Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
OK maybe there is a mutation in Turkey |
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Posted: January 12 2006 at 7:12am |
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/01 /11/AR2006011100464.html That makes for more efficient b2h transmission. |
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And it won’t get any better for quite awhile either. It’s actually only going to get worse, which is no fun, but that is the reality of the situation. The Superflu has already changed the face of our planet and it hasn’t even started yet, with regard to human relationships and contact with other mammalian life as we know it. In other words, birds and other mammals will most likely be lethal to humans and it might not get any better for a couple of years. The world has gone mad!!!! Mad I tell you!!!! LOL Anyway, get ready for the “Super-Epidemic” to now begin. The Epidemic will be the “Spark” to ignite the pandemic. Mark my words, this thing is going to explode. And soon. My guess is 2 - 3 weeks until h2h on the outside. It could really be at anytime so we have to be very careful. It might take a couple of years, but once we eventually build up our natural immunity to H5N1 viruses, this whole problem will end. If we can survive the next couple of years, life will in fact return back to normal – and birds will be singing once again. It’s going to be a journey though. |
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Albert - the only scientific fact is H5N1 maybe have mutated into a more efficient b2h flu bug. That's it and it is likely endemic in the Turkish population. So, h2h in three weeks? I'll check back with you. Did you see that video clip I posted? Good explanation on why it's hard to predict when h2h mutation would happen. |
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If I recall the same thing had happened in China they said it have mutated, but still not enough to go H2H....so is has changed since thaliand to China and now the one from China has changed and is diferent in Turkey...hummm mesa still smells a rotten chicken...
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Okay maybe it could take a month or two. Maybe never. Who knows... My formula is simple I believe that a B2H-Endemic will automatically lead to an Epidemic, It's unavoidable simply because it's B2H. And in this case, I think the Epidemic will quickly evolve to a pandemic. It seems like the obvious course in this case. So Endemic + Epidemic = Pandemic ? Epidemic will also mean phase 4. Although, it is the "Superflu", so it could bypass the epidemic stage altogether and just might go h2h and sneak up on us. Edited by Albert |
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