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USA 2008: The Great Depression?? |
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coyote
Admin Group Joined: April 25 2007 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 8395 |
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Posted: April 01 2008 at 3:43am |
USA 2008: The Great Depression
Food stamps are the symbol of poverty in the US. In the era of the credit crunch, a record 28 million Americans are now relying on them to survive – a sure sign the world's richest country faces economic crisis We knew things were bad on Wall Street, but on Main Street it may be worse. Startling official statistics show that as a new economic recession stalks the United States, a record number of Americans will shortly be depending on food stamps just to feed themselves and their families. Dismal projections by the Congressional Budget Office in Washington suggest that in the fiscal year starting in October, 28 million people in the US will be using government food stamps to buy essential groceries, the highest level since the food assistance programme was introduced in the 1960s. The increase – from 26.5 million in 2007 – is due partly to recent efforts to increase public awareness of the programme and also a switch from paper coupons to electronic debit cards. But above all it is the pressures being exerted on ordinary Americans by an economy that is suddenly beset by troubles. Housing foreclosures, accelerating jobs losses and fast-rising prices all add to the squeeze. Emblematic of the downturn until now has been the parades of houses seized in foreclosure all across the country, and myriad families separated from their homes. But now the crisis is starting to hit the country in its gut. Getting food on the table is a challenge many Americans are finding harder to meet. As a barometer of the country's economic health, food stamp usage may not be perfect, but can certainly tell a story. Michigan has been in its own mini-recession for years as its collapsing industrial base, particularly in the car industry, has cast more and more out of work. Now, one in eight residents of the state is on food stamps, double the level in 2000. "We have seen a dramatic increase in recent years, but we have also seen it climbing more in recent months," Maureen Sorbet, a spokeswoman for Michigan's programme, said. "It's been increasing steadily. Without the programme, some families and kids would be going without." But the trend is not restricted to the rust-belt regions. Forty states are reporting increases in applications for the stamps, actually electronic cards that are filled automatically once a month by the government and are swiped by shoppers at the till, in the 12 months from December 2006. At least six states, including Florida, Arizona and Maryland, have had a 10 per cent increase in the past year. In Rhode Island, the segment of the population on food stamps has risen by 18 per cent in two years. The food programme started 40 years ago when hunger was still a daily fact of life for many Americans. The recent switch from paper coupons to the plastic card system has helped remove some of the stigma associated with the food stamp programme. The card can be swiped as easily as a bank debit card. To qualify for the cards, Americans do not have to be exactly on the breadline. The programme is available to people whose earnings are just above the official poverty line. For Hubert Liepnieks, the card is a lifeline he could never afford to lose. Just out of prison, he sleeps in overnight shelters in Manhattan and uses the card at a Morgan Williams supermarket on East 23rd Street. Yesterday, he and his fiancée, Christine Schultz, who is in a wheelchair, shared one banana and a cup of coffee bought with the 82 cents left on it. "They should be refilling it in the next three or four days," Liepnieks says. At times, he admits, he and friends bargain with owners of the smaller grocery shops to trade the value of their cards for cash, although it is illegal. "It can be done. I get $7 back on $10." Richard Enright, the manager at this Morgan Williams, says the numbers of customers on food stamps has been steady but he expects that to rise soon. "In this location, it's still mostly old people and people who have retired from city jobs on stamps," he says. Food stamp money was designed to supplement what people could buy rather than covering all the costs of a family's groceries. But the problem now, Mr Enright says, is that soaring prices are squeezing the value of the benefits. "Last St Patrick's Day, we were selling Irish soda bread for $1.99. This year it was $2.99. Prices are just spiralling up, because of the cost of gas trucking the food into the city and because of commodity prices. People complain, but I tell them it's not my fault everything is more expensive." The US Department of Agriculture says the cost of feeding a low-income family of four has risen 6 per cent in 12 months. "The amount of food stamps per household hasn't gone up with the food costs," says Dayna Ballantyne, who runs a food bank in Des Moines, Iowa. "Our clients are finding they aren't able to purchase food like they used to." And the next monthly job numbers, to be released this Friday, are likely to show 50,000 more jobs were lost nationwide in March, and the unemployment rate is up to perhaps 5 per cent. Brit paper- The Independent By David Usborne in New York Tuesday, 1 April 2008 |
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Long time lurker since day one to Member.
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My husband says that the Great Depression can never happen again...
But I don't know I think it could. Something is wrong when on April 1 the market goes up over 300 points after just going down 300 a few days before. Scary! |
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LaRo
Valued Member Joined: March 14 2008 Status: Offline Points: 350 |
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Maybe this was an April Fools Joke from the fed.
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r we there yet?
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quietprepr
V.I.P. Member Joined: May 21 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 2495 |
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Much like pandemic flu, I hope a depression does not happen, but it is certainly possible. One major thing that accelerated the depression was people borrowing money to speculate on stocks. It drove the market to heights that were not sustainable and when the margin calls started to come in people who had borrowed money to gamble on stocks could not pay. This time its the banks that gambled. They gambled on the subprime mortgages and then the margin calls started and the multi-billion dollars losses began. They took so many different loan products with varying degrees of risk and packaged them together so many times that eventually it became impossible to tell what investments had high risk. Where I live many homes are now foreclosed and on the market for 50% less than they were 2 years ago. In a few cases I have seen drops of more than 50%. A house I sold for $405,000 in 2005 is on the market right now for $219,000 and there are no takers.
My advice is to keep prepping. If there is a depression or BF, you will be prepared just the same.
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"Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival." - W. Edwards Deming
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coyote
Admin Group Joined: April 25 2007 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 8395 |
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Exactly!
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Penham
Chief Moderator Moderator Joined: February 09 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 14913 |
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If there is a depression we would most certainly not be able to get certain items or purchase certain items, so we will need to rely on our preps that we already have on hand. I don't like the idea of being in a depression, but I will at least know that my family will not starve for at least a year, in that time veggies would have to be grown, eaten and any excess frozen or canned. I guess we are lucky here in OK, according to all our newspapers locally the housing industry is doing great here, more houses being build and sold everyday. Houses continue to be bought and sold. Of course, we have a large military population here so that probably accounts for alot of the sales. |
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quietprepr
V.I.P. Member Joined: May 21 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 2495 |
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Another issue to remember when it comes to the Great Depreession is that our population back then was far more able to provide for themselves in terms of gardening, hunting, etc. I believe that around 70% of the people then were involved in some kind of farming or agriculture, now its less than 5%. That means a depression of similar scope would have a far more devastatinfg impact on the majority of people.
Prep on!
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"Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival." - W. Edwards Deming
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coyote
Admin Group Joined: April 25 2007 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 8395 |
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Once Again, Exactly!
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coyote
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People were tougher back then,hardened. Today spoiled and not acustom to the old "back to basics" way of living..
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Turboguy
Admin Group Joined: October 27 2007 Status: Offline Points: 6079 |
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A depression today would look like Katrina everywhere without the water.
What was the single greatest problem the residents of Katrina dealt with? I say it was the lack of food and clean water. While the clean water might still be there in a depression, the food most definately would not. That's a recipe for a riot and lawlessness in every major US city.
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coyote
Admin Group Joined: April 25 2007 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 8395 |
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For the 3rd. time, EXACTLY!
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Penham
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This is so true, people back then had veggie gardens, chickens, cows for milk. I think my community will fair a bit better than a larger ciy if there is a depression. Most people around here do have gardens, alot have chickens, goats, there is a dairy right outside of town. Alot of people around here still do hunt deer and ducks and stuff like that. Most people around here still can their excess veggies and fruit every year and make their own jelly. If you think back to the Andy Griffith Show, Mayberry that is what our town is like only with some drugs and alcohol added, LOL.
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coyote
Admin Group Joined: April 25 2007 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 8395 |
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Same here! It's just getting a bit more crowded around here now. When 911 happened a lot of city folk moved up here. I lost one of my nice hunting spots due to that.
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Turboguy
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Bastards...
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ShaRenKa
Valued Member Joined: May 17 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 301 |
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Well...if both hit, the depression and pandemic? There will be plenty hunting grounds opened up for sure! Keep your guns oiled, and your arrows sharp! And keep on prepping. Right now? I'm looking for someone to roto till my space I've set aside for my garnden, I'm not 25-30 anymore and it would kill me now to turn it by hand ;P
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Sha Ren Ka
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quietprepr
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Our people have not experienced hardships like the depression. I think you are absolutely correct about riots. Food, clean water, and electricity. If any of those disappear or become unreliable...it will be absolute chaos. I try very hard to avoid complete doomsday thinking but I am more nervous than I have been in a long time. Glad I have spent the last few years prepping and reading. The knowledge I have gained from the people on this site and others will be priceless in any kind of hardship.
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"Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival." - W. Edwards Deming
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inthesticks
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Many banks closed down during the Depression, yes? So, here it is...2008, and the U.S. finds itself in the middle of a recession. Banks are being hit hard by the subprime mortgage mess. If the economy continues as it is now...I actually believe we could be heading for another Depression. Keep an eye out in the news for bank failures in 2008.
An interesting article by Jeff Faux, from The Nation: http://www.alternet.org/workplace/80729/
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coyote
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I'm looking for someone to roto till my space I've set aside for my garnden, I'm not 25-30 anymore and it would kill me now to turn it by hand ;P
Hey Sharenka, If i was your neighbor I would gladly till your garden. Then we could practice with our native american flutes! |
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Turboguy
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InTheSticks, I don't think the banks are going to start failing until some other shoe drops.
As it stands now, with oil well above $100 a barrel, we could see several of the major airlines fold or get gobbled up by their competitors. (United and Northwest is an example) An extremely large part of Minneapolis' economy is boosted by Northwest having a major hub at the airport here. With the talks of a merger between Northwest and United, who knows if they'll keep the hub here or move it to Atlanta, or wherever United has it's hubs.
Various major corporations closing down is definately not a good thing, and I think they're only the canary in the coal mine.
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quietprepr
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Good point Turbo. Watch the airlines. Aloha just folded and others are in big trouble. As larger and larger corporate entities start to feel the squeeze we will see plenty of indicators to let us know when the bottom may drop out. Remember that many corporate employees have their retirements invested in company stock (Enron, Bear Stearns) and when their stock tanks and the companies close, these people lose everything they worked their whole life for. The fat cats walk away with millions and the employees lose everything. That can cause some major unrest if it becomes more common.
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"Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival." - W. Edwards Deming
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AZMOM
Valued Member Joined: June 13 2007 Status: Offline Points: 71 |
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With the US population being close to 304 million people and almost 10% on food stamps, and a record # of people signing up every month, something has got to break. Either it's the economy or the government. We can't sustain this kind of support for very long. In the "great depression" as my grandma used to say, the people who were in rural areas, farmers and people who knew how to garden, sew, raise chickens,can etc. were the ones who faired the best. It's the old grasshopper and ant story all over again. You have to learn to work and take care of your needs and not wait for some government to do it for you. You've got to prepare for what is bound to come sooner or later.
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hachiban08
Senior Moderator Joined: December 06 2007 Location: California, USA Status: Offline Points: 15627 |
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If there was a depression, what would happen? would it just effect mainly ppl with stocks?-
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Be prepared! It may be time....^_^v
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quietprepr
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It will affect everyone. When you consider the US economy drives the world economy...it will affect nearly everyone in the world. As companies fold, their stock becomes worthless. The other side of that is that as they fold, unemployment soars. People can't get jobs....they lose their homes. They cannot pay car payments or credit card bills...this causes more companies to fold, etc, etc.
The great depression caused financial havoc world wide and the world economies were a fraction as dependant on each other as they are today. When you hear about our multi billion dollar trade deficit it sounds like an abstract concept. That is the amount of goods we buy which exceeds what we sell to others. If we suddenly cannot afford to buy these products from other countries...their economies collapse as well.
The only people who survived the great depression relatively unharmed were those who lived in rural settings and grew most of their own food (farmers).
It will definitely affect everyone.
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"Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival." - W. Edwards Deming
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Rockhound
Valued Member Joined: April 17 2007 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 150 |
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I edited myself before I posted--- most of you would not have liked it or understood (I didn't even like the way it sounded )
just imagain the worst parts of the Bible
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Will you let everbody in your house?
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In_KY
advanced Member Joined: May 28 2006 Status: Offline Points: 27 |
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When people get hungry enough they sooner or later start eating each other. It wouldn't be the first time it ever happened!
Is that what you deleted? Hey rockhound, are you a rockhound? What part of the US are you in? |
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LaRo
Valued Member Joined: March 14 2008 Status: Offline Points: 350 |
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We are a long way from a depression. We might have hyper inflation which will certainly wreck havock in the ecnonmy, but i really don't look for a depression. Most everything will work itself out, we go thru this every now and then. The government is doing everything under the sun to keep things as normal as possible. The worst times we will see in the future will be just after the new administartion takes office. Until then, we'll just muddle along.
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r we there yet?
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Turboguy
Admin Group Joined: October 27 2007 Status: Offline Points: 6079 |
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Good call Laro, though I consider a hyperinflative situation far worse than a depression.
With a Depression, sure you get the worldwide economic cascade effect of failing economies, but people can still get life's necessities. In a hyperinflative situation we won't even be able to afford the simplest things, and the cascade effect of the US economy dragging everyone else into a depression will be far worse as there is just *NO* consumer base to speak of if hyperinflation rears its ugly face. When even farmers can't afford to buy the seeds to plant in their fields, truckers can't fuel their rigs, food becomes a luxury item, and starvation in cities becomes commonplace, there's really no coming back.
Why do you think the next administration taking power will bring about economic collapse? Are you of the same opinion that I have where they're just keeping the economy propped long enough to get a Democrat in the office, then let the house of cards come crashing down so they'll take the rap?
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AZMOM
Valued Member Joined: June 13 2007 Status: Offline Points: 71 |
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Ted Turner said that with an 8 degree increase of global warming, we would resort to eating people and be like a third world country in Africa. Really he said that.
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Yes, how could you not believe Ted Turner said that! He was once married to Hanoi Jane, so that tells you how dumb he is! LOL
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nightowlmn
Valued Member Joined: May 30 2007 Location: minnesota Status: Offline Points: 103 |
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All that talk about eating people etc.... is just plain disgusting chat! |
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Make your preparations in secret. Because the hungry, are going to remember that you've stored food -- and they're going to come knocking at your door!
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LaRo
Valued Member Joined: March 14 2008 Status: Offline Points: 350 |
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The economy is very fragile at this time and we could see some very tough times ahead. Just watch the business world and you can tell in a hurry how soon things will really unwind. So far it's been kind of slow, A few Hedge Funds, Bear Sterns, some air lines going belly up, North Rock in England, A couple banks in Germany, One in Switzerland, a hedge fund in Australia, a large bank in France in deep dodo, the dollar getting ready to take a fall, the federal reserve pumping around 100 billion dollars into the economy every week. (they are doing it thru loans to wall street banks), Citicorp with a big write down, countrywide almost folding, many small loan orrigionators going under, las vegas visitors below average, people getting layed off by the thousands, actually when i put it all in writing, things don't look good at all, but I think it will be getting a lot worse.
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r we there yet?
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Calm down folks! We survived from 1975 - 1986 the worst times of unemployment since the Great Depression. We also had the oil embargo in the 70's at the same time as we had high unemployment.
We came out of that but not for 10 years. We are in for a long haul. As I keep saying, "Pay off your house, Pay off your debts, and Keep your job the best you can." Like AZMOM says it is just like the story we learned in Kindergarden about the Ants and the Grasshopper. Follow the way of the ants and you will survive. |
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Turboguy
Admin Group Joined: October 27 2007 Status: Offline Points: 6079 |
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Ted Turner is somehow now an expert of all things weather related!?! WOW!
That's like Sean Penn being an expert on Iraq.
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Rockhound
Valued Member Joined: April 17 2007 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 150 |
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Yes thats exsacly what I was thinking about.
I would like to be a rockhound, I have just not made the time for it. We live in Arvada Colorado nere I-70 and I-25.
I picked the name Rockhound when I started playing online video games namely Star Wars Galaxies, I like to craft in-game soo that means I have to go fine resorces, plants, metals, metals, bone, and hide stuff like that. so now I'm Rockhound is my alter ego lol
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Will you let everbody in your house?
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