

He underlined that the health of citizens was paramount for any state and for that reason the federal government needed even more powers regarding pandemic prevention.

Public health affairs in Switzerland are usually managed at cantonal level. The revision enables the federal government to support financially the manufacture of pandemic medication within Switzerland.

The government now wants the amended law - which was triggered by the outbreak of the respiratory disease, SARS, in Asia three years ago - to come into force as soon as possible, SRI said, adding that negotiations with vaccine manufacturers can begin as soon as this happens.

Source: Xinhua http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/200609/21/eng20060921_304870.html

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 22 2006 at 2:58am
Friday September 22, 2006

Malaysia sets up advanced lab to fight infectious diseases

News Update by The Star News Desk

SUNGAI BULOH: Malaysia now has the facilities and infrastructure to conduct advanced research in combating all kinds of viruses and diseases, including Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS), the Nipah virus, avian flu, tuberculosis and anthrax. 

The Biosafety Level 3 (BSL3) Complex, which opened Friday, is the first of its kind in the Asia Pacific region and boasts of being able to handle hazardous diseases.  

Level 1 represents common diseases and level 4, the most dangerous. 

Before this Malaysia had to rely on Australian experts, as the current labs in the Veterinarian Research Institute in Ipoh and the Institute of Medical Research in Kuala Lumpur were not capable of handling large-scale research, especially during the Nipah virus outbreak in 1999 and the SARS outbreak in 2001.

http://thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2006/9/22/nation/20060922163618&sec=nation

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 22 2006 at 5:06am
OK it looks like the kid gloves are off and WHO is done messing around.  The WHO warning seems much more emphatic than ever before.  Also notice the urgent efforts by countries to ramp up their efforts to combat this virus.  Many more news bulletins on this impending pandemic.  I can't help but notice the increase in activity along with continued deaths in Indo and the  beginning of our flu season.  It is going to get very busy around here very soon.
 
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 22 2006 at 5:45am
WHO is  telling us it is on its way!And i know  
 MOST  of the good people on these forum are ready !
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China's busy doing it . 
China prepares vaccines for possible flu outbreaks
< langage=""> printResizeButton();     

Chinese health officials are preparing 23 million to 25 million doses of flu vaccine, after experts warned the H5N1 bird flu could break out again with other flu strains during winter and spring.

The vaccines would be available from mid September, when an inoculation campaign began, said a statement by the China Preventive Medicine Association. The quantity of doses is 20 percent more than last year.

Six million to seven million doses will contain no preservative, about eight times as many as last year, according to Sanofi Pasteur, the major provider of flu vaccines to China.

The preservative in the other vaccines was a mercuric compound used to prevent contamination in production and transportation. It has proved harmless so far, but some U.S. organizations have recommended minimal use of the preservative in production.

About three million doses of flu vaccine will be provided for babies below three years old this year, nearly 30 percent more than last year, according to the company.

The H5N1 outbreaks since 2003 around the globe all happened in winter and spring, so it was highly possible another outbreak might occur if the trend continued. It coincided with the high prevalence season for human flu, said an expert quoting epidemiological research results released by the World Health Organization (WHO) in June.

It was difficult to predict future mutation of the bird flu virus, but one possibility was that the virus mixed with human flu viruses, creating a new type which could trigger a human pandemic, said Zeng Guang, an expert with the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention.

Zeng said no major flu outbreaks had occurred in China in the past few years, but localised outbreaks happened constantly, including some in schools, in the first quarter of this year.

Figures from the Ministry of Health showed a 13 percent rise in the flu incidence rate in the first quarter compared with the same period of last year.

As human flu outbreaks always occurred suddenly and were hard to predict, it was crucial to take preventive measures, especially when the H5N1 strain was still occurring, he said.

China has reported 21 human infections of bird flu since 2003, including 14 deaths.

The country's bird flu vaccine for human use had been proved safe and effective in preliminary clinical tests, announced the government in August.

Experts fear the H5N1 bird flu virus could mutate into a form able to spread among people, causing a global pandemic. It had infected 247 people and killed 144 throughout the world by Sept. 19, according to WHO figures.

Source:http://english.people.com.cn/200609/22/eng20060922_305448.html

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote roni3470 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 22 2006 at 8:49am
As posted on one of the other stings, please see below, it seems the risk is so small that a pandemic will actually happen is so small...just for those of you looking for numbers and the actual liklihood that it will happen! 
 
 
 
  Looking at historical data from the last 300 years the annual risk of pandemic flu is 3.33%. The annual risk of a major pandemic is 1% and of a minor pandemic is 2.33%. In years that no pandemic potential strains are present the risk is much lower and in years in which a potential pandemic strain is circulating the risk goes up by some multiple. For the past 10 years the H5N1 high path strain has been circulating. 
 
In retrospect it appears the probability of major pandemic was high in 1997 and then dropped for 6 years then has been on the increase since 2003. We seem to have had a near miss in 1997 in Hong Kong when 18+ persons contracted H5N1 flu. This potential pandemic was averted by a major public health initiative.
As the spread has occurred there have been progressively more human infections and more clustering. The more this occurs the higher the probability of pandemic. 
 I think the probability of a major pandemic in the next year is 10 to 20 times the basline 1% and by far the most likely time in the next 12 months is December to March. So I will give you a figure 10 to 20% in the next year.  ER Doc
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USDA expands compensation for bird flu cleanup   Fri Sep 22, 2006 06:14 PM ET
   
 
 
 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Poultry farmers who participate in a program to prevent the spread of diseases would be fully compensated for loss of birds and equipment if low-pathogenic strains of avian influenza are found, the U.S. Agriculture Department said on Friday.

USDA said it expanded the National Poultry Improvement Program to cover commercial production flock, such as table-egg layers and meat-type chickens and turkeys. Until now, only breeder flocks were eligible.

The NPIP, a voluntary measure among federal and state governments and the poultry industry, was created in the 1930s to certify flocks as free of poultry diseases.

Under the expansion, participating producers would be reimbursed for 100 percent of their costs associated with the cleanup of low-pathogenic H5 and H7 subtypes.

Facilities that do not actively survey their flock as required by the program will have 25 percent of their eradication costs covered by USDA. In previous cases, compensation was handled by the states.

"This program expansion strengthens U.S. protections against poultry diseases such as avian influenza," said Ron DeHaven, administrator of USDA's Animal Plant and Health Inspection Service.

The interim rule will become effective on September 26 when it is published in the government's Federal Register. The public will have until November 27 to submit comment.

USDA eradicates the low-pathogenic H5 and H7 subtypes because they can mutate into the highly-pathogenic strain, which produces high disease and mortality in birds. Low-pathogenic bird flu does not pose a risk to humans.

USDA said expanding the program will ensure the department was complying with international standards and will minimize trade impact on U.S. poultry producers.

In order to participate, commercial facilities and states must meet the following provisions:

--States must create a diagnostic surveillance program for all poultry. This surveillance will be administered by state agencies according to plans approved by APHIS.

--States must develop APHIS-approved response and containment plans that detail what actions will be taken in the event of an H5 and H7 low-pathogenic avian influenza outbreak.

--Industry must maintain active surveillance. This component also includes proactive testing at the flock level or at slaughter for commercial meat-type chickens and meat-type turkeys, and must be conducted according to plans detailed in the regulations.

<> var year = new Date() document.write('© Reuters ' + year.getFullYear() + ". All Rights Reserved." ); © Reuters 2006. All Rights Reservedhttp://go.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml?type=domesticNews&storyID=13577221&src=rss/domesticNews

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We also have a new Biosafety Lab going up in Maryland, only it is a level 4.
 
 
info...
 
...........................
 

Malaysia sets up advanced lab to fight infectious diseases

News Update by The Star News Desk

SUNGAI BULOH: Malaysia now has the facilities and infrastructure to conduct advanced research in combating all kinds of viruses and diseases, including Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS), the Nipah virus, avian flu, tuberculosis and anthrax. 

The Biosafety Level 3 (BSL3) Complex

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 23 2006 at 12:41pm
 
From Candles...

 Confused  In my country no news re backyard chickens , what about your area any news ??   http://www.grain.org/briefings/?id=194

.......................................................................................
 
I can imagine concern by the poultry industry... The holidays are coming.
 
No one wants to hear that H5N1 is here.  Our chickens are kept under cover?  But I know a lot of turkeys in PA were not.  You could see flocks from the road.  Can you imagine keeping all those huge birds inside?
 
We still have some backyard birds in rural areas...they need to educate people now.  I see it on the USDA website...they don't look at that. :(
 
If it can happen on ultra modern chicken farms in Japan...it can happen to us.
................................................................................
 
 

"Trust us": industry and government cover-ups

In Indonesia, late in 2005, with bird flu raging across the country and killing people, the Minister of Agriculture told the media that the 11 biggest poultry farms were using certain laws to block inspections of their operations.

CP, of course, denied the accusations. "As long as they followed our procedures, we always welcome them," said Sudirto Lim, spokesman of CP Indonesia.[47] Small farmers certainly do not have the luxury of dictating inspection procedures -- the authorities just burst into their homes and seize their chickens, whether they are welcomed or not.

In Thailand, the industry and government knew about bird flu outbreaks months before public pressure finally forced the government to admit to outbreaks of bird flu in January 2005.

Industry used that time to clean out its inventory and look after its profits. Poultry workers at the Centaco poultry plant near Bangkok told researchers Chanida Chanyapate and Isabelle Delforge that in the months leading up to the government's official acknowledgement of the outbreak, they were asked to work much more overtime than usual.
 
"Before November, we were processing about 90,000 chickens a day. But from November to January 23, we had to kill about 130,000 chickens every day." They saw many diseased chickens arriving in the factory and were ordered to process them, even if they had already died from the illness.
 
"We didn't know what the disease was, but we understood that the management was rushing to process the chicken before getting any veterinary inspection."[48]

Meanwhile, in the Ukraine, the government, on the advice of its big poultry companies, refused to implement mandatory vaccination programmes or quarantines in the Crimea region, where bird flu outbreaks have raged since September 2005, because of the potential loss of exports to the European Union. (note: a lot of US chicken came from Russia)

The government initially ignored reports from villagers, who began complaining of mysterious poultry deaths in September 2005, and then, when it eventually did act, reassured the public that the bird flu outbreaks were only in backyard farms and that chicken from factory farms was completely safe. Immediately thereafter, news emerged of three outbreaks on factory farms in the Crimea.[49]

The poultry industry trumpets the "biosecurity" of its operations. Its refrain is that it is easy to seal off its integrated systems from bird flu.

But time and time again, bird flu finds its way in and causes massive outbreaks at factory farms: Australia (1976, 1985, 1992, 1994, 1997)
USA (1983, 2002, 2004), Great Britain (1991), Mexico (1993-1995), Hong Kong (1997), Italy (1999), Chile (2002), Netherlands (2003) and Canada (2004), just to cite a few examples outside of the recent bird flu crisis.

In 2004, a number of outbreaks occurred in several ultra-modern chicken farms in Japan. One of these farms, among the largest in the country, did not tell the authorities when its chickens began dying in large numbers. Instead it sent a shipment of 15,000 birds to a slaughterhouse ahead of schedule. The government only found out about the outbreak through an anonymous tip.[50]

The same thing happened in the Ukraine where one of the factory farms in the Crimea hit by the bird flu waited a week to tell authorities, taking no security measures in the interim.[51] And most recently in India, local authorities say that H5N1 first broke out and spread from a factory farm owned by the country's largest poultry company.
 
The district government slapped a notice on Venkateshwara Hatcheries under the Bombay Police Act for "causing public nuisance and threat to health," but the company continues to claim its premises are biosecure and deny its involvement in spreading the disease.[52]
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 26 2006 at 8:02am
Français Español  
« 2006 Press releases

ILO hosts interagency meeting to discuss avian flu and workplace impact and response


Tuesday 26 September 2006 (ILO/06/43)


GENEVA (ILO News) - The International Labour Office (ILO) is to host an interagency meeting here which will provide an opportunity to examine critical occupational safety and health, employment and livelihood issues in the context of a recent UN Action Plan with regard to the potential spread of the avian flu virus.

The one day-meeting on
Avian Flu and the Workplace: Preparedness and Response will take place on Wednesday, 27 September, starting at 9.30, in Room Elimane Kane at ILO headquarters. It will provide an opportunity for representatives from international agencies, workers' and employers' organizations to examine the implications of avian flu and for harmonizing responses within the UN System.

The meeting will be attended by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), the World Health Organization (WHO), the United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF), the World Bank (WB), the International Organization for Migration (IOM), the UN System Influenza Coordinator (UNSIC), Public Services International (PSI), the International Union of Food, Agricultural, Hotel, Restaurant, Catering, Tobacco and Allied Workers' Associations (IUF) and the International Organisation of Employers (IOE).

The meeting will allow the first review of the recently launched UN Action Plan including the social partners and pay particular interest to the world of work. The ILO's tripartite structure places it in a good position to address the concerns of governments, employers and employees with regard to avian flu threats.

The World Bank estimated in June that under a "severe" scenario, a global influenza pandemic could result in a 3.1% decline in the global GDP, costing the world economy some $1.25 trillion in economic losses (
Note 1). These would be incurred due to a loss of livelihoods and increased demand shocks of the travel and tourism sectors amongst other affected segments of the economy. Furthermore, based on previous instances of influenza pandemics, it is believed that in a worst case scenario human deaths can amount to millions.

Action at workplaces where humans come into contact with potentially infected poultry - and where the risk of a virus crossover from animals to humans is highest - is a key element in preventing the spread of the disease. ILO experience in other occupational health areas may provide elements for developing prevention and control practices in the workplace; in the case of avian flu, the workplace may also provide an important platform for informing employers, workers and others about preventive measures and best practices.


http://www.ilo.org/public/english/bureau/inf/pr/2006/43.htm

Note 1 - http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/NEWS/
0,,contentMDK:20979352~pagePK:64257043~piPK:437376~theSitePK:4607,00.html
  
  
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Venezuelan Health and Environment Ministries prepare avian flu emergency plan

VHeadline.com News Editor Patrick J. O'Donoghue writes:  Venezuelan Environment & Renewable Resources (MARNR) Ministry has announced that it will shortly release a national plan to combat bird flu. 

The plan will be the result of consultations aimed at dealing with the disease before, during and after it hits Venezuela. 

  • However, it is the Health Ministry that is currently coordinating 5 work groups to cover all contingencies and propose measures to avoid the arrival of any kind if avian flu strains. 

One work group will examine good practice in agricultural production.

A second group will examine monitoring procedures of birds and humans, especially migratory flocks. 

A third work group will track the illegal animal and bird trade that is prevalent in Venezuela. 

National Guard (GN) procedures and training in containing and dealing with the disease and smuggling trade is another important discussion point. 

Finally, medical attention and response, including availability of medicine, is under review and discussion.  

A MARNR spokesperson says that although the Health Ministry is responsible for the area, MARNR is actively participating in two work groups: good practice in agriculture and control of migratory birds.http://www.vheadline.com/readnews.asp?id=67944

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Roche announces availability of Tamiflu through 2007
HLT-INFLUENZA-TAMIFLU
Roche announces availability of Tamiflu through 2007

GENEVA, Oct 2 (KUNA) -- The Swiss giant pharmaceutical based in Basel, Roche, announced that based on the available manufacturing capacities, the supply shortage of Tamiflu through 2007 no longer exists. The broad availability of Tamiflu for both seasonal and pandemic use is due to expand to global production capacity, which will reach the rate of 400 million treatment courses annually by the end of 2006, a more than 10-fold increase since 2004. The Basel based company added, in a statement issued this morning that its antiviral medication Tamiflu (oseltamivir) is readily available for the forthcoming 2006-2007 influenza season for the treatment and prevention of influenza. According to Roche during the 2005 -2006 season Roche had to restrict distribution of Tamiflu to wholesalers in many markets to ensure availability during an influenza outbreak, whilst the production capacity was being expanded. This led to the perception that Tamiflu was in short supply. Roche's global network for the manufacture of Tamiflu includes several Roche sites and more than 15 external contractors located in 10 different countries around the world. The expansion includes a fully functioning European supply chain and a North American supply chain for Tamiflu with an annual capacity of 80 million treatment courses. In addition, Roche has further extended global availability by offering sublicenses to Hetero Pharmaceuticals and the HEC Group in India and Shanghai Pharmaceuticals in China. Roche has also finalized an agreement on sharing technical know-how with the South African company Aspen, allowing them to supply for pandemic use in the African continent.

Influenza, commonly called the 'flu', is a serious disease and annual outbreaks and epidemics are caused by influenza A and B viruses. Up to 500 million people are infected by influenza and up to 500,000 deaths are attributed to influenza each year. (end) hn.

bn http://www.kuna.net.kw/Home/Story.aspx?Language=en&DSNO=909879
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Nepal set to begin drive to check avian flu
< langage=""> printResizeButton();  

The Nepali government is all set to conduct an operation to check the spread of avian flu in the country, a government official said.

Director general at Department of Health Services Mahendra Bahadur Bista told Friday's The Himalayan Times daily that the government has done everything in its capacity to launch the program.

"Once the World Bank (WB) gives a green signal, we will begin the comprehensive program to check avian flu in the country," Bista was quoted by the leading English daily as saying.

A World Bank team is scheduled to visit Nepal in a week's time to assess the comprehensive program. The country has designed to check avian flu here, according to Bista. The WB is the main donor for the program.

A cabinet meeting on March 12 had endorsed the National Avian Influenza and Influenza Pandemic Preparedness and Response Plan.

A fund of 15.1 million U.S. dollars has been earmarked for three years beginning in 2006 for the purpose.

Bista said that all the line ministries are working together to strengthen national and international coordination to check the transmission of the deadly disease.

The Ministry of Agriculture and co-operatives, the Department of Livestock Services and the Ministry of Health and Population are involved in the program, he said.

The major objective of the plan is to prevent the disease from entering Nepal, develop a surveillance system of migratory bird, find out the risk difference between human beings and animals, capacity building and strengthening of the health care delivery system, among others.

Altogether 132 cases of confirmed human cases of avian influenza (H5N1) have been reported of which 68 deaths have occurred from Dec. 26, 2003, till Nov. 25, 2005, in Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand, Cambodia and China, the World Health Organization has said.

Source: Xinhua http://english.people.com.cn/200610/06/eng20061006_309512.html

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 08 2006 at 10:54pm
The World Health Organization (WHO) warned on Tuesday of an increasing threat of an influenza pandemic and said it was imperative that states prepared to deal with it.

It also called for urgent steps to prepare to battle emerging infectious diseases, such as avian influenza and SARS (severe acute respiratory syndrome).

..................................................................................................................................................
 
I know.... I keep posting it.   :)
.............................................................................................................
 
 
 
ttp://www.who.int/vaccine_research/diseases/sars/events/2003/11/en/osterhaus.pdf
 
Hong Kong researchers announce fingings of
 
Paramyxoviruses    (-ssRNA)  

in SARS patients.  (+ssRNA)

................................................................
Group V - negative-sense (-ssRNA) viruses
Order Mononegavirales

Family Paramyxoviridae (-ssRNA)  

(eg Newcastle disease virus, measles virus)
A number of important human diseases,
 
both established (mumps, measles, (an infection of mucosa and skin epidermal cells Subacute sclerosing panencephalitis)
, rabies
)
 
and emerging (ebola haemorrhagic fever, borna disease, Hendra virus, Nipah virus), are caused by viruses from this order.
 
 
 
 
 
The members of this family are morphologically similar to the Orthomyxoviridae but are larger.
 
 
 
Family Orthomyxoviridae   (-ssRNA)  

Genus Influenzavirus A; type species: Influenza A virus H5N1
Genus Influenzavirus B; type species: Influenza B virus
Genus Influenzavirus C; type species: Influenza C virus
Genus Isavirus; type species: Infectious salmon anemia virus
Genus Thogotovirus; type species: Thogoto virus (causes encephalitis)
 
 
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Changes made to how Singapore will tackle bird flu pandemic
By Yvonne Yong | Posted: 09 October 2006 1517 hrs

 
   
 

SINGAPORE: Three key changes are being made to Singapore’s response to a possible bird flu pandemic, based on lessons learnt from the preparedness exercises Sparrowhawk 1 and 2 conducted earlier this year.

Speaking at a flu pandemic training session for Voluntary Welfare Organisations (VWOs) Minister of State for Health Heng Chee How said the first main area of improvement is the line between Government polyclinics and GPs.

“Initially, the plan was to centralise treatment at the 18 polyclinics. But we also recognise that most Singaporeans consult their family doctors in the private sector for acute illnesses like influenza...In Sparrowhawk, we validated the feasibility of utilising GPs to continue to serve the population. With some coordination we will be able to organise more than 1000 GP Clinics to provide primary care to the community”.

Also reviewed is the work of public and private hospitals in an outbreak. Previously, Restructured Hospitals were to manage all flu patients who required hospitalised care, while non-flu patients would be referred to Private Hospitals. But as Mr Heng pointed out, “It would be very difficult to fully effectively segregate such cases in a pandemic. Hence, hospitals, both public and private will need to be prepared to manage both”.

Thirdly, all hospitals are to have a dedicated group of staff or an ‘infection control response team’. According to Mr Heng, “Sparrowhawk highlighted that it is impractical to expect that all staff have the same level of readiness and training and are able to sustain a high level of readiness over a prolonged period of time…The key lesson is for hospitals to maintain and roster a team of dedicated Health Care Workers who are very well versed with the handling of infectious cases”.

Mr Heng also talked about the three-pronged or ‘3P’ approach involving the Public, Private and People sectors in the event of a pandemic. “The fight against the flu pandemic requires a ‘whole of Singapore’ approach to ensure that Singapore is ready should a flu pandemic hit…I am heartened to see that such inter-agency, cross sector collaboration is well in place…and I am pleased to report that our
border agencies, healthcare institutions and security agencies are ready”.

He also stressed the importance of continued .,
http://www.channelnewsasia.com/stories/singaporelocalnews/view/234564/1/.html

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China

09:55 GMT, Oct 10, 2006

Expert warns of forthcoming bird flu pandemic risk

Shanghai.  October  10th.  INTERFAX-CHINA  - A medical expert has warned
that the  traditional  winter-spring  period  for regular influenza will
increase  the  risk  of bird flu mutating to a form capable of human-to-
human transmission.
The China  Disease  Prevention Control Center's Dr. Zeng Guang warned at
an influenza  prevention  seminar  yesterday that "toward the end of the
year, and   until  next  spring,  the  influenza  H5N1  avian  influenza
outbreaks  might  return, and if accompanied by human influenza virus, a
widespread influenza panic could break out."
Dr. Zeng said, quoting research data from the World Health Organization,
that since  2003, the H5N1 avian influenza outbreaks have occurred three
times and all during the winter-spring period.
He said  that the chances of the H5N1 virus mutating to enable human-to-
human contact increases as more regular human influenza outbreaks occur.
Mr. Ruo  Hui,  head  of  the  Epidemic  Research  Center  at the Disease
Prevention  Control  Center  in  Guangdong  Province,  disclosed  at the
seminar that influenza has been under control in the past few years, but
outbreaks in certain areas have been frequent with 90% of occurrences in
elementary schools.
Dr. Zeng  called  on  three  measures, from the general public, to fight
against  influenza: not to eat at street vendors, wash hands as often as
possible, and receive vaccinations.
The Influenza  Prevention Seminar was jointly held by China Preventative
Medicine  Association  and  the  Preventative  Medicine  Association  of
Guangdong Province.
-TW
http://www.interfax.com/4/201175/news.aspx

More...

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Flu exercise to test pandemic readiness

October 12, 2006 - 3:04PM
Australia's ability to cope with an influenza pandemic will be put to the test when the country's largest-ever health simulation exercise begins next week.An "infected" person flying into Brisbane airport on Tuesday will trigger the mock outbreak.Exercise Cumpston will last four days from Monday, cost $4.1 million and involve more than 1,000 officials and health workers, 55 international observers, and all states and territories, Health Minister Tony Abbott told parliament on Thursday.Mr Abbott said the exercise would help test Australia's border controls, disease detection and surveillance, contact tracing, quarantine and treatment systems.

It would also test agencies' ability to make decisions and coordinate their response, which will include the establishment of fever clinics and distribution of anti-viral drugs.

"Australia is recognised as a world leader in pandemic preparedness," Mr Abbott said.The government has already spent more than $600 million preparing for an influenza epidemic, including building up one of the world's largest anti-viral stockpiles.Fears were raised of a worldwide influenza pandemic when the deadly H5N1 bird flu was found in humans, but so far there have been no proven cases of person-to-person transmission.The government has stockpiled enough anti-virals Relenza and Tamiflu to cover about 20 per cent of Australia's population, and is waiting on orders that would take that figure to 44 per cent.

But it intends to hand out the medication only to sick people and those in direct contact with infected patients - not automatically to sufferers' next-of-kin and all health workers.ConfusedConfusedExercise Cumpston is named after Dr John Cumpston, the health department's first director general and an epidemiologist responsible for showing quarantine measures could help limit the spread of the deadly Spanish flu pandemic in 1918-19.

Queensland Health Minister Stephen Robertson said Exercise Cumpston was the first of its size and scope anywhere in the world.The exercise will also involve the Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital and include a mock community assessment clinic at Logan.   http://fdimages.fairfax.com.au/crtvs/asragepop.html

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Bird flu a threat to Caribbean - US
published: Thursday | October 12, 2006

Damion Mitchell, News Coordinator - Radio

WASHINGTON, D.C.:

United States officials are reporting that the deadly strain of the bird flu disease could spread to Latin America and Caribbean territories as the virus has been affecting more countries.

Addressing foreign journalists in Washington, D.C. on Monday, Ambassador John Lange of the Department of State Avian Influenza Group said the number of countries in the Eastern Hemisphere with the deadly H5N1 strain of the virus has moved to 55, resulting in 252 human infections and 148 deaths.

He said this was a significant increase over the 14 countries, which had the virus at the start of the year.

"We fear that at some point it will attack countries in the Western Hemisphere," Ambassador Lange said, adding that bird flu could be transmitted though illegally imported birds as well as migratory birds.

Border control strategies

Responding to questions, Ambassador Lange would not assess the Caribbean's border control strategies to prevent the illicit importation of birds, but noted that proper surveillance and transparency by Government's agriculture officials are very critical.

It is estimated that of the 560 million people living in Latin America and the Caribbean, about 130 million are in rural areas with most of them having direct contact with birds and pigs to provide the 70 per cent of protein consumed from poultry in the region.

"It makes it very, very difficult when you have small farmers with small flocks and they don't have the money available for all the bio-security measures necessary," said the Ambassador, noting that should bird flu reach Caribbean countries, it could devastate their economies.

Meanwhile, Ambassador Lange said the United States government is providing US$392 million to assist countries worldwide to facilitate efforts against the bird flu. However, he could not immediately say what amount would be donated to countries from the region.http://www.jamaica-gleaner.com/gleaner/20061012/news/news5.html

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Turkey says its neighbours covering up bird flu
20/01/2006 17:02

ANKARA (Reuters) - Turkey said on Friday its battle against a bird flu outbreak in people and poultry was being made harder by the failure of neighbouring countries to admit to having the deadly H5N1 virus.

"It is unofficially known that this illness exists in our neighbouring countries which are ruled by closed regimes, but these countries do not declare this because of their systems," Agriculture Minister Mehdi Eker told a news conference.

He did not name the countries but Iran and Syria are two likely targets of the criticism. Health experts are concerned neighbouring countries are not taking enough preventive measures against bird flu.

Eker urged governors of Turkey’s eastern provinces to be extra vigilant.

Turkey has reported at least four deaths from the virus this month, bringing the H5N1 strain to the gates of Europe and the Middle East. The epicentre of Turkey’s outbreak is in the east of the country bordering Syria, Iraq, Iran, and Armenia.

Iran has said there had been no sign of the lethal H5N1 strain of bird flu on its territory.

However, it has slaughtered tens of thousands of birds within 15 km (10 miles) of the Turkish border. It also banned the sale of Turkish fowl and closed the border to day trippers.

Iraq has sent experts to the Kurdish region in the north of the country to search for signs of bird flu after the death of a teenage girl from a fever this week caused panic. The World Health Organisation has said she did not have the deadly virus.

Syria has culled birds near the border with Turkey, but has said the birds had showed no sign of illness.

Turkey has culled more than 1.1 million wild birds and poultry since the outbreak began two weeks ago, Eker said.

Up to a third of the country is suspected of having bird flu among poultry and the Turks have reported 21 human cases, including the four deaths.

Bird flu is known to have killed at least 80 people since late 2003. Victims contract the virus from close contact with infected birds, but there are fears it could mutate into a form that passes easily from person to person, sparking a pandemic in which millions could die.

Next page     We can't forget Syria , Iraq  , Iran  , Armenia .Ouch


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote endman Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 13 2006 at 12:45pm
I like this Dr Zeng
His policies will be great for New York City we have about 50,000 street vendors mostly Indians or  Arabs who have no way of washing their hands  and most of the restaurants employ illegal Mexicans who can’t stand washing their hands (Arriba!!!) they hate gringos
 So with ripe for any pandemic time to get the hell out off the great city
Dr. Zeng  called  on  three  measures, from the general public, to fight
against  influenza: not to eat at street vendors, wash hands as often as
possible, and receive vaccinations.
The Influenza  Prevention Seminar was jointly held by China Preventative
Medicine  Association  and  the  Preventative  Medicine  Association  of
Guangdong Province.
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October 15, 2006 - 12:52 PM

New bird flu restrictions come into forceAdd story to my swissinfo panel

Poultry kept within a one-kilometre radius of major Swiss lakes and rivers must stay indoors from Sunday as part of targeted preventive measures against avian flu.

The restrictions, imposed by the economics ministry, are designed to prevent domestic flocks from coming into contact with migratory birds infected with the H5N1 virus. 

The measures will remain in place until April 30 next year and could be reinforced should the need arise. The outdoor ban applies to poultry holdings near around 20 lakes and rivers in low-lying areas.

The Geneva-based World Health Organization remains on a state of pandemic alert as deaths from the human form of bird flu continue to climb. On Sunday the Indonesian authorities announced that an 11-year-old boy had died from bird flu, raising the national death toll from the disease to 53.

Thirty-two dead wild birds were found with the H5N1 virus in February and March last year in Switzerland, mainly around lakes. As a result the Swiss authorities ordered poultry to be locked up from February 20 to May 1. No new cases have been detected in Switzerland since April.

The economics ministry says monitoring of wild birds will continue, especially on lakes Geneva, Constance, Neuchâtel and Zurich where 74 per cent of waterfowl spend the winter.

Switzerland's summertime waterfowl population of 50,000 swells to 500,000 during the winter migration to Africa.

 

Birds tested Throughout the winter, samples will be taken from live birds on lakes Constance and Sempach and at the Bolle di Magadino nature reserve in canton Ticino. Similar checks will be carried out on birds shot by hunters on lakes Geneva and Neuchâtel.

As was the case last year, all suspect birds found across Switzerland will be analysed by the authorities.

"The period of vigilance will not be limited to periods of migration, but throughout the winter," said the ministry when it announced the measures at the end of last month.

The new measures will affect about 1,000 of the country's 17,000 large poultry farms and 4,000 smaller holdings, say officials.

 

Poultry markets

 

In addition to the outdoor ban on chickens, ducks, geese and ostriches, poultry markets and exhibitions will be prohibited within the exclusion zone.

Checks will be maintained at the country's borders and all imports from countries affected by bird flu remain bann
ed.

Both the Swiss Farmers Union and Kagfreiland, a farm animal protection organisation, have backed the targeted measures.

Most European Union countries have relaxed restrictions requiring poultry to be kept indoors but say they are ready to act should risk levels increase. Switzerland is not a member of the EU.

swissinfo with agencies

 

 

 


 

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 15 2006 at 8:43pm
 
 
Is this not enough warning?  I want to see people preparing .....
 
"...increasing threat..." ....   If that isn't as good as level 4...what is?
..........................................................................................................
 
WHO warns nations to prepare for pandemic
Sep 19, 2006, 19:00 GMT
 
Wellington - The World Health Organization (WHO) warned on Tuesday of an increasing threat of an influenza pandemic and said it was imperative that states prepared to deal with it.

It also called for urgent steps to prepare to battle emerging infectious diseases, such as avian influenza and SARS (severe acute respiratory syndrome).

 ...........................................................
 
 
China is having cases of H5N1 varient outbreaks in Humans where there have been no reported outbreaks in Birds.
 
This is a good site....listen to report on CHINA (BF)
 
 
 
 
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 16 2006 at 5:37pm
Originally posted by anharra anharra wrote:

 
 
Is this not enough warning?  I want to see people preparing .....
 
"...increasing threat..." ....   If that isn't as good as level 4...what is?
..........................................................................................................
 
WHO warns nations to prepare for pandemic
Sep 19, 2006, 19:00 GMT
 
Wellington - The World Health Organization (WHO) warned on Tuesday of an increasing threat of an influenza pandemic and said it was imperative that states prepared to deal with it.

It also called for urgent steps to prepare to battle emerging infectious diseases, such as avian influenza and SARS (severe acute respiratory syndrome).

 ...........................................................
 
 
China is having cases of H5N1 varient outbreaks in Humans where there have been no reported outbreaks in Birds.
 
This is a good site....listen to report on CHINA (BF)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Warning over global bird flu plan
Tamiflu capsules
Almost half of the countries prioritised antiviral treatments
A third of countries which have drawn up flu pandemic plans have failed to set out how they would distribute medical treatment, a report has found.

Researchers at the John Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Ben Gurion University Israel studied 45 national pandemic plans.

They warned resources would be scarce, so decisions on who should get drugs or vaccines should be made in advance.

They said prioritising treatment could help reduce death and disease.

The World Health Organisation (WHO) has urged every country to develop and maintain a national plan on bird-flu.

It also recommends nations prioritise the allocation of pharmaceutical resources among the population.

Rationing

Researchers looked at 19 plans from developed nations and 26 from developing countries. In total, these represented around two-thirds of the world's population - 3.8bn people.

The countries included the US, Norway, Australia, India, China, Serbia, Bahrain, Israel, South Africa, UK, Mexico, Venezuela, Hong Kong, Thailand and Singapore.

The report, Priority Setting for Pandemic Influenza: An Analysis of National Preparedness Plans, found almost half of the plans they examined favoured antiviral medications, such as Tamiflu, while 62% prioritised giving citizens a flu vaccine.

Individual countries have not consistently prioritised population groups for vaccines and antivirals.
Lori Uscher-Pines

This was an unexpected finding, researchers said, as antiviral treatment may be the only pharmaceutical intervention available in some countries.

"We cannot expect to vaccinate more than 14% of the world's population within a year of pandemic," the report said, adding it would take a decade to produce enough of the antiviral medication for 20% of the world's population.

Lead author of the study, Lori Uscher-Pines, said resources would need rationing if there was a flu pandemic.

"We learned that individual countries have not consistently prioritised population groups for vaccines and antivirals.

"No countries prioritised population groups to receive ventilators, face masks and other critical resources," she said.

The study also found allocation decisions for different groups varied widely from country to country.

Most countries - including the UK - prioritised health care workers for the vaccine and antiviral treatment, but policies varied on other groups such as the elderly, essential service workers and children.

Key interventions

It also found almost half of the countries studied had prioritised children, despite a WHO recommendation against it.

Only once the disease is moving will we know who it's targeting
Professor John Oxford

The report said it was also unclear why vaccine and antiviral medications had been singled out for treatment when there is likely to be a shortage of many resources.

It said further guidance was needed to address whether schemes for ventilator masks and hospital beds are necessary.

It is the first study to look at prioritisation decisions in developed and developing countries.

Professor John Oxford, a virologist at Queen Mary School of Medicine, London, said he was not surprised at the variations in plans betweens countries.

"Only once the disease is moving will we know who it's targeting. There's going to be an element of 'wait and see'."

He said antivirals, vaccines and hygiene levels were all key to intervening in a pandemic.

He added the study could potentially be a "huge contribution" towards helping countries further develop their plans.

The Department of Health said it has taken steps to prepare.

It has purchased 14.6m courses of Tamflu and 2.5m doses of H5N1 vaccine. PCTs have also been asked to draw up local contingency plans to respond to a pandemic, which the department will audit.

"The World Health Organisation has said that the UK is at the forefront of preparations internationally for a pandemic influenza," a spokesperson said.

"Preparing for a pandemic is ongoing and we are constantly reviewing and developing our plans as new information emerges."

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/health/6054810.stm

Ouch We will be on our own , note the missing countries on the list .............
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Malayasia
 

Chicken 'guards' to stop bird flu entering Sabah

17 Oct 2006
Jaswinder Kaur http://www.nst.com.my/Current_News/nst/Tuesday/National/20061017092137/Article/local1_html


KOTA KINABALU: Sabah has "hired" chickens to stop bird flu from entering the state.

The chickens form the "sentinel flock" which will be the first line of defence against bird flu brought in by migratory birds.

Migratory birds, which fly more than 25,000km to escape the winter, will be allowed to mingle with the "sentinel flock" in a specially erected shed.

The shed has openings to allow the birds to enter and share food with the poultry.

Experts will monitor the chickens to see if they get infected with the virus, and thus take quick measures to stop the avian flu from spreading to other areas.

State Agriculture and Food Industries Minister Datuk Abdul Rahim Ismail, who opened the shed at the Kota Kinabalu Wetlands Centre yesterday, said there had been no reports of the virus in Sabah.

"There were 52 deaths in Indonesia, and many of these happened in Kalimantan. We border Kalimantan, so we have to take steps to keep the virus away.

"If any of the chickens get infected, we will immediately destroy all poultry within a five-kilometre radius."

Rahim said the "sentinel flock" method was used in France and Thailand.

The "sentinel flock" initiative is a collaborative effort of the Veterinary Services and Animal Industry Department, Health Department and the Sabah Wetlands Conservation Society.

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Nation

Health

http://www.gulfnews.com/nation/Health/10075394.html

Published: 10/17/2006 12:00 AM (UAE)

Bird flu guide for travellers launched

By Nissar Hoath, Staff Reporter
 

Abu Dhabi: The Secretariat of the National Committee for Emergency Response to Bird Flu has launched a mini guide for travellers.

The guide contains advice in Arabic, English, German, French and Hindi and is part of the awareness campaign entitled 'Better Safe than Sorry' which was launched in 2005.

The guide is being distributed not only at the country's airports but also at land and sea entry points. It targets those departing or arriving from affected areas around the world, the Environment Agency - Abu Dhabi (EAD) announced yesterday.

It explains what the disease is, its causes and how it started. Moreover, the guide instructs travellers to refrain from bringing any live birds, poultry, meat, eggs or feathers into the UAE. It recommends avoiding visiting any poultry farms soon after their return to the UAE.

"The guide also highlights the emergency hotline in case of any emergency (8009990), which is constantly receiving inquiries from the general public," EAD said in a statement.

Dubai Municipality, one of the members of the committee, has set up an avian influenza operations room in its Veterinary Section. The municipality also received, stored and distributed specific amounts of the necessary safety and hygienic equipment to the rest of the committee members, in cooperation with Dubai's Department of Health and Medical Services.

The EAD, in cooperation with the Ministry of Environment and Water and the Emirates Bird Records Committee has continued to monitor avian influenza by implementing its nation-wide wild birds monitoring surveys on islands and other key areas.

These surveys began in October 2005. Last month, 31,230 birds of 107 species were monitored and recorded in Abu Dhabi, Dubai and the Northern Emirates from the selected monitoring sites.

No birds showed any signs of the disease

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Prague, Oct 17 (CTK) - The National Security Council today agreed on a pandemic plan under which 60 percent of vaccines against flu for next year would be secured by a preliminary contract, outgoing Prime Minister Mirek Topolanek told journalists.

"The pandemic plan deals with all the aspects of a flu pandemic caused by new variants of flu viruses," he said.

Topolanek said that the government had enough money to buy the vaccines. However, he added that finances from the 2008 budget would be used to cover the costs of vaccines of next year's last three months. He said this was possible thanks to the pandemic plan and an agreement with the Finance Ministry.

The increased demand for vaccines has been caused by fears of a bird flu pandemic.

The Czech Republic is to have a supply a medicines against a flu pandemic for one-fifth of the population in the first quarter of 2007. The country would thus meet the EU recommendations and the EU standard.

Chief sanitary officer Michael Vit said that 650,000 doses are already available and additional 600,000 are to arrive in near future. Next year, further 800,000 doses worth over CZK 350 million are to be purchased.

Companies will import some 765,000 doses against seasonal flu to the Czech Republic this year. Last year, Czechs almost immediately bought the whole supply, or a similar number of medicines.

According to the World Health Organisation (WHO), bird flu has claimed at least 136 lives, and the lethal virus has appeared in over 50 countries. No case of bird flu transfer to humans has been reported in the EU as yet.

Fourteen cases of birds infected by the disease occurred in the Czech Republic so far.

Experts expect another wave of bird flu to arrive in connection with the autumn migration of birds. The H5N1 strain is likely to appear especially in regions where water fowl living in the open gather.           http://www.praguemonitor.com/ctk/?story_id=w43658i20061018;story=Government-prepares-for-possible-flu-pandemic

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http://www.webwire.com/ViewPressRel.asp?aId=22310
 
 

Switzerland to purchase GSK’s H5N1 vaccine for pre-pandemic use

GlaxoSmithKline
10/18/2006 5:22:59 PM

 
 
 
 
 

Issued – Wednesday 18 October 2006, Bern, Switzerland, London, UK and Rixensart, Belgium - GlaxoSmithKline (plc) today announced that a supply contract has been signed by the Swiss Federal Office of Public Health and GlaxoSmithKline for 8 million doses of GSK’s H5N1 antigen influenza vaccine and its proprietary adjuvant for pre-pandemic use. The order provides enough doses, one per head of the entire Swiss population, to help prepare the immune system against the threat of a human influenza pandemic and is the first national programme to do so. Supply and stockpiling of the pre-pandemic vaccine is expected in early 2007 once the Swiss regulatory agency, Swissmedic, has reviewed and approved GSK’s regulatory file.

Andrew Witty, President Pharmaceuticals Europe said: “This is the first major contract that GSK has signed for its candidate H5N1 vaccine. The Swiss Government have adopted a comprehensive strategy to help protect their population. Our vaccine, which has already demonstrated strong immunogenicity at the lowest dose seen with a split cell vaccine, provides an attractive option for Governments currently considering how best to combat the threat of a flu pandemic. We continue to work with Governments across Europeon their pandemic plans and are on track to file our adjuvanted H5N1 vaccine with the European regulators by the end of 2006.”

In the event of an influenza pandemic further immunisation with a vaccine appropriate to the actual pandemic would be needed for full protection. To this end the supply contract also provides for an advance purchase agreement for 7.5 million doses of a GSK pandemic vaccine which will be manufactured once a pandemic strain is identified by the WHO.

In July GSK announced that its candidate H5N1 vaccine enabled over 80% of subjects who received 3.75µg of antigen (the lowest dose tested in the study) to demonstrate a strong immune response. Oncea pandemic has been declared by WHO and the final pandemic strain identified, it is hoped that the immunity developed in response to H5N1 vaccine will prepare the immune system against the threat of an actual pandemic virus.

The GSK H5N1 and pandemic vaccines are administered with a proprietary adjuvant, an extra ingredient in the vaccine formulation which is designed to increase the immunogenicity of the vaccine as well as potentially offering protection against variant virus strains (commonly called drift strains).

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Winter threatens with another emergency
17 Oct 2006 13:34:00 GMT

Previous | Next

Photo: Arne Grieg Riisnaes, Norwegian Church Aid, ACT International
< = ="/bin/js/article.js">
October 6, 2006

Battagram, Pakistan--On Sunday, October 8, a year will have passed since a massive t earthquake shook parts of Pakistan. The earthquake--the strongest in more than a century--killed some 80,000 people, injured at least 200,000, and left nearly 3.5 million people without shelter. Now, 12 months later, the picture remains grim for many of those affected, with less than two percent of houses in the most seriously affected areas having been rebuilt. It means that hundreds of thousands of people are preparing to endure another winter without shelter, and there is much evidence to suggest that these communities are facing another humanitarian emergency.

When the earthquake struck, the Pakistani authorities and the international community were quick to respond with lifesaving emergency aid. This assistance, combined with an unusually mild winter and few heavy snowfalls, allowed those affected by the earthquake to tackle the winter far better than was feared. Yet financial support from the international community soon dried up, and donations have fallen around US$151 million short of the UN's target for relief and rehabilitation activities.

In Mansehra, Shangla, Battagram, Kohistan and Abottabad--all districts of Pakistan's North West Frontier Province (NWFP)--where more than 570,000 houses were entirely or partially destroyed, less than two percent of the population has so far been able to rebuild their homes. Authorities estimate that 66,000 families from the mountainous districts are currently without shelter, and that these families will move to lower ground when winter sets in. They will need insulated tents, blankets, food and water. After last year's mild winter which was relatively kind to the earthquake survivors, the weather this winter is expected to be much harsher, with freezing temperatures and heavy snowfalls.

"Hundreds of thousands of people will be forced to leave their homes over the coming months. A humanitarian emergency is very probable," says Hussain Ullah, national coordinator for earthquake response activities in Pakistan, who also reports to the United Nations Development Program (UNDP).

In Balakot, four hours north of Islamabad, more than 17,000 people were killed and almost 90 percent of homes in the town itself flattened by the earthquake. Today, Balakot is a confusion of ruins and haphazard constructions of corrugated iron. In the center of what was once a flourishing trading hub, some small, provisional shops have been set up. In one of them we met a teacher, Mohammed Perwaz. He had just begun the day's lesson when the earthquake struck last year. Four of the children in his class were killed instantly as the school collapsed. He lost his own younger sister. Mohammed still works as a teacher, but lessons take place now in makeshift tents on the outskirts of town. The quake destroyed 7,669 schools, and only a small number of these have been rebuilt. "It will take 50 to 100 years before we can get back to where we were before the earthquake. Balakot is a graveyard, but we have to look to the future. For the children's sake," says Mohammed.

FEAR OF DEATH con't for more
 
  Please say a prayer or two if you do for these people .................
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Farm netting to prevent AI spread

// 19 Oct

Taiwan, an island haven for wild birds escaping harsh Siberian winters, is covering its poultry and pig farms with nets to prevent migratory birds from infecting local flocks with bird flu.

 
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Taiwan's government has allocated 1 billion New Taiwan dollars (US$30 million) toward plastic and steel netting, which will be used to cover the island's 20,000 poultry and pig farms.
Farm owners are expected to cover half of the costs, and are willing to do so because the netting will also stop birds from stealing feed.
Each September, wild birds migrate to Taiwan across Japan and Korea or over the east coast of China, which has suffered at least 14 human deaths from bird flu since 2003.
Taiwan has not reported any human cases of H5N1, but several fowl smuggled from China tested positive for the avian influenza virus last year.
Huang Kuo-chin, an Agricultural Council official in charge of quarantine, said the first farms to get the nets were those near marshes and swamps where migratory birds settle.
Taiwan has also set up 10 stations to monitor migratory birds and created an alert system to be activated if any of the birds are found to be carrying H5N1.
"Although we haven't had any confirmed bird flu cases, Taiwan is one of the Southeast Asian countries that has taken the most stringent precautionary measures," Huang said.
Taiwanese quarantine officials will visit their counterparts on the mainland later this month to track the routes of migratory birds and seek more effective measures to prevent bird flu.
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 24 2006 at 12:50am

Bird flu: a health issue for up to ten years  OuchOuch

// 24 Oct 2006

United Nations bird flu expert David Nabarro has said that bird flu is expected to remain a serious global animal health risk for up to ten years.

 
He said that the avian influenza virus was likely to linger because it can survive in certain communities of birds without symptoms, and because it appears to be spread by both migratory birds and fowl trade.
Dr Nabarro, who was speaking at UN World Headquarters in New York, said that although the virus had not spread as far as anticipated in Africa, 2006 still saw the highest number of bird flu deaths so far.
“In 2006 we did see more than 30 countries reporting outbreaks,” said Dr Nabarro , the Senior UN System Coordinator for Avian and Human Influenza.
“Unfortunately the virus continues to affect humans…and the rate of human death is still distressingly high, with Indonesia increasingly becoming the country which causes all of us… very great concern.”
Africa also poses a major challenge to curbing the disease, he said, as recurring political and economic instability and lack of funding hamstring progress.
Dr Nabarro did commend the efforts made by countries to stem the spread of the virus and expressed satisfaction at fast-track responses to past outbreaks.
“We’ve seen big efforts by the World Health Organisation (WHO) working with governments to make sure that we’ve got a containment system in place and WHO today releasing its Global Action Plan for vaccine development , so that if a pandemic does appear we’ve got a better supply of vaccines in place to deal with this,” he said.
For the latest poultry news, subscribe here Ouch  The future , the next 10 years of real uncertainty .

http://www.birdflubreakingnews.com

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 24 2006 at 5:49pm
Rumors of WHO phase 4 - seems to be one Dr's view and not official yet.
 
The Nation, a national newspaper in Thailand, is quoting Dr Kamnuan Ungchusak, the director of Thailand's Disease Control Department, Bureau of Epidemiology, as saying the bird flu virus has changed in a way as to alter the pandemic disease status from WHO's phase 3 ("Human infection(s) with a new subtype, but no human-to-human spread, or at most rare instances of spread to a close contact") to phase 4 ("Small cluster(s) with limited human-to-human transmission but spread is highly localized, suggesting that the virus is not well adapted to humans").
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 24 2006 at 5:51pm

I checked and the original posting was last year's.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 24 2006 at 8:14pm
"...Once a pandemic has been declared by WHO and the final pandemic strain identified, it is hoped that the immunity developed in response to H5N1 vaccine will prepare the immune system against the threat of an actual pandemic virus..."
...........................................................................................
 
Is this anything like... We think it could happen so...

Everyone step right up and get your swine flu vaccine.

As far as knowing the risks of either vaccine.... 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 24 2006 at 9:01pm
 
 
 
Influenza (Fluvirin)  contains...
 
Beta-propiolactone, Egg protein, Neomycin, Polymyxin B,

Polyoxyethylene 9-10 nonyl phenol (Triton N-101, octoxynol 9), Sodium

chloride, Thimerosal  (mercury conserns)

 ................................................................
octoxynol is
another spermicide option that's available on the market in the United States and Canada as a contraceptive jelly or cream (that comes in two strengths: 1 and 3 percent), but it's hard to find.
......................................................................................................................

Influenza (Fluzone)   contains...

Egg protein, Formaldehyde or formalin, Gelatin, Polyethylene glycol

p-isooctylphenyl ether (Triton X-100), Sodium chloride,

Thimerosal (mercury conserns)
.............................................................................................
 

Influenza (FluMist)  (spray in nose)

Egg protein, Gentamicin, Monosodium glutamate, Sucrose, Potassium

phosphate

.....................................................
 
Gentamicin (also gentamycin) is an aminoglycoside antibiotic, and can treat many different types of bacterial infections, particularly Gram-negative infection.
 
 
................................................................................................
 
 
Influenza (varies)  contains...

Bactopeptone    (and? mouse L cells, vero cells)

.................................................................................................
 
from Wikipedia....
 
Vero cells are cells from the Vero lineage derived from epithelial cells of kidney from African green monkey
 
 
 
.............................................................................................................
 
 
Not ok for toddlers...but ok for pregnant women.......?
 

Flu Shots for Toddlers Not Backed By Evidence, Major Study Says

Release Date:January 24, 2006, 7:55 PM US Eastern time

By Laura Kennedy, Contributing Writer
Health Behavior News Service


EXCERPT-
........................

1/25/06 3 p.m: The first paragraph has been changed; the number of children involved in the review has been corrected.

U.S. health authorities should have waited for more evidence before recommending routine flu shots for healthy toddlers, according to a new systematic review of studies involving more than a quarter of a million children worldwide.

Only a few studies of the vaccine have been conducted in children under 2 years old, and findings suggest that the injection is no better than a placebo at preventing influenza. Moreover, only one tiny study has looked specifically at the safety of flu shots in toddlers.

Based on these findings, the reviewers question whether all healthy children between 6 months and 23 months of age should receive the flu shot as recommended by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention since 2004.
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Bird Flu May Return to Europe in Coming Weeks, UN Agency Says

By Jason Gale

Oct. 25 (Bloomberg) -- Bird flu may return to Europe in the coming weeks, spread by wild ducks, swans and geese carrying the lethal virus south from their Arctic mating grounds.

Twenty-six European nations reported initial infections of the H5N1 avian influenza strain in poultry or wild birds in late 2005 and early 2006 after a severe winter in Russia and the Caucasus area pushed migratory birds south and westward. The Food and Agriculture Organization said a resurgence of H5N1 in China and Russia indicates the pattern may be repeated.

``It is possible that a similar situation could occur in the approaching weeks with the migratory movement of wild birds from their northern breeding grounds,'' the United Nations agency said in the October edition of a newsletter published on its Web site. ``Eastern Europe and Caucasus region is at particularly high risk'' because of the higher density of backyard poultry there.

Diseased birds increase the opportunities for human infection and provide chances for H5N1 to change into a form more dangerous to people. The virus is reported to have killed a person every four days this year, more than double the 2005 rate. Millions could die if H5N1 becomes easily transmissible between people, sparking a lethal pandemic.

The H5N1 virus is known to have infected 256 people in 10 countries in the past three years, killing 151 of them, the World Health Organization said on Oct. 16. Half the countries that have reported cases -- Turkey, Azerbaijan, Iraq, Egypt and Djibouti -- are outside East Asia.

China, Russia

Outbreaks in the Middle East and Europe have been linked with a variant of the H5N1 virus found at China's Qinghai Lake, where more than 6,000 wild birds died in April 2005. Infected birds were found at the nature reserve again this year, as well as in the Novosibirsk-Omsk area of Russia.

Central and Eastern Europe are crisscrossed by overlapping migration flyways, and their wetlands, rivers and shorelines provide sanctuary for wild fowl which can come into direct contact with backyard poultry, the Rome-based agency said.

Improved control measures on poultry farms in Russia and early warning systems there have helped stem the spread of H5N1, the FAO said. These measures could reduce the risk that avian flu will be reintroduced to Central and Western Europe, it said.

``Should there be outbreaks in Central and Eastern Europe, these are likely to occur later in the year than they did in 2005,'' the agency said.

A severe pandemic similar to the one that killed 50 million people in 1918 may cause global economic losses of as much as $2 trillion, the World Bank said last month. Poultry farmers in infected countries have already suffered because of outbreaks. The Washington-based bank in January estimated the cost at $10 billion in Asia alone.

`Serious Jeopardy'

Unless the virus is controlled and eradicated, the livelihoods of people raising free-range poultry flocks as a source of income and food ``will be in serious jeopardy,'' the FAO said in its Emergency Preparation Systems newsletter. ``The virus will pose a constant threat to human beings and cause serious economic losses to the poultry sector and to avian wildlife-generated tourism.''

Studies of migratory waterfowl in Asia and Europe suggest these birds may play a role in introducing avian flu, although legal or illegal trade of birds and poultry may contribute more to the disease's spread within and across regions, the FAO said.

Ducks, swans and geese harbor the highest diversity and prevalence of avian influenza viruses, and past outbreaks of highly pathogenic strains in poultry have been traced to strains originating in ducks.

To contact the reporter on this story: Jason Gale in Singapore at j.gale@bloomberg.net

Last Updated: October 25, 2006 03:45 EDT
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South Korea is on the RSOE HAVARIA Map today with Malaria Outbreaks .26/10/06..............
 

S. Korea says it will step up bird flu program

Wed Oct 25, 2006 11:28 PM BST146
 

SEOUL (Reuters) - South Korea will step up efforts to counter a potential outbreak of bird flu from migrating birds passing through the Korean peninsula in the coming months, the Agriculture Ministry said on Wednesday.

South Korea has not seen an avian influenza outbreak since early in 2004, but has mounted an anti-bird flu campaign during winter every year since.

"Bird flu has spread rapidly since late 2003 from Asia recently to Europe and Africa. We need to closely monitor possible spread of the disease," the ministry said in a statement.

"We will begin special monitoring and quarantine precautions from November to February in 2007."

Bird flu can be transmitted by migratory birds from neighboring countries that spend winter in South Korea, according to experts.

Farmers are advised to prevent their poultry from coming in contact with migrating birds and the government will strengthen inspection on poultry imports.

Last month, South Korea's government said nine people were infected with bird flu virus in late 2003 and early 2004 but none of them developed serious illnesses.

About 400,000 poultry at South Korean farms were infected by bird flu between December 2003 and March 2004, but no human cases were reported at that time.

 

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 30 2006 at 1:20am
 
 
"...But the one absolute requirement on the basis of this is, we have to get prepared for the pandemic..."
...........................................................
I am going to print off more Gov. Flyers for the library.  I hope others will do this.  Even if you just put 2 out for people to copy.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 08 2006 at 2:45pm
ECONOMY 11.09.2006 Thursday - ISTANBUL 00:39

Turkey Allocates $55 Million to Bird Flu Prevention

Wednesday, November 08, 2006
zaman.com

Turkey launched a new $55 million initiative to combat the bird flu over the next four years.

Over $34 million in funding for the Bird Flu Preparation and Prevention Project came from the World Bank through a long-term loan, with the European Union donating $12.7 million and an additional $1 million from the United States.

The Turkish government and the private sector will contribute to the project with $7 million. An advertising campaign is planned under the project as well as intensive studies over the 2006-2010 period.
http://www.zaman.com/?bl=economy&alt=&trh=20061109&hn=38073

 

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 08 2006 at 2:48pm
Japan
 

HEALTH
Gov't to compile manual on bird flu

Thursday, November 9, 2006 at 06:59 EST

TOKYO — The government plans to compile a manual by the end of the year to address a possible outbreak of a new type of bird flu-mutated human influenza, and will include measures for the dispatch of a medical team abroad to protect nationals in the event they cannot flee an affected area, officials said Wednesday.

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http://www.postcourier.com.pg/20061109/news02.htm 
 
PNG is Australia's closest neighbour ................ they also have Indonesia next door ..
 
PNG not prepared for bird flu’

PAPUA New Guinea is not prepared for an avian or bird flu outbreak.

And there is not enough public awareness and response preparedness for the threat of the bird flu and a pandemic influenza at all levels of Government, Health and Bougainville Affairs Sir Peter Barter said yesterday.

He said he was concerned about this and despite the efforts of a small number of committed senior human health and animal quarantine officers, and key UN organisations, the country was not doing enough to prepare itself to handle mass casualty, whether it be poultry or human.

The threat of avian flu in PNG was very real, Sir Peter said. He said enough “alarm bells have been sounded with offers of support by key global and regional organisations such as the WHO, FAO, APEC and SPC but PNG has not taken the necessary steps to prepare itself adequately’’.

“The NEC approved framework for Government response preparedness almost 12 months ago has not moved far enough to put the nation in the capacity required to protect itself in the event the virus is introduced either from just across the Indonesian border or brought in by migratory wild birds from Asia or even through bringing in infected live poultry from those Asian country where the disease has been so far reported.’’

Sir Peter urged all sectors and the community at large to be made aware that response preparedness so far undertaken by the Health Department and the National Quarantine Inspection Authority (NQIA) were limited and not able to launch “the massive campaign required to show what people should know about this disease and how to prevent it’’.

He said “ a limited effort’’ had been made to step up surveillance along the PNG/Indonesian border and at the international quarantine ports and “some training’’ had been undertaken with public human health and agriculture extension officers from provinces.

“Not much has been done in preparations for mass casualty, whether it is animal or human disease outbreak. The measures will include restrictions of movements of people and animals and mass destruction of poultry,’’ he said.

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