[url]https://health-study.zoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.zoe.com/data at least trying to make a realistic estimate on CoViD cases/spread in the UK...

Jonathan Howard MD

@19joho

·

Oct 1

Immediately after vaccines came out, doctors claimed they were 100% effective against severe disease and transmission. Was the provaccine? Or pro-the-pandemic-is-over? My latest.

link; [url]https://sciencebasedmedicine.org/overhyping-vaccines-wasnt-pro-vaccine-it-was-pro-stop-worrying-about-covid/[/url] or https://sciencebasedmedicine.org/overhyping-vaccines-wasnt-pro-vaccine-it-was-pro-stop-worrying-about-covid/ ;

These statements were not pro-vaccine. They were pro-stop-worrying-about-COVID.

I fully recognize that this is all written with the benefit of hindsight, but the vaccines did not turn out to be the miracle-cure-all we hoped they would be. According to one article from KFF in November 2022:

The share of COVID-19 deaths among those who are vaccinated has risen. In fall 2021, about 3 in 10 adults dying of COVID-19 were vaccinated or boosted. But by January 2022, as we showed in an analysis posted on the Peterson-KFF Health System Tracker, about 4 in 10 deaths were vaccinated or boosted. By April 2022, the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) data show that about 6 in 10 adults dying of COVID-19 were vaccinated or boosted, and that’s remained true through at least August 2022. (Author note:  keep in mind the base rate fallacy. )

Someone who received only the first 2 mRNA vaccine doses in early 2021 might as well be unvaccinated today, and the Johnson and Johnson vaccine, is officially a historical relic, unavailable in the US. Meanwhile, the vaccine’s impact on transmission has fluctuated throughout the pandemic, but it has often been middling at best. Until better vaccines arrive, I will always mask at work.

Assurances the vaccines were “100% effective against protecting against bad outcomes for grandparent” and that they lowered the risk of transmission to “zero” were not pro-vaccine. These were pro-stop-worrying-about-COVID. At the start of 2021, these same doctors also claimed the end of the pandemic was imminent.

DJ...my impression; the "only thing that matters for politics is money"....

If we end up -in whatever country in this world- with "leaders" simply denying major problems than politics is the main problem. 

Yaneer Bar-Yam

@yaneerbaryam

·

Oct 1

COVID-19 outbreak at a New York hospital...forced leaders to reinstate a mask mandate. “We have a number of patients who were diagnosed with COVID here... universal masking is the best way to combat its spread”

DJ, Non Pharma Interventions (NPI) may -on the long run- do a better job than -at least present- vaccines....Yes-I will get another CoViD-vaccine this month ! But I have the "luxery" of limiting contacts...even when the price is social isolation....(and that is a very high price since we have been in this global healthcrisis since 2019...We may have detected a global problem in 2020...many countries did find (retrospectively) cases allready in 2019...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-spanish-study-finds-that-sars-cov-2-remodels-the-human-host-landscape-of-small-noncoding-rnas-possible-serious-health-complications[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-spanish-study-finds-that-sars-cov-2-remodels-the-human-host-landscape-of-small-noncoding-rnas-possible-serious-health-complications 

DJ...testing and reporting on CoViD may have been almost gone...Lots of indications however point to new variants increasing spread and immunity evasion...

The coming months will tell us more on how bad it will be...DJ-My non-expert view; the worst part of the global health crisis is still to come....(As always-hope to be wrong !)

[url]https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/09/obesity-is-linked-to-coronavirus-deaths-dutch-researchers-say/[/url] or https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/09/obesity-is-linked-to-coronavirus-deaths-dutch-researchers-say/ ;

Researchers from SEO Economisch Onderzoek looked at the link between lifestyle and the risk of dying of a coronavirus infection, by linking information about lifestyle to deaths before, during and after the pandemic.

During the first two years of the pandemic, 30,000 more people died than would have been expected according to statistics. The researchers found that between 70% and 100% of them were overweight at the time.

In addition, between 57% and 84% of those who were overweight were smokers or had smoked in the past.

The statistics are notable because only 30% of the population have both those characteristics, SEO said.

DJ, stress is another factor increasing health risks...There are links between stress and obesity..."fat-shaming" is making problems MUCH worse !!!

The basic rule of dealing with other people the way you would like they deal with you can make this planet a better place...

[url]https://www.gelderlander.nl/nijmegen/geen-paniek-maar-de-coronacijfers-lopen-op-dit-is-wat-we-kunnen-verwachten-en-kunnen-doen-komende-winter~ae5358e5/[/url] or https://www.gelderlander.nl/nijmegen/geen-paniek-maar-de-coronacijfers-lopen-op-dit-is-wat-we-kunnen-verwachten-en-kunnen-doen-komende-winter~ae5358e5/ (in Dutch) also in NL CoViD cases slowly increasing..."no reason for panic"....

Still 1-in-15 in NL will get the flu, risks of catching CoViD will be (much) higher. There is a risk of long CoViD. Here in NL 7,5 million (out of 18 million) can get the new vaccine...if 4 million people will go for vaccination "it would be a success"....If you have CoViD symptoms (that may look like a flu or a cold -at the start) ;

-try to limit contacts

-DIY test..if negative try another test after 48 hours...

DJ, both ventilation and masks are "problematic" in NL...

Meaghan Kall

@kallmemeg

·

9h

New paper shows the immunity you gain from a COVID-19 infection helps you fight future infections, so you clear the virus faster. We see the same following vaccination. Paper below 

DJ...however the risks for long term health issues also increase with each infection...Very likely still a lot of people die from/with CoViD...

[url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/ looking at statistics (unvaccinated) younger age groups still above the long term trend line. 

--------

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/political/h3n8-avian-flu-virus-has-strong-transmission-potential-risk-major-outbreak[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/political/h3n8-avian-flu-virus-has-strong-transmission-potential-risk-major-outbreak ;

There have been several cases of human infection with the H3N8 avian influenza virus in China, with one patient succumbing to pneumonia due to the infection in March. A recent study published in the renowned scientific journal Cell revealed that human isolates of the H3N8 virus can be transmitted through the air among ferrets. This is just one step away from breaking the barrier of inter-human transmission; thus, close monitoring is necessary.

-

DJ...also H5N1 in animals mixing with H1/H2/H3 (human) flu virus are a growing risk...

Decrease of immunity protection after catching one virus may increase the risk of catching another virus...So-my non-expert view- we could see more "Flu-Rona" co-infections (and maybe not only in humans...) 

[url]https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/10/mps-back-dedicated-clinics-for-long-covid-patients/[/url] or https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/10/mps-back-dedicated-clinics-for-long-covid-patients/ ;

Some 450,000 people are suffering from Long Covid following an infection with the virus, around 90,000 of whom are seriously disabled by the condition.

Effects include extreme tiredness, confusion and loss of concentration. The varied nature of the complaints is such that people are being sent from pillar to post, Drost said.

-

The MP said the clinics would have to be opened across the country so people could have access to them without having to travel long distances. Where the medical specialists or the money to set up the clinics would have to come from, Drost did not specify.

Apart from the clinics, ChristenUnie and GroenLinks-PvdA also want a more generous compensation package for care workers with Long Covid.

Care workers accounted for a high proportion of infections in the first wave of coronavirus in the spring of 2020, when they were exempted from many of the quarantine restrictions so they could keep working on infected wards without proper PPE.

DJ, the sad reality however is -like with ME/CVS (also very likely often post-viral disease) - lots of people here in NL will end up in poverty because of Long CoViD....

--------------

Here in NL already close to 800 farms did see [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bluetongue_disease[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bluetongue_disease ;

Bluetongue disease is a noncontagious, insect-borne, viral disease of ruminants, mainly sheep and less frequently cattle,^[1] yaks,^[2] goats, buffalo, deer, dromedaries, and antelope. It is caused by Bluetongue virus (BTV). The virus is transmitted by the midges Culicoides imicola, Culicoides variipennis, and other culicoids.

-

Bluetongue has been observed in Australia, the US, Africa, the Middle East, Asia, and Europe. An outline of the transmission cycle of BTV is illustrated in article Parasitic flies of domestic animals.

Its occurrence is seasonal in the affected Mediterranean countries, subsiding when temperatures drop and hard frosts kill the adult midge vectors.^[12] Viral survival and vector longevity is seen during milder winters.^[13] A significant contribution to the northward spread of bluetongue disease has been the ability of C. obsoletus and C.pulicaris to acquire and transmit the pathogen, both of which are spread widely throughout Europe. This is in contrast to the original C.imicola vector, which is limited to North Africa and the Mediterranean. The relatively recent novel vector has facilitated a far more rapid spread than the simple expansion of habitats north through global warming.^[14]

In August 2006, cases of bluetongue were found in the Netherlands, then Belgium, Germany, and Luxembourg.^[15][16] In 2007, the first case of bluetongue in the Czech Republic was detected in one bull near Cheb at the Czech-German border.^[17] In September 2007, the UK reported its first ever suspected case of the disease, in a Highland cow on a rare-breeds farm near Ipswich, Suffolk.^[18] Since then, the virus has spread from cattle to sheep in Britain.^[19] By October 2007, bluetongue had become a serious threat in Scandinavia and Switzerland^[20] and the first outbreak in Denmark was reported.^[21] In autumn 2008, several cases were reported in the southern Swedish provinces of Småland, Halland, and Skåne,^[22] as well as in areas of the Netherlands bordering Germany, prompting veterinary authorities in Germany to intensify controls.^[23] Norway had its first finding in February 2009, when cows at two farms in Vest-Agder in the south of Norway showed an immune response to bluetongue.^[24] Norway have since been declared free of the disease in 2011.

Although the disease is not a threat to humans, the most vulnerable common domestic ruminants in the UK are cattle, goats, and especially, sheep.

DJ, If there is fighting in your street, next door, in your house...do you try to end the fighting or "send weapons"? 

If we keep failing to solve our differences in a peacefull way we soon all could die...STOP WARS ! STOP WEAPONS !

----------

link [url]https://montreal.ctvnews.ca/up-to-10-per-cent-of-quebec-health-care-workers-affected-with-long-covid-1.6571752[/url] or https://montreal.ctvnews.ca/up-to-10-per-cent-of-quebec-health-care-workers-affected-with-long-covid-1.6571752 DJ, health care itself now is at risk....

We are now much less prepared than we ware in 2019 for any major large scale global health issue...with less money to spent, less medical staff...

and 

DJ, models indicate BA.2.86 may become the dominant variant-with subvariants (BA.2.86.1 etc ?) from the middle of this month...

Conversation

Raj Rajnarayanan

@RajlabN

Tracking #SARSCoV2 #Lineages - Globally Top lineages -#30DayTrends (#G30): EG.5.1.1  (10.9%) EG.5.1 (7.1%) FL.1.5.1  (6.3%) EG.5.1.3  (5.6%) XBB.1.16.6  (5.1%) HK.3  (4.7%) HV.1  (4.3%) XBB.1.16  (2.9%) XBB.1.16.11  (2.6%) -- BA.2.86.1  (0.5%)   https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/ConvergentLineages-VariantSoup-World/G20… 

DJ

DJ, The escalation of the NATO-BRICS wars has me making up my mind...At present we may be much to close to global warfare...

Gregory Travis. Make schools #DavosSafe

@greg_travis

·

18h

"SARS-CoV-2 is now the only respiratory virus known to directly infect blood vessels.   The study adds to the already large body of evidence that COVID-19 is nothing like 'the flu.' It is far worse"

DJ..still "politics" push for wars...desinvestments in public healthcare...

link [url]https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2052297523000914?via%3Dihub[/url] or https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2052297523000914?via%3Dihub 

Abstract

DJ...the discussion on HCQ is ongoing for years...It would be welcome if it could limit disease severity or deaths...

Cat in the Hat    reposted

Cat in the Hat   

@_CatintheHat

·

18h

THE ECONOMIC COSTS OF LONG COVID, a thread   What would your reaction be if I told you that the economic impact of Long Covid is currently estimated to be £534 BILLION? Yes, that’s BILLION with a B! That figure is about a FIFTH of the UK’s annual GDP!

DJ to "save the economy/profits" "politics" are destroying the economy...

H5N1

 and

DJ, most risks of H5N1 could be in mixing with a H1/H2/H3 flu virus...however the massive spread of H5N1 in birds and mammals does increase the risks for mutations in H5N1 itself..

"Bird Flu" is also limiting food production, less eggs and poultry...

Still these risks are ignored...