The MoA Week In Review - (Not Ukraine) OT 2022-163

Last week's posts on Moon of Alabama:

bigger

• Sep 26 - The U.S. Is Winning Its War On Europe's Industries And People
• Sep 27 - The War On Germany Just Entered Its Hot Phase
• Sep 28 - Whodunnit? - Facts Related to The Sabotage Attack On The Nord Stream Pipelines
  Related:
  - US military aircraft circled Nord Stream incident site in September - Al Maydeen
  - ‘Naked Fear’: A Pipeline Attack Fans Anxiety in a German Village - NY Times
  - Don’t let Nord Stream leaks precipitate Russia-Ukraine conflict - Global Times
  - Attack on Nord Stream kills prospects for dialogue in Ukraine - Indian Punchline
  - Blatantly Obvious Who Gains From Nord Stream Sabotage - Strategic Culture
  - DIANA JOHNSTONE: Omerta in the Gangster War - Consortiumnews
  - Michael Hudson on The Euro Without Germany - Naked Capitalism
  - Europe’s descent into deindustrialisation - Spectator
  - Nord Stream explosions are a ‘tremendous opportunity’ – US - Azerbaycan24

> The US views the sabotage of the Nord Stream gas pipelines as a “tremendous opportunity” to wean the continent off of Russian energy, Secretary of State Antony Blinken told reporters on Friday. With winter approaching, Blinken said that the US wants Europe to decrease its fuel use. <

Beguiling the traitors:

Secretary Antony Blinken @SecBlinken - 15:59 UTC · Sep 29, 2022

Congratulations to my friend and German Foreign Minister @ABaerbock on being named to @TIME Magazine’s 2022 #TIME100 Next List. Thank you for your steadfast support for democracy, freedom, and human rights during challenging times.
2022 TIME100 Next: Annalena Baerbock

• Sep 29 - Liz Truss Is Already The Bad Prime Minister Everyone Expected Her To Be
  Related:
  - Conservative Party Conference. Is the Truss Government capable of engaging with the real world? - Conservative Home(!)
  - UK Cost-of-living Protests As Tories Defend Contentious Tax-cut Plans - Barron's
  - For Liz Truss, the only way is up (or out) - Politico
  - Even Biden Noticed That Truss is Stupid - Andrew Cockburn
  - You Can Feel the Fear’: U.K. Borrowers Face Up to a Broken Mortgage Market - NY Times
  - How Britain’s Labour Party Became a Criminal Conspiracy Against its Members - Mintpressnews
  - Revealed: the secret British plan to keep Italy’s communists from power - Guardian
• 
  

DJ...The Duran [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oMWtgKP2ZdM[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oMWtgKP2ZdM on the collapse of the Euro, UK pound...Hungary planning to jump out of NATO/EU "Titanic"...lack of any US leadership, vision, plan...

Related [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/uk/uk-the-covid-19-enquiry-cover-up-begins/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/uk/uk-the-covid-19-enquiry-cover-up-begins/ ;

“The inquiry is becoming a farce and an exercise in cover-up.”.

After the complete shipshow that was the British government’s response to Covid-19, plans are afoot to ensure that the Covid-19 inquiry doesn’t reach any useful conclusions by excluding witnesses from giving evidence about the care that their relatives received, writes The Guardian.

DJ...there is music to love...[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ALlkMv21a7s[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ALlkMv21a7s it is "religious"...religion is the basis for any totalitarianism..."people speaking in the name of a (self created) "god"....still good-relaxing, hypnotizing music...from another world...

Stay safe & sane...

part 2, twitter;

Cornelius Roemer

@CorneliusRoemer

·

5h

Some bad news regarding BQ.1.1 is that it escapes all available monoclonal antibody cocktails, even those that are still working against BA.5 Now looks like a pretty good time to get a booster dose if one is eligible. I got mine a week ago.

and

DJ, I expect an invitation for both CoViD-vax/booster and Flu-vax this month...I will accept both in the hope it will offer some protection...

Cornelius Roemer

@CorneliusRoemer

·

6h

I admit...I stopped following names...I could write something on pandemic history...how "the plague" killed 100% of the population in some parts of Europe..but also never reached other parts of Europe in the 14th century...After the (major) pandemic shortage of workers did result in higher wages...giving the economy a boost...but that was "then and there" not "here and now"...the outlook now may be a lot worse...There are links between [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mongol_Empire[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mongol_Empire and the plague [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Theories_of_the_Black_Death[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Theories_of_the_Black_Death but there are also lots of questions...

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_Death_migration#European_outbreak[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_Death_migration#European_outbreak ;

In 1345 the Mongols under Khan Jani Berg of the Golden Horde besieged Caffa. Suffering from an outbreak of black plague, the Mongols placed plague-infected corpses in catapults and threw them into the city. In October 1347, a fleet of Genoese trading ships fleeing Caffa reached the port of Messina in Sicily.^[28] By the time the fleet reached Messina, all the crew members were either infected or dead. It is presumed that the ships also carried infected rats and/or fleas. Some ships were found grounded on shorelines, with no one aboard remaining alive.

Looting of these lost ships also helped spread the disease. From there, the plague spread to Genoa and Venice by the turn of 1347–1348, spreading across Italy.

From Italy the disease spread northwest across Europe, striking France, the Crown of Aragon, the Crown of Castile, Portugal and England by June 1348, then turned and spread east through Germany and Scandinavia from 1348 to 1350. It was introduced in Norway in 1349 when a ship landed at Askøy, then proceeded to spread to Bjørgvin (modern Bergen). From Norway it continued to Sweden, by which point it had already spread around Denmark.

Finally it spread to north-eastern Russia in 1351; however, the plague largely spared some parts of Europe, including the Kingdom of Poland, isolated parts of Belgium and the Netherlands, Milan and the modern-day France-Spain border.

At Siena, Agnolo di Tura wrote:

"They died by the hundreds, both day and night, and all were thrown in ... ditches and covered with earth. And as soon as those ditches were filled, more were dug. And I, Agnolo di Tura … buried my five children with my own hands … And so many died that all believed it was the end of the world."^[29]

DJ...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_epidemics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_epidemics ...in many ways pandemics are NOT that abnormal...we did live in a very "ab-normal" time, certainly since 1945...limited wars, climate disasters, diseases....In 1900 average life expectency was 40...something like 10 years extra compared to Roman times...in about a 100 years life expectency increased to 80...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Life_expectancy[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Life_expectancy ; Until the middle of the 20th century, infant mortality was approximately 40–60% of the total mortality. Excluding child mortality, the average life expectancy during the 12th–19th centuries was approximately 55 years. If a medieval person survived childhood, they had about a 50% chance of living 50–55 years, instead of only 25–40 years.^[5]

-

Life expectancy increases with age as the individual survives the higher mortality rates associated with childhood. For instance, the table gives the life expectancy at birth among 13th-century English nobles at 30. Having survived to the age of 21, a male member of the English aristocracy in this period could expect to live:^[41]

• 1200–1300: to age 64
• 1300–1400: to age 45 (because of the bubonic plague)
• 1400–1500: to age 69
• 1500–1550: to age 71

17th-century English life expectancy was only about 35 years, largely because infant and child mortality remained high. Life expectancy was under 25 years in the early Colony of Virginia,^[52] and in seventeenth-century New England, about 40 percent died before reaching adulthood.^[53] During the Industrial Revolution, the life expectancy of children increased dramatically.^[54] The under-5 mortality rate in London decreased from 74.5% in 1730–1749 to 31.8% in 1810–1829.^[55][56]

Public health measures are credited with much of the recent increase in life expectancy. During the 20th century, despite a brief drop due to the 1918 flu pandemic^[57] starting around that time the average lifespan in the United States increased by more than 30 years, of which 25 years can be attributed to advances in public health.^[58]

The life expectancy for people reaching adulthood is greater, — ignoring infant and child mortality. For instance, 16th Century English and Welsh women at 15 years may have had an life expectancy of around 35 more years (50 total).^[43]

DJ...in many ways one could claim we had "seven golden decades" from 1950 to 2020....but being very lucky was-in history terms-NOT "normal"...

Well this story may have cheered you up ;-) ! 

Music...another of my French favorites; Michel Fugain et le Big Bazar, Les Printemps (Spring...) 1976 [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qbk9iDL6txE[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qbk9iDL6txE ...

End of part 2

part 2,

[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time self reporting of symptoms in the UK may give better info.

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/03/covid-hospital-total-shows-sharpest-weekend-increase-since-march[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/03/covid-hospital-total-shows-sharpest-weekend-increase-since-march ;

Hospitals are seeing an increase in the number of patients in care who have tested positive for the coronavirus. They are currently treating 842 people who are infected with the virus, a 40 percent increase in a week, said patient coordination service LCPS. That is the highest number since 5 August, almost two months ago.

Since Friday, the number of people admitted into care with the infection increased by 146. That is the largest increase over a weekend since 14 March. The LCPS stopped updating hospital figures over the weekends and holidays in mid-April.

Last Monday, there were 601 patients who tested positive, and 466 the Monday before that. That means that the occupancy has increased by just over 80 percent in two weeks. If this rate of increase continues, hospitals will be treating more than a thousand people with the coronavirus in just a few days’ time.

The LCPS figures do not distinguish between people who were admitted because of symptoms caused by Covid-19, and people who were being treated for other health ailments and also happened to be infected. The National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM) does make that distinction, and also observed more admissions due to Covid-19. The institute said it appears the autumn coronavirus wave has started.

Since Sunday afternoon, 149 people with a coronavirus infection were admitted to a hospital. That is the largest influx since July 26. On the other hand, people also exit hospitalized care, due to death or because they have recovered sufficiently, which resulted in a net increase.

It is especially busy in the regular care wards, where there are 798 positively-tested people. That is 143 more than Friday and 230 more than last Monday. Some 44 patients with coronavirus are now in intensive care units, three more than Friday

DJ, In NL on tuesday and friday we get new statistics on CoViD...I hope they soon will provide more -and daily- info. There may be regional differences both in variants and-with that-what (age) groups are most at risk. 

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table due to not reporting most cases in the weekend in statistics only Africa has a growth of cases +4%, Europe -1%....NOT REPORTING CASES IN TIME IS KILLING PEOPLE !!!!!

US cases would be -39%, Canada -41%, Mexico -25%...coherent regional picture...it looks like CoViD is still limited in North America...

In Europe Germany (now) +15%, France +31%, Italy +59% still delay in reporting is giving wrong statistics...

When there is a risk of flooding you need most recent numbers...not numbers that go back hours or even a day...Again-this winterwave most likely will be the worst-by far-so far in this pandemic...There are now 66 countries reporting an increase of cases (from all around the globe...)

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/warning-next-covid-19-surges-will-be-lead-not-by-a-one-or-a-couple-of-new-variants-but-by-a-multitude-of-sub-lineages-with-convergent-rbd-escape-mutat[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/warning-next-covid-19-surges-will-be-lead-not-by-a-one-or-a-couple-of-new-variants-but-by-a-multitude-of-sub-lineages-with-convergent-rbd-escape-mutat TMN has lots of links warning for re/co-infections, vaccines/anti-virals no longer able to help much...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/h5n1-tracking/959895-avian-flu-an-unprecedented-number-of-cases-this-summer-in-europe-efsa-october-3-2022[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/h5n1-tracking/959895-avian-flu-an-unprecedented-number-of-cases-this-summer-in-europe-efsa-october-3-2022 ;

An unprecedented number of detections of the highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) virus were reported in wild and domestic birds from June to September in Europe, according to the latest report compiled by EFSA, the European Center for Prevention and for disease control and the EU reference laboratory. In previous years, none or only a few cases had been detected during the summer period. The entire 2021-2022 HPAI season therefore generated the largest outbreak observed to date in Europe.

Between 11 June and 9 September 2022, 788 HPAI virus detections were reported in 16 EU/EEA countries and the UK, including 56 in poultry and 22 and 710 in captive birds respectively and wild. The unusual persistence of the virus in wild birds continued throughout the summer and was observed in 15 European countries. The virus has reached seabird breeding colonies on the northern Atlantic coast, causing mass mortality, particularly in Germany, France, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom.

Heavily infected wild birds also posed a permanent risk of infection to domestic birds. From June to September, the number of outbreaks in domestic birds decreased compared to previous months but was more than five times higher compared to the same period the previous year.

“With cases detected in poultry and wild birds through September, the current outbreak is clearly still ongoing. As the autumn migration begins and the number of wild birds wintering in Europe increases, they are likely to be at higher risk of becoming infected with HPAI than in previous years, due to the persistence of the virus in Europe,” said Guilhem de Seze, head of the department in charge of risk assessment at EFSA.

-

Low risk to humans

The European Center for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), which also contributed to the report, concludes that the risk of infection for the general human population in the EU/EEA is low, and that it is low to medium. for occupationally exposed persons. There is, however, a great deal of uncertainty in these conclusions due to the wide diversity of avian influenza viruses circulating in bird populations. The risk of transmission to humans via exposure to contaminated poultry products is considered negligible.

ECDC has also published a technical report entitled " Testing and detection of zoonotic infections of avian influenza in humans in the EU/EEA ", to which EFSA, the EU reference laboratory and the European Agency for Safety and Health at Work also contributed.

• Report on avian flu June-September 2022

and;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/959892-ecdc-guidance-for-testing-identification-of-zoonotic-influenza-infections-in-humans-in-the-eu-eaa[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/959892-ecdc-guidance-for-testing-identification-of-zoonotic-influenza-infections-in-humans-in-the-eu-eaa ;

Oct 1st begins the 2022-2023 flu season, and as the chart above illustrates, the last 12 months have produced Europe's worst avian flu outbreak on record. Unlike in previous outbreak years, summer offered little respite and we've seen increasing evidence of mammalian adaptation of these viruses (see here, here, and here), making EU officials quite concerned over what the next 12 months will bring.

Late last week the ECDC released their quarterly Avian influenza overview June – September 2022, as a highly detailed 58 page PDF. The Executive Summary from the ECDC follows:

While primarily a threat to wild and domesticated birds, these viruses are continually evolving, and in the past few years we've seen disturbing evidence of increased spillover from birds to mammals, with many of these infections resulting in severe neurological manifestations and death

-

While we've seen guidance documents before on zoonotic flu from the ECDC (and the CDC), the level of concern in this document is clearly elevated going into this new flu season.

Granted, it is far from certain that an H5 virus can spark a human pandemic (see Are Influenza Pandemic Viruses Members Of An Exclusive Club?). However, the same could have been said about a coronavirus only a few years ago. And it is not as if H5Nx is the only novel threat before us.

But I can't recall any time in the past 17 years of writing this blog where we've had so many plausible zoonotic threats circulating simultaneously - and as widely distributed - around the world.

DJ...Flutrackers also following Ebola in Africa (spread to Sudan from Uganda ???) 

CoViD-infection-even mild/without symptoms-may limit immunity against other diseases. Risk of a sort of Avian/Bird-flu spread in humans (maybe via another host) did increase...

"Flu-rona", "Twindemic" [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twindemic#%22Flurona%22[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twindemic#%22Flurona%22 ;

Twindemic is a term used during the COVID-19 pandemic, referring to the possibility of a severe flu season happening alongside an increase in cases of COVID-19 during the fall and winter of 2020 and 2021.^{[1][2][3][4][5]} A consequence of a twindemic may be a mixture of two different infections in the same person at the same time.^[6] The term twindemic is a portmanteau of "twin" and "pandemic".^[3]

^-

^{In April 2022, Apoorva Mandavilli of The New York Times speculated that a twindemic has not occurred because "exposure to one respiratory virus may put the body's immune defenses on high alert, barring other intruders from gaining entry into the airways. This biological phenomenon, called viral interference, may cap the amount of respiratory virus circulating in a region at any given time."[8] In the United States, flu cases, hospitalizations and deaths were up from the previous flu season, but were still lower than the pre-pandemic average.[8]}

In January 2022, Israel reported, for the first time, a mixture of COVID-19 and influenza infections, colloquially known as "flurona".^{[9][10][11][12]} In Brazil, four cases of the double infection have been identified, including a 16-year-old male from Rio de Janeiro. In Fortaleza of Ceará state, two children, including a one-year-old child tested positive without complications, and also a 52-year-old man who did not need hospitalization.^[13] In São Paulo, the Secretariat of Health announced that its state had 110 cases in 2021.^[14]

Flurona infections have also been reported in the United States, the Philippines and Hungary.^[11]

DJ...we are already in a "twindemic" with both CoViD and Monkeypox...H3N2 may became a major "normal" flu (with some swine H3N2v also in humans....). 

Again -the perspective, outlook is BAD !!!!

Stop the spread !!! 

...politics going for more war, fiat currencies bringing hyperinflation...

Music; R.E.M. [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0GFRcFm-aY[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0GFRcFm-aY ;

REMASTERED IN HD!! Official Music Video for It's The End Of The World As We Know It (And I Feel Fine) performed by R.E.M. 

DJ...I was also thinking of [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d-diB65scQU[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d-diB65scQU Don't worry, Be happy...Bobby Mc. Ferrin..."Into each live some rain must fall"....time for more coffee !

Lets's go for a part 4....

-Economic backgrounds;

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/10/the-expected-financial-crash-is-finally-here.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/10/the-expected-financial-crash-is-finally-here.html ,

[url]https://southfront.org/british-economy-is-collapsing-its-the-energy-stupid/[/url] or https://southfront.org/british-economy-is-collapsing-its-the-energy-stupid/ should not be ignored...

One aspect making the economic outlook very likely WORSE then 1929...[url]https://tass.com/politics/1516893[/url] or https://tass.com/politics/1516893 is the economic warfare part..."de-dollar-ization"...Euro/pound now even under 1US$...is not a sign of US strength...only a sign of European collapse going even faster...

Without an economy forget about healthcare....I-in this part of the forum-leave it up to you to decide on the wisdom of no longer buying energy from your main supplier and NOT expecting it will hurt your economy...To me it is like a shop-owner without a bank...maybe on a small scale it may work...

link;[url]https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-n-calls-on-fed-other-central-banks-to-halt-interest-rate-increases-11664809202[/url] or https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-n-calls-on-fed-other-central-banks-to-halt-interest-rate-increases-11664809202 

Another aspect of wars is refugees...here in NL very likely linked to Afghan/Pakistan refugees polio(vaccine related) virus parts were detected...

-So far polio seems to remain limited. CoViD likely will go exponential...a horror show, this winter...

MPX  

link [url]https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.09.30.510261v2[/url] or https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.09.30.510261v2 

As I noted in part 2 (Bird)Flu risks are also increasing...[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/959892-ecdc-guidance-for-testing-identification-of-zoonotic-influenza-infections-in-humans-in-the-eu-eaa[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/959892-ecdc-guidance-for-testing-identification-of-zoonotic-influenza-infections-in-humans-in-the-eu-eaa 

and what about Ebola...[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/ebola-forums/959915-media-south-sudan-sends-samples-of-suspected-ebola-cases-to-south-africa-for-testing-october-3-2022[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/ebola-forums/959915-media-south-sudan-sends-samples-of-suspected-ebola-cases-to-south-africa-for-testing-october-3-2022 5 possible Ebola cases (detected september 30-Central Equatoria-province) in South Sudan...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_Equatoria[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_Equatoria bordering Uganda...

-Let me go back in time; [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plague_of_Cyprian#Epidemiology[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plague_of_Cyprian#Epidemiology ;

The severe devastation to the European population from the two plagues may indicate that the people had no previous exposure or immunity to the plague's cause. The historian William Hardy McNeill asserts that both the earlier Antonine Plague (166–180) and the Plague of Cyprian (251–270) were the first transfers from animal hosts to humanity of two different diseases, one of smallpox and one of measles, but not necessarily in that order. Dionysios Stathakopoulos asserts that both outbreaks were of smallpox.^[15]

According to the historian Kyle Harper, the symptoms attributed by ancient sources to the Plague of Cyprian better match a viral disease causing a hemorrhagic fever, such as ebola, rather than smallpox. (Conversely, Harper believes that the Antonine Plague was caused by smallpox.)^[1][2][14]

Legacy[edit]

According to Harper, the plague nearly saw the end of the Roman Empire, and in the period between AD 248 and 268, "the history of Rome is a confusing tangle of violent failures. The structural integrity of the imperial machine burst apart. The frontier system crumbled. The collapse of legitimacy invited one usurper after another to try for the throne. The empire fragmented and only the dramatic success of later emperors in putting the pieces back together prevented this moment from being the final act of Roman imperial history."^[2]

Both the threat of imminent death from the plague and the unwavering conviction among many of the Christian clergy in the face of it won many converts to that religion.^[16]

-

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Consequences_of_the_Black_Death[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Consequences_of_the_Black_Death ;

The Black Death peaked in Europe between 1348 and 1350 with an estimated one-third of the continent's population ultimately succumbing to the disease. Often simply referred to as "The Plague", the Black Death had both immediate and long-term effects on human population across the world as one of the most devastating pandemics in human history. These included a series of biological, social, economic, political and religious upheavals which had profound effects on the course of world history, especially the history of Europe. Symptoms of the bubonic plague included painful and enlarged or swollen lymph nodes, headaches, chills, fatigue, vomiting, and fevers, and within 3–5 days, 80% of the victims would be dead.^[1] Historians estimate that it reduced the total world population from 475 million to between 350 and 375 million. In most parts of Europe, it took nearly 80 years for population sizes to recover, and in some areas more than 150 years.^{[citation needed]}

From the perspective of many of the survivors, the effect of the plague may have been ultimately favorable, as the massive reduction of the workforce meant their labor was suddenly in higher demand. R. H. Hilton has argued that those English peasants who survived found their situation to be much improved. For many Europeans, the 15th century was a golden age of prosperity and new opportunities. The land was plentiful, wages high, and serfdom had all but disappeared. A century later, as population growth resumed, the lower classes once again faced deprivation and famine.^[2][3][4]

DJ...of course you need survivors to claim "progress"...

Do we see major pandemics in a sort of cycle-every 800-1,000 years ? [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_epidemics#Chronology[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_epidemics#Chronology mentions [url]https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7123324/[/url] or https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7123324/ ;

Abstract

DJ...of course a major pandemic in 2022 is different from the-often less global-pandemics in human history. 

Some aspects;

-CoViD and MPX are allready global..."polio in sewage" detected in Asia, Europe, North America...Ebola keeps returning in Africa...lots of other diseases very likely "have potential"..

-The present pandemic is "beyond twindemic", it is not only CoViD and MPX...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Epidemiology_of_HIV/AIDS[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Epidemiology_of_HIV/AIDS is not over...TB(C) may become very hard to limit...

-In 2018-2020 we had a global African Swine Fever pandemic in pigs...in 2019 CoViD started spreading in humans...in 2022 Avian Flu did not stop spreading during summer-spread to more regions then ever before...infecting also a.o. foxes [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/h5n1-tracking/ireland/959899-ireland-1-new-outbreak-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-h5n1-in-a-red-fox-in-rathankar-woah-september-30-2022[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/h5n1-tracking/ireland/959899-ireland-1-new-outbreak-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-h5n1-in-a-red-fox-in-rathankar-woah-september-30-2022 

-CoViD detected in 100 species...bats (a.o.) may have lots of other corona-virusses...

Of course diseases have been around all the time...however air-travel is spreading disease...we now have close to 8 billion people-most living in mega-cities...

DJ-The least we could do is face the potential risks and try to limit them;

-A major reduction in travel=a major reduction in spreading diseases

-Increase of testing/sequencing may bring early detection-limiting spread

-Better information/education on the risks may increase public support for limiting these major risks

Non of this is happening now...and these steps are allready late...

End of part 4

part 2...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-omicron-variant-and-emerging-sub-lineages-are-decreasing-and-disarming-host-serologic-response-by-reducing-b-cell-antigenicity[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-omicron-variant-and-emerging-sub-lineages-are-decreasing-and-disarming-host-serologic-response-by-reducing-b-cell-antigenicity ...

DJ...new variants "hide" for the immune reaction...or even "undo" the immune response...(link in article)

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/university-of-wisconsin-study-validates-that-even-the-vaccinated-can-still-shed-and-transmit-infectious-sars-cov-2-virus-when-infected-with-covid-19[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/university-of-wisconsin-study-validates-that-even-the-vaccinated-can-still-shed-and-transmit-infectious-sars-cov-2-virus-when-infected-with-covid-19 DJ-A(nother) study indicating vaccines do not bring any change in spread of CoViD...only limit (long term) disease..not much more...So-again-QR-codes for vaccinated create a false sense of safety...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-university-of-oxford-study-shockingly-finds-that-lungs-of-post-covid-19-individuals-displayed-premature-aging-of-more-than-15-years[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-university-of-oxford-study-shockingly-finds-that-lungs-of-post-covid-19-individuals-displayed-premature-aging-of-more-than-15-years on the amount of damage CoViD can bring...

DJ-AGAIN !!!!!

There are lots of sensible interventions we should do NOW !!!!

-Stop spreading diseases !!!!! Virusses (etc) are still traveling for free around the globe...

-Masks !!!!

-Study/work from home 

-Information/education...know how bad the risks are....

AGAIN !!!! The worst known pandemics may have killed over 50% of the population...In 2022 massive illness and death will cause nuclear, chemical disasters....CoViD most likely does increase risks for all kinds of other diseases...MPX, Ebola, H5N1, Polio etc....

The "present strategy" is like "having a party in a house on fire"....totall madness !!! Denial is NOT a strategy !!!

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table NL cases +55% in this list...main reason is yesterdays update...Lots of countries/states simply stopped reporting CoViD cases...NL does report twice a week (maybe later on back to daily updates ?) 

[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time UK must be over 2,5 million cases by now...early september it was under 1,5 million cases...

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/04/dutch-covid-hospital-total-coronavirus-infections-doubled-2-weeks[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/04/dutch-covid-hospital-total-coronavirus-infections-doubled-2-weeks ;

The basic reproduction (R) value rose significantly from 1.03 to 1.18. That means that 100 people contagious with the coronavirus on 13 September passed it on to 118 others. They then infected 139 individuals, who were expected to further infect 164 more.

The BA.5 coronavirus variant remained the most common found in germ surveillance. The RIVM noted the appearance of an increase in the BA4.6 and BA2.75 sub-variants, but said there was little changed from last week.

DJ...lots of cases are NOT reported, miss even testing..."living with CoViD" is the "new political disfunction normal" resulting in more spread, more mutations, more variants...

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/04/45-million-animals-culled-bird-flu-cases-year-4th-case-groningen-3-weeks[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/04/45-million-animals-culled-bird-flu-cases-year-4th-case-groningen-3-weeks ; 

Europe is in the midst of the worst bird flu epidemic in 20 years, the European health service ECDC reported. In the Netherlands alone, over 4.5 million chicks and other birds have been culled in the past year, NOS reports.

See also [url]https://thebulletin.org/2022/09/is-the-next-pandemic-brewing-on-the-netherlands-poultry-farms/[/url] or https://thebulletin.org/2022/09/is-the-next-pandemic-brewing-on-the-netherlands-poultry-farms/ DJ-First human "avian Flu" infection in NL this year ? Possibly even a "Flu-Rona" co-infection...resulting in a combined spread ????

-On [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twindemic#%22Flurona%22[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twindemic#%22Flurona%22 ;see [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Viral_interference[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Viral_interference ;

Viral interference, also known as superinfection resistance,^[1] is the inhibition of viral reproduction caused by previous exposure of cells to another virus.^[2] The exact mechanism for viral interference is unknown.^[3] Factors that have been implicated are the generation of interferons by infected cells,^[4] and the occupation or down-modulation of cellular receptors.^[1]

Viral interference was observed as early as the 16th century. An example is the smallpox vaccine which used cowpox to prevent smallpox infection.^[5]

DJ...My-non expert-perspective however is new variants of CoVid may not be stopped by a Flu-immune-response...So Flu-patients may catch CoViD on top of the flu...(and it may present itself as a bad flu...certainly when some CoViD variants also escape testing...)....

End of part 2...part 3=high risk twitter...

part 4...lots of-bad-news...

DJ-Let me start with the EU...In World War Two Italy managed to be in war with both the allies AND Germany...A major risk for Europe could be we end up-still-in conflict with Russia...but also "not very happy" with what the US is doing...

When you look at the history of Argentina, Lebanon...once very rich countries now in crisis for the last decades...Europe could end up in such a-bad-scenario if there is not "more wisdom",,,

-I was looking for more flu-info [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/960006-study-influenza-a-h6n6-viruses-isolated-from-chickens-replicate-in-mice-and-human-lungs-without-prior-adaptation[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/960006-study-influenza-a-h6n6-viruses-isolated-from-chickens-replicate-in-mice-and-human-lungs-without-prior-adaptation ;

When we talk about avian flu viruses with zoonotic (or even pandemic) potential, the various incarnations of H5N1 first come to mind, followed perhaps by China's H7N9 virus. Between them they have caused thousands of infections and hundreds of deaths during the 21st century, but reports of both have declined sharply in recent years.

LPAI H9N2 has caused roughly 100 known infections (and undoubtedly many more undiagnosed), primarily is Asia, but generally produces mild to moderate illness. To that we can add sporadic human infections by H10Nx and H7N4 viruses in China, H7N2 (infecting cats and humans in NYC), and this year, China reported the first two known infections by avian H3N8 (see IJID: A Review Of The Pandemic Potential Of Avian H3N8).

Including H6 viruses, which don't get a lot of attention, but are common in both wild birds globally and in domesticated poultry in China, and have demonstrated the ability to jump species (to humans, to pigs, and to dogs) as well. Some past blogs include:

• In 2013, LPAI H6N1 was identified as the cause of pneumonia in a human in Taiwan. The patient, a 20-year-old female, was hospitalized with mild pneumonia on May 8th, treated with oseltamivir (Tamiflu ®), and released from the hospital on May 11th.
• The following year, we learned that H6N1 had jumped to Taiwanese dogs (see Taiwan: Debating The Importance Of H6N1 In Dogs).
• In 2015's EID Journal: Seropositivity For H6 Influenza Viruses In China, researchers found a a small, but significant number of people in their survey who tested positive for H6 influenza antibodies (indicating previous exposure).
• Also in 2015, in Study: Adaptation Of H6N1 From Avian To Human Receptor-Binding, we saw a report citing changes the authors suggest are slowly moving the H6N1 virus towards preferential binding to human receptor cells instead of avian receptor cells
• LPAI H6N6 emerged in Chinese swine more than a decade ago (see Pathogenicity and transmission of a swine influenza A(H6N6) virus), and continues to show signs of adaptation to mammalian hosts (see Trans. Emerg, Dis: Continued Reassortment of Avian H6 viruses - Southern China, 2014-2016.)

But since H6 viruses only rarely produce clinical illness in poultry, and are not legally reportable to the OIE (now WOAH), we are only rarely aware of their presence, or of the potential threat they may pose.

Two years ago, in Nature: Evolution & Pathogenicity of H6 Avian Influenza Viruses, Southern China 2011-2017, we looked at study on the evolution of H6 viruses in China, and their growing adaptation to mammalian physiology.

DJ..more info in the link...see also [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2022/10/study-influenza-h6n6-viruses-isolated.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2022/10/study-influenza-h6n6-viruses-isolated.html 

-[url]https://www.wormsandgermsblog.com/2022/10/articles/animals/dogs/domestic-animal-monkeypox-surveillance-uk/[/url] or https://www.wormsandgermsblog.com/2022/10/articles/animals/dogs/domestic-animal-monkeypox-surveillance-uk/ ; 

The big thing this study suggests is that serious infection with monkeypox virus in pets is unlikely. It doesn’t prove it can’t happen, since the numbers are relatively small, but it shows that transmission to pets and subsequent serious disease is probably uncommon, if it occurs at all.  That’s useful information.

It’s still just one step on our path to understanding more about the potential for human-to-animal (and human-to-animal-back-to-human) transmission, as well the range of species that are susceptible to monkeypox.

DJ, the study did not look for asymptomatic spread...may have missed lots of info-but at least it is a start...

-[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-chinese-researchers-warn-that-new-sars-cov-2-recombinant-variant-xbb-is-the-most-immune-evasive-strain-that-is-comparable-to-the-sars-cov-1-s[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-chinese-researchers-warn-that-new-sars-cov-2-recombinant-variant-xbb-is-the-most-immune-evasive-strain-that-is-comparable-to-the-sars-cov-1-s train..."Omicron" is seeing a lot of mutations...DJ-I think labs may NOT be able to do all the sequencing that is needed...

Exponential growth will result now in lots of CoViD (sub)variants able to evade immunity and coinfect...

Mixed with the "flu-potential" it is becoming more and more a nightmare scenario...

-[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-u-s-nih-study-warns-of-potetial-human-outbreak-of-a-new-primate-hemorrhagic-fever-causing-arterivirus-from-africa-that-is-far-worse-than-hiv[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-u-s-nih-study-warns-of-potetial-human-outbreak-of-a-new-primate-hemorrhagic-fever-causing-arterivirus-from-africa-that-is-far-worse-than-hiv ;link [url]https://www.cell.com/cell/fulltext/S0092-8674(22)01194-1[/url] or https://www.cell.com/cell/fulltext/S0092-8674(22)01194-1 ;

DJ...see also latest news-new pandemic (Kiwimum had a good link...) [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deltaarterivirus_hemfev[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deltaarterivirus_hemfev ;

Deltaarterivirus hemfev

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

(Redirected from Shfv)

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Synonyms[1]
Virus classification
Deltaarterivirus hemfev
(unranked):	Virus
Realm:	Riboviria
Kingdom:	Orthornavirae
Phylum:	Pisuviricota
Class:	Pisoniviricetes
Order:	Nidovirales
Family:	Arteriviridae
Genus:	Deltaarterivirus
Subgenus:	Hedartevirus
Species:	Deltaarterivirus hemfev
Simian hemorrhagic fever virus

Deltaarterivirus hemfev, formerly Simian hemorrhagic fever virus or simian haemorrhagic fever virus (SHFV), is a highly pathogenic virus in monkeys. It is a positive-stranded RNA virus classified in the family Arteriviridae. It is the only member of the subgenus Hedartevirus.^[2]

Hosts[edit]

Patas are believed to be the natural host for the virus since about 50% of wild patas monkeys have antibodies for the virus, while antibodies are much less prevalent in other simian species such as vervets and baboons. In macaques, however, infection with this virus can result in acute severe disease with high mortality. Recently, red colobus monkeys and red-tailed guenons have been identified as natural hosts for SHFV.^[3][4]

Symptoms[edit]

Asymptomatic infection of the virus can occur in patas monkeys, vervet monkeys, and baboons, although it is observed primarily in patas monkeys. Infection has a rapid onset with animals developing a high fever, facial edema, cyanosis, anorexia, melena, and may begin to hemorrhage at the cutaneous, subcutaneous, and retrobulbar levels. Thrombocytopenia will develop soon after. Death usually occurs within 10–15 days after symptoms appear.^[5]

...I need a drink....end of part 4...

part 2, 

In non-pandemic-latest-news I may write more on the global background...from storms, wars, economy, politics...

Again; the "disease triangle"= disease-transport-host..."

You have to know what the risks are from a disease, how it spreads to what hosts to develop a strategy...If "profits" become a major factor one may see a disasterous strategy...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-early-data-shows-that-new-sars-cov-2-sub-lineages-bq-1-1-and-bm-1-1-attacks-the-endothelial-cells-of-the-gut-ferociously-and-causes-disease-s[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-early-data-shows-that-new-sars-cov-2-sub-lineages-bq-1-1-and-bm-1-1-attacks-the-endothelial-cells-of-the-gut-ferociously-and-causes-disease-s everity

DJ...the story (with links in article) describes 14 patients developing major "gut-problems" ..no lung problems...9 out of the 14 have died so far...(3 of them from heart faillure..very likely linked to the virus spreading further). Known medication not effective...It is very early-but if this may become "the trend" for "newer CoViD variants" we have a very serious problem...

-One of the major problems we have to deal with is "lack of imagination" on how bad things can get...

I see a lot of similarity between how "politics" deals with climate change, fiat-currencies and the present pandemics..."kicking cans down the road", "buying time" (by printing more money) is NOT solving any problem...

-Fiat currency may mean the "real value" of Dollar, pound, Euro, Yen could be <1% of what "we" love to think it is...Part of the "major global economic powers" is bluff...western-fiat-currencies are "empty"...(there is the war-link...)

-Climate collapse-like a lot of things-goes exponential...not linear...so sealevel-rise may not go 1,2,3,4,5 cm but 1,2,4,8,16 cm. over time...

-A flu-pandemic may be "self limiting"...in the Spanish Flu the flu itself offered immunity against reinfection...with CoViD forget about "herd immunity"...you can catch CoViD variants over and over again...

So-for a more realistic view on the present CoViD pandemic-causing all kinds of other diseases to get out of control looking at the Spanish Flu (killing maybe up to 5% of the global population about a 100 years ago) may be "to optimistic"...The 14th century plague "Black Death" maybe killing up to 50% of the population may be more accurate...

In a 2022 world only "good management" putting priority at preventing major nuclear, chemical disasters with "most of humanity ill and dying" may prevent "end of live" on this planet...

DJ-Of course..."I am not an expert"...point is even "experts", the best virologists, epidimologists...even medical historians may not have the experience to get an overall view...

We have never seen this kind of pandemic in our lifetime...so all we can do is put the best science we have together to try to get "the best possible view"...

-Is my "view" unrealistic overpessimistic ? I hope so ! I hope to be completely wrong ! Again-I do not claim to be an "expert" of any sort...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/worldwide-graphs/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/worldwide-graphs/ does NOT show exponential growth...we may now getting close to 625 million tested & reported cases...last winter did see an increase of 220 million cases per september 1 -2021 to over 440 million cases by march 1-2022...

September 1 this year had 609 million reported cases...so by march 1 2023 around 1,2 billion cases "should be expected"...?

Bulk of daily cases were before vaccines showed up...january 2021 did see days with over 3 million cases per day...however "we stopped most of the testing"...even with that july 2022-this year-did see days with 1,1 million tested + cases...

Also when you look at the "number of tested/reported CoViD deaths" ...no exponentials...However [url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps excess deaths (in Europe) -still not exponential-may picture 2022 as a year with high excess deaths...

DJ-The potential for "exponential growth" is also in the new variants now starting to spread (most in Europe - for now)...in an increase of all kinds of other diseases...For that matter limiting airtravel=limiting variant/disease spread still could be welcome & wise...

But again...I only can hope to see things completely wrong...

End of part 2

internet-link with this website sometimes is problematic...gets disconnected (while other links still work...)..

Maybe something on sources; There are official websites from the WHO, (E)CDC, ...I see them as "political"...public healthcare is not #1, economy is...Like the IPCC in climate change they may provide a lot of info...but translation to policies is "problematic"...[url]https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea[/url] or https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea or [url]https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/covid-19/situation-updates/variants-dashboard[/url] - https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/covid-19/situation-updates/variants-dashboard 

I do not have that much patience....

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/denmark-a-soup-of-120-covid-variants-sequenced-in-one-month/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/denmark-a-soup-of-120-covid-variants-sequenced-in-one-month/  

You may have heard the expression “a soup of Covid variants” recently..

Well, Denmark has just provided graphic evidence of that variant soup. It has just published a list of no less than 120 variants found circulating in the country in the last four weeks in its latest infection report.

BA.5* lineages still represent about 93% of current sequences in Denmark, but the other seven percent is an unholy cocktail of every variant we have ever heard of, and even some that we have not. 

-

In other news in Denmark, Covid cases are up, Covid hospitalizations are up, and Covid deaths are also up. Full report in English below, with a link to the Danish version.

DJ, I learned from these kinds of sites much more then from "official ones"..[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/warning-numerous-studies-are-showing-that-mild-symptomatic-sars-cov-2-infections-can-lead-to-a-variety-of-cardiac-issues,-some-with-fatal-outcomes[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/warning-numerous-studies-are-showing-that-mild-symptomatic-sars-cov-2-infections-can-lead-to-a-variety-of-cardiac-issues,-some-with-fatal-outcomes with a study-link no doubt...

twitter;

and