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PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
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Now tracking the new emerging South Africa Omicron Variant

pandemic breakfast

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 30 2022 at 10:28pm

DJ, 

There is an overload of "news", I try to follow several stories (pandemix, wars, climate)...

So just a short selection with a focus on health...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/952978-ba-2-sublineage-with-s-k147e-w152r-f157l-i210v-g257s-d339h-g446s-n460k-r493q-73-seq-as-of-2022-06-29-mainly-india-github[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/952978-ba-2-sublineage-with-s-k147e-w152r-f157l-i210v-g257s-d339h-g446s-n460k-r493q-73-seq-as-of-2022-06-29-mainly-india-github ;

BA.2 sublineage with S:K147E, W152R, F157L, I210V, G257S, D339H, G446S, N460K, R493Q (73 seq as of 2022-06-29, mainly India) - GitHub


Jun 21, 2022

silcn opened this issue. 23 comments


Proposal for a sublineage of BA.2
Earliest sequence: 2022-06-02 (India)
Countries detected: India (5 seq, from 3 states)

Defining mutations:
S:K147E, W152R, F157L, I210V, G257S, D339H (mutated from G339D), G446S, N460K, R493Q (reversion)
ORF1a:S1221L, P1640S, N4060S
ORF1b:G662S
E:T11A

Don't think much needs to be said to explain why I'm proposing this. Very recent, long branch with 9 new spike mutations, detection in multiple states that aren't all close together (Maharashtra, Karnataka, Jammu and Kashmir). I expect quite a few people have been monitoring it

... We've added lineage BA.2.75 with 3 newly designated sequences. Defining mutation(s) A22001G (S:K147E), T22016C (S:W152R).

... Among the 20 new BA.2.75 uploads from Maharashtra today is an apparent outlier sequence, EPI_ISL_13502528, which has S:147E, 210V, 257S, 339H, 493Q and ORF1a:1221L but is missing the other defining mutations and instead has some more of its own (none in Spike though). It is classified as BA.2 rather than BA.2.75 by Usher. If this spreads then it could potentially deserve a separate designation

https://github.com/cov-lineages/pang...ion/issues/773

DJ, june 21..short look at [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/ global cases +17% as far as there is still some testing/reporting...deaths +2%. India cases +13%, deaths +35%...[url]https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/812[/url] or https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/812

Inspired by #806 I'm to propose another BA.2 sublineage with Spike Y248 change.

It is a sub-branch of an undesignated BA.2 branch with Spike N450D and Nuc C16887T, predominantly found in the US.

DJ, BA.5/BA.5.1 may be increasing...it does not stop BA.2 subvariants....

Again-I am NOT an expert...calling all new variants "Omicron" is a form of denial...BA.2 and BA.5 are "different animals" most likely can spread BOTH !!! The idea of one new variant getting that dominant it pushes aside all previous variants is "very optimistic"...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/952977-coronavirus-and-paramyxovirus-shedding-by-bats-in-a-cave-and-buildings-in-ethiopia-pubmed-gov[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/952977-coronavirus-and-paramyxovirus-shedding-by-bats-in-a-cave-and-buildings-in-ethiopia-pubmed-gov ; Between 2016 and 2018, four species of insectivorous bats from a readily accessed roadside cave and buildings in Ethiopia were sampled and tested for viruses using consensus PCR assays for five viral families/genera. 

Previously identified and novel coronaviruses and paramyxoviruses were identified in 99 of the 589 sampled bats. 

Bats sampled from the cave site were more likely to test positive for a CoV than bats sampled from buildings; viral shedding was more common in the wet season; and rectal swabs were the most common sample type to test positive.

 A previously undescribed alphacoronavirus was detected in two bat species from different taxonomic families, sampling interfaces, geographic locations, and years. 

These findings expand knowledge of the range and diversity of coronaviruses and paramyxoviruses in insectivorous bats in Ethiopia and reinforce that an improved understanding of viral diversity and species-specific shedding dynamics is important for designing informed zoonotic disease surveillance and spillover risk reduction efforts.

https://link.springer.com/article/10...93-022-01590-y

DJ, So how large is the chance of another MERS/SARS-3 corona virus outbreak ? (I do not rule out "lab-leaks" but you do not need lab-leaks to see a pandemic...Lab-leak stories are "the easy way out"...blame some country - problem fixed...I think that is not very realistic...). 

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/denmark/denmark-covid-cases-up-27-in-one-week-hospitalizations-up-by-45/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/denmark/denmark-covid-cases-up-27-in-one-week-hospitalizations-up-by-45/

New COVID-19 cases increased by 27%, hospitalizations increased by 45%, and the incidence has risen to 178 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. BA.5 variant is at approximately 70% of sequences.

The number of hospitalizations has increased by 45% in week 25 and patients in age groups 70-89 years constitute the largest groups among the hospitalized. Meanwhile, the proportion of patients admitted because of COVID-19 has increased further to 60% in week 23.

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/germany/germany-covid-cases-up-by-38-in-one-week/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/germany/germany-covid-cases-up-by-38-in-one-week/

The nationwide 7-day incidence increased in week 25 compared to the previous week by almost 155,000 cases (+38%). The proportion of the omicron subvariant BA.5 was almost 66% in week 24.

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/tigers/usa-14-year-old-tiger-dies-of-covid-19-in-ohio-zoo/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/tigers/usa-14-year-old-tiger-dies-of-covid-19-in-ohio-zoo/

“We are sad to report that 14-year-old Amur tiger, Jupiter, passed away on Sunday, June 26, 2022, after developing pneumonia caused by the COVID-19 virus.”

Jupiter had been on long term treatment for chronic underlying illnesses, which made him more susceptible to this virus. Jupiter is the first animal at the Columbus Zoo to succumb to COVID-19.

On Wednesday, June 22, Jupiter was reported by his care team to be acting ill. (He was not interested in eating, and was reluctant to stand, move or interact with keepers.) When this continued into the next day, Jupiter was anesthetized for examination and treatment.

Initial exams suggested an infection, and treatment was started. Unfortunately, Jupiter did not improve with this treatment and remained reluctant to move and eat. The following day, he was given additional treatments and had more diagnostic testing. Although he appeared stable, Jupiter passed away overnight.

As a precautionary measure, we are requiring staff working with cats, great apes and mustelids (i.e., otters, wolverines) to wear masks when within six feet of these animals. These animals are more susceptible to contracting COVID-19.

DJ related to the tiger story [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/usa-covid-vaccine-breakthrough-in-three-tigers/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/animals/usa-covid-vaccine-breakthrough-in-three-tigers/ the tiger that died was vaccinated...Not clear what variant was detected in the tiger...

Again stories like [url]https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/coronavirus/top-ny-doctor-new-covid-wave-is-starting-with-the-worst-version-of-omicron/3752858/[/url] or https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/coronavirus/top-ny-doctor-new-covid-wave-is-starting-with-the-worst-version-of-omicron/3752858/The BA.5 subvariant, first seen in South Africa and then Portugal, is considered by some experts to be the "worst version" of omicron seen yet, given its apparent capacity to escape prior immunity and transmit more readily.

is incorrect in many ways;

-"worst version" so far...

-There are lots of BA.5 subvariants by now...

-BA.2 subvariants are also "a major problem"

-Most likely several variants are now spreading at the same time..

-"Omicron" is a "political name" BA.2 and BA.5 are like rhino's and elephants-that different (but "Omicron" "would end the pandemic")

-BA.5 has been spreading in the US for several weeks..(so not "starting")

to describe the total failure of "main stream media" in getting even the basics of this pandemic...

(DJ-I am not that clever, but at least I try to think...do most "journalists" simply copy any pressrelease...?)

#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates  TOP lineages (15-DAY TRENDS): 42.18% BA.2.12.1**, 25.49% BA.5^^, 12.44% BA.4^^, 7.05% BA.2, 5.04% BA.5.1^^, 3.79% unassigned and 0.86% BA.2.9 **S:L452Q; ^^S:L452R/F486V Tracker: http://tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7  #OmicronUpdates 6/30/22

DJ "the start" of BA.5 in the US ! Science has been following BA.5 increase for weeks...MSM still see it as "a start"...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/australia-covid-19-news:-country-facing-a-sars-cov-2-crisis-while-health-authorities-and-mainstream-media-are-downplaying-or-concealing-real-situation[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/australia-covid-19-news:-country-facing-a-sars-cov-2-crisis-while-health-authorities-and-mainstream-media-are-downplaying-or-concealing-real-situation 

Of course "politics"/"government" has a job in securing public health...if they fail the idea was "free press" would correct that...But maybe that is just an "old idea".....

From NL [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/06/28/covid-hospital-patient-total-jumps-17-percent-new-infections-rise-29-percent[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/06/28/covid-hospital-patient-total-jumps-17-percent-new-infections-rise-29-percent 

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/06/29/many-healthcare-workers-never-got-covid-booster-shots[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/06/29/many-healthcare-workers-never-got-covid-booster-shots 

"learning the hard way"...

Coffee !

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 30 2022 at 10:53pm

part 2, 

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwQp3Yc82ak[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwQp3Yc82ak

BREAKING! COVID rates approaching highest ever recorded

ZOE tracker-app/Tim Spector;Tim's back a week early with a special update on the recent skyrocketing COVID rates, many of these down to reinfections.

DJ [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time 

In short;

-cases in agegroup 0-17 going up fastest

-Scotland highest increase (over 1 in 20 may have CoViD !)

-Hospitalcases going up

-ONS (Office of National Statistics) numbers going same direction

(as a reminder; bojo stopped funding ZOE; If I am correct the people behind it now pay for it themselves...)

DJ-I do not agree with the picture of BA.5 pushing out BA.2...I think we may see co-spreading..Reinfection cases going up could "simply" be co-infection with several CoViD variants/recombinations....????

In "official statistics" UK, US, NL, Spain see "slow increase", France, Germany etc. see cases going up much faster...But these numbers are based on (lack of) testing...And if testing is "poor" forget about sequencing giving a realistic picture (I am not going to start on spread in animals...very unwelcome...so rather not tested...). 

dr.john campbell did watch Tim Spector [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s6JDX2ULPPA[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s6JDX2ULPPA (I am not a fan of dr.j.c. I think he is downplaying the crisis).

Of course if lots of health care workers get infected/get long CoViD one should expect health care to collapse...

DJ-As far as I understand still a lot of people doing their best in sharing info via ZOE...IF a larger number of people would have given up the UK cases could be at record level allready...Since most governments do nothing to stop the spread-lots of festivals are planned-cases will further increase...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-forget-about-airborne-transmissions,-university-of-edinburgh-study-shows-that-sars-cov-2-can-even-be-transmitted-by-winds[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-forget-about-airborne-transmissions,-university-of-edinburgh-study-shows-that-sars-cov-2-can-even-be-transmitted-by-winds DJ-We knew it was airborne...but with new variants being even more infectious the problem only is getting worse...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/pride-month-2022-ends-with-gays-bisexuals-spreading-the-monkeypox-virus-to-the-vulnerable-in-the-general-population,-creating-an-emergency-global-heal[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/pride-month-2022-ends-with-gays-bisexuals-spreading-the-monkeypox-virus-to-the-vulnerable-in-the-general-population,-creating-an-emergency-global-heal th crisis!

DJ-I think a lot of the spread still may be in the gay/bi-male community - resulting in further mutations...But soon most of the spread will have no further relation with gay/bi-men...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/950807-discussion-genetics-monkeypox-virus-has-managed-50-years-worth-of-mutations-in-only-4-years-how[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/950807-discussion-genetics-monkeypox-virus-has-managed-50-years-worth-of-mutations-in-only-4-years-how ;

1 day ago
By Ben Turner

The virus is mutating up to 12 times faster than expected.

... As a large double-stranded DNA virus, monkeypox is much more able to correct replication errors than an RNA virus such as HIV, meaning that the current monkeypox strain should have really only accumulated a handful of mutations since it first started circulating in 2018. But, after collecting DNA from 15 monkeypox viral samples and reconstructing their genetic information, the researchers found that the real mutation rate was six to 12 times higher than they expected.

The massive jump in the monkey virus's rate of mutation "is far more than one would expect considering previous estimates of the substitution rate for Orthopoxviruses," the researchers wrote in the paper. "Our data reveals additional clues of ongoing viral evolution and potential human adaptation."

Historically, monkeypox is transmitted from person to person by close skin contact with open skin lesions, bodily fluids, contaminated material or respiratory droplets coughed into the air. But the unprecedented speed of new infections could suggest that something may have changed about how the virus infects its hosts — and the new mutations could be a possible cause.

Many of the mutations identified by the researchers also carry telltale clues that they may have emerged due to the virus's contact with the human immune system, specifically a family of the virus-fighting enzymes called APOBEC3. These enzymes attack viruses by forcing them to make mistakes when they copy their genetic code, an act which usually causes the virus to break apart.

https://www.livescience.com/monkeypox-mutating-fast

DJ I try to understand the possible link between (post) CoViD (immunity problems)  and monkeypox behaving this strange...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory cases now over 6,000 with major failures in both testing and reporting....

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/935609-discussion-thread-vii-covid-19-endemic-stage?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/935609-discussion-thread-vii-covid-19-endemic-stage?view=stream ;

gsgs
gsgs replied
we must all prepare to go like China, when a severe pandemic comes.
Make the necessary laws and preparations now.
It's important.
But unpopular ...

and

sharon sanders
rant -

I am really tired of philosophy looking for some evidence instead of evidence leading the way.

Lately there is the meme that children do not get COVID-19. This is ridiculous. Of course they do. They tend to have light cases and represent approximately .00125% of all COVID-19 deaths in the US at 1,267 deaths as of June 2, 2022. link

The reason this meme is so popular is that it supports the idea that children do not need COVID-19 vaccines. i.e. forced mandates on children.

These are two different topics: the infectious rate among children, the forced vaccination of anyone.

Do not conflate these two topics. The minute I hear an expert claim children do not get COVID-19, I turn off. It is clear they have an agenda and not interested in basic biology and virology.

Even the W.H.O. says people should not be forced to take medicines against their will. Parents have the right to decide for their underage children. Schools have the right to make their own rules. If a parent does not want to get a particular vaccine for their child to attend a school that requires it, then they can home school or find a school that accepts unvaccinated children.

Also, irritating are the claims that new vaccines are safe. Well...until vaccines are distributed on a mass scale, no one knows for sure. Tiny trials are no match against the knowledge gained from mass innoculations. The rhetoric should be "The vaccine is new but in small trials it appears to be safe and effective. We won't know for sure until many thousands of doses are given over a longer period of time." Also, ALL vaccine data should be released BEFORE the mass distributions are made. wth. No wonder "conspiracy" theories about the vaccines abound. It is sorta "shut up and take this vaccine" type of climate - which only feeds the anti-vaccine industry more.

In the end you have to consider all of the data. Read extensively. Poll your friends and family. Contact your medical practitioner. Use your common sense.

rant over.


Take care of you. No one else is going to do it.
Last edited by sharon sandersJune 29, 2022, 01:09 PM.

DJ; Again-in this pandemic we see a lot of "solutions" of the kind we also see in the climate collapse discussion...I would love to see children do not get (serious/long) CoViD...maybe they have a bit better perspective then old(er) people...but lots of children die of (post)CoViD (MIS-c)...I would love the idea that vaccines are safe and would end the pandemic...but if the "strategy" is "get the vaccine" and that is it the strategy is calling for a disaster/vaccine evasion....

DJ; In the climate discussion "some" claim we may face a climate collapse within 10-15 years...from foodshortages, waterproblems to heat exhaustion...I hope they are wrong-we may have some more time...But recent steps; increasing coal-energy, stopping climate rules do not leave much room for lots of hope...

In this pandemic discussion I would like to see an "exit strategy"...but there seems to be not such a strategy-or even a basic idea that we need one...

War; [url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/06/no-nato-will-not-get-ready-for-war.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/06/no-nato-will-not-get-ready-for-war.html all of a sudden lots of military "would form a rapid response NATO force"...maybe someone should inform them...creative bookkeeping insanity...

[url]http://thesaker.is/youre-either-with-us-or-youre-a-systemic-challenge/[/url] or http://thesaker.is/youre-either-with-us-or-youre-a-systemic-challenge/ ;

Illiberal Western liberalism

Over 4 months after the start of Operation Z, zombified Western public opinion completely forgot – or willfully ignores – that Moscow spent the last stretch of 2021 demanding a serious discussion on legally binding security guarantees from Washington, with an emphasis on no more NATO eastward expansion and a return to the 1997 status quo.

Diplomacy did fail, as Washington emitted a non-response response. President Putin had stressed the follow-up would be a “military technical” response (that turned out to be Operation Z) even as the Americans warned that would trigger massive sanctions.

Contrary to Divide and Rule wishful thinking, what happened after February 24 only solidified the synergistic Russia-China strategic partnership – and their expanded circle, especially in the context of BRICS and the SCO. As Sergey Karaganov, head of Russia’s Council on Foreign and Defense Policy noted earlier this year, “China is our strategic cushion (…) We know that in any difficult situation, we can lean on it for military, political and economic support.”

DJ, The west gambled "lifting restrictions" would end up in herd immunity for CoViD-against science...The west gambled "sanctions" could enable NATO expansionism...

The west is ruled by gambling....and they make the wrong gamble each time...ignoring science...buying time with fiat-currencies and plain lies....

end of part 2


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 01 2022 at 9:27pm

good morning all (okay the few still following this forum...okay...I am akmost alone still active here...still; morning !)

DJ, 

War;

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/breaking-news-lisichansk-now-completely-surrounded[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/breaking-news-lisichansk-now-completely-surrounded ;

Let me state the difference in another way. Total U.S. killed in action in World War II in both the European, North African and Pacific Theaters totaled 472,000. The Russians lost more troops in four separate battles than the United States lost in the entire war.”

The Russian people did not fight because Stalin had a gun pointed at their back. They rallied in a remarkable way against the Nazi invasion. Most military analysts at the time predicted the Soviet Union would collapse under the weight of the Nazi steamroller. The Russian people defied those expectations and rallied to defeat the best of the German armies.

The horrific death toll touched almost every family in Russia. That is why the Russians still remember and commemorate that sacrifice every May. It has nothing to do with communism. World War II scarred the Russians to the bone. That is the primary reason that Vladimir Putin enjoys widespread public support in taking on the threat from Ukraine. Ukraine has been a de facto NATO ally since 2014.

The United States and NATO are grossly mistaken if they believe that flexing military muscle by deploying troops on Russia’s borders will cow the Russian people. This perceived threat goes beyond Putin. It is something most Russians see and fear. My hope is that once the American people appreciate the legitimate paranoia of the Russians, they will reject calls to treat Russia as an intractable enemy.

DJ, I totally disagree with lots of HT right wing extremist ideas...but if his suggestion in the NATO-Russia war is "diplomacy works better-for all" I only can agree....[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-adds-wheat-to-rubles-only-payment[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-adds-wheat-to-rubles-only-payment DJ-In my opinion a country can offer its products at the price, currency etc. they choose...others can decide what price-and what currency-they want to use...

Turkey, India try to support their own currencies-Russia willing to accept that...part of increasing trade with India, Turkey taking over "bussiness oppertunities" the "west" dropped...

DJ-Let me jump from "war" to "pandemic";

Sanctions did make Russia stronger-not weaker...vaccines did cause immunity escape in CoViD now resulting in immunity problems and lots of other diseases ?????

It is a question...Again I am NOT !!!! an expert at all !!!!

My (primitive) idea on infectious diseases is "STOP THE SPREAD !!!!"....vaccines did not stop CoViD spreading....Governments went for "freedom"  unwilling to even consider the science warning it would most be "freedom for disease spread".....

So [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time has CoViD in the UK moving to record high levels...not there yet-but with lots of activities, festivals, travel, nothing is stopping it...

-I am trying to keep an eye on [url]https://twitter.com/PeacockFlu/status/1542501382678147072[/url] or https://twitter.com/PeacockFlu/status/1542501382678147072 ;

Surveillence minded folks - worth keeping a close eye on BA.2.75 - lots of spike mutations, probable second generation variant, apparent rapid growth and wide geographical spread...

Spike mutation-wise its got normal BA.2 mutations + K147E, W152R, F157L, I210V, G257S, G339H, G446S, N460K and reversion of R493Q - none of these individually really flag as that worrying but all appearing together at once is another matter...

...and an old thread on 'what second generation variants are' here - didnt really talk about this at the time but theres now a growing consensus that these could be arising from chronic infections

The general idea -wrong I believe- there is "a dominant variant"...of course when you agree with "Omicron" is dominant my answer is "Omicron did become another name for CoViD"....BA.1, BA.2, BA.4 and BA.5 are "different" variants of concern...If you do not want to go for "new names" (WHO decides on that ?)  maybe "Omicron-I, Omicron-II, Omicron-III and Omicron-IV ? (BA.3 is a recombination of BA.1 and BA.2...other recombination may have limited spread-still may produce mutations that go their own way...). 

So-my NON EXPERT !!! view-is we have several major variants of CoViD spreading...they will keep co-circulating...possibly lots of people catching more then one (sub)variant in a short while...Do tests detect such an event ? Do sewage/stool samples give indications in that direction ????

#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates  TOP lineages (15-DAY TRENDS): 42.18% BA.2.12.1**, 25.49% BA.5^^, 12.44% BA.4^^, 7.05% BA.2, 5.04% BA.5.1^^, 3.79% unassigned and 0.86% BA.2.9 **S:L452Q; ^^S:L452R/F486V Tracker: http://tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7  #OmicronUpdates 6/30/22

DJ, US has 30,6% of sequences being BA.5 and BA.5.1...most detected/sequenced US cases still BA.2.12.1 the "new"BA2.75 may be still at low level in the US...

But the most detected variant is not on its way out...it is mutating...could be in "hosts" organs...Indications are in autopsies from people that die (indirect from CoViD often) "older" variants are found in organs...

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-2-75/omicron-ba-2-75-a-potential-successor-to-ba-5/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-2-75/omicron-ba-2-75-a-potential-successor-to-ba-5/

There’s another Covid storm looming on the horizon as a new subvariant of Omicron BA.2 appears to be carrying mutations that make it even fitter than BA.5.

The subvariant has very few sequences so far, just 73 were listed on Gisaid at the time of writing, but it has already caught the attention of several leading SARS-CoV-2 investigators, so it’s worth noting.

It looks like BA.2.75 may have the potential to be the driving force for the next SARS-CoV-2 winter wave.

DJ, NO !! Not a "successor" much more another leaf on the ever growing "CoViD tree"...[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/warning-the-ba-5-variant-is-leading-a-global-surge-and-be-warned-its-not-going-to-be-mild[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/warning-the-ba-5-variant-is-leading-a-global-surge-and-be-warned-its-not-going-to-be-mild ....

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-india-that-spawned-the-deadly-sars-cov-2-delta-variant-does-it-again-with-a-new-more-transmissible-and-lethal-variant-ba-2-75[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-india-that-spawned-the-deadly-sars-cov-2-delta-variant-does-it-again-with-a-new-more-transmissible-and-lethal-variant-ba-2-75 

DJ-Replace BA.5 with "lion" and BA.2.75 with "tiger"...will "lions replace tigers" ? NO !!! They co-exist ! (But in CoViD variants "animals" only last a few generations before they mutate-away-sort of "transformers"). 

-So "where are we now" ? 

At the moment we are NOT stopping much of the spread...liars promote "herd immunity"...when there is not such a thing...it is NOT a flu !!!!

"Zero CoViD", "STOP THE SPREAD¨ !!!! in my (again non-expert !!!) opinion is the ONLY way out....Of course new (nasal) vaccines, (better) anti virals also are "welcome" and may have some use (in a.o keeping healthcare workers, police etc. going)...

I have been promoting a "long term sort of lockdown" for years...still believe that (very old) strategy is the only one making enough sense...Putting profit/greed above public health is criminal and "short sighted"....

We need "social reforms" in many ways...But it looks like this pandemic is going like "climate change"; "live with it" so a few can make a profit...while it is destroying live on the longer term...

To avoid "social uprising" against this political crimes our "leaders" started yet another war...Bringing "freedom and democrazy" to Russian oil and gas...

Disgusting...

Coffee !

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tabitha111 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 02 2022 at 4:51am

Josh- Your "pandemic breakfast" is part of my morning routine with a cup of coffee. Thanks for keeping us updated.

'A man who does not think and plan long ahead will find trouble right at his door.'
--Confucius

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 02 2022 at 10:13pm

Tabitha111 - you are very welcome !

Breakfast - not only coffee but also some crackers with chocolate sprinkles...an orange..In a way coffee and chocolate as a reminder of a colonial past...Oranges-EU-from Spain...I often buy oranges in a German chain supermarket (Lidl) - but just over the border oranges may be even 1 € cheaper in German stores....

War & pandemics...in history often mix...

Military summary [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o2CPyLQV4u0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o2CPyLQV4u0 describing the war in Ukraine...How Russian strategy work like scissors cutting up Ukraine step-by-step...totally different then we did see in the many western wars...Russia now using "super flame throwers" to limit urban fighting in strongholds...

War is about the worst of humankind...Maybe denial of how horrorble it is is even worse....

[url]https://twitter.com/yaneerbaryam[/url] or https://twitter.com/yaneerbaryam is focussing on monkeypox...Of course it is a major story-would be headline news in other times- but I think CoViD itself needs much more attention...








This woman’s story is painful to listen to. Multiple doctors completely unfamiliar with monkeypox, sent in circles for 5 days, unable to convince anyone to test her… Why haven’t clinicians been instructed to swab *every* pustule, vesicles and ulcer by the CDC/PHAC/UKHSA/etc?

Of course "less testing=less cases" is a "smaller problem"....

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/01/police-break-doctors-protest-parliament-cabinet-looking-work-pressure-solutions[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/01/police-break-doctors-protest-parliament-cabinet-looking-work-pressure-solutions 

and 

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/01/cabinet-ignoring-safety-boards-covid-advice-chairman-says[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/01/cabinet-ignoring-safety-boards-covid-advice-chairman-says 

indicating lots of countries facing politics simply denying/ignoring problems...Kicking the can down the road has made democracy into democrazy...Silencing opposition is the next step....

Replying to   and 
So is it more important to spotlight misinformation spreading that indicates reinfections are very harmful or go after misinformation indicating reinfections are very unlikely and generally harmless? I think in terms of problematic behavior and policy its the latter.

DJ Sharing info is why I think this forum (and others) have value...And yes ! I "only share my opinion" - I do not claim to be an "expert" ! 

AI sharing links on vaccines not being safe has its value as well - My view on this pandemic is "profit above public health"; neo-liberal "privatize everything" from wars to pandemics....insane !

But it is just my opinion - nothing more !

These infections will inevitably add to the toll of long Covid cases. According to ONS, the supposedly “mild” waves of Omicron in 2022 have brought more than 619,000 long Covid cases into the clinical caseload, promising an enduring and miserable legacy from this latest phase.

"L.C." Long CoViD most likely can mean several things;

-The virus still hiding in the body, causing trouble over and over again

-even enable new CoViD variants on top of the old-resulting in more variants

-but also CoViD inflamation does do damage all over the body; can be detected if tested...

-but often may be a combination of smaller -harder to detect- problems

-CoViD weakening immunity-leaving the "host" more vulnerable for other diseases (wonder how flu will work out in the south part of the globe-it is winter there now...)

Would 2 billion human CoViD cases so far be a realistic number ? I mean 2 billion humans-often being infected more then once ? Or is it even higher-more cases only with mild or no symptoms...? And then "case fatality ratio" CFR would be "low"...the problems are in Long CoViD and catching CoViD over and over again...

"Group immunity" an illusion-CoViD in that way so much worse then the flu ....? 

End of part 1 -coffee-

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 02 2022 at 10:42pm

Part 2

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/danish-neurological-study-shows-that-compared-to-influenza-or-bacterial-pneumonia,-covid-19-infections-lead-to-higher-risk-of-ischemic-strokes[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/danish-neurological-study-shows-that-compared-to-influenza-or-bacterial-pneumonia,-covid-19-infections-lead-to-higher-risk-of-ischemic-strokes  people die -often- not direct from CoViD itself but the damage it did in organs...brain, lungs, hearth...maybe a combination...

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/long-covid/italy-lung-function-impaired-by-ba-5-infection/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/long-covid/italy-lung-function-impaired-by-ba-5-infection/ ;

Subjects hospitalized for Omicron BA.5 showed an altered endothelial function three months after the acute phase with an impairment of lung function.

This is what emerges from a study conducted by the Day Hospital unit of the Agostino Gemelli University Polyclinic Foundation in Rome on 658 patients, observing a direct correlation between the increased risk of endothelial dysfunction and the severity of the infection.

The research was presented at the International Conference on Cachexia, Sarcopenia and Muscle Loss, held June 24-26 in Lisbon.

The endothelium, tissue of cells that line the internal walls of the heart and vessels, modulates platelet aggregation, coagulation processes, contributes to innate immunity, reduces inflammation, regulates vascular resistance, protects by antioxidants from the effect harmful to oxygen free radicals, it is therefore essential to preserve and improve its function.

The results of an experiment conducted by the Day Hospital unit of the Gemelli Polyclinic in Rome were also presented: it was possible to evaluate the effects of L-arginine and liposomal vitamin C supplementation on functional parameters in adult subjects with long covid. It significantly improves walking performance, muscle strength and reduces the feeling of asthenia or fatigue.

ANSA.it article (in Italian)

DJ always welcome to see/read supplements can help...

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/herd-immunity/covid-19-wheres-the-herd-immunity/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/herd-immunity/covid-19-wheres-the-herd-immunity/

“Contrary to the myth that we are sliding into a comfortable evolutionary relationship with a common-cold-like, friendly virus, this is more like being trapped on a rollercoaster in a horror film.”

“There’s nothing cold-like or friendly about a large part of the workforce needing significant absences from work, feeling awful and sometimes getting reinfected over and over again, just weeks apart. And that’s before the risk of long Covid.”

Danny Altmann, professor of immunology at Imperial College London, in a must-read article in The Guardian today

UK planning for #coronavirus was completely skewed by the UK's obsession with Herd Immunity. As we said on March 15th: "Herd Immunity is just a fancy phrase for genocide. Britain will be hit even harder than Italy because of it."

DJ Thai Medical News calling CoViD  "airborne HIV" Corona Heads Up going for "genocide by pandemic"....Even main stream media limit their lies....








GALT assault, is what I describe it as. Same as in HIV. Viral persistence leads to loss of intestinal barrier function, microbial translocation occurs and a pro inflammatory response causes constant immune activation.

and

Replying to  and 
Not impossible as BA.2.75 combines a higher immune escape than BA.5 (which was already at the highest rank), but also a Spike mutation that compensates for the β†˜οΈ ACE2 affinity induced by antigenic shifts ! πŸ€·β€β™‚️ The bug has found the "sweet spot" combination

and

[url]https://twitter.com/DGBassani/status/1542991378073935877/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/DGBassani/status/1542991378073935877/photo/1 ;

Nicer plots of the terrible situation we've put ourselves into. First a bird's eye view of how the frequency of substitution is increasing in Canada. This is empirical data showing variant substitution. It was a drawing back in April, see quoted tweet.  


Image
Quote Tweet







Diego Bassani, PhD

@DGBassani
 · 


Image
Replying to @DGBassani @YoniFreedhoff and @GosiaGasperoPhD
Made a drawing. This is what we're dealing with.

14

252

511


DJ, Each wave closer/shorter then the earlier but increasing speed...

What worries me w/ this wave is that hospitalization & severe cases may be rising faster than the BA.1.x or BA.2 wave. Haven't had a chance to look at the data carefully, but that's my impression so far. I hope I'm wrong about that.

and










During the 20th century, the children (both infant & youth) mortality rate dropped by 9/10. Imagine that, 9/10! Yet, there are still people fantasizing about the good old days when we didn't know/think about pathogens, so natural selection decided on who's going to live or die.

-

Nonsense. Below is the whole of human history. The 20th is the only century where science prevailed & humans took control of their destiny (to fight pathogens of any kind) instead of leaving it up to natural selection or God. The 21st is back to the 19th. https://twitter.com/KawasakiKR11/status/1543227824483405830?t=suYIZkUMznI9RzAPv_MnPA&s=19

DJ, I am "only trying to make some sense"; why 2003-SARS-1 was limited (and no lab-leak stories)...MERS was limited-still around-could be a problem...

I think "neo-liberalism" -politics- failing to "fight for public health" dealing with the increase of crises as "a for profit oppertunity"...

DJ-On a "political scale" I am "left wing" - but problems NOT being solved should not be a "right wing/left wing"discussion....hyperinflation, healthcare collapse, climate crises do not care for "political views of "us" ...they need solutions...

Let me end with music; [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QqaaRZoE1is[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QqaaRZoE1is Lee Hazlewood went to Sweden in 1970..there is a movie on You Tube of it as well - but I like this song; "I can sail without the wind" or in Swedish; Vem kan segla förutan vind (I Can Sail Without the Wind) · Lee Hazlewood · Nina Lizell

DJ- "The darkest hour is just before dawn" love those lines ! 

Stay safe & sane !

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tabitha111 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 03 2022 at 6:11am

I remember how fascinated I was by the chocolate sprinkles on my toast when I was a child and my parent's took me to the Netherlands. My father was US Air Force stationed at Ramstein Germany at the time and I was just 5 years old...but still remember this!
We have Lidl and Aldi in the US by the way, great supermarkets! I esp. love Aldi and it is right down the street from where I live.

Have a good weekend!

'A man who does not think and plan long ahead will find trouble right at his door.'
--Confucius

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Tabitha111, hope you had a good weekend-happy july-4 ! [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/July_4[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/July_4 (historical events on july 4)


Chocolate sprinkles are part of being Dutch...just like "drop en stroopwafels" licorace and syrup waffle...but Dutch dairy products cheese go all over the world-now part of a problem. [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/03/logistics-companies-warn-delay-due-farmers-protest[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/03/logistics-companies-warn-delay-due-farmers-protest 

NL #6 in global food supply, #2 in agri-culture export (most of that flowers)...comes at a cost...From chronic Q-fever at record level to a CoViD explosion on minkfarms-resulting in the end of NL mink farms...Birdflu at very high level (even a veterinarian died from H7N7-the only human killed by it as far as is known [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Influenza_A_virus_subtype_H7N7[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Influenza_A_virus_subtype_H7N7  )

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1999_Bovenkarspel_legionellosis_outbreak[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1999_Bovenkarspel_legionellosis_outbreak a deathly flowershow...

News;

[url]https://www.thelocal.dk/20220703/update-shooting-in-copenhagen-mall-leaves-several-victims-danish-police-say/[/url] or https://www.thelocal.dk/20220703/update-shooting-in-copenhagen-mall-leaves-several-victims-danish-police-say/ so far 3 people reported killed...(Denmark shopping center shooting...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Copenhagen_mall_shooting[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Copenhagen_mall_shooting 

The Denmark story in part also tells something on "how news is spread" , sources...

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A71vL3UBqCw[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A71vL3UBqCw Military Summary trying to make sense of the story on Ukraine now using also another "western" map [url]https://www.understandingwar.org/map-room[/url] or https://www.understandingwar.org/map-room lots of maps...

Information and propaganda will be mixed in wars...I believe in being as honest as one can works best...also being honest there are lots of things you do NOT know...doubts...

So lets now jump to the pandemic;

Should people get vaccinated against CoViD now ? I think there are more side effects then some healthauthorities want people to know...Other part of the story is vaccines have to be part of a strategy...I think "strategy is missing"...

In my opinion (again I am NOT an expert !!!) vaccinating billions with vaccines that do not stop infections-only limit disease-with this corona virus did worsen the pandemic due to lifting other restrictions...We now have CoViD variants simply much better in evading immunity....even evading testing...

My idea of this pandemic is there must have been "billions" of infections both in humans and non-human hosts resulting in (tens of) thousends sub-variants...For that matter this pandemic allready is "worst in human history"....and only worsening...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table puts global cases now close to 555 million-but lack of testing and non-human cases makes this number "a sad joke"...Moving towards 6,4 million "official" CoViD deaths is also (accepted as) very serious under reporting...The low estimate would be around 20 million, maximum around 40 million CoVid deaths...(India would have over 5 million CoViD deaths...US CoViD-related deaths by now much closer to two million ? Brazil real number also over 1 million ?)

[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time has the UK now with over 3,5 million "active CoViD cases"-record was over 4,5 million active UK cases april this year...again "freedom" did mean freedom for the virus...spread, mutate, travel-for-free....

End of part 1


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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part 2, 

Supermarkets-there is a German one with toiletpaper brandname "Happy End" always makes me smile...(I did know Aldi was in the US did not know Lidl also opened up stores there...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lidl#Stores[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lidl#Stores in NL since 1997-over 440 stores, US since 2017 165 stores...so they will grow further in the US...Due to the pandemic supermarkets-often staying open during lockdowns-did increase consumer spending-restaurants often were closed...Lots of NL supermarkets can have up to 40% (?) non-food; shoes, clothing, shavers, bike-products, books...I think non-food sales in supermarkets increased due to the pandemic...). 

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-5/preprint-more-severe-disorders-in-the-lungs-of-ba-4-ba-5-infected-hamsters-than-those-of-ba-2/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-5/preprint-more-severe-disorders-in-the-lungs-of-ba-4-ba-5-infected-hamsters-than-those-of-ba-2/ ;

“Here we demonstrated that the Omicron BA.4/5 are more potentially pathogenic than Omicron BA.2. Therefore, our observations strongly suggest that SARS-CoV-2 does not necessarily evolve to attenuate its pathogenicity.”.

“Three histological parameters, including bronchitis/bronchiolitis, hemorrhage/congestion and alveolar damage, as well as the total score of histology of rBA.2.12-infected hamsters were significantly higher than those of rBA.2-infected hamsters. More importantly, all histopathological parameters were highest in rBA.4/5-infected hamsters with statistical significances.”

“Furthermore, in the lungs of infected hamsters at 5 d.p.i., the level of inflammation with type II alveolar pneumocyte hyperplasia by rBA.4/5 infection was significantly higher than that by rBA.2 infection, while there was no statistically significant difference between rBA.2.12.1 and rBA.2 infections. The relatively more severe disorders in the lungs of rBA.4/5-infected hamsters than those of rBA.2-infected hamsters were supported by the more efficient spread of rBA.4/5 than rBA.2 in the infected lungs.”

Preprint: Virological characteristics of the novel SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variants including BA.2.12.1, BA.4 and BA.5

DJ, Trying to make sense; one step in the evolution of CoViD was deletion of some parts (69/70 often) ...in my "simple thinking" the lighter the virus the further it can spread (airborne)...the smaller the deeper it can get into the host...Still a virus has to have "qualities", "characteristics" to cause disease...If a virus gets to light/small it may be able to do less damage...

Just trying to understand it all-hope I do not write non-sense...[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-5/jenny-harris-quite-likely-ba-5-hospitalizations-will-exceed-those-of-ba-2/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-5/jenny-harris-quite-likely-ba-5-hospitalizations-will-exceed-those-of-ba-2/ related; The BA.2 wave in Britain saw the highest hospitalization figures for Covid since December 2020. Those figures may be about to be exceeded again

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/so-what-is-plan-b-if-the-vaccines-fail-with-a-new-coronavirus-super-variant/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/coronavirus/so-what-is-plan-b-if-the-vaccines-fail-with-a-new-coronavirus-super-variant/  june 14 2021 article...

14th June 2021: We’ve spent two days scouring the internet looking for Plan B for what happens in the event of complete Covid-19 vaccine failure. So what does happen if the vaccines fail? Here is what we have found so far:

Actually, we found no results. It seems that no one is even asking the question. Perhaps it’s time to start that conversation?

DJ, there still is no plan "B"...problem-denial as "plan B"...politician lies with mass media following "politics and experts working for political goals"...Ukraine-war is plan B ? (Yes Russia invaded...but NATO expansion was against 1990 agreements...The west breaks any agreement they sign...). 

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/italy/italy-dangerous-increase-in-sars-cov-2-concentrations-in-wastewater-of-30/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/italy/italy-dangerous-increase-in-sars-cov-2-concentrations-in-wastewater-of-30/

‘The national trend of SARS-CoV-2 concentrations in wastewater showed a “dangerous increase” (>30%) in SARS-CoV-2 concentrations in the weeks 24 and 25, 2022′.

  • As of week 25 of 2022 (26.06.2022), a total of 6.475 wastewater samples were collected throughout Italy in the framework of the SARS-CoV-2 environmental surveillance (EU Commission Recommendation 2021/472)
  • 6451 wastewater samples were analysed for SARS-CoV-2, and 87.2% of them were positive. 
  • The national trend of SARS-CoV-2 concentrations in wastewater showed a “dangerous increase” (>30%) in SARS-CoV-2 concentrations in the weeks 24 and 25, 2022 (period 13.06.2022 – 26.06.2022), compared to the previous weeks.
  • The same increasing trend was documented in most of the Regions/ Autonomous Provinces.
  • The observed significant increase of SARS-CoV-2 loads suggests a rise in the number of individuals excreting SARS-CoV-2, which is in agreement with the current new growth of Covid-19 cases, possibly in relation to the spread of the Omicron sublineage BA.5.

DJ, I did read somewere on twitter in some countries sewage-CoViD traces did not go down since january...Would fit in with the picture of one Omicron-subvariant replacing the other-a constant "peak"...Italy is now also in extreme drought and heat (close to 40C/100F) ...will make (long)CoViD even harder to deal with...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/who-says-monkeypox-cases-expected-to-rise-exponentially-in-coming-weeks-study-shows-new-monkeypox-strain-spreads-easily-by-material-contamination[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/who-says-monkeypox-cases-expected-to-rise-exponentially-in-coming-weeks-study-shows-new-monkeypox-strain-spreads-easily-by-material-contamination 

DJ-[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory confirmed tested cases still under 7,000-real number of cases must be in "tens of thousends"...incubation may be up to 3 weeks. Testing is "very limited" (only gay men-false claim it is a gay disease...DJ-This "story" is a major risk! Relating a disease to sexual behavior is not making testing easier...). 








The number of 8 additional mutations in BA.2.75 is remarkable, Delta had 8 in spike in total. 3 mutations can make a huge difference (BA.5). Thus the 11 Mutations distinct between BA.5 and BA.2.75 could allow for yet another wave as BA.5 immunity might not protect. 12/

DJ, Just like tigers do not exclude lions in my (simple) thinking BA.5 (subvariants) do not exclude BA.2.75 (+ subvariants) from spreading at the same time...A bit like SARS.2.6 and SARS.2.7...MERS did not stop because of SARS-2 (and may become a problem on its own...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MERS#Epidemiology[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MERS#Epidemiology needs an update on more recent MERS cases-most in the Middle East...see also [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2022/07/looking-forward-by-looking-back.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2022/07/looking-forward-by-looking-back.html 

#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates  TOP lineages (15-DAY TRENDS): 36.91% BA.2.12.1**, 27.44% BA.5^^, 12.89% BA.4, 9.13% unassigned, 5.38% BA.5.1^^, 5.12% BA.2 & 0.65% BA.2.9 **S:L452Q; ^^S:L452R/F486V Tracker: http://tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7  #OmicronUpdates 07/03/22

DJ BA.5 at 27,44%, BA.5.1 at 5,38%=32,82% for BA.5 and BA.5.1 in the US...BA.2.12.1 still dominant at 36,91% of the last 15 day sequences-no doubt +10 day old...In fact BA.5 will be dominant in the US as well...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-i-thru-z/tuberculosis/953149-canada-in-nunavut-medical-staff-saw-signs-of-a-devastating-tb-outbreak-the-government-didn%E2%80%99t[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-i-thru-z/tuberculosis/953149-canada-in-nunavut-medical-staff-saw-signs-of-a-devastating-tb-outbreak-the-government-didn%E2%80%99t DJ-If CoViD results in a weaker immune system other diseases may have more chance...TB would be high on the list...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/913781-covid-19-vaccine-dangers-side-effects-controversy[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/913781-covid-19-vaccine-dangers-side-effects-controversy vaccine discussion...

DJ-It is "easy" if you only have to decide for yourself...If you have a responsibility for a (small) child or a very old person -you have to decide for them- it is harder...I think other factors-how many contacts a person has-also matter..In Indonesia vaccine strategy did see people with lots of contacts getting vaccinated first; healthcare workers, taxi/bus-drivers, supermarket-staff...It made some sense to me...

BA.2.77 vs BA.4/.5 BA.2.77   S:69/70del, S:K356T, S:L452R, S:R493Q, S:D936H, S:E340K, ORF3a:G100V, M:S4F BA.4 S:69/70del,S:F486V, S:L452R, S:R493Q, N:P151S BA.5 S:69/70del, S:F486V, S:L452R, S:R493Q, M:D3N Instead of F486V, BA.2.77 has K356T! They all are coming loaded..

and 

BA.2.74+ - ALL look interesting BA.2.74S:L452M BA.2.75S:K147E, S:W152R, S:G446S BA.2.76  S:Y248N BA.2.77  S:69/70del, S:E340K, S:K356T, S:L452R, S:R493Q, S:D936H, ORF3a:G100V, M:S4F >>>>To me BA.2.77 looks more like a BA.6! <<< https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/732

DJ, If you had any illusions on this CoViD pandemic....

Music ! 

Jo Stafford-No Other Love [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7XUHVBAoSTo[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7XUHVBAoSTo love the music, love the lyrics (under the video), also love the comments...

Music was [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ikBD3DcSGFM[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ikBD3DcSGFM Chopin-Tristesse...much older even...

Stay safe and sane !

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 04 2022 at 10:30pm

DJ-I could start another item "western collapse" but since this forum "has limited activity" I stay with "pandemic breakfast" replacing the "crashed scenario's"....

Alexander Mercouris [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eGlBSW5-8oA[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eGlBSW5-8oA (27 minutes...);Russia Advances in Donbass Towards Siversk, Economic Crises Deepen in Germany, Japan News Topic 542

and [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JAxyT1cRJq0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JAxyT1cRJq0 Military Summary as a "basis" for my breakfast-just waking up...

Let me combine it with [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time UK CoViD cases going for record highs...

In short;

-Russia is running over Ukraine...

-Western leaders still in denial

-Russia cutting of energy supply to "the west" (Japan, Germany/EU, other unfriendly countries)

-[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/top-german-trade-union-head-warns-entire-industries-may-collapse-amid-worsening-energy[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/top-german-trade-union-head-warns-entire-industries-may-collapse-amid-worsening-energy 

-[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/saudi-arabia-discussion-join-brics[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/saudi-arabia-discussion-join-brics 

-[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/chinese-and-russian-navies-circle-japan-show-force[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/chinese-and-russian-navies-circle-japan-show-force 

-[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/04/tractors-highways-blocking-distribution-centers-another-day-farmers-protests[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/04/tractors-highways-blocking-distribution-centers-another-day-farmers-protests energy costs destroy companies on a large scale

DJ-How will this develop further;

-Of course economy and finance are linked

-Western "fiat" currency has "limited real value"

-The "real value" also going down (NO market for German/Japan cars etc.)

-Banking crisis, hyperinflation just around the corner

-[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/even-asymptomatic-and-mild-covid-19-causes-neuromuscular-damage-to-the-diaphragm-resulting-in-the-long-covid-manifestations-of-fatigue-and-dyspnea[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/even-asymptomatic-and-mild-covid-19-causes-neuromuscular-damage-to-the-diaphragm-resulting-in-the-long-covid-manifestations-of-fatigue-and-dyspnea long term damage of CoViD catastrophic

-Climate collopse getting worse-fast

So "a perfect storm" and "leaders" simply in denial of the coming crises they did cause .....

There was NO NEED for Ukraine to join NATO...it was stupid western provocation...[url]https://consortiumnews.com/2022/07/01/ukraine-is-the-latest-neocon-disaster/[/url] or https://consortiumnews.com/2022/07/01/ukraine-is-the-latest-neocon-disaster/ 

We should have stopped SARS-2 like we stopped SARS-1 in 2003....

Henry Kissinger warned "the west" may have to the end of this month to "get its act together"...Alexander Mercouris "hopes" maybe even august could make a difference...Military Summary making the point Russia is preparing "industrial mobilization"-preparing for real military mobilization-winter war....China most likely doing the same...Iran may already be prepared for conflict...

DJ-The west breaks any agreement it signed...no point in talking to "leaders that only lie"...Russia-Iran-China now have many allies-use the moment...break the west...

The choice has been made...

End of part 1

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 04 2022 at 11:57pm

part 2, 

Since I see (some) similarities; 

Ukraine war-did become a "war of the west against the rest" NOT the "war of the world against Russia" some "leaders" hoped for-without any real basis...The world has changed. A "global NATO going neo-colonial" is the wrong sign at the wrong time...

The west closing its doors for Russian, Chinese vaccines-promoting their own-much more expensive ones- as part of a "blame China, anti zero-CoViD campain also did not help. Western "freedom" now resulting in a pandemic that is totally out of control...China zero-CoViD strategy may at least show "some wisdom"....(with Russia and Chinese vaccines now being most used worldwide-often "given for free" as aid...I did expect China also sending mobile hospitals etc. but China itself is now facing a major CoViD-crisis...so no room for that).

In the "Ukraine war" Russia in NE Ukraine did destroy most of Ukraine defensive positions...in SE Ukraine (near Donetsk) Ukraine forces are "dug in" and use western artillery against Russians...First step in Russian strategy was "to break the enemy army" - they may have done so...(sending Ukraine soldiers into Russian artillery without proper protection is madness...Since NATO is "in control" of (most of) this war one wonders the level of know how of the western military experts...

The [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dnieper[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dnieper has now become the "new realistic defense line" in Ukraine-with Ukraine forces still going for a fight east of that river...Russians already west of that river in both the north (Belarus) and south (Crimea)...The west is running out of weapons to send...

Worse-the west may not be able to replace a lot of those weapons...NO import from Russia or China may mean no raw materials, energy, basic parts for western weapons..."We" are running out of defenses/weapons other then aircraft, nuclear weapons etc. not (yet) used in Ukraine...

DJ-Russia may be trying/pushing for regime change in Kiev...like in Afghanistan support for the "western puppet regime" is collapsing...Both from extreme right wing groups (political dominant but not widely supported in most of Ukraine...) and the military top...maybe even "the west" (divided...) may get enough of this insanity...EU facing many crises (energy, inflation, refugee, climate (Rhine is at lowest level since 1976 almost...) financial...). 

So now jump to the pandemic...

CoVid destroying immunity...NO steps to limit spread of any disease in most countries...We may be without staff for any part of the economy soon...facing impossible energy prices (JP Morgan going for 380 US$ per barel of oil...in worst scenario-hyperinflation may make that even optimistic...). 

How "bad can it get" if hospitals are out of staff, economy without energy, money worthless....most people suffering from all kinds of illnesses...

Yesterday I wrote we are in the "worst pandemic" people ever faced...but we fail to realize, act like that...Even the "official number" of 560 million cases of CoViD is "bad"...may be worse then the Spanish Flu...This pandemic also lasting longer then the Spanish Flu...

If you look further back in time-the plague-in "relative numbers" that may have been far worse...Eventhough those pandemics were strongly related to (very limited) travel...When people realized that (travel link) they managed to limit the spread...Till the 19th century travel was risks...so most people tried to limit travel...Mass travel in these high numbers, air travel, is "new" in human history and a main cause of the present disaster...Diseases fly for free...

So-time for some optimism...

Reducing travel = reducing spread...STOP THE SPREAD !!!!!! Why are we not doing that ? Mask-use in 1918/19-Spanish Flu-was welcomed as protection...we can and should use masks...!

International cooperation is needed - stop the wars ! Since most of the wars are fought with western weapons (for western goals) "WE" can stop wars...

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/treatment/preprint-bergamottin-exhibits-inhibitory-activity-against-sars-cov-2/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/treatment/preprint-bergamottin-exhibits-inhibitory-activity-against-sars-cov-2/ 

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/study-shows-vitamin-d-protects-lungs-from-covid-19-infection-vitamin-d-supplementation-more-relevant-now-since-ba-5-variant-exhibits-lung-tropism[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/study-shows-vitamin-d-protects-lungs-from-covid-19-infection-vitamin-d-supplementation-more-relevant-now-since-ba-5-variant-exhibits-lung-tropism 

Vaccines and anti-virals may have limited effect...may have serious risks...We have the internet, study, work from home...robots can take over lots of production jobs...

Just like in climate collapse there are lots of things we can do to make matters not even worse...(I hope...)..but we are not even trying...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-china-reimposes-lockdown-in-key-provinces-as-new-worrisome-sars-cov-2-ba-2-subvariant-detected-with-multiple-new-mutations[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-china-reimposes-lockdown-in-key-provinces-as-new-worrisome-sars-cov-2-ba-2-subvariant-detected-with-multiple-new-mutations is just one of many new subvariants (BA.2.74, BA.2.75, BA.5, BA.5.1 etc...Non Pharma Intervention may be the only tool left...). 

DJ-The global situation is terrible...but that needs us to do "the best we can" ! And that "best" is NOT yet another war ! 

End of part 2

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 05 2022 at 2:10am

part 3, 

Some further links on the major crisis humanity is facing...

[url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3749.600.html[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3749.600.html ;

Re: The 2022 melting season
« Reply #610 on: July 04, 2022, 12:45:04 AM »
Meanwhile the Beaufort / CAB heatwave is looking as persistent as it is intense .  Both gfs and ECM have it continue beyond the end of their runs , with upper anomalies similar to those that proved 'unbelievable' last year a little further south . The CAB was expected to be the last bastion of the ice yet could be demolished in a fortnight . Along with the Beaufort . I'm sure the world's leaders are deeply concerned .
I guess the only saving grace I can see in the Beaufort is there is not alot of open water there so widespread warm SSTS is not yet occuring, with the winds forecast not to be too strong either, there is not much to move the ice around either.

Whilst the wildfire situation over Alaska is awful, it would be interesting too see if the smoke actually weakens the sun's affect on the ice and potentially limit the warming of any open water there.

Compared to a month ago, the situation shows things can quickly change in the Arctic. For the sake of the multi year ice there, I do hope the ice can survive in the Beaufort but September looks miles away at the moment given the current situation.

The deep low over the basin that is forecast to occur is going to be interesting given the ice is already dispersed in parts and we got the potential of a major CAA heatwave also, plenty to ponder in the next week or so.

DJ, So "hope" smoke from wildfires will limit sun-heat reaching the arctic...The North Pole may be above 0C....It is to early to see how 2022 will end in melting of the Arctic. There are two lists in [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3721.500.html[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3721.500.html one has 2022 at place 5, the other at place 10...lowest point -in arctic ice- is expected in september....Hurricanes pushing warm air, rain, wind into the arctic can become a major factor...

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/saudi-ex-spymaster-pens-scathing-op-ed-rethinking-global-order[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/saudi-ex-spymaster-pens-scathing-op-ed-rethinking-global-order

In short, while fundamentally endorsing the UN's globalist agenda, Al Saud argues that those leading the current international order have "failed to live up to the principles of good governance enshrined in the UN charter," and that hypocritical world leaders "need to come to their senses" and reform "deeper structural problems" in order to adapt to the new, multipolar order pushed by Russia an dChina.

"Our organizing principles still reflect the mentality of the post-war and Cold War era," he argues, citing a UN report that concluded major reforms were needed.

DJ, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Indonesia, India go for their own interests...May not be in a hurry to take a position but also "do not want to miss the boat"....IF the west is collapsing better be on the safe side....[url]https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2022/07/04/685056/Russia-Syria-Israeli-strikes-terrorists-airport[/url] or https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2022/07/04/685056/Russia-Syria-Israeli-strikes-terrorists-airport

Russia has demanded an unconditional cessation of Israeli strikes on Syria, saying they are unacceptable.  

Israel launched an "air aggression" from the Mediterranean west of Lebanon's second city Tripoli on Saturday, with several missiles targeting an area to the south of Syria's port city of Tartus.

The attack was the first since new prime minister Yair Lapid took office as the head of Israel's interim regime ahead of a Nov. 1 election.

"We strongly condemn such irresponsible actions that violate the sovereignty of Syria and the basic norms of international law, and we demand their unconditional cessation," the Russian foreign ministry said.

The Syrian ministry of defense said the strikes injured two civilians and caused some material damage.

DJ, Murdering a Palestinian journalist [url]https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/7/4/us-shireen-abu-akleh-killing-investigation-israel-likely-responsible[/url] or https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/7/4/us-shireen-abu-akleh-killing-investigation-israel-likely-responsible by Israel is even pushing once pro-western Arab countries away from the west...

DJ-Israel has to "change its song" [url]https://www.debka.com/hostile-russian-us-incidents-erupt-in-e-syria-after-key-russian-general-transferred-from-ukraine/[/url] or https://www.debka.com/hostile-russian-us-incidents-erupt-in-e-syria-after-key-russian-general-transferred-from-ukraine/ 

DJ Both the US and EU, and NATO "may have limited capability" to "offer major help" in a "widening conflict" with Russia and/or Iran (Syria, Iraq, Turkey etc. even relations with Jordan may not be "good" due to status of Jerusalem/West Bank...Jordan claims...The Golan-Heights can be another conflict zone with Syria...). 

Pandemic;

"This is extreme" isn't an argument, it is a conversation stopper The usual reminders: 1) Nature doesn't negotiate and it doesn't know the meaning of "extreme" 2) The real world is physical, not political 3) Physical problems are solved by doing what is necessary and sufficient

DJ, A few years ago we had over 43C at an airbase north of where I live..."Impossible" the NL weather agency said...while still accepting the extreme low minimum (I believe 26 C) by the same thermometers that night....

Pandemics killing billions, climate change going exponential, the west running out of defenses may be "extreme" but I think we are getting much to close to it...We did see many cases of hyperinflation in recent (last 100 years) history...extreme drought "ending rivers" is also an "extreme scenario"...

We should avoid such scenario's not deny them (as possible)....

What's the long term plan with Covid? The popular theory that if we ignore it just enough, it will go away has proven wrong. Being sick twice a year has substantial health and economical implications. And the next variant can be more virulent. Any adults in the house?

DJ Ignoring risks is increasing risks... 

https://m.timesofindia.com/city/pune/3-new-ba-2-variants-found-may-have-role-in-ongoing-surge-experts/amp_articleshow/92640918.cms BA.2.74, BA.2.75 and BA.2.76 are "fitter" and more infectious than Omicron's BA.5, a senior scientist from the Indian SARS-CoV-2 Genomics Consortium (INSACOG) told TOI on Sunday, adding that they may be behind the ongoing surge in cases along with BA.2.38.

DJ link [url]https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/pune/3-new-ba-2-variants-found-may-have-role-in-ongoing-surge-experts/articleshow/92640918.cms[/url] or https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/pune/3-new-ba-2-variants-found-may-have-role-in-ongoing-surge-experts/articleshow/92640918.cms ;

DJ;

OMG. Can anyone still claim after reading this that it's impossible Omicron variants BA.1-BA.5 emerged from a single individual?

and ; 

Chrispin Chaguza

@ChrispinChaguza
 · 
This rapid evolution resulted in the independent evolution of at least three distinct lineages, each genetically divergent enough (~20-40 mutations from the original virus) that they would be classified as separate lineages if they were to spread into the wider population. 6/n
Show this thread

may indicate that ONE HOST having a longer term infection could start another CoViD-variant of concern...Just ONE chronic case...(and there may be millions of them....). 

We showed accelerated SARS-CoV-2 evolution during the chronic infection, approx twice as faster as the parental B.1.517 strain and the global SARS-CoV-2 evolutionary rate, suggesting that it could be a mechanism for the emergence of genetically divergent variants. 5/n

"we have a problem"....

Replicating virus for 471 days, but only mild symptoms in the beginning and asymptomatic since. Just incredible.

So there may be "lots" of cases....Again "mild/asymptomatic cases"[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/even-asymptomatic-and-mild-covid-19-causes-neuromuscular-damage-to-the-diaphragm-resulting-in-the-long-covid-manifestations-of-fatigue-and-dyspnea[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/even-asymptomatic-and-mild-covid-19-causes-neuromuscular-damage-to-the-diaphragm-resulting-in-the-long-covid-manifestations-of-fatigue-and-dyspnea do run serious risks...

The best & brightest of scientists & other smart people can warn & warn, but the majority (unfortunately, also a lot of scientists among them) just don't get the danger we are risking.

Learn the hard way may kill us all....

We are in a very serious global crisis...we need leaders that can deal with that-starting with at least acceptance there are "major problems" and stop denying them...

End of part 3

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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DJ, Reality is always a mega-mix of events...things are related...

part 1 

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/all-natural-gas-flow-on-yamal-europe-pipeline-halted[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/all-natural-gas-flow-on-yamal-europe-pipeline-halted

Russia has completely shut off all flows of natural gas in the Yamal-Europe pipeline.

After President Putin's Decree on July 4,  which ordered no vital commodity shipments - at any price or in any currency - can be made to "unfriendly countries," the gas flow to much of Europe has now been completely shut off.

-

UPDATE 8:28 PM EDT --

Germany has by far the largest storage volume for natural gas in central and western Europe (24 billion m3), which CAN supply Germany for two- to-three average temperature winter months.  But as of March, 2022, the German storage tanks were at less than 60% full.   Still trying to get more current data, but again the storage for two to three months of average winter temperatures exists while regular pipeline service continues 24/7.   Now that Yamal-Europe is offline, Germany must rely on Nordstream One, which last month, dropped from 130 million cubic meters per day down to 100 million cubic meters per day, and dropped again TODAY from 100 million to only 58 million cubic meters per day.  So Germany may, realistically, only have two months gas supply for their whole country! 


[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/euro-currency-plunging-against-u-s-dollar[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/euro-currency-plunging-against-u-s-dollarAt the start of currency trading in the world Tuesday, it took 92 "EURO cents" to buy one U.S. Dollar.    As the day wore on, the value of the EURO plunged so that it now takes 105.552 EURO cents to buy one U.S. dollar.   That's a plunge in value of 14.47% in one day!


DJ, Europe without energy has economic collapse next...so the Euro is crashing...we are moving towards hyperinflation...

Now relate that with [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/public-healthcare-in-germany-collapses-as-many-vaccinated-doctors-and-nurses-are-falling-sick-due-to-sars-cov-2-ba-5-infections[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/public-healthcare-in-germany-collapses-as-many-vaccinated-doctors-and-nurses-are-falling-sick-due-to-sars-cov-2-ba-5-infections ...

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/05/covid-vaccine-effectiveness-falls-0-year-first-series[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/05/covid-vaccine-effectiveness-falls-0-year-first-series

People who have only received the first and second vaccine shots against Covid-19 are barely protected against a coronavirus infection one year after the injections. By that time, vaccine effectiveness falls to 0 percent, according to the RIVM, the Dutch public health institute.

Those who received a booster shot in the interim still receive protection against serious symptoms of the coronavirus disease. The vaccines then prevent 63 percent of hospitalizations, and 74 percent of intensive care admissions. People may still develop symptoms of Covid-19, but those are likely to be more mild.


An additional booster shot produced a higher rate of effectiveness. Residents of the Netherlands who are aged 60 and over, and others in vulnerable positions, have access to the additional shot.

Every resident is eligible to be vaccinated against Covid-19 from the age of five. Of those aged 12 and up, 82.7 percent have received at least one shot. Roughly six out of ten people have also received a booster shot, meaning that the vaccine's protection has steeply fallen in just under a quarter of people


and [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/05/covid-infections-may-stabilizing-new-peak-hospital-total-jumps-20-percent[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/05/covid-infections-may-stabilizing-new-peak-hospital-total-jumps-20-percent ; The number of coronavirus infections diagnosed in the Netherlands rose by another 15 percent over the past seven days, but the rate of increase has shown signs of slowing, the RIVM said on Tuesday. Despite the lukewarm analysis of the current state of the pandemic, the number of people hospitalized with Covid-19 rose by over 19 percent in a week.

-

The RIVM presented data only for the last calendar week, which showed a 19 percent increase in Covid-19 hospital admissions. There were 520 new patients receiving treatment for the disease, including 24 sent to intensive care. A week earlier, 437 patients were admitted, including 32 sent to intensive care.

The public health institute was also notified of 30 deaths linked to Covid-19, up from 15 during the seven-day period ending on June 28

DJ Likely most cases related to BA.2.12.1 and BA.5...[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-2-75/new-zealand-first-cases-of-ba-2-75-detected/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-2-75/new-zealand-first-cases-of-ba-2-75-detected/ ...BA.2.74, BA.2.75, BA.2.76 still have to "do their thing" in most of Europe...

So YES CoViD may have peaked here in NL...in a way increase of BA.2.12.1 and BA.5 slowing down...but another wave most likely is already on its way for most of Europe...

Since we had electricity, fuel, transport...healthcare in "rich countries" was able to save many lives...Now a lot of healthcare workers are getting ill, economy is close to collapse...

[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time UK CoViD cases at present over 3,76 million...still going up...

Do I have to mention "bojo" as another UK disaster....political crisis in most of the west...Here in NL [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/05/farmers-protests-15-arrested-distribution-blockades-200-fined-highways[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/05/farmers-protests-15-arrested-distribution-blockades-200-fined-highways  and [url]https://www.dutchnews.nl/news/2022/07/teargas-and-dogs-break-up-farmer-protests-blockades-continue/[/url] or https://www.dutchnews.nl/news/2022/07/teargas-and-dogs-break-up-farmer-protests-blockades-continue/ ...

"Outlook not good" an understatement....? 

End of part 1

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part 2,

NATO needed to move east...breaking all kinds of agreements...against the will of not only Russia, Iran but also lots of other countries...NATO moving east is NOT agression...Russia reaction is "Russian agression"....The Royal Family of Saudi Arabia are "friends of democracy"...Assad is dangerous....not following US orders...

When countries refuse major international trade in US$ or € "they destabilize global order"...So India-Russia trade would need to be in US$ ..."showing the strength" of the west ? 

Western power, dominance, is based on nuclear weapons...terror...neo-colonialism and racism...Of course other countries are fed up with "us"....'We" did not stop airtravel in january 2020 "so the pandemic is a Chinese lab leak", A "CCP bio-weapon" or shall we blame allmighty Putin for that ? 

We still offer free travel for diseases; STOP THE SPREAD !!!! Masks even got "political"....

“Our public health officials gambled with the future and chose a fantasy world instead. “Now COVID has become a runaway train with unknown biological consequences.”

Link [url]https://thetyee.ca/Analysis/2022/07/04/Get-Ready-Forever-Plague/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_content=070422-3&utm_campaign=editorial[/url] or https://thetyee.ca/Analysis/2022/07/04/Get-Ready-Forever-Plague/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_content=070422-3&utm_campaign=editorial

In any case, COVID, a novel virus that can wreak havoc with any organ in the body, continues to evolve at a furious pace.

In response officials have largely abandoned any coherent response, including masking, testing, tracing and even basic data collection.

Yes, the people have been abandoned.

So don’t expect “normal” to return to your hospital, your airport, your nation, your community or your life anytime soon.

Although many public health officials still dismiss COVID infections as inevitable and even beneficial, a growing body of science shows this fashionable dogma is dangerously wrongheaded, if not an outright form of malpractice.

DJ When I look at the official NL gov. site for CoViD variants it is "100% Omicron"...

The  is updating the alphabet: a,b,c,d,e,f,g,h,i,j,k,l,m,n,o1,o2,o3,o4,o5,o6,o7,o8,o9,o10,o11,o12,o13,o14,o15,o16

"Omicron will be the last variant in this pandemic"...so the coming years all new variants will be called Omicron...(maybe also go for "Omicron-Flu"?)

DJ; Ukraine was "dumped", used in a biden fight with Putin...now Ukraine is being destroyed...When Ukrainians understand how "the west" used them they have every reason to be very angry...We did see some of that anger in Greece several years ago...the "Euro-crisis", wrong decission by "our leaders" so the Greek had to pay for it...selling Pireus-port to the highest bidder (a Chinese one..."free market"...)..

Climate disasters onfolding daily..."German Greens" now going for coal....

Variant Proportions - a closer look at the top circulating lineages in USA and HHS regions 1-10 BA.2 has been outcompeted BA.2.12.1* has peaked and on a downward trajectory in all the HHS regions reporting BA.5 is surging in all HHS regions

Well maybe knowing that  BA.2.74/75/76 seem to follow BA.5 will help ???? As a consequence it is now possible to be reinfected with one of Omicron’s variants every two to three weeks.

From The Tyee link above...

The cases of pneumonia caused by the COVID-19 requiring assisted ventilation are increasing again in Italy due to the Omicron sub-variant BA.5 according to the national president of the 118 Emergency Health Service, Mario Balzanelli

Italy by the way also dealing with both extreme heat and drougth...Draghi non-elected PM running the country...No doubt inflation 10%+....

Italy’s COVID hospitalized patients on 5 July: 2022: 8,003 2021: 1,137 2020: 945 BA.5 is quickly increasing in Italy. https://icemsg.org/2022/07/04/ba-5-in-italy/

and then only other variants will be next....

New National Cancer Institute analysis finds that COVID-19 was a leading cause of death for all age groups in both 2020 and 2021, accounting for 1 in 8 deaths. In 2021, COVID-19 was the leading cause of death among adults ages 45-54. https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2794043

so "not the old"...[url]https://www.channel4.com/news/thousands-of-birds-dying-from-lethal-strain-of-avian-flu[/url] or https://www.channel4.com/news/thousands-of-birds-dying-from-lethal-strain-of-avian-flu ......[url]https://www.efsa.europa.eu/en/efsajournal/pub/7415[/url] or https://www.efsa.europa.eu/en/efsajournal/pub/7415 ;

The 2021–2022 highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) epidemic season is the largest epidemic so far observed in Europe, with a total of 2,398 outbreaks in poultry, 46 million birds culled in the affected establishments, 168 detections in captive birds, and 2,733 HPAI events in wild birds in 36 European countries.

-

The observed persistence of HPAI (H5) virus in wild birds since the 2020–2021 epidemic wave indicates that it may have become endemic in wild bird populations in Europe, implying that the health risk from HPAI A(H5) for poultry, humans, and wildlife in Europe remains present year-round, with the highest risk in the autumn and winter months. 

DJ...So CoViD is resulting in a weaker immunity...H5 Avian Flu is now endemic (proberbly worldwide...)...we are in a very major healthcrisis ! This is even worse then the climate collapse we are also in...and "our leaders" go for a NATO expansion war with Russia, China...

End of part 2...



We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Part 3...media...

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/07/western-media-spread-copium-to-prolong-the-war-in-ukraine.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/07/western-media-spread-copium-to-prolong-the-war-in-ukraine.html ;

Despite this obvious path to progress for the Russian side the Associate Press headlines:

High cost of Russia gains in Ukraine could limit new advance

The only purported evidence of high Russian costs are the assertions of a 'military analyst in Ukraine' who claims that some Russian units lost half of their soldiers. I have seen nothing that would support such a claim.

The AP writer then adds this:

The limited manpower has forced the Russian commanders to avoid ambitious attempts to encircle large areas in the Donbas, opting for smaller maneuvers and relying on heavy artillery barrages to slowly force the Ukrainians to retreat.

Please. Look at the above maps. What did Russia just do? It had made an ambitious attempt to encircle a large are in Donbas and succeeded with the effort in just a few days. The Ukrainian army threw everything it had available into the cauldron and lost thousands of men while the Russian army avoided direct men against men fighting to minimize its own casualties.

So while the Ukrainians will also benefit from the now shorter frontline they have lost many soldiers and abandoned lots of equipment during the last weeks and will have difficulties to create any reserves.

There is absolutely no reason to believe that the Russian forces are not able to repeat the process over and over.

Copium pieces like the AP's one have the purpose of claiming that the Ukraine can still win the war and deserves wide support to achieve that.

Battlefield reality speaks against that. There is no chance that the Ukraine can gain superiority over the Russian army. No weapon delivery will help.

Yes, the HIMARS artillery system, directed by U.S. intelligence, can hit badly camouflage Russian weapon depots some kilometers behind the frontline as it did on two occasions so far.  But Russia has no lack of ammunition and will take countermeasures to better protect it.  Functioning armies always adapt to such challenges.

Any prolonging of the war will only lead to more deaths of Ukrainian soldiers, more wounded who will need care and more destruction. The only sane thing that can be done now is to press the Ukrainian president Zelensky to restart negotiations with Russia and admit the defeat of his troops.

Its much better to capitulate now instead of waiting for the Chechen leader Ramsan Kadyrov to come to Kiev and make him do so.

DJ, Mainstream mass media have a responsibility....claiming Ukraine in fact is winning the war when even the Kiev-junta admits hundreds of Ukraine soldiers die each day is "not just lying"..It is prolonging a war that should have been avoided. The "west" now is in a much weaker position then at the start of 2022...Military, economic damage running in the trillions due to a pointless war...

On top of that we have the pandemics...Herd immunity is non-existend...CoViD is not the flu...and both CoViD and monkeypox are totally out of control...

Still mass media go "for it is only mild" stories..Monkeypox is a gay disease...non-sense !!!

What mass media keep ignoring is both CoViD and monkeypox see extreme high spread and-because of that-high mutations...Maybe monkeypox early stages had something to do with the West African variant...the present variant is NOT behaving like the West Africa variant...it is much more agressive...could-like CoViD-even be airborne....

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-china-iran-venezuela-war-games-mid-august[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-china-iran-venezuela-war-games-mid-august and [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VlcDi3ZtQTg[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VlcDi3ZtQTg WION India; For the first time in 4 years, Japan spotted a Chinese ship near the disputed Senkaku Islands. China is also stepping up its activities in the Taiwan Straits & South China Sea. 26 countries will conduct a drill to deter China this week. Palki Sharma tells you more.

DJ Lots of countries going for a lot of excercises ...east of China, south of the US...In Ukraine NATO may-in fact-be "running the war" with Ukrainians doing most of the fighting...NATO, Israel, Georgia etc. special forces, volunteers etc. "very involved"...Targets inside Russia being hit-so far it looks like from Ukraine-but most likely by "western weapons"...NATO is at war with Russia in Ukraine...and it is NATO (like in Afghanistan) that is losing the fight....

Mass media fail to discuss the consequences of "western total faillure"...from dealing with pandemics, fiat-currencies, to fighting wars....From a non-western perspective it may be time to go for "re-balance"....

"We live in interesting times" stay safe & sane !

End of part 3

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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DJ, 

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q6KZuELbQgs[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q6KZuELbQgs latest military summary....frontal attacks cost many lives-so indirect attacks-trying to get behind enemy lines, encirclement and taking time is the strategy of the stronger "party" (in this case the Russian one...). Cutting of supplies, weakening strong enemy positions (from the air, artillery) and not getting to predictable is also part of the strategy...Keeping your own forces "fresh" while exhausting the enemy ones...

So in the pandemics....

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-monkeypox-is-evolving-from-a-gay-sti-to-a-serious-public-threat-via-spread-by-asymptomatic-infections-and-possible-airborne-transmissions[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-monkeypox-is-evolving-from-a-gay-sti-to-a-serious-public-threat-via-spread-by-asymptomatic-infections-and-possible-airborne-transmissions Monkeypox first attacked gay men...of course there is no gat virus...the only "goal" of a (very primitive) virus is to have as many virusses as possible...

The "weapons/tools" we have;

-STOP THE SPREAD !!! Well we are not doing that...

-INFORMATION "it is only mild" ...even monkeypox can become a very major healthrisk...

-Vaccines, anti-virals; Used in the wrong way-what we do-the virus will develop around these pharma-interventions...

-"grass roots" ....lots of people use their own brain-showing to be more wise then their leaders...limiting contacts, masks, limit travel, tell other people there is a (major) risk....Most likely "grass roots" did save thousends of lives....

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for wednesday june 6...952,864 new cases were reported...real number (of DAILY !!!! cases) must be in the millions...1,586 CoViD deaths were (under) reported...(june 5 had 961,058 new cases, 1,524 deaths being reported...). Trends global cases as far as reported +8%, deaths under reported -9%...North America cases -13%, deaths -26% does not fit in with other regions...maybe "grassroots" more effective in the US ? 

US cases -20%, deaths -35%

Canada cases +32%, deaths +30%

Mexico cases +42%, deaths +28%

DJ-Europe, better vaccination level, more public healthcare cases +18%, deaths -2%...do "we" in Europe test more then in the US ? 

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/asia/china/china-seven-day-covid-lockdown-in-xian/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/asia/china/china-seven-day-covid-lockdown-in-xian/ Here in NL we should be in lockdown if I look at the level of cases...but government inaction rules...[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/06/monkeypox-fears-pride-amsterdam-push-get-men-vaccinated[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/06/monkeypox-fears-pride-amsterdam-push-get-men-vaccinated at best at local level there is some action...

On twitter some discussion on [url]https://thetyee.ca/Analysis/2022/07/04/Get-Ready-Forever-Plague/[/url] or https://thetyee.ca/Analysis/2022/07/04/Get-Ready-Forever-Plague/ ;

Naomi Wu ζœΊζ’°ε¦–ε§¬

@RealSexyCyborg
 · 
We have the exact same questions- what's the endgame for you? Just wait to see who survives the next few years? How long can you accept living like this, watching your friends and loved ones get sick again, and again with an entirely preventable illness? How is this sustainable? twitter.com/solubrew/statu…

DJ, If CoViD does weaken/destroy immunity, acting like HIV then lots of diseases will "go wild" ...monkeypox just the start. H5 bird flu is endemic and a global risk...

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/norway-we-have-no-control-over-the-omicron-variant/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/norway-we-have-no-control-over-the-omicron-variant/

On Monday morning, 6th December, Norway’s assistant health director Espen Rostrup Nakstad says that they have no control over the new variant.

“Unfortunately, we do not have control because there are more and more confirmed cases, but also a number of suspected cases. And since this variant is probably more contagious than Delta, we must probably expect that it can appear almost everywhere in Norway now,” says Nakstad in an interview with VGTV.

VG.no report (in Norwegian)https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/crimean-congo-haemorrhagic-fever/iraq-crimean-congo-hemorrhagic-fever-cases-rise-to-225-with-36-deaths/

will lead to this; [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/crimean-congo-haemorrhagic-fever/iraq-crimean-congo-hemorrhagic-fever-cases-rise-to-225-with-36-deaths/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/crimean-congo-haemorrhagic-fever/iraq-crimean-congo-hemorrhagic-fever-cases-rise-to-225-with-36-deaths/ ....

Lots of other diseases will act in new ways...since their hosts will re-act in new ways...lots of mutations, variants...

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pandora%27s_box[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pandora%27s_boxIn modern times an idiom has grown from the story meaning "Any source of great and unexpected troubles",[2] or alternatively "A present which seems valuable but which in reality is a curse".[3]

DJ, Are vaccines, anti-virals the "present that seems of value but did become a curse because of misuse"????

Going for billions of vaccines, large scale use of anti-virals while doing not enough to stop the virus did result in vaccines, anti-virals being evaded...no longer effective...

Another part-of course-is communication; "It is a gay disease" did make HIV-AIDS a global problem...monkeypox follows that road...."It is mild" killed millions...

Basic mistake is "economy/profit above public health"...bojo is on his way out...biden will be next...I only hope rutte in NL will also be gone soon as well...But it is the policy that matters...not the person....

#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates  TOP lineages (15-DAY TRENDS): 31.35% BA.2.12.1**, 12.56% unassigned, 9.21% BA.5.2.1, 8.50% BA.5.5, 7.17% BA.4.1, 6.10% BA.4, 5.64% BA.5   **S:L452Q; ^^S:L452R/S:F486V Tracker: http://tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7  #OmicronUpdates 07/06/22

DJ, In the US BA.5.2.1 and BA.5.5 now larger then BA.5.....Even BA.4.1 larger then BA.4....








Yesterday got talking to an employee at the Sugar Chelsea factory. He said when the employees got Covid, the employer asked them to stay home for 10 days(and paid them to),rather than 7, to ensure they didn't come back and infect others. They had no staffing issues in this wave.

"grass roots"wisdom...








Real talk. I’m so mad about the war on the reinfections study bc I recently learned that a neighbor died. Young and healthy. It was her 3rd infection. She leaves behind a baby that won’t remember her. So spare me the “over-caution is as dangerous as false reassurance” routine.

with "expert"stupidity...

DJ-Virologists, epidemiologists, medical staticians...may all be "the best experts" in their fields...but this pandemic may be the largest the world has seen....with possibly more human CoViD cases then the world had as population in 1918...(put at around 1,8 billion).

[url]https://www.marshallindependent.com/opinion/local-columns/2021/03/our-1918-pandemic-the-numbers-then-and-now/[/url] or https://www.marshallindependent.com/opinion/local-columns/2021/03/our-1918-pandemic-the-numbers-then-and-now/ ;

Epidemiologists and historians investigating the 1918-19 pandemic have limited records of its cost in global sickness and death, so they can only offer estimates. The U.S. Centers for Disease Control estimates about 500 million persons were infected by pandemic influenza in 1918-19 and, citing earlier epidemiological studies, estimates a worldwide death toll of at least 50 million persons. Demographers estimate the global population in 1918 at about 1.8 billion persons. These figures suggest that about 30% of the world’s population was infected during that pandemic and that it killed about 2.7% of that population.

DJ CoViD cases even in "very conservative numbers" moving towards 560 million cases...with most likely "hundreds of millions of cases...if not billions" of cases being missed...lack of testing, asymptomatic...In the 560 million "tested" cases there will be millions of reinfections...a major difference with the Spanish Flu...you did see herd immunity in those days...CoViD has NO !!!!! herd-immunity...will come back again...and again...and again....

Spanish Flu "at least 50 million killed"...CoViD so far-in "official statistics" moving towards 6,4 million...however "excess deaths" from CoViD [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/05/delayed-care-covid-cost-least-320000-years-life-rivm[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/07/05/delayed-care-covid-cost-least-320000-years-life-rivm may put a realistic number closer to 40 millions so far....

Some historians could go for a 1917-1923 Spanish Flu timeline from start to finish...C oViD started somewhere in 2019 and will be a problem for years to come...

End of part 1...maybe more later...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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DJ, 

Official cases now close to 1 million per day [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table trend +7% and has been in the + for days now...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table US had 632,831 new cases this week...Germany had 632,386 new cases this week...US cases -20%...still at a low level...German cases -12% from a much higher level...US deaths 1,549 these last 7 days...German deaths 569 in the same time...(-34% US, German -10%)...Just an observation...

Europe cases +15%, Oceania +25%...North America -13%...(US -20%, Canada +18%, Mexico +39%)....why are US numbers that different ?????

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-2-75/ba-2-75-designated-a-vum-by-both-who-and-ecdc/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/ba-2-75/ba-2-75-designated-a-vum-by-both-who-and-ecdc/

The World Health Organisation and the European Centre for Disease Control (ECDC) have designated Omicron subvariant BA.2.75 as a variant under monitoring (VUM).

Although the number of BA.2.75 cases is still relatively low, its unusual combination of mutations and its quick spread to at least ten countries has attracted the interest of scientists across the globe, and has led to these designations.

DJ A look at [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=USA[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=USA last 60 days...

BA.2.12.1 at 55%, BA.2 = 15%, other 14%...

[url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=DEU&dark=true[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=DEU&dark=true Germany;

BA.2 at 45%, other at 18%, BA.2.9 at 13%....BA.2.12.1 only at 4% in Germany...

Of course you can only sequence samples when you take samples....

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/italy/italy-pediatric-hospitalizations-due-to-covid-19-double-in-one-week/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/italy/italy-pediatric-hospitalizations-due-to-covid-19-double-in-one-week/

In Italy, 78% of child admissions are currently children under 4 years of age.

Pediatric hospitalizations due to Covid double in one week and children between 0 and 4 years represent 78% of small hospitalized patients.

From the monitoring of the four pediatric hospitals and pediatric wards belonging to the sentinel network of structures, an 84% increase in patients under the age of 18: from 51 hospitalized children on 28 June to 94 hospitalized children on 5 July.

ANSA.it report (in Italian)

DJ, a new generation is born and growing up in a pandemic...terrible !

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-japanese-study-uncovers-that-sars-cov-2-impairs-the-insulin-growth-factor-igf-signaling-pathway-with-detrimental-health-implications[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-japanese-study-uncovers-that-sars-cov-2-impairs-the-insulin-growth-factor-igf-signaling-pathway-with-detrimental-health-implications ...

TMN has good links to science...

Monkeypox;

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/uk-study-shows-that-more-than-50-percent-of-individuals-with-monkeypox-infections-typically-develop-neurological-and-psychiatric-issues[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/uk-study-shows-that-more-than-50-percent-of-individuals-with-monkeypox-infections-typically-develop-neurological-and-psychiatric-issues from myalgia to headache, fatigue....DJ-Again !!! Monkeypox is NOT a gay virus/disease...it may have started in that group but has been spreading in lots of other people for weeks...Calling it a "gay disease" is making monitoring harder...A virus does not care...

Covid hospitalizations in the US up 15% in the past 10 days, approaching 40,000 - first glimpse of BA.5?

DJ related [url]https://www.businessinsider.com/covid-variant-omicron-ba5-reinfection-contagious-health-experts-2022-7?international=true&r=US&IR=T[/url] or https://www.businessinsider.com/covid-variant-omicron-ba5-reinfection-contagious-health-experts-2022-7?international=true&r=US&IR=T ;

Health experts in the US and abroad have found that the coronavirus variant currently responsible for most infections in the US, Omicron BA.5, can quickly reinfect people who have protection against the virus.

People who have been vaccinated, received antibody treatments, or developed natural immunity from contracting the virus were previously thought to have a lower risk of getting COVID-19, at least in the months following exposure.

But Andrew Robertson, the chief health officer of Western Australia, told News.com.au that he's seeing people get reinfected with the coronavirus in a matter of weeks.

"What we are seeing is an increasing number of people who have been infected with BA.2 and then becoming infected after four weeks," he said. "So maybe six to eight weeks they are developing a second infection, and that's almost certainly either BA.4 or BA.5."

A look at ;

#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates  TOP lineages (15-DAY TRENDS): 29.33% BA.2.12.1, 10.65% unassigned, 10.22% BA.5.2.1, 9.61% BA.5.5, 7.72% BA.4.1, 6.53% BA.5, 6.18% BA.4, 4.96% BA.5.1 and 4.71% BA.2 Tracker: http://tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7  #OmicronUpdates 07/07/22

So US cases over 30% BA.5 subvariants....BA.2.75 (etc) getting ready for a next wave in a permanent worsening healthcrisis eroding healthcare...

Coffee !

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 08 2022 at 11:30pm

DJ, 

The world, humanity, life, is facing three major problems;

1-War 

2-Pandemics

3-Climate collapse

In my opinion all three problems are very urgent in the way they can kill us all within 10 years....Certainly the combination of these problems is very deathly...

Better to discuss them, look for ways out, solutions then to hide away...

In latest news I did write my ideas on the present global situation...Of course inflation in Türkiye runs close to 80%, economies crashing is major...in part linked however to the three main problems.

Pandemics, both monkeypox and CoViD...

On Monkeypox............

I think monkeypox behaving this bizarre has to be related to CoViD;

23) Let this fact sink in — over 30 years, we have only tracked 2000 #monkeypox cases globally in total. In the last 2 months, in contrast, we have tracked 7000 new cases. πŸ‘€

DJ, real number of monkeypox cases now has to be in the tens of thousends...

-false claim it is a gay disease...It may have started it spread in gay-men...but it is far beyond that group

-incubation time could be 3 weeks...

-asymptomatic spread

-Governments downplaying risks (so limited testing etc). 

Eric Feigl-Ding

@DrEricDing
 · 
NEW—It is time for the global public health community to recognize a growing reality: #Monkeypox is now a pandemic—unless we declare an emergency & act quickly to combat it, we risk repeating the same mistakes we made with covid.🧡@kavitapmd @yaneerbaryam  https://washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/07/07/monkeypox-pandemic-who-emergency-covid/

DJ, One mistake has already been made...inaction...STOP THE SPREAD !!!! Realize the risks...The first CoViD cases-in 2019-may have looked "mild" we know the problems it did bring to the world...Monkeypox is a fast developing disease as well...a major risk for ALL humans and very likely also some non-human hosts...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/uk-study-shows-that-more-than-50-percent-of-individuals-with-monkeypox-infections-typically-develop-neurological-and-psychiatric-issues[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/uk-study-shows-that-more-than-50-percent-of-individuals-with-monkeypox-infections-typically-develop-neurological-and-psychiatric-issues 

and [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/africa/monkeypox-asymptomatic-spread-reported-in-belgium/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/africa/monkeypox-asymptomatic-spread-reported-in-belgium/ 

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory Monkeypox confirmed cases now close to 10,000. With very likely the real number (missed/not tested, people in incubation) already close to 100,000 ! 

Top 5 in confirmed monkeypox cases;

Spain 2,323

UK 1,552

Germany 1,490

US 791

France 721

Real numbers must be much higher...The numbers may give indication on testing...not on spread...

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak has a lot of (non)info...however links with CoViD remains undiscussed...

If CoViD undermines immunity it may open the door to all kinds of other diseases...H5 Avian Flu may be a next very major-urgent problem !!! 

Again; a combination with climate disasters (flooding, droughts, storms etc.) and wars worsen pandemics...

Going for war because politics need a way out of a crisis they can not solve is bad politics...

End of part 1

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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