| PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL |
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march 2023 updates |
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Dutch Josh 
Adviser Group 
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 88767 |
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 Topic: march 2023 updatesPosted: February 28 2023 at 10:51pm |
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[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/02/the-context-of-the-new-anti-china-campaign.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/02/the-context-of-the-new-anti-china-campaign.html ; After the Wall Street Journal launched its Sunday leak the New York Times and the Washington Post also jumped onto the train. The Times thankfully does better than the WSJ given the 'low confidence' expressed about the 'intelligence' a prominent position instead of hiding it deep down in its piece: Lab Leak Most Likely Caused Pandemic, Energy Dept. Says The Post is less cautious. It is putting the content into the context of some 'storied team known as Z-Division' without ever explaining what that entity is. Little-known scientific team behind new assessment on covid-19 origins The stenographers of various main stream media outlets understood the propaganda hints given to them and were eager to offer their participation in it. DJ..Lab-leak nonsense in a US anti-China propaganda war is telling a lot; -War above public health... -Main stream media "embedded" keep pushing non-sense -More non-sense should be expected.... DJ-sad part is more wars and more diseases also on their way....Governments/politics simply "don't look up" ignoring problems they can not make profits from... This pandemic is the outcome of an underlying very major political crisis...war is another "symptom" of a political disease... -[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-zika-virus-news-hungary-authorities-report-that-two-individuals-returning-after-a-holiday-trip-to-thailand-test-positive-for-zika-virus[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-zika-virus-news-hungary-authorities-report-that-two-individuals-returning-after-a-holiday-trip-to-thailand-test-positive-for-zika-virus [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zika_virus[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zika_virus ; Zika virus (ZIKV; pronounced /ˈziːkə/ or /ˈzɪkə/[3][4]) is a member of the virus family Flaviviridae.[5] It is spread by daytime-active Aedes mosquitoes, such as A. aegypti and A. albopictus.[5] Its name comes from the Ziika Forest of Uganda, where the virus was first isolated in 1947.[6] Zika virus shares a genus with the dengue, yellow fever, Japanese encephalitis, and West Nile viruses.[6] Since the 1950s, it has been known to occur within a narrow equatorial belt from Africa to Asia. From 2007 to 2016, the virus spread eastward, across the Pacific Ocean to the Americas, leading to the 2015–2016 Zika virus epidemic.[7] The infection, known as Zika fever or Zika virus disease, often causes no or only mild symptoms, similar to a very mild form of dengue fever.[5] While there is no specific treatment, paracetamol (acetaminophen) and rest may help with the symptoms.[8] As of April 2019, no vaccines have been approved for clinical use, however a number of vaccines are currently in clinical trials.[9][10][11] Zika can spread from a pregnant woman to her baby. This can result in microcephaly, severe brain malformations, and other birth defects.[12][13] Zika infections in adults may result rarely in Guillain–Barré syndrome.[14] DJ see also [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zika_virus_outbreak_timeline[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zika_virus_outbreak_timeline Zika never was gone...just out of the news... -On CoViD That Y453F mink mutation seems to be cropping up quite a lot recently. A shame we didn't shut all those mink farms when we had the chance. - Interesting Recombinants: XBB.1.12 | signature mutation: S:Y453F (mainly in Europe) XBB.1.10 | S:A852V, S:R403K (USA/Japan) XBB.1.8 | XBB.1 with an insertion S:186insSGG (Denmark) twitter.com/RajlabN/status… link [url]https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33716040/[/url] or https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33716040/ ; Here we present functional data on the cluster-five variant, which contains a mutation resulting in a Y453F residue change in the receptor-binding domain (RBD) of the spike protein. Using an ELISA-based angiotensin-converting enzyme-2/RBD inhibition assay, we show that the Y453F variant does not decrease established humoral immunity from previously infected individuals or affect the neutralizing antibody response in a vaccine mouse model based on the original Wuhan strain RBD or spike as antigens. However, biolayer interferometry analysis demonstrates that it binds the human angiotensin-converting enzyme-2 receptor with a 4-fold higher affinity than the original strain, suggesting an enhanced transmission capacity and a possible challenge for viral control. These results also indicate that the rise in the frequency of the cluster-five variant in mink farms might be a result of the fitness advantage conferred by the receptor adaptation rather than evading immune responses. A 2021 study on [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cluster_5[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cluster_5 . "Better" receptor binding when Y453F mutation is showing up in lots of new recombinations of CoViD should be alarming...(But politics only promotes war...).... -H5N1 More #H5N1 mammalian infections reported in the US The USDA has added 10 additional mammalian infections with H5N1, with the bulk of those coming from Colorado Species include bobcat, red fox, mountain lion, skunk and American Black bear. link [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/02/usda-update-on-h5n1-in-mammalian.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/02/usda-update-on-h5n1-in-mammalian.html ; With the dual caveats that many birds and mammals die in remote and difficult to access places, and are never discovered or tested - and some states appear to be more proactive in investigating outbreaks than others - we have the latest update from the USDA on wild bird die offs from H5N1, and spillover into mammalian wildlife. Since their last update 3 weeks ago, the USDA has added 10 additional mammalian infections with H5N1, with the bulk of those (n=7) coming from Colorado (note: only 9 shown in the list below). Species include bobcat (n=2), red fox (n=2 ), mountain lion (n=3 ), skunk (n=1) and American Black bear (n=2). With the lone exception of a single infected Bottlenose Dolphin in Florida, all of the reports of mammalian infection have come from the northern tier of states. - So far, unlike with SARS-CoV-2 in deer, we haven't seen signs of H5N1 transmitting efficiently in mammalian wildlife (possible, but unproven exceptions are in marine mammals). But once again, surveillance is extremely limited. DJ...again...you do NOT need human-to-human H5N1 spread to see H5N1 becoming a total disaster.... -If insects can infect mammals it may effect meat/egg/dairy production (Eggs is already a problem...) -Insect may also spread H5N1 "more effective" than H2H (Human to Human) spread can.... -DJ, I expected this year 2023 to become a "year of choices". Making the wrong choices will make this year our last year... Wars have now become a very high risk of ending life on this planet. We are in the middle of a very major climate- and health-crisis. Food production is at risk. Our financial system -debt based- is collapsing...The only "way out" is international cooperation to at least try to limit damage... My view for now is; We will NOT survive 2023....It is welcome some of "politics" now see "limits in wars"....It is very welcome lots of scientists keep doing their job...even if "politics for sale" does not welcome/defund science... We are in yet another global wave of CoViD. Long term damage is major-decrease of immune protection. Very likely worldwide over 100 million Long CoViD cases...and "politics stop testing"... We are in a slow collapse.... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 88767 |
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Posted: March 03 2023 at 10:42pm |
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DJ, Lots of news..."war news" in latest news; In my view situation worsened even further. This means inflation further will increase, healthcare will decrease... Also lots of H5N1-news...DJ-My view; likely after record number of H5N1 in birds we now see an increase in all kinds of mammals...However; -No real signals of spread M2M Mammal to Mammal -So most mammal H5N1 cases likely due to contact via infected bird (droppings) -Still we may see H5N1 becoming "easier to catch" for mammals-so also for humans... -Cambodia cases, father& daughter may have gotten H5N1 via other human (or mammal ????) different clade then infected birds in same area. -China, Indonesia also may have had some human H5N1 (isolated most ?) human H5N1 cases In the past we did see a much higher number of H5/H7 human cases but NOT with a CoViD-pandemic/massive H5N1 bird spread background. -The CoViD pandemic is far from over; DJ Politics keeps creating/worsening this disaster...[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data UK self reported cases decreasing... [url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps Excess deaths still above "the norm" -also compared to pre pandemic years excess deaths "not normal" (but it has been worse...still there may be a tendency for higher numbers end of march ?) Bolivia’s worst dengue fever crisis in 25 years Bolivia’s Ministry of Health has reported more than 11,000 cases of the disease, while 33 people have died, mostly children. DJ CoViD damages immune protection...so other diseases may get more chances. On top of that lots of (bacterial) infections may no longer be stopped by (most) anti biotics... My view; using masks, protective glasses, gloves should be more accepted at workplaces...Trying to stop infection reaching the host...Of course we should be minimizing international air travel....(but we do not..."Don't look up"...) Long Covid is associated with significantly increased risk of death, heart and lung problems "The long Covid group experienced increased mortality, with 2.8% individuals with long Covid dying compared to 1.2% of those without long Covid." link to embedded propaganda media [url]https://edition.cnn.com/2023/03/03/health/long-covid-health-consequences/index.html[/url] or https://edition.cnn.com/2023/03/03/health/long-covid-health-consequences/index.html and New preprint! Most sarbecoviruses do not use ACE2 and have never been isolated. We have shown how some can infect human cells without ACE2. Using what we have learned, we have now isolated the first ACE2-independent sarbecovirus from bat fecal samples. https://tinyurl.com/ysjtyjwj DJ link [url]https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2023.03.02.530738v1[/url] or https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2023.03.02.530738v1 ; AbstractWhile the spike proteins from SARS-CoV and SARS-CoV-2 bind to host ACE2 to infect cells, the majority of bat sarbecoviruses cannot use ACE2 from any species. Despite their discovery almost 20 years ago, ACE2-independent sarbecoviruses have never been isolated from field samples, leading to the assumption these viruses pose little risk to humans. We have previously shown how spike proteins from a small group of ACE2-independent bat sarbecoviruses may possess the ability to infect human cells in the presence of exogenous trypsin. Here, we adapted our earlier findings into a virus isolation protocol, and recovered two new ACE2-dependent viruses, RsYN2012 and RsYN2016, as well as an ACE2-independent virus, RsHuB2019. Although our stocks of RsHuB2019 rapidly acquired a tissue-culture adaption that rendered the spike protein resistant to trypsin, trypsin was still required for viral entry, suggesting limitations on the exogenous entry factors that support bat sarbecoviruses. Electron microscopy revealed ACE2-independent sarbecoviruses have a prominent spike corona and share similar morphology to other coronaviruses. Our findings demonstrate a broader zoonotic threat posed by sarbecoviruses and shed light onto the intricacies of coronavirus isolation and propagation in vitro. bad news....[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-related_coronavirus[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-related_coronavirus ; The SARSr-CoV species is a member of the genus Betacoronavirus and of the subgenus Sarbecovirus (SARS Betacoronavirus) DJ...Bats may have more corona virusses able to spread via ACE-2 receptors... absolutely love the result that L976 gives *increased cell entry* in the presence of trypsin yet *reduced viral fusion* compared to V976 -- impressively direct demonstration that fusion protein stability is favoured in harsh conditions like exogenous trypsin. So getting into a cell does not mean "fusion" cell-to-cell spread in a host... DJ claims "the pandemic is over" translated to less restrictions is more hospital spread...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 88767 |
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Posted: March 05 2023 at 4:39am |
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Maybe in short [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-4-8-million-infections,-39,000-deaths-over-27-days-in-february-2023-more-than-1000-new-sars-cov-2-sublineages-covid-19-over[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-4-8-million-infections,-39,000-deaths-over-27-days-in-february-2023-more-than-1000-new-sars-cov-2-sublineages-covid-19-over (I may not agree with the words used...but I think their view could be realistic...) Western denial of the pandemic because "fighting Russia-Iran-China" now a top priority for a western elite ? TMN warning for a mix of pandemics because of CovId destroying immunity... First suspected case of #Marburg virus in Valencia, Spain. Initial tests are negative, but more are planned. and Replying to Some speculation that the incident in Denmark reported below may also be a suspected case of #Marburg virus DJ link [url]https://ekstrabladet.dk/nyheder/samfund/mistaenker-virus-passagerer-maatte-vente-i-billund-lufthavn/9661255[/url] or https://ekstrabladet.dk/nyheder/samfund/mistaenker-virus-passagerer-maatte-vente-i-billund-lufthavn/9661255 ; A rather special surprise awaited the passengers from Amsterdam to Billund on Saturday morning. They were met by health workers wearing masks and protective suits. Over the loudspeakers it sounded that it could be a possible virus or disease that was on the flight from Amsterdam. All the passengers were held back at the luggage belts for an hour and a half before they could be allowed out into the arrivals hall. This is what 27-year-old Nanna Hougaard Hansen from Aalborg says, who was one of the passengers who had to wait more or less uncomprehendingly at the luggage belt at Billund Airport. Got almost no information After that, the passengers were given very little information. - They said very little over the loudspeaker, but that they were about to find out something. It could be a possible virus or disease. Afterwards, someone from the police came and said that it was 'totally harmless', but they did not get any more information about what was going on. - We asked several times what they suspected, it was a bit bad because you get nervous about what it could be, says Nanna Hougaard Hansen. People were lifted by health personnel Nanna Hougaard Hansen says that she saw two girls being taken away by the doctors. And when they came out there were ambulances in front of the airport. All passengers were also asked to provide their name and phone number, and then they will be called if anything happened. Which Nanna Hougaard Hansen thought was very strange, as they did not know what they could be called about. Confirms stay in operation Ekstra Bladet has also been in contact with the duty officer at South East Jutland Police, who was present. They confirm that they were present and that there were emergency doctors, but they cannot go into what the doctors actually did or why they were there. Both the Police and the PR Manager refer to the Danish Health Authority, but as they have closed the phones at the weekend, it has not been possible to get a comment. Maybe more info later on...NO info on this in NL ! Not only because of CoViD...also climate change, wars etc....Aging will be a factor as well-older people are more vulnerable for climate/health problems... [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory M-pox cases still under 100,000...but some area's seem to show an increase ? [url]https://blogs.imperial.ac.uk/imperial-medicine/2023/03/01/is-an-h5n1-bird-flu-pandemic-inevitable/[/url] or https://blogs.imperial.ac.uk/imperial-medicine/2023/03/01/is-an-h5n1-bird-flu-pandemic-inevitable/ ; Whatever the risk for humans, this H5N1 virus is not expected to go away any time soon and will likely continue to drive many endangered bird species to the edge of extinction. The longer the virus remains at high circulation the more ‘rolls of the dice’ it will have to gain the wrong combination of mutations in mammals – whether these be seals, farmed mink or humans. If anything has been learned from the COVID-19 pandemic, it’s that effective vaccines and antivirals can greatly blunt the brunt of an incoming virus. Therefore, it seems prudent to hope for the best, but prepare for the worst. DJ...public health is NOT an elite priority.... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 88767 |
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Posted: March 06 2023 at 2:47am |
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DJ, -War, short (see latest news for longer) it looks like NATO might send in "trained"forces...dressed up in Ukraine uniforms...Ukraine may have "an airforce with F35's"...a "NATO-no fly zone"...US seeking further escalation. The rest of the world -with China in a leading position- working on "answers" to US led insanity... Global health crisis; [url]https://www.indiatoday.in/india-today-insight/story/why-adenovirus-has-doctors-in-west-bengal-concerned-2340313-2023-02-27[/url] or https://www.indiatoday.in/india-today-insight/story/why-adenovirus-has-doctors-in-west-bengal-concerned-2340313-2023-02-27 ; Adenovirus causes mild cold and flu-like illness in people across all age groups, but children are highly vulnerable. Dr Amitava Nandy, virologist and professor at the Calcutta School of Tropical Medicine, said the intensity of the viral attack completely depended on the immune status of the individual. “Since it is an endemic virus, we should have developed herd immunity by now. But I suspect, Covid has wrecked our immune system; so what was a common cold and flu-causing virus is leading to complications and severity,” said Dr Nandy. “Even malaria and dengue attacks are becoming severe. High fever in chikungunya usually persists for four to five days. Now it can go on for weeks.” Dr Nandy said that since the diagnosis has mainly been presumptive and symptomatic, it cannot be said with certainty that adenovirus was the only cause of outbreak in Kolkata. “It could be the influenza virus, parainfluenza virus, rhinovirus or even a variant of Covid. The government has given instructions for Covid RTPCR testing, which will at least ensure that Covid has not struck again,” he said. DJ..."living with CoViD is dying from CoViD"...still a lot of countries go for that insanety... See also [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/03/india-media-reports-of-large-surge-in.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/03/india-media-reports-of-large-surge-in.html ; With the strong caveat that the Indian press often leans towards the sensational when it comes to coverage of influenza, and other infectious diseases - and many past stories have turned out to be overblown (see here, here, and here) - there are persistent reports of a large surge in Adenovirus infections affecting several areas of India, but most severely in West Bengal. Overnight, CNBC carried the headline (based on reporting from IANS): Other headlines from the Indian press suggest even higher numbers of pediatric fatalities, although local health departments have released far lower numbers. [url]https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1WMtzvlPqvv2o4PQEitCgoxtxlSjfqcw&ll=52.08132378084168%2C4.054336665178955&z=8[/url] or https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1WMtzvlPqvv2o4PQEitCgoxtxlSjfqcw&ll=52.08132378084168%2C4.054336665178955&z=8 a try of creating a global H5N1 map....(far from complete...If you would have to include all NL H5N1-bird cases it would cover all of NL...H5N1 in mammals -like in other countries- hardly seeing testing...must be lots of cases as well... CDC: "SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, can have lasting effects on nearly every organ and organ system of the body weeks, months, and potentially years after infection." https://cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/reporting-guidance.htm… https://cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvss/vsrg/vsrg03-508.pdf… DJ, CoViD doing a lot of damage both to immunity protection and all over the body...combining it with climate collapse and global war is a "perfect route for human self destruction".... "The Dept of Public Health confirmed that as of Friday there have been 74 recent resident COVID cases, 19 among staff members, & four residents who have died." But the pandemic's over right? If I see one more person saying "Let me see your smile!"....  https://cbsnews.com/boston/news/4-residents-dead-new-covid19-outbreak-yarmouth-nursing-home/Of course it is NOT over....again-Corona infections in animals are very hard to contain...The idea "it will be stopped by herd immunity" is anti-science ! Now from issue #1723 we got it designated XBB.1.16 .
great catch by @LongDesertTrain .
In my view it has all the numbers to become the next thing. ( or the first of the next things better saying) twitter.com/siamosolocani/… Since both testing and sequencing got defunded ("political bla-bla; it's over") we hardly know what diseases are spreading...lots of respitory issues...but also measles in some countries... Claims of Marburg (again) showing up in Europe (Spain, Denmark-in a flight from NL) are NOT confirmed... DJ, like in climate collapse, wars, I lost hope we will see an end to pandemics... I need more then coffee...may take a break... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 88767 |
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Posted: March 06 2023 at 10:07pm |
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-CoViD ; [url]https://nltimes.nl/2023/03/06/covid-19-hospitalizations-nearly-triple-month-900-patients-care[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2023/03/06/covid-19-hospitalizations-nearly-triple-month-900-patients-care ; Hospitals in the Netherlands were treating more than 900 patients with Covid-19 for the first time in nearly six months. There were 907 people hospitalized with the disease on Monday afternoon. The total has nearly tripled in four weeks with a corresponding rise in new hospitalizations. The total rose by 18 percent since Friday, equivalent to an increase of 139 patients, the LCPS said. From the early days of the coronavirus pandemic, the organization helped coordinate care between different regions, and set up a network to transfer patients from overcrowded hospitals to medical facilities in calmer areas. The current hospital total includes 48 patients in intensive care units, four more than on Friday. The other 859 patients were in regular care wards, an increase of 135 after accounting for new admissions, discharges and deaths. Combined, the patient total was at its highest point since October 19, according to data from the LCPS. Just four weeks ago, hospitals were treating 316 patients with the disease. On March 6, the LCPS said there were 17 patients in intensive care, and 299 in regular care. At that time, the hospitals were admitting an average of 58 new Covid-19 patients per day, with three sent directly to intensive care. Over the past week, hospitals admitted an average of 160 patients with Covid-19 each of the past seven days. Eleven of them were sent to an ICU each day on average. The LCPS said on Monday afternoon that Dutch hospitals took on 191 new patients with the disease in the preceding 24 hour period. That was about 19 percent higher than average. However, nine of them were sent to intensive care, slightly below average. Another NL statistic; Update van 6 maart: - virusniveau rioolwater 2.123 - 7-daags gemiddelde 2.004 - 182 nieuwe ziekenhuisopnames - 9 nieuwe IC-opnames Er liggen 1.065 mensen met COVID in het ziekenhuis, waarvan 52 op de IC. DJ, sewage/7 day average -182 new hospital cases/9ICU -on march 6 1,065 hospital CoViD cases of wich 52 at ICU...[url]https://coronadashboard.government.nl/landelijk/ziekenhuizen-en-zorg[/url] or https://coronadashboard.government.nl/landelijk/ziekenhuizen-en-zorg mid july and mid-october 2022 we did go over 1,000 hospital cases, end of march last year we had more then 2,000 NL hospital-CoViD cases... [url]https://coronadashboard.government.nl/landelijk/sterfte[/url] or https://coronadashboard.government.nl/landelijk/sterfte mortality by now is "complex"...less people die from CoViD within 4 weeks after testing positive...Excess deaths -for NL- now also "normal"...[url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps (week 7 -NL was "low excess deaths +2-4% above normal" [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data UK cases may have peaked...in general the trend is "low in number of cases is going up, peak number of cases is going down-"moving toward a flat line"...DJ-If excess deaths-corrected for age-would move towards a LONG TERM (pre-pandemic) normal maybe one could claim the acute (pandemic) phase of CoViD would be over... Most countries simply stopped testing..."we have to live with over 100 million Long CoViD cases worldwide"....denial is NEVER a solution... ------- H5N1 [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-h5n1-news-bolivia-reports-that-a-dozen-people-could-be-possibly-infected-with-h5n1-avian-flu-virus[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-h5n1-news-bolivia-reports-that-a-dozen-people-could-be-possibly-infected-with-h5n1-avian-flu-virus and [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america/h5n1-tracking-ab/bolivia-aa/968753-bolivia-bird-flu-in-wild-birds-2023[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america/h5n1-tracking-ab/bolivia-aa/968753-bolivia-bird-flu-in-wild-birds-2023 ; A dozen people who were in direct contact with chickens infected with the H5N1 avian influenza virus were quarantined in the community of Cotagaitilla, Nor Chichas province of the Department of Potosí. The most susceptible to contagion is the person who transported the rooster on public transport, but his symptoms are closely followed. Flutrackers also mentions measles showing up at several places...Adeno-virus getting children very ill in India...strepto-bacterial infections on the rise... -Are we moving out of a CoViD-crisis but into a more general global serious health crisis ? Spending hundreds of billions on more war-resulting in even more refugees...NOT stopping/limiting international air travel (free for all kinds of diseases-spreading around the globe within 24 hrs...)...simply ignoring the very major risks... DJ-I need a break...so I take a break... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 88767 |
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Posted: March 11 2023 at 9:04pm |
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I am trying to find links between [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/African_swine_fever_virus#2018-2020_African_swine_fever_panzootic[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/African_swine_fever_virus#2018-2020_African_swine_fever_panzootic (AFS) [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic (CoViD) and [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020%E2%80%932023_H5N1_outbreak[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020%E2%80%932023_H5N1_outbreak (H5N1) One of my ideas was a possible co-infection of pigs, birds with a corona-virus; jumping from pigs to humans and later on from humans to birds...resulting in pigs getting AFS, birds H5N1... However such corona co-infection is not detected.... Another idea could be "critical mass"; I try to make sense of the sequence of events; African Swine Fever, CoViD, H5N1 in birds-slowly spreading in other species... So if for CoViD an indirect bat-human link (Wuhan market as the most likely starting point for spread ?) may make most sense... Could "critical mass" explain the three events (AFS, CoViD, H5N1) ? In a triangle disease - transport - host there might be too many hosts, often in combination with too much (air)transport not to end up in these kinds of crises ? I try to look at this all from a history perspective; the Spanish Flu may have been much more an isolated global health event then CoViD is now ? If "critical mass" (too much hosts, transport) makes any sense could we expect more health crises to follow-we crossed a threshold so the health crises are the logical outcome ? Maybe related; hosts get infected all the time in many ways...most of the "interactions" do not get us ill..Sometimes a combination of infections could trigger disease ? So when two hosts are in the same environment, one gets ill the other does not -an explanation could be in having different infectious backgrounds ? (We seem to be seeing this with CoViD). DJ, Again -I am NOT a scientist, just try to make some sense... If CoViD decreases immune protection and we keep hosts and transport above a "critical mass treshold" then the global healthcrises only will get worse... Anti-biotics facing multi resistant diseases, climate collapse are other factors on top of a "mega-mix"...but in this theory reducing farm animals and transport would be tools to limit these crises... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-university-of-missouri-study-shows-that-rats-in-new-york-city-are-now-reservoirs-of-the-sars-cov-2-virus[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-university-of-missouri-study-shows-that-rats-in-new-york-city-are-now-reservoirs-of-the-sars-cov-2-virus link to [url]https://journals.asm.org/doi/10.1128/mbio.03621-22[/url] or https://journals.asm.org/doi/10.1128/mbio.03621-22 ; We also demonstrated that rats are susceptible to additional variants (i.e., Alpha, Delta, and Omicron) that have been predominant in humans and that susceptibility to infection varies by variant. Our findings highlight the reverse zoonosis of SARS-CoV-2 to urban rats and the need for further monitoring of SARS-CoV-2 in rat populations for potential secondary zoonotic transmission to humans. and [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/h5n1-news-domestic-cats-infected-with-h5n1-avian-flu-in-austria--eu-authorities-covering-up-sporadic-humans-infections-in-europe[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/h5n1-news-domestic-cats-infected-with-h5n1-avian-flu-in-austria--eu-authorities-covering-up-sporadic-humans-infections-in-europe (TMN) DJ, claims of more cats-also in Germany-did test positive for H5N1. The three Austrian (Graz) cats in a shelter shared a space with an infected chicken... DJ, both spread of CoViD variants in non-human hosts and H5N1 spread in mammals are alarming...TMN claims there is work towards a new H5N1-vaccine...(there is already a vaccine based on a 2004 Vietnam H5N1 variant). Maybe another note; We should keep our eyes wide open for other risks then CoViD and H5N1...less immunity could give lots of diseases more room... Stay safe and sane ! |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 88767 |
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Posted: March 14 2023 at 12:10am |
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DJ, march 14... The US may have worsened the $-crisis to save US banks and stocks...Without a functioning economy you can not have public healthcare... Of course the CoViD pandemic is NOT over; XBB.1.16 - "Remember Delta—it also grew from Maharashtra" - Amsterdam, random samples van en . Iets minder XBB.1.9.x dan vorige week, maar schommelingen hou je altijd bij rond de 100 samples per week. Nog geen XBB.1.16, die snel lijkt te groeien in India. Wel een BA.5.12/XBK recombinant en een EL.1. DJ, XBB.1.16 on the rise in India...XBB.1.9, all kinds of other recombinations showing up....Both CoViD and H5N1 by now could be widespread in mammals.... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-watch-out-it-might-not-even-be-xbb-1-9-1-or-the-new-xbb-1-16--sublineage-driving-the-new-onslaught-in-india-but-something-not-identified[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-watch-out-it-might-not-even-be-xbb-1-9-1-or-the-new-xbb-1-16--sublineage-driving-the-new-onslaught-in-india-but-something-not-identified ..... DJ-The brutal reality can be "we simply have no idea what is hitting us" ; India: Seasonal viruses now attacking in packs. Doctors in Kolkata have come across several cases of multiple viral infections recently, including that of a 65-year-old woman who was struck simultaneously by four different viruses. DJ, the global health crisis now is at the same level as climate collapse...extreme weather events only getting more bizarre...[url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/03/we-are-now-in-the-suicene.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/03/we-are-now-in-the-suicene.html .... Another corner; US/western global dominance collapse...The "west" did "rule the world" something like the last 500 years...Asia has replaced that "west".... One can (still) deny it...fight it with endless wars only weakening the west...If the US "goes nuclear" indeed it will "stop Asian global dominance" but also end life on this planet...The wiser choice would be accepting changes... The wiser choices in global healthcrises, climate disasters is to acknowledge them...face the facts...you do not have to like them... Life on Earth needs certain conditions...there may only be very small margins....I also believe "nature has ways to rebalance".... The problem may not be 8 billion humans on this planet...much more the way only a small group is able to do a lot of damage.... When you feel the heat of a fire it is wise to step back....Humans may be able to survive the unfolding collapse by going for damage control; -stop flying diseases around the globe.... -reduce car use, meat production.... -Educate girls...it may be the best way of "family planning" ...(of course boys also need education...) -No more investments in weapons...we are destroying ourselves already high speed in many other ways... DJ-Denial is dominant....stupidity rules....Stepping back is not getting a lot of votes....so "we will burn" because of standing to close to the fire... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
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Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 88767 |
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Posted: March 15 2023 at 12:16am |
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DJ, March 15, In latest news I put some links to articles from [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/ on H5N1 spread in the Americas. [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/h5n1-news-european-centre-for-disease-prevention-and-control-ecdc-reports-worrisome-mutations-spotted-on-circulating-h5n1-avian-flu-virus[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/h5n1-news-european-centre-for-disease-prevention-and-control-ecdc-reports-worrisome-mutations-spotted-on-circulating-h5n1-avian-flu-virus has more on H5N1 spreading to mammals, mutations, in Europe...."it is on the move".... My view-non expert-more H5N1 infected birds means H5N1 will end up in mammals eating infected birds (or their droppings etc.). So far spread between mammals has been limited... It's unusual to see infections flip back to strong growth mode so soon after a peak. XBB.1.9.1 perhaps? and COVID cases are rapidly increasing again in the UK: 9 March: 78,660 10 March: 86,678 11 March: 91,784 This winter wave is infinite. DJ, 93,173 for march 13 at [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data since there are that many new variants/recombinations it is very likely there will not be one new global dominant variant of CoViD any longer....[url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports has over 1,815 types of "Omicron"... Some variants of "Omicron" may be as different from other "Omicron" variants as Alpha was from Delta...still all named "Omicron" because "Omicron" would be the variant ending the pandemic... Calling the present pandemic "endemic phase" is just another "wordgame" politics choose to go for....Insane non-sense to claim "they have it under control" while they totally lost control of virus spread...The only thing "under control" is the lies they tell you... [url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps low excess deaths +2 to +4% NL, Germany, Portugal, moderate excess 4-7%+ in Italy... [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table has increase of cases in 77 countries...DJ...very likely we may end up in another wave in many areas... UK: Highest Covid-19 hospital admissions rate since December 29th 2022. https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare?areaType=nation&areaName=England and At least 65 million people are estimated to struggle with long COVID worldwide. Most cases occur in patients with mild acute illness. link [url]https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(23)00493-2/fulltext[/url] or https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(23)00493-2/fulltext March 11 marks 3 years since WHO declared COVID-19 to be a pandemic. While the world is determined to move on from the acute phase, at least 65 million people are estimated to struggle with long COVID, a debilitating post-infection multisystem condition with common symptoms of fatigue, shortness of breath, and cognitive dysfunction, impairing their ability to perform daily activities for several months or years. Although the majority of patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 recover within a few weeks, long COVID is estimated to occur in 10–20% of cases and affects people of all ages, including children, with most cases occurring in patients with mild acute illness. The consequence is widespread global harm to people's health, wellbeing, and livelihoods—an estimated one in ten people who develop long COVID stop working, resulting in extensive economic losses. In 2021, we called for a coordinated research and health-care agenda to tackle this new medical challenge. However, progress has been excruciatingly slow due to lack of attention and resources. DJ...there is not a clear definition of "long CoViD"....If people test positive for the virus over and over again for months they do not fall into "Long CoViD" -still in an acute phase...maybe for months...Health issues longer then 4 weeks after a positive test by now may be not that "abnormal" ...so maybe health issues 6 months after a positive test ? On the other hand, if you simply stop testing, most cases could be mild or even without symptoms at the start...may develop later on into long term issues... DJ-Some indications the virus often remains in organs in an infected host...still able to do a lot of damage...An infection is NOT a joke ! From scar-tissue in lungs, blood vessels to damage in liver, kidneys etc, increase of diabetes...on the long run long CoViD shortens lives... From the perspective of the virus NOT killing the host but using that host for further viral growth/mutations only worsening the pandemic... Immune defense often is found damaged in (long) CoViD cases...opening the door to all kinds of other diseases...Adeno-cold-virus often seen as mild may become problematic with less immunity... Study of Metformin as treatment for Long COVID: "A 42% relative decrease and 4.3% absolute decrease in the Long COVID incidence occurred in participants who received early outpatient COVID-19 treatment with metformin compared to exact-matching placebo." https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4375620 - In vitro (with blood from Covid patients taken 5 days after their positive test), but still very interesting. "Vitamin B12 favorably modulated critical inflammatory mediators" DJ, in itself welcome news...but we need to bring down CoViD spread-and we are NOT doing that... Healthcare is under pressure in many countries; sick leave could be 5-10%...instead of decent pay some "politicians" rather import HCW-ers....Inflation means health care can do less with the same amount of money... DJ-Like with climate collapse "politics" de facto is in denial of the growing health crises...making the outlook BAD !!!! |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
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Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 88767 |
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Posted: March 16 2023 at 2:48am |
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March 16, Denial of problems still get a lot of votes in NL [url]https://nltimes.nl/2023/03/16/big-winner-bbb-celebrates-election-results-coalition-somber[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2023/03/16/big-winner-bbb-celebrates-election-results-coalition-somber ...The "pro-farmer-party" in fact gets its funding from Bayer/Monsanta, fodder (cattle-food) producers, major agri-culture industry...the nitrogen problem for NL-ignored for years-may go on longer...blocking further new houses, infra structure being build... Like many other "governments" the NL one simply ignored (inter)national laws and agreements when it did not fit their (sponsor) plans...Also in NL some "freedom parties" may try to send refugees to Rwanda...like the UK is trying to do...Start a war and refuse the refugees you cause... -Of course also "pandemic/endemic" denialism...[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data UK now close to 100,000 new CoViD cases per day..."but the pandemic is over" .... H5N1 in a Harbor Porpoise in Sweden. "Although influenza A virus infections in seals have been repeatedly documented, reports in cetaceans are scarce." https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/29/4/22-1426_article DJ, [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Attenborough[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Attenborough is trying to make another series on "Wild Islands" ...since it may mention climate change the "UK conservatives" further increase pressure on the (embedded) BBC for censorship....[url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/ mentions (Ant)Arctic sea ice close to record low levels...."but it does not get votes/sponsors".... Nature: Potential recombination between SARS-CoV-2 and MERS-CoV and Potential recombination between SARS-CoV-2 and MERS-CoV: calls for the development of Pan-CoV vaccines "Coinfection of SARS-CoV-2 and MERS-CoV may result in the emergence of recombined β-CoV, SARS-CoV-3, or MERS-CoV-2" https://nature.com/articles/s41392-023-01396-6 DJ, link [url]https://www.nature.com/articles/s41392-023-01396-6[/url] or https://www.nature.com/articles/s41392-023-01396-6 ; In a recent study published in Nature, Yan and colleagues demonstrated that NeoCoV, a potential MERS-CoV ancestor in bats, can use bat ACE2 as its entry receptor and that NeoCoV S pseudotyped virus, which contains a T510F mutation in the receptor-binding domain (RBD), enters cells expressing human ACE2 (hACE2).1 The findings reveal a potential zoonotic threat that MERS-CoV could, during its evolution, be gaining the ability to use hACE2 as an entry receptor and, thus, could also coinfect ACE2-expressing cells with SARS-CoV-2. It is generally believed that sarbecoviruses, such as SARS-CoV-2 and SARS-CoV, use angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) as the entry receptor, while merbecoviruses, such as MERS-CoV, HKU4, and HKU25, utilize dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP4) as the entry receptor. Some alveolar cells and small intestinal cells in the human body can express both ACE2 and DPP4, providing an opportunity for coinfection by both SARS-CoV-2 and MERS-CoV. With an even greater span of infectivity, SARS-CoV-2 may use its alternative receptors, such as CD147, NRP1, ASGR1, KREMEN1, or AXL, to enter host cells and may coinfect with MERS-CoV in cells expressing DPP4 and one of the alternative receptors (Fig. 1a). Moreover, these β-CoVs may use identical transcriptional regulatory and conserved sequences upstream of the open reading frame to mediate discontinuous transcription of the viral genome, possibly resulting in recombination of SARS-CoV-2 and MERS-CoV. we are doing all we can to destroy life on earth.... Brunei has a decent amount of XBB.1.16 as well. It does not seem to grow as fast there as in Maharashtra and Gujarat. I think because the competition is stronger. Not so much XBB.1.5, but more XBB.1.9.1/2. The 3 of them together seem to have a similarly steep curve though. 1/2 and The 3 bring XBB.1.11(.1) down. The graph is based on 64 to 91 samples per week, which might explain the non smooth curves. A good country to keep an eye on, to see which one of the 3 turns out to be the fastest. 2/2 DJ...to expect corona-virusses to simply stop spreading is like expecting gravity not to be working when you fall....crazy ! [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/03/who-novel-flu-summary-risk-assessment.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/03/who-novel-flu-summary-risk-assessment.html ; Overnight the World Health Organization published their latest novel flu summary, which covers the period from late January to early March. Officially 6 new cases were reported (3 H5N1, 1 H5N6, 2 H9N2) under the IHR regulations, while another 4 (2 H9N2, and 2 H1N1v) from China were apparently relayed by `unofficial' channels. A recurring theme in these reports are reminders to all member nations of their obligation to report, in a timely fashion, all human infections with novel flu viruses (I've highlighted some of those passages below in red).
Six of the 10 new cases mentioned in today's report were already publicly reported (see here, here, here, and here), while details on the other 4 remain murky. This update also confirms that both the Ecuadorian H5 case in January and Vietnam's case from last November were both H5N1, although the clade of Vietnam's case has not been determined. - Over the past 3 years the COVID pandemic seems to have become an excuse for many nations not to report on novel outbreaks. The WHO often describes this diplomatically, as in their recent DON on MERS-CoV.
Regardless of the reasons, without vastly improved surveillance and prompt reporting of emerging threats, we remain incredibly vulnerable to being blindsided by the next pandemic virus. Again. DJ..."don't look up" ..... [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_mpox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_mpox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory still under 100,000 cases..."bad for tourism" very likely a major reason for not reporting M-pox cases...also wars, poverty increases.... [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table South America CoViD cases now +97%, deaths +54% ???? Peru and Ecuador did not report any cases last week...but Brazil cases also +172%...Argentina, Colombia not reporting (yet) cases this week... The US cases now just over 80,000 reported last 7 days, 847 CoViD deaths reported...again...if you do NOT test, NOT sequence...just look the other way problems only get worse... Both CoViD and H5N1 may be "out of control" in mammals....of course we will see very major problems within months.... Stupid rules ! |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group
Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 88767 |
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Posted: March 17 2023 at 4:15am |
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DJ, March 17, If provoking the Ukraine war was meant -by biden- to distract from his failing CoViD-policies as expected it only made matters worse... The US tax payer had to pay for vaccines twice...first the research-then billions of profits...The US did send over 100 billion worth of "help" to Ukraine...replacing that would cost another 300 billion.... The (US) financial crisis has some structural elements...lots of banks hold US bonds at low interest rates...To deal with that further increasing US debts that are already record high... So will "biden" go for global nuclear war as "distraction" ? Maybe my (non expert) view on the -growing- health crisis; COVID hospital admissions continue to rise with the daily average now nudged back over 1,000, more akin to recent peaks than the intervening troughs, even though the rise has been slower than previous waves. https://inews.co.uk/news/ H5N1 keeps showing up more and more in mammals... Harvard: One in five U.S. adults has or has had long COVID. Steep hike in daily cases of COVID19 in India over past few days! Avian flu found in Mongolian camels. "Our findings indicated that the potential risk of camel-origin H7N9 virus to public health is of great concern." https://journals.asm.org/doi/ Potential recombination between SARS-CoV-2 and MERS-CoV: calls for the development of Pan-CoV vaccines "Coinfection of SARS-CoV-2 and MERS-CoV may result in the emergence of recombined β-CoV, SARS-CoV-3, or MERS-CoV-2" https://nature.com/articles/ You have to put any crisis into its context -look at its background... Too many people trying to keep too many animals in combination with too many international travel during climate "change" what can you expect...? The UK CoViD-situation looks to move towards another disaster-again-...Calling it "endemic" in stead of "pandemic" does not change the crisis...only shows "politics in the hands of idiots are a disaster on their own"....[url]https://nltimes.nl/2023/03/17/bbb-biggest-party-provinces-clear-signal-voters-dutch-pm-says[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2023/03/17/bbb-biggest-party-provinces-clear-signal-voters-dutch-pm-says problem deniers are very popular...do not solve a thing... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-covid-19-news-china-reports-first-case-of-necrotizing-encephalopathy-in-infant-due-to-sars-cov-2-new-variants-changing-course[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-covid-19-news-china-reports-first-case-of-necrotizing-encephalopathy-in-infant-due-to-sars-cov-2-new-variants-changing-course DJ-I think humans have "some defenses" so CoViD may spread more easely in other animals...H5N1 is becoming a problem in mammals because of how many birds are infected...(there is some news on vaccines...[url]https://www.wur.nl/en/news-wur/show-home/two-vaccines-effective-against-bird-flu.htm[/url] or https://www.wur.nl/en/news-wur/show-home/two-vaccines-effective-against-bird-flu.htm but the H5N1 problem may no longer be in farm birds...). Denial as a strategy - don't look up- like in the movie can get us all killed.... I fear the most likely response by the west/NATO on a financial collapse may be starting World War Three...Once the risks of wars may have been limited-people may have been able to find shelter elsewhere...in the nuclear age that perspective is gone... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
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Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 88767 |
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Posted: March 17 2023 at 4:58am |
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In short As individuals, we can protect ourselves by taking simple measures: vaccinate, mask, ventilate, clean hands, stay home if unwell, test and seek treatment, share good information, help others, etc… and because we still have approx 10,000 deaths a week. Deaths reached 40,000 a week a few weeks ago. This is 10,000-40,000 too many when we can prevent them… DJ...just ignore all warnings, stop testing, defund sequencing... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
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Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 88767 |
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Posted: March 18 2023 at 1:49am |
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DJ, Is [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data "rebalancing" numbers ? March 15 over 127,000 new UK cases, march 16 over 103,000 new cases ? China: Recombination of BA.5.2.48 and BF.7.14 - China CDC calls for more surveillance and genetic sequencing esp. in immune compromised patients. First case of coinfection and genetic recombination of SARS-Cov-2 Omicron variants BA.5.2.48 and BF.7.14 https://weekly.chinacdc.cn/en/article/doi/10.46234/ccdcw2023.046 - "Phylogenetic analysis (maximum likelihood method) revealed that these two samples formed a separate branch distinct from Omicron subvariants BA.5.2.48 and BF.7.14" DJ, When you inform yourself on how hard it is to get corona in farm animals under control the insanity of how we deal with SARS-2 may become clear... I think we may see exponential growth already in the number of (sub)variants, recombinations...a lot of CoViD spread may have reached lots of animals-with MERS/SARS-2 mix just another high risk, but also...what we see now could be defined as "SARS-3, SARS-4 etc"....it has gotten far away from CoViD-19... Long CoViD; Canada: "More than 1.4 million people – or about 15 percent of adults who have contracted COVID-19 – say they experience symptoms three months or more after their initial SARS-CoV-2 virus infection" https://science.gc.ca/site/science/en/office-chief-science-advisor/initiatives-covid-19/post-covid-19-condition-canada-what-we-know-what-we-dont-know-and-framework-action - McKinsey: One billion days lost to Covid "We estimate that each case of COVID-19 - including both those diagnosed and those that do not make it into official statistics - leads to 1.0 to 1.5 days of productive work lost" Lots of economic studies indicate "saving the econonomy" (from NPI rules) may also bring very high costs... | |
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