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PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

A little concerning

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Albert View Drop Down
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Joined: April 24 2006
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    Posted: October 10 2014 at 6:43am
This one is going to be a concern very soon for N. America and Europe.   For the 1st time in history Ebola is about to reach a cold climate and colder temps outside of Africa.  Research shows that Ebola can survive on surfaces similar to influenza in the cold, which means under 32 degrees it can virtually survive on surfaces for several days, and at low enough temps, indefinitely.  All things considered, places in the U.S. like Chicago, NY, etc.... may resemble W. Africa before this is over.   I've been waiting for this event of Ebola in cold temperatures for awhile and I'm surprised health officials aren't aware of this.  

Make no mistake about it--  if we get an imported case to the East coast and elsewhere in the near future, it will not be as easily contained, and we will have to possibly hold out until next summer.   If you prep - prep for 6 months.


SURVIVAL OUTSIDE HOST: Filoviruses have been reported capable to survive for weeks in blood and can also survive on contaminated surfaces, particularly at low temperatures (4°C) Footnote 52 Footnote 61. One study could not recover any Ebolavirus from experimentally contaminated surfaces (plastic, metal or glass) at room temperature Footnote 61.  In another study, Ebolavirus dried onto glass, polymeric silicone rubber, or painted aluminum alloy is able to survive in the dark for several hours under ambient conditions (between 20 and 250C and 30–40% relative humidity) (amount of virus reduced to 37% after 15.4 hours), but is less stable than some other viral hemorrhagic fevers (Lassa) Footnote 53. When dried in tissue culture media onto glass and stored at 4 °C, Zaire ebolavirus survived for over 50 days Footnote 61. This information is based on experimental findings only and not based on observations in nature. This information is intended to be used to support local risk assessments in a laboratory setting.

A study on transmission of ebolavirus from fomites in an isolation ward concludes that the risk of transmission is low when recommended infection control guidelines for viral hemorrhagic fevers are followed Footnote 64. Infection control protocols included decontamination of floors with 0.5% bleach daily and decontamination of visibly contaminated surfaces with 0.05% bleach as necessary.

http://www.phac-aspc.gc.ca/lab-bio/res/psds-ftss/ebola-eng.php
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