Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
new coronavirus mutation was discovered in South A |
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ksc
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Posted: December 20 2020 at 12:17am |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95367 |
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DJ From [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/africa-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/901816-new-covid-19-variant-identified-in-sa-south-africa#post901917[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/africa-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/901816-new-covid-19-variant-identified-in-sa-south-africa#post901917 ; Is the new UK variant the same as the new South African variant (501Y.V2)? (DJ-Earliest report from this thread are dec 18-11.09PM (UK-Time ?) so it is in itself a new story-earliest cases showed up "a few months ago"-indicating it may be widespread. Given international airtravel did not stop the UK variant may have influenced the SA form or the other way round. But it may have been completely separated developments.) -In South Africa it is now summer, also SA has a much younger population. In the tree below, the UK variant is in green at the top. DJ-Both "variants" spread faster...SA=501.V2 Variant- see also [url]https://nextstrain.org/groups/neherlab/ncov/S.N501?c=gt-S_501,69&p=grid&r=country[/url] or https://nextstrain.org/groups/neherlab/ncov/S.N501?c=gt-S_501,69&p=grid&r=country to get a glimpse of the multitude of "variations"already existing... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Technophobe
Assistant Admin Joined: January 16 2014 Location: Scotland Status: Offline Points: 88450 |
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Everyone talks about a 'second wave', but there is no rule which says there has to be a second wave, or one that says there can't be a third, fourth, or fifth wave. Viruses mutate. The more hosts a virus has, the more mutations it gets a chance to develop. This is so basic, I can't even call it virology. This virus has many hosts - and many types of host (us, cats, mink, etc.). The usual path of a virus, is to mutate to be both more contagious and less lethal (as this then enables further spread). But there is no guarantee this will be the path taken. Because it is completely random, the next mutation could be anything. Luckily for us, this is a coronavirus - and they are slow to mutate by some viral standards. Unluckily for us, this is a coronavirus - and they have some really nasty strains already (original SARS and MERS for example). The bottom line is always the same, the more hosts the more risk. Every case in the world increases the risk to YOU by a minute amount. That is why the whole world need to be vaccinated ASAP, not just the rich among us in rich countries. The WHO told the truth for once: "No one is safe, until everyone is safe." |
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How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving. |
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KiminNM
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Thanks DJ for the Twitter link! Just followed her, and shared the thread. |
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carbon20
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The Guardian: South African Covid-19 variant has reached the UK, says Matt Hancock. |
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Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.🖖
Marcus Aurelius |
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