Global Monkeypox outbreak ?

Welcome to the site Danielle, 

That's a good question. I'm sure anyone really knows because health authorities have been caught recycling their published photos of Shingles and relabelling them as Monkeypox. But here is an article about how to catch it and what the symptoms are from a UK newspaper last week. 

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-10837201/How-catch-monkeypox-symptoms-need-know-virus.html

I still don't think monkeypox is a problem. I think it's just another thing to try and keep us all in a state of fear. It's ridiculous that the WHO have declared it a global emergency. Just think how many Covid cases there were before that was declared a pandemic.

Here in NZ we're told we should all be concerned about it because we have 2 cases. It's complete madness. 

Dutch Josh wrote: The chances of "western"monkeypox becoming like smallpox seem very limited... I think the major worry has to be the CoViD(vaccine) link...did CoViD(vaccines) cause this monkeypox outbreak...

I agree Josh. I wish they would release details of the vaccination status of the monkeypox people.

Some info on MPX; [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory did get updated...76,713 confirmed cases, including susspected cases (at least) 86,780 global cases, 166 deaths (in these statistics) DJ-Given the still high numbers there may have been some mutations making it harder to contain...People may-for now-limit risks...but also that may decrease over time...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/949085-discussion-thoughts-on-a-global-outbreak-of-monkeypox?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/949085-discussion-thoughts-on-a-global-outbreak-of-monkeypox?view=stream ;

Monkeypox cases are plummeting. Scientists are debating why
...
26 OCT 202211:35 AMBYKAI KUPFERSCHMIDT

When monkeypox cases in Europe began to decline this summer, researchers’ first question was: Is it real? Some worried that people might not be getting tested because of receding fears of the virus, coupled with strict isolation requirements for patients. “They might be reluctant to be confirmed and be told not to go out at all,” says Catherine Smallwood, monkeypox incident manager at the World Health Organization’s (WHO’s) Regional Office for Europe.

But the decline is now unmistakable. WHO Europe, which reported more than 2000 cases per week during the peak in July, is now counting about 100 cases weekly. In the Americas, the other major epicenter of the outbreak, numbers have dropped by more than half (see graphic, right). “We’re seeing a true decline,” Smallwood says.

Vaccines, behavior change among the most affected group—men who have sex with men (MSM)—and immunity after natural infection are all playing a role in that decline, says Erik Volz, an infectious disease modeler at Imperial College London, but how much each factor has contributed is unclear. “This is something we’ve debated a lot internally.”
...
In the United Kingdom, at least, vaccination campaigns have played a minor role, according to a model published as a preprint this month by Samuel Brand, an infectious disease modeler at the University of Warwick. Monkeypox’s reproductive number—the average number of new infections triggered by an infected person—began to drop by mid-June, even though campaigns only started in July, Brand notes. Several other European countries saw the same pattern.

That leaves behavior change and immunity from natural infections. A survey conducted by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention among MSM in August found about half had reduced their number of sexual contacts. As awareness of the disease increased, people also became more likely to seek diagnosis and treatment early and to avoid sex while they were infectious. The UK Health Security Agency has presented data suggesting syphilis and other sexually transmitted infections declined as well—which would bolster the case for behavior change—although that signal is “suggestive but not conclusive,” Volz says.

Immunity acquired through infections in the most sexually active men may be the biggest factor, however. Monkeypox has been affecting mostly MSM and their sexual networks because parts of those networks are densely connected, with some people having a large number of sexual contacts. Rising immunity in that group could limit the viru’s ability to spread, says Jacco Wallinga, chief epidemic modeler at the Dutch National Institute for Public Health and the Environment.
...
https://www.science.org/content/arti...e-debating-why

and ;

Translation Google

Monkey pox: the epidemic is receding but has not yet disappeared

Since mid-July, the contamination curve has fallen very sharply in Western Europe and North America. However, some countries in Central and Latin America are still experiencing an increase in the number of cases.

Article written by
franceinfo with AFP
France Televisions
Postedon 10/21/2022 08:51
Updateon 21/10/2022 09:45

"We're coming to the end, but we're not there yet." The monkey pox epidemic is in full decline, virologist Jean-Claude Manguara told AFP on Friday, October 21. With more than 70,000 cases in a hundred countries since May, "an epidemic of 'monkeypox' so important in such a short time is unheard of" , recalled this head of the environment and infectious risks unit. at the Pasteur Institute.

If since mid-July, the contamination curve has dropped very significantly in Western Europe and North America, certain countries in Central and Latin America are still experiencing an increase. In addition, at present, monkeypox is "endemic" in about ten African countries. In these areas, the epidemic, which is more lethal, stems mainly from contact with wildlife in rural areas.

"The African source remains present and, in a context where there may be population movements, we may have new exported cases and a new epidemic wave at any time" , warns Steve Ahuka Mundeke, head of the virology department at the Biomedical Research Institute of the Democratic Republic of Congo and member of an IRD-Inserm team. In recent months, "we have again seen that global strategies are only deployed when the countries of the North are affected, which does not at all clear the African health authorities ", he notes.

Behavior change and vaccination

Where the epidemic is declining, experts point to the decisive role of changing behavior within communities at risk, in particular thanks to the role "of associations, perhaps more listened to than the authorities and closer to the field" , suggests Jean- Claude Manuguerra. Surveys show that more than half of men who have sex with men have reduced their number of sexual encounters.

As for vaccination, "it has helped, but the number of vaccines available remains low" , reminds AFP Carlos Maluquer de Motes, professor of virology at the British University of Surrey. The vaccine is still recommended for prevention and post-exposure. Its clinical effectiveness is not yet supported by "hard data" , according to the European Center for Disease Prevention and Control, but it is showing positive preliminary results.

In any case, “significant uncertainties remain about the evolution of the epidemic”, underlines the European agency, which draws four scenarios. Heads: rebound of the epidemic, linked in particular to the return of risky behavior, or reduced circulation of the virus with sporadic outbreaks. Tails: persistent decline in the epidemic, even elimination of the disease in Europe.

https://www.francetvinfo.fr/sante/ma...u_5431210.html

Also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america/other-diseases-ah/south-america-monkeypox/949533-argentina-2022-monkeypox/page2#post961463[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america/other-diseases-ah/south-america-monkeypox/949533-argentina-2022-monkeypox/page2#post961463 ;

DJ If MPX would develop into more surface or aerosol spread it could become a bigger problem. Also co-infections may change both the virus as the outcome of disease.