Click to Translate to English Click to Translate to French  Click to Translate to Spanish  Click to Translate to German  Click to Translate to Italian  Click to Translate to Japanese  Click to Translate to Chinese Simplified  Click to Translate to Korean  Click to Translate to Arabic  Click to Translate to Russian  Click to Translate to Portuguese  Click to Translate to Myanmar (Burmese)

PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
123456
Forum Home Forum Home > Main Forums > General Discussion
  New Posts New Posts RSS Feed - PT-H-IC numbers
  FAQ FAQ  Forum Search   Events   Register Register  Login Login

Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

PT-H-IC numbers

 Post Reply Post Reply
Author
Message
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 95317
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: PT-H-IC numbers
    Posted: November 20 2021 at 6:49am

Based on [url]https://sargasso.nl/de-komende-corona-crash/[/url] or https://sargasso.nl/de-komende-corona-crash/ ;

Positive Test  (PT) to Hospital (H) is 8 days - 1,7% of cases

PT to IC is 12 days - 0,35% of cases

Translation 1,000 cases (PT) today would see 17 hospital cases after 8 days, 3,5 IC cases after 12 days...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
roni3470 View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group
Avatar

Joined: August 30 2006
Location: Colorado
Status: Offline
Points: 5390
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote roni3470 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 21 2021 at 9:28am

How is that in comparison to a year ago?

NOW is the Season to Know

that Everything you Do

is Sacred
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Adviser Group
Adviser Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Online
Points: 95317
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 21 2021 at 10:01pm

roni3470-good question...the numbers I did write are based on the article...It may not even be "national guide lines" or so...Other countries may have other rules on when they take in patients for hospital/ICU care...

In NL an over 80 y/o may NOT get ICU care that often because-as far as I know-often there is not that much point...You prolong suffering...(they do get treatment, pain/fear medication etc...In some other countries age is not a criterium...in practice this often means old people dying on ICU beds...). 

[url]https://coronadashboard.government.nl/[/url] or https://coronadashboard.government.nl/ could answer your question...

The reason why I started this PT-H-IC item is we now have over 20,000 cases per day with 1/4 of the UK population...so it would be like the UK had 80,000-90,000 cases per day...

There is growing discussion on a lockdown to prevent a doomscenario...but we could be in that scenario earlier then in steps to prevent that... 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
Back to Top
 Post Reply Post Reply
  Share Topic   

Forum Jump Forum Permissions View Drop Down